DARK

Darkwoods · Robinhood · lstm_s0

token id: #795
symbol: DARK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xdc45b71d7203c2e8baafc43a19bca0eb993bb54e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 456

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

149

of 152 predictions shown

direction hit

61.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1008

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0020

actual -0.0378

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.001307	0.001307	+0.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.000949	0.000925818	-2.44%	0.001307	+37.72%	0.3477	✗	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.001397	0.001399	+0.17%	0.000949	-32.07%	0.4018	✗	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.001845	0.001844	-0.05%	0.001397	-24.26%	0.2753	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.002037	0.002036	-0.05%	0.001845	-9.45%	0.1064	✓	1.00
2025-08-04	oos	0.002796	0.002785	-0.40%	–	pending	–	–	3.62
2025-08-03	oos	0.00239	0.002384	-0.25%	0.002796	+17.03%	0.1346	✗	3.45
2025-08-02	oos	0.002305	0.002303	-0.08%	0.00239	+3.67%	0.0138	✓	3.43
2025-08-01	oos	0.002374	0.002371	-0.12%	0.002305	-2.91%	0.0072	✓	3.37
2025-07-31	oos	0.002516	0.002511	-0.21%	0.002374	-5.64%	0.0219	✗	3.55
2025-07-30	oos	0.002592	0.002586	-0.22%	0.002516	-2.93%	0.0368	✗	3.63
2025-07-29	oos	0.00286	0.002854	-0.20%	0.002592	-9.37%	0.0934	✓	3.37
2025-07-28	oos	0.003153	0.003146	-0.22%	0.00286	-9.29%	0.0914	✓	3.38
2025-07-27	oos	0.003054	0.003049	-0.16%	0.003153	+3.24%	0.0738	✗	3.44
2025-07-26	oos	0.002947	0.002942	-0.19%	0.003054	+3.63%	0.0046	✓	3.34
2025-07-25	oos	0.003035	0.003029	-0.19%	0.002947	-2.90%	0.0371	✓	3.37
2025-07-24	oos	0.003066	0.003061	-0.16%	0.003035	-1.01%	0.0131	✗	3.35
2025-07-23	oos	0.003233	0.003228	-0.15%	0.003066	-5.17%	0.0401	✓	3.29
2025-07-22	oos	0.003309	0.003305	-0.12%	0.003233	-2.30%	0.0118	✗	3.32
2025-07-21	oos	0.003192	0.003185	-0.21%	0.003309	+3.67%	0.0345	✓	3.32
2025-07-20	oos	0.002797	0.00279	-0.26%	0.003192	+14.12%	0.1303	✗	4.40
2025-07-19	oos	0.002741	0.002734	-0.27%	0.002797	+2.04%	0.0435	✗	4.02
2025-07-18	oos	0.002851	0.002844	-0.25%	0.002741	-3.86%	0.0331	✓	4.05
2025-07-17	oos	0.002938	0.002932	-0.21%	0.002851	-2.96%	0.0150	✗	4.07
2025-07-16	oos	0.002999	0.002992	-0.24%	0.002938	-2.03%	0.0381	✓	4.02
2025-07-15	oos	0.002946	0.002937	-0.30%	0.002999	+1.80%	0.0098	✓	4.02
2025-07-14	oos	0.002694	0.002684	-0.39%	0.002946	+9.35%	0.1665	✗	4.17
2025-07-13	oos	0.002897	0.002887	-0.35%	0.002694	-7.01%	0.0947	✓	4.18
2025-07-12	oos	0.003098	0.003087	-0.35%	0.002897	-6.49%	0.1226	✓	4.21
2025-07-11	oos	0.003358	0.003346	-0.37%	0.003098	-7.74%	0.0730	✓	4.20
2025-07-10	oos	0.003002	0.002988	-0.45%	0.003358	+11.86%	0.0613	✗	4.17
2025-07-09	oos	0.002724	0.002712	-0.44%	0.003002	+10.21%	0.0746	✓	4.22
2025-07-08	oos	0.002578	0.002569	-0.35%	0.002724	+5.66%	0.0303	✓	4.21
