VTHO

VeThor · native · gru_s9

token id: #321
symbol: VTHO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-09-13
predictions: 3,372

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

62.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0571

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0028

actual -0.0088

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.000680015	0.000667076	-1.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-21	oos	0.000678765	0.00066586	-1.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-20	oos	0.000643555	0.000634003	-1.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-19	oos	0.00062431	0.000617173	-1.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-18	oos	0.00063368	0.000626252	-1.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.00065124	0.000642843	-1.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-16	oos	0.00063382	0.000626389	-1.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.00063741	0.000628675	-1.37%	0.000680015	+6.68%	0.0678	✗	0.42
2026-10-14	oos	0.00064007	0.000632182	-1.23%	0.000678765	+6.05%	0.0584	✗	0.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.000689545	0.000678828	-1.55%	0.000643555	-6.67%	0.0526	✓	0.39
2026-10-12	oos	0.00069641	0.000686087	-1.48%	0.00062431	-10.35%	0.0948	✓	0.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.000739555	0.000728626	-1.48%	0.00063368	-14.32%	0.1324	✓	0.36
2026-10-10	oos	0.00070241	0.000692833	-1.36%	0.00065124	-7.28%	0.0554	✓	0.35
2026-10-09	oos	0.00065773	0.000650958	-1.03%	0.00063382	-3.64%	0.0223	✓	0.35
2026-10-08	oos	0.000671515	0.000664049	-1.11%	0.00063741	-5.08%	0.0428	✓	0.35
2026-10-07	oos	0.000688965	0.000680053	-1.29%	0.00064007	-7.10%	0.0536	✓	0.34
2026-10-06	oos	0.00073003	0.000718194	-1.62%	0.000689545	-5.55%	0.0324	✓	0.29
2026-10-05	oos	0.000666415	0.000660964	-0.82%	0.00069641	+4.50%	0.0670	✗	0.31
2026-10-04	oos	0.00065977	0.000655843	-0.60%	0.000739555	+12.09%	0.1310	✗	0.33
2026-10-03	oos	0.00065726	0.000652322	-0.75%	0.00070241	+6.87%	0.0812	✗	0.33
2026-10-02	oos	0.0006719	0.000666085	-0.87%	0.00065773	-2.11%	0.0049	✓	0.33
2026-10-01	oos	0.00067236	0.000665923	-0.96%	0.000671515	-0.13%	0.0207	✗	0.33
2026-09-30	oos	0.000684145	0.000676977	-1.05%	0.000688965	+0.70%	0.0187	✗	0.34
2026-09-29	oos	0.00069047	0.000684339	-0.89%	0.00073003	+5.73%	0.0570	✗	0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.000709025	0.000702704	-0.89%	0.000666415	-6.01%	0.0624	✓	0.35
2026-09-27	oos	0.00075311	0.000746391	-0.89%	0.00065977	-12.39%	0.1316	✓	0.35
2026-09-26	oos	0.000795955	0.000787833	-1.02%	0.00065726	-17.42%	0.1825	✓	0.34
2026-09-25	oos	0.000798705	0.000789912	-1.10%	0.0006719	-15.88%	0.1635	✓	0.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.00075238	0.000745035	-0.98%	0.00067236	-10.64%	0.1046	✓	0.35
