XRD

Radix · native · gru_s9

token id: #955
symbol: XRD
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,135

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

69.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2678

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0365

actual -0.1628

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00018625	0.000165703	-11.03%	–	pending	–	–	-0.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.00020335	0.000181494	-10.75%	–	pending	–	–	-0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.0001597	0.000146619	-8.19%	–	pending	–	–	-0.76
2026-10-18	oos	0.0001555	0.000141303	-9.13%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-17	oos	0.000145	0.000120443	-16.94%	–	pending	–	–	-0.77
2026-10-16	oos	0.000202	0.000195183	-3.37%	–	pending	–	–	-0.80
2026-10-15	oos	0.0002698	0.00026148	-3.08%	–	pending	–	–	-0.89
2026-10-14	oos	0.0003023	0.000288797	-4.47%	–	pending	–	–	-0.88
2026-10-13	oos	0.000314	0.00029811	-5.06%	–	pending	–	–	-0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.0003316	0.000310866	-6.25%	–	pending	–	–	-0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.0003167	0.000300054	-5.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-10-10	oos	0.000315	0.000298708	-5.17%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-09	oos	0.0003063	0.000292409	-4.54%	–	pending	–	–	-0.76
2026-10-08	oos	0.0003161	0.00030057	-4.91%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-07	oos	0.0003327	0.000314106	-5.59%	–	pending	–	–	-0.78
2026-10-06	oos	0.0003347	0.000318864	-4.73%	–	pending	–	–	-0.79
2026-10-05	oos	0.0003482	0.000329649	-5.33%	–	pending	–	–	-0.81
2026-10-04	oos	0.00035815	0.000339288	-5.27%	–	pending	–	–	-0.81
2026-10-03	oos	0.0003558	0.000332901	-6.44%	–	pending	–	–	-0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.0003674	0.000340333	-7.37%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-10-01	oos	0.0003791	0.00034813	-8.17%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-09-30	oos	0.0003794	0.000345099	-9.04%	–	pending	–	–	-0.83
2026-09-29	oos	0.0004078	0.000364901	-10.52%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.00041535	0.000367778	-11.45%	–	pending	–	–	-0.78
2026-09-27	oos	0.0004422	0.00038501	-12.93%	–	pending	–	–	-0.78
2026-09-26	oos	0.000458	0.000392531	-14.29%	–	pending	–	–	-0.79
2026-09-25	oos	0.00043745	0.000375852	-14.08%	–	pending	–	–	-0.79
2026-09-24	oos	0.0004705	0.000393726	-16.32%	–	pending	–	–	-0.80
2026-09-23	oos	0.0004971	0.000406664	-18.19%	–	pending	–	–	-0.80
2026-09-22	oos	0.00052705	0.000425168	-19.33%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.0004693	0.000386355	-17.67%	0.00018625	-60.31%	0.7647	✓	-0.76
2026-09-20	oos	0.0005461	0.000426037	-21.99%	0.00020335	-62.76%	0.7282	✓	-0.53
2026-09-19	oos	0.0005252	0.000412856	-21.39%	0.0001597	-69.59%	0.9459	✓	-0.52
2026-09-18	oos	0.0005677	0.000438675	-22.73%	0.0001555	-72.61%	1.0302	✓	-0.49
2026-09-17	oos	0.0005761	0.000456954	-20.68%	0.000145	-74.83%	1.1146	✓	-0.52
2026-09-16	oos	0.0005034	0.000419959	-16.58%	0.000202	-59.87%	0.6964	✓	-0.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.00055565	0.000451512	-18.74%	0.0002698	-51.44%	0.4725	✓	-0.51
2026-09-14	oos	0.00050485	0.000417678	-17.27%	0.0003023	-40.12%	0.3060	✓	-0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.0004931	0.000416363	-15.56%	0.000314	-36.32%	0.2488	✓	-0.42
2026-09-12	oos	0.00051075	0.000426448	-16.51%	0.0003316	-35.08%	0.2275	✓	-0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.0004845	0.000413388	-14.68%	0.0003167	-34.63%	0.2325	✓	-0.42
2026-09-10	oos	0.00049	0.000418471	-14.60%	0.000315	-35.71%	0.2514	✓	-0.41
2026-09-09	oos	0.0004695	0.000405717	-13.59%	0.0003063	-34.76%	0.2612	✓	-0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.0004796	0.000414278	-13.62%	0.0003161	-34.09%	0.2560	✓	-0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.0004335	0.000381482	-12.00%	0.0003327	-23.25%	0.1203	✓	-0.32
2026-09-06	oos	0.0004823	0.000421664	-12.57%	0.0003347	-30.60%	0.2060	✓	-0.40
