ARK

ARK · native · lstm_s0

token id: #261
symbol: ARK
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-09-26
predictions: 3,273

Track record at +30d

assessed

359

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

73.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1338

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0313

actual -0.0240

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.18393	0.17355	-5.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-21	oos	0.18695	0.176068	-5.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-20	oos	0.17451	0.164017	-6.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.173985	0.161995	-6.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-18	oos	0.16914	0.161838	-4.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-17	oos	0.173255	0.165457	-4.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-16	oos	0.17946	0.168828	-5.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.172315	-5.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-14	oos	0.18125	0.170554	-5.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.19077	0.178363	-6.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-12	oos	0.188815	0.175938	-6.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.20696	0.190626	-7.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-10	oos	0.21283	0.196106	-7.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-09	oos	0.21456	0.197915	-7.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-08	oos	0.22464	0.205239	-8.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-07	oos	0.2145	0.195395	-8.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.208695	0.192029	-7.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.21823	0.200826	-7.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-04	oos	0.22409	0.206884	-7.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.231185	0.212044	-8.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-02	oos	0.21165	0.194229	-8.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.243225	0.219893	-9.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.26057	0.232902	-10.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-29	oos	0.251205	0.227744	-9.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-28	oos	0.23865	0.216427	-9.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-09-27	oos	0.247355	0.225181	-8.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-26	oos	0.260575	0.232924	-10.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-09-25	oos	0.25433	0.22476	-11.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-24	oos	0.1933	0.178452	-7.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.15873	0.154919	-2.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	0.158	0.154943	-1.93%	0.18393	+16.41%	0.1945	✗	0.99
2026-09-21	oos	0.154	0.15094	-1.99%	0.18695	+21.40%	0.2438	✗	0.99
2026-09-20	oos	0.15176	0.146798	-3.27%	0.17451	+14.99%	0.1495	✗	1.08
2026-09-19	oos	0.15344	0.148573	-3.17%	0.173985	+13.39%	0.1499	✗	1.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.142255	0.138514	-2.63%	0.16914	+18.90%	0.1848	✗	1.08
2026-09-17	oos	0.13709	0.132105	-3.64%	0.173255	+26.38%	0.1994	✗	1.12
2026-09-16	oos	0.149755	0.140516	-6.17%	0.17946	+19.84%	0.1686	✗	1.12
2026-09-15	oos	0.145165	0.13666	-5.86%	0.18215	+25.48%	0.1935	✗	1.13
2026-09-14	oos	0.168585	0.153832	-8.75%	0.18125	+7.51%	0.1213	✗	1.01
2026-09-13	oos	0.13775	0.131672	-4.41%	0.19077	+38.49%	0.2988	✗	0.91
2026-09-12	oos	0.132925	0.128892	-3.03%	0.188815	+42.05%	0.3298	✗	0.92
2026-09-11	oos	0.114605	0.111454	-2.75%	0.20696	+80.59%	0.5438	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.11005	0.106951	-2.82%	0.21283	+93.39%	0.6138	✗	0.93
2026-09-09	oos	0.117645	0.114328	-2.82%	0.21456	+82.38%	0.5821	✗	0.90
2026-09-08	oos	0.116325	0.113128	-2.75%	0.22464	+93.11%	0.6503	✗	0.88
