GNS

Syli · · lstm_s0

token id: #462
symbol: GNS
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-02-17
predictions: 3,999

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

64.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1808

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0556

actual -0.0603

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.499	0.471391	-5.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.12
2026-10-20	oos	0.454	0.427216	-5.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.408	0.379917	-6.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.4145	0.386636	-6.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.453	0.426682	-5.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-16	oos	0.467	0.441956	-5.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-15	oos	0.503	0.47963	-4.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-14	oos	0.535	0.507813	-5.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-13	oos	0.7175	0.573722	-20.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.369	0.345978	-6.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-10-11	oos	0.3875	0.363766	-6.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.3985	0.37444	-6.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-09	oos	0.3935	0.369165	-6.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-08	oos	0.3835	0.358829	-6.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-10-07	oos	0.3815	0.355597	-6.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.403	0.377337	-6.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-10-05	oos	0.4235	0.398634	-5.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-04	oos	0.426	0.402296	-5.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-03	oos	0.421	0.395552	-6.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-02	oos	0.432	0.407287	-5.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-01	oos	0.461	0.438297	-4.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-30	oos	0.467	0.443662	-5.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-09-29	oos	0.483	0.45899	-4.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-28	oos	0.4795	0.456528	-4.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-09-27	oos	0.507	0.487354	-3.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.58
2026-09-26	oos	0.4785	0.457282	-4.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-09-25	oos	0.486	0.465038	-4.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-09-24	oos	0.472	0.450411	-4.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-09-23	oos	0.464	0.443074	-4.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-09-22	oos	0.4795	0.464973	-3.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-09-21	oos	0.45	0.436204	-3.07%	0.499	+10.89%	0.1628	✗	0.61
2026-09-20	oos	0.4425	0.418767	-5.36%	0.454	+2.60%	0.0665	✗	0.66
2026-09-19	oos	0.436	0.411679	-5.58%	0.408	-6.42%	0.0139	✓	0.66
2026-09-18	oos	0.4365	0.411742	-5.67%	0.4145	-5.04%	0.0025	✓	0.66
2026-09-17	oos	0.416	0.391418	-5.91%	0.453	+8.89%	0.1050	✗	0.64
2026-09-16	oos	0.407	0.382542	-6.01%	0.467	+14.74%	0.1558	✗	0.64
2026-09-15	oos	0.4075	0.383161	-5.97%	0.503	+23.44%	0.2183	✗	0.65
2026-09-14	oos	0.4255	0.400742	-5.82%	0.535	+25.73%	0.2625	✗	0.62
2026-09-13	oos	0.4295	0.40505	-5.69%	0.7175	+67.05%	0.5215	✗	0.64
2026-09-12	oos	0.4305	0.405847	-5.73%	0.369	-14.29%	0.1312	✓	0.64