2026-09-05	oos	0.0004722	0.000415249	-12.06%	0.0003482	-26.26%	0.1468	✓	-0.41
2026-09-04	oos	0.0005019	0.000450727	-10.20%	0.00035815	-28.64%	0.2000	✓	-0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.00048295	0.000399181	-17.35%	0.0003558	-26.33%	0.1008	✓	-0.34
2026-09-02	oos	0.0005701	0.000560164	-1.74%	0.0003674	-35.56%	0.4163	✓	-0.06
2026-09-01	oos	0.0005914	0.000585315	-1.03%	0.0003791	-35.90%	0.4279	✓	-0.07
2026-08-31	oos	0.0006227	0.000626615	+0.63%	0.0003794	-39.07%	0.4930	✗	-0.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.0008295	0.000875684	+5.57%	0.0004078	-50.84%	0.7628	✗	-0.02
2026-08-29	oos	0.0008672	0.0009169	+5.73%	0.00041535	-52.10%	0.7919	✗	0.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.0008723	0.000922303	+5.73%	0.0004422	-49.31%	0.7351	✗	-0.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.0008124	0.000876484	+7.89%	0.000458	-43.62%	0.6519	✗	0.06
2026-08-26	oos	0.0008192	0.000884039	+7.91%	0.00043745	-46.60%	0.7071	✗	0.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.0009036	0.000966453	+6.96%	0.0004705	-47.93%	0.7256	✗	0.08
2026-08-24	oos	0.0009272	0.000993976	+7.20%	0.0004971	-46.39%	0.6991	✗	0.09
2026-08-23	oos	0.0008831	0.000952555	+7.86%	0.00052705	-40.32%	0.5973	✗	0.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.0007908	0.000862754	+9.10%	0.0004693	-40.66%	0.6132	✗	0.04
2026-08-21	oos	0.0009212	0.000996746	+8.20%	0.0005461	-40.72%	0.6008	✗	-0.02
2026-08-20	oos	0.000924	0.000963677	+4.29%	0.0005252	-43.16%	0.6023	✗	-0.04
2026-08-19	oos	0.0009664	0.000966975	+0.06%	0.0005677	-41.26%	0.5368	✗	0.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00104	0.000992982	-4.48%	0.0005761	-44.58%	0.5793	✓	0.21
2026-08-17	oos	0.0008909	0.000866126	-2.78%	0.0005034	-43.50%	0.5702	✓	0.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.0009265	0.000891891	-3.74%	0.00055565	-40.03%	0.5115	✓	0.21
2026-08-15	oos	0.0009606	0.000921388	-4.08%	0.00050485	-47.44%	0.6461	✓	0.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.0009194	0.000885145	-3.73%	0.0004931	-46.37%	0.6258	✓	0.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.0009389	0.000903336	-3.79%	0.00051075	-45.60%	0.6111	✓	0.21
2026-08-12	oos	0.0009805	0.00093899	-4.23%	0.0004845	-50.59%	0.7042	✓	0.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.0009268	0.000892322	-3.72%	0.00049	-47.13%	0.6373	✓	0.20
2026-08-10	oos	0.0009081	0.000876171	-3.52%	0.0004695	-48.30%	0.6669	✓	0.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.0009197	0.000889033	-3.33%	0.0004796	-47.85%	0.6567	✓	0.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.0009326	0.000901139	-3.37%	0.0004335	-53.52%	0.7727	✓	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.000926	0.000894727	-3.38%	0.0004823	-47.92%	0.6603	✓	0.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.0009132	0.000881413	-3.48%	0.0004722	-48.29%	0.6665	✓	0.20
2026-08-05	oos	0.0009628	0.000928248	-3.59%	0.0005019	-47.87%	0.6546	✓	0.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.0009463	0.000912224	-3.60%	0.00048295	-48.96%	0.6809	✓	0.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.0009816	0.000942805	-3.95%	0.0005701	-41.92%	0.5436	✓	0.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.0009839	0.000944632	-3.99%	0.0005914	-39.89%	0.5079	✓	0.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.0009494	0.000913492	-3.78%	0.0006227	-34.41%	0.4269	✓	0.19
2026-07-31	oos	0.0009641	0.000927445	-3.80%	0.0008295	-13.96%	0.1530	✓	0.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.0009621	0.000932463	-3.08%	0.0008672	-9.86%	0.1117	✓	0.21
2026-07-29	oos	0.0009642	0.000933451	-3.19%	0.0008723	-9.53%	0.1081	✓	0.20
2026-07-28	oos	0.000978	0.000946687	-3.20%	0.0008124	-16.93%	0.1991	✓	0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.0009945	0.000960894	-3.38%	0.0008192	-17.63%	0.2034	✓	0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.001022	0.000989624	-3.17%	0.0009036	-11.59%	0.1276	✓	0.20
2026-07-25	oos	0.0009924	0.000959999	-3.26%	0.0009272	-6.57%	0.0742	✓	0.19