2026-09-07	oos	0.114495	0.111544	-2.58%	0.2145	+87.34%	0.6086	✗	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.1178	0.114939	-2.43%	0.208695	+77.16%	0.5418	✗	0.87
2026-09-05	oos	0.1176	0.114731	-2.44%	0.21823	+85.57%	0.5806	✗	0.87
2026-09-04	oos	0.117595	0.11486	-2.33%	0.22409	+90.56%	0.5965	✗	0.87
2026-09-03	oos	0.11391	0.11215	-1.55%	0.231185	+102.95%	0.6852	✗	0.91
2026-09-02	oos	0.10991	0.107623	-2.08%	0.21165	+92.57%	0.5943	✗	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.10899	0.107326	-1.53%	0.243225	+123.16%	0.7333	✗	0.92
2026-08-31	oos	0.110155	0.109202	-0.87%	0.26057	+136.55%	0.8131	✗	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.1093	0.108765	-0.49%	0.251205	+129.83%	0.7697	✗	0.91
2026-08-29	oos	0.111545	0.111723	+0.16%	0.23865	+113.95%	0.7026	✓	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.112455	0.112069	-0.34%	0.247355	+119.96%	0.7208	✗	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.114335	0.114413	+0.07%	0.260575	+127.90%	0.7787	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.11256	0.113092	+0.47%	0.25433	+125.95%	0.7558	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.106795	0.109095	+2.15%	0.1933	+81.00%	0.5089	✓	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.107195	0.110176	+2.78%	0.15873	+48.08%	0.3071	✓	0.88
2026-08-23	oos	0.108375	0.111557	+2.94%	0.158	+45.79%	0.2556	✓	0.89
2026-08-22	oos	0.1085	0.112269	+3.47%	0.154	+41.94%	0.2115	✓	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.106915	0.111859	+4.62%	0.15176	+41.94%	0.2728	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.097025	0.102215	+5.35%	0.15344	+58.14%	0.3172	✓	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	0.09194	0.094451	+2.73%	0.142255	+54.73%	0.2836	✓	0.82
2026-08-18	oos	0.08602	0.084521	-1.74%	0.13709	+59.37%	0.3550	✗	0.78
2026-08-17	oos	0.08748	0.08568	-2.06%	0.149755	+71.19%	0.4282	✗	0.78
2026-08-16	oos	0.08796	0.085612	-2.67%	0.145165	+65.04%	0.3785	✗	0.81
2026-08-15	oos	0.08962	0.087127	-2.78%	0.168585	+88.11%	0.4862	✗	0.81
2026-08-14	oos	0.088395	0.085972	-2.74%	0.13775	+55.83%	0.3107	✗	0.81
2026-08-13	oos	0.090045	0.087653	-2.66%	0.132925	+47.62%	0.2563	✗	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.089295	0.087101	-2.46%	0.114605	+28.34%	0.1113	✗	0.83
2026-08-11	oos	0.09124	0.088907	-2.56%	0.11005	+20.62%	0.0599	✗	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	0.092525	0.090428	-2.27%	0.117645	+27.15%	0.0942	✗	0.83
2026-08-09	oos	0.093465	0.091583	-2.01%	0.116325	+24.46%	0.0782	✗	0.85
2026-08-08	oos	0.094535	0.092441	-2.22%	0.114495	+21.11%	0.0472	✗	0.84
2026-08-07	oos	0.094245	0.091929	-2.46%	0.1178	+24.99%	0.0680	✗	0.84
2026-08-06	oos	0.09463	0.092052	-2.72%	0.1176	+24.27%	0.0613	✗	0.85
2026-08-05	oos	0.093025	0.09061	-2.60%	0.117595	+26.41%	0.0825	✗	0.85
2026-08-04	oos	0.093385	0.090805	-2.76%	0.11391	+21.98%	0.0255	✓	0.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.094775	0.091945	-2.99%	0.10991	+15.97%	0.0089	✓	0.86
2026-08-02	oos	0.09291	0.090266	-2.85%	0.10899	+17.31%	0.0179	✓	0.86
2026-08-01	oos	0.092585	0.089867	-2.94%	0.110155	+18.98%	0.0142	✓	0.84
2026-07-31	oos	0.09376	0.090981	-2.96%	0.1093	+16.57%	0.0045	✓	0.84
2026-07-30	oos	0.09442	0.091889	-2.68%	0.111545	+18.14%	0.0290	✗	0.87
2026-07-29	oos	0.09288	0.090377	-2.70%	0.112455	+21.08%	0.0520	✗	0.84
2026-07-28	oos	0.09666	0.093873	-2.88%	0.114335	+18.29%	0.0042	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.097625	0.094742	-2.95%	0.11256	+15.30%	0.0109	✓	0.85
2026-07-26	oos	0.10425	0.101059	-3.06%	0.106795	+2.44%	0.0875	✓	0.78
2026-07-25	oos	0.1036	0.10035	-3.14%	0.107195	+3.47%	0.0955	✓	0.78
2026-07-24	oos	0.102	0.098858	-3.08%	0.108375	+6.25%	0.0601	✓	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.10346	0.100322	-3.03%	0.1085	+4.87%	0.0553	✓	0.79
2026-07-22	oos	0.105135	0.101996	-2.99%	0.106915	+1.69%	0.0860	✓	0.78
2026-07-21	oos	0.10553	0.102423	-2.94%	0.097025	-8.06%	0.1272	✓	0.78