2026-09-11	oos	0.4425	0.417505	-5.65%	0.3875	-12.43%	0.1259	✓	0.64
2026-09-10	oos	0.44	0.414614	-5.77%	0.3985	-9.43%	0.0898	✓	0.63
2026-09-09	oos	0.4695	0.444121	-5.41%	0.3935	-16.19%	0.1520	✓	0.58
2026-09-08	oos	0.486	0.46054	-5.24%	0.3835	-21.09%	0.2090	✓	0.64
2026-09-07	oos	0.487	0.462185	-5.10%	0.3815	-21.66%	0.2245	✓	0.63
2026-09-06	oos	0.488	0.465719	-4.57%	0.403	-17.42%	0.1837	✓	0.62
2026-09-05	oos	0.4775	0.456491	-4.40%	0.4235	-11.31%	0.1189	✓	0.61
2026-09-04	oos	0.4745	0.454445	-4.23%	0.426	-10.22%	0.1171	✓	0.64
2026-09-03	oos	0.521	0.503653	-3.33%	0.421	-19.19%	0.2037	✓	0.58
2026-09-02	oos	0.512	0.49172	-3.96%	0.432	-15.62%	0.1888	✓	0.67
2026-09-01	oos	0.519	0.501752	-3.32%	0.461	-11.18%	0.1468	✓	0.68
2026-08-31	oos	0.521	0.505705	-2.94%	0.467	-10.36%	0.1133	✓	0.55
2026-08-30	oos	0.507	0.489833	-3.39%	0.483	-4.73%	0.0533	✓	0.53
2026-08-29	oos	0.523	0.512334	-2.04%	0.4795	-8.32%	0.0994	✓	0.51
2026-08-28	oos	0.523	0.517165	-1.12%	0.507	-3.06%	0.0617	✓	0.51
2026-08-27	oos	0.534	0.546059	+2.26%	0.4785	-10.39%	0.1578	✗	0.51
2026-08-26	oos	0.531	0.543389	+2.33%	0.486	-8.47%	0.1434	✗	0.51
2026-08-25	oos	0.536	0.550913	+2.78%	0.472	-11.94%	0.1914	✗	0.51
2026-08-24	oos	0.541	0.563128	+4.09%	0.464	-14.23%	0.2277	✗	0.52
2026-08-23	oos	0.554	0.577685	+4.28%	0.4795	-13.45%	0.2424	✗	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.546	0.568762	+4.17%	0.45	-17.58%	0.2976	✗	0.54
2026-08-21	oos	0.537	0.558936	+4.08%	0.4425	-17.60%	0.2531	✗	0.55
2026-08-20	oos	0.529	0.524341	-0.88%	0.436	-17.58%	0.2513	✓	0.63
2026-08-19	oos	0.519	0.503057	-3.07%	0.4365	-15.90%	0.2423	✓	0.65
2026-08-18	oos	0.502	0.474881	-5.40%	0.416	-17.13%	0.2461	✓	0.69
2026-08-17	oos	0.507	0.479708	-5.38%	0.407	-19.72%	0.2754	✓	0.67
2026-08-16	oos	0.506	0.477956	-5.54%	0.4075	-19.47%	0.2860	✓	0.68
2026-08-15	oos	0.518	0.489034	-5.59%	0.4255	-17.86%	0.2858	✓	0.68
2026-08-14	oos	0.524	0.494516	-5.63%	0.4295	-18.03%	0.2796	✓	0.70
2026-08-13	oos	0.526	0.49642	-5.62%	0.4305	-18.16%	0.2826	✓	0.71
2026-08-12	oos	0.524	0.494409	-5.65%	0.4425	-15.55%	0.2567	✓	0.74
2026-08-11	oos	0.53	0.500356	-5.59%	0.44	-16.98%	0.2659	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.531	0.501939	-5.47%	0.4695	-11.58%	0.2201	✓	0.76
2026-08-09	oos	0.529	0.50112	-5.27%	0.486	-8.13%	0.1754	✓	0.76
2026-08-08	oos	0.515	0.48773	-5.30%	0.487	-5.44%	0.1528	✓	0.77
2026-08-07	oos	0.504	0.477299	-5.30%	0.488	-3.17%	0.1557	✓	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.496	0.468622	-5.52%	0.4775	-3.73%	0.1619	✓	0.83
2026-08-05	oos	0.495	0.467262	-5.60%	0.4745	-4.14%	0.1595	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.497	0.468898	-5.65%	0.521	+4.83%	0.0908	✓	0.82
2026-08-03	oos	0.498	0.469694	-5.68%	0.512	+2.81%	0.0778	✓	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.499	0.470525	-5.71%	0.519	+4.01%	0.0634	✓	0.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.489	0.460592	-5.81%	0.521	+6.54%	0.0589	✓	0.81
2026-07-31	oos	0.491	0.462513	-5.80%	0.507	+3.26%	0.0802	✓	0.81
2026-07-30	oos	0.493	0.464453	-5.79%	0.523	+6.09%	0.0397	✓	0.84
2026-07-29	oos	0.487	0.457819	-5.99%	0.523	+7.39%	0.0382	✓	0.87
2026-07-28	oos	0.496	0.466458	-5.96%	0.534	+7.66%	0.0588	✓	0.85
2026-07-27	oos	0.498	0.46806	-6.01%	0.531	+6.63%	0.0642	✓	0.88
2026-07-26	oos	0.533	0.503052	-5.62%	0.536	+0.56%	0.0959	✓	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.538	0.506735	-5.81%	0.541	+0.56%	0.1162	✓	0.88