2026-07-24	oos	0.001111	0.00104	-6.35%	0.0008831	-20.48%	0.2055	✓	0.22
2026-07-23	oos	0.000826	0.000818839	-0.87%	0.0007908	-4.26%	0.0946	✓	0.35
2026-07-22	oos	0.0008296	0.000826607	-0.36%	0.0009212	+11.04%	0.0497	✗	0.35
2026-07-21	oos	0.0008107	0.000811167	+0.06%	0.000924	+13.98%	0.0976	✓	0.35
2026-07-20	oos	0.0008331	0.000830314	-0.33%	0.0009664	+16.00%	0.1291	✗	0.37
2026-07-19	oos	0.0008441	0.000840624	-0.41%	0.00104	+23.15%	0.2124	✗	0.38
2026-07-18	oos	0.0008624	0.000859215	-0.37%	0.0008909	+3.30%	0.0380	✗	0.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0008939	0.000886378	-0.84%	0.0009265	+3.65%	0.0504	✗	0.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0008759	0.000870549	-0.61%	0.0009606	+9.67%	0.1029	✗	0.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.0008642	0.000863348	-0.10%	0.0009194	+6.39%	0.0747	✗	0.43
2026-07-14	oos	0.0008509	0.000852394	+0.18%	0.0009389	+10.34%	0.1072	✓	0.43
2026-07-13	oos	0.0008453	0.000840845	-0.53%	0.0009805	+15.99%	0.1454	✗	0.45
2026-07-12	oos	0.0009251	0.000917573	-0.81%	0.0009268	+0.18%	0.0113	✗	0.39
2026-07-11	oos	0.0008567	0.000856107	-0.07%	0.0009081	+6.00%	0.0580	✗	0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.0008899	0.000888771	-0.13%	0.0009197	+3.35%	0.0296	✗	0.42
2026-07-09	oos	0.0009105	0.000906222	-0.47%	0.0009326	+2.43%	0.0171	✗	0.43
2026-07-08	oos	0.0009185	0.000912055	-0.70%	0.000926	+0.82%	0.0022	✓	0.42
2026-07-07	oos	0.0009017	0.000900253	-0.16%	0.0009132	+1.28%	0.0080	✗	0.42
2026-07-06	oos	0.0009111	0.000911322	+0.02%	0.0009628	+5.67%	0.0510	✓	0.42
2026-07-05	oos	0.0009322	0.000929939	-0.24%	0.0009463	+1.51%	0.0148	✗	0.36
2026-07-04	oos	0.0008982	0.000898409	+0.02%	0.0009816	+9.29%	0.0865	✓	0.35
2026-07-03	oos	0.0008806	0.000881183	+0.07%	0.0009839	+11.73%	0.1046	✓	0.36
2026-07-02	oos	0.0008928	0.000890734	-0.23%	0.0009494	+6.34%	0.0562	✗	0.37
2026-07-01	oos	0.0008892	0.000884558	-0.52%	0.0009641	+8.42%	0.0687	✗	0.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.0008508	0.000846677	-0.48%	0.0009621	+13.08%	0.0934	✗	0.34
2026-06-29	oos	0.000859	0.000855541	-0.40%	0.0009642	+12.25%	0.0989	✗	0.34
2026-06-28	oos	0.0008715	0.000866746	-0.55%	0.000978	+12.22%	0.0948	✗	0.37
2026-06-27	oos	0.0008652	0.000860454	-0.55%	0.0009945	+14.94%	0.1228	✗	0.36
2026-06-26	oos	0.0008949	0.000889426	-0.61%	0.001022	+14.20%	0.1077	✗	0.37
2026-06-25	oos	0.0009166	0.000910294	-0.69%	0.0009924	+8.27%	0.0590	✗	0.37
2026-06-24	oos	0.000945	0.000939241	-0.61%	0.001111	+17.52%	0.1462	✗	0.43
2026-06-23	oos	0.000973	0.00096847	-0.47%	0.000826	-15.11%	0.1756	✓	0.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.001058	0.00105	-0.75%	0.0008296	-21.59%	0.2486	✓	0.39
2026-06-21	oos	0.001066	0.001056	-0.94%	0.0008107	-23.95%	0.2845	✓	0.40
2026-06-20	oos	0.001112	0.001098	-1.30%	0.0008331	-25.08%	0.2816	✓	0.38
2026-06-19	oos	0.001094	0.00108	-1.30%	0.0008441	-22.84%	0.2536	✓	0.39
2026-06-18	oos	0.001102	0.001085	-1.53%	0.0008624	-21.74%	0.2412	✓	0.38
2026-06-17	oos	0.00109	0.001076	-1.29%	0.0008939	-17.99%	0.1821	✓	0.37
2026-06-16	oos	0.001106	0.001091	-1.37%	0.0008759	-20.80%	0.2091	✓	0.37
2026-06-15	oos	0.001121	0.001104	-1.53%	0.0008642	-22.91%	0.2357	✓	0.38
2026-06-14	oos	0.001115	0.001098	-1.51%	0.0008509	-23.69%	0.2510	✓	0.38
2026-06-13	oos	0.001128	0.001108	-1.77%	0.0008453	-25.06%	0.2575	✓	0.38
2026-06-12	oos	0.001102	0.001085	-1.58%	0.0009251	-16.05%	0.1603	✓	0.38
2026-06-11	oos	0.001113	0.001093	-1.83%	0.0008567	-23.03%	0.2445	✓	0.38
2026-06-10	oos	0.001112	0.001089	-2.07%	0.0008899	-19.97%	0.2185	✓	0.39
2026-06-09	oos	0.001126	0.001098	-2.55%	0.0009105	-19.17%	0.1963	✓	0.39
2026-06-08	oos	0.001097	0.001071	-2.35%	0.0009185	-16.27%	0.1484	✓	0.41
2026-06-07	oos	0.001059	0.001037	-2.08%	0.0009017	-14.85%	0.1399	✓	0.39
2026-06-06	oos	0.001037	0.001016	-2.03%	0.0009111	-12.14%	0.1287	✓	0.39
2026-06-05	oos	0.00103	0.001007	-2.20%	0.0009322	-9.50%	0.0944	✓	0.41
2026-06-04	oos	0.001084	0.001049	-3.19%	0.0008982	-17.14%	0.1513	✓	0.38
2026-06-03	oos	0.001055	0.001023	-3.00%	0.0008806	-16.53%	0.1399	✓	0.43
