AVA

AVA (Travala) · Ethereum · lstm_s0

token id: #60
symbol: AVA
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xa6c0c097741d55ecd9a3a7def3a8253fd022ceb9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-14
predictions: 456

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

151

of 152 predictions shown

direction hit

57.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0357

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0059

actual +0.0013

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3215	0.318584	-0.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.37
2026-10-20	oos	0.3432	0.339714	-1.02%	0.3215	-6.32%	0.0540	✓	0.37
2026-10-19	oos	0.42285	0.412343	-2.48%	0.3432	-18.84%	0.1895	✓	0.45
2026-10-18	oos	0.3193	0.313319	-1.87%	0.42285	+32.43%	0.3008	✗	0.49
2026-10-17	oos	0.3784	0.367348	-2.92%	0.3193	-15.62%	0.1441	✓	0.51
2026-10-16	oos	0.2935	0.290476	-1.03%	0.3784	+28.93%	0.2652	✗	0.54
2026-10-15	oos	0.2846	0.280969	-1.28%	0.2935	+3.13%	0.0478	✗	0.54
2026-10-14	oos	0.26855	0.262779	-2.15%	0.2846	+5.98%	0.0761	✗	0.54
2026-10-13	oos	0.2373	0.235331	-0.83%	0.26855	+13.17%	0.1437	✗	0.63
2026-10-12	oos	0.2321	0.231057	-0.45%	0.2373	+2.24%	0.0164	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.22825	0.227122	-0.49%	0.2321	+1.69%	0.0367	✗	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.2325	0.231368	-0.49%	0.22825	-1.83%	0.0196	✓	0.66
2026-10-09	oos	0.2387	0.237536	-0.49%	0.2325	-2.60%	0.0244	✓	0.66
2026-10-08	oos	0.23205	0.231046	-0.43%	0.2387	+2.87%	0.0257	✗	0.66
2026-10-07	oos	0.22615	0.225208	-0.42%	0.23205	+2.61%	0.0430	✗	0.68
2026-10-06	oos	0.23255	0.231487	-0.46%	0.22615	-2.75%	0.0053	✓	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.24515	0.243977	-0.48%	0.23255	-5.14%	0.0463	✓	0.67
2026-10-04	oos	0.2621	0.26064	-0.56%	0.24515	-6.47%	0.0554	✓	0.67
2026-10-03	oos	0.26635	0.264552	-0.68%	0.2621	-1.60%	0.0234	✓	0.68
2026-10-02	oos	0.26025	0.258656	-0.61%	0.26635	+2.34%	0.0274	✗	0.68
2026-10-01	oos	0.25855	0.257035	-0.59%	0.26025	+0.66%	0.0152	✗	0.68
2026-09-30	oos	0.2456	0.244344	-0.51%	0.25855	+5.27%	0.0461	✗	0.68
2026-09-29	oos	0.24525	0.243989	-0.51%	0.2456	+0.14%	0.0072	✗	0.66
2026-09-28	oos	0.2432	0.241897	-0.54%	0.24525	+0.84%	0.0123	✗	0.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.2525	0.250997	-0.60%	0.2432	-3.68%	0.0233	✓	0.69
2026-09-26	oos	0.2456	0.24436	-0.50%	0.2525	+2.81%	0.0324	✗	0.69
2026-09-25	oos	0.26395	0.26199	-0.74%	0.2456	-6.95%	0.0672	✓	0.69
2026-09-24	oos	0.2556	0.254088	-0.59%	0.26395	+3.27%	0.0405	✗	0.70
2026-09-23	oos	0.253	0.251503	-0.59%	0.2556	+1.03%	0.0161	✗	0.70
2026-09-22	oos	0.25725	0.255837	-0.55%	0.253	-1.65%	0.0039	✓	0.70
2026-09-21	oos	0.24785	0.246797	-0.42%	0.25725	+3.79%	0.0448	✗	0.73
2026-09-20	oos	0.2389	0.236458	-1.02%	0.24785	+3.75%	0.0023	✓	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.2257	0.223701	-0.89%	0.2389	+5.85%	0.0664	✗	0.76
2026-09-18	oos	0.2356	0.230805	-2.04%	0.2257	-4.20%	0.0258	✓	0.78
2026-09-17	oos	0.2631	0.2519	-4.26%	0.2356	-10.45%	0.1273	✓	1.05
2026-09-16	oos	0.15575	0.15494	-0.52%	0.2631	+68.92%	0.5267	✗	1.03
