INIT

Initia · Initia · lstm_s0

token id: #164
symbol: INIT
variant: –
chain: Initia
address: uinit
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-24
predictions: 1,611

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

61.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2070

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0567

actual -0.0144

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.12675	0.114948	-9.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.1272	0.114976	-9.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.12365	0.111413	-9.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-18	oos	0.12605	0.113707	-9.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-17	oos	0.1242	0.112019	-9.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.1256	0.113564	-9.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.14145	0.1287	-9.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-14	oos	0.12675	0.115165	-9.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-13	oos	0.1239	0.112594	-9.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-10-12	oos	0.12075	0.109448	-9.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-10-11	oos	0.1177	0.106793	-9.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-10-10	oos	0.1178	0.106889	-9.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.1097	0.098987	-9.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-08	oos	0.11455	0.103666	-9.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-07	oos	0.117	0.106372	-9.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-06	oos	0.1128	0.102869	-8.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.1187	0.108892	-8.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-04	oos	0.11765	0.108264	-7.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.11285	0.103051	-8.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-02	oos	0.11015	0.100372	-8.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-01	oos	0.10505	0.095987	-8.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-09-30	oos	0.1037	0.094477	-8.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-09-29	oos	0.10295	0.093171	-9.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-09-28	oos	0.0897	0.083359	-7.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-09-27	oos	0.0897	0.083814	-6.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-26	oos	0.0942	0.085711	-9.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	0.09985	0.090324	-9.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	0.0999	0.090341	-9.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-23	oos	0.0887	0.082785	-6.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-09-22	oos	0.0902	0.08498	-5.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-09-21	oos	0.08265	0.079224	-4.15%	0.12675	+53.36%	0.5084	✗	0.83
2026-09-20	oos	0.0736	0.069719	-5.27%	0.1272	+72.83%	0.5860	✗	0.71
2026-09-19	oos	0.0758	0.071491	-5.68%	0.12365	+63.13%	0.5426	✗	0.71
2026-09-18	oos	0.0761	0.071595	-5.92%	0.12605	+65.64%	0.5556	✗	0.72
2026-09-17	oos	0.076	0.070587	-7.12%	0.1242	+63.42%	0.5150	✗	0.78
2026-09-16	oos	0.0683	0.064488	-5.58%	0.1256	+83.89%	0.6141	✗	0.77
2026-09-15	oos	0.0672	0.063468	-5.55%	0.14145	+110.49%	0.7385	✗	0.76
2026-09-14	oos	0.0697	0.065789	-5.61%	0.12675	+81.85%	0.6242	✗	0.74
2026-09-13	oos	0.06475	0.061304	-5.32%	0.1239	+91.35%	0.6484	✗	0.70
2026-09-12	oos	0.07005	0.065821	-6.04%	0.12075	+72.38%	0.5686	✗	0.68
2026-09-11	oos	0.0702	0.065946	-6.06%	0.1177	+67.66%	0.5247	✗	0.68
2026-09-10	oos	0.0701	0.065632	-6.37%	0.1178	+68.05%	0.5316	✗	0.67
2026-09-09	oos	0.06605	0.062833	-4.87%	0.1097	+66.09%	0.5190	✗	0.72
2026-09-08	oos	0.0659	0.062869	-4.60%	0.11455	+73.82%	0.5692	✗	0.76
