XNO

Nano · native · gru_s9

token id: #417
symbol: XNO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-11-02
predictions: 3,846

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

58.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0262

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0030

actual -0.0011

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.34606	0.345224	-0.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-20	oos	0.33846	0.337671	-0.23%	0.34606	+2.25%	0.0272	✗	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.333005	0.332348	-0.20%	0.33846	+1.64%	0.0065	✗	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	0.338215	0.337268	-0.28%	0.333005	-1.54%	0.0112	✓	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	0.335595	0.33441	-0.35%	0.338215	+0.78%	0.0051	✗	0.81
2026-10-16	oos	0.341125	0.339975	-0.34%	0.335595	-1.62%	0.0118	✓	0.82
2026-10-15	oos	0.32984	0.32947	-0.11%	0.341125	+3.42%	0.0412	✗	0.84
2026-10-14	oos	0.344615	0.343678	-0.27%	0.32984	-4.29%	0.0469	✓	0.85
2026-10-13	oos	0.328575	0.328371	-0.06%	0.344615	+4.88%	0.0648	✗	0.88
2026-10-12	oos	0.33287	0.332495	-0.11%	0.328575	-1.29%	0.0266	✓	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	0.34746	0.347083	-0.11%	0.33287	-4.20%	0.0210	✓	0.89
2026-10-10	oos	0.345915	0.345495	-0.12%	0.34746	+0.45%	0.0027	✓	0.90
2026-10-09	oos	0.34373	0.343178	-0.16%	0.345915	+0.64%	0.0039	✗	0.91
2026-10-08	oos	0.33524	0.334833	-0.12%	0.34373	+2.53%	0.0169	✗	0.90
2026-10-07	oos	0.35298	0.352618	-0.10%	0.33524	-5.03%	0.0337	✓	0.88
2026-10-06	oos	0.362635	0.362368	-0.07%	0.35298	-2.66%	0.0028	✓	0.87
2026-10-05	oos	0.36259	0.362419	-0.05%	0.362635	+0.01%	0.0027	✗	0.85
2026-10-04	oos	0.364235	0.364035	-0.05%	0.36259	-0.45%	0.0036	✗	0.86
2026-10-03	oos	0.36174	0.361352	-0.11%	0.364235	+0.69%	0.0100	✓	0.87
2026-10-02	oos	0.35914	0.358692	-0.12%	0.36174	+0.72%	0.0060	✗	0.87
2026-10-01	oos	0.37341	0.373169	-0.06%	0.35914	-3.82%	0.0348	✓	0.86
2026-09-30	oos	0.35865	0.358526	-0.03%	0.37341	+4.12%	0.0276	✗	0.85
2026-09-29	oos	0.364715	0.364468	-0.07%	0.35865	-1.66%	0.0152	✓	0.87
2026-09-28	oos	0.369635	0.369131	-0.14%	0.364715	-1.33%	0.0139	✓	0.87
2026-09-27	oos	0.38062	0.3794	-0.32%	0.369635	-2.89%	0.0158	✓	0.86
2026-09-26	oos	0.38113	0.380086	-0.27%	0.38062	-0.13%	0.0009	✓	0.85
2026-09-25	oos	0.376805	0.375406	-0.37%	0.38113	+1.15%	0.0119	✗	0.85
2026-09-24	oos	0.372925	0.371073	-0.50%	0.376805	+1.04%	0.0183	✗	0.86
2026-09-23	oos	0.38447	0.381577	-0.75%	0.372925	-3.00%	0.0230	✓	0.86
2026-09-22	oos	0.360625	0.359098	-0.42%	0.38447	+6.61%	0.0882	✗	0.94
2026-09-21	oos	0.388955	0.38468	-1.10%	0.360625	-7.28%	0.0604	✓	0.92
2026-09-20	oos	0.34467	0.343719	-0.28%	0.388955	+12.85%	0.0718	✗	0.80
2026-09-19	oos	0.3489	0.347346	-0.45%	0.34467	-1.21%	0.0070	✓	0.79
2026-09-18	oos	0.342225	0.340098	-0.62%	0.3489	+1.95%	0.0220	✗	0.79
2026-09-17	oos	0.32074	0.319213	-0.48%	0.342225	+6.70%	0.0257	✗	0.76
2026-09-16	oos	0.3212	0.32089	-0.10%	0.32074	-0.14%	0.0025	✓	0.76
2026-09-15	oos	0.312845	0.31289	+0.01%	0.3212	+2.67%	0.0205	✓	0.77
2026-09-14	oos	0.333015	0.332789	-0.07%	0.312845	-6.06%	0.0365	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.342665	0.342621	-0.01%	0.333015	-2.82%	0.0418	✓	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	0.343655	0.343663	+0.00%	0.342665	-0.29%	0.0016	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.338685	0.338876	+0.06%	0.343655	+1.47%	0.0135	✓	0.76
2026-09-10	oos	0.32788	0.328667	+0.24%	0.338685	+3.30%	0.0234	✓	0.75
2026-09-09	oos	0.331915	0.332529	+0.18%	0.32788	-1.22%	0.0031	✓	0.76
