LIGHTER

? · · lstm_s0

token id: #154
symbol: LIGHTER
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-15
predictions: 813

Track record at +7d

assessed

264

of 271 predictions shown

direction hit

49.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1223

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0294

actual +0.0181

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	3.422	3.3317	-2.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-20	oos	3.382	3.2935	-2.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-19	oos	3.095	3.0178	-2.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-18	oos	3.074	2.9993	-2.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-17	oos	3.116	3.0433	-2.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-16	oos	3.176	3.106	-2.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-15	oos	3.0255	2.9637	-2.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-14	oos	3.085	3.026	-1.91%	3.422	+10.92%	0.1049	✗	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	3.3505	3.2725	-2.33%	3.382	+0.94%	0.0355	✗	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	3.3745	3.2995	-2.22%	3.095	-8.28%	0.0655	✓	1.32
2026-10-11	oos	3.838	3.7389	-2.58%	3.074	-19.91%	0.1693	✓	1.32
2026-10-10	oos	3.637	3.5431	-2.58%	3.116	-14.32%	0.1027	✓	1.38
2026-10-09	oos	3.628	3.5372	-2.50%	3.176	-12.46%	0.0901	✓	1.38
2026-10-08	oos	3.607	3.522	-2.36%	3.0255	-16.12%	0.1593	✓	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	3.574	3.4825	-2.56%	3.085	-13.68%	0.0913	✓	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	3.818	3.7108	-2.81%	3.3505	-12.24%	0.0610	✓	1.42
2026-10-05	oos	4.019	3.9027	-2.89%	3.3745	-16.04%	0.0769	✓	1.43
2026-10-04	oos	3.665	3.5475	-3.21%	3.838	+4.72%	0.1279	✗	1.48
2026-10-03	oos	3.567	3.4542	-3.16%	3.637	+1.96%	0.0840	✗	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	3.545	3.4346	-3.11%	3.628	+2.34%	0.0899	✗	1.50
2026-10-01	oos	3.806	3.6873	-3.12%	3.607	-5.23%	0.0344	✗	1.49
2026-09-30	oos	3.948	3.827	-3.07%	3.574	-9.47%	0.0633	✓	1.51
2026-09-29	oos	3.926	3.8071	-3.03%	3.818	-2.75%	0.0305	✓	1.48
2026-09-28	oos	4.445	4.301	-3.24%	4.019	-9.58%	0.1090	✓	1.52
2026-09-27	oos	4.655	4.4953	-3.43%	3.665	-21.27%	0.2396	✓	1.48
2026-09-26	oos	4.8445	4.6661	-3.68%	3.567	-26.37%	0.2743	✓	1.48
2026-09-25	oos	4.8545	4.6708	-3.78%	3.545	-26.97%	0.2830	✓	1.48
2026-09-24	oos	5.071	4.8611	-4.14%	3.806	-24.95%	0.2528	✓	1.48
2026-09-23	oos	5.309	5.0577	-4.73%	3.948	-25.64%	0.2332	✓	1.48
2026-09-22	oos	5.0675	4.8587	-4.12%	3.926	-22.53%	0.1665	✓	1.55
2026-09-21	oos	4.7405	4.5674	-3.65%	4.445	-6.23%	0.0259	✓	1.44
2026-09-20	oos	4.778	4.5787	-4.17%	4.655	-2.57%	0.0497	✓	1.66
2026-09-19	oos	4.8145	4.6072	-4.31%	4.8445	+0.62%	0.0135	✓	1.66