2026-09-07	oos	0.0674	0.064532	-4.26%	0.117	+73.59%	0.5558	✗	0.76
2026-09-06	oos	0.06755	0.065561	-2.94%	0.1128	+66.99%	0.4944	✗	0.77
2026-09-05	oos	0.0677	0.066066	-2.41%	0.1187	+75.33%	0.5319	✗	0.76
2026-09-04	oos	0.0634	0.061985	-2.23%	0.11765	+85.57%	0.5796	✗	0.74
2026-09-03	oos	0.06185	0.061562	-0.47%	0.11285	+82.46%	0.5734	✗	0.78
2026-09-02	oos	0.06125	0.060375	-1.43%	0.11015	+79.84%	0.5261	✗	0.84
2026-09-01	oos	0.05935	0.059176	-0.29%	0.10505	+77.00%	0.4944	✗	0.86
2026-08-31	oos	0.0588	0.059666	+1.47%	0.1037	+76.36%	0.5027	✓	0.81
2026-08-30	oos	0.0543	0.054142	-0.29%	0.10295	+89.59%	0.5760	✗	0.90
2026-08-29	oos	0.05705	0.057626	+1.01%	0.0897	+57.23%	0.3851	✓	0.89
2026-08-28	oos	0.0536	0.053706	+0.20%	0.0897	+67.35%	0.4415	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.05465	0.055965	+2.41%	0.0942	+72.37%	0.4758	✓	0.89
2026-08-26	oos	0.0547	0.056415	+3.14%	0.09985	+82.54%	0.5151	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.0537	0.056181	+4.62%	0.0999	+86.03%	0.5101	✓	0.91
2026-08-24	oos	0.05445	0.058067	+6.64%	0.0887	+62.90%	0.3594	✓	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.0568	0.061306	+7.93%	0.0902	+58.80%	0.2821	✓	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.05545	0.059451	+7.22%	0.08265	+49.05%	0.2125	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.05775	0.063688	+10.28%	0.0736	+27.45%	0.1094	✓	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.05485	0.056715	+3.40%	0.0758	+38.20%	0.1806	✓	1.03
2026-08-19	oos	0.05335	0.052063	-2.41%	0.0761	+42.64%	0.2122	✗	1.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.05115	0.048033	-6.09%	0.076	+48.58%	0.2671	✗	1.16
2026-08-17	oos	0.05135	0.048146	-6.24%	0.0683	+33.01%	0.1562	✗	1.16
2026-08-16	oos	0.0509	0.047597	-6.49%	0.0672	+32.02%	0.1267	✗	1.18
2026-08-15	oos	0.0515	0.048114	-6.57%	0.0697	+35.34%	0.1163	✗	1.18
2026-08-14	oos	0.0512	0.047811	-6.62%	0.06475	+26.46%	0.0694	✗	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.0516	0.048125	-6.73%	0.07005	+35.76%	0.1413	✗	1.19
2026-08-12	oos	0.0512	0.047737	-6.76%	0.0702	+37.11%	0.1465	✗	1.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.0524	0.048831	-6.81%	0.0701	+33.78%	0.1435	✗	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.05255	0.04907	-6.62%	0.06605	+25.69%	0.0558	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.0537	0.050282	-6.37%	0.0659	+22.72%	0.0476	✓	1.17
2026-08-08	oos	0.0531	0.049644	-6.51%	0.0674	+26.93%	0.0741	✗	1.17
2026-08-07	oos	0.0511	0.047791	-6.48%	0.06755	+32.19%	0.1073	✗	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.05085	0.047499	-6.59%	0.0677	+33.14%	0.1071	✗	1.14
2026-08-05	oos	0.05065	0.047316	-6.58%	0.0634	+25.17%	0.0555	✓	1.13
2026-08-04	oos	0.0494	0.046054	-6.77%	0.06185	+25.20%	0.0424	✓	1.06
2026-08-03	oos	0.0498	0.046261	-7.11%	0.06125	+22.99%	0.0646	✓	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0501	0.046451	-7.28%	0.05935	+18.46%	0.0287	✓	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	0.0514	0.047497	-7.59%	0.0588	+14.40%	0.0352	✓	1.11
2026-07-31	oos	0.04935	0.045617	-7.56%	0.0543	+10.03%	0.0602	✓	1.11
2026-07-30	oos	0.0484	0.044747	-7.55%	0.05705	+17.87%	0.0242	✓	1.15
2026-07-29	oos	0.0481	0.044248	-8.01%	0.0536	+11.43%	0.0312	✓	1.13
2026-07-28	oos	0.04935	0.045225	-8.36%	0.05465	+10.74%	0.0695	✓	1.13
2026-07-27	oos	0.0509	0.04644	-8.76%	0.0547	+7.47%	0.0821	✓	1.14
2026-07-26	oos	0.0544	0.049798	-8.46%	0.0537	-1.29%	0.1244	✓	1.09
2026-07-25	oos	0.0554	0.050473	-8.89%	0.05445	-1.71%	0.1501	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.0551	0.050317	-8.68%	0.0568	+3.09%	0.0911	✓	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.0558	0.051393	-7.90%	0.05545	-0.63%	0.1098	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.0556	0.052195	-6.12%	0.05775	+3.87%	0.0821	✓	1.08