2026-07-20	oos	0.102865	0.099814	-2.97%	0.09194	-10.62%	0.1277	✓	0.75
2026-07-19	oos	0.102685	0.099625	-2.98%	0.08602	-16.23%	0.1468	✓	0.75
2026-07-18	oos	0.105435	0.10225	-3.02%	0.08748	-17.03%	0.1522	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.10409	0.100973	-2.99%	0.08796	-15.50%	0.1249	✓	0.78
2026-07-16	oos	0.104335	0.101283	-2.93%	0.08962	-14.10%	0.1130	✓	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.1069	0.103527	-3.16%	0.088395	-17.31%	0.1367	✓	0.78
2026-07-14	oos	0.107745	0.104435	-3.07%	0.090045	-16.43%	0.1291	✓	0.79
2026-07-13	oos	0.10499	0.101617	-3.21%	0.089295	-14.95%	0.1439	✓	0.80
2026-07-12	oos	0.107	0.103668	-3.11%	0.09124	-14.73%	0.1251	✓	0.81
2026-07-11	oos	0.1078	0.104487	-3.07%	0.092525	-14.17%	0.1234	✓	0.81
2026-07-10	oos	0.1084	0.105142	-3.01%	0.093465	-13.78%	0.1268	✓	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.10599	0.102522	-3.27%	0.094535	-10.81%	0.1029	✓	0.80
2026-07-08	oos	0.10426	0.100939	-3.19%	0.094245	-9.61%	0.1019	✓	0.80
2026-07-07	oos	0.106835	0.10345	-3.17%	0.09463	-11.42%	0.1009	✓	0.79
2026-07-06	oos	0.110765	0.107249	-3.17%	0.093025	-16.02%	0.1496	✓	0.79
2026-07-05	oos	0.110715	0.107239	-3.14%	0.093385	-15.65%	0.1441	✓	0.78
2026-07-04	oos	0.11172	0.108202	-3.15%	0.094775	-15.17%	0.1372	✓	0.79
2026-07-03	oos	0.112	0.108102	-3.48%	0.09291	-17.04%	0.1636	✓	0.78
2026-07-02	oos	0.1092	0.105412	-3.47%	0.092585	-15.22%	0.1456	✓	0.77
2026-07-01	oos	0.10592	0.101928	-3.77%	0.09376	-11.48%	0.1189	✓	0.76
2026-06-30	oos	0.11245	0.108095	-3.87%	0.09442	-16.03%	0.2196	✓	0.84
2026-06-28	oos	0.110405	0.106129	-3.87%	0.09666	-12.45%	0.1525	✓	0.83
2026-06-27	oos	0.112845	0.107977	-4.31%	0.097625	-13.49%	0.1516	✓	0.84
2026-06-26	oos	0.10684	0.102795	-3.79%	0.10425	-2.42%	0.0574	✓	0.84
2026-06-25	oos	0.10414	0.100505	-3.49%	0.1036	-0.52%	0.0314	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	0.106585	0.103075	-3.29%	0.102	-4.30%	0.0514	✓	0.83
2026-06-23	oos	0.108595	0.104839	-3.46%	0.10346	-4.73%	0.0448	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.11121	0.106894	-3.88%	0.105135	-5.46%	0.0440	✓	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.11287	0.108515	-3.86%	0.10553	-6.50%	0.0705	✓	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.116545	0.112162	-3.76%	0.102865	-11.74%	0.0995	✓	0.85
2026-06-19	oos	0.113975	0.109838	-3.63%	0.102685	-9.91%	0.0834	✓	0.85
2026-06-18	oos	0.115755	0.110693	-4.37%	0.105435	-8.92%	0.0747	✓	0.87
2026-06-17	oos	0.121285	0.116041	-4.32%	0.10409	-14.18%	0.1014	✓	0.85
2026-06-16	oos	0.1241	0.118821	-4.25%	0.104335	-15.93%	0.1060	✓	0.84
2026-06-15	oos	0.124935	0.119748	-4.15%	0.1069	-14.44%	0.0928	✓	0.87
2026-06-14	oos	0.1246	0.119057	-4.45%	0.107745	-13.53%	0.0904	✓	0.86
2026-06-13	oos	0.121495	0.116321	-4.26%	0.10499	-13.58%	0.0716	✓	0.90
2026-06-12	oos	0.11965	0.115113	-3.79%	0.107	-10.57%	0.0760	✓	0.91
2026-06-11	oos	0.121415	0.116819	-3.79%	0.1078	-11.21%	0.0833	✓	0.90
2026-06-10	oos	0.120205	0.115606	-3.83%	0.1084	-9.82%	0.1037	✓	0.92
2026-06-09	oos	0.115155	0.111699	-3.00%	0.10599	-7.96%	0.0746	✓	0.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.14344	0.138517	-3.43%	0.112	-21.92%	0.1916	✓	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.14843	0.142794	-3.80%	0.1092	-26.43%	0.1980	✓	0.87
2026-06-01	oos	0.15781	0.152048	-3.65%	0.10592	-32.88%	0.2227	✓	0.80
2026-05-31	oos	0.156685	0.150177	-4.15%	0.11245	-28.23%	0.0993	✓	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.151745	0.14625	-3.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-29	oos	0.149	0.143399	-3.76%	0.110405	-25.90%	0.0946	✓	0.79
2026-05-28	oos	0.14687	0.141851	-3.42%	0.112845	-23.17%	0.0666	✓	0.79
2026-05-27	oos	0.151	0.146161	-3.20%	0.10684	-29.25%	0.1442	✓	0.79
2026-05-26	oos	0.15437	0.149071	-3.43%	0.10414	-32.54%	0.1700	✓	0.79
2026-05-25	oos	0.15909	0.152839	-3.93%	0.106585	-33.00%	0.1703	✓	0.80