2026-09-18	oos	4.7725	4.5673	-4.30%	4.8545	+1.72%	0.0033	✓	1.65
2026-09-17	oos	4.816	4.616	-4.15%	5.071	+5.29%	0.0894	✓	1.83
2026-09-16	oos	4.605	4.424	-3.93%	5.309	+15.29%	0.0041	✓	1.82
2026-09-15	oos	4.0195	3.9134	-2.64%	5.0675	+26.07%	0.0195	✓	1.82
2026-09-14	oos	4.3875	4.2263	-3.67%	4.7405	+8.05%	0.0664	✓	1.77
2026-09-13	oos	4.1115	3.9872	-3.02%	4.778	+16.21%	0.0846	✗	1.74
2026-09-12	oos	4.217	4.0792	-3.27%	4.8145	+14.17%	0.0788	✗	1.74
2026-09-11	oos	4.353	4.2077	-3.34%	4.7725	+9.64%	0.0457	✗	1.73
2026-09-10	oos	4.2905	4.1612	-3.01%	4.816	+12.25%	0.1504	✗	1.74
2026-09-09	oos	4.5275	4.3838	-3.17%	4.605	+1.71%	0.0970	✗	1.73
2026-09-08	oos	4.826	4.6696	-3.24%	4.0195	-16.71%	0.0845	✓	1.76
2026-09-07	oos	4.7225	4.5876	-2.86%	4.3875	-7.09%	0.0237	✓	1.79
2026-09-06	oos	4.516	4.4156	-2.22%	4.1115	-8.96%	0.0074	✓	1.75
2026-09-05	oos	4.754	4.6342	-2.52%	4.217	-11.30%	0.0370	✓	1.75
2026-09-04	oos	4.823	4.6914	-2.73%	4.353	-9.74%	0.0222	✓	1.68
2026-09-03	oos	4.441	4.3467	-2.12%	4.2905	-3.39%	0.0923	✗	1.76
2026-09-02	oos	3.792	3.7776	-0.38%	4.5275	+19.40%	0.1618	✗	1.54
2026-09-01	oos	3.52	3.5226	+0.07%	4.826	+37.10%	0.2936	✓	1.58
2026-08-31	oos	3.565	3.5575	-0.21%	4.7225	+32.47%	0.2740	✗	1.39
2026-08-30	oos	3.531	3.523	-0.23%	4.516	+27.90%	0.2168	✗	0.93
2026-08-29	oos	3.554	3.537	-0.48%	4.754	+33.76%	0.2768	✗	0.94
2026-08-28	oos	3.497	3.4789	-0.52%	4.823	+37.92%	0.3048	✗	0.94
2026-08-27	oos	3.711	3.6666	-1.20%	4.441	+19.67%	0.1804	✗	0.91
2026-08-26	oos	3.453	3.4134	-1.15%	3.792	+9.82%	0.1248	✗	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	3.285	3.2467	-1.17%	3.52	+7.15%	0.0935	✗	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	3.401	3.3436	-1.69%	3.565	+4.82%	0.0688	✗	0.89
2026-08-23	oos	3.578	3.5008	-2.16%	3.531	-1.31%	0.0094	✓	0.99
2026-08-22	oos	3.187	3.1237	-1.99%	3.554	+11.52%	0.1143	✗	0.97
2026-08-21	oos	3.128	3.0637	-2.06%	3.497	+11.80%	0.1384	✗	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	2.669	2.627	-1.57%	3.711	+39.04%	0.2664	✗	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	2.602	2.535	-2.58%	3.453	+32.71%	0.1759	✗	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	2.359	2.29	-2.92%	3.285	+39.25%	0.1718	✗	0.97
2026-08-17	oos	2.332	2.2615	-3.03%	3.401	+45.84%	0.2023	✗	1.01
2026-08-16	oos	2.276	2.2078	-3.00%	3.578	+57.21%	0.2647	✗	1.03
2026-08-15	oos	2.266	2.1978	-3.01%	3.187	+40.64%	0.1679	✗	1.01
2026-08-14	oos	2.234	2.1687	-2.93%	3.128	+40.02%	0.1443	✗	1.02
2026-08-13	oos	2.271	2.2025	-3.02%	2.669	+17.53%	0.0505	✗	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	2.335	2.2587	-3.27%	2.602	+11.43%	0.0480	✗	1.05
2026-08-11	oos	2.418	2.3273	-3.75%	2.359	-2.44%	0.0051	✓	1.04
2026-08-10	oos	2.383	2.2969	-3.61%	2.332	-2.14%	0.0059	✓	1.05
2026-08-09	oos	2.304	2.2285	-3.28%	2.276	-1.22%	0.0557	✗	1.10