2026-07-21	oos	0.05515	0.052392	-5.00%	0.05485	-0.54%	0.0546	✓	1.08
2026-07-20	oos	0.054	0.050179	-7.08%	0.05335	-1.20%	0.0021	✓	1.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.05235	0.048382	-7.58%	0.05115	-2.29%	0.0556	✓	1.02
2026-07-18	oos	0.0527	0.048828	-7.35%	0.05135	-2.56%	0.0556	✓	1.06
2026-07-17	oos	0.05255	0.048428	-7.84%	0.0509	-3.14%	0.0680	✓	1.09
2026-07-16	oos	0.053	0.048908	-7.72%	0.0515	-2.83%	0.0642	✓	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.0545	0.050844	-6.71%	0.0512	-6.06%	0.0361	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.05485	0.051507	-6.10%	0.0516	-5.93%	0.0280	✓	1.08
2026-07-13	oos	0.0534	0.049239	-7.79%	0.0512	-4.12%	0.0187	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.0552	0.051536	-6.64%	0.0524	-5.07%	0.0203	✓	1.11
2026-07-11	oos	0.05625	0.052629	-6.44%	0.05255	-6.58%	0.0039	✓	1.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.05695	0.053495	-6.07%	0.0537	-5.71%	0.0087	✓	1.12
2026-07-09	oos	0.0555	0.051904	-6.48%	0.0531	-4.32%	0.0074	✓	1.12
2026-07-08	oos	0.0547	0.051073	-6.63%	0.0511	-6.58%	0.0467	✓	1.13
2026-07-07	oos	0.055	0.051762	-5.89%	0.05085	-7.55%	0.0345	✓	1.13
2026-07-06	oos	0.05735	0.054308	-5.30%	0.05065	-11.68%	0.0802	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.058	0.054865	-5.41%	0.0494	-14.83%	0.1123	✓	1.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.0584	0.055146	-5.57%	0.0498	-14.73%	0.1080	✓	1.01
2026-07-03	oos	0.0583	0.055038	-5.60%	0.0501	-14.07%	0.1092	✓	0.98
2026-07-02	oos	0.0571	0.053786	-5.80%	0.0514	-9.98%	0.0654	✓	0.97
2026-07-01	oos	0.0574	0.053755	-6.35%	0.04935	-14.02%	0.1318	✓	0.99
2026-06-30	oos	0.0524	0.04881	-6.85%	0.0484	-7.63%	0.1009	✓	0.92
2026-06-29	oos	0.05355	0.05028	-6.11%	0.0481	-10.18%	0.0999	✓	0.92
2026-06-28	oos	0.05205	0.048827	-6.19%	0.04935	-5.19%	0.0524	✓	0.89
2026-06-27	oos	0.0525	0.049384	-5.94%	0.0509	-3.05%	0.0234	✓	0.88
2026-06-26	oos	0.05515	0.052027	-5.66%	0.0544	-1.36%	0.0306	✓	0.88
2026-06-25	oos	0.05175	0.048638	-6.01%	0.0554	+7.05%	0.0656	✗	0.87
2026-06-24	oos	0.0534	0.050324	-5.76%	0.0551	+3.18%	0.0454	✓	0.91
2026-06-23	oos	0.0592	0.05595	-5.49%	0.0558	-5.74%	0.0330	✓	0.80
2026-06-22	oos	0.0585	0.055229	-5.59%	0.0556	-4.96%	0.0199	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	0.0557	0.052347	-6.02%	0.05515	-0.99%	0.0124	✓	0.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.05695	0.053474	-6.10%	0.054	-5.18%	0.0026	✓	0.81
2026-06-19	oos	0.05785	0.054331	-6.08%	0.05235	-9.51%	0.0524	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.05965	0.056151	-5.87%	0.0527	-11.65%	0.0883	✓	0.83
2026-06-17	oos	0.0598	0.056349	-5.77%	0.05255	-12.12%	0.0626	✓	0.83
2026-06-16	oos	0.0603	0.056947	-5.56%	0.053	-12.11%	0.0475	✓	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	0.0587	0.05543	-5.57%	0.0545	-7.16%	0.0047	✓	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.0597	0.056577	-5.23%	0.05485	-8.12%	0.0211	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	0.05885	0.055905	-5.00%	0.0534	-9.26%	0.0163	✓	0.86
2026-06-12	oos	0.06025	0.057517	-4.54%	0.0552	-8.38%	0.0439	✓	0.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.058	0.055254	-4.73%	0.05625	-3.02%	0.0150	✓	0.88
2026-06-10	oos	0.0545	0.052064	-4.47%	0.05695	+4.50%	0.0540	✗	0.84
2026-06-09	oos	0.05695	0.054477	-4.34%	0.0555	-2.55%	0.0013	✓	0.83
2026-06-08	oos	0.0581	0.055153	-5.07%	0.0547	-5.85%	0.0029	✓	0.84
2026-06-07	oos	0.0542	0.051111	-5.70%	0.055	+1.48%	0.0731	✗	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0532	0.050259	-5.53%	0.05735	+7.80%	0.0891	✗	0.85
2026-06-05	oos	0.0554	0.052509	-5.22%	0.058	+4.69%	0.0643	✗	0.86