2026-07-24	oos	0.533	0.501501	-5.91%	0.554	+3.94%	0.0705	✓	0.88
2026-07-23	oos	0.55	0.51901	-5.63%	0.546	-0.73%	0.0971	✓	0.87
2026-07-22	oos	0.559	0.530867	-5.03%	0.537	-3.94%	0.1352	✓	0.86
2026-07-21	oos	0.559	0.533949	-4.48%	0.529	-5.37%	0.0897	✓	0.86
2026-07-20	oos	0.561	0.532449	-5.09%	0.519	-7.49%	0.0772	✓	0.85
2026-07-19	oos	0.602	0.566615	-5.88%	0.502	-16.61%	0.1211	✓	0.88
2026-07-18	oos	0.607	0.571562	-5.84%	0.507	-16.47%	0.1155	✓	0.88
2026-07-17	oos	0.614	0.573979	-6.52%	0.506	-17.59%	0.1108	✓	0.91
2026-07-16	oos	0.618	0.576771	-6.67%	0.518	-16.18%	0.0966	✓	0.91
2026-07-15	oos	0.636	0.593608	-6.67%	0.524	-17.61%	0.0998	✓	0.91
2026-07-14	oos	0.628	0.588917	-6.22%	0.526	-16.24%	0.0908	✓	0.91
2026-07-13	oos	0.598	0.557974	-6.69%	0.524	-12.37%	0.0790	✓	0.89
2026-07-12	oos	0.61	0.569825	-6.59%	0.53	-13.11%	0.0695	✓	0.89
2026-07-11	oos	0.614	0.571918	-6.85%	0.531	-13.52%	0.0760	✓	0.83
2026-07-10	oos	0.615	0.572945	-6.84%	0.529	-13.98%	0.0892	✓	0.84
2026-07-09	oos	0.606	0.563172	-7.07%	0.515	-15.02%	0.1122	✓	0.84
2026-07-08	oos	0.606	0.559679	-7.64%	0.504	-16.83%	0.1397	✓	0.84
2026-07-07	oos	0.615	0.567153	-7.78%	0.496	-19.35%	0.1464	✓	0.83
2026-07-06	oos	0.629	0.57676	-8.31%	0.495	-21.30%	0.1607	✓	0.84
2026-07-05	oos	0.636	0.57883	-8.99%	0.497	-21.86%	0.1585	✓	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.641	0.580297	-9.47%	0.498	-22.31%	0.1580	✓	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.635	0.575664	-9.34%	0.499	-21.42%	0.1556	✓	0.82
2026-07-02	oos	0.632	0.572411	-9.43%	0.489	-22.63%	0.1744	✓	0.82
2026-07-01	oos	0.605	0.55308	-8.58%	0.491	-18.84%	0.1566	✓	0.80
2026-06-30	oos	0.568	0.526684	-7.27%	0.493	-13.20%	0.1438	✓	0.77
2026-06-29	oos	0.5255	0.491942	-6.39%	0.487	-7.33%	0.0614	✓	0.85
2026-06-28	oos	0.511	0.478484	-6.36%	0.496	-2.94%	0.0239	✓	0.84
2026-06-27	oos	0.518	0.485681	-6.24%	0.498	-3.86%	0.0264	✓	0.85
2026-06-26	oos	0.518	0.486093	-6.16%	0.533	+2.90%	0.0199	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	0.515	0.483528	-6.11%	0.538	+4.47%	0.0441	✓	0.85
2026-06-24	oos	0.524	0.493188	-5.88%	0.533	+1.72%	0.0356	✓	0.85
2026-06-23	oos	0.542	0.511076	-5.71%	0.55	+1.48%	0.0412	✓	0.85
2026-06-22	oos	0.562	0.530675	-5.57%	0.559	-0.53%	0.0244	✓	0.84
2026-06-21	oos	0.57	0.53726	-5.74%	0.559	-1.93%	0.0032	✓	0.85
2026-06-20	oos	0.583	0.549295	-5.78%	0.561	-3.77%	0.0079	✓	0.86
2026-06-19	oos	0.568	0.534929	-5.82%	0.602	+5.99%	0.1020	✗	0.86
2026-06-18	oos	0.569	0.535032	-5.97%	0.607	+6.68%	0.1003	✗	0.86
2026-06-17	oos	0.585	0.54932	-6.10%	0.614	+4.96%	0.1187	✗	0.86
2026-06-16	oos	0.588	0.552158	-6.10%	0.618	+5.10%	0.1377	✗	0.88
2026-06-15	oos	0.604	0.565272	-6.41%	0.636	+5.30%	0.1395	✗	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.6	0.561018	-6.50%	0.628	+4.67%	0.1227	✗	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	0.596	0.556624	-6.61%	0.598	+0.34%	0.1027	✗	0.91
2026-06-12	oos	0.611	0.56537	-7.47%	0.61	-0.16%	0.0731	✓	0.92
2026-06-11	oos	0.563	0.528327	-6.16%	0.614	+9.06%	0.1473	✗	0.92
2026-06-10	oos	0.519	0.488561	-5.86%	0.615	+18.50%	0.1931	✗	0.87
2026-06-09	oos	0.498	0.469236	-5.78%	0.606	+21.69%	0.2349	✗	0.87
2026-06-08	oos	0.495	0.466509	-5.76%	0.606	+22.42%	0.2734	✗	0.89
2026-06-07	oos	0.481	0.453302	-5.76%	0.615	+27.86%	0.3048	✗	0.89
2026-06-06	oos	0.46	0.433321	-5.80%	0.629	+36.74%	0.3292	✗	0.86