2026-08-08	oos	2.282	2.2078	-3.25%	2.266	-0.70%	0.0587	✗	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	2.2975	2.2218	-3.29%	2.234	-2.76%	0.0381	✗	1.09
2026-08-06	oos	2.371	2.2835	-3.69%	2.271	-4.22%	0.0090	✓	1.10
2026-08-05	oos	2.186	2.1208	-2.98%	2.335	+6.82%	0.1170	✗	1.12
2026-08-04	oos	2.056	1.9986	-2.79%	2.418	+17.61%	0.1992	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	2.0035	1.9498	-2.68%	2.383	+18.94%	0.1932	✗	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	2.038	1.9828	-2.71%	2.304	+13.05%	0.1272	✗	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	2.018	1.9671	-2.52%	2.282	+13.08%	0.1127	✗	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	2.068	2.0153	-2.55%	2.2975	+11.10%	0.0965	✗	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	2.281	2.2106	-3.08%	2.371	+3.95%	0.0770	✗	0.99
2026-07-29	oos	2.179	2.1183	-2.78%	2.186	+0.32%	0.0208	✓	0.97
2026-07-28	oos	2.301	2.228	-3.17%	2.056	-10.65%	0.0833	✓	0.95
2026-07-27	oos	2.129	2.073	-2.63%	2.0035	-5.89%	0.0308	✓	0.93
2026-07-26	oos	2.145	2.0867	-2.72%	2.038	-4.99%	0.0026	✓	0.92
2026-07-25	oos	2.064	2.0111	-2.56%	2.018	-2.23%	0.0259	✓	0.93
2026-07-24	oos	2.0315	1.9812	-2.48%	2.068	+1.80%	0.0610	✗	0.91
2026-07-23	oos	2.1585	2.0968	-2.86%	2.281	+5.68%	0.0887	✗	0.88
2026-07-22	oos	2.305	2.2282	-3.33%	2.179	-5.47%	0.0062	✓	0.85
2026-07-21	oos	2.344	2.2603	-3.57%	2.301	-1.83%	0.0525	✗	0.85
2026-07-20	oos	2.179	2.1042	-3.43%	2.129	-2.29%	0.0298	✓	0.77
2026-07-19	oos	2.209	2.1243	-3.84%	2.145	-2.90%	0.0019	✓	0.77
2026-07-18	oos	2.257	2.1635	-4.14%	2.064	-8.55%	0.0412	✓	0.75
2026-07-17	oos	2.288	2.1879	-4.38%	2.0315	-11.21%	0.0766	✓	0.84
2026-07-16	oos	2.285	2.1814	-4.53%	2.1585	-5.54%	0.0279	✓	0.87
2026-07-15	oos	2.414	2.3015	-4.66%	2.305	-4.52%	0.0158	✓	0.83
2026-07-14	oos	2.595	2.4664	-4.95%	2.344	-9.67%	0.0700	✓	0.82
2026-07-13	oos	2.305	2.197	-4.68%	2.179	-5.47%	0.0411	✓	0.71
2026-07-12	oos	2.63	2.498	-5.02%	2.209	-16.01%	0.1321	✓	0.63
2026-07-11	oos	2.577	2.4449	-5.13%	2.257	-12.42%	0.0900	✓	0.63
2026-07-10	oos	2.688	2.5515	-5.08%	2.288	-14.88%	0.1064	✓	0.70
2026-07-09	oos	2.396	2.2719	-5.18%	2.285	-4.63%	0.0005	✓	0.66
2026-07-08	oos	2.3285	2.2102	-5.08%	2.414	+3.67%	0.0606	✗	0.71
2026-07-07	oos	2.459	2.3307	-5.22%	2.595	+5.53%	0.0897	✗	0.68
2026-07-06	oos	2.578	2.4384	-5.41%	2.305	-10.59%	0.0373	✓	0.69
2026-07-05	oos	2.462	2.3301	-5.36%	2.63	+6.82%	0.1194	✗	0.69
2026-07-04	oos	2.199	2.086	-5.14%	2.577	+17.19%	0.2042	✗	0.67
2026-07-03	oos	2.118	2.0126	-4.98%	2.688	+26.91%	0.2727	✗	0.66
2026-07-02	oos	2.067	1.9646	-4.96%	2.396	+15.92%	0.1808	✗	0.65
2026-07-01	oos	2.074	1.9548	-5.75%	2.3285	+12.27%	0.1498	✗	0.68
2026-06-30	oos	1.85	1.7724	-4.19%	2.459	+32.92%	0.2820	✗	0.58
