8=======>

2022-05-18 · +1d

lstm_s0 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 168 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1395
168 of 168 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.40%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.1%
in alpha space · 57.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+5.59%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (168 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4494.3136-3.04%3.704-16.75%0.1881✓0.662.3M2022-05-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.729.4471-2.81%8.41-13.48%0.1505✓0.631.2M2022-05-19
DIADIAEthereum0.740.721499-2.50%0.57117-22.81%0.2700✓0.6770k2022-05-19
LUNATerraTerra 20.000150.000147028-1.98%0.00014-6.67%0.1961✓2.717.8M2022-05-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.623.566-1.49%3.64+0.55%0.0285✓0.90503k2022-05-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.013.9594-1.26%4.06+1.25%0.0231✓0.89798k2022-05-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6224.5759-1.00%5.251+13.61%0.0824✗1.021.6M2022-05-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.456.3858-0.99%7.17+11.16%0.0715✗0.812.8M2022-05-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.232.2108-0.86%2.6871+20.50%0.1259✗1.278.8M2022-05-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.8931.8774-0.83%2.0434+7.95%0.0313✗0.984.3M2022-05-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.08732.0706-0.80%2.2129+6.02%0.0091✗1.062.5M2022-05-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0173930.017265-0.74%0.018136+4.27%0.0114✗0.70198k2022-05-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.972.9505-0.66%3.34+12.46%0.0684✗1.02553k2022-05-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.021370.021238-0.62%0.03198+49.65%0.3769✗0.60400k2022-05-19
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.83e-76.80e-7-0.47%7.44e-7+8.97%0.0484✗0.781.4M2022-05-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.32580.324318-0.45%0.3229-0.89%0.0761✓1.32463k2022-05-19
TRXTRONTron0.0709770.07068-0.42%0.073383+3.39%0.0056✓0.791.2M2022-05-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.8431.8366-0.34%2.138+16.01%0.0956✗1.04714k2022-05-19
GLMGolemEthereum0.25810.257404-0.27%0.2674+3.60%0.0382✓1.40172k2022-05-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.7481.7435-0.26%1.913+9.44%0.0413✗0.95793k2022-05-19
GTGateEthereum5.49555.4818-0.25%5.6031+1.96%0.0075✓0.545.0M2022-05-19
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.06463.0574-0.24%3.2829+7.12%0.0141✓1.5710.0M2022-05-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.97534.9637-0.23%5.0075+0.65%0.0037✓0.23294k2022-05-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3421.3389-0.23%1.429+6.48%0.0120✓1.4214.1M2022-05-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6740.672483-0.23%0.709+5.19%0.0318✓1.561.8M2022-05-19
FTTFTXEthereum29.6429.5744-0.22%30.91+4.28%0.0083✓0.9712.7M2022-05-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin65.8765.726-0.22%72.02+9.34%0.0277✗1.1719.3M2022-05-19
KCSKuCoinnative14.37514.3441-0.21%15.307+6.48%0.0119✗0.985.0M2022-05-19
XEMNEMnative0.05370.05359-0.21%0.0563+4.84%0.0240✓1.3597k2022-05-19
QTUMQtumQtum3.80223.7943-0.21%3.9715+4.45%0.0193✓1.19133k2022-05-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum21.5921.5467-0.20%21.79+0.93%0.0668✓1.443.4M2022-05-19
STORJStorjEthereum0.534940.533945-0.19%0.55387+3.54%0.0449✓1.5091k2022-05-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative19.8119.7735-0.18%20.9+5.50%0.0141✓1.283.9M2022-05-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.63651.6335-0.18%1.6711+2.11%0.0099✓0.6014k2022-05-19
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9462.9409-0.17%3.041+3.22%0.0508✓1.55263k2022-05-19
ZECZcashZcash99.4699.2965-0.16%104.45+5.02%0.0221✓1.345.7M2022-05-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin28,672.9428,628.67-0.15%30,274.59+5.59%0.0015✓1.00676.2M2022-05-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027970.027927-0.15%0.02719-2.79%0.0804✓0.99192k2022-05-19