2026-09-08	oos	0.373055	0.373158	+0.03%	0.331915	-11.03%	0.1157	✗	0.66
2026-09-07	oos	0.390565	0.390485	-0.02%	0.373055	-4.48%	0.0404	✓	0.64
2026-09-06	oos	0.39018	0.390168	-0.00%	0.390565	+0.10%	0.0113	✗	0.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.39275	0.392677	-0.02%	0.39018	-0.65%	0.0106	✓	0.66
2026-09-04	oos	0.384545	0.384599	+0.01%	0.39275	+2.13%	0.0196	✓	0.70
2026-09-03	oos	0.395465	0.395432	-0.01%	0.384545	-2.76%	0.0141	✓	0.70
2026-09-02	oos	0.387715	0.387354	-0.09%	0.395465	+2.00%	0.0162	✓	0.74
2026-09-01	oos	0.38872	0.388167	-0.14%	0.387715	-0.26%	0.0003	✓	0.74
2026-08-31	oos	0.3909	0.390799	-0.03%	0.38872	-0.56%	0.0060	✗	0.76
2026-08-30	oos	0.376075	0.376288	+0.06%	0.3909	+3.94%	0.0300	✓	0.71
2026-08-29	oos	0.39877	0.398728	-0.01%	0.376075	-5.69%	0.0534	✓	0.70
2026-08-28	oos	0.376515	0.376702	+0.05%	0.39877	+5.91%	0.0534	✓	0.69
2026-08-27	oos	0.40503	0.405189	+0.04%	0.376515	-7.04%	0.0534	✗	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.398875	0.398949	+0.02%	0.40503	+1.54%	0.0050	✓	0.65
2026-08-25	oos	0.394045	0.394055	+0.00%	0.398875	+1.23%	0.0081	✓	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.398445	0.398407	-0.01%	0.394045	-1.10%	0.0073	✓	0.64
2026-08-23	oos	0.405	0.404642	-0.09%	0.398445	-1.62%	0.0258	✓	0.65
2026-08-22	oos	0.402065	0.401448	-0.15%	0.405	+0.73%	0.0032	✗	0.65
2026-08-21	oos	0.40758	0.406177	-0.34%	0.402065	-1.35%	0.0003	✓	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.381915	0.381554	-0.09%	0.40758	+6.72%	0.0230	✗	0.61
2026-08-19	oos	0.37764	0.37724	-0.11%	0.381915	+1.13%	0.0220	✓	0.66
2026-08-18	oos	0.360345	0.35971	-0.18%	0.37764	+4.80%	0.0035	✗	0.66
2026-08-17	oos	0.35789	0.357276	-0.17%	0.360345	+0.69%	0.0065	✗	0.66
2026-08-16	oos	0.35338	0.35275	-0.18%	0.35789	+1.28%	0.0026	✓	0.66
2026-08-15	oos	0.356795	0.356223	-0.16%	0.35338	-0.96%	0.0061	✓	0.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.36458	0.363858	-0.20%	0.356795	-2.14%	0.0201	✓	0.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.37319	0.37233	-0.23%	0.36458	-2.31%	0.0164	✓	0.64
2026-08-12	oos	0.38501	0.383906	-0.29%	0.37319	-3.07%	0.0285	✓	0.65
2026-08-11	oos	0.382065	0.381188	-0.23%	0.38501	+0.77%	0.0112	✗	0.66
2026-08-10	oos	0.40063	0.399317	-0.33%	0.382065	-4.63%	0.0401	✓	0.68
2026-08-09	oos	0.406245	0.404774	-0.36%	0.40063	-1.38%	0.0002	✓	0.69
2026-08-08	oos	0.40739	0.405648	-0.43%	0.406245	-0.28%	0.0021	✓	0.69
2026-08-07	oos	0.40121	0.399039	-0.54%	0.40739	+1.54%	0.0205	✗	0.70
2026-08-06	oos	0.403795	0.401392	-0.60%	0.40121	-0.64%	0.0072	✓	0.70
2026-08-05	oos	0.408635	0.405875	-0.68%	0.403795	-1.18%	0.0015	✓	0.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.40501	0.402549	-0.61%	0.408635	+0.90%	0.0090	✗	0.70
2026-08-03	oos	0.39567	0.393864	-0.46%	0.40501	+2.36%	0.0214	✗	0.71
2026-08-02	oos	0.39932	0.397317	-0.50%	0.39567	-0.91%	0.0038	✓	0.72
2026-08-01	oos	0.400715	0.398373	-0.58%	0.39932	-0.35%	0.0060	✓	0.72
2026-07-31	oos	0.400915	0.397588	-0.83%	0.400715	-0.05%	0.0085	✗	0.72
2026-07-30	oos	0.395785	0.393117	-0.67%	0.400915	+1.30%	0.0420	✗	0.75
2026-07-29	oos	0.41253	0.409406	-0.76%	0.395785	-4.06%	0.0441	✓	0.80
2026-07-28	oos	0.38929	0.386562	-0.70%	0.41253	+5.97%	0.0644	✗	0.78
2026-07-27	oos	0.38197	0.379524	-0.64%	0.38929	+1.92%	0.0235	✗	0.78
2026-07-26	oos	0.395485	0.393692	-0.45%	0.38197	-3.42%	0.0097	✓	0.81
2026-07-25	oos	0.390705	0.388624	-0.53%	0.395485	+1.22%	0.0042	✓	0.82
2026-07-24	oos	0.41415	0.409196	-1.20%	0.390705	-5.66%	0.0490	✓	0.85
2026-07-23	oos	0.409065	0.404982	-1.00%	0.41415	+1.24%	0.0352	✗	0.85
2026-07-22	oos	0.39832	0.394825	-0.88%	0.409065	+2.70%	0.0490	✗	0.86
