FOLD
The Interfold · Ethereum · lstm_s0
- token id
- #290
- symbol
- FOLD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-25
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +7d
assessed
43
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
58.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1256
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0334
actual -0.0249
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.04925 | 0.048176 | -2.18% | – | pending | – | – | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.05009 | 0.049017 | -2.14% | – | pending | – | – | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04858 | 0.047535 | -2.15% | – | pending | – | – | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.04751 | 0.046478 | -2.17% | – | pending | – | – | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.04779 | 0.046732 | -2.21% | – | pending | – | – | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.05113 | 0.049844 | -2.52% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.05269 | 0.051291 | -2.66% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.05285 | 0.051405 | -2.73% | 0.04925 | -6.81% | 0.0646 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.05383 | 0.052275 | -2.89% | 0.05009 | -6.95% | 0.0684 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.060215 | 0.058358 | -3.08% | 0.04858 | -19.32% | 0.1819 | ✓ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.059405 | 0.057468 | -3.26% | 0.04751 | -20.02% | 0.1912 | ✓ | 0.76 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.06681 | 0.064506 | -3.45% | 0.04779 | -28.47% | 0.2870 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.06538 | 0.063035 | -3.59% | 0.05113 | -21.80% | 0.1977 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.064485 | 0.062188 | -3.56% | 0.05269 | -18.29% | 0.1578 | ✓ | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.06178 | 0.059567 | -3.58% | 0.05285 | -14.45% | 0.1228 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.064415 | 0.062087 | -3.61% | 0.05383 | -16.43% | 0.1308 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.06901 | 0.066669 | -3.39% | 0.060215 | -12.74% | 0.0874 | ✓ | 0.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.07369 | 0.071059 | -3.57% | 0.059405 | -19.39% | 0.1561 | ✓ | 0.48 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.0701 | 0.067708 | -3.41% | 0.06681 | -4.69% | 0.0042 | ✓ | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.072825 | 0.069941 | -3.96% | 0.06538 | -10.22% | 0.0549 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.06417 | 0.061679 | -3.88% | 0.064485 | +0.49% | 0.0578 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.067655 | 0.064972 | -3.97% | 0.06178 | -8.68% | 0.0295 | ✓ | 0.55 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069015 | 0.065976 | -4.40% | 0.064415 | -6.67% | 0.0220 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066025 | 0.063132 | -4.38% | 0.06901 | +4.52% | 0.0761 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.061035 | 0.058385 | -4.34% | 0.07369 | +20.73% | 0.2173 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.06903 | 0.065907 | -4.52% | 0.0701 | +1.55% | 0.0502 | ✗ | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.066875 | 0.063786 | -4.62% | 0.072825 | +8.90% | 0.1307 | ✗ | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.058715 | 0.056058 | -4.52% | 0.06417 | +9.29% | 0.1329 | ✗ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0597 | 0.056933 | -4.64% | 0.067655 | +13.32% | 0.1700 | ✗ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.05971 | 0.056922 | -4.67% | 0.069015 | +15.58% | 0.2024 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.060325 | 0.057567 | -4.57% | 0.066025 | +9.45% | 0.1672 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.06106 | 0.058337 | -4.46% | 0.061035 | -0.04% | 0.0821 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.062015 | 0.059061 | -4.76% | 0.06903 | +11.31% | 0.1161 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.07045 | 0.06666 | -5.38% | 0.066875 | -5.07% | 0.0352 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.066755 | 0.063238 | -5.27% | 0.058715 | -12.04% | 0.1132 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.0641 | 0.060866 | -5.05% | 0.0597 | -6.86% | 0.1194 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.05471 | 0.052512 | -4.02% | 0.05971 | +9.14% | 0.0258 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.043735 | 0.042943 | -1.81% | 0.060325 | +37.93% | 0.2085 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.049085 | 0.047759 | -2.70% | 0.06106 | +24.40% | 0.1434 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.04818 | 0.0471 | -2.24% | 0.062015 | +28.72% | 0.2199 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.050545 | 0.049347 | -2.37% | 0.07045 | +39.38% | 0.3059 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.051095 | 0.050028 | -2.09% | 0.066755 | +30.65% | 0.2421 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.05233 | 0.051348 | -1.88% | 0.0641 | +22.49% | 0.2243 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.05138 | 0.050607 | -1.50% | 0.05471 | +6.48% | 0.1057 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.05349 | 0.052715 | -1.45% | 0.043735 | -18.24% | 0.1496 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.05533 | 0.054614 | -1.29% | 0.049085 | -11.29% | 0.0951 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.05607 | 0.055519 | -0.98% | 0.04818 | -14.07% | 0.0967 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.055135 | 0.054816 | -0.58% | 0.050545 | -8.33% | 0.0484 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.05539 | 0.055324 | -0.12% | 0.051095 | -7.75% | 0.0481 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.059025 | 0.058993 | -0.05% | 0.05233 | -11.34% | 0.0599 | ✓ | 1.00 |