QNTQuantEthereum64.7764.6759-0.15%68.38+5.57%0.0024✓1.073.6M2022-05-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.013310.013291-0.14%0.01368+2.78%0.0290✓1.063.2M2022-05-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.11830.118131-0.14%0.1228+3.80%0.0351✓1.361.1M2022-05-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.4810.4655-0.14%12.63+20.52%0.1018✗1.596.4M2022-05-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08850.088386-0.13%0.0909+2.71%0.0165✓0.82183k2022-05-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.16530.165091-0.13%0.1765+6.78%0.0100✓1.41386k2022-05-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9040.902886-0.12%0.93+2.88%0.0306✓1.11769k2022-05-19
LSKLiskEthereum1.13441.133-0.12%1.1742+3.51%0.0245✓1.1191k2022-05-19
XYMSymbolnative0.06580.065725-0.11%0.0669+1.67%0.0235✓0.76525k2022-05-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.842.8368-0.11%2.965+4.40%0.0151✓1.09102k2022-05-19
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7470.74616-0.11%0.824+10.31%0.0389✗1.113.2M2022-05-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12730.127158-0.11%0.1345+5.66%0.0052✓1.131.2M2022-05-19
XMRMoneroMonero155.14154.9716-0.11%165.93+6.96%0.0090✗1.093.2M2022-05-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum28,786.0028,762.08-0.08%30,185.70+4.86%0.0046✓0.9776k2022-05-19
APEApeCoinEthereum7.9697.9624-0.08%8.055+1.08%0.1275✓2.5694.8M2022-05-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0812.0794-0.08%1.958-5.91%0.1480✓1.6299k2022-05-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.43280.43248-0.07%0.4512+4.25%0.0247✓1.2315.4M2022-05-19
ETHEthereumEthereum1,911.981,910.60-0.07%2,017.57+5.52%0.0018✓1.04464.2M2022-05-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.639.6233-0.07%11.24+16.72%0.0711✗1.55154k2022-05-19
MANADecentralandEthereum1.03171.031-0.07%1.1185+8.41%0.0043✓1.581.2M2022-05-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4510.450702-0.07%0.4864+7.85%0.0073✓1.54299k2022-05-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum13.7713.7611-0.06%14.32+3.99%0.0315✓1.31822k2022-05-19
WOOWOOEthereum0.18570.185583-0.06%0.2027+9.15%0.0287✗1.092,5552022-05-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.543.5378-0.06%4.22+19.21%0.1298✗0.86774k2022-05-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24640.246257-0.06%0.2568+4.22%0.0266✓1.26292k2022-05-19
KSMKusamaHydration75.9275.8768-0.06%80.45+5.97%0.0107✓1.271.5M2022-05-19
XLMStellarStellar0.1275440.127484-0.05%0.130466+2.29%0.0370✓1.1113.1M2022-05-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.341.3394-0.05%1.39+3.73%0.0229✓1.10138k2022-05-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.3352.3342-0.04%2.4917+6.71%0.0029✓1.26145k2022-05-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33440.334308-0.03%0.3406+1.85%0.0529✓1.329.0M2022-05-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035610.035601-0.02%0.03787+6.35%0.0142✓1.4087k2022-05-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.025540.025534-0.02%0.02676+4.78%0.0091✓1.0324k2022-05-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2281.2278-0.02%1.079-12.13%0.2091✓1.477.1M2022-05-19
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13030.130277-0.02%0.141+8.21%0.0112✓1.66109k2022-05-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.479.4685-0.02%10.02+5.81%0.0169✓1.3513.7M2022-05-19
NANOnanopayBase1.05871.0586-0.02%1.0996+3.86%0.0315✓1.28161k2022-05-19
UMAUMAEthereum3.0493.0486-0.01%3.243+6.36%0.0306✓1.702.4M2022-05-19
AVTAventusEthereum1.121.1199-0.01%1.26+12.50%0.0754✗0.78204k2022-05-19
XTZTezosTezos1.6761.6759-0.01%1.754+4.65%0.0245✓1.291.1M2022-05-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.7312.7289-0.01%13.4+5.26%0.0001✗0.94583k2022-05-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070270.070264-0.01%0.07546+7.39%0.0144✗1.0518k2022-05-19
PROPropyEthereum1.171.1699-0.01%1.14-2.56%0.0636✓0.69417k2022-05-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.372320.372308-0.00%0.39035+4.84%0.0237✓1.31208k2022-05-19
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.16990.169903+0.00%0.188+10.65%0.0469✓1.004,6042022-05-19