2026-06-02	oos	0.001015	0.000987757	-2.68%	0.0008928	-12.04%	0.0596	✓	0.51
2026-06-01	oos	0.00104	0.00101	-2.88%	0.0008892	-14.50%	0.0270	✓	0.58
2026-05-31	oos	0.00108	0.001047	-3.09%	0.0008508	-21.22%	0.0739	✓	0.58
2026-05-30	oos	0.00107	0.001038	-3.03%	0.000859	-19.72%	0.0712	✓	0.58
2026-05-29	oos	0.001088	0.001053	-3.26%	0.0008715	-19.90%	0.0558	✓	0.63
2026-05-28	oos	0.001084	0.001048	-3.31%	0.0008652	-20.18%	0.0603	✓	0.64
2026-05-27	oos	0.00112	0.001081	-3.52%	0.0008949	-20.10%	0.0623	✓	0.59
2026-05-26	oos	0.001162	0.001118	-3.76%	0.0009166	-21.12%	0.0606	✓	0.58
2026-05-25	oos	0.001116	0.001085	-2.74%	0.000945	-15.32%	0.0204	✓	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.001018	0.000999299	-1.84%	0.000973	-4.42%	0.1158	✗	0.69
2026-05-23	oos	0.001016	0.000998324	-1.74%	0.001058	+4.13%	0.1877	✗	0.72
2026-05-22	oos	0.001064	0.001041	-2.19%	0.001066	+0.19%	0.1513	✗	0.72
2026-05-21	oos	0.001073	0.001059	-1.35%	0.001112	+3.63%	0.1855	✗	0.72
2026-05-20	oos	0.001081	0.001067	-1.29%	0.001094	+1.20%	0.1711	✗	0.73
2026-05-19	oos	0.001127	0.001106	-1.84%	0.001102	-2.22%	0.1445	✗	0.74
2026-05-18	oos	0.001148	0.001126	-1.88%	0.00109	-5.05%	0.0974	✗	0.73
2026-05-17	oos	0.001148	0.001129	-1.65%	0.001106	-3.66%	0.0913	✗	0.68
2026-05-16	oos	0.001173	0.001155	-1.55%	0.001121	-4.43%	0.0811	✗	0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.001194	0.001178	-1.32%	0.001115	-6.62%	0.0710	✗	0.68
2026-05-14	oos	0.00121	0.001205	-0.38%	0.001128	-6.78%	0.0860	✗	0.66
2026-05-13	oos	0.001223	0.001207	-1.33%	0.001102	-9.89%	0.0527	✗	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.001247	0.001235	-0.94%	0.001113	-10.75%	0.0488	✗	0.65
2026-05-11	oos	0.00125	0.001248	-0.12%	0.001112	-11.04%	0.0804	✗	0.69
2026-05-10	oos	0.001246	0.001252	+0.50%	0.001126	-9.59%	0.0907	✓	0.68
2026-05-09	oos	0.001259	0.001254	-0.38%	0.001097	-12.87%	0.0367	✗	0.69
2026-05-08	oos	0.001245	0.001242	-0.25%	0.001059	-14.94%	0.0032	✗	0.69
2026-05-07	oos	0.001261	0.001257	-0.31%	0.001037	-17.76%	0.0084	✓	0.67
2026-05-06	oos	0.001284	0.001294	+0.76%	0.00103	-19.78%	0.0212	✓	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	0.001274	0.001285	+0.85%	0.001084	-14.91%	0.0581	✓	0.96
2026-05-04	oos	0.001287	0.00129	+0.26%	0.001055	-18.03%	0.0217	✓	1.01
2026-05-03	oos	0.001263	0.001259	-0.34%	0.001015	-19.64%	0.0525	✓	0.99
2026-05-02	oos	0.001264	0.001261	-0.22%	0.00104	-17.72%	0.0938	✓	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.00126	0.001255	-0.40%	0.00108	-14.29%	0.0875	✓	1.02
2026-04-30	oos	0.001261	0.001235	-2.07%	0.00107	-15.15%	0.1048	✓	1.14
2026-04-29	oos	0.001279	0.001248	-2.46%	0.001088	-14.93%	0.1004	✓	1.14
2026-04-28	oos	0.001283	0.001255	-2.20%	0.001084	-15.51%	0.1063	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.001329	0.001311	-1.37%	0.00112	-15.73%	0.1144	✓	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.001364	0.001366	+0.17%	0.001162	-14.81%	0.1212	✗	1.10
2026-04-25	oos	0.001351	0.00134	-0.78%	0.001116	-17.39%	0.1775	✓	1.10
2026-04-24	oos	0.001327	0.001321	-0.42%	0.001018	-23.29%	0.2536	✓	1.16
2026-04-23	oos	0.001293	0.001307	+1.09%	0.001016	-21.42%	0.2275	✗	1.16
2026-04-22	oos	0.00129	0.001306	+1.27%	0.001064	-17.52%	0.1634	✗	1.16
2026-04-21	oos	0.001283	0.001268	-1.14%	0.001073	-16.37%	0.1856	✓	1.18
2026-04-20	oos	0.001286	0.001267	-1.49%	0.001081	-15.94%	0.1842	✓	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.001294	0.001248	-3.59%	0.001127	-12.91%	0.1438	✓	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.001285	0.001271	-1.07%	0.001148	-10.66%	0.1191	✓	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.001322	0.001332	+0.76%	0.001148	-13.16%	0.1530	✗	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.001241	0.001228	-1.07%	0.001173	-5.48%	0.0865	✓	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.001251	0.001235	-1.31%	0.001194	-4.56%	0.0920	✓	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.001239	0.001216	-1.88%	0.00121	-2.34%	0.0986	✓	1.05
2026-04-13	oos	0.001228	0.001214	-1.14%	0.001223	-0.41%	0.0596	✓	1.06