2026-05-24	oos	0.158125	0.151816	-3.99%	0.108595	-31.32%	0.1695	✓	0.80
2026-05-23	oos	0.163095	0.156593	-3.99%	0.11121	-31.81%	0.1949	✓	0.81
2026-05-22	oos	0.15824	0.152278	-3.77%	0.11287	-28.67%	0.1566	✓	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.16376	0.158117	-3.45%	0.116545	-28.83%	0.1537	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	0.16008	0.155497	-2.86%	0.113975	-28.80%	0.1505	✓	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	0.1582	0.154102	-2.59%	0.115755	-26.83%	0.1261	✓	0.80
2026-05-18	oos	0.16315	0.159381	-2.31%	0.121285	-25.66%	0.1296	✓	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.162445	0.159623	-1.74%	0.1241	-23.60%	0.1183	✓	0.81
2026-05-16	oos	0.166865	0.165028	-1.10%	0.124935	-25.13%	0.1463	✓	0.80
2026-05-15	oos	0.17048	0.168877	-0.94%	0.1246	-26.91%	0.1517	✓	0.82
2026-05-14	oos	0.1781	0.17717	-0.52%	0.121495	-31.78%	0.1898	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.17641	0.175257	-0.65%	0.11965	-32.18%	0.1905	✓	0.86
2026-05-12	oos	0.18261	0.180977	-0.89%	0.121415	-33.51%	0.1997	✓	0.84
2026-05-11	oos	0.189155	0.188104	-0.56%	0.120205	-36.45%	0.2102	✓	0.83
2026-05-10	oos	0.18791	0.191016	+1.65%	0.115155	-38.72%	0.2707	✗	0.82
2026-05-07	oos	0.179	0.185174	+3.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-05-06	oos	0.1802	0.189039	+4.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-05-05	oos	0.177505	0.187516	+5.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-05-04	oos	0.175	0.183512	+4.86%	0.14344	-18.03%	0.0050	✓	1.09
2026-05-03	oos	0.17779	0.182138	+2.45%	0.14843	-16.51%	0.0243	✗	1.10
2026-05-01	oos	0.17355	0.176636	+1.78%	0.156685	-9.72%	0.0520	✗	1.10
2026-04-30	oos	0.17367	0.172086	-0.91%	0.151745	-12.62%	0.0884	✓	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.17556	0.173296	-1.29%	0.149	-15.13%	0.1156	✓	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.181895	0.179521	-1.31%	0.14687	-19.26%	0.1590	✓	1.11
2026-04-27	oos	0.17189	0.173214	+0.77%	0.151	-12.15%	0.0921	✗	1.12
2026-04-26	oos	0.176575	0.179962	+1.92%	0.15437	-12.58%	0.1120	✗	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.173675	0.176471	+1.61%	0.15909	-8.40%	0.0978	✗	1.13
2026-04-24	oos	0.17244	0.175059	+1.52%	0.158125	-8.30%	0.0947	✗	1.12
2026-04-23	oos	0.171695	0.174929	+1.88%	0.163095	-5.01%	0.0463	✗	1.13
2026-04-22	oos	0.172625	0.175605	+1.73%	0.15824	-8.33%	0.0636	✗	1.13
2026-04-21	oos	0.17375	0.173224	-0.30%	0.16376	-5.75%	0.0739	✓	1.14
2026-04-20	oos	0.17181	0.171069	-0.43%	0.16008	-6.83%	0.0902	✓	1.13
2026-04-19	oos	0.16685	0.164814	-1.22%	0.1582	-5.18%	0.0843	✓	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1744	0.172943	-0.84%	0.16315	-6.45%	0.0758	✓	1.11
2026-04-17	oos	0.17886	0.17749	-0.77%	0.162445	-9.18%	0.0930	✓	1.11
2026-04-16	oos	0.175965	0.173265	-1.53%	0.166865	-5.17%	0.0804	✓	1.11
2026-04-15	oos	0.17247	0.171149	-0.77%	0.17048	-1.15%	0.0650	✓	1.11
2026-04-14	oos	0.168605	0.167629	-0.58%	0.1781	+5.63%	0.0383	✓	1.11
2026-04-13	oos	0.17076	0.169414	-0.79%	0.17641	+3.31%	0.0294	✓	1.11
2026-04-12	oos	0.16379	0.160514	-2.00%	0.18261	+11.49%	0.0167	✓	1.13
2026-04-11	oos	0.16851	0.165909	-1.54%	0.189155	+12.25%	0.0046	✓	1.13
2026-04-10	oos	0.17066	0.167818	-1.67%	0.18791	+10.11%	0.0211	✓	1.13
2026-04-09	oos	0.16953	0.166271	-1.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-08	oos	0.168575	0.165309	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.171065	0.168237	-1.65%	0.179	+4.64%	0.0588	✓	1.13
2026-04-06	oos	0.16605	0.162181	-2.33%	0.1802	+8.52%	0.0834	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.166055	0.161871	-2.52%	0.177505	+6.90%	0.0868	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.165295	0.160978	-2.61%	0.175	+5.87%	0.1102	✓	1.13
2026-04-03	oos	0.16679	0.162333	-2.67%	0.17779	+6.60%	0.0901	✓	1.13
2026-04-02	oos	0.160885	0.156719	-2.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-01	oos	0.16651	0.161954	-2.74%	0.17355	+4.23%	0.0880	✓	1.13