2026-06-05	oos	0.458	0.431822	-5.72%	0.636	+38.86%	0.3523	✗	0.85
2026-06-04	oos	0.494	0.466174	-5.63%	0.641	+29.76%	0.3276	✗	0.81
2026-06-03	oos	0.53	0.499295	-5.79%	0.635	+19.81%	0.2593	✗	0.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.487	0.45991	-5.56%	0.632	+29.77%	0.3913	✗	0.91
2026-06-01	oos	0.502	0.474191	-5.54%	0.605	+20.52%	0.4003	✗	0.90
2026-05-31	oos	0.503	0.475148	-5.54%	0.568	+12.92%	0.3920	✗	0.93
2026-05-30	oos	0.502	0.473981	-5.58%	0.5255	+4.68%	0.2938	✗	0.93
2026-05-29	oos	0.483	0.455378	-5.72%	0.511	+5.80%	0.3106	✗	0.93
2026-05-28	oos	0.464	0.436564	-5.91%	0.518	+11.64%	0.3600	✗	0.93
2026-05-27	oos	0.465	0.437095	-6.00%	0.518	+11.40%	0.3692	✗	0.93
2026-05-26	oos	0.474	0.44558	-6.00%	0.515	+8.65%	0.3676	✗	0.93
2026-05-25	oos	0.492	0.463572	-5.78%	0.524	+6.50%	0.3558	✗	0.99
2026-05-24	oos	0.478	0.449996	-5.86%	0.542	+13.39%	0.3888	✗	0.98
2026-05-23	oos	0.493	0.464714	-5.74%	0.562	+14.00%	0.3550	✗	0.91
2026-05-22	oos	0.459	0.43092	-6.12%	0.57	+24.18%	0.4365	✗	0.89
2026-05-21	oos	0.466	0.436905	-6.24%	0.583	+25.11%	0.4576	✗	0.90
2026-05-20	oos	0.455	0.425667	-6.45%	0.568	+24.84%	0.4690	✗	0.91
2026-05-19	oos	0.476	0.446866	-6.12%	0.569	+19.54%	0.4239	✗	0.91
2026-05-18	oos	0.496	0.466654	-5.92%	0.585	+17.94%	0.3978	✗	0.97
2026-05-17	oos	0.483	0.452281	-6.36%	0.588	+21.74%	0.4237	✗	0.98
2026-05-16	oos	0.52	0.487804	-6.19%	0.604	+16.15%	0.3716	✗	0.96
2026-05-15	oos	0.541	0.508588	-5.99%	0.6	+10.91%	0.3418	✗	0.95
2026-05-14	oos	0.572	0.54027	-5.55%	0.596	+4.20%	0.3131	✗	0.94
2026-05-13	oos	0.564	0.531858	-5.70%	0.611	+8.33%	0.3470	✗	0.94
2026-05-12	oos	0.594	0.563288	-5.17%	0.563	-5.22%	0.2139	✗	0.91
2026-05-11	oos	0.599	0.570894	-4.69%	0.519	-13.36%	0.1663	✗	0.92
2026-05-10	oos	0.64	0.613332	-4.17%	0.498	-22.19%	0.0555	✗	0.92
2026-05-09	oos	0.573	0.543423	-5.16%	0.495	-13.61%	0.1229	✗	0.88
2026-05-08	oos	0.563	0.532615	-5.40%	0.481	-14.56%	0.1041	✗	0.87
2026-05-07	oos	0.561	0.530024	-5.52%	0.46	-18.00%	0.0906	✗	0.85
2026-05-06	oos	0.553	0.523276	-5.38%	0.458	-17.18%	0.1120	✗	0.85
2026-05-05	oos	0.544	0.513232	-5.66%	0.494	-9.19%	0.1354	✗	0.73
2026-05-04	oos	0.554	0.522304	-5.72%	0.53	-4.33%	0.1768	✗	0.73
2026-05-03	oos	0.546	0.511653	-6.29%	0.487	-10.81%	0.0700	✗	0.73
2026-05-02	oos	0.545	0.510841	-6.27%	0.502	-7.89%	0.0542	✓	0.73
2026-05-01	oos	0.53	0.4935	-6.89%	0.503	-5.09%	0.0638	✓	0.73
2026-04-30	oos	0.5	0.458336	-8.33%	0.502	+0.40%	0.1144	✗	0.69
2026-04-29	oos	0.534	0.492271	-7.81%	0.483	-9.55%	0.0033	✓	0.70
2026-04-28	oos	0.649	0.614344	-5.34%	0.464	-28.51%	0.2549	✓	0.69
2026-04-27	oos	0.691	0.658277	-4.74%	0.465	-32.71%	0.3202	✓	0.68
2026-04-26	oos	0.705	0.676479	-4.05%	0.474	-32.77%	0.3305	✓	0.68
2026-04-25	oos	0.698	0.669065	-4.15%	0.492	-29.51%	0.3038	✓	0.69
2026-04-24	oos	0.701	0.673717	-3.89%	0.478	-31.81%	0.3389	✓	0.69
2026-04-23	oos	0.687	0.662744	-3.53%	0.493	-28.24%	0.2813	✓	0.69
2026-04-22	oos	0.696	0.675449	-2.95%	0.459	-34.05%	0.3613	✓	0.69
2026-04-21	oos	0.705	0.680674	-3.45%	0.466	-33.90%	0.3898	✓	0.70
2026-04-20	oos	0.691	0.666083	-3.61%	0.455	-34.15%	0.3957	✓	0.69
2026-04-19	oos	0.673	0.638373	-5.15%	0.476	-29.27%	0.3206	✓	0.69
2026-04-18	oos	0.707	0.690326	-2.36%	0.496	-29.84%	0.3414	✓	0.69
2026-04-17	oos	0.715	0.705135	-1.38%	0.483	-32.45%	0.3811	✓	0.69
2026-04-16	oos	0.692	0.668807	-3.35%	0.52	-24.86%	0.2778	✓	0.68
2026-04-15	oos	0.7	0.67351	-3.78%	0.541	-22.71%	0.2565	✓	0.68