2026-06-04	oos	0.0586	0.055627	-5.07%	0.0584	-0.34%	0.0582	✗	0.84
2026-06-03	oos	0.065	0.061823	-4.89%	0.0583	-10.31%	0.0413	✓	0.72
2026-06-02	oos	0.0639	0.060839	-4.79%	0.0571	-10.64%	0.0033	✓	0.74
2026-06-01	oos	0.072	0.067904	-5.69%	0.0574	-20.28%	0.0924	✓	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.074	0.069406	-6.21%	0.0524	-29.19%	0.1862	✓	0.41
2026-05-30	oos	0.0687	0.064172	-6.59%	0.05355	-22.05%	0.0836	✓	0.48
2026-05-29	oos	0.0628	0.058251	-7.24%	0.05205	-17.12%	0.0097	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.0632	0.05876	-7.03%	0.0525	-16.93%	0.0145	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.06715	0.062303	-7.22%	0.05515	-17.87%	0.0236	✓	0.46
2026-05-26	oos	0.07775	0.072148	-7.21%	0.05175	-33.44%	0.2412	✓	0.38
2026-05-25	oos	0.0817	0.076304	-6.60%	0.0534	-34.64%	0.2798	✓	0.33
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.075973	-6.55%	0.0592	-27.18%	0.1802	✓	0.34
2026-05-23	oos	0.083	0.077655	-6.44%	0.0585	-29.52%	0.2157	✓	0.37
2026-05-22	oos	0.0809	0.075459	-6.73%	0.0557	-31.15%	0.2379	✓	0.37
2026-05-21	oos	0.086	0.080832	-6.01%	0.05695	-33.78%	0.2859	✓	0.34
2026-05-20	oos	0.085	0.079853	-6.06%	0.05785	-31.94%	0.2548	✓	0.34
2026-05-19	oos	0.08305	0.077532	-6.64%	0.05965	-28.18%	0.1956	✓	0.33
2026-05-18	oos	0.0843	0.078893	-6.41%	0.0598	-29.06%	0.2109	✓	0.37
2026-05-17	oos	0.08425	0.078774	-6.50%	0.0603	-28.43%	0.1965	✓	0.43
2026-05-16	oos	0.08525	0.079795	-6.40%	0.0587	-31.14%	0.2371	✓	0.43
2026-05-15	oos	0.08845	0.083045	-6.11%	0.0597	-32.50%	0.2836	✓	0.25
2026-05-14	oos	0.09495	0.089716	-5.51%	0.05885	-38.02%	0.3728	✓	0.21
2026-05-13	oos	0.0977	0.092231	-5.60%	0.06025	-38.33%	0.3820	✓	0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.1042	0.098483	-5.49%	0.058	-44.34%	0.4893	✓	0.17
2026-05-11	oos	0.102	0.097168	-4.74%	0.0545	-46.57%	0.5411	✓	0.13
2026-05-10	oos	0.1052	0.100721	-4.26%	0.05695	-45.87%	0.5326	✓	0.13
2026-05-09	oos	0.1108	0.104791	-5.42%	0.0581	-47.56%	0.5511	✓	0.16
2026-05-08	oos	0.1024	0.098077	-4.22%	0.0542	-47.07%	0.5612	✓	0.13
2026-05-07	oos	0.10995	0.104294	-5.14%	0.0532	-51.61%	0.6379	✓	0.13
2026-05-06	oos	0.09985	0.096108	-3.75%	0.0554	-44.52%	0.4411	✓	0.38
2026-05-05	oos	0.0906	0.08683	-4.16%	0.0586	-35.32%	0.2536	✓	0.59
2026-05-04	oos	0.09	0.086002	-4.44%	0.065	-27.78%	0.1441	✓	0.62
2026-05-03	oos	0.089	0.084651	-4.89%	0.0639	-28.20%	0.1788	✓	0.62
2026-05-02	oos	0.0891	0.085046	-4.55%	0.072	-19.19%	0.1059	✓	0.62
2026-05-01	oos	0.0905	0.086755	-4.14%	0.074	-18.23%	0.1203	✓	0.63
2026-04-30	oos	0.0909	0.086705	-4.62%	0.0687	-24.42%	0.2070	✓	0.76
2026-04-29	oos	0.0909	0.086666	-4.66%	0.0628	-30.91%	0.2980	✓	0.75
2026-04-28	oos	0.09465	0.090778	-4.09%	0.0632	-33.23%	0.3327	✓	0.78
2026-04-27	oos	0.09035	0.087343	-3.33%	0.06715	-25.68%	0.2310	✓	0.79
2026-04-26	oos	0.0907	0.088783	-2.11%	0.07775	-14.28%	0.1033	✓	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.08925	0.087039	-2.48%	0.0817	-8.46%	0.0592	✓	0.79
2026-04-24	oos	0.09285	0.090345	-2.70%	0.0813	-12.44%	0.1006	✓	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	0.0851	0.082697	-2.82%	0.083	-2.47%	0.0203	✓	0.79
2026-04-22	oos	0.0885	0.086115	-2.69%	0.0809	-8.59%	0.0340	✓	0.79
2026-04-21	oos	0.0899	0.087022	-3.20%	0.086	-4.34%	0.0243	✓	0.80
2026-04-20	oos	0.09465	0.091631	-3.19%	0.085	-10.20%	0.0921	✓	0.81
2026-04-19	oos	0.0884	0.08487	-3.99%	0.08305	-6.05%	0.0535	✓	0.81
2026-04-18	oos	0.0941	0.091717	-2.53%	0.0843	-10.41%	0.0972	✓	0.81
2026-04-17	oos	0.0904	0.088011	-2.64%	0.08425	-6.80%	0.0469	✓	0.82
2026-04-16	oos	0.0869	0.083979	-3.36%	0.08525	-1.90%	0.0162	✓	0.81
2026-04-15	oos	0.08345	0.080494	-3.54%	0.08845	+5.99%	0.0498	✗	0.81
