BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · lstm_s0
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +7d
assessed
43
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
16.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2692
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0240
actual +0.2329
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 2.1044 | 2.0337 | -3.36% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 1.9792 | -3.13% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.9077 | -2.98% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.3424 | -3.01% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.3542 | -3.45% | – | pending | – | – | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.8722 | -2.89% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.7687 | -2.64% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.2664 | -4.79% | 2.1044 | -11.59% | 0.0549 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 1.9799 | -5.19% | 2.0432 | -2.16% | 0.0289 | ✓ | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.6787 | -4.05% | 1.9664 | +12.39% | 0.1599 | ✗ | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.5666 | -3.64% | 2.4152 | +48.56% | 0.4035 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.5346 | -3.13% | 2.4383 | +53.91% | 0.4358 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.5259 | -3.13% | 1.9279 | +22.38% | 0.2152 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.3546 | -2.74% | 1.8166 | +30.43% | 0.3014 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.2622 | -2.73% | 2.3803 | +83.45% | 0.6033 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.1788 | -2.86% | 2.0884 | +72.09% | 0.5286 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.1975 | -2.93% | 1.7495 | +41.82% | 0.3068 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.2084 | -3.00% | 1.6258 | +30.50% | 0.2453 | ✗ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 1.0095 | -2.72% | 1.5842 | +52.66% | 0.4119 | ✗ | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.3436 | -2.74% | 1.5753 | +14.02% | 0.1179 | ✗ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.3787 | -2.79% | 1.3928 | -1.80% | 0.0573 | ✓ | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.2954 | -2.52% | 1.2975 | -2.36% | 0.0045 | ✓ | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.3496 | -2.82% | 1.2135 | -12.62% | 0.0648 | ✓ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.0926 | -2.38% | 1.2336 | +10.23% | 0.1716 | ✗ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.1925 | -2.31% | 1.2458 | +2.06% | 0.0911 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.980358 | -2.12% | 1.0377 | +3.61% | 0.0644 | ✗ | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.2599 | -4.22% | 1.3815 | +5.03% | 0.1016 | ✗ | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.932271 | -2.32% | 1.4183 | +48.61% | 0.4296 | ✗ | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 1.0106 | -2.62% | 1.329 | +28.05% | 0.2558 | ✗ | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.877633 | -2.25% | 1.3887 | +54.68% | 0.4891 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.779014 | -2.71% | 1.1192 | +39.78% | 0.3993 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.727414 | -2.63% | 1.2207 | +63.40% | 0.4778 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.579267 | -1.87% | 1.0015 | +69.67% | 0.5091 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.617654 | -1.99% | 1.3154 | +108.72% | 0.7169 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.707316 | -1.75% | 0.9544 | +32.57% | 0.1995 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.7375 | -1.69% | 1.0378 | +38.34% | 0.2389 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.693156 | -1.69% | 0.8978 | +27.34% | 0.1273 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.572531 | -1.73% | 0.8007 | +37.44% | 0.2331 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.710096 | -3.32% | 0.74705 | +1.72% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.542668 | -1.39% | 0.5903 | +7.27% | 0.0340 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.502828 | -1.17% | 0.6302 | +23.86% | 0.1794 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.493423 | -1.33% | 0.7199 | +43.97% | 0.3802 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.446733 | -0.97% | 0.7502 | +66.30% | 0.5461 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.433775 | -0.91% | 0.70505 | +61.06% | 0.5229 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.44689 | -0.92% | 0.5826 | +29.17% | 0.2769 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.443986 | -0.76% | 0.73445 | +64.16% | 0.5484 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.448422 | -0.84% | 0.5503 | +21.69% | 0.2374 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.451818 | -1.04% | 0.5088 | +11.44% | 0.1502 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.447702 | -1.47% | 0.50005 | +10.05% | 0.1705 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.481605 | -1.63% | 0.4511 | -7.86% | 0.0780 | ✓ | 1.00 |