XVGVergenative0.004810.00481+0.00%0.00528+9.77%0.0160✓1.42949k2022-05-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.796.791+0.02%7.21+6.19%0.0135✗1.3518.8M2022-05-19
MOVRMoonriverBase21.817421.8229+0.03%23.0538+5.67%0.0248✗1.47207k2022-05-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150.015004+0.03%0.016399+9.33%0.0286✓1.114.0M2022-05-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011630.011633+0.03%0.01252+7.65%0.0098✗1.5343.5M2022-05-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash186.73186.7805+0.03%196.24+5.09%0.0145✗1.185.3M2022-05-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004110.004111+0.03%0.00469+14.11%0.0780✓0.9919k2022-05-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0829840.083012+0.03%0.086638+4.40%0.0190✗1.146.3M2022-05-19
XVSVenusEthereum4.324.3219+0.04%6.03+39.58%0.2487✓1.552.7M2022-05-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6430.643343+0.05%0.7+8.86%0.0028✓1.50315k2022-05-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009130.009135+0.06%0.00924+1.20%0.0516✗1.161.3M2022-05-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV50.0650.0882+0.06%51.12+2.12%0.0328✗0.981.7M2022-05-19
XECeCashnative0.000044390.000044415+0.06%0.00004707+6.04%0.0144✗1.336.2M2022-05-19
UNIUniswapEthereum4.884.8829+0.06%5.18+6.15%0.0084✗1.243.5M2022-05-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.252.2516+0.07%2.65+17.78%0.0673✓1.76390k2022-05-19
DASHDashDash55.5955.6302+0.07%58.55+5.32%0.0142✗1.201.1M2022-05-19
GALAGALAEthereum0.07730.077356+0.07%0.0857+10.87%0.0087✓1.72215k2022-05-19
CBKCobakEthereum1.0821.0828+0.07%1.122+3.70%0.0197✗1.0220k2022-05-19
BTTCBTTC0.000001090.000001091+0.07%0.00000112+2.75%0.0163✗0.797.7M2022-05-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18130.181437+0.08%0.196+8.11%0.0032✗1.48649k2022-05-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043580.043613+0.08%0.04528+3.90%0.0160✗0.987,7862022-05-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.64870.649193+0.08%0.6916+6.61%0.0173✗1.485.9M2022-05-19
COMPCompoundEthereum63.763.749+0.08%67.51+5.98%0.0197✗1.4228k2022-05-19
ZENHorizenBase18.9919.0061+0.08%21+10.58%0.0138✓1.58171k2022-05-19
ADACardanoCardano0.50530.505737+0.09%0.5326+5.40%0.0224✗1.3648.2M2022-05-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050160.050206+0.09%0.05067+1.02%0.0468✗1.0324k2022-05-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0084880.008496+0.10%0.00901+6.15%0.0024✓1.0413k2022-05-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,070.749,080.10+0.10%9,486.67+4.59%0.0216✗1.203.1M2022-05-19
GITCOINGITCOIN2.2212.2234+0.11%2.65+19.32%0.0801✓1.7622k2022-05-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.935.9366+0.11%6.53+10.12%0.0195✓1.39717k2022-05-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03130.031338+0.12%0.0343+9.58%0.0140✓1.40221k2022-05-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008980.008991+0.13%0.00939+4.57%0.0004✓0.81195k2022-05-19
SCSiacoinnative0.004880.004887+0.14%0.00527+7.99%0.0081✗1.54378k2022-05-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.110.1149+0.15%10.82+7.13%0.0120✗1.4620.1M2022-05-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.05780.057886+0.15%0.0626+8.30%0.0127✓1.21407k2022-05-19
BANDBandEthereum1.5661.5684+0.15%1.769+12.96%0.0400✓1.48484k2022-05-19
AAVEAaveEthereum81.7681.8873+0.16%91.65+12.10%0.0290✓1.549.0M2022-05-19
HIVEHivenative0.4720.472738+0.16%0.4924+4.32%0.0299✗1.301.6M2022-05-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05310.053189+0.17%0.0581+9.42%0.0201✓1.261.5M2022-05-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.497.5041+0.19%8.18+9.21%0.0064✓1.478.0M2022-05-19
STXStacksnative0.510.510965+0.19%0.53+3.92%0.0264✗1.16296k2022-05-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.10590.10611+0.20%0.1147+8.31%0.0112✗1.641.7M2022-05-19
SUSHISushiEthereum1.261.2625+0.20%1.36+7.94%0.0083✗1.523.3M2022-05-19
SOLSolanaSolana49.8749.9713+0.20%52.13+4.53%0.0369✗1.4693.8M2022-05-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004610.00462+0.21%0.00478+3.69%0.0325✗1.231.9M2022-05-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011470.000011494+0.21%0.00001183+3.14%0.0441✗1.341.2M2022-05-19