2026-04-14	oos	0.0801	0.076789	-4.13%	0.09495	+18.54%	0.1411	✗	0.80
2026-04-13	oos	0.0797	0.076494	-4.02%	0.0977	+22.58%	0.1941	✗	0.80
2026-04-12	oos	0.0765	0.072238	-5.57%	0.1042	+36.21%	0.2588	✗	0.84
2026-04-11	oos	0.0826	0.07867	-4.76%	0.102	+23.49%	0.1688	✗	0.81
2026-04-10	oos	0.0837	0.079618	-4.88%	0.1052	+25.69%	0.1823	✗	0.81
2026-04-09	oos	0.0802	0.075804	-5.48%	0.1108	+38.15%	0.2859	✗	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	0.08205	0.077488	-5.56%	0.1024	+24.80%	0.1812	✗	0.81
2026-04-07	oos	0.0819	0.077644	-5.20%	0.10995	+34.25%	0.2614	✗	0.81
2026-04-06	oos	0.08505	0.080162	-5.75%	0.09985	+17.40%	0.0760	✗	0.86
2026-04-05	oos	0.0797	0.075128	-5.74%	0.0906	+13.68%	0.0513	✓	0.85
2026-04-04	oos	0.0819	0.077119	-5.84%	0.09	+9.89%	0.0070	✓	0.86
2026-04-03	oos	0.0825	0.077763	-5.74%	0.089	+7.88%	0.0031	✓	0.86
2026-04-02	oos	0.08035	0.075854	-5.59%	0.0891	+10.89%	0.0206	✓	0.87
2026-04-01	oos	0.07855	0.074181	-5.56%	0.0905	+15.21%	0.0772	✗	0.88
2026-03-31	oos	0.0754	0.071173	-5.61%	0.0909	+20.56%	0.1460	✗	0.88
2026-03-30	oos	0.077	0.072465	-5.89%	0.0909	+18.05%	0.1133	✗	0.89
2026-03-29	oos	0.0781	0.073413	-6.00%	0.09465	+21.19%	0.1234	✗	0.90
2026-03-28	oos	0.0795	0.074735	-5.99%	0.09035	+13.65%	0.0521	✓	0.89
2026-03-27	oos	0.0769	0.072382	-5.87%	0.0907	+17.95%	0.0740	✗	0.89
2026-03-26	oos	0.0834	0.078755	-5.57%	0.08925	+7.01%	0.0207	✓	0.86
2026-03-25	oos	0.082	0.077961	-4.93%	0.09285	+13.23%	0.1015	✗	0.88
2026-03-24	oos	0.0848	0.080564	-5.00%	0.0851	+0.35%	0.0379	✓	0.89
2026-03-23	oos	0.0807	0.076312	-5.44%	0.0885	+9.67%	0.0605	✗	0.89
2026-03-22	oos	0.0767	0.07205	-6.06%	0.0899	+17.21%	0.1169	✗	0.88
2026-03-21	oos	0.077	0.072164	-6.28%	0.09465	+22.92%	0.1860	✗	0.89
2026-03-20	oos	0.0796	0.074708	-6.15%	0.0884	+11.06%	0.1277	✗	0.88
2026-03-19	oos	0.0815	0.07646	-6.18%	0.0941	+15.46%	0.1368	✗	0.89
2026-03-18	oos	0.0855	0.080657	-5.66%	0.0904	+5.73%	0.0426	✓	0.90
2026-03-17	oos	0.0928	0.089501	-3.56%	0.0869	-6.36%	0.0441	✓	0.89
2026-03-16	oos	0.0899	0.087317	-2.87%	0.08345	-7.17%	0.0447	✓	0.90
2026-03-15	oos	0.092	0.088259	-4.07%	0.0801	-12.93%	0.1140	✓	0.92
2026-03-14	oos	0.0915	0.086942	-4.98%	0.0797	-12.90%	0.1281	✓	0.93
2026-03-13	oos	0.0845	0.080235	-5.05%	0.0765	-9.47%	0.0452	✓	0.93
2026-03-12	oos	0.0896	0.085115	-5.01%	0.0826	-7.81%	0.0635	✓	0.94
2026-03-11	oos	0.0895	0.084624	-5.45%	0.0837	-6.48%	0.0479	✓	0.95
2026-03-10	oos	0.0844	0.079673	-5.60%	0.0802	-4.98%	0.0178	✓	0.94
2026-03-09	oos	0.0813	0.076331	-6.11%	0.08205	+0.92%	0.0366	✓	0.94
2026-03-08	oos	0.0811	0.075781	-6.56%	0.0819	+0.99%	0.0052	✓	0.96
2026-03-07	oos	0.0846	0.079553	-5.97%	0.08505	+0.53%	0.0444	✓	0.96
2026-03-06	oos	0.0871	0.082112	-5.73%	0.0797	-8.50%	0.0420	✓	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.081	0.076682	-5.33%	0.0819	+1.11%	0.1172	✗	0.99
2026-03-04	oos	0.0789	0.075046	-4.88%	0.0825	+4.56%	0.1767	✗	1.00
2026-03-03	oos	0.0837	0.078889	-5.75%	0.08035	-4.00%	0.0419	✓	1.10
2026-03-02	oos	0.0803	0.075678	-5.76%	0.07855	-2.18%	0.0487	✓	1.09
2026-03-01	oos	0.0754	0.070094	-7.04%	0.0754	+0.00%	0.0345	✓	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.07965	0.074677	-6.24%	0.077	-3.33%	0.0344	✓	1.09
2026-02-27	oos	0.081	0.075805	-6.41%	0.0781	-3.58%	0.0282	✓	1.10
2026-02-26	oos	0.0817	0.076567	-6.28%	0.0795	-2.69%	0.0569	✓	1.10
2026-02-25	oos	0.08175	0.076412	-6.53%	0.0769	-5.93%	0.0333	✓	1.10
2026-02-24	oos	0.0819	0.075936	-7.28%	0.0834	+1.83%	0.0105	✓	1.18
2026-02-23	oos	0.0855	0.079051	-7.54%	0.082	-4.09%	0.0780	✓	1.17
2026-02-22	oos	0.08975	0.082683	-7.87%	0.0848	-5.52%	0.0240	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.09425	0.086235	-8.50%	0.0807	-14.38%	0.1152	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.10055	0.091331	-9.17%	0.0767	-23.72%	0.1722	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.10105	0.092086	-8.87%	0.077	-23.80%	0.2123	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.1018	0.09319	-8.46%	0.0796	-21.81%	0.2289	✓	1.20