2026-03-31	oos	0.16275	0.158499	-2.61%	0.17367	+6.71%	0.0356	✓	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.16123	0.156818	-2.74%	0.17556	+8.89%	0.0314	✓	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.15744	0.15319	-2.70%	0.181895	+15.53%	0.0065	✓	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.161465	0.156924	-2.81%	0.17189	+6.46%	0.0831	✓	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.161995	0.157372	-2.85%	0.176575	+9.00%	0.0775	✓	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.166535	0.161863	-2.81%	0.173675	+4.29%	0.0682	✓	1.14
2026-03-25	oos	0.1729	0.168161	-2.74%	0.17244	-0.27%	0.0696	✓	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	0.17146	0.166741	-2.75%	0.171695	+0.14%	0.0899	✓	1.14
2026-03-23	oos	0.17144	0.166918	-2.64%	0.172625	+0.69%	0.0790	✓	1.14
2026-03-22	oos	0.164175	0.159655	-2.75%	0.17375	+5.83%	0.0507	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.17075	0.165718	-2.95%	0.17181	+0.62%	0.0739	✓	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.176025	0.171128	-2.78%	0.16685	-5.21%	0.0779	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.17606	0.17124	-2.74%	0.1744	-0.94%	0.0731	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.17895	0.173902	-2.82%	0.17886	-0.05%	0.0627	✓	1.15
2026-03-17	oos	0.18915	0.184075	-2.68%	0.175965	-6.97%	0.0640	✓	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.18851	0.184103	-2.34%	0.17247	-8.51%	0.0645	✓	1.15
2026-03-15	oos	0.17487	0.170332	-2.59%	0.168605	-3.58%	0.0309	✓	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.17057	0.165942	-2.71%	0.17076	+0.11%	0.0212	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.17268	0.167965	-2.73%	0.16379	-5.15%	0.0222	✓	1.13
2026-03-12	oos	0.17447	0.169069	-3.10%	0.16851	-3.42%	0.0436	✓	1.13
2026-03-11	oos	0.17011	0.165281	-2.84%	0.17066	+0.32%	0.0119	✓	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.165995	0.161367	-2.79%	0.16953	+2.13%	0.0202	✓	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.163925	0.158865	-3.09%	0.168575	+2.84%	0.0165	✓	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.162995	0.15724	-3.53%	0.171065	+4.95%	0.0145	✓	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.164055	0.158426	-3.43%	0.16605	+1.22%	0.0201	✓	1.15
2026-03-06	oos	0.169885	0.164006	-3.46%	0.166055	-2.25%	0.0025	✓	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.171755	0.166246	-3.21%	0.165295	-3.76%	0.0545	✗	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.17464	0.169205	-3.11%	0.16679	-4.49%	0.0795	✗	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.172185	0.166164	-3.50%	0.160885	-6.56%	0.0069	✓	1.19
2026-03-02	oos	0.17192	0.16613	-3.37%	0.16651	-3.15%	0.0148	✓	1.19
2026-03-01	oos	0.171345	0.165504	-3.41%	0.16275	-5.02%	0.0605	✓	1.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.175335	0.169805	-3.15%	0.16123	-8.04%	0.0477	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.17458	0.168617	-3.42%	0.15744	-9.82%	0.0704	✓	1.21
2026-02-26	oos	0.17904	0.173371	-3.17%	0.161465	-9.82%	0.0500	✓	1.21
2026-02-25	oos	0.18074	0.174739	-3.32%	0.161995	-10.37%	0.0462	✓	1.21
2026-02-24	oos	0.170555	0.165265	-3.10%	0.166535	-2.36%	0.0792	✓	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.172325	0.166324	-3.48%	0.1729	+0.33%	0.0796	✓	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.18046	0.173322	-3.96%	0.17146	-4.99%	0.0618	✓	1.21
2026-02-21	oos	0.185815	0.178459	-3.96%	0.17144	-7.74%	0.0909	✓	1.21
2026-02-20	oos	0.184385	0.177245	-3.87%	0.164175	-10.96%	0.0741	✓	1.21
2026-02-19	oos	0.182425	0.175491	-3.80%	0.17075	-6.40%	0.0621	✓	1.22
2026-02-18	oos	0.181725	0.175006	-3.70%	0.176025	-3.14%	0.0668	✓	1.22
2026-02-17	oos	0.189235	0.182263	-3.68%	0.17606	-6.96%	0.0771	✓	1.19
2026-02-16	oos	0.191405	0.184474	-3.62%	0.17895	-6.51%	0.0711	✓	1.19
2026-02-15	oos	0.189955	0.182593	-3.88%	0.18915	-0.42%	0.0506	✓	1.19