2026-04-12	oos	0.001177	0.001123	-4.59%	0.001247	+5.95%	0.0306	✓	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.001182	0.001156	-2.24%	0.00125	+5.75%	0.0399	✓	1.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.001197	0.001171	-2.20%	0.001246	+4.09%	0.0634	✓	1.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.001235	0.001188	-3.82%	0.001259	+1.94%	0.0662	✓	1.07
2026-04-08	oos	0.001253	0.001199	-4.31%	0.001245	-0.64%	0.0919	✓	1.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.001268	0.001218	-3.98%	0.001261	-0.55%	0.0796	✓	1.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.001317	0.001246	-5.43%	0.001284	-2.51%	0.1580	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.00122	0.001165	-4.51%	0.001274	+4.43%	0.0890	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.001182	0.001137	-3.79%	0.001287	+8.88%	0.0651	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.001184	0.001142	-3.56%	0.001263	+6.67%	0.0753	✓	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.001167	0.00113	-3.14%	0.001264	+8.31%	0.0668	✓	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.001171	0.001137	-2.88%	0.00126	+7.60%	0.0502	✓	1.10
2026-03-31	oos	0.001203	0.001171	-2.66%	0.001261	+4.82%	0.0491	✓	1.10
2026-03-30	oos	0.001169	0.001145	-2.05%	0.001279	+9.41%	0.0286	✓	1.10
2026-03-29	oos	0.001191	0.001169	-1.86%	0.001283	+7.72%	0.0668	✓	1.10
2026-03-28	oos	0.001246	0.001222	-1.89%	0.001329	+6.66%	0.0852	✓	1.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.001333	0.001306	-2.04%	0.001364	+2.33%	0.1433	✓	1.10
2026-03-26	oos	0.001458	0.001425	-2.26%	0.001351	-7.34%	0.1845	✓	1.08
2026-03-25	oos	0.001511	0.001481	-2.01%	0.001327	-12.18%	0.1989	✓	1.08
2026-03-24	oos	0.001523	0.001494	-1.92%	0.001293	-15.10%	0.2572	✓	1.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.00154	0.001511	-1.87%	0.00129	-16.23%	0.2650	✓	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.001521	0.001489	-2.12%	0.001283	-15.65%	0.2793	✓	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.001581	0.001545	-2.25%	0.001286	-18.66%	0.2896	✓	1.10
2026-03-20	oos	0.001576	0.001539	-2.33%	0.001294	-17.89%	0.2247	✓	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.001769	0.001735	-1.93%	0.001285	-27.36%	0.3901	✓	1.13
2026-03-18	oos	0.001782	0.001749	-1.83%	0.001322	-25.81%	0.3692	✓	1.13
2026-03-17	oos	0.001847	0.001811	-1.95%	0.001241	-32.81%	0.3966	✓	1.14
2026-03-16	oos	0.001867	0.001826	-2.20%	0.001251	-32.99%	0.3774	✓	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.001867	0.001819	-2.54%	0.001239	-33.64%	0.4048	✓	1.12
2026-03-14	oos	0.001847	0.001794	-2.85%	0.001228	-33.51%	0.4290	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.001851	0.001792	-3.21%	0.001177	-36.41%	0.4172	✓	1.12
2026-03-12	oos	0.001816	0.001752	-3.52%	0.001182	-34.91%	0.4335	✓	1.12
2026-03-11	oos	0.001821	0.001749	-3.94%	0.001197	-34.27%	0.4231	✓	1.12
2026-03-10	oos	0.001806	0.001727	-4.40%	0.001235	-31.62%	0.3640	✓	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.00188	0.001792	-4.67%	0.001253	-33.35%	0.4012	✓	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.001837	0.001751	-4.71%	0.001268	-30.97%	0.4208	✓	1.14
2026-03-07	oos	0.001939	0.001846	-4.79%	0.001317	-32.08%	0.3642	✓	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.001938	0.001847	-4.70%	0.00122	-37.05%	0.4293	✓	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.002083	0.001976	-5.12%	0.001182	-43.25%	0.4562	✓	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.002165	0.002042	-5.68%	0.001184	-45.31%	0.4553	✓	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.002077	0.001971	-5.13%	0.001167	-43.81%	0.5001	✓	1.12
2026-03-02	oos	0.002231	0.00209	-6.30%	0.001171	-47.51%	0.5683	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.002204	0.002067	-6.20%	0.001203	-45.42%	0.5807	✓	1.07
2026-02-28	oos	0.002497	0.002259	-9.54%	0.001169	-53.18%	0.6551	✓	1.04
2026-02-27	oos	0.002439	0.002214	-9.23%	0.001191	-51.17%	0.6215	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.002328	0.002133	-8.36%	0.001246	-46.48%	0.5192	✓	1.06