2026-02-17	oos	0.1134	0.103219	-8.98%	0.0815	-28.13%	0.2750	✓	1.09
2026-02-16	oos	0.1273	0.104554	-17.87%	0.0855	-32.84%	0.2373	✓	1.06
2026-02-15	oos	0.1092	0.093739	-14.16%	0.0928	-15.02%	0.0858	✓	1.05
2026-02-14	oos	0.07075	0.066855	-5.51%	0.0899	+27.07%	0.2177	✗	1.11
2026-02-13	oos	0.06925	0.065535	-5.37%	0.092	+32.85%	0.2760	✗	1.11
2026-02-12	oos	0.0711	0.067442	-5.14%	0.0915	+28.69%	0.2204	✗	1.16
2026-02-11	oos	0.0707	0.066904	-5.37%	0.0845	+19.52%	0.1688	✗	1.14
2026-02-10	oos	0.06575	0.061705	-6.15%	0.0896	+36.27%	0.3440	✗	1.17
2026-02-09	oos	0.06655	0.062524	-6.05%	0.0895	+34.49%	0.3569	✗	1.16
2026-02-08	oos	0.06785	0.063936	-5.77%	0.0844	+24.39%	0.2830	✗	1.18
2026-02-07	oos	0.0708	0.066801	-5.65%	0.0813	+14.83%	0.2105	✗	1.19
2026-02-06	oos	0.0695	0.065349	-5.97%	0.0811	+16.69%	0.2954	✗	1.19
2026-02-05	oos	0.06115	0.057801	-5.48%	0.0846	+38.35%	0.2981	✗	1.21
2026-02-04	oos	0.0721	0.068143	-5.49%	0.0871	+20.80%	0.3377	✗	1.33
2026-02-03	oos	0.0781	0.073861	-5.43%	0.081	+3.71%	0.1770	✗	1.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.08125	0.076514	-5.83%	0.0789	-2.89%	0.1343	✗	1.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.0821	0.077724	-5.33%	0.0837	+1.95%	0.2302	✗	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.0874	0.08262	-5.47%	0.0803	-8.12%	0.1530	✗	1.36
2026-01-30	oos	0.1072	0.098848	-7.79%	0.0754	-29.66%	0.0190	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.0885	0.083372	-5.79%	0.07965	-10.00%	0.2310	✗	1.19
2026-01-28	oos	0.0975	0.091639	-6.01%	0.081	-16.92%	0.2200	✗	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.092	0.086878	-5.57%	0.0817	-11.20%	0.2628	✗	1.17
2026-01-26	oos	0.0896	0.084926	-5.22%	0.08175	-8.76%	0.2633	✗	1.16
2026-01-25	oos	0.0903	0.085767	-5.02%	0.0819	-9.30%	0.3070	✗	1.17
2026-01-24	oos	0.0895	0.08466	-5.41%	0.0855	-4.47%	0.3975	✗	1.21
2026-01-23	oos	0.0814	0.076688	-5.79%	0.08975	+10.26%	0.4960	✗	1.21
2026-01-22	oos	0.0805	0.075644	-6.03%	0.09425	+17.08%	0.5514	✗	1.21
2026-01-21	oos	0.0808	0.075806	-6.18%	0.10055	+24.44%	0.6145	✗	1.21
2026-01-20	oos	0.0791	0.074116	-6.30%	0.10105	+27.75%	0.6479	✗	1.22
2026-01-19	oos	0.0852	0.080029	-6.07%	0.1018	+19.48%	0.6428	✗	1.21
2026-01-18	oos	0.0938	0.088416	-5.74%	0.1134	+20.90%	0.6470	✗	1.21
2026-01-17	oos	0.0925	0.087586	-5.31%	0.1273	+37.62%	0.7683	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.0959	0.09148	-4.61%	0.1092	+13.87%	0.5798	✗	1.23
2026-01-15	oos	0.0951	0.091136	-4.17%	0.07075	-25.60%	0.1335	✗	1.23
2026-01-14	oos	0.0926	0.088992	-3.90%	0.06925	-25.22%	0.1765	✗	1.25
2026-01-13	oos	0.0902	0.085714	-4.97%	0.0711	-21.18%	0.2670	✗	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	0.0819	0.076932	-6.07%	0.0707	-13.68%	0.2836	✗	1.20
2026-01-11	oos	0.0867	0.081555	-5.93%	0.06575	-24.16%	0.1251	✗	1.22
2026-01-10	oos	0.089	0.083256	-6.45%	0.06655	-25.22%	0.0913	✗	1.24
2026-01-09	oos	0.0913	0.085233	-6.64%	0.06785	-25.68%	0.1036	✗	1.31
2026-01-08	oos	0.092	0.085755	-6.79%	0.0708	-23.04%	0.1772	✗	1.35
2026-01-07	oos	0.0927	0.086234	-6.97%	0.0695	-25.03%	0.2866	✗	1.95
2026-01-06	oos	0.0964	0.089986	-6.65%	0.06115	-36.57%	0.3992	✗	1.96
2026-01-05	oos	0.0978	0.091264	-6.68%	0.0721	-26.28%	0.2583	✗	1.96
2026-01-04	oos	0.0982	0.090849	-7.49%	0.0781	-20.47%	0.2305	✗	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0966	0.089269	-7.59%	0.08125	-15.89%	0.1914	✗	2.02
2026-01-02	oos	0.0943	0.087109	-7.63%	0.0821	-12.94%	0.2561	✗	2.01
2026-01-01	oos	0.0901	0.083158	-7.70%	0.0874	-3.00%	0.2907	✗	2.00