2026-04-14	oos	0.712	0.682858	-4.09%	0.572	-19.66%	0.2384	✓	0.69
2026-04-13	oos	0.703	0.672882	-4.28%	0.564	-19.77%	0.2208	✓	0.70
2026-04-12	oos	0.696	0.655329	-5.84%	0.594	-14.66%	0.1846	✓	0.67
2026-04-11	oos	0.723	0.687839	-4.86%	0.599	-17.15%	0.2127	✓	0.67
2026-04-10	oos	0.727	0.692619	-4.73%	0.64	-11.97%	0.1573	✓	0.66
2026-04-09	oos	0.729	0.691146	-5.19%	0.573	-21.40%	0.2645	✓	0.66
2026-04-08	oos	0.729	0.690535	-5.28%	0.563	-22.77%	0.2840	✓	0.66
2026-04-07	oos	0.749	0.712723	-4.84%	0.561	-25.10%	0.3099	✓	0.66
2026-04-06	oos	0.724	0.683724	-5.56%	0.553	-23.62%	0.3232	✓	0.66
2026-04-05	oos	0.719	0.677792	-5.73%	0.544	-24.34%	0.3251	✓	0.66
2026-04-04	oos	0.726	0.683562	-5.85%	0.554	-23.69%	0.3236	✓	0.66
2026-04-03	oos	0.722	0.679904	-5.83%	0.546	-24.38%	0.3249	✓	0.66
2026-04-02	oos	0.723	0.680979	-5.81%	0.545	-24.62%	0.3300	✓	0.66
2026-04-01	oos	0.738	0.695366	-5.78%	0.53	-28.18%	0.3631	✓	0.66
2026-03-31	oos	0.733	0.690417	-5.81%	0.5	-31.79%	0.3968	✓	0.66
2026-03-30	oos	0.721	0.677705	-6.00%	0.534	-25.94%	0.3219	✓	0.66
2026-03-29	oos	0.711	0.667466	-6.12%	0.649	-8.72%	0.1243	✓	0.66
2026-03-28	oos	0.721	0.677662	-6.01%	0.691	-4.16%	0.0819	✓	0.66
2026-03-27	oos	0.726	0.682861	-5.94%	0.705	-2.89%	0.0800	✓	0.66
2026-03-26	oos	0.75	0.70711	-5.72%	0.698	-6.93%	0.0918	✓	0.65
2026-03-25	oos	0.786	0.744403	-5.29%	0.701	-10.81%	0.1131	✓	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.793	0.75017	-5.40%	0.687	-13.37%	0.1549	✓	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.795	0.753085	-5.27%	0.696	-12.45%	0.1420	✓	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.758	0.71387	-5.82%	0.705	-6.99%	0.0863	✓	0.63
2026-03-21	oos	0.776	0.731897	-5.68%	0.691	-10.95%	0.1175	✓	0.62
2026-03-20	oos	0.796	0.754061	-5.27%	0.673	-15.45%	0.1424	✓	0.62
2026-03-19	oos	0.79	0.748028	-5.31%	0.707	-10.51%	0.1061	✓	0.62
2026-03-18	oos	0.824	0.784368	-4.81%	0.715	-13.23%	0.1423	✓	0.63
2026-03-17	oos	0.885	0.854022	-3.50%	0.692	-21.81%	0.2204	✓	0.61
2026-03-16	oos	0.873	0.846691	-3.01%	0.7	-19.82%	0.1898	✓	0.62
2026-03-15	oos	0.852	0.819109	-3.86%	0.712	-16.43%	0.1514	✓	0.62
2026-03-14	oos	0.838	0.799741	-4.57%	0.703	-16.11%	0.1562	✓	0.62
2026-03-13	oos	0.835	0.797028	-4.55%	0.696	-16.65%	0.1339	✓	0.62
2026-03-12	oos	0.831	0.792644	-4.62%	0.723	-13.00%	0.1141	✓	0.62
2026-03-11	oos	0.815	0.776562	-4.72%	0.727	-10.80%	0.0902	✓	0.62
2026-03-10	oos	0.787	0.748507	-4.89%	0.729	-7.37%	0.0424	✓	0.62
2026-03-09	oos	0.787	0.746025	-5.21%	0.729	-7.37%	0.0467	✓	0.62
2026-03-08	oos	0.774	0.731232	-5.53%	0.749	-3.23%	0.0302	✓	0.63
2026-03-07	oos	0.776	0.73349	-5.48%	0.724	-6.70%	0.0278	✓	0.63
2026-03-06	oos	0.779	0.736873	-5.41%	0.719	-7.70%	0.0328	✓	0.63
2026-03-05	oos	0.796	0.755973	-5.03%	0.726	-8.79%	0.0075	✓	0.63
2026-03-04	oos	0.804	0.766934	-4.61%	0.722	-10.20%	0.0075	✓	0.64
2026-03-03	oos	0.797	0.753209	-5.49%	0.723	-9.28%	0.0267	✓	0.67
2026-03-02	oos	0.8065	0.761892	-5.53%	0.738	-8.49%	0.0247	✓	0.68
2026-03-01	oos	0.777	0.731811	-5.82%	0.733	-5.66%	0.0227	✓	0.66
2026-02-28	oos	0.796	0.749578	-5.83%	0.721	-9.42%	0.0365	✓	0.67
2026-02-27	oos	0.807	0.759476	-5.89%	0.711	-11.90%	0.0670	✓	0.68
2026-02-26	oos	0.834	0.785734	-5.79%	0.721	-13.55%	0.0742	✓	0.67
2026-02-25	oos	0.832	0.784523	-5.71%	0.726	-12.74%	0.0610	✓	0.68
2026-02-24	oos	0.76	0.715845	-5.81%	0.75	-1.32%	0.0021	✓	0.63
2026-02-23	oos	0.769	0.724927	-5.73%	0.786	+2.21%	0.0195	✓	0.62