2026-09-23	oos	0.00071115	0.000707029	-0.58%	0.000684145	-3.80%	0.0294	✓	0.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.00070052	0.000697999	-0.36%	0.00069047	-1.43%	0.0008	✓	0.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.000695975	0.000692663	-0.48%	0.000709025	+1.88%	0.0382	✗	0.40
2026-09-20	oos	0.00066688	0.000664409	-0.37%	0.00075311	+12.93%	0.1090	✗	0.41
2026-09-19	oos	0.000711465	0.000702124	-1.31%	0.000795955	+11.88%	0.1100	✗	0.40
2026-09-18	oos	0.00071238	0.000699333	-1.83%	0.000798705	+12.12%	0.1167	✗	0.41
2026-09-17	oos	0.00067768	0.000668052	-1.42%	0.00075238	+11.02%	0.0807	✗	0.38
2026-09-16	oos	0.000689695	0.000675151	-2.11%	0.00071115	+3.11%	0.0131	✓	0.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.00074268	0.000720928	-2.93%	0.00070052	-5.68%	0.0839	✓	0.42
2026-09-14	oos	0.00063838	0.000630428	-1.25%	0.000695975	+9.02%	0.0379	✗	0.60
2026-09-13	oos	0.00078042	0.000749478	-3.96%	0.00066688	-14.55%	0.1558	✓	0.71
2026-09-12	oos	0.000666995	0.000645791	-3.18%	0.000711465	+6.67%	0.0594	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.00058528	0.000570737	-2.48%	0.00071238	+21.72%	0.1870	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.000582645	0.000563981	-3.20%	0.00067768	+16.31%	0.1855	✗	0.75
2026-09-09	oos	0.000433455	0.000435116	+0.38%	0.000689695	+59.12%	0.4881	✓	0.99
2026-09-08	oos	0.00045428	0.000453656	-0.14%	0.00074268	+63.49%	0.5298	✗	0.99
2026-09-07	oos	0.00041766	0.000420987	+0.80%	0.00063838	+52.85%	0.4283	✓	1.03
2026-09-06	oos	0.00042541	0.000428939	+0.83%	0.00078042	+83.45%	0.6444	✓	1.02
2026-09-05	oos	0.00041448	0.000418257	+0.91%	0.000666995	+60.92%	0.4999	✓	1.02
2026-09-04	oos	0.00040222	0.000406518	+1.07%	0.00058528	+45.51%	0.3955	✓	0.99
2026-09-03	oos	0.00040285	0.000408186	+1.32%	0.000582645	+44.63%	0.4159	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.000382395	0.000386454	+1.06%	0.000433455	+13.35%	0.1015	✓	1.05
2026-09-01	oos	0.00038735	0.00039165	+1.11%	0.00045428	+17.28%	0.1341	✓	1.06
2026-08-31	oos	0.000402	0.000406733	+1.18%	0.00041766	+3.90%	0.0199	✓	0.98
2026-08-30	oos	0.000395	0.000399	+1.01%	0.00042541	+7.70%	0.0298	✓	1.01
2026-08-29	oos	0.0004105	0.000413792	+0.80%	0.00041448	+0.97%	0.0188	✗	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.0003975	0.000400975	+0.87%	0.00040222	+1.19%	0.0206	✗	1.02
2026-08-27	oos	0.000415	0.000417177	+0.52%	0.00040285	-2.93%	0.0475	✗	1.03
2026-08-26	oos	0.000403	0.000406339	+0.83%	0.000382395	-5.11%	0.0382	✗	1.02
2026-08-25	oos	0.0003725	0.00037665	+1.11%	0.00038735	+3.99%	0.0427	✓	1.02
2026-08-24	oos	0.0003775	0.000381579	+1.08%	0.000402	+6.49%	0.0575	✓	1.01
2026-08-23	oos	0.000373	0.000376303	+0.89%	0.000395	+5.90%	0.0493	✓	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.000368	0.00037038	+0.65%	0.0004105	+11.55%	0.0875	✓	1.01
