AVL

Avalon · Ethereum · lstm_s0

token id: #696
symbol: AVL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 144

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 48 predictions shown

direction hit

48.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0665

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0209

actual -0.0043

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.021245	0.020835	-1.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-21	oos	0.021361	0.02093	-2.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-20	oos	0.019693	0.019346	-1.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.020678	0.020238	-2.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-18	oos	0.019445	0.019093	-1.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-17	oos	0.020546	0.020145	-1.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-16	oos	0.022173	0.021646	-2.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.020543	0.020068	-2.31%	0.021245	+3.41%	0.0259	✗	1.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.018647	0.018339	-1.65%	0.021361	+14.55%	0.1169	✗	1.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.019376	0.01906	-1.63%	0.019693	+1.64%	0.0350	✗	1.19
2026-10-12	oos	0.018817	0.018514	-1.61%	0.020678	+9.89%	0.1092	✗	1.17
2026-10-11	oos	0.020663	0.02028	-1.85%	0.019445	-5.89%	0.0200	✓	1.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.022471	0.021977	-2.19%	0.020546	-8.56%	0.0462	✓	1.14
2026-10-09	oos	0.019944	0.019643	-1.51%	0.022173	+11.18%	0.1353	✗	1.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.019933	0.019639	-1.48%	0.020543	+3.06%	0.0392	✗	1.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.022334	0.021932	-1.80%	0.018647	-16.51%	0.1414	✓	1.01
2026-10-06	oos	0.02175	0.021405	-1.59%	0.019376	-10.92%	0.0674	✓	1.11
2026-10-05	oos	0.022515	0.022128	-1.72%	0.018817	-16.42%	0.1090	✓	1.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.022884	0.022478	-1.78%	0.020663	-9.71%	0.0474	✓	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.022833	0.02243	-1.77%	0.022471	-1.59%	0.0264	✗	1.13
2026-10-02	oos	0.022786	0.022366	-1.84%	0.019944	-12.47%	0.0882	✓	1.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.022953	0.022561	-1.70%	0.019933	-13.15%	0.0811	✓	1.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.023642	0.02319	-1.91%	0.022334	-5.53%	0.0337	✓	1.17
2026-09-29	oos	0.022532	0.022154	-1.68%	0.02175	-3.47%	0.0448	✓	1.17
2026-09-28	oos	0.021848	0.021492	-1.63%	0.022515	+3.05%	0.0148	✓	1.17
2026-09-27	oos	0.024924	0.024371	-2.22%	0.022884	-8.18%	0.0885	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.025513	0.024878	-2.49%	0.022833	-10.50%	0.0898	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.024789	0.024178	-2.46%	0.022786	-8.08%	0.0642	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.024097	0.023553	-2.26%	0.022953	-4.75%	0.0313	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.023279	0.022772	-2.18%	0.023642	+1.56%	0.0473	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.024603	0.024061	-2.20%	0.022532	-8.42%	0.0355	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.023323	0.022854	-2.01%	0.021848	-6.32%	0.0081	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.021137	0.020599	-2.54%	0.024924	+17.92%	0.1507	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.021371	0.020822	-2.57%	0.025513	+19.38%	0.1648	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0216	0.021037	-2.61%	0.024789	+14.76%	0.1251	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.020413	0.019843	-2.79%	0.024097	+18.05%	0.0942	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.020576	0.02	-2.80%	0.023279	+13.14%	0.0491	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.021305	0.020671	-2.98%	0.024603	+15.48%	0.0427	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.020442	0.019907	-2.62%	0.023323	+14.09%	0.0561	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.020262	0.019697	-2.79%	0.021137	+4.32%	0.0153	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.021569	0.020836	-3.40%	0.021371	-0.92%	0.0248	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.020448	0.019929	-2.53%	0.0216	+5.64%	0.0341	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.018637	0.0183	-1.81%	0.020413	+9.53%	0.1118	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.02012	0.019712	-2.03%	0.020576	+2.26%	0.0706	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.020503	0.020114	-1.90%	0.021305	+3.91%	0.0947	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.020774	0.02043	-1.66%	0.020442	-1.60%	0.0122	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.020602	0.02034	-1.27%	0.020262	-1.65%	0.0412	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.020591	0.020351	-1.17%	0.021569	+4.75%	0.0908	✗	1.00