2026-02-25	oos	0.002335	0.002122	-9.12%	0.001333	-42.91%	0.4390	✓	1.06
2026-02-24	oos	0.002177	0.002019	-7.24%	0.001458	-33.03%	0.4000	✓	1.05
2026-02-23	oos	0.002412	0.002166	-10.21%	0.001511	-37.35%	0.4630	✓	1.05
2026-02-22	oos	0.002574	0.002236	-13.12%	0.001523	-40.83%	0.4277	✓	1.03
2026-02-21	oos	0.002421	0.002098	-13.35%	0.00154	-36.39%	0.3526	✓	1.04
2026-02-20	oos	0.001841	0.001735	-5.77%	0.001521	-17.38%	0.1294	✓	1.02
2026-02-19	oos	0.001773	0.001682	-5.15%	0.001581	-10.83%	0.0907	✓	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.001751	0.001663	-5.05%	0.001576	-9.99%	0.1141	✓	1.02
2026-02-17	oos	0.00175	0.001656	-5.36%	0.001769	+1.09%	0.0306	✓	0.99
2026-02-16	oos	0.001592	0.00152	-4.50%	0.001782	+11.93%	0.1237	✗	1.03
2026-02-15	oos	0.001589	0.001517	-4.53%	0.001847	+16.24%	0.1226	✗	1.03
2026-02-14	oos	0.001649	0.001563	-5.20%	0.001867	+13.22%	0.1047	✗	1.03
2026-02-13	oos	0.001779	0.001674	-5.91%	0.001867	+4.95%	0.0495	✓	1.05
2026-02-12	oos	0.001795	0.001698	-5.42%	0.001847	+2.90%	0.0054	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.001831	0.001721	-5.98%	0.001851	+1.09%	0.0126	✓	1.06
2026-02-10	oos	0.001973	0.001821	-7.69%	0.001816	-7.96%	0.0283	✓	1.02
2026-02-09	oos	0.001987	0.001824	-8.23%	0.001821	-8.35%	0.0029	✓	1.02
2026-02-08	oos	0.002049	0.001871	-8.69%	0.001806	-11.86%	0.0306	✓	1.03
2026-02-07	oos	0.002075	0.001893	-8.76%	0.00188	-9.40%	0.0051	✓	1.03
2026-02-06	oos	0.002049	0.001867	-8.87%	0.001837	-10.35%	0.0531	✓	1.04
2026-02-05	oos	0.001734	0.001656	-4.52%	0.001939	+11.82%	0.0922	✗	0.96
2026-02-04	oos	0.00209	0.001897	-9.26%	0.001938	-7.27%	0.0774	✓	0.80
2026-02-03	oos	0.002422	0.002123	-12.33%	0.002083	-14.00%	0.0269	✓	0.71
2026-02-02	oos	0.002443	0.002135	-12.61%	0.002165	-11.38%	0.0694	✓	0.70
2026-02-01	oos	0.002262	0.002012	-11.03%	0.002077	-8.18%	0.1118	✓	0.68
2026-01-31	oos	0.002444	0.002132	-12.78%	0.002231	-8.72%	0.1343	✓	0.67
2026-01-30	oos	0.003058	0.002508	-18.00%	0.002204	-27.93%	0.0384	✓	0.37
2026-01-29	oos	0.003029	0.00246	-18.79%	0.002497	-17.56%	0.1013	✓	0.37
2026-01-28	oos	0.002869	0.002357	-17.86%	0.002439	-14.99%	0.1775	✓	0.47
2026-01-27	oos	0.002586	0.002176	-15.87%	0.002328	-9.98%	0.1990	✗	0.47
2026-01-26	oos	0.00193	0.001759	-8.88%	0.002335	+20.98%	0.3788	✗	0.37
2026-01-25	oos	0.001933	0.001758	-9.08%	0.002177	+12.62%	0.3252	✗	0.37
2026-01-24	oos	0.002423	0.002087	-13.85%	0.002412	-0.45%	0.2145	✗	0.22
2026-01-23	oos	0.002557	0.002157	-15.66%	0.002574	+0.66%	0.2384	✗	0.22
2026-01-22	oos	0.003032	0.002386	-21.29%	0.002421	-20.15%	0.0767	✓	0.23
2026-01-21	oos	0.002176	0.001861	-14.48%	0.001841	-15.40%	0.0408	✓	0.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.001638	0.001489	-9.07%	0.001773	+8.24%	0.2040	✗	0.11
2026-01-19	oos	0.001274	0.001225	-3.87%	0.001751	+37.44%	0.5034	✗	0.44
2026-01-18	oos	0.001241	0.001206	-2.78%	0.00175	+41.02%	0.5262	✗	0.47
2026-01-17	oos	0.00121	0.001195	-1.24%	0.001592	+31.57%	0.4450	✗	0.49
2026-01-16	oos	0.00125	0.001238	-0.94%	0.001589	+27.12%	0.4173	✗	0.51
2026-01-15	oos	0.001251	0.001243	-0.64%	0.001649	+31.81%	0.4448	✗	0.52
2026-01-14	oos	0.001151	0.001173	+1.93%	0.001779	+54.56%	0.5885	✓	0.50
2026-01-13	oos	0.001087	0.001088	+0.12%	0.001795	+65.13%	0.6960	✓	0.54
2026-01-12	oos	0.001073	0.001038	-3.22%	0.001831	+70.64%	0.7379	✗	0.55
2026-01-11	oos	0.001053	0.001009	-4.21%	0.001973	+87.37%	0.8267	✗	0.56
2026-01-10	oos	0.001064	0.001017	-4.44%	0.001987	+86.75%	0.8127	✗	0.56
2026-01-09	oos	0.001297	0.001277	-1.56%	0.002049	+57.98%	0.6226	✗	0.59
2026-01-08	oos	0.001428	0.00141	-1.23%	0.002075	+45.31%	0.5587	✗	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.001443	0.00143	-0.92%	0.002049	+42.00%	0.5729	✗	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	0.001483	0.001485	+0.13%	0.001734	+16.93%	0.4820	✓	0.82
2026-01-05	oos	0.00148	0.001487	+0.50%	0.00209	+41.22%	0.5465	✓	0.82
2026-01-04	oos	0.001512	0.001507	-0.35%	0.002422	+60.19%	0.6344	✗	0.84
2026-01-03	oos	0.001512	0.001506	-0.40%	0.002443	+61.57%	0.6038	✗	0.85