2026-02-22	oos	0.756	0.711037	-5.95%	0.793	+4.89%	0.0816	✗	0.65
2026-02-21	oos	0.761	0.715526	-5.98%	0.795	+4.47%	0.0774	✗	0.66
2026-02-20	oos	0.734	0.689097	-6.12%	0.758	+3.27%	0.0967	✗	0.66
2026-02-19	oos	0.711	0.666523	-6.26%	0.776	+9.14%	0.1333	✗	0.66
2026-02-18	oos	0.714	0.668713	-6.34%	0.796	+11.48%	0.1349	✗	0.66
2026-02-17	oos	0.841	0.793037	-5.70%	0.79	-6.06%	0.0262	✓	0.63
2026-02-16	oos	0.864	0.816041	-5.55%	0.824	-4.63%	0.0115	✓	0.62
2026-02-15	oos	0.861	0.813615	-5.50%	0.885	+2.79%	0.0390	✓	0.62
2026-02-14	oos	0.878	0.830391	-5.42%	0.873	-0.57%	0.0064	✓	0.62
2026-02-13	oos	0.881	0.832393	-5.52%	0.852	-3.29%	0.0120	✓	0.62
2026-02-12	oos	0.85	0.801738	-5.68%	0.838	-1.41%	0.0011	✓	0.62
2026-02-11	oos	0.816	0.769305	-5.72%	0.835	+2.33%	0.0472	✓	0.61
2026-02-10	oos	0.846	0.797957	-5.68%	0.831	-1.77%	0.0255	✓	0.61
2026-02-09	oos	0.886	0.83573	-5.67%	0.815	-8.01%	0.0260	✓	0.60
2026-02-08	oos	0.892	0.841236	-5.69%	0.787	-11.77%	0.0639	✓	0.61
2026-02-07	oos	0.903	0.852004	-5.65%	0.787	-12.85%	0.0721	✓	0.61
2026-02-06	oos	0.879	0.829251	-5.66%	0.774	-11.95%	0.0274	✓	0.62
2026-02-05	oos	0.806	0.761308	-5.54%	0.776	-3.72%	0.0213	✓	0.59
2026-02-04	oos	0.867	0.817752	-5.68%	0.779	-10.15%	0.0004	✓	0.71
2026-02-03	oos	0.896	0.845602	-5.62%	0.796	-11.16%	0.0149	✓	0.70
2026-02-02	oos	0.915	0.863741	-5.60%	0.804	-12.13%	0.0146	✓	0.72
2026-02-01	oos	0.899	0.84902	-5.56%	0.797	-11.35%	0.0212	✓	0.72
2026-01-31	oos	0.924	0.872807	-5.54%	0.8065	-12.72%	0.0224	✓	0.76
2026-01-30	oos	0.948	0.894931	-5.60%	0.777	-18.04%	0.0571	✓	0.81
2026-01-29	oos	0.935	0.882062	-5.66%	0.796	-14.87%	0.0860	✗	0.81
2026-01-28	oos	0.978	0.923273	-5.60%	0.807	-17.48%	0.1140	✗	0.82
2026-01-27	oos	0.974	0.91923	-5.62%	0.834	-14.37%	0.1291	✗	0.81
2026-01-26	oos	0.949	0.894557	-5.74%	0.832	-12.33%	0.1346	✗	0.79
2026-01-25	oos	0.912	0.858079	-5.91%	0.76	-16.67%	0.1126	✗	0.78
2026-01-24	oos	0.94	0.883513	-6.01%	0.769	-18.19%	0.1097	✗	0.77
2026-01-23	oos	0.93	0.872945	-6.13%	0.756	-18.71%	0.0790	✗	0.80
2026-01-22	oos	0.912	0.854993	-6.25%	0.761	-16.56%	0.1019	✗	0.79
2026-01-21	oos	0.911	0.853708	-6.29%	0.734	-19.43%	0.0673	✗	0.80
2026-01-20	oos	0.945	0.887196	-6.12%	0.711	-24.76%	0.0025	✓	0.81
2026-01-19	oos	0.983	0.925085	-5.89%	0.714	-27.37%	0.0095	✓	0.81
2026-01-18	oos	0.991	0.934919	-5.66%	0.841	-15.14%	0.1592	✗	0.81
2026-01-17	oos	1.006	0.957718	-4.80%	0.864	-14.12%	0.1574	✗	0.81
2026-01-16	oos	1.014	0.973508	-3.99%	0.861	-15.09%	0.1428	✗	0.81
2026-01-15	oos	0.987	0.947693	-3.98%	0.878	-11.04%	0.1789	✗	0.81
2026-01-14	oos	1.026	1.0019	-2.35%	0.881	-14.13%	0.1429	✗	0.79
2026-01-13	oos	0.951	0.901214	-5.24%	0.85	-10.62%	0.2192	✗	0.76
2026-01-12	oos	1.007	0.950011	-5.66%	0.816	-18.97%	0.1195	✗	0.88
2026-01-11	oos	1.007	0.949407	-5.72%	0.846	-15.99%	0.1315	✗	0.89
2026-01-10	oos	1.078	1.0186	-5.51%	0.886	-17.81%	0.0924	✗	0.91
2026-01-09	oos	1.078	1.0186	-5.51%	0.892	-17.25%	0.1000	✗	0.92
2026-01-08	oos	1.087	1.0279	-5.44%	0.903	-16.93%	0.1248	✗	0.93
2026-01-07	oos	1.116	1.0575	-5.24%	0.879	-21.24%	0.1242	✗	1.20
2026-01-06	oos	1.157	1.1076	-4.27%	0.806	-30.34%	0.1646	✗	1.20
2026-01-05	oos	1.155	1.1047	-4.35%	0.867	-24.94%	0.0599	✗	1.20
2026-01-04	oos	1.159	1.0997	-5.12%	0.896	-22.69%	0.0311	✓	1.24
2026-01-03	oos	1.167	1.1053	-5.28%	0.915	-21.59%	0.0121	✓	1.25
2026-01-02	oos	1.162	1.0988	-5.44%	0.899	-22.63%	0.0053	✓	1.25
