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2022-01-05 · +1d

lstm_s0 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1253
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.37%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
49.3%
in alpha space · 60.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.81%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.28131.2878+0.50%1.2262-4.30%0.0419✗0.884.1M2022-01-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.10170.102191+0.48%0.1019+0.20%0.0053✓1.0030.6M2022-01-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.693.7061+0.44%3.49-5.42%0.0519✗1.003.3M2022-01-06
SOLSolanaSolana154.44155.0028+0.36%150.23-2.73%0.0224✗1.08211.5M2022-01-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.0673.075+0.26%3.064-0.10%0.0092✓1.571.5M2022-01-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.85032.8565+0.22%3.0021+5.33%0.0595✓1.202.7M2022-01-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030370.000030418+0.16%0.00003079+1.38%0.0223✓1.241.7M2022-01-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.28734.2937+0.15%4.451+3.82%0.0463✓1.274.5M2022-01-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum33.8233.8686+0.14%33.11-2.10%0.0077✗1.835.4M2022-01-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.6838.6935+0.12%8.508-2.02%0.0164✗0.64286k2022-01-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8083.8118+0.10%3.876+1.79%0.0223✓0.69454k2022-01-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.198.1969+0.08%8.21+0.24%0.0067✓0.62828k2022-01-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1589360.159058+0.08%0.160007+0.67%0.0149✓1.104.6M2022-01-06
ETHEthereumEthereum3,539.003,541.38+0.07%3,406.03-3.76%0.0305✗1.05619.8M2022-01-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.13574.1384+0.07%4.04-2.31%0.0180✗0.7517k2022-01-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.05010.050121+0.04%0.05212+4.03%0.0483✓1.1316k2022-01-06
QTUMQtumQtum8.23288.2342+0.02%8.3621+1.57%0.0270✓1.42268k2022-01-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.6460.646099+0.02%0.6385-1.16%0.0015✗1.275.0M2022-01-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.35540.355382-0.01%0.341-4.05%0.0311✓1.253.0M2022-01-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,436.0443,433.72-0.01%43,083.76-0.81%0.0001✗1.00727.0M2022-01-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0792.0786-0.02%2.026-2.55%0.0164✓1.132.5M2022-01-06
GTGateEthereum6.18546.184-0.02%6.2776+1.49%0.0219✗0.853.9M2022-01-06
AAVEAaveEthereum230.12230.0524-0.03%220.94-3.99%0.0310✓1.1614.0M2022-01-06
QNTQuantEthereum166.2166.1467-0.03%178.46+7.38%0.0794✗0.977.9M2022-01-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.846.8377-0.03%6.77-1.02%0.0047✓0.64778k2022-01-06
API3Api3Ethereum4.144.1386-0.03%4-3.38%0.0259✓1.00962k2022-01-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum80.3780.3384-0.04%79.02-1.68%0.0082✓1.026.3M2022-01-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche97.3697.3189-0.04%95.14-2.28%0.0135✓1.13115.7M2022-01-06
LUNATerraTerra 278.4178.3746-0.05%78.39-0.03%0.0083✗1.007.4M2022-01-06
TRXTRONTron0.0711530.07111-0.06%0.071075-0.11%0.0072✗0.95556k2022-01-06
XYMSymbolnative0.19040.190277-0.06%0.1919+0.79%0.0136✗0.63441k2022-01-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV114.04113.9633-0.07%111.16-2.53%0.0171✓0.963.0M2022-01-06
LRCLoopringEthereum1.80481.8036-0.07%1.841+2.01%0.0362✗1.921.4M2022-01-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum10.7410.7322-0.07%10.32-3.91%0.0401✓-0.122.0M2022-01-06
XECeCashnative0.000104690.000104612-0.07%0.00010344-1.19%0.0032✓1.007.2M2022-01-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.95030.94953-0.08%0.9504+0.01%0.0091✗1.00144k2022-01-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09120.091125-0.08%0.0923+1.21%0.0240✗1.371.5M2022-01-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.1711.17-0.09%1.1841+1.12%0.0199✗0.9721.2M2022-01-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin33.0933.0596-0.09%32.98-0.33%0.0062✗1.0522.7M2022-01-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin135.32135.1905-0.10%135.9+0.43%0.0162✗1.3536.7M2022-01-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.076530.076452-0.10%0.07678+0.33%0.0144✗1.2420.3M2022-01-06
UOSUltraEthereum1.36011.3586-0.11%1.4075+3.48%0.0433✗0.983.6M2022-01-06
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5331.5313-0.11%1.537+0.26%0.0149✗1.375.7M2022-01-06
