CSPR

Casper Network · native · lstm_s0

token id: #586
symbol: CSPR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-21
predictions: 252

Track record at +7d

assessed

77

of 84 predictions shown

direction hit

59.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0872

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0300

actual -0.0015

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002257	0.0022	-2.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.002253	0.002196	-2.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-19	oos	0.002189	0.002134	-2.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	0.002275	0.002216	-2.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-17	oos	0.002348	0.002287	-2.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-16	oos	0.002345	0.002283	-2.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-15	oos	0.002311	0.002248	-2.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-14	oos	0.002449	0.00238	-2.82%	0.002257	-7.85%	0.0611	✓	0.57
2026-10-13	oos	0.00249	0.002417	-2.91%	0.002253	-9.52%	0.0694	✓	0.56
2026-10-12	oos	0.002435	0.002363	-2.95%	0.002189	-10.10%	0.0771	✓	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.002483	0.002407	-3.03%	0.002275	-8.36%	0.0453	✓	0.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.002443	0.002367	-3.13%	0.002348	-3.87%	0.0026	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.002498	0.002417	-3.24%	0.002345	-6.12%	0.0231	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.002343	0.002269	-3.16%	0.002311	-1.36%	0.0156	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.002432	0.002352	-3.26%	0.002449	+0.71%	0.0511	✗	0.52
2026-10-06	oos	0.002499	0.002418	-3.23%	0.00249	-0.37%	0.0437	✗	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.002604	0.00252	-3.21%	0.002435	-6.48%	0.0106	✓	0.50
2026-10-04	oos	0.00258	0.0025	-3.12%	0.002483	-3.79%	0.0096	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.002571	0.002481	-3.47%	0.002443	-4.96%	0.0045	✓	0.51
2026-10-02	oos	0.002537	0.002448	-3.51%	0.002498	-1.56%	0.0318	✓	0.51
2026-10-01	oos	0.002563	0.002474	-3.46%	0.002343	-8.56%	0.0353	✓	0.50
2026-09-30	oos	0.002648	0.00255	-3.70%	0.002432	-8.16%	0.0456	✓	0.52
2026-09-29	oos	0.002717	0.002621	-3.53%	0.002499	-8.02%	0.0593	✓	0.52
2026-09-28	oos	0.002731	0.002634	-3.56%	0.002604	-4.67%	0.0255	✓	0.52
2026-09-27	oos	0.00279	0.0027	-3.25%	0.00258	-7.53%	0.0573	✓	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.002743	0.002656	-3.17%	0.002571	-6.28%	0.0346	✓	0.51
2026-09-25	oos	0.002707	0.002623	-3.11%	0.002537	-6.26%	0.0355	✓	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.002674	0.002595	-2.97%	0.002563	-4.18%	0.0153	✓	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.00273	0.00265	-2.95%	0.002648	-3.03%	0.0041	✓	0.50
2026-09-22	oos	0.002788	0.002716	-2.61%	0.002717	-2.55%	0.0153	✓	0.49
2026-09-21	oos	0.002786	0.002717	-2.48%	0.002731	-1.95%	0.0235	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.002651	0.002569	-3.10%	0.00279	+5.25%	0.0641	✗	0.46
2026-09-19	oos	0.00285	0.002758	-3.22%	0.002743	-3.76%	0.0229	✓	0.45
2026-09-18	oos	0.002697	0.002615	-3.01%	0.002707	+0.37%	0.0167	✓	0.45
2026-09-17	oos	0.002583	0.002512	-2.78%	0.002674	+3.52%	0.0200	✓	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.002491	0.00243	-2.46%	0.00273	+9.61%	0.0728	✗	0.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.002579	0.002513	-2.53%	0.002788	+8.13%	0.0463	✗	0.44
2026-09-14	oos	0.00289	0.002798	-3.18%	0.002786	-3.60%	0.0312	✓	0.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.002902	0.00281	-3.16%	0.002651	-8.63%	0.0733	✓	0.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.003038	0.002932	-3.51%	0.00285	-6.20%	0.0409	✓	0.25
2026-09-11	oos	0.002933	0.002842	-3.11%	0.002697	-8.05%	0.0642	✓	0.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.002973	0.00288	-3.12%	0.002583	-13.11%	0.1082	✓	0.26