2025-12-31	oos	0.0872	0.080433	-7.76%	0.1072	+22.94%	0.3653	✗	1.98
2025-12-30	oos	0.0892	0.082403	-7.62%	0.0885	-0.78%	0.1609	✗	1.99
2025-12-29	oos	0.0893	0.082472	-7.65%	0.0975	+9.18%	0.1215	✗	1.97
2025-12-28	oos	0.0881	0.081777	-7.18%	0.092	+4.43%	0.0901	✗	1.98
2025-12-27	oos	0.0933	0.087125	-6.62%	0.0896	-3.97%	0.0182	✓	1.95
2025-12-26	oos	0.1036	0.095359	-7.95%	0.0903	-12.84%	0.0378	✓	1.97
2025-12-25	oos	0.0909	0.084197	-7.37%	0.0895	-1.54%	0.0185	✓	1.96
2025-12-24	oos	0.0837	0.07775	-7.11%	0.0814	-2.75%	0.0042	✓	1.98
2025-12-23	oos	0.0834	0.077547	-7.02%	0.0805	-3.48%	0.0080	✓	1.97
2025-12-22	oos	0.0843	0.078581	-6.78%	0.0808	-4.15%	0.0099	✓	1.98
2025-12-21	oos	0.0837	0.078327	-6.42%	0.0791	-5.50%	0.0172	✓	1.98
2025-12-20	oos	0.0871	0.081903	-5.97%	0.0852	-2.18%	0.0545	✓	2.01
2025-12-19	oos	0.0846	0.079439	-6.10%	0.0938	+10.87%	0.0441	✓	2.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.0769	0.071291	-7.29%	0.0925	+20.29%	0.0498	✓	1.97
2025-12-17	oos	0.0816	0.075377	-7.63%	0.0959	+17.52%	0.0391	✓	1.97
2025-12-16	oos	0.0862	0.080174	-6.99%	0.0951	+10.32%	0.0037	✓	1.98
2025-12-15	oos	0.0831	0.077206	-7.09%	0.0926	+11.43%	0.0453	✓	1.97
2025-12-14	oos	0.0849	0.079373	-6.51%	0.0902	+6.24%	0.0289	✓	1.99
2025-12-13	oos	0.0891	0.083686	-6.08%	0.0819	-8.08%	0.0421	✓	2.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.0865	0.081083	-6.26%	0.0867	+0.23%	0.0539	✓	1.99
2025-12-11	oos	0.0906	0.085676	-5.43%	0.089	-1.77%	0.0855	✗	2.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.0937	0.088853	-5.17%	0.0913	-2.56%	0.0607	✗	2.01
2025-12-09	oos	0.0984	0.093761	-4.71%	0.092	-6.50%	0.0175	✓	2.01
2025-12-08	oos	0.0939	0.089162	-5.05%	0.0927	-1.28%	0.0252	✓	1.99
2025-12-07	oos	0.0905	0.08574	-5.26%	0.0964	+6.52%	0.0455	✓	1.99
2025-12-06	oos	0.0992	0.093943	-5.30%	0.0978	-1.41%	0.0624	✓	2.04
2025-12-05	oos	0.1004	0.095234	-5.15%	0.0982	-2.19%	0.0180	✓	2.05
2025-12-04	oos	0.1028	0.09774	-4.92%	0.0966	-6.03%	0.0223	✓	2.08
2025-12-03	oos	0.1024	0.097368	-4.91%	0.0943	-7.91%	0.0478	✓	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.104	0.098789	-5.01%	0.0901	-13.37%	0.0313	✓	2.13
2025-12-01	oos	0.1018	0.096243	-5.46%	0.0872	-14.34%	0.1304	✓	2.27
2025-11-30	oos	0.11615	0.110169	-5.15%	0.0892	-23.20%	0.1615	✓	2.25
2025-11-29	oos	0.1147	0.108625	-5.30%	0.0893	-22.14%	0.1026	✓	2.23
2025-11-28	oos	0.117	0.11077	-5.32%	0.0881	-24.70%	0.1533	✓	2.24
2025-11-27	oos	0.12195	0.115418	-5.36%	0.0933	-23.49%	0.1253	✓	2.23
2025-11-26	oos	0.1107	0.104441	-5.65%	0.1036	-6.41%	0.0694	✗	2.17
2025-11-25	oos	0.10765	0.101451	-5.76%	0.0909	-15.56%	0.1059	✓	2.22
2025-11-24	oos	0.1077	0.101383	-5.87%	0.0837	-22.28%	0.1750	✓	2.23
2025-11-23	oos	0.1068	0.100678	-5.73%	0.0834	-21.91%	0.2043	✓	2.25
2025-11-22	oos	0.1046	0.098946	-5.41%	0.0843	-19.41%	0.2643	✓	2.33
2025-11-21	oos	0.11085	0.105191	-5.11%	0.0837	-24.49%	0.3240	✓	2.32
2025-11-20	oos	0.12875	0.121477	-5.65%	0.0871	-32.35%	0.3792	✓	2.27
2025-11-19	oos	0.1194	0.112303	-5.94%	0.0846	-29.15%	0.1856	✓	2.60
2025-11-18	oos	0.11875	0.111581	-6.04%	0.0769	-35.24%	0.1531	✓	2.62
2025-11-17	oos	0.1188	0.111702	-5.97%	0.0816	-31.31%	0.1400	✓	2.63
2025-11-16	oos	0.1203	0.11294	-6.12%	0.0862	-28.35%	0.0862	✓	2.65
2025-11-15	oos	0.12525	0.117419	-6.25%	0.0831	-33.65%	0.0795	✓	2.65
2025-11-14	oos	0.12055	0.113364	-5.96%	0.0849	-29.57%	0.1056	✓	2.65
2025-11-13	oos	0.12405	0.116349	-6.21%	0.0891	-28.17%	0.0118	✓	2.82
2025-11-12	oos	0.1265	0.11859	-6.25%	0.0865	-31.62%	0.0227	✓	2.85
2025-11-11	oos	0.12335	0.115587	-6.29%	0.0906	-26.55%	0.0649	✓	2.88
2025-11-10	oos	0.1325	0.124227	-6.24%	0.0937	-29.28%	0.1253	✗	2.89
2025-11-09	oos	0.1318	0.123399	-6.37%	0.0984	-25.34%	0.1285	✗	2.91