XLMStellarStellar0.266040.265748-0.11%0.2675+0.55%0.0149✗1.0224.9M2022-01-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.17230.172108-0.11%0.1662-3.54%0.0250✓1.222.1M2022-01-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash399.79399.3423-0.11%400.02+0.06%0.0100✗1.029.0M2022-01-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.60045.5942-0.11%5.6388+0.68%0.0178✗1.21522k2022-01-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.111.1088-0.11%1.12+0.90%0.0182✗1.001.9M2022-01-06
UNIUniswapEthereum17.1117.0906-0.11%17.06-0.29%0.0086✗1.2814.1M2022-01-06
LSKLiskEthereum2.18862.1858-0.13%2.1524-1.66%0.0062✓1.13100k2022-01-06
ZECZcashZcash136.6136.4173-0.13%137.22+0.45%0.0169✗1.369.4M2022-01-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.79773.7926-0.13%3.77-0.73%0.0069✓-0.11364k2022-01-06
XMRMoneroMonero206.96206.679-0.14%205.35-0.78%0.0019✗1.023.2M2022-01-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.24981.2481-0.14%1.3048+4.40%0.0535✗1.11922k2022-01-06
NANOnanopayBase3.38543.3806-0.14%3.3664-0.56%0.0046✗1.08754k2022-01-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.078.0585-0.14%8.15+0.99%0.0175✗0.77771k2022-01-06
STORJStorjEthereum1.62911.6266-0.15%1.6476+1.14%0.0197✗0.85668k2022-01-06
XTZTezosTezos4.50934.5024-0.15%4.455-1.20%0.0004✓1.354.9M2022-01-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.2814.2576-0.16%14.5+1.54%0.0225✗0.691.1M2022-01-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19040.190098-0.16%0.1871-1.73%0.0059✓1.234.8M2022-01-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.186070.185774-0.16%0.18217-2.10%0.0068✓1.576,3502022-01-06
IMXImmutableEthereum4.414.4028-0.16%4.15-5.90%0.0510✓1.002.5M2022-01-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4651.4626-0.17%1.42-3.07%0.0188✓1.323.4M2022-01-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.18320.182894-0.17%0.1812-1.09%0.0018✓0.92503k2022-01-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.109130.108945-0.17%0.10779-1.23%0.0015✓1.1226k2022-01-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.018340.018308-0.17%0.01705-7.03%0.0631✓1.0029.0M2022-01-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7274.7184-0.18%4.805+1.65%0.0233✗0.63498k2022-01-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.13.094-0.19%3.01-2.90%0.0168✓1.323.0M2022-01-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.8667.8493-0.21%7.686-2.29%0.0109✓1.24336k2022-01-06
DASHDashDash122.47122.1975-0.22%124.32+1.51%0.0277✗1.291.9M2022-01-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08190.081714-0.23%0.0802-2.08%0.0100✓1.0618k2022-01-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.322.3146-0.23%2.35+1.29%0.0239✗1.073.8M2022-01-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.4233.3419-0.23%33.16-0.78%0.0069✗1.521.1M2022-01-06
KCSKuCoinnative21.22621.1734-0.25%20.968-1.22%0.0034✗1.6113.6M2022-01-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0204890.020438-0.25%0.020968+2.34%0.0355✗1.212.4M2022-01-06
KSMKusamaHydration266.77266.0891-0.26%269.76+1.12%0.0230✗1.141.3M2022-01-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.7629.6837-0.26%29.35-1.38%0.0057✓0.69385k2022-01-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.031940.031857-0.26%0.030651-4.04%0.0303✓1.027.3M2022-01-06
ADACardanoCardano1.23041.2272-0.26%1.2794+3.98%0.0506✗1.1097.2M2022-01-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.102190.101924-0.26%0.10088-1.28%0.0048✓0.6755k2022-01-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.1781.1749-0.26%1.163-1.27%0.0026✓0.932.4M2022-01-06
XVGVergenative0.016010.015968-0.26%0.01576-1.56%0.0033✓1.202.2M2022-01-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,578.7632,487.49-0.28%35,933.69+10.30%0.1062✗0.6620.1M2022-01-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana109.9719-0.28%10.01+0.10%0.0099✗0.751.2M2022-01-06
CBKCobakEthereum2.8612.853-0.28%2.816-1.57%0.0058✓0.8939k2022-01-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.7126.6349-0.28%26.71+0.00%0.0134✗1.2971.0M2022-01-06
ZENHorizenBase60.3360.1556-0.29%57.79-4.21%0.0279✓1.50807k2022-01-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.4422.4349-0.29%2.573+5.36%0.0638✗1.061.9M2022-01-06