2026-01-02	oos	0.001513	0.001507	-0.39%	0.002262	+49.50%	0.5368	✗	0.83
2026-01-01	oos	0.001499	0.001493	-0.42%	0.002444	+63.04%	0.5930	✗	0.83
2025-12-31	oos	0.001491	0.001484	-0.50%	0.003058	+105.10%	0.7554	✗	0.81
2025-12-30	oos	0.001499	0.001496	-0.19%	0.003029	+102.07%	0.7422	✗	0.82
2025-12-29	oos	0.001531	0.001522	-0.56%	0.002869	+87.39%	0.6141	✗	0.84
2025-12-28	oos	0.001553	0.001546	-0.48%	0.002586	+66.52%	0.5029	✗	0.84
2025-12-27	oos	0.001548	0.001541	-0.43%	0.00193	+24.68%	0.2207	✗	0.83
2025-12-26	oos	0.001508	0.001504	-0.26%	0.001933	+28.18%	0.2579	✗	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	0.001517	0.001513	-0.28%	0.002423	+59.72%	0.4531	✗	0.83
2025-12-24	oos	0.001545	0.001541	-0.28%	0.002557	+65.50%	0.4892	✗	0.83
2025-12-23	oos	0.001502	0.001501	-0.07%	0.003032	+101.86%	0.6840	✗	0.83
2025-12-22	oos	0.001524	0.001526	+0.11%	0.002176	+42.78%	0.3476	✓	0.83
2025-12-21	oos	0.001562	0.001562	+0.00%	0.001638	+4.87%	0.0506	✓	0.83
2025-12-20	oos	0.001551	0.001551	-0.02%	0.001274	-17.86%	0.2354	✓	0.83
2025-12-19	oos	0.001527	0.001527	+0.01%	0.001241	-18.73%	0.2579	✗	0.83
2025-12-18	oos	0.001466	0.001463	-0.20%	0.00121	-17.46%	0.2757	✓	0.80
2025-12-17	oos	0.001591	0.001586	-0.32%	0.00125	-21.43%	0.3190	✓	0.79
2025-12-16	oos	0.001571	0.001569	-0.12%	0.001251	-20.37%	0.2939	✓	0.80
2025-12-15	oos	0.001705	0.001695	-0.56%	0.001151	-32.49%	0.4836	✓	0.84
2025-12-14	oos	0.001763	0.001753	-0.56%	0.001087	-38.34%	0.5424	✓	0.82
2025-12-13	oos	0.001776	0.00177	-0.31%	0.001073	-39.58%	0.5091	✓	0.82
2025-12-12	oos	0.001747	0.001743	-0.22%	0.001053	-39.73%	0.5094	✓	0.81
2025-12-11	oos	0.001774	0.001777	+0.15%	0.001064	-40.02%	0.4933	✗	0.82
2025-12-10	oos	0.001811	0.001812	+0.08%	0.001297	-28.38%	0.3210	✗	0.82
2025-12-09	oos	0.001847	0.001848	+0.06%	0.001428	-22.69%	0.2434	✗	0.80
2025-12-08	oos	0.001859	0.001854	-0.25%	0.001443	-22.38%	0.2564	✓	0.80
2025-12-07	oos	0.001868	0.001862	-0.35%	0.001483	-20.61%	0.2560	✓	0.80
2025-12-06	oos	0.001905	0.001894	-0.58%	0.00148	-22.31%	0.2876	✓	0.82
2025-12-05	oos	0.001952	0.001938	-0.72%	0.001512	-22.54%	0.2680	✓	0.83
2025-12-04	oos	0.00194	0.001933	-0.34%	0.001512	-22.06%	0.2319	✓	0.85
2025-12-03	oos	0.001898	0.001897	-0.04%	0.001513	-20.28%	0.1933	✓	0.87
2025-12-02	oos	0.002113	0.002094	-0.88%	0.001499	-29.06%	0.3076	✓	0.94
2025-12-01	oos	0.002023	0.002008	-0.76%	0.001491	-26.30%	0.3108	✓	0.95
2025-11-30	oos	0.002087	0.002072	-0.70%	0.001499	-28.17%	0.3029	✓	0.95
2025-11-29	oos	0.002052	0.002042	-0.48%	0.001531	-25.39%	0.2488	✓	0.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.002104	0.002092	-0.59%	0.001553	-26.19%	0.2659	✓	0.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.002156	0.00214	-0.74%	0.001548	-28.20%	0.2869	✓	0.94
2025-11-26	oos	0.002243	0.002216	-1.19%	0.001508	-32.77%	0.3526	✓	0.91
2025-11-25	oos	0.002127	0.002107	-0.92%	0.001517	-28.68%	0.3272	✓	0.86
2025-11-24	oos	0.002113	0.002093	-0.93%	0.001545	-26.88%	0.2973	✓	0.87
2025-11-23	oos	0.002067	0.002049	-0.87%	0.001502	-27.33%	0.3168	✓	0.88
2025-11-22	oos	0.002052	0.002035	-0.85%	0.001524	-25.73%	0.3287	✓	0.89
2025-11-21	oos	0.002028	0.002011	-0.84%	0.001562	-22.98%	0.2894	✓	0.89
2025-11-20	oos	0.002114	0.00209	-1.12%	0.001551	-26.63%	0.3165	✓	0.89
2025-11-19	oos	0.00213	0.002104	-1.21%	0.001527	-28.31%	0.2823	✓	1.02
2025-11-18	oos	0.002379	0.002334	-1.91%	0.001466	-38.38%	0.3817	✓	0.99
2025-11-17	oos	0.002376	0.002329	-2.00%	0.001591	-33.04%	0.3152	✓	0.99
2025-11-16	oos	0.002515	0.002448	-2.65%	0.001571	-37.53%	0.3740	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.002504	0.002438	-2.63%	0.001705	-31.91%	0.2558	✓	1.01
2025-11-14	oos	0.002495	0.002425	-2.80%	0.001763	-29.34%	0.2485	✓	1.01
2025-11-13	oos	0.002549	0.002469	-3.13%	0.001776	-30.33%	0.2237	✓	1.07
2025-11-12	oos	0.002376	0.002323	-2.25%	0.001747	-26.47%	0.1512	✓	1.13
2025-11-11	oos	0.002356	0.002304	-2.20%	0.001774	-24.70%	0.1395	✓	1.14
2025-11-10	oos	0.002432	0.002373	-2.43%	0.001811	-25.53%	0.1086	✓	1.15
2025-11-09	oos	0.002446	0.002384	-2.53%	0.001847	-24.49%	0.1151	✓	1.15