2025-11-08	oos	0.13105	0.121955	-6.94%	0.0939	-28.35%	0.0955	✗	2.96
2025-11-07	oos	0.13305	0.123813	-6.94%	0.0905	-31.98%	0.0742	✗	2.91
2025-11-06	oos	0.11655	0.108099	-7.25%	0.0992	-14.89%	0.2752	✗	2.86
2025-11-05	oos	0.1192	0.110806	-7.04%	0.1004	-15.77%	0.3362	✗	2.89
2025-11-04	oos	0.1159	0.107874	-6.92%	0.1028	-11.30%	0.2315	✗	2.89
2025-11-03	oos	0.12235	0.113412	-7.31%	0.1024	-16.31%	0.2962	✗	3.04
2025-11-02	oos	0.1377	0.128757	-6.49%	0.104	-24.47%	0.3685	✗	3.05
2025-11-01	oos	0.1366	0.127607	-6.58%	0.1018	-25.48%	0.5188	✗	3.06
2025-10-31	oos	0.13465	0.125365	-6.90%	0.11615	-13.74%	0.5185	✗	3.09
2025-10-30	oos	0.13705	0.127954	-6.64%	0.1147	-16.31%	0.4372	✗	3.11
2025-10-29	oos	0.15495	0.146319	-5.57%	0.117	-24.49%	0.3668	✗	3.09
2025-10-28	oos	0.15895	0.150513	-5.31%	0.12195	-23.28%	0.4493	✗	3.11
2025-10-27	oos	0.1626	0.154039	-5.26%	0.1107	-31.92%	0.3920	✗	3.11
2025-10-26	oos	0.17405	0.165115	-5.13%	0.10765	-38.15%	0.4158	✗	3.11
2025-10-25	oos	0.1703	0.160923	-5.51%	0.1077	-36.76%	0.3424	✗	3.16
2025-10-24	oos	0.17225	0.162605	-5.60%	0.1068	-38.00%	0.3607	✗	3.17
2025-10-23	oos	0.16635	0.156607	-5.86%	0.1046	-37.12%	0.4279	✗	3.17
2025-10-22	oos	0.1597	0.15005	-6.04%	0.11085	-30.59%	0.4416	✗	3.17
2025-10-21	oos	0.16755	0.157559	-5.96%	0.12875	-23.16%	0.5131	✗	3.18
2025-10-20	oos	0.18075	0.170366	-5.74%	0.1194	-33.94%	0.2447	✗	3.16
2025-10-19	oos	0.18085	0.170965	-5.47%	0.11875	-34.34%	0.1242	✗	3.12
2025-10-18	oos	0.1752	0.166062	-5.22%	0.1188	-32.19%	0.1387	✗	3.12
2025-10-17	oos	0.17315	0.164117	-5.22%	0.1203	-30.52%	0.0692	✗	3.10
2025-10-16	oos	0.17735	0.167945	-5.30%	0.12525	-29.38%	0.0943	✗	3.12
2025-10-15	oos	0.18455	0.174383	-5.51%	0.12055	-34.68%	0.1335	✗	3.16
2025-10-14	oos	0.19615	0.185607	-5.37%	0.12405	-36.76%	0.0027	✓	3.16
2025-10-13	oos	0.21035	0.198763	-5.51%	0.1265	-39.86%	0.0559	✓	3.15
2025-10-12	oos	0.19355	0.182717	-5.60%	0.12335	-36.27%	0.0473	✓	3.12
2025-10-11	oos	0.1742	0.165033	-5.26%	0.1325	-23.94%	0.0818	✓	3.12
2025-10-10	oos	0.1943	0.181308	-6.69%	0.1318	-32.17%	0.0829	✓	3.10
2025-10-09	oos	0.30795	0.292669	-4.96%	0.13105	-57.44%	0.4018	✓	2.31
2025-10-08	oos	0.3221	0.309756	-3.83%	0.13305	-58.69%	0.4402	✓	2.28
2025-10-07	oos	0.3124	0.297864	-4.65%	0.11655	-62.69%	0.4495	✓	2.70
2025-10-06	oos	0.339	0.330582	-2.48%	0.1192	-64.84%	0.5282	✓	2.69
2025-10-05	oos	0.3204	0.312394	-2.50%	0.1159	-63.83%	0.4683	✓	2.66
2025-10-04	oos	0.3254	0.315517	-3.04%	0.12235	-62.40%	0.5713	✓	2.70
2025-10-03	oos	0.33655	0.330889	-1.68%	0.1377	-59.08%	0.6024	✓	2.71
2025-10-02	oos	0.3421	0.334686	-2.17%	0.1366	-60.07%	0.6453	✓	2.74
2025-10-01	oos	0.3239	0.31029	-4.20%	0.13465	-58.43%	0.6154	✓	2.75
2025-09-30	oos	0.31095	0.294439	-5.31%	0.13705	-55.93%	0.6174	✓	2.84
2025-09-29	oos	0.3121	0.295486	-5.32%	0.15495	-50.35%	0.5306	✓	2.98
2025-09-28	oos	0.32005	0.302083	-5.61%	0.15895	-50.34%	0.6614	✓	3.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.30795	0.289535	-5.98%	0.1626	-47.20%	0.6986	✓	3.09
2025-09-26	oos	0.31265	0.294008	-5.96%	0.17405	-44.33%	0.6578	✓	3.09
2025-09-25	oos	0.29895	0.280017	-6.33%	0.1703	-43.03%	0.5707	✓	3.08
2025-09-24	oos	0.3246	0.304557	-6.17%	0.17225	-46.93%	0.5049	✓	3.16
2025-09-23	oos	0.3176	0.297305	-6.39%	0.16635	-47.62%	0.5263	✓	3.18
2025-09-22	oos	0.32575	0.304998	-6.37%	0.1597	-50.97%	0.5017	✓	3.11
2025-09-21	oos	0.3618	0.339679	-6.11%	0.16755	-53.69%	0.5159	✓	3.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.3687	0.34678	-5.95%	0.18075	-50.98%	0.5117	✓	3.05
2025-09-19	oos	0.37185	0.35019	-5.82%	0.18085	-51.36%	0.4696	✓	3.06
2025-09-18	oos	0.39645	0.37183	-6.21%	0.1752	-55.81%	0.4831	✓	3.05
2025-09-17	oos	0.3719	0.34972	-5.96%	0.17315	-53.44%	0.4270	✓	3.07

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.