2026-08-21	oos	0.000377	0.000379227	+0.59%	0.0003975	+5.44%	0.0533	✓	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.000353	0.000354084	+0.31%	0.000415	+17.56%	0.0630	✓	1.01
2026-08-19	oos	0.00033	0.000330087	+0.03%	0.000403	+22.12%	0.0698	✓	0.99
2026-08-18	oos	0.0003095	0.000308556	-0.31%	0.0003725	+20.36%	0.0039	✓	0.99
2026-08-17	oos	0.0003135	0.00031232	-0.38%	0.0003775	+20.41%	0.0121	✓	0.99
2026-08-16	oos	0.0003135	0.000311979	-0.49%	0.000373	+18.98%	0.0375	✓	1.02
2026-08-15	oos	0.0003195	0.000317724	-0.56%	0.000368	+15.18%	0.0572	✓	1.01
2026-08-14	oos	0.000316	0.000314273	-0.55%	0.000377	+19.30%	0.0397	✓	1.02
2026-08-13	oos	0.000323	0.000320699	-0.71%	0.000353	+9.29%	0.0472	✓	1.02
2026-08-12	oos	0.0003205	0.000318387	-0.66%	0.00033	+2.96%	0.0565	✓	1.04
2026-08-11	oos	0.0003265	0.000324016	-0.76%	0.0003095	-5.21%	0.0640	✓	1.02
2026-08-10	oos	0.000336	0.000332964	-0.90%	0.0003135	-6.70%	0.0692	✓	1.01
2026-08-09	oos	0.0003425	0.000338842	-1.07%	0.0003135	-8.47%	0.0454	✓	1.03
2026-08-08	oos	0.000342	0.000338028	-1.16%	0.0003195	-6.58%	0.0262	✓	1.02
2026-08-07	oos	0.0003325	0.000328797	-1.11%	0.000316	-4.96%	0.0086	✓	1.04
2026-08-06	oos	0.0003325	0.00032854	-1.19%	0.000323	-2.86%	0.0034	✓	1.04
2026-08-05	oos	0.0003305	0.000326442	-1.23%	0.0003205	-3.03%	0.0010	✓	1.04
2026-08-04	oos	0.000329	0.0003248	-1.28%	0.0003265	-0.76%	0.0136	✗	1.03
2026-08-03	oos	0.00033	0.000325745	-1.29%	0.000336	+1.82%	0.0237	✗	1.04
2026-08-02	oos	0.000333	0.000328845	-1.25%	0.0003425	+2.85%	0.0185	✗	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.0003305	0.000326825	-1.11%	0.000342	+3.48%	0.0102	✓	1.05
2026-07-31	oos	0.0003335	0.000330231	-0.98%	0.0003325	-0.30%	0.0270	✓	1.05
2026-07-30	oos	0.000333	0.000330609	-0.72%	0.0003325	-0.15%	0.0133	✗	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.0003275	0.000325699	-0.55%	0.0003305	+0.92%	0.0030	✓	1.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.00034	0.000338732	-0.37%	0.000329	-3.24%	0.0325	✓	1.06
2026-07-27	oos	0.0003425	0.000341582	-0.27%	0.00033	-3.65%	0.0307	✓	1.06
2026-07-26	oos	0.000363	0.000363347	+0.10%	0.000333	-8.26%	0.0577	✗	1.03
2026-07-25	oos	0.0003595	0.000359829	+0.09%	0.0003305	-8.07%	0.0602	✗	1.03
2026-07-24	oos	0.0003575	0.000358317	+0.23%	0.0003335	-6.71%	0.0514	✗	1.03
2026-07-23	oos	0.0003615	0.000362828	+0.37%	0.000333	-7.88%	0.0806	✗	1.03
2026-07-22	oos	0.0003655	0.000367228	+0.47%	0.0003275	-10.40%	0.0799	✗	1.03
2026-07-21	oos	0.0003705	0.000372196	+0.46%	0.00034	-8.23%	0.0484	✗	1.03
2026-07-20	oos	0.000367	0.000368349	+0.37%	0.0003425	-6.68%	0.0489	✗	1.01
2026-07-19	oos	0.0003685	0.00036928	+0.21%	0.000363	-1.49%	0.0274	✗	1.01
2026-07-18	oos	0.0003755	0.000374966	-0.14%	0.0003595	-4.26%	0.0342	✓	1.02
2026-07-17	oos	0.0003655	0.000365928	+0.12%	0.0003575	-2.19%	0.0263	✗	1.01
2026-07-16	oos	0.0003675	0.000367693	+0.05%	0.0003615	-1.63%	0.0373	✗	1.02