2026-02-14	oos	0.20493	0.19684	-3.95%	0.18851	-8.01%	0.1262	✓	1.18
2026-02-13	oos	0.20067	0.192871	-3.89%	0.17487	-12.86%	0.1647	✓	1.18
2026-02-12	oos	0.18518	0.178433	-3.64%	0.17057	-7.89%	0.1294	✓	1.15
2026-02-11	oos	0.181585	0.174526	-3.89%	0.17268	-4.90%	0.0747	✓	1.13
2026-02-10	oos	0.18496	0.177997	-3.76%	0.17447	-5.67%	0.0482	✓	1.13
2026-02-09	oos	0.182105	0.175481	-3.64%	0.17011	-6.59%	0.0328	✓	1.14
2026-02-08	oos	0.18154	0.175297	-3.44%	0.165995	-8.56%	0.0494	✓	1.12
2026-02-07	oos	0.18568	0.179329	-3.42%	0.163925	-11.72%	0.0764	✓	1.13
2026-02-06	oos	0.18501	0.17853	-3.50%	0.162995	-11.90%	0.0151	✓	1.14
2026-02-05	oos	0.160015	0.156618	-2.12%	0.164055	+2.52%	0.0299	✓	1.11
2026-02-04	oos	0.20325	0.195393	-3.87%	0.169885	-16.42%	0.0784	✓	0.89
2026-02-03	oos	0.20823	0.199629	-4.13%	0.171755	-17.52%	0.0943	✓	0.86
2026-02-02	oos	0.21705	0.206068	-5.06%	0.17464	-19.54%	0.0975	✓	0.86
2026-02-01	oos	0.2103	0.200814	-4.51%	0.172185	-18.12%	0.0523	✓	0.86
2026-01-31	oos	0.219565	0.208799	-4.90%	0.17192	-21.70%	0.0706	✓	0.93
2026-01-30	oos	0.23511	0.220433	-6.24%	0.171345	-27.12%	0.0265	✓	0.92
2026-01-29	oos	0.23785	0.222555	-6.43%	0.175335	-26.28%	0.0237	✓	0.92
2026-01-28	oos	0.255955	0.239666	-6.36%	0.17458	-31.79%	0.0486	✓	0.89
2026-01-27	oos	0.26027	0.244276	-6.15%	0.17904	-31.21%	0.0620	✓	0.89
2026-01-26	oos	0.25924	0.244101	-5.84%	0.18074	-30.28%	0.0704	✓	0.88
2026-01-25	oos	0.24934	0.236161	-5.29%	0.170555	-31.60%	0.0632	✓	0.87
2026-01-24	oos	0.25788	0.244164	-5.32%	0.172325	-33.18%	0.0707	✓	0.87
2026-01-23	oos	0.25693	0.244344	-4.90%	0.18046	-29.76%	0.0600	✓	0.87
2026-01-22	oos	0.259115	0.247185	-4.60%	0.185815	-28.29%	0.0459	✓	0.87
2026-01-20	oos	0.26255	0.248503	-5.35%	0.182425	-30.52%	0.0661	✓	0.88
2026-01-19	oos	0.26284	0.250456	-4.71%	0.181725	-30.86%	0.0113	✓	0.93
2026-01-18	oos	0.27386	0.261311	-4.58%	0.189235	-30.90%	0.0177	✓	0.93
2026-01-17	oos	0.28892	0.276119	-4.43%	0.191405	-33.75%	0.0710	✓	0.91
2026-01-16	oos	0.28677	0.274877	-4.15%	0.189955	-33.76%	0.0685	✓	0.92
2026-01-15	oos	0.28772	0.276613	-3.86%	0.20493	-28.77%	0.0116	✓	0.92
2026-01-14	oos	0.29702	0.287391	-3.24%	0.20067	-32.44%	0.0424	✓	0.92
2026-01-13	oos	0.296395	0.288144	-2.78%	0.18518	-37.52%	0.0976	✓	0.94
2026-01-12	oos	0.27538	0.268374	-2.54%	0.181585	-34.06%	0.1128	✓	0.90
2026-01-11	oos	0.2824	0.274849	-2.67%	0.18496	-34.50%	0.1383	✓	0.93
2026-01-10	oos	0.28944	0.281116	-2.88%	0.182105	-37.08%	0.1970	✓	0.93
2026-01-09	oos	0.28973	0.281539	-2.83%	0.18154	-37.34%	0.1864	✓	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.29088	0.282499	-2.88%	0.18568	-36.17%	0.1489	✓	0.99
2026-01-07	oos	0.29302	0.284475	-2.92%	0.18501	-36.86%	0.1204	✓	1.20
2026-01-06	oos	0.2836	0.276738	-2.42%	0.160015	-43.58%	0.0517	✓	1.24
2026-01-05	oos	0.28016	0.273265	-2.46%	0.20325	-27.45%	0.0124	✓	1.23
2026-01-03	oos	0.27195	0.264548	-2.72%	0.21705	-20.19%	0.0245	✓	1.23
2026-01-02	oos	0.27572	0.26756	-2.96%	0.2103	-23.73%	0.0480	✓	1.23
2026-01-01	oos	0.26246	0.254403	-3.07%	0.219565	-16.34%	0.0009	✓	1.21
2025-12-31	oos	0.257905	0.249303	-3.34%	0.23511	-8.84%	0.0111	✓	1.20
2025-12-30	oos	0.264	0.254462	-3.61%	0.23785	-9.91%	0.0129	✓	1.21
2025-12-29	oos	0.264925	0.253903	-4.16%	0.255955	-3.39%	0.0198	✓	1.20
2025-12-28	oos	0.26149	0.250185	-4.32%	0.26027	-0.47%	0.0227	✓	1.20
2025-12-27	oos	0.26159	0.250812	-4.12%	0.25924	-0.90%	0.0271	✓	1.18
2025-12-26	oos	0.250025	0.24026	-3.91%	0.24934	-0.27%	0.0470	✗	1.17
2025-12-25	oos	0.250575	0.240982	-3.83%	0.25788	+2.92%	0.0424	✗	1.17
2025-12-24	oos	0.25811	0.246692	-4.42%	0.25693	-0.46%	0.0159	✓	1.17
2025-12-23	oos	0.25794	0.246648	-4.38%	0.259115	+0.46%	0.0220	✓	1.19
2025-12-22	oos	0.26017	0.249163	-4.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2025-12-21	oos	0.25406	0.243872	-4.01%	0.26255	+3.34%	0.0782	✗	1.17
2025-12-20	oos	0.258335	0.248166	-3.94%	0.26284	+1.74%	0.0016	✓	1.19