2026-07-21	oos	0.37661	0.375162	-0.38%	0.39832	+5.76%	0.0655	✗	0.87
2026-07-20	oos	0.48354	0.470787	-2.64%	0.37661	-22.11%	0.2439	✓	1.05
2026-07-19	oos	0.325585	0.325479	-0.03%	0.48354	+48.51%	0.3885	✗	0.90
2026-07-18	oos	0.343045	0.342385	-0.19%	0.325585	-5.09%	0.0487	✓	0.94
2026-07-17	oos	0.32352	0.323385	-0.04%	0.343045	+6.04%	0.0465	✗	0.89
2026-07-16	oos	0.323335	0.323136	-0.06%	0.32352	+0.06%	0.0005	✓	0.87
2026-07-15	oos	0.32426	0.324167	-0.03%	0.323335	-0.29%	0.0102	✗	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.3233	0.323213	-0.03%	0.32426	+0.30%	0.0069	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.30837	0.308206	-0.05%	0.3233	+4.84%	0.0111	✗	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	0.32136	0.321268	-0.03%	0.30837	-4.04%	0.0213	✓	0.84
2026-07-11	oos	0.33557	0.33533	-0.07%	0.32136	-4.23%	0.0421	✓	0.81
2026-07-10	oos	0.331155	0.330913	-0.07%	0.33557	+1.33%	0.0185	✗	0.82
2026-07-09	oos	0.327475	0.327283	-0.06%	0.331155	+1.12%	0.0006	✓	0.83
2026-07-08	oos	0.3289	0.328616	-0.09%	0.327475	-0.43%	0.0159	✓	0.83
2026-07-07	oos	0.32044	0.320238	-0.06%	0.3289	+2.64%	0.0414	✗	0.85
2026-07-06	oos	0.33525	0.334777	-0.14%	0.32044	-4.42%	0.0346	✓	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.333905	0.333355	-0.16%	0.33525	+0.40%	0.0001	✓	0.88
2026-07-04	oos	0.336755	0.33595	-0.24%	0.333905	-0.85%	0.0130	✓	0.88
2026-07-03	oos	0.336785	0.335755	-0.31%	0.336755	-0.01%	0.0048	✓	0.87
2026-07-02	oos	0.32877	0.327254	-0.46%	0.336785	+2.44%	0.0143	✗	0.86
2026-07-01	oos	0.31114	0.31086	-0.09%	0.32877	+5.67%	0.0351	✗	0.84
2026-06-30	oos	0.305425	0.305273	-0.05%	0.31114	+1.87%	0.0013	✓	0.84
2026-06-29	oos	0.31101	0.310701	-0.10%	0.305425	-1.80%	0.0062	✗	0.84
2026-06-28	oos	0.31556	0.315486	-0.02%	0.31101	-1.44%	0.0240	✓	0.85
2026-06-27	oos	0.31744	0.317336	-0.03%	0.31556	-0.59%	0.0011	✗	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	0.322795	0.322722	-0.02%	0.31744	-1.66%	0.0155	✓	0.87
2026-06-25	oos	0.31255	0.312594	+0.01%	0.322795	+3.28%	0.0278	✓	0.87
2026-06-24	oos	0.330635	0.330476	-0.05%	0.31255	-5.47%	0.0378	✓	0.85
2026-06-23	oos	0.337635	0.337434	-0.06%	0.330635	-2.07%	0.0030	✗	0.87
2026-06-22	oos	0.34216	0.34199	-0.05%	0.337635	-1.32%	0.0053	✗	0.88
2026-06-21	oos	0.357425	0.357	-0.12%	0.34216	-4.27%	0.0526	✓	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	0.366945	0.366299	-0.18%	0.357425	-2.59%	0.0107	✓	0.90
2026-06-19	oos	0.35415	0.353507	-0.18%	0.366945	+3.61%	0.0270	✗	0.88
2026-06-18	oos	0.356655	0.356347	-0.09%	0.35415	-0.70%	0.0145	✓	0.89
2026-06-17	oos	0.37226	0.37184	-0.11%	0.356655	-4.19%	0.0203	✓	0.87
2026-06-16	oos	0.388165	0.387435	-0.19%	0.37226	-4.10%	0.0244	✓	0.86
2026-06-15	oos	0.37332	0.372838	-0.13%	0.388165	+3.98%	0.0486	✗	0.83
2026-06-14	oos	0.371885	0.371588	-0.08%	0.37332	+0.39%	0.0025	✓	0.83
2026-06-13	oos	0.36549	0.365262	-0.06%	0.371885	+1.75%	0.0021	✗	0.81
2026-06-12	oos	0.358285	0.358157	-0.04%	0.36549	+2.01%	0.0094	✗	0.78
2026-06-11	oos	0.364465	0.364388	-0.02%	0.358285	-1.70%	0.0166	✓	0.78
2026-06-10	oos	0.390355	0.389876	-0.12%	0.364465	-6.63%	0.0966	✓	0.86
2026-06-09	oos	0.37744	0.377136	-0.08%	0.390355	+3.42%	0.0378	✗	0.86
2026-06-08	oos	0.39089	0.390519	-0.09%	0.37744	-3.44%	0.0151	✓	0.86
2026-06-07	oos	0.39358	0.393168	-0.10%	0.39089	-0.68%	0.0026	✓	0.83
2026-06-06	oos	0.37037	0.370612	+0.07%	0.39358	+6.27%	0.0284	✓	0.80
2026-06-05	oos	0.38946	0.3893	-0.04%	0.37037	-4.90%	0.0474	✓	0.81
2026-06-04	oos	0.40872	0.408208	-0.13%	0.38946	-4.71%	0.0118	✓	0.79
2026-06-03	oos	0.40773	0.407129	-0.15%	0.40872	+0.24%	0.0067	✗	0.78
2026-06-02	oos	0.42684	0.425889	-0.22%	0.40773	-4.48%	0.0135	✓	0.75