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5370.538157+0.22%0.584+8.75%0.0007✓1.5216k2022-05-19
UOSUltraEthereum0.358510.359309+0.22%0.37441+4.44%0.0358✗1.421.3M2022-05-19
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9770.97929+0.23%1.042+6.65%0.0179✗1.47775k2022-05-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.5729.6414+0.24%30.37+2.71%0.0574✗1.5046.9M2022-05-19
STEEMSteemnative0.25150.252111+0.24%0.2599+3.34%0.0239✗1.001.5M2022-05-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15710.157485+0.24%0.1603+2.04%0.0664✗1.558.9M2022-05-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11860.118891+0.25%0.1374+15.85%0.0887✓1.0319k2022-05-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5040.505299+0.26%0.538+6.75%0.0223✗1.56967k2022-05-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12460.124921+0.26%0.1343+7.78%0.0156✗1.625.9M2022-05-19
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8010.803112+0.26%0.893+11.49%0.0207✓1.577.0M2022-05-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.184250.184736+0.26%0.20476+11.13%0.0140✓1.64269k2022-05-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3712980.372289+0.27%0.390003+5.04%0.0297✗1.406.1M2022-05-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.340.340916+0.27%0.378+11.18%0.0437✓1.091.1M2022-05-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.2960.296804+0.27%0.337+13.85%0.0302✓1.781.8M2022-05-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.492.4969+0.28%2.67+7.23%0.0285✗1.766.7M2022-05-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.820.822338+0.29%0.91+10.98%0.0171✓1.55767k2022-05-19
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9131.9187+0.30%2.065+7.95%0.0341✗1.98863k2022-05-19
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5650.56672+0.30%0.59+4.42%0.0249✗1.2037k2022-05-19
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2961.3+0.31%1.365+5.32%0.0056✗1.004.3M2022-05-19
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33710.338144+0.31%0.3534+4.84%0.0264✗1.3088k2022-05-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01450.014545+0.31%0.0182+25.52%0.1011✓2.2623.0M2022-05-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.597.6138+0.31%8.21+8.17%0.0063✓1.275.7M2022-05-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.22580.226509+0.31%0.2492+10.36%0.0656✓0.55392k2022-05-19
RADRadworksEthereum1.891.896+0.31%2.07+9.52%0.0312✓1.04304k2022-05-19
API3Api3Ethereum1.6941.6995+0.33%1.875+10.68%0.0122✓1.582.1M2022-05-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07830.078559+0.33%0.0844+7.79%0.0195✗1.683.4M2022-05-19
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8632.8725+0.33%3.009+5.10%0.0079✗1.00194k2022-05-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.329880.33098+0.33%0.37965+15.09%0.0427✓1.74328k2022-05-19
ORCAOrcaSolana0.840.842834+0.34%0.91+8.33%0.0217✓1.01117k2022-05-19
GMTGMTEthereum1.3841.3888+0.34%1.495+8.02%0.0194✓1.006.3M2022-05-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.1051.1092+0.38%1.208+9.32%0.0106✗1.77582k2022-05-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.621.6264+0.39%1.89+16.67%0.0568✓1.72455k2022-05-19
ASTRAstarEthereum0.060.060242+0.40%0.0603+0.50%0.0639✗1.19102k2022-05-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.216872+0.40%0.259+19.91%0.0927✓1.563.2M2022-05-19
DODODODOEthereum0.1470.14763+0.43%0.15+2.04%0.0672✗1.533.9M2022-05-19
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07020.070506+0.44%0.0767+9.26%0.0135✗1.80166k2022-05-19
BORABORAKlay Token0.336370.33788+0.45%0.36301+7.92%0.0201✗1.6926k2022-05-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001270.001276+0.46%0.00137+7.87%0.0110✗1.513.5M2022-05-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.11040.110968+0.51%0.1238+12.14%0.0117✓1.80684k2022-05-19
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06840.068809+0.60%0.0699+2.19%0.0386✗1.003.0M2022-05-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.