2026-07-15	oos	0.0003755	0.000375319	-0.05%	0.0003655	-2.66%	0.0478	✓	1.02
2026-07-14	oos	0.000372	0.000371546	-0.12%	0.0003705	-0.40%	0.0267	✓	1.03
2026-07-13	oos	0.0003645	0.000363764	-0.20%	0.000367	+0.69%	0.0403	✓	1.06
2026-07-12	oos	0.000365	0.000364488	-0.14%	0.0003685	+0.96%	0.0049	✓	1.08
2026-07-11	oos	0.0003705	0.00036958	-0.25%	0.0003755	+1.35%	0.0009	✓	1.05
2026-07-10	oos	0.0003675	0.000366529	-0.26%	0.0003655	-0.54%	0.0010	✓	1.04
2026-07-09	oos	0.000364	0.000363063	-0.26%	0.0003675	+0.96%	0.0024	✓	1.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.0003625	0.000361619	-0.24%	0.0003755	+3.59%	0.0031	✓	1.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.0003655	0.000364675	-0.23%	0.000372	+1.78%	0.0074	✓	1.05
2026-07-06	oos	0.00038	0.000378703	-0.34%	0.0003645	-4.08%	0.0095	✓	1.04
2026-07-05	oos	0.0003735	0.000372364	-0.30%	0.000365	-2.28%	0.0225	✓	1.03
2026-07-04	oos	0.0003785	0.000376685	-0.48%	0.0003705	-2.11%	0.0278	✓	1.04
2026-07-03	oos	0.000376	0.000374879	-0.30%	0.0003675	-2.26%	0.0458	✓	1.02
2026-07-02	oos	0.0003655	0.000364537	-0.26%	0.000364	-0.41%	0.0289	✓	1.01
2026-07-01	oos	0.000361	0.000359945	-0.29%	0.0003625	+0.42%	0.0309	✓	1.02
2026-06-30	oos	0.00035	0.000349323	-0.19%	0.0003655	+4.43%	0.0334	✓	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.0003615	0.000360645	-0.24%	0.00038	+5.12%	0.0094	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.0003595	0.000358676	-0.23%	0.0003735	+3.89%	0.0260	✓	0.99
2026-06-27	oos	0.0003595	0.00035879	-0.20%	0.0003785	+5.29%	0.0025	✗	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.000363	0.000362261	-0.20%	0.000376	+3.58%	0.0037	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.000356	0.000355493	-0.14%	0.0003655	+2.67%	0.0014	✓	0.99
2026-06-24	oos	0.0003665	0.000365825	-0.18%	0.000361	-1.50%	0.0032	✗	0.97
2026-06-23	oos	0.0003755	0.000374794	-0.19%	0.00035	-6.79%	0.0005	✓	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.0003905	0.00038958	-0.24%	0.0003615	-7.43%	0.0151	✓	0.98
2026-06-21	oos	0.0003855	0.00038462	-0.23%	0.0003595	-6.74%	0.0078	✓	0.97
2026-06-20	oos	0.000395	0.000393959	-0.26%	0.0003595	-8.99%	0.0257	✓	0.95
2026-06-19	oos	0.000388	0.000387113	-0.23%	0.000363	-6.44%	0.0109	✓	0.95
2026-06-18	oos	0.0003905	0.000389438	-0.27%	0.000356	-8.83%	0.0406	✓	0.95
2026-06-17	oos	0.000406	0.000404508	-0.37%	0.0003665	-9.73%	0.0463	✓	0.95
2026-06-16	oos	0.0004075	0.000406027	-0.36%	0.0003755	-7.85%	0.0337	✓	0.96
2026-06-15	oos	0.0004125	0.000410621	-0.46%	0.0003905	-5.33%	0.0158	✓	0.96
2026-06-14	oos	0.000405	0.000403501	-0.37%	0.0003855	-4.81%	0.0092	✓	0.95
2026-06-13	oos	0.0004005	0.000399256	-0.31%	0.000395	-1.37%	0.0076	✓	0.97
2026-06-12	oos	0.0003925	0.000391704	-0.20%	0.000388	-1.15%	0.0085	✓	0.97
2026-06-11	oos	0.000398	0.000396943	-0.27%	0.0003905	-1.88%	0.0059	✓	0.96