2026-06-29	oos	1.861	1.7824	-4.22%	2.578	+38.53%	0.3334	✗	0.58
2026-06-28	oos	1.731	1.666	-3.76%	2.462	+42.23%	0.3510	✗	0.59
2026-06-27	oos	1.72	1.6553	-3.76%	2.199	+27.85%	0.2545	✗	0.58
2026-06-26	oos	1.825	1.7503	-4.10%	2.118	+16.05%	0.1668	✗	0.58
2026-06-25	oos	1.609	1.5577	-3.19%	2.067	+28.46%	0.2664	✗	0.56
2026-06-24	oos	1.697	1.6341	-3.70%	2.074	+22.22%	0.2477	✗	0.55
2026-06-23	oos	1.504	1.4534	-3.37%	1.85	+23.01%	0.2903	✗	0.72
2026-06-22	oos	1.611	1.5504	-3.76%	1.861	+15.52%	0.2240	✗	0.68
2026-06-21	oos	1.567	1.5087	-3.72%	1.731	+10.47%	0.1783	✗	0.67
2026-06-20	oos	1.558	1.4968	-3.93%	1.72	+10.40%	0.1836	✗	0.64
2026-06-19	oos	1.544	1.4848	-3.84%	1.825	+18.20%	0.2451	✗	0.69
2026-06-18	oos	1.613	1.5527	-3.74%	1.609	-0.25%	0.0722	✗	0.71
2026-06-17	oos	1.72	1.6493	-4.11%	1.697	-1.34%	0.0638	✗	0.64
2026-06-16	oos	1.734	1.6595	-4.30%	1.504	-13.26%	0.0686	✓	0.64
2026-06-15	oos	1.688	1.6156	-4.29%	1.611	-4.56%	0.0220	✓	0.69
2026-06-14	oos	1.684	1.6113	-4.32%	1.567	-6.95%	0.0025	✓	0.66
2026-06-13	oos	1.629	1.5608	-4.19%	1.558	-4.36%	0.0004	✓	0.69
2026-06-12	oos	1.537	1.4751	-4.03%	1.544	+0.46%	0.0463	✗	0.65
2026-06-11	oos	1.558	1.4973	-3.90%	1.613	+3.53%	0.0815	✗	0.65
2026-06-10	oos	1.392	1.344	-3.45%	1.72	+23.56%	0.2202	✗	0.56
2026-06-09	oos	1.584	1.5318	-3.29%	1.734	+9.47%	0.0895	✗	0.56
2026-06-08	oos	1.467	1.4202	-3.19%	1.688	+15.06%	0.1426	✗	0.61
2026-06-07	oos	1.433	1.39	-3.00%	1.684	+17.52%	0.1688	✗	0.62
2026-06-06	oos	1.425	1.3918	-2.33%	1.629	+14.32%	0.1221	✗	0.62
2026-06-05	oos	1.503	1.4647	-2.55%	1.537	+2.26%	0.0215	✓	0.66
2026-06-04	oos	1.466	1.4246	-2.82%	1.558	+6.28%	0.0923	✗	0.73
2026-06-03	oos	1.781	1.7133	-3.80%	1.392	-21.84%	0.1768	✓	0.75
2026-06-02	oos	1.606	1.5464	-3.71%	1.584	-1.37%	0.0985	✗	0.96
2026-06-01	oos	1.336	1.2902	-3.43%	1.467	+9.81%	0.3029	✗	1.42
2026-05-31	oos	1.377	1.3262	-3.69%	1.433	+4.07%	0.2939	✗	1.44
2026-05-30	oos	1.3695	1.3167	-3.85%	1.425	+4.05%	0.3410	✗	1.36
2026-05-29	oos	1.262	1.2077	-4.30%	1.503	+19.10%	0.4665	✗	1.35
2026-05-28	oos	1.174	1.1304	-3.72%	1.466	+24.87%	0.4513	✗	1.35
2026-05-27	oos	1.128	1.0869	-3.65%	1.781	+57.89%	0.6991	✗	1.38
2026-05-26	oos	1.184	1.1436	-3.42%	1.606	+35.64%	0.5162	✗	1.37
2026-05-25	oos	1.384	1.3402	-3.17%	1.336	-3.47%	0.0944	✗	1.22
2026-05-24	oos	1.295	1.2507	-3.42%	1.377	+6.33%	0.1507	✗	1.21
2026-05-23	oos	1.2265	1.1846	-3.42%	1.3695	+11.66%	0.1905	✗	1.19
2026-05-22	oos	1.186	1.1413	-3.77%	1.262	+6.41%	0.1336	✗	1.18
2026-05-21	oos	1.431	1.3532	-5.44%	1.174	-17.96%	0.0844	✓	1.08
2026-05-20	oos	1.278	1.2003	-6.08%	1.128	-11.74%	0.0168	✓	1.09
2026-05-19	oos	1.134	1.0721	-5.46%	1.184	+4.41%	0.1125	✗	1.07
2026-05-18	oos	0.954	0.922556	-3.30%	1.384	+45.07%	0.4012	✗	1.12
2026-05-17	oos	0.8635	0.841988	-2.49%	1.295	+49.97%	0.4369	✗	1.15