2026-01-01	oos	1.149	1.0842	-5.64%	0.924	-19.58%	0.0097	✓	1.24
2025-12-31	oos	1.136	1.0706	-5.76%	0.948	-16.55%	0.0734	✓	1.22
2025-12-30	oos	1.135	1.0696	-5.76%	0.935	-17.62%	0.0792	✓	1.23
2025-12-29	oos	1.119	1.0531	-5.89%	0.978	-12.60%	0.1031	✓	1.25
2025-12-28	oos	1.106	1.0398	-5.98%	0.974	-11.93%	0.0829	✓	1.25
2025-12-27	oos	1.141	1.0747	-5.81%	0.949	-16.83%	0.1306	✓	1.25
2025-12-26	oos	1.203	1.1347	-5.68%	0.912	-24.19%	0.2079	✓	1.26
2025-12-25	oos	1.233	1.1634	-5.64%	0.94	-23.76%	0.2406	✓	1.26
2025-12-24	oos	1.266	1.1952	-5.59%	0.93	-26.54%	0.2776	✓	1.27
2025-12-23	oos	1.3	1.2277	-5.56%	0.912	-29.85%	0.3270	✓	1.29
2025-12-22	oos	1.286	1.2138	-5.62%	0.911	-29.16%	0.2987	✓	1.30
2025-12-21	oos	1.274	1.2008	-5.75%	0.945	-25.82%	0.2347	✓	1.30
2025-12-20	oos	1.267	1.193	-5.84%	0.983	-22.42%	0.2564	✓	1.34
2025-12-19	oos	1.281	1.2061	-5.85%	0.991	-22.64%	0.2783	✓	1.34
2025-12-18	oos	1.218	1.1445	-6.03%	1.006	-17.41%	0.2718	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	1.229	1.1547	-6.05%	1.014	-17.49%	0.2678	✓	1.35
2025-12-16	oos	1.266	1.1901	-5.99%	0.987	-22.04%	0.3003	✓	1.34
2025-12-15	oos	1.24	1.1641	-6.12%	1.026	-17.26%	0.2807	✓	1.34
2025-12-14	oos	1.285	1.2071	-6.06%	0.951	-25.99%	0.3438	✓	1.34
2025-12-13	oos	1.321	1.2426	-5.94%	1.007	-23.77%	0.2240	✓	1.34
2025-12-12	oos	1.308	1.2298	-5.98%	1.007	-23.01%	0.2087	✓	1.34
2025-12-11	oos	1.352	1.2765	-5.58%	1.078	-20.27%	0.1372	✓	1.34
2025-12-10	oos	1.392	1.3166	-5.42%	1.078	-22.56%	0.1774	✓	1.35
2025-12-09	oos	1.44	1.3655	-5.17%	1.087	-24.51%	0.2036	✓	1.35
2025-12-08	oos	1.394	1.3173	-5.50%	1.116	-19.94%	0.1752	✓	1.35
2025-12-07	oos	1.391	1.314	-5.54%	1.157	-16.82%	0.1760	✓	1.35
2025-12-06	oos	1.416	1.3367	-5.60%	1.155	-18.43%	0.2149	✓	1.37
2025-12-05	oos	1.389	1.3115	-5.58%	1.159	-16.56%	0.1561	✓	1.37
2025-12-04	oos	1.454	1.378	-5.23%	1.167	-19.74%	0.1438	✓	1.37
2025-12-03	oos	1.482	1.4083	-4.98%	1.162	-21.59%	0.1401	✓	1.37
2025-12-02	oos	1.429	1.3545	-5.21%	1.149	-19.59%	0.1255	✓	1.37
2025-12-01	oos	1.393	1.3159	-5.53%	1.136	-18.45%	0.1673	✓	1.45
2025-11-30	oos	1.472	1.3921	-5.43%	1.135	-22.89%	0.1720	✓	1.46
2025-11-29	oos	1.4735	1.393	-5.46%	1.119	-24.06%	0.1583	✓	1.45
2025-11-28	oos	1.492	1.4098	-5.51%	1.106	-25.87%	0.1934	✓	1.45
2025-11-27	oos	1.496	1.4132	-5.53%	1.141	-23.73%	0.1569	✓	1.46
2025-11-26	oos	1.484	1.4008	-5.61%	1.203	-18.94%	0.1004	✓	1.45
2025-11-25	oos	1.471	1.3866	-5.74%	1.233	-16.18%	0.1148	✓	1.50
2025-11-24	oos	1.466	1.3817	-5.75%	1.266	-13.64%	0.0763	✓	1.50
2025-11-23	oos	1.396	1.316	-5.73%	1.3	-6.88%	0.0230	✓	1.50
2025-11-22	oos	1.377	1.2985	-5.70%	1.286	-6.61%	0.0785	✓	1.54
2025-11-21	oos	1.369	1.2909	-5.70%	1.274	-6.94%	0.0763	✓	1.53
2025-11-20	oos	1.415	1.3332	-5.78%	1.267	-10.46%	0.0823	✓	1.53
2025-11-19	oos	1.452	1.3674	-5.82%	1.281	-11.78%	0.0023	✓	1.68
2025-11-18	oos	1.463	1.3772	-5.86%	1.218	-16.75%	0.0184	✓	1.69
2025-11-17	oos	1.43	1.3461	-5.87%	1.229	-14.06%	0.0217	✓	1.71
2025-11-16	oos	1.429	1.3446	-5.91%	1.266	-11.41%	0.0591	✓	1.71
2025-11-15	oos	1.451	1.3649	-5.94%	1.24	-14.54%	0.0766	✗	1.72
2025-11-14	oos	1.403	1.3197	-5.94%	1.285	-8.41%	0.0922	✗	1.71
2025-11-13	oos	1.424	1.3388	-5.98%	1.321	-7.23%	0.1669	✗	1.83
2025-11-12	oos	1.468	1.3807	-5.95%	1.308	-10.90%	0.1625	✗	1.83
2025-11-11	oos	1.468	1.3812	-5.91%	1.352	-7.90%	0.1767	✗	1.85
2025-11-10	oos	1.519	1.4308	-5.81%	1.392	-8.36%	0.2323	✗	1.84
2025-11-09	oos	1.509	1.4214	-5.80%	1.44	-4.57%	0.2402	✗	1.87