2025-07-07	oos	0.002644	0.002635	-0.35%	0.002578	-2.50%	0.0484	✓	4.21
2025-07-06	oos	0.002814	0.002802	-0.43%	0.002644	-6.04%	0.0212	✓	4.22
2025-07-05	oos	0.002657	0.002649	-0.30%	0.002814	+5.91%	0.0229	✗	4.21
2025-07-04	oos	0.002586	0.002581	-0.21%	0.002657	+2.75%	0.0207	✗	4.21
2025-07-03	oos	0.002754	0.002745	-0.33%	0.002586	-6.10%	0.0027	✓	4.24
2025-07-02	oos	0.002885	0.002877	-0.29%	0.002754	-4.54%	0.0723	✓	4.24
2025-07-01	oos	0.002573	0.002579	+0.23%	0.002885	+12.13%	0.0124	✗	4.21
2025-06-30	oos	0.003278	0.00327	-0.25%	0.002573	-21.51%	0.1833	✓	4.11
2025-06-29	oos	0.003167	0.003161	-0.20%	0.003278	+3.50%	0.0835	✗	4.19
2025-06-28	oos	0.002957	0.00296	+0.09%	0.003167	+7.10%	0.0278	✓	4.17
2025-06-27	oos	0.003523	0.003518	-0.14%	0.002957	-16.07%	0.1830	✓	4.16
2025-06-26	oos	0.004013	0.004	-0.33%	0.003523	-12.21%	0.1301	✓	4.15
2025-06-25	oos	0.004036	0.004024	-0.31%	0.004013	-0.57%	0.0118	✗	4.17
2025-06-24	oos	0.004267	0.004254	-0.31%	0.004036	-5.41%	0.1019	✓	4.19
2025-06-23	oos	0.004368	0.004356	-0.28%	0.004267	-2.31%	0.0491	✓	4.19
2025-06-22	oos	0.004004	0.004013	+0.24%	0.004368	+9.09%	0.0987	✗	4.28
2025-06-21	oos	0.003983	0.003993	+0.26%	0.004004	+0.53%	0.0524	✓	4.34
2025-06-20	oos	0.004445	0.004445	+0.00%	0.003983	-10.39%	0.0609	✗	4.33
2025-06-19	oos	0.004911	0.004899	-0.24%	0.004445	-9.49%	0.0408	✓	4.33
2025-06-18	oos	0.005086	0.005072	-0.27%	0.004911	-3.44%	0.0222	✓	4.34
2025-06-17	oos	0.005041	0.005033	-0.15%	0.005086	+0.89%	0.0031	✓	4.34
2025-06-16	oos	0.005281	0.005266	-0.29%	0.005041	-4.54%	0.0517	✗	4.45
2025-06-15	oos	0.005917	0.005889	-0.48%	0.005281	-10.75%	0.1620	✓	4.50
2025-06-14	oos	0.006217	0.006181	-0.58%	0.005917	-4.83%	0.0494	✓	4.50
2025-06-13	oos	0.005012	0.005015	+0.07%	0.006217	+24.04%	0.2432	✓	4.64
2025-06-12	oos	0.005304	0.005307	+0.05%	0.005012	-5.51%	0.0744	✗	4.64
2025-06-11	oos	0.006633	0.006592	-0.62%	0.005304	-20.04%	0.0918	✓	4.57
2025-06-10	oos	0.005894	0.005876	-0.30%	0.006633	+12.54%	0.1928	✗	4.81
2025-06-09	oos	0.006098	0.006079	-0.31%	0.005894	-3.35%	0.0309	✓	4.82
2025-06-08	oos	0.005929	0.005933	+0.06%	0.006098	+2.85%	0.1844	✗	5.07
2025-06-07	oos	0.005997	0.006006	+0.14%	0.005929	-1.13%	0.0208	✗	5.07
2025-06-06	oos	0.005891	0.00591	+0.33%	0.005997	+1.80%	0.0444	✗	5.07
2025-06-05	oos	0.005238	0.005273	+0.67%	0.005891	+12.47%	0.0270	✗	5.02
2025-06-04	oos	0.00631	0.006334	+0.38%	0.005238	-16.99%	0.0334	✗	5.07
2025-06-03	oos	0.00767	0.007671	+0.02%	0.00631	-17.73%	0.1623	✗	5.00
2025-06-02	oos	0.007135	0.007151	+0.23%	0.00767	+7.50%	0.0920	✓	5.09
2025-06-01	oos	0.007398	0.007415	+0.22%	0.007135	-3.56%	0.0484	✗	5.09
2025-05-31	oos	0.006696	0.006731	+0.52%	0.007398	+10.48%	0.0440	✓	5.05
2025-05-30	oos	0.006587	0.006628	+0.62%	0.006696	+1.65%	0.0194	✗	5.05
2025-05-29	oos	0.007919	0.007943	+0.30%	0.006587	-16.82%	0.1139	✗	4.98
2025-05-28	oos	0.00946	0.009449	-0.12%	0.007919	-16.29%	0.0722	✓	4.96