2026-05-16	oos	0.8775	0.854709	-2.60%	1.2265	+39.77%	0.3828	✗	1.15
2026-05-15	oos	0.857	0.834089	-2.67%	1.186	+38.39%	0.4058	✗	1.15
2026-05-14	oos	0.915	0.88801	-2.95%	1.431	+56.39%	0.5278	✗	1.14
2026-05-13	oos	0.898	0.872126	-2.88%	1.278	+42.32%	0.4100	✗	1.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.9265	0.898094	-3.07%	1.134	+22.40%	0.2896	✗	1.19
2026-05-11	oos	0.9995	0.96632	-3.32%	0.954	-4.55%	0.0578	✗	1.17
2026-05-10	oos	1.059	1.0205	-3.63%	0.8635	-18.46%	0.0965	✓	1.17
2026-05-09	oos	1.053	1.0133	-3.77%	0.8775	-16.67%	0.1059	✓	1.18
2026-05-08	oos	1.077	1.0348	-3.92%	0.857	-20.43%	0.1718	✓	1.18
2026-05-07	oos	0.989	0.956713	-3.26%	0.915	-7.48%	0.0602	✓	1.17
2026-05-06	oos	0.954	0.925894	-2.95%	0.898	-5.87%	0.0024	✓	1.23
2026-05-05	oos	0.966	0.936091	-3.10%	0.9265	-4.09%	0.0048	✓	1.04
2026-05-04	oos	0.906	0.881382	-2.72%	0.9995	+10.32%	0.1029	✗	0.99
2026-05-03	oos	0.923	0.898267	-2.68%	1.059	+14.73%	0.1191	✗	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.908	0.884702	-2.57%	1.053	+15.97%	0.1490	✗	1.02
2026-05-01	oos	0.903	0.881666	-2.36%	1.077	+19.27%	0.1750	✗	1.02
2026-04-30	oos	0.8845	0.865462	-2.15%	0.989	+11.81%	0.0845	✗	1.03
2026-04-29	oos	0.9475	0.927213	-2.14%	0.954	+0.69%	0.0465	✓	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.897	0.878773	-2.03%	0.966	+7.69%	0.0288	✗	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.8635	0.845807	-2.05%	0.906	+4.92%	0.0328	✗	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.913	0.896582	-1.80%	0.923	+1.10%	0.0307	✗	1.15
2026-04-25	oos	0.93	0.913761	-1.75%	0.908	-2.37%	0.0217	✓	1.17
2026-04-24	oos	0.9475	0.932845	-1.55%	0.903	-4.70%	0.0444	✓	1.20
2026-04-23	oos	0.9245	0.913685	-1.17%	0.8845	-4.33%	0.0018	✓	1.20
2026-04-22	oos	0.8805	0.869086	-1.30%	0.9475	+7.61%	0.1245	✗	1.20
2026-04-21	oos	0.8975	0.881116	-1.83%	0.897	-0.06%	0.0184	✓	1.21
2026-04-20	oos	0.9005	0.882445	-2.01%	0.8635	-4.11%	0.0455	✓	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.89	0.867717	-2.50%	0.913	+2.58%	0.0254	✓	1.20
2026-04-18	oos	0.976	0.961294	-1.51%	0.93	-4.71%	0.0628	✓	1.19
2026-04-17	oos	1.0495	1.0405	-0.85%	0.9475	-9.72%	0.0993	✓	1.19
2026-04-16	oos	1.043	1.0254	-1.69%	0.9245	-11.36%	0.1522	✓	1.20
2026-04-15	oos	1.0425	1.0231	-1.86%	0.8805	-15.54%	0.2028	✓	1.19
2026-04-14	oos	1.0235	1.0006	-2.24%	0.8975	-12.31%	0.1431	✓	1.19
2026-04-13	oos	1.1435	1.1196	-2.09%	0.9005	-21.25%	0.2403	✓	1.19
2026-04-12	oos	1.094	1.0628	-2.85%	0.89	-18.65%	0.2284	✓	1.20
2026-04-11	oos	1.206	1.1725	-2.78%	0.976	-19.07%	0.2256	✓	1.18
2026-04-10	oos	1.136	1.1057	-2.67%	1.0495	-7.61%	0.1166	✓	1.18
2026-04-09	oos	1.016	0.988135	-2.74%	1.043	+2.66%	0.0011	✓	1.16
2026-04-08	oos	0.999	0.970236	-2.88%	1.0425	+4.35%	0.0124	✓	1.16