2025-11-08	oos	1.483	1.3971	-5.79%	1.394	-6.00%	0.2256	✗	1.89
2025-11-07	oos	1.522	1.4341	-5.77%	1.391	-8.61%	0.2138	✗	1.83
2025-11-06	oos	1.378	1.2985	-5.77%	1.416	+2.76%	0.3133	✗	1.79
2025-11-05	oos	1.397	1.3184	-5.63%	1.389	-0.57%	0.3246	✗	1.81
2025-11-04	oos	1.345	1.2691	-5.65%	1.454	+8.10%	0.3137	✗	1.83
2025-11-03	oos	1.391	1.3134	-5.58%	1.482	+6.54%	0.3729	✗	1.92
2025-11-02	oos	1.527	1.4442	-5.42%	1.429	-6.42%	0.3515	✗	1.89
2025-11-01	oos	1.5255	1.4427	-5.43%	1.393	-8.69%	0.4289	✗	1.91
2025-10-31	oos	1.496	1.4151	-5.41%	1.472	-1.60%	0.4073	✗	1.91
2025-10-30	oos	1.455	1.3757	-5.45%	1.4735	+1.27%	0.4047	✗	1.91
2025-10-29	oos	1.455	1.377	-5.36%	1.492	+2.54%	0.4508	✗	1.94
2025-10-28	oos	1.457	1.3816	-5.18%	1.496	+2.68%	0.5017	✗	1.99
2025-10-27	oos	1.471	1.3961	-5.10%	1.484	+0.88%	0.5232	✗	1.99
2025-10-26	oos	1.496	1.4186	-5.17%	1.471	-1.67%	0.5765	✗	1.99
2025-10-25	oos	1.432	1.3542	-5.43%	1.466	+2.37%	0.5506	✗	2.00
2025-10-24	oos	1.428	1.3498	-5.47%	1.396	-2.24%	0.5311	✗	2.02
2025-10-23	oos	1.4	1.3227	-5.52%	1.377	-1.64%	0.5702	✗	2.02
2025-10-22	oos	1.389	1.312	-5.54%	1.369	-1.44%	0.5224	✗	2.04
2025-10-21	oos	1.386	1.3081	-5.62%	1.415	+2.09%	0.5391	✗	2.05
2025-10-20	oos	1.408	1.3278	-5.69%	1.452	+3.12%	0.4842	✗	2.08
2025-10-19	oos	1.399	1.3184	-5.76%	1.463	+4.57%	0.4258	✗	2.05
2025-10-18	oos	1.375	1.2946	-5.85%	1.43	+4.00%	0.4119	✗	2.06
2025-10-17	oos	1.356	1.2757	-5.92%	1.429	+5.38%	0.3651	✗	2.05
2025-10-16	oos	1.341	1.2593	-6.09%	1.451	+8.20%	0.4000	✗	2.08
2025-10-15	oos	1.37	1.2849	-6.21%	1.403	+2.41%	0.4234	✗	2.11
2025-10-14	oos	1.399	1.3105	-6.32%	1.424	+1.79%	0.3524	✗	2.13
2025-10-13	oos	1.44	1.3477	-6.41%	1.468	+1.94%	0.3544	✗	2.14
2025-10-12	oos	1.342	1.2481	-7.00%	1.468	+9.39%	0.3930	✗	2.08
2025-10-11	oos	1.288	1.2021	-6.67%	1.519	+17.93%	0.3279	✗	2.12
2025-10-10	oos	1.341	1.2447	-7.18%	1.509	+12.53%	0.3532	✗	2.11
2025-10-09	oos	1.685	1.5933	-5.44%	1.483	-11.99%	0.2523	✗	1.86
2025-10-08	oos	1.772	1.6905	-4.60%	1.522	-14.11%	0.2262	✗	1.87
2025-10-07	oos	1.751	1.6601	-5.19%	1.378	-21.30%	0.1460	✗	1.84
2025-10-06	oos	1.868	1.7954	-3.89%	1.397	-25.21%	0.0771	✗	1.79
2025-10-05	oos	1.818	1.7384	-4.38%	1.345	-26.02%	0.0956	✗	1.79
2025-10-04	oos	1.855	1.7729	-4.42%	1.391	-25.01%	0.0085	✓	1.81
2025-10-03	oos	1.903	1.824	-4.15%	1.527	-19.76%	0.0053	✓	1.81
2025-10-02	oos	1.983	1.8966	-4.36%	1.5255	-23.07%	0.0483	✓	1.85
2025-10-01	oos	1.92	1.8223	-5.09%	1.496	-22.08%	0.0496	✓	1.85
2025-09-30	oos	1.804	1.6979	-5.88%	1.455	-19.35%	0.0577	✓	1.87
2025-09-29	oos	1.881	1.7721	-5.79%	1.455	-22.65%	0.1300	✓	1.74
2025-09-28	oos	1.84	1.7278	-6.10%	1.457	-20.82%	0.1817	✓	1.78
2025-09-27	oos	1.806	1.6921	-6.30%	1.471	-18.55%	0.2130	✓	1.85
2025-09-26	oos	1.787	1.6704	-6.52%	1.496	-16.28%	0.1912	✓	1.87
2025-09-25	oos	1.729	1.6109	-6.83%	1.432	-17.18%	0.1623	✓	1.87
2025-09-24	oos	1.87	1.7466	-6.60%	1.428	-23.64%	0.1632	✓	1.86
2025-09-23	oos	1.83	1.706	-6.78%	1.4	-23.50%	0.1657	✓	1.87
2025-09-22	oos	1.925	1.8011	-6.44%	1.389	-27.84%	0.1675	✓	1.97
2025-09-21	oos	2.176	2.0507	-5.76%	1.386	-36.31%	0.2779	✓	1.84
2025-09-20	oos	2.156	2.0308	-5.81%	1.408	-34.69%	0.2983	✓	1.48
2025-09-19	oos	2.134	2.0086	-5.88%	1.399	-34.44%	0.2829	✓	1.26
2025-09-18	oos	2.295	2.1636	-5.73%	1.375	-40.09%	0.3475	✓	1.20
2025-09-17	oos	2.329	2.1863	-6.13%	1.356	-41.78%	0.3723	✓	1.17

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.