2026-06-01	oos	0.43886	0.438039	-0.19%	0.42684	-2.74%	0.0246	✗	0.75
2026-05-31	oos	0.450085	0.449167	-0.20%	0.43886	-2.49%	0.0001	✓	0.75
2026-05-30	oos	0.43754	0.436753	-0.18%	0.450085	+2.87%	0.0321	✗	0.75
2026-05-29	oos	0.433275	0.432398	-0.20%	0.43754	+0.98%	0.0076	✗	0.77
2026-05-28	oos	0.437855	0.436634	-0.28%	0.433275	-1.05%	0.0062	✓	0.78
2026-05-27	oos	0.435685	0.434988	-0.16%	0.437855	+0.50%	0.0149	✗	0.76
2026-05-26	oos	0.442495	0.441713	-0.18%	0.435685	-1.54%	0.0017	✓	0.77
2026-05-25	oos	0.44272	0.442008	-0.16%	0.442495	-0.05%	0.0157	✗	0.78
2026-05-24	oos	0.434325	0.433654	-0.15%	0.44272	+1.93%	0.0179	✗	0.78
2026-05-23	oos	0.44786	0.446766	-0.24%	0.434325	-3.02%	0.0315	✓	0.77
2026-05-22	oos	0.43337	0.432451	-0.21%	0.44786	+3.34%	0.0229	✗	0.76
2026-05-21	oos	0.44927	0.447946	-0.29%	0.43337	-3.54%	0.0124	✓	0.75
2026-05-20	oos	0.432055	0.431117	-0.22%	0.44927	+3.98%	0.0406	✗	0.75
2026-05-19	oos	0.426455	0.425617	-0.20%	0.432055	+1.31%	0.0082	✗	0.75
2026-05-18	oos	0.43816	0.436593	-0.36%	0.426455	-2.67%	0.0218	✓	0.75
2026-05-17	oos	0.446525	0.445024	-0.34%	0.43816	-1.87%	0.0111	✓	0.74
2026-05-16	oos	0.44364	0.442072	-0.35%	0.446525	+0.65%	0.0167	✗	0.75
2026-05-15	oos	0.428835	0.427065	-0.41%	0.44364	+3.45%	0.0473	✗	0.76
2026-05-14	oos	0.439395	0.437162	-0.51%	0.428835	-2.40%	0.0004	✓	0.75
2026-05-13	oos	0.430355	0.428878	-0.34%	0.439395	+2.10%	0.0079	✗	0.73
2026-05-12	oos	0.45982	0.457218	-0.57%	0.430355	-6.41%	0.0501	✓	0.70
2026-05-11	oos	0.48521	0.48188	-0.69%	0.45982	-5.23%	0.0366	✓	0.67
2026-05-10	oos	0.47958	0.478788	-0.17%	0.48521	+1.17%	0.0172	✗	0.68
2026-05-09	oos	0.46808	0.467306	-0.17%	0.47958	+2.46%	0.0132	✗	0.67
2026-05-08	oos	0.48016	0.478745	-0.29%	0.46808	-2.52%	0.0264	✓	0.67
2026-05-07	oos	0.46839	0.467356	-0.22%	0.48016	+2.51%	0.0255	✗	0.66
2026-05-06	oos	0.478935	0.477009	-0.40%	0.46839	-2.20%	0.0092	✓	0.51
2026-05-05	oos	0.45801	0.45637	-0.36%	0.478935	+4.57%	0.0450	✗	0.49
2026-05-04	oos	0.44539	0.44532	-0.02%	0.45801	+2.83%	0.0218	✗	0.48
2026-05-03	oos	0.44664	0.446564	-0.02%	0.44539	-0.28%	0.0103	✓	0.47
2026-05-02	oos	0.44915	0.44899	-0.04%	0.44664	-0.56%	0.0045	✓	0.47
2026-05-01	oos	0.44197	0.442253	+0.06%	0.44915	+1.62%	0.0128	✓	0.47
2026-04-30	oos	0.422945	0.42332	+0.09%	0.44197	+4.50%	0.0317	✓	0.46
2026-04-29	oos	0.44092	0.441174	+0.06%	0.422945	-4.08%	0.0456	✗	0.46
2026-04-28	oos	0.44498	0.445348	+0.08%	0.44092	-0.91%	0.0065	✗	0.48
2026-04-27	oos	0.498045	0.498159	+0.02%	0.44498	-10.65%	0.1066	✗	0.46
2026-04-26	oos	0.523205	0.52312	-0.02%	0.498045	-4.81%	0.0415	✓	0.46
2026-04-25	oos	0.5032	0.503215	+0.00%	0.523205	+3.98%	0.0330	✓	0.45
2026-04-24	oos	0.5207	0.52005	-0.12%	0.5032	-3.36%	0.0340	✓	0.45
2026-04-23	oos	0.501215	0.501361	+0.03%	0.5207	+3.89%	0.0427	✓	0.46
2026-04-22	oos	0.51946	0.519325	-0.03%	0.501215	-3.51%	0.0359	✓	0.46
2026-04-21	oos	0.517215	0.516839	-0.07%	0.51946	+0.43%	0.0060	✓	0.46
2026-04-20	oos	0.539015	0.5379	-0.21%	0.517215	-4.04%	0.0422	✓	0.47
2026-04-19	oos	0.50787	0.5069	-0.19%	0.539015	+6.13%	0.0492	✗	0.45
2026-04-18	oos	0.5061	0.505172	-0.18%	0.50787	+0.35%	0.0169	✗	0.45
2026-04-17	oos	0.49453	0.494105	-0.09%	0.5061	+2.34%	0.0323	✗	0.46
2026-04-16	oos	0.488175	0.487388	-0.16%	0.49453	+1.30%	0.0028	✗	0.46
2026-04-15	oos	0.463105	0.462527	-0.12%	0.488175	+5.41%	0.0520	✗	0.46
2026-04-14	oos	0.465785	0.464528	-0.27%	0.463105	-0.58%	0.0072	✓	0.46
2026-04-13	oos	0.45387	0.453233	-0.14%	0.465785	+2.63%	0.0290	✗	0.47
2026-04-12	oos	0.44509	0.443953	-0.26%	0.45387	+1.97%	0.0027	✓	0.49
2026-04-11	oos	0.463955	0.462328	-0.35%	0.44509	-4.07%	0.0224	✓	0.48