2026-04-07	oos	1.073	1.0424	-2.85%	1.0235	-4.61%	0.0540	✓	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	1.0245	0.995845	-2.80%	1.1435	+11.62%	0.0484	✗	1.15
2026-04-05	oos	1.0095	0.982258	-2.70%	1.094	+8.37%	0.0789	✗	1.15
2026-04-04	oos	0.986	0.960412	-2.60%	1.206	+22.31%	0.1326	✗	1.15
2026-04-03	oos	0.989	0.963297	-2.60%	1.136	+14.86%	0.0655	✗	1.15
2026-04-02	oos	0.949	0.923245	-2.71%	1.016	+7.06%	0.0145	✓	1.15
2026-04-01	oos	0.889	0.868612	-2.29%	0.999	+12.37%	0.0901	✗	1.16
2026-03-31	oos	0.871	0.851178	-2.28%	1.073	+23.19%	0.1704	✗	1.16
2026-03-30	oos	0.8075	0.793893	-1.69%	1.0245	+26.87%	0.2193	✗	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.8265	0.81461	-1.44%	1.0095	+22.14%	0.1625	✗	1.15
2026-03-28	oos	0.8575	0.844232	-1.55%	0.986	+14.99%	0.1385	✗	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.8825	0.869173	-1.51%	0.989	+12.07%	0.1187	✗	1.15
2026-03-26	oos	0.912	0.892502	-2.14%	0.949	+4.06%	0.0934	✗	1.16
2026-03-25	oos	0.9945	0.970194	-2.44%	0.889	-10.61%	0.0352	✓	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	1.0085	0.984473	-2.38%	0.871	-13.63%	0.0843	✓	1.15
2026-03-23	oos	0.954	0.929787	-2.54%	0.8075	-15.36%	0.0721	✓	1.15
2026-03-22	oos	0.9405	0.921056	-2.07%	0.8265	-12.12%	0.0754	✓	1.17
2026-03-21	oos	1.052	1.0275	-2.33%	0.8575	-18.49%	0.1367	✓	1.15
2026-03-20	oos	1.064	1.038	-2.44%	0.8825	-17.06%	0.0922	✓	1.16
2026-03-19	oos	1.1945	1.1685	-2.18%	0.912	-23.65%	0.2283	✓	1.18
2026-03-18	oos	1.213	1.187	-2.15%	0.9945	-18.01%	0.1778	✓	1.18
2026-03-17	oos	1.296	1.2747	-1.65%	1.0085	-22.18%	0.1791	✓	1.17
2026-03-16	oos	1.1645	1.1423	-1.91%	0.954	-18.08%	0.1148	✓	1.19
2026-03-15	oos	1.087	1.0585	-2.62%	0.9405	-13.48%	0.0354	✓	1.17
2026-03-14	oos	1.107	1.0773	-2.68%	1.052	-4.97%	0.0154	✓	1.18
2026-03-13	oos	1.0995	1.0688	-2.79%	1.064	-3.23%	0.0030	✓	1.18
2026-03-12	oos	1.1525	1.1207	-2.76%	1.1945	+3.64%	0.0741	✗	1.19
2026-03-11	oos	1.0715	1.0391	-3.02%	1.213	+13.21%	0.1374	✗	1.18
2026-03-10	oos	1.055	1.0224	-3.09%	1.296	+22.84%	0.1721	✗	1.18
2026-03-09	oos	1.021	0.992226	-2.82%	1.1645	+14.05%	0.0543	✗	1.17
2026-03-08	oos	1.019	0.998968	-1.97%	1.087	+6.67%	0.0340	✓	1.20
2026-03-07	oos	1.13	1.0994	-2.71%	1.107	-2.04%	0.0610	✓	1.18
2026-03-06	oos	1.14	1.1072	-2.88%	1.0995	-3.55%	0.0553	✓	1.18
2026-03-05	oos	1.2085	1.1701	-3.18%	1.1525	-4.63%	0.0092	✓	1.18
2026-03-04	oos	1.373	1.3366	-2.65%	1.0715	-21.96%	0.1811	✓	1.15
2026-03-03	oos	1.301	1.2655	-2.73%	1.055	-18.91%	0.2094	✓	1.17
2026-03-02	oos	1.357	1.3205	-2.69%	1.021	-24.76%	0.2504	✓	1.17
2026-03-01	oos	1.359	1.3263	-2.41%	1.019	-25.02%	0.2673	✓	1.22
2026-02-28	oos	1.38	1.3457	-2.49%	1.13	-18.12%	0.1800	✓	1.22
2026-02-27	oos	1.358	1.3268	-2.30%	1.14	-16.05%	0.1928	✓	1.22
2026-02-26	oos	1.4295	1.3948	-2.43%	1.2085	-15.46%	0.2032	✓	1.22