SCSiacoinnative0.014460.014418-0.29%0.0145+0.28%0.0136✗0.97783k2022-01-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.553.5393-0.30%3.49-1.69%0.0034✓1.3110.7M2022-01-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.018560.018498-0.33%0.01816-2.16%0.0130✓0.6733k2022-01-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.3954.3802-0.34%4.338-1.30%0.0034✓0.771.1M2022-01-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.9631.8479-0.35%31.67-0.91%0.0029✓1.043.6M2022-01-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12290.122469-0.35%0.1215-1.14%0.0009✓1.09304k2022-01-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.083690.083395-0.35%0.08065-3.63%0.0217✓1.452.8M2022-01-06
XVSVenusEthereum15.1715.1163-0.35%14.53-4.22%0.0303✓1.143.5M2022-01-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.33.2878-0.37%3.23-2.12%0.0097✓0.98995k2022-01-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.17561.1712-0.37%1.1802+0.40%0.0221✗1.771.1M2022-01-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.62980.627395-0.38%0.6365+1.06%0.0249✗1.2911.4M2022-01-06
COMPCompoundEthereum204.79203.9916-0.39%204.52-0.13%0.0120✗1.16211k2022-01-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017680.01761-0.39%0.01706-3.51%0.0213✓1.292.2M2022-01-06
SUSHISushiEthereum7.647.6074-0.43%7.45-2.49%0.0103✓1.3018.2M2022-01-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06760.067303-0.44%0.0701+3.70%0.0518✗1.361.6M2022-01-06
DODODODOEthereum0.8290.825244-0.45%0.822-0.84%0.0079✗1.468.1M2022-01-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.561.5529-0.46%1.65+5.77%0.0745✗1.69928k2022-01-06
MANADecentralandEthereum2.91412.9006-0.46%3.3872+16.24%0.1631✗0.985.6M2022-01-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.0991.0939-0.47%1.0704-2.60%0.0103✓1.401.7M2022-01-06
RADRadworksEthereum10.0810.032-0.48%9.59-4.86%0.0379✓0.881.2M2022-01-06
FTTFTXEthereum38.0637.878-0.48%38.64+1.52%0.0286✗1.0719.4M2022-01-06
GITCOINGITCOIN13.4613.395-0.48%13.09-2.75%0.0228✓0.0382k2022-01-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.27870.277317-0.50%0.2811+0.86%0.0242✗1.314.6M2022-01-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.6430.639733-0.51%0.6492+0.96%0.0256✗1.342.8M2022-01-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.2225.0893-0.52%25.39+0.67%0.0220✗1.2369.2M2022-01-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.73890.734933-0.54%0.7786+5.37%0.0720✗1.7635.9M2022-01-06
HIVEHivenative1.51491.5066-0.55%1.4868-1.85%0.0020✓1.385.2M2022-01-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum30.6330.4582-0.56%30.59-0.13%0.0157✗1.4024.2M2022-01-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.40.397704-0.57%0.386-3.50%0.0240✓0.7239k2022-01-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5950.591583-0.57%0.591-0.67%0.0095✗1.282.2M2022-01-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.55621.5469-0.59%1.5631+0.44%0.0196✗1.1330.0M2022-01-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8265020.821433-0.61%0.798009-3.45%0.0197✓1.132.8M2022-01-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.376.3299-0.63%5.96-6.44%0.0510✓1.133.3M2022-01-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.33050.328316-0.66%0.3346+1.24%0.0272✗1.02293k2022-01-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum22.6322.4783-0.67%22.55-0.35%0.0116✗1.031.2M2022-01-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.36710.364579-0.69%0.3708+1.01%0.0290✗1.483.4M2022-01-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.046810.046483-0.70%0.046-1.73%0.0031✓0.918.2M2022-01-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.1811.0945-0.76%10.9-2.50%0.0124✓0.651.2M2022-01-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,367.5043,027.70-0.78%43,220.90-0.34%0.0125✗0.9810k2022-01-06
MOVRMoonriverBase198.6558197.015-0.83%185.613-6.57%0.0508✓1.08574k2022-01-06
MINAMina Protocolnative3.863.8259-0.88%3.68-4.66%0.0306✓1.02626k2022-01-06
XEMNEMnative0.12970.128497-0.93%0.1232-5.01%0.0336✓1.04115k2022-01-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.45.3492-0.94%5.41+0.19%0.0227✗1.4029.4M2022-01-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum13.3113.1823-0.96%13.1-1.58%0.0055✓0.093.9M2022-01-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos38.6738.2346-1.13%40.04+3.54%0.0537✗0.9243.4M2022-01-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.55930.552581-1.20%0.553-1.13%0.0123✗1.42650k2022-01-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0675530.066495-1.57%0.062116-8.05%0.0576✓1.307.4M2022-01-06
BANDBandEthereum6.236.1308-1.59%5.83-6.42%0.0415✓1.082.1M2022-01-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum42.4441.7033-1.74%41.84-1.41%0.0163✓1.602.8M2022-01-06
UMAUMAEthereum11.0110.7753-2.13%9.76-11.35%0.0912✓0.953.9M2022-01-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.