2026-04-10	oos	0.44562	0.44445	-0.26%	0.463955	+4.11%	0.0424	✗	0.48
2026-04-09	oos	0.44253	0.440584	-0.44%	0.44562	+0.70%	0.0035	✓	0.48
2026-04-08	oos	0.43897	0.437565	-0.32%	0.44253	+0.81%	0.0065	✗	0.48
2026-04-07	oos	0.466105	0.463553	-0.55%	0.43897	-5.82%	0.0491	✓	0.47
2026-04-06	oos	0.443505	0.4424	-0.25%	0.466105	+5.10%	0.0323	✗	0.46
2026-04-05	oos	0.445685	0.444266	-0.32%	0.443505	-0.49%	0.0007	✓	0.46
2026-04-04	oos	0.44529	0.444098	-0.27%	0.445685	+0.09%	0.0081	✓	0.47
2026-04-03	oos	0.44003	0.43916	-0.20%	0.44529	+1.20%	0.0115	✗	0.47
2026-04-02	oos	0.442015	0.441073	-0.21%	0.44003	-0.45%	0.0028	✓	0.47
2026-04-01	oos	0.453505	0.452141	-0.30%	0.442015	-2.53%	0.0142	✓	0.47
2026-03-31	oos	0.44728	0.445971	-0.29%	0.453505	+1.39%	0.0175	✗	0.48
2026-03-30	oos	0.44441	0.443213	-0.27%	0.44728	+0.65%	0.0014	✓	0.48
2026-03-29	oos	0.421195	0.420791	-0.10%	0.44441	+5.51%	0.0491	✗	0.47
2026-03-28	oos	0.446195	0.445562	-0.14%	0.421195	-5.60%	0.0537	✓	0.47
2026-03-27	oos	0.4479	0.447239	-0.15%	0.446195	-0.38%	0.0021	✓	0.47
2026-03-26	oos	0.465255	0.464412	-0.18%	0.4479	-3.73%	0.0197	✓	0.46
2026-03-25	oos	0.488465	0.487298	-0.24%	0.465255	-4.75%	0.0300	✓	0.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.47489	0.474422	-0.10%	0.488465	+2.86%	0.0243	✗	0.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.47997	0.479487	-0.10%	0.47489	-1.06%	0.0075	✓	0.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.46207	0.461623	-0.10%	0.47997	+3.87%	0.0200	✗	0.43
2026-03-21	oos	0.46682	0.466412	-0.09%	0.46207	-1.02%	0.0026	✓	0.43
2026-03-20	oos	0.47651	0.476149	-0.08%	0.46682	-2.03%	0.0100	✓	0.43
2026-03-19	oos	0.48062	0.480131	-0.10%	0.47651	-0.86%	0.0111	✓	0.43
2026-03-18	oos	0.49359	0.493025	-0.11%	0.48062	-2.63%	0.0172	✓	0.44
2026-03-17	oos	0.4861	0.485914	-0.04%	0.49359	+1.54%	0.0327	✗	0.46
2026-03-16	oos	0.495095	0.49497	-0.03%	0.4861	-1.82%	0.0122	✓	0.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.497655	0.497721	+0.01%	0.495095	-0.51%	0.0180	✗	0.46
2026-03-14	oos	0.51064	0.510468	-0.03%	0.497655	-2.54%	0.0358	✓	0.47
2026-03-13	oos	0.51808	0.517783	-0.06%	0.51064	-1.44%	0.0158	✓	0.48
2026-03-12	oos	0.523065	0.522758	-0.06%	0.51808	-0.95%	0.0118	✓	0.48
2026-03-11	oos	0.522525	0.522165	-0.07%	0.523065	+0.10%	0.0005	✓	0.48
2026-03-10	oos	0.51612	0.515892	-0.04%	0.522525	+1.24%	0.0111	✗	0.48
2026-03-09	oos	0.52864	0.528295	-0.07%	0.51612	-2.37%	0.0342	✓	0.49
2026-03-08	oos	0.512065	0.511706	-0.07%	0.52864	+3.24%	0.0150	✗	0.48
2026-03-07	oos	0.526575	0.52603	-0.10%	0.512065	-2.76%	0.0177	✓	0.48
2026-03-06	oos	0.52998	0.529597	-0.07%	0.526575	-0.64%	0.0002	✓	0.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.541115	0.540803	-0.06%	0.52998	-2.06%	0.0014	✓	0.47
2026-03-04	oos	0.54116	0.540859	-0.06%	0.541115	-0.01%	0.0126	✗	0.48
2026-03-03	oos	0.53298	0.532263	-0.13%	0.54116	+1.53%	0.0140	✓	0.50
2026-03-02	oos	0.53544	0.535294	-0.03%	0.53298	-0.46%	0.0007	✓	0.50
2026-03-01	oos	0.519425	0.519367	-0.01%	0.53544	+3.08%	0.0077	✗	0.50
2026-02-28	oos	0.546595	0.546272	-0.06%	0.519425	-4.97%	0.0412	✓	0.51
2026-02-27	oos	0.528985	0.528822	-0.03%	0.546595	+3.33%	0.0247	✗	0.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.5266	0.526518	-0.02%	0.528985	+0.45%	0.0171	✗	0.51
2026-02-25	oos	0.53361	0.533435	-0.03%	0.5266	-1.31%	0.0091	✓	0.51
2026-02-24	oos	0.50804	0.508104	+0.01%	0.53361	+5.03%	0.0199	✓	0.49
2026-02-23	oos	0.506425	0.506537	+0.02%	0.50804	+0.32%	0.0073	✓	0.50
2026-02-22	oos	0.51858	0.518641	+0.01%	0.506425	-2.34%	0.0011	✗	0.50
2026-02-21	oos	0.5348	0.534743	-0.01%	0.51858	-3.03%	0.0282	✓	0.50
2026-02-20	oos	0.53781	0.5378	-0.00%	0.5348	-0.56%	0.0054	✓	0.50