2026-09-15	oos	0.15935	0.158428	-0.58%	0.15575	-2.26%	0.0248	✓	1.05
2026-09-14	oos	0.16475	0.163326	-0.86%	0.15935	-3.28%	0.0102	✗	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.17235	0.169277	-1.78%	0.16475	-4.41%	0.0458	✓	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.16675	0.165963	-0.47%	0.17235	+3.36%	0.0442	✗	1.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.1533	0.15279	-0.33%	0.16675	+8.77%	0.0867	✗	1.07
2026-09-10	oos	0.14845	0.148174	-0.19%	0.1533	+3.27%	0.0248	✗	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.15835	0.157917	-0.27%	0.14845	-6.25%	0.0385	✓	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.16595	0.16543	-0.31%	0.15835	-4.58%	0.0414	✓	1.09
2026-09-07	oos	0.16025	0.16005	-0.12%	0.16595	+3.56%	0.0452	✗	1.11
2026-09-06	oos	0.1657	0.165564	-0.08%	0.16025	-3.29%	0.0152	✓	1.11
2026-09-05	oos	0.17045	0.170414	-0.02%	0.1657	-2.79%	0.0351	✓	1.11
2026-09-04	oos	0.1723	0.172317	+0.01%	0.17045	-1.07%	0.0131	✗	1.11
2026-09-03	oos	0.19615	0.196024	-0.06%	0.1723	-12.16%	0.1086	✓	1.04
2026-09-02	oos	0.1842	0.18415	-0.03%	0.19615	+6.49%	0.0101	✗	1.06
2026-09-01	oos	0.1902	0.190146	-0.03%	0.1842	-3.15%	0.0305	✓	1.07
2026-08-31	oos	0.19365	0.19366	+0.01%	0.1902	-1.78%	0.0031	✗	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.19105	0.191163	+0.06%	0.19365	+1.36%	0.0014	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.1997	0.199696	-0.00%	0.19105	-4.33%	0.0372	✓	0.97
2026-08-28	oos	0.202	0.202041	+0.02%	0.1997	-1.14%	0.0166	✗	0.97
2026-08-27	oos	0.2085	0.208396	-0.05%	0.202	-3.12%	0.0012	✓	0.97
2026-08-26	oos	0.21075	0.210593	-0.07%	0.2085	-1.07%	0.0253	✓	0.98
2026-08-25	oos	0.2092	0.208989	-0.10%	0.21075	+0.74%	0.0021	✗	0.99
2026-08-24	oos	0.2018	0.201603	-0.10%	0.2092	+3.67%	0.0427	✗	0.99
2026-08-23	oos	0.20705	0.206695	-0.17%	0.2018	-2.54%	0.0401	✓	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.2035	0.203055	-0.22%	0.20705	+1.74%	0.0107	✗	1.01
2026-08-21	oos	0.2049	0.204283	-0.30%	0.2035	-0.68%	0.0127	✗	1.01
2026-08-20	oos	0.191	0.190387	-0.32%	0.2049	+7.28%	0.0021	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.1799	0.17877	-0.63%	0.191	+6.17%	0.0132	✗	1.02
2026-08-18	oos	0.17065	0.169353	-0.76%	0.1799	+5.42%	0.0121	✓	1.05
2026-08-17	oos	0.17415	0.172718	-0.82%	0.17065	-2.01%	0.0155	✓	1.08
2026-08-16	oos	0.17405	0.172572	-0.85%	0.17415	+0.06%	0.0195	✓	1.11
2026-08-15	oos	0.17835	0.176765	-0.89%	0.17405	-2.41%	0.0123	✓	1.11
2026-08-14	oos	0.17865	0.177025	-0.91%	0.17835	-0.17%	0.0067	✓	1.12
2026-08-13	oos	0.18025	0.178547	-0.94%	0.17865	-0.89%	0.0086	✓	1.12
2026-08-12	oos	0.18485	0.183071	-0.96%	0.18025	-2.49%	0.0158	✓	1.15
2026-08-11	oos	0.19115	0.189287	-0.97%	0.18485	-3.30%	0.0215	✓	1.15
2026-08-10	oos	0.203	0.200955	-1.01%	0.19115	-5.84%	0.0432	✓	1.15
2026-08-09	oos	0.2075	0.205303	-1.06%	0.203	-2.17%	0.0054	✓	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.20655	0.204183	-1.15%	0.2075	+0.46%	0.0172	✗	1.14
2026-08-07	oos	0.21025	0.207232	-1.44%	0.20655	-1.76%	0.0036	✓	1.15
2026-08-06	oos	0.1902	0.187846	-1.24%	0.21025	+10.54%	0.1020	✗	1.11