2025-11-08	oos	0.002341	0.002288	-2.28%	0.001859	-20.59%	0.0710	✓	1.13
2025-11-07	oos	0.002353	0.002296	-2.41%	0.001868	-20.61%	0.0553	✓	1.13
2025-11-06	oos	0.002295	0.002242	-2.31%	0.001905	-16.99%	0.0205	✓	1.13
2025-11-05	oos	0.002319	0.002262	-2.47%	0.001952	-15.83%	0.0255	✗	1.15
2025-11-04	oos	0.002346	0.002288	-2.45%	0.00194	-17.31%	0.0525	✓	1.16
2025-11-03	oos	0.002457	0.002383	-3.01%	0.001898	-22.75%	0.0649	✓	1.24
2025-11-02	oos	0.002561	0.002466	-3.70%	0.002113	-17.49%	0.0881	✗	1.27
2025-11-01	oos	0.002578	0.002479	-3.85%	0.002023	-21.53%	0.1059	✗	1.27
2025-10-31	oos	0.002536	0.002441	-3.76%	0.002087	-17.71%	0.0848	✗	1.25
2025-10-30	oos	0.002497	0.002408	-3.58%	0.002052	-17.82%	0.0595	✗	1.25
2025-10-29	oos	0.002563	0.002458	-4.11%	0.002104	-17.91%	0.0787	✗	1.23
2025-10-28	oos	0.002543	0.002425	-4.63%	0.002156	-15.22%	0.1640	✗	1.33
2025-10-27	oos	0.002559	0.002432	-4.97%	0.002243	-12.35%	0.2285	✗	1.33
2025-10-26	oos	0.002568	0.002436	-5.13%	0.002127	-17.17%	0.2309	✗	1.35
2025-10-25	oos	0.002539	0.002425	-4.50%	0.002113	-16.78%	0.1808	✗	1.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.002591	0.002477	-4.41%	0.002067	-20.22%	0.1566	✗	1.37
2025-10-23	oos	0.002651	0.00253	-4.56%	0.002052	-22.60%	0.1519	✗	1.38
2025-10-22	oos	0.002551	0.002457	-3.67%	0.002028	-20.50%	0.1243	✗	1.35
2025-10-21	oos	0.002615	0.002509	-4.06%	0.002114	-19.16%	0.1310	✗	1.34
2025-10-20	oos	0.00277	0.002626	-5.21%	0.00213	-23.10%	0.0449	✓	1.34
2025-10-19	oos	0.002754	0.00262	-4.87%	0.002379	-13.62%	0.1061	✗	1.29
2025-10-18	oos	0.002603	0.002504	-3.81%	0.002376	-8.72%	0.1390	✗	1.26
2025-10-17	oos	0.002569	0.002479	-3.49%	0.002515	-2.10%	0.1670	✗	1.25
2025-10-16	oos	0.002321	0.002258	-2.71%	0.002504	+7.88%	0.2686	✗	1.33
2025-10-15	oos	0.002618	0.002522	-3.65%	0.002495	-4.70%	0.1940	✗	1.29
2025-10-14	oos	0.002755	0.002641	-4.14%	0.002549	-7.48%	0.1281	✗	1.29
2025-10-13	oos	0.002869	0.002748	-4.21%	0.002376	-17.18%	0.0226	✓	1.34
2025-10-12	oos	0.002876	0.00276	-4.03%	0.002356	-18.08%	0.0122	✓	1.32
2025-10-11	oos	0.002775	0.002672	-3.70%	0.002432	-12.36%	0.0355	✓	1.33
2025-10-10	oos	0.003127	0.002988	-4.46%	0.002446	-21.78%	0.0994	✓	1.32
2025-10-09	oos	0.003705	0.003605	-2.71%	0.002341	-36.82%	0.2442	✓	1.08
2025-10-08	oos	0.003611	0.003553	-1.61%	0.002353	-34.84%	0.2032	✓	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.003554	0.003445	-3.07%	0.002295	-35.42%	0.1834	✓	1.23
2025-10-06	oos	0.003636	0.003586	-1.38%	0.002319	-36.22%	0.2070	✓	1.25
2025-10-05	oos	0.003542	0.003463	-2.22%	0.002346	-33.77%	0.1471	✓	1.23
2025-10-04	oos	0.003741	0.003623	-3.15%	0.002457	-34.32%	0.2162	✓	1.24
2025-10-03	oos	0.003873	0.003745	-3.31%	0.002561	-33.88%	0.2548	✓	1.24
2025-10-02	oos	0.003979	0.003809	-4.27%	0.002578	-35.21%	0.2751	✓	1.26
2025-10-01	oos	0.003908	0.003711	-5.04%	0.002536	-35.11%	0.2826	✓	1.23
2025-09-30	oos	0.003781	0.003573	-5.49%	0.002497	-33.96%	0.2949	✓	1.23
2025-09-29	oos	0.003783	0.003571	-5.60%	0.002563	-32.25%	0.2818	✓	1.29
2025-09-28	oos	0.003796	0.003589	-5.44%	0.002543	-33.01%	0.3529	✓	1.31
2025-09-27	oos	0.003756	0.003564	-5.11%	0.002559	-31.87%	0.3831	✓	1.32
2025-09-26	oos	0.003832	0.003633	-5.19%	0.002568	-32.99%	0.4038	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.003836	0.00364	-5.12%	0.002539	-33.81%	0.3913	✓	1.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.004035	0.003805	-5.71%	0.002591	-35.79%	0.3566	✓	1.34
2025-09-23	oos	0.004111	0.003875	-5.73%	0.002651	-35.51%	0.3567	✓	1.35
2025-09-22	oos	0.004131	0.003884	-5.98%	0.002551	-38.25%	0.3571	✓	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.004291	0.004033	-6.00%	0.002615	-39.06%	0.3482	✓	1.38
2025-09-20	oos	0.004227	0.003948	-6.61%	0.00277	-34.47%	0.2900	✓	1.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.004577	0.004323	-5.55%	0.002754	-39.83%	0.3666	✓	1.35
2025-09-18	oos	0.004589	0.004331	-5.63%	0.002603	-43.28%	0.3872	✓	1.38
2025-09-17	oos	0.004752	0.004499	-5.32%	0.002569	-45.94%	0.4397	✓	1.34

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.