2026-02-19	oos	0.54084	0.540834	-0.00%	0.53781	-0.56%	0.0131	✓	0.50
2026-02-18	oos	0.54083	0.540827	-0.00%	0.54084	+0.00%	0.0042	✓	0.51
2026-02-17	oos	0.551315	0.551269	-0.01%	0.54083	-1.90%	0.0102	✓	0.57
2026-02-16	oos	0.55834	0.558211	-0.02%	0.551315	-1.26%	0.0006	✓	0.58
2026-02-15	oos	0.55709	0.55693	-0.03%	0.55834	+0.22%	0.0020	✗	0.56
2026-02-14	oos	0.560785	0.560603	-0.03%	0.55709	-0.66%	0.0007	✗	0.49
2026-02-13	oos	0.57799	0.577468	-0.09%	0.560785	-2.98%	0.0365	✓	0.51
2026-02-12	oos	0.571605	0.571025	-0.10%	0.57799	+1.12%	0.0080	✓	0.52
2026-02-11	oos	0.558645	0.55888	+0.04%	0.571605	+2.32%	0.0299	✓	0.60
2026-02-10	oos	0.56027	0.560553	+0.05%	0.558645	-0.29%	0.0133	✓	0.64
2026-02-09	oos	0.57625	0.576381	+0.02%	0.56027	-2.77%	0.0161	✗	0.65
2026-02-08	oos	0.577925	0.578164	+0.04%	0.57625	-0.29%	0.0019	✗	0.58
2026-02-07	oos	0.59266	0.592889	+0.04%	0.577925	-2.49%	0.0347	✗	0.62
2026-02-06	oos	0.59118	0.591362	+0.03%	0.59266	+0.25%	0.0132	✓	0.60
2026-02-05	oos	0.5915	0.592529	+0.17%	0.59118	-0.05%	0.0851	✗	0.71
2026-02-04	oos	0.63777	0.637043	-0.11%	0.5915	-7.25%	0.0549	✗	0.86
2026-02-03	oos	0.63172	0.631322	-0.06%	0.63777	+0.96%	0.0431	✗	0.92
2026-02-02	oos	0.636005	0.635425	-0.09%	0.63172	-0.67%	0.0329	✗	0.99
2026-02-01	oos	0.6208	0.62057	-0.04%	0.636005	+2.45%	0.0114	✗	0.58
2026-01-31	oos	0.63032	0.629823	-0.08%	0.6208	-1.51%	0.0004	✓	0.62
2026-01-30	oos	0.648105	0.647633	-0.07%	0.63032	-2.74%	0.0159	✗	0.64
2026-01-29	oos	0.66526	0.664556	-0.11%	0.648105	-2.58%	0.0220	✓	0.65
2026-01-28	oos	0.701995	0.701003	-0.14%	0.66526	-5.23%	0.0196	✓	0.61
2026-01-27	oos	0.715065	0.713757	-0.18%	0.701995	-1.83%	0.0169	✓	0.62
2026-01-26	oos	0.703825	0.702618	-0.17%	0.715065	+1.60%	0.0116	✗	0.61
2026-01-25	oos	0.69043	0.689305	-0.16%	0.703825	+1.94%	0.0090	✗	0.62
2026-01-24	oos	0.699055	0.697794	-0.18%	0.69043	-1.23%	0.0071	✗	0.62
2026-01-23	oos	0.697175	0.696148	-0.15%	0.699055	+0.27%	0.0069	✗	0.62
2026-01-22	oos	0.7026	0.701467	-0.16%	0.697175	-0.77%	0.0062	✓	0.62
2026-01-21	oos	0.71167	0.7103	-0.19%	0.7026	-1.27%	0.0116	✓	0.63
2026-01-20	oos	0.70452	0.702929	-0.23%	0.71167	+1.01%	0.0048	✗	0.63
2026-01-19	oos	0.718195	0.716969	-0.17%	0.70452	-1.90%	0.0129	✗	0.65
2026-01-18	oos	0.741195	0.739643	-0.21%	0.718195	-3.10%	0.0219	✓	0.65
2026-01-17	oos	0.77356	0.771208	-0.30%	0.741195	-4.18%	0.0297	✓	0.64
2026-01-16	oos	0.745525	0.74321	-0.31%	0.77356	+3.76%	0.0427	✗	0.64
2026-01-15	oos	0.732105	0.729665	-0.33%	0.745525	+1.83%	0.0221	✗	0.65
2026-01-14	oos	0.764515	0.760884	-0.47%	0.732105	-4.24%	0.0293	✓	0.65
2026-01-13	oos	0.745725	0.742308	-0.46%	0.764515	+2.52%	0.0188	✗	0.65
2026-01-12	oos	0.70686	0.704625	-0.32%	0.745725	+5.50%	0.0284	✗	0.63
2026-01-11	oos	0.71005	0.707694	-0.33%	0.70686	-0.45%	0.0034	✓	0.63
2026-01-10	oos	0.725385	0.722334	-0.42%	0.71005	-2.11%	0.0207	✓	0.65
2026-01-09	oos	0.71941	0.716327	-0.43%	0.725385	+0.83%	0.0137	✗	0.74
2026-01-08	oos	0.72419	0.720262	-0.54%	0.71941	-0.66%	0.0029	✓	0.73
2026-01-07	oos	0.7353	0.731315	-0.54%	0.72419	-1.51%	0.0067	✓	1.12
2026-01-06	oos	0.76625	0.759003	-0.95%	0.7353	-4.04%	0.0025	✓	1.11
2026-01-05	oos	0.77096	0.764817	-0.80%	0.76625	-0.61%	0.0036	✓	1.10
2026-01-04	oos	0.75372	0.749316	-0.58%	0.77096	+2.29%	0.0001	✓	1.12
2026-01-03	oos	0.71924	0.715476	-0.52%	0.75372	+4.79%	0.0411	✗	1.11
2026-01-02	oos	0.72234	0.718552	-0.52%	0.71924	-0.43%	0.0069	✓	1.11
2026-01-01	oos	0.72369	0.718733	-0.68%	0.72234	-0.19%	0.0102	✓	1.12
2025-12-31	oos	0.68405	0.681212	-0.41%	0.72369	+5.79%	0.0451	✗	1.09
2025-12-30	oos	0.698395	0.695472	-0.42%	0.68405	-2.05%	0.0054	✓	1.09