2026-08-05	oos	0.18165	0.179466	-1.20%	0.1902	+4.71%	0.0639	✗	1.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.16775	0.165861	-1.13%	0.18165	+8.29%	0.0816	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	0.1717	0.169265	-1.42%	0.16775	-2.30%	0.0190	✓	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.1825	0.180096	-1.32%	0.1717	-5.92%	0.0472	✓	1.10
2026-08-01	oos	0.17155	0.1686	-1.72%	0.1825	+6.38%	0.0667	✗	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	0.16075	0.159278	-0.92%	0.17155	+6.72%	0.0753	✗	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	0.152	0.150739	-0.83%	0.16075	+5.76%	0.0987	✗	1.16
2026-07-29	oos	0.1501	0.148933	-0.78%	0.152	+1.27%	0.0055	✓	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.1533	0.152106	-0.78%	0.1501	-2.09%	0.0142	✓	1.16
2026-07-27	oos	0.15455	0.153381	-0.76%	0.1533	-0.81%	0.0033	✓	1.16
2026-07-26	oos	0.1624	0.161134	-0.78%	0.15455	-4.83%	0.0124	✓	1.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.1637	0.162435	-0.77%	0.1624	-0.79%	0.0190	✓	1.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.15435	0.153279	-0.69%	0.1637	+6.06%	0.0620	✗	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.15365	0.152605	-0.68%	0.15435	+0.46%	0.0288	✗	1.16
2026-07-22	oos	0.1581	0.157142	-0.61%	0.15365	-2.81%	0.0042	✓	1.16
2026-07-21	oos	0.15995	0.159112	-0.52%	0.1581	-1.16%	0.0011	✓	1.16
2026-07-20	oos	0.1559	0.155033	-0.56%	0.15995	+2.60%	0.0084	✗	1.15
2026-07-19	oos	0.1539	0.153046	-0.55%	0.1559	+1.30%	0.0091	✗	1.15
2026-07-18	oos	0.15475	0.153925	-0.53%	0.1539	-0.55%	0.0019	✓	1.15
2026-07-17	oos	0.158	0.157183	-0.52%	0.15475	-2.06%	0.0320	✓	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.15955	0.158752	-0.50%	0.158	-0.97%	0.0070	✓	1.17
2026-07-15	oos	0.16415	0.163427	-0.44%	0.15955	-2.80%	0.0068	✓	1.17
2026-07-14	oos	0.1618	0.161155	-0.40%	0.16415	+1.45%	0.0233	✗	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.1574	0.156766	-0.40%	0.1618	+2.80%	0.0202	✓	1.21
2026-07-12	oos	0.1628	0.162153	-0.40%	0.1574	-3.32%	0.0014	✓	1.21
2026-07-11	oos	0.16735	0.166708	-0.38%	0.1628	-2.72%	0.0231	✓	1.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.1696	0.168921	-0.40%	0.16735	-1.33%	0.0026	✓	1.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.16805	0.167385	-0.40%	0.1696	+0.92%	0.0051	✓	1.22
2026-07-08	oos	0.1669	0.166261	-0.38%	0.16805	+0.69%	0.0076	✓	1.23
2026-07-07	oos	0.1711	0.170435	-0.39%	0.1669	-2.45%	0.0002	✓	1.23
2026-07-06	oos	0.17935	0.17862	-0.41%	0.1711	-4.60%	0.0300	✓	1.22
2026-07-05	oos	0.1803	0.179536	-0.42%	0.17935	-0.53%	0.0091	✓	1.22
2026-07-04	oos	0.18395	0.183107	-0.46%	0.1803	-1.98%	0.0252	✓	1.24
2026-07-03	oos	0.17725	0.176348	-0.51%	0.18395	+3.78%	0.0312	✗	1.22
2026-07-02	oos	0.17095	0.170095	-0.50%	0.17725	+3.69%	0.0211	✗	1.20
2026-07-01	oos	0.17475	0.173924	-0.47%	0.17095	-2.17%	0.0494	✓	1.28
2026-06-30	oos	0.16145	0.160881	-0.35%	0.17475	+8.24%	0.0536	✗	1.20
2026-06-29	oos	0.1661	0.165447	-0.39%	0.16145	-2.80%	0.0089	✗	1.21
2026-06-28	oos	0.16695	0.166447	-0.30%	0.1661	-0.51%	0.0162	✓	1.22
2026-06-27	oos	0.16885	0.168385	-0.28%	0.16695	-1.13%	0.0009	✓	1.22
