BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · lstm_s0
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +1d
assessed
49
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
36.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1132
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0078
actual +0.0275
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 2.1044 | 2.0879 | -0.78% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 2.0292 | -0.68% | 2.1044 | +3.00% | 0.0320 | ✗ | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.954 | -0.63% | 2.0432 | +3.91% | 0.0647 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.3946 | -0.85% | 1.9664 | -18.58% | 0.2002 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.4084 | -1.23% | 2.4152 | -0.95% | 0.0145 | ✗ | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.9123 | -0.80% | 2.4383 | +26.48% | 0.2408 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.8045 | -0.67% | 1.9279 | +6.12% | 0.0547 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.321 | -2.49% | 1.8166 | -23.68% | 0.2355 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 2.0311 | -2.74% | 2.3803 | +13.98% | 0.1340 | ✗ | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.7226 | -1.54% | 2.0884 | +19.36% | 0.2168 | ✗ | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.6074 | -1.13% | 1.7495 | +7.61% | 0.0506 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.5714 | -0.81% | 1.6258 | +2.62% | 0.0475 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.5622 | -0.83% | 1.5842 | +0.57% | 0.0205 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.3837 | -0.65% | 1.5753 | +13.10% | 0.1454 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.2895 | -0.62% | 1.3928 | +7.34% | 0.0483 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.2059 | -0.63% | 1.2975 | +6.93% | 0.0331 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.2251 | -0.69% | 1.2135 | -1.63% | 0.0132 | ✓ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.2367 | -0.73% | 1.2336 | -0.98% | 0.0160 | ✓ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 1.0325 | -0.50% | 1.2458 | +20.05% | 0.2243 | ✗ | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.3723 | -0.67% | 1.0377 | -24.89% | 0.2746 | ✓ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.4079 | -0.74% | 1.3815 | -2.59% | 0.0261 | ✓ | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.3199 | -0.68% | 1.4183 | +6.72% | 0.1000 | ✗ | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.3766 | -0.88% | 1.329 | -4.31% | 0.0370 | ✓ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.1118 | -0.66% | 1.3887 | +24.08% | 0.2265 | ✗ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.2126 | -0.67% | 1.1192 | -8.31% | 0.1038 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.99582 | -0.57% | 1.2207 | +21.88% | 0.2047 | ✗ | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.2888 | -2.02% | 1.0015 | -23.86% | 0.2447 | ✓ | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.947487 | -0.72% | 1.3154 | +37.82% | 0.3217 | ✗ | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 1.0277 | -0.97% | 0.9544 | -8.04% | 0.0738 | ✓ | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.891322 | -0.72% | 1.0378 | +15.59% | 0.1735 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.79228 | -1.05% | 0.8978 | +12.13% | 0.1296 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.740385 | -0.89% | 0.8007 | +7.18% | 0.0135 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.588033 | -0.38% | 0.74705 | +26.55% | 0.2403 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.627464 | -0.43% | 0.5903 | -6.33% | 0.0655 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.716792 | -0.43% | 0.6302 | -12.46% | 0.1863 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.746347 | -0.51% | 0.7199 | -4.04% | 0.0388 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.70101 | -0.57% | 0.7502 | +6.40% | 0.0604 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.578655 | -0.68% | 0.70505 | +21.02% | 0.2313 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.721189 | -1.81% | 0.5826 | -20.68% | 0.2311 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.548014 | -0.42% | 0.73445 | +33.46% | 0.2988 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.507285 | -0.30% | 0.5503 | +8.16% | 0.0807 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.497957 | -0.42% | 0.5088 | +1.75% | 0.0128 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.450491 | -0.13% | 0.50005 | +10.85% | 0.1269 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.43727 | -0.11% | 0.4511 | +3.05% | 0.0332 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.450256 | -0.18% | 0.43775 | -2.95% | 0.0200 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.44687 | -0.12% | 0.45105 | +0.82% | 0.0250 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.451278 | -0.20% | 0.4474 | -1.06% | 0.0150 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.454732 | -0.40% | 0.4522 | -0.95% | 0.0075 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.450335 | -0.89% | 0.45655 | +0.47% | 0.0335 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.485897 | -0.76% | 0.4544 | -7.19% | 0.1169 | ✓ | 1.00 |