2026-02-25	oos	1.456	1.419	-2.54%	1.373	-5.70%	0.1142	✓	1.22
2026-02-24	oos	1.4305	1.4019	-2.00%	1.301	-9.05%	0.1581	✓	1.29
2026-02-23	oos	1.386	1.3592	-1.93%	1.357	-2.09%	0.0831	✓	1.29
2026-02-22	oos	1.4465	1.4119	-2.39%	1.359	-6.05%	0.0021	✓	1.30
2026-02-21	oos	1.514	1.4766	-2.47%	1.38	-8.85%	0.0486	✓	1.30
2026-02-20	oos	1.532	1.4944	-2.45%	1.358	-11.36%	0.0543	✓	1.31
2026-02-19	oos	1.476	1.4425	-2.27%	1.4295	-3.15%	0.0191	✓	1.30
2026-02-18	oos	1.445	1.4148	-2.09%	1.456	+0.76%	0.0017	✓	1.30
2026-02-17	oos	1.591	1.5544	-2.30%	1.4305	-10.09%	0.0164	✓	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	1.687	1.645	-2.49%	1.386	-17.84%	0.0899	✓	1.28
2026-02-15	oos	1.68	1.639	-2.44%	1.4465	-13.90%	0.1028	✓	1.28
2026-02-14	oos	1.645	1.6057	-2.39%	1.514	-7.96%	0.0246	✓	1.29
2026-02-13	oos	1.5985	1.5628	-2.23%	1.532	-4.16%	0.0078	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	1.426	1.4081	-1.26%	1.476	+3.51%	0.0356	✗	1.00
2026-02-11	oos	1.418	1.4015	-1.17%	1.445	+1.90%	0.0397	✗	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	1.471	1.4478	-1.58%	1.591	+8.16%	0.1139	✗	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	1.547	1.5175	-1.91%	1.687	+9.05%	0.1238	✗	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	1.62	1.5866	-2.06%	1.68	+3.70%	0.0786	✗	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	1.63	1.6002	-1.83%	1.645	+0.92%	0.0198	✗	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	1.664	1.6327	-1.88%	1.5985	-3.94%	0.0035	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	1.436	1.4618	+1.80%	1.426	-0.70%	0.0778	✗	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	1.576	1.5558	-1.28%	1.418	-10.03%	0.0074	✓	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	1.482	1.4666	-1.04%	1.471	-0.74%	0.0980	✗	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	1.593	1.5623	-1.93%	1.547	-2.89%	0.1055	✗	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	1.512	1.4967	-1.01%	1.62	+7.14%	0.1691	✗	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	1.564	1.541	-1.47%	1.63	+4.22%	0.1835	✗	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	1.723	1.6807	-2.46%	1.664	-3.42%	0.1661	✗	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	1.612	1.5751	-2.29%	1.436	-10.92%	0.2046	✗	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	1.99	1.9318	-2.92%	1.576	-20.80%	0.0035	✓	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	1.939	1.884	-2.84%	1.482	-23.57%	0.0763	✓	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	1.708	1.6647	-2.54%	1.593	-6.73%	0.0710	✗	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	1.5775	1.5441	-2.12%	1.512	-4.15%	0.0974	✗	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	1.806	1.7607	-2.51%	1.564	-13.40%	0.0061	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.