2026-09-09	oos	0.003018	0.002925	-3.08%	0.002491	-17.47%	0.1542	✓	0.24
2026-09-08	oos	0.002894	0.002818	-2.61%	0.002579	-10.88%	0.0796	✓	0.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.002854	0.002786	-2.38%	0.00289	+1.25%	0.0394	✗	0.25
2026-09-06	oos	0.002809	0.00275	-2.09%	0.002902	+3.31%	0.0652	✗	0.26
2026-09-05	oos	0.002845	0.002786	-2.08%	0.003038	+6.79%	0.0951	✗	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.002662	0.002623	-1.44%	0.002933	+10.19%	0.1198	✗	0.26
2026-09-03	oos	0.002657	0.002628	-1.09%	0.002973	+11.91%	0.1391	✗	0.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.002679	0.002638	-1.54%	0.003018	+12.66%	0.1304	✗	0.34
2026-09-01	oos	0.002757	0.002712	-1.63%	0.002894	+4.95%	0.0603	✗	0.33
2026-08-31	oos	0.002768	0.002728	-1.46%	0.002854	+3.10%	0.0430	✗	0.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.002631	0.002599	-1.23%	0.002809	+6.75%	0.0674	✗	0.30
2026-08-29	oos	0.00288	0.002821	-2.08%	0.002845	-1.22%	0.0039	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.002962	0.002899	-2.13%	0.002662	-10.15%	0.0911	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.002917	0.002866	-1.75%	0.002657	-8.94%	0.0791	✓	0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.002761	0.00271	-1.84%	0.002679	-2.95%	0.0063	✓	0.23
2026-08-25	oos	0.003037	0.002955	-2.72%	0.002757	-9.23%	0.0657	✓	0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.002855	0.002796	-2.07%	0.002768	-3.04%	0.0084	✓	0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.00248	0.002454	-1.04%	0.002631	+6.10%	0.0698	✗	0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.002637	0.002589	-1.84%	0.00288	+9.21%	0.1035	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.002832	0.002769	-2.21%	0.002962	+4.60%	0.0679	✗	0.09
2026-08-20	oos	0.002643	0.002564	-3.01%	0.002917	+10.37%	0.1457	✗	-0.17
2026-08-19	oos	0.002541	0.002438	-4.07%	0.002761	+8.62%	0.0071	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.002767	0.002658	-3.96%	0.003037	+9.77%	0.0604	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.003116	0.002978	-4.42%	0.002855	-8.38%	0.2452	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.002687	0.002563	-4.60%	0.00248	-7.70%	0.2458	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.002798	0.002665	-4.75%	0.002637	-5.74%	0.2115	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.002543	0.00243	-4.46%	0.002832	+11.36%	0.0649	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.002369	0.002268	-4.25%	0.002643	+11.58%	0.0123	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.002229	0.002142	-3.92%	0.002541	+14.00%	0.0822	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.0022	0.002116	-3.83%	0.002767	+25.79%	0.2505	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.002055	0.001987	-3.31%	0.003116	+51.64%	0.4411	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.001954	0.001896	-2.96%	0.002687	+37.51%	0.3802	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.001931	0.001873	-2.98%	0.002798	+44.91%	0.4307	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.002011	0.001945	-3.28%	0.002543	+26.43%	0.2979	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.001839	0.001785	-2.91%	0.002369	+28.84%	0.2961	✗	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.00184	0.001786	-2.97%	0.002229	+21.14%	0.2405	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.001926	0.001865	-3.19%	0.0022	+14.21%	0.1733	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.001892	0.001832	-3.15%	0.002055	+8.63%	0.1078	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.001897	0.001837	-3.17%	0.001954	+2.98%	0.0406	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.00193	0.001865	-3.33%	0.001931	+0.06%	0.0009	✓	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.00186	0.001799	-3.26%	0.002011	+8.13%	0.0790	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.001836	0.001758	-4.27%	0.001839	+0.13%	0.0520	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.