2025-05-27	oos	0.010931	0.010884	-0.43%	0.00946	-13.46%	0.0876	✓	4.92
2025-05-26	oos	0.01142	0.011365	-0.49%	0.010931	-4.28%	0.0169	✓	4.95
2025-05-25	oos	0.011277	0.011225	-0.46%	0.01142	+1.27%	0.0016	✓	4.96
2025-05-24	oos	0.012084	0.012026	-0.48%	0.011277	-6.68%	0.1220	✓	4.99
2025-05-23	oos	0.012392	0.012333	-0.48%	0.012084	-2.49%	0.0419	✓	4.99
2025-05-22	oos	0.015393	0.015321	-0.47%	0.012392	-19.50%	0.0051	✓	5.16
2025-05-21	oos	0.012423	0.012361	-0.50%	0.015393	+23.91%	0.1281	✗	4.99
2025-05-20	oos	0.011758	0.01171	-0.41%	0.012423	+5.66%	0.0712	✓	5.01
2025-05-19	oos	0.012125	0.012076	-0.41%	0.011758	-3.03%	0.0865	✓	5.02
2025-05-18	oos	0.011663	0.011617	-0.40%	0.012125	+3.96%	0.0851	✗	5.22
2025-05-17	oos	0.011383	0.011355	-0.24%	0.011663	+2.46%	0.1435	✓	5.39
2025-05-16	oos	0.011643	0.011608	-0.30%	0.011383	-2.23%	0.0163	✓	1.00
2025-05-15	oos	0.012234	0.012191	-0.36%	0.011643	-4.83%	0.0432	✓	1.00
2025-05-14	oos	0.013635	0.013581	-0.40%	0.012234	-10.28%	0.1068	✓	1.00
2025-05-13	oos	0.016633	0.016566	-0.40%	0.013635	-18.02%	0.1891	✓	1.00
2025-05-12	oos	0.018853	0.018759	-0.50%	0.016633	-11.78%	0.1332	✓	1.00
2025-05-11	oos	0.017499	0.017416	-0.48%	0.018853	+7.74%	0.0922	✗	1.00
2025-05-10	oos	0.016775	0.016692	-0.50%	0.017499	+4.32%	0.0537	✗	1.00
2025-05-09	oos	0.01342	0.013354	-0.49%	0.016775	+25.00%	0.2104	✗	1.00
2025-05-08	in	0.015819	0.015736	-0.53%	0.01342	-15.17%	0.1566	✓	1.00
2025-05-07	in	0.011052	0.01102	-0.29%	0.015819	+43.13%	0.2997	✗	1.00
2025-05-06	in	0.01415	0.014125	-0.18%	0.011052	-21.89%	0.2476	✓	1.00
2025-05-05	in	0.015996	0.01597	-0.16%	0.01415	-11.54%	0.1430	✓	1.00
2025-05-04	in	0.017052	0.017025	-0.16%	0.015996	-6.19%	0.0672	✓	1.00
2025-05-03	in	0.01703	0.016993	-0.22%	0.017052	+0.13%	0.0202	✗	1.00
2025-05-02	in	0.023187	0.023089	-0.42%	0.01703	-26.55%	0.2933	✓	1.00
2025-05-01	in	0.0163	0.01627	-0.18%	0.023187	+42.25%	0.3501	✗	1.00
2025-04-30	in	0.02036	0.020317	-0.21%	0.0163	-19.94%	0.2448	✓	1.00
2025-04-29	in	0.024322	0.024264	-0.24%	0.02036	-16.29%	0.1745	✓	1.00
2025-04-28	in	0.025719	0.025658	-0.24%	0.024322	-5.43%	0.0453	✓	1.00
2025-04-27	in	0.030589	0.030499	-0.29%	0.025719	-15.92%	0.1838	✓	1.00
2025-04-26	in	0.03442	0.034285	-0.39%	0.030589	-11.13%	0.1047	✓	1.00
2024-01-16	in	0.000009	0.000008144	-9.51%	–	pending	–	–	-1.27
2024-01-15	in	0.0000157	0.000015821	+0.77%	0.000009	-42.68%	0.5478	✗	-1.09
2024-01-14	in	0.0000149	0.000015038	+0.93%	0.0000157	+5.37%	0.0644	✓	-1.13
2024-01-13	in	0.00001622	0.000016349	+0.79%	0.0000149	-8.14%	0.1256	✗	-1.21
2024-01-12	in	0.0000257	0.000025685	-0.06%	0.00001622	-36.89%	0.4577	✓	-1.23
2024-01-11	in	0.00002504	0.000024968	-0.29%	0.0000257	+2.64%	0.0841	✓	-1.41
2024-01-10	in	0.00002673	0.000026617	-0.42%	0.00002504	-6.32%	0.0711	✓	-1.44
2024-01-09	in	0.00003347	0.000033319	-0.45%	0.00002673	-20.14%	0.2042	✓	-1.38