2025-12-29	oos	0.70299	0.701013	-0.28%	0.698395	-0.65%	0.0201	✓	1.12
2025-12-28	oos	0.709505	0.707141	-0.33%	0.70299	-0.92%	0.0039	✗	1.12
2025-12-27	oos	0.717275	0.714117	-0.44%	0.709505	-1.08%	0.0073	✓	1.10
2025-12-26	oos	0.70967	0.70726	-0.34%	0.717275	+1.07%	0.0077	✗	1.09
2025-12-25	oos	0.6978	0.695875	-0.28%	0.70967	+1.70%	0.0181	✗	1.09
2025-12-24	oos	0.707015	0.705208	-0.26%	0.6978	-1.30%	0.0051	✓	1.09
2025-12-23	oos	0.704845	0.702843	-0.28%	0.707015	+0.31%	0.0037	✗	1.10
2025-12-22	oos	0.70533	0.703458	-0.27%	0.704845	-0.07%	0.0161	✗	1.10
2025-12-21	oos	0.69846	0.696813	-0.24%	0.70533	+0.98%	0.0132	✗	1.10
2025-12-20	oos	0.716845	0.714677	-0.30%	0.69846	-2.56%	0.0270	✓	1.12
2025-12-19	oos	0.69621	0.694412	-0.26%	0.716845	+2.96%	0.0289	✗	1.12
2025-12-18	oos	0.666735	0.665884	-0.13%	0.69621	+4.42%	0.0108	✗	1.11
2025-12-17	oos	0.687405	0.686028	-0.20%	0.666735	-3.01%	0.0188	✓	1.11
2025-12-16	oos	0.69065	0.689629	-0.15%	0.687405	-0.47%	0.0179	✗	1.12
2025-12-15	oos	0.702555	0.701484	-0.15%	0.69065	-1.69%	0.0342	✓	1.13
2025-12-14	oos	0.710215	0.708909	-0.18%	0.702555	-1.08%	0.0138	✗	1.13
2025-12-13	oos	0.74532	0.743506	-0.24%	0.710215	-4.71%	0.0196	✓	1.12
2025-12-12	oos	0.7369	0.735234	-0.23%	0.74532	+1.14%	0.0139	✗	1.12
2025-12-11	oos	0.75033	0.748462	-0.25%	0.7369	-1.79%	0.0124	✗	1.13
2025-12-10	oos	0.7453	0.743589	-0.23%	0.75033	+0.67%	0.0028	✗	1.13
2025-12-09	oos	0.77974	0.777602	-0.27%	0.7453	-4.42%	0.0345	✓	1.12
2025-12-08	oos	0.78526	0.783103	-0.27%	0.77974	-0.70%	0.0296	✓	1.14
2025-12-07	oos	0.78478	0.782627	-0.27%	0.78526	+0.06%	0.0002	✓	1.14
2025-12-06	oos	0.8023	0.799952	-0.29%	0.78478	-2.18%	0.0337	✓	1.15
2025-12-05	oos	0.79229	0.790139	-0.27%	0.8023	+1.26%	0.0163	✗	1.15
2025-12-04	oos	0.82378	0.821176	-0.32%	0.79229	-3.82%	0.0010	✓	1.15
2025-12-03	oos	0.846955	0.844122	-0.33%	0.82378	-2.74%	0.0076	✓	1.15
2025-12-02	oos	0.836055	0.833219	-0.34%	0.846955	+1.30%	0.0107	✓	1.16
2025-12-01	oos	0.806305	0.803913	-0.30%	0.836055	+3.69%	0.0294	✓	1.21
2025-11-30	oos	0.856215	0.852973	-0.38%	0.806305	-5.83%	0.0007	✓	1.20
2025-11-29	oos	0.865275	0.861809	-0.40%	0.856215	-1.05%	0.0005	✓	1.20
2025-11-28	oos	0.904475	0.899644	-0.53%	0.865275	-4.33%	0.0380	✓	1.20
2025-11-27	oos	0.89524	0.890447	-0.54%	0.904475	+1.03%	0.0211	✗	1.20
2025-11-26	oos	0.889755	0.884912	-0.54%	0.89524	+0.62%	0.0002	✓	1.22
2025-11-25	oos	0.86056	0.857466	-0.36%	0.889755	+3.39%	0.0065	✓	1.23
2025-11-24	oos	0.877655	0.873618	-0.46%	0.86056	-1.95%	0.0019	✓	1.22
2025-11-23	oos	0.8679	0.864303	-0.41%	0.877655	+1.12%	0.0055	✓	1.25
2025-11-22	oos	0.86898	0.866205	-0.32%	0.8679	-0.12%	0.0307	✓	1.32
2025-11-21	oos	0.852085	0.849992	-0.25%	0.86898	+1.98%	0.0281	✗	1.32
2025-11-20	oos	0.913385	0.909362	-0.44%	0.852085	-6.71%	0.0428	✓	1.30
2025-11-19	oos	1.0311	1.0174	-1.33%	0.913385	-11.42%	0.0411	✓	1.21
2025-11-18	oos	1.0746	1.0569	-1.64%	1.0311	-4.05%	0.0059	✓	1.20
2025-11-17	oos	1.2052	1.166	-3.25%	1.0746	-10.84%	0.0926	✓	1.25
2025-11-16	oos	0.923325	0.914767	-0.93%	1.2052	+30.53%	0.3071	✗	1.40
2025-11-15	oos	1.0101	0.99539	-1.45%	0.923325	-8.59%	0.0554	✓	1.38
2025-11-14	oos	0.95881	0.946446	-1.29%	1.0101	+5.35%	0.0501	✗	1.36
2025-11-13	oos	1.115	1.0942	-1.87%	0.95881	-14.01%	0.0668	✓	1.24
2025-11-12	oos	1.3493	1.3055	-3.24%	1.115	-17.36%	0.1347	✓	1.15
2025-11-11	oos	1.578	1.5009	-4.89%	1.3493	-14.50%	0.0914	✓	1.13
2025-11-10	oos	1.273	1.2272	-3.60%	1.578	+23.96%	0.2881	✗	1.29
2025-11-09	oos	1.1109	1.0807	-2.72%	1.273	+14.59%	0.1484	✗	1.26
2025-11-08	oos	1.1578	1.1116	-3.99%	1.1109	-4.05%	0.0312	✓	1.31
2025-11-07	oos	0.93374	0.911314	-2.40%	1.1578	+23.99%	0.2523	✗	1.33