2025-12-19	oos	0.25433	0.244199	-3.98%	0.27386	+7.68%	0.0420	✗	1.19
2025-12-18	oos	0.24288	0.232942	-4.09%	0.28892	+18.96%	0.0887	✗	1.18
2025-12-17	oos	0.253725	0.243666	-3.96%	0.28677	+13.02%	0.0416	✗	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.2625	0.251978	-4.01%	0.28772	+9.61%	0.0329	✓	1.18
2025-12-15	oos	0.26616	0.253739	-4.67%	0.29702	+11.59%	0.0197	✓	1.20
2025-12-14	oos	0.2745	0.261612	-4.70%	0.296395	+7.98%	0.0313	✓	1.19
2025-12-13	oos	0.28291	0.270557	-4.37%	0.27538	-2.66%	0.0055	✓	1.18
2025-12-12	oos	0.28005	0.268634	-4.08%	0.2824	+0.84%	0.0423	✗	1.18
2025-12-11	oos	0.28642	0.27564	-3.76%	0.28944	+1.05%	0.0769	✗	1.18
2025-12-10	oos	0.292285	0.280091	-4.17%	0.28973	-0.87%	0.0536	✗	1.19
2025-12-09	oos	0.29326	0.281594	-3.98%	0.29088	-0.81%	0.0539	✗	1.18
2025-12-08	oos	0.284875	0.273983	-3.82%	0.29302	+2.86%	0.0591	✗	1.17
2025-12-07	oos	0.28704	0.276609	-3.63%	0.2836	-1.20%	0.0173	✓	1.17
2025-12-06	oos	0.29035	0.28027	-3.47%	0.28016	-3.51%	0.0603	✓	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.296505	0.286657	-3.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.292345	0.282353	-3.42%	0.27195	-6.98%	0.0175	✓	1.23
2025-12-03	oos	0.29318	0.282635	-3.60%	0.27572	-5.96%	0.0222	✓	1.23
2025-12-02	oos	0.287035	0.277168	-3.44%	0.26246	-8.56%	0.0192	✓	1.24
2025-12-01	oos	0.27774	0.267504	-3.69%	0.257905	-7.14%	0.0546	✓	1.29
2025-11-30	oos	0.296985	0.286843	-3.41%	0.264	-11.11%	0.0547	✓	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.31041	0.298618	-3.80%	0.264925	-14.65%	0.0667	✓	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.2863	0.276322	-3.49%	0.26149	-8.67%	0.0123	✓	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.282945	0.273987	-3.17%	0.26159	-7.55%	0.0034	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.274165	0.265352	-3.21%	0.250025	-8.80%	0.0145	✓	1.26
2025-11-25	oos	0.273475	0.265164	-3.04%	0.250575	-8.37%	0.0543	✓	1.30
2025-11-24	oos	0.27588	0.26709	-3.19%	0.25811	-6.44%	0.0245	✓	1.30
2025-11-23	oos	0.27126	0.262193	-3.34%	0.25794	-4.91%	0.0257	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.25884	0.251381	-2.88%	0.26017	+0.51%	0.0255	✓	1.34
2025-11-21	oos	0.26148	0.253511	-3.05%	0.25406	-2.84%	0.0528	✓	1.34
2025-11-20	oos	0.26911	0.260054	-3.37%	0.258335	-4.00%	0.0337	✓	1.33
2025-11-19	oos	0.27749	0.268732	-3.16%	0.25433	-8.35%	0.0016	✓	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.28673	0.277099	-3.36%	0.24288	-15.29%	0.0124	✓	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.289155	0.279518	-3.33%	0.253725	-12.25%	0.0005	✓	1.46
2025-11-16	oos	0.289095	0.281151	-2.75%	0.2625	-9.20%	0.0333	✗	1.47
2025-11-15	oos	0.29537	0.289098	-2.12%	0.26616	-9.89%	0.0647	✗	1.47
2025-11-14	oos	0.29554	0.288567	-2.36%	0.2745	-7.12%	0.0522	✗	1.47
2025-11-13	oos	0.300075	0.293098	-2.33%	0.28291	-5.72%	0.1196	✗	1.57
2025-11-12	oos	0.31321	0.305542	-2.45%	0.28005	-10.59%	0.0982	✗	1.56
2025-11-11	oos	0.32233	0.313268	-2.81%	0.28642	-11.14%	0.0774	✗	1.56
2025-11-10	oos	0.311865	0.304592	-2.33%	0.292285	-6.28%	0.1849	✗	1.60
2025-11-07	oos	0.31026	0.30203	-2.65%	0.28704	-7.48%	0.1526	✗	1.53
2025-11-06	oos	0.285505	0.27797	-2.64%	0.29035	+1.70%	0.2322	✗	1.49
2025-11-05	oos	0.274	0.267414	-2.40%	0.296505	+8.21%	0.3353	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.26582	0.259681	-2.31%	0.292345	+9.98%	0.2689	✗	1.55
2025-11-03	oos	0.27914	0.272768	-2.28%	0.29318	+5.03%	0.2824	✗	1.60
2025-11-02	oos	0.318915	0.310271	-2.71%	0.287035	-10.00%	0.2135	✗	1.52
2025-11-01	oos	0.320415	0.31114	-2.89%	0.27774	-13.32%	0.2597	✗	1.53
2025-10-31	oos	0.309865	0.302462	-2.39%	0.296985	-4.16%	0.2761	✗	1.53
2025-10-30	oos	0.308515	0.300353	-2.65%	0.31041	+0.61%	0.3030	✗	1.53
2025-10-29	oos	0.319275	0.310801	-2.65%	0.2863	-10.33%	0.2079	✗	1.52
2025-10-28	oos	0.31918	0.312835	-1.99%	0.282945	-11.35%	0.2310	✗	1.56
2025-10-27	oos	0.328305	0.32083	-2.28%	0.274165	-16.49%	0.2044	✗	1.56