2026-06-26	oos	0.1731	0.172712	-0.22%	0.16885	-2.46%	0.0212	✓	1.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.17085	0.170678	-0.10%	0.1731	+1.32%	0.0080	✗	1.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1746	0.174383	-0.12%	0.17085	-2.15%	0.0056	✗	1.23
2026-06-23	oos	0.18185	0.181514	-0.18%	0.1746	-3.99%	0.0059	✓	1.22
2026-06-22	oos	0.18755	0.187115	-0.23%	0.18185	-3.04%	0.0034	✓	1.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.1911	0.190806	-0.15%	0.18755	-1.86%	0.0313	✓	1.25
2026-06-20	oos	0.19835	0.197801	-0.28%	0.1911	-3.66%	0.0152	✓	1.24
2026-06-19	oos	0.19035	0.189866	-0.25%	0.19835	+4.20%	0.0295	✗	1.21
2026-06-18	oos	0.1941	0.192903	-0.62%	0.19035	-1.93%	0.0251	✓	1.25
2026-06-17	oos	0.2037	0.202112	-0.78%	0.1941	-4.71%	0.0103	✓	1.22
2026-06-16	oos	0.1998	0.198448	-0.68%	0.2037	+1.95%	0.0487	✗	1.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.1971	0.195906	-0.61%	0.1998	+1.37%	0.0323	✗	1.26
2026-06-14	oos	0.1934	0.192664	-0.38%	0.1971	+1.91%	0.0119	✗	1.25
2026-06-13	oos	0.1904	0.190015	-0.20%	0.1934	+1.58%	0.0072	✓	1.27
2026-06-12	oos	0.191	0.190491	-0.27%	0.1904	-0.31%	0.0144	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.19395	0.193247	-0.36%	0.191	-1.52%	0.0113	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.1754	0.175653	+0.14%	0.19395	+10.58%	0.0652	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.17575	0.176077	+0.19%	0.1754	-0.20%	0.0000	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.1836	0.183483	-0.06%	0.17575	-4.28%	0.0210	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.1835	0.183185	-0.17%	0.1836	+0.05%	0.0061	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.1772	0.177857	+0.37%	0.1835	+3.56%	0.0083	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.1769	0.177648	+0.42%	0.1772	+0.17%	0.0005	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.1918	0.191844	+0.02%	0.1769	-7.77%	0.0366	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.2098	0.209757	-0.02%	0.1918	-8.58%	0.0858	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.2063	0.205527	-0.37%	0.2098	+1.70%	0.0606	✗	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.2219	0.220885	-0.46%	0.2063	-7.03%	0.0008	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.2223	0.221203	-0.49%	0.2219	-0.18%	0.0344	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.21885	0.217825	-0.47%	0.2223	+1.58%	0.0230	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.21825	0.217297	-0.44%	0.21885	+0.27%	0.0016	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.215	0.214115	-0.41%	0.21825	+1.51%	0.0211	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.2224	0.22129	-0.50%	0.215	-3.33%	0.0180	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.2274	0.226566	-0.37%	0.2224	-2.20%	0.0016	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.2333	0.232422	-0.38%	0.2274	-2.53%	0.0033	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.2314	0.230569	-0.36%	0.2333	+0.82%	0.0082	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.2424	0.241543	-0.35%	0.2314	-4.54%	0.0471	✓	1.00