2025-11-06	oos	0.8732	0.855752	-2.00%	0.93374	+6.93%	0.0617	✗	1.31
2025-11-05	oos	0.94788	0.921517	-2.78%	0.8732	-7.88%	0.0221	✓	1.27
2025-11-04	oos	0.860875	0.838829	-2.56%	0.94788	+10.11%	0.0934	✗	1.23
2025-11-03	oos	0.61213	0.61093	-0.20%	0.860875	+40.64%	0.4326	✗	1.83
2025-11-02	oos	0.66405	0.662897	-0.17%	0.61213	-7.82%	0.0130	✓	1.82
2025-11-01	oos	0.674925	0.673778	-0.17%	0.66405	-1.61%	0.0226	✓	1.83
2025-10-31	oos	0.646735	0.645971	-0.12%	0.674925	+4.36%	0.0356	✗	1.83
2025-10-30	oos	0.65003	0.649259	-0.12%	0.646735	-0.51%	0.0249	✓	1.84
2025-10-29	oos	0.673295	0.672297	-0.15%	0.65003	-3.46%	0.0049	✓	1.82
2025-10-28	oos	0.675675	0.674829	-0.13%	0.673295	-0.35%	0.0462	✗	1.88
2025-10-27	oos	0.69324	0.691962	-0.18%	0.675675	-2.53%	0.0043	✓	1.88
2025-10-26	oos	0.707275	0.705964	-0.19%	0.69324	-1.98%	0.0106	✓	1.88
2025-10-25	oos	0.689735	0.68863	-0.16%	0.707275	+2.54%	0.0218	✓	1.90
2025-10-24	oos	0.695195	0.693821	-0.20%	0.689735	-0.79%	0.0166	✓	1.91
2025-10-23	oos	0.678315	0.677238	-0.16%	0.695195	+2.49%	0.0102	✗	1.91
2025-10-22	oos	0.66128	0.660478	-0.12%	0.678315	+2.58%	0.0179	✓	1.92
2025-10-21	oos	0.677385	0.676268	-0.16%	0.66128	-2.38%	0.0087	✓	1.91
2025-10-20	oos	0.699755	0.697814	-0.28%	0.677385	-3.20%	0.0093	✗	1.94
2025-10-19	oos	0.68723	0.686233	-0.15%	0.699755	+1.82%	0.0138	✓	1.93
2025-10-18	oos	0.679925	0.678852	-0.16%	0.68723	+1.07%	0.0141	✓	1.94
2025-10-17	oos	0.666935	0.666134	-0.12%	0.679925	+1.95%	0.0070	✗	1.93
2025-10-16	oos	0.701185	0.700461	-0.10%	0.666935	-4.88%	0.0180	✓	1.92
2025-10-15	oos	0.719505	0.718414	-0.15%	0.701185	-2.55%	0.0218	✗	1.93
2025-10-14	oos	0.738545	0.736684	-0.25%	0.719505	-2.58%	0.0157	✗	1.94
2025-10-13	oos	0.753725	0.751849	-0.25%	0.738545	-2.01%	0.0202	✗	1.97
2025-10-12	oos	0.705175	0.703729	-0.21%	0.753725	+6.88%	0.0652	✗	1.93
2025-10-11	oos	0.631735	0.631669	-0.01%	0.705175	+11.63%	0.0391	✗	1.86
2025-10-10	oos	0.62339	0.623454	+0.01%	0.631735	+1.34%	0.0509	✓	1.90
2025-10-09	oos	0.82541	0.824332	-0.13%	0.62339	-24.48%	0.1740	✓	1.42
2025-10-08	oos	0.839735	0.837963	-0.21%	0.82541	-1.71%	0.0035	✗	1.40
2025-10-07	oos	0.837125	0.835547	-0.19%	0.839735	+0.31%	0.0168	✓	1.37
2025-10-06	oos	0.874475	0.873127	-0.15%	0.837125	-4.27%	0.0052	✓	1.37
2025-10-05	oos	0.847375	0.846635	-0.09%	0.874475	+3.20%	0.0192	✗	1.36
2025-10-04	oos	0.853565	0.852277	-0.15%	0.847375	-0.73%	0.0176	✓	1.38
2025-10-03	oos	0.85415	0.853109	-0.12%	0.853565	-0.07%	0.0010	✓	1.38
2025-10-02	oos	0.853765	0.852377	-0.16%	0.85415	+0.05%	0.0173	✓	1.39
2025-10-01	oos	0.845265	0.844114	-0.14%	0.853765	+1.01%	0.0118	✓	1.41
2025-09-30	oos	0.79235	0.791332	-0.13%	0.845265	+6.68%	0.0112	✗	1.39
2025-09-29	oos	0.806935	0.805797	-0.14%	0.79235	-1.81%	0.0131	✓	1.42
2025-09-28	oos	0.81925	0.817539	-0.21%	0.806935	-1.50%	0.0412	✓	1.47
2025-09-27	oos	0.807575	0.80609	-0.18%	0.81925	+1.45%	0.0179	✓	1.50
2025-09-26	oos	0.807705	0.805769	-0.24%	0.807575	-0.02%	0.0025	✗	1.51
2025-09-25	oos	0.77902	0.777634	-0.18%	0.807705	+3.68%	0.0289	✗	1.50
2025-09-24	oos	0.815455	0.814508	-0.12%	0.77902	-4.47%	0.0148	✗	1.53
2025-09-23	oos	0.798885	0.798096	-0.10%	0.815455	+2.07%	0.0035	✗	1.53
2025-09-22	oos	0.80539	0.804273	-0.14%	0.798885	-0.81%	0.0030	✗	1.52
2025-09-21	oos	0.851065	0.849622	-0.17%	0.80539	-5.37%	0.0202	✓	1.49
2025-09-20	oos	0.860485	0.858665	-0.21%	0.851065	-1.09%	0.0027	✓	1.52
2025-09-19	oos	0.856565	0.854799	-0.21%	0.860485	+0.46%	0.0058	✗	1.52
2025-09-18	oos	0.892515	0.890564	-0.22%	0.856565	-4.03%	0.0202	✓	1.53
2025-09-17	oos	0.90405	0.901324	-0.30%	0.892515	-1.28%	0.0183	✓	1.57

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.