2024-01-08	in	0.00002866	0.000028538	-0.42%	0.00003347	+16.78%	0.1358	✗	-1.26
2024-01-07	in	0.00002885	0.000028796	-0.19%	0.00002866	-0.66%	0.0965	✗	-1.51
2024-01-06	in	0.00003261	0.000032488	-0.37%	0.00002885	-11.53%	0.1202	✓	-1.54
2024-01-05	in	0.0000316	0.000031488	-0.35%	0.00003261	+3.20%	0.0283	✗	-1.52
2024-01-04	in	0.000032	0.000031906	-0.29%	0.0000316	-1.25%	0.0099	✓	-1.52
2024-01-03	in	0.00003349	0.000033417	-0.22%	0.000032	-4.45%	0.0037	✗	-1.54
2024-01-02	in	0.0000337	0.000033594	-0.31%	0.00003349	-0.62%	0.0864	✓	-1.73
2024-01-01	in	0.00003166	0.000031602	-0.18%	0.0000337	+6.44%	0.0946	✗	-1.80
2023-12-31	in	0.00003167	0.000031692	+0.07%	0.00003166	-0.03%	0.0890	✓	-2.01
2023-12-30	in	0.00003168	0.000031723	+0.14%	0.00003167	-0.03%	0.0054	✓	-2.02
2023-12-29	in	0.00003798	0.000037901	-0.21%	0.00003168	-16.59%	0.1755	✓	-2.03
2023-12-28	in	0.0000381	0.000038001	-0.26%	0.00003798	-0.31%	0.0256	✓	-2.05
2023-12-27	in	0.00002929	0.000029328	+0.13%	0.0000381	+30.08%	0.2265	✓	-1.70
2023-12-26	in	0.00003903	0.000038949	-0.21%	0.00002929	-24.96%	0.2532	✓	-1.43
2023-12-25	in	0.00004557	0.000045464	-0.23%	0.00003903	-14.35%	0.1972	✓	-1.79
2023-12-24	in	0.00005145	0.000051305	-0.28%	0.00004557	-11.43%	0.0959	✓	-1.73
2023-12-23	in	0.00004727	0.000047153	-0.25%	0.00005145	+8.84%	0.0605	✗	-1.65
2023-12-22	in	0.00003765	0.000037549	-0.27%	0.00004727	+25.55%	0.2368	✗	1.00
2023-12-21	in	0.00004179	0.000041684	-0.25%	0.00003765	-9.91%	0.1049	✓	1.00
2023-12-20	in	0.00004502	0.000044928	-0.20%	0.00004179	-7.17%	0.0770	✓	1.00
2023-12-19	in	0.00005	0.000049889	-0.22%	0.00004502	-9.96%	0.1355	✓	1.00
2023-12-18	in	0.000056	0.000055895	-0.19%	0.00005	-10.71%	0.1024	✓	1.00
2023-12-17	in	0.00005097	0.000050825	-0.28%	0.000056	+9.87%	0.0660	✗	1.00
2023-12-16	in	0.000045	0.00004482	-0.40%	0.00005097	+13.27%	0.1498	✗	1.00
2023-12-15	in	0.00004838	0.000047888	-1.02%	0.000045	-6.99%	0.0694	✓	1.00
2023-12-14	in	0.00004328	0.000043242	-0.09%	0.00004838	+11.78%	0.1380	✗	1.00
2023-12-13	in	0.00004588	0.000045859	-0.05%	0.00004328	-5.67%	0.0612	✓	1.00
2023-12-12	in	0.00006089	0.000060813	-0.13%	0.00004588	-24.65%	0.3152	✓	1.00
2023-12-11	in	0.00006109	0.000061008	-0.13%	0.00006089	-0.33%	0.0079	✓	1.00
2023-12-10	in	0.00006163	0.000061639	+0.01%	0.00006109	-0.88%	0.0514	✓	1.00
2023-12-09	in	0.00005702	0.000057011	-0.02%	0.00006163	+8.08%	0.0763	✗	1.00
2023-12-08	in	0.00005751	0.000057507	-0.00%	0.00005702	-0.85%	0.0022	✗	1.00
2023-12-07	in	0.00006009	0.00005999	-0.17%	0.00005751	-4.29%	0.0631	✓	1.00
2023-12-06	in	0.0000579	0.000057846	-0.09%	0.00006009	+3.78%	0.0492	✗	1.00
2023-12-05	in	0.00005568	0.000055653	-0.05%	0.0000579	+3.99%	0.0469	✗	1.00
2023-12-04	in	0.00006001	0.000059875	-0.23%	0.00005568	-7.22%	0.1214	✓	1.00
2023-12-03	in	0.00006997	0.000069727	-0.35%	0.00006001	-14.23%	0.1989	✓	1.00
2023-12-02	in	0.00006388	0.000063661	-0.34%	0.00006997	+9.53%	0.0818	✗	1.00