2025-10-26	oos	0.33998	0.330736	-2.72%	0.273475	-19.56%	0.2322	✗	1.56
2025-10-25	oos	0.33173	0.322056	-2.92%	0.27588	-16.84%	0.2167	✗	1.58
2025-10-24	oos	0.327525	0.319348	-2.50%	0.27126	-17.18%	0.2272	✗	1.59
2025-10-23	oos	0.32564	0.31896	-2.05%	0.25884	-20.51%	0.2075	✗	1.59
2025-10-22	oos	0.31558	0.309141	-2.04%	0.26148	-17.14%	0.2056	✗	1.59
2025-10-21	oos	0.32218	0.31495	-2.24%	0.26911	-16.47%	0.2000	✗	1.59
2025-10-20	oos	0.332165	0.324011	-2.45%	0.27749	-16.46%	0.1439	✗	1.58
2025-10-19	oos	0.327595	0.319936	-2.34%	0.28673	-12.47%	0.1323	✗	1.54
2025-10-18	oos	0.32185	0.314136	-2.40%	0.289155	-10.16%	0.1516	✗	1.54
2025-10-17	oos	0.3212	0.313584	-2.37%	0.289095	-10.00%	0.1076	✗	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	0.337535	0.3298	-2.29%	0.29537	-12.49%	0.0801	✗	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	0.352265	0.345637	-1.88%	0.29554	-16.10%	0.0841	✗	1.51
2025-10-14	oos	0.36235	0.355138	-1.99%	0.300075	-17.19%	0.0232	✗	1.51
2025-10-13	oos	0.38349	0.374399	-2.37%	0.31321	-18.33%	0.0093	✓	1.49
2025-10-12	oos	0.385365	0.376448	-2.31%	0.32233	-16.36%	0.0072	✓	1.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.35246	0.343211	-2.62%	0.311865	-11.52%	0.0337	✓	1.40
2025-10-10	oos	0.35363	0.343494	-2.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2025-10-09	oos	0.42924	0.414335	-3.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.438	0.423624	-3.28%	0.31026	-29.16%	0.1262	✓	1.04
2025-10-07	oos	0.439955	0.423935	-3.64%	0.285505	-35.11%	0.2131	✓	1.01
2025-10-06	oos	0.452595	0.437286	-3.38%	0.274	-39.46%	0.2837	✓	1.00
2025-10-05	oos	0.44116	0.426981	-3.21%	0.26582	-39.75%	0.2776	✓	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	0.443395	0.428287	-3.41%	0.27914	-37.04%	0.2873	✓	1.01
2025-10-03	oos	0.451335	0.435488	-3.51%	0.318915	-29.34%	0.2084	✓	1.02
2025-10-02	oos	0.45289	0.434829	-3.99%	0.320415	-29.25%	0.2111	✓	1.03
2025-10-01	oos	0.433395	0.414985	-4.25%	0.309865	-28.50%	0.2181	✓	0.93
2025-09-30	oos	0.424195	0.405498	-4.41%	0.308515	-27.27%	0.2243	✓	0.95
2025-09-29	oos	0.41666	0.397627	-4.57%	0.319275	-23.37%	0.1780	✓	1.07
2025-09-28	oos	0.42299	0.402456	-4.85%	0.31918	-24.54%	0.2389	✓	1.12
2025-09-27	oos	0.415515	0.39527	-4.87%	0.328305	-20.99%	0.2305	✓	1.14
2025-09-26	oos	0.42021	0.398596	-5.14%	0.33998	-19.09%	0.2084	✓	1.14
2025-09-25	oos	0.40847	0.387888	-5.04%	0.33173	-18.79%	0.1834	✓	1.13
2025-09-24	oos	0.43509	0.412821	-5.12%	0.327525	-24.72%	0.2091	✓	1.09
2025-09-23	oos	0.442055	0.417864	-5.47%	0.32564	-26.33%	0.2304	✓	1.11
2025-09-22	oos	0.42058	0.395476	-5.97%	0.31558	-24.97%	0.1729	✓	1.13
2025-09-21	oos	0.45137	0.423347	-6.21%	0.32218	-28.62%	0.2061	✓	1.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.462155	0.43302	-6.30%	0.332165	-28.13%	0.2138	✓	1.12
2025-09-19	oos	0.453095	0.424031	-6.41%	0.327595	-27.70%	0.1879	✓	1.12
2025-09-18	oos	0.47161	0.440072	-6.69%	0.32185	-31.76%	0.2132	✓	1.13
2025-09-17	oos	0.466725	0.43679	-6.41%	0.3212	-31.18%	0.2047	✓	1.14
2025-09-16	oos	0.458205	0.428576	-6.47%	0.337535	-26.34%	0.1511	✓	1.14
2025-09-15	oos	0.459515	0.431263	-6.15%	0.352265	-23.34%	0.1556	✓	1.15
2025-09-14	oos	0.494815	0.459069	-7.22%	0.36235	-26.77%	0.2132	✓	1.19
2025-09-13	oos	0.45655	0.423984	-7.13%	0.38349	-16.00%	0.0931	✓	1.21
2025-09-12	oos	0.453335	0.419102	-7.55%	0.385365	-14.99%	0.0730	✓	1.22
2025-09-11	oos	0.4556	0.423128	-7.13%	0.35246	-22.64%	0.1314	✓	1.22
2025-09-10	oos	0.45231	0.418651	-7.44%	0.35363	-21.82%	0.1581	✓	1.22
2025-09-09	oos	0.449115	0.41386	-7.85%	0.42924	-4.43%	0.0718	✓	1.24
2025-09-08	oos	0.450765	0.412356	-8.52%	0.438	-2.83%	0.0593	✓	1.25
2025-09-07	oos	0.42992	0.39269	-8.66%	0.439955	+2.33%	0.0046	✓	1.23
2025-09-06	oos	0.42645	0.389014	-8.78%	0.452595	+6.13%	0.0053	✓	1.18
2025-09-05	oos	0.42821	0.385888	-9.88%	0.44116	+3.02%	0.0040	✓	1.18

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.