2026-06-10	oos	0.0003835	0.000383574	+0.02%	0.000406	+5.87%	0.0113	✓	0.96
2026-06-09	oos	0.0003925	0.000392989	+0.12%	0.0004075	+3.82%	0.0227	✗	0.95
2026-06-08	oos	0.000399	0.000400034	+0.26%	0.0004125	+3.38%	0.0171	✗	0.96
2026-06-07	oos	0.0004	0.000401682	+0.42%	0.000405	+1.25%	0.0275	✗	0.96
2026-06-06	oos	0.000396	0.000400771	+1.20%	0.0004005	+1.14%	0.0564	✗	0.97
2026-06-05	oos	0.0004	0.000405124	+1.28%	0.0003925	-1.88%	0.0708	✗	0.97
2026-06-04	oos	0.000438	0.000440224	+0.51%	0.000398	-9.13%	0.0973	✗	0.92
2026-06-03	oos	0.00046	0.000461699	+0.37%	0.0003835	-16.63%	0.1489	✗	0.89
2026-06-02	oos	0.000453	0.000453349	+0.08%	0.0003925	-13.36%	0.0710	✗	0.94
2026-06-01	oos	0.000496	0.000492266	-0.75%	0.000399	-19.56%	0.1067	✓	0.84
2026-05-31	oos	0.0005175	0.000509977	-1.45%	0.0004	-22.71%	0.1184	✓	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.000565	0.000550726	-2.53%	0.000396	-29.91%	0.1816	✓	0.77
2026-05-29	oos	0.000478	0.000474523	-0.73%	0.0004	-16.32%	0.0335	✓	0.75
2026-05-28	oos	0.0004765	0.000473587	-0.61%	0.000438	-8.08%	0.0275	✗	0.75
2026-05-27	oos	0.000489	0.000486102	-0.59%	0.00046	-5.93%	0.0522	✗	0.72
2026-05-26	oos	0.000497	0.000495113	-0.38%	0.000453	-8.85%	0.0047	✗	0.73
2026-05-25	oos	0.0005055	0.000505201	-0.06%	0.000496	-1.88%	0.0408	✗	0.74
2026-05-24	oos	0.000507	0.000506983	-0.00%	0.0005175	+2.07%	0.0545	✗	0.75
2026-05-23	oos	0.0005215	0.00052039	-0.21%	0.000565	+8.34%	0.1098	✗	0.72
2026-05-22	oos	0.000509	0.000508666	-0.07%	0.000478	-6.09%	0.0424	✓	0.71
2026-05-21	oos	0.0005305	0.000530561	+0.01%	0.0004765	-10.18%	0.0704	✗	0.69
2026-05-20	oos	0.0005185	0.000519378	+0.17%	0.000489	-5.69%	0.0313	✗	0.70
2026-05-19	oos	0.0005145	0.000515342	+0.16%	0.000497	-3.40%	0.0277	✗	0.69
2026-05-18	oos	0.000521	0.000521751	+0.14%	0.0005055	-2.98%	0.0344	✗	0.69
2026-05-17	oos	0.000522	0.000522998	+0.19%	0.000507	-2.87%	0.0272	✗	0.70
2026-05-16	oos	0.0005355	0.000535877	+0.07%	0.0005215	-2.61%	0.0141	✗	0.69
2026-05-15	oos	0.0005475	0.000546841	-0.12%	0.000509	-7.03%	0.0390	✓	0.70
2026-05-14	oos	0.000581	0.000577169	-0.66%	0.0005305	-8.69%	0.0541	✓	0.68
2026-05-13	oos	0.0005865	0.00058413	-0.40%	0.0005185	-11.59%	0.1031	✓	0.69
2026-05-12	oos	0.0006	0.00059881	-0.20%	0.0005145	-14.25%	0.1206	✓	0.66
2026-05-11	oos	0.000627	0.000626226	-0.12%	0.000521	-16.91%	0.1454	✓	0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.000621	0.000621304	+0.05%	0.000522	-15.94%	0.1350	✗	0.65
2026-05-09	oos	0.000598	0.000598053	+0.01%	0.0005355	-10.45%	0.0899	✗	0.64
2026-05-08	oos	0.000603	0.000603625	+0.10%	0.0005475	-9.20%	0.0887	✗	0.63
2026-05-07	oos	0.000597	0.000597455	+0.08%	0.000581	-2.68%	0.0363	✗	0.63
2026-05-06	oos	0.0006015	0.000602528	+0.17%	0.0005865	-2.49%	0.0076	✗	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.0005865	0.00058794	+0.25%	0.0006	+2.30%	0.0248	✓	0.87
2026-05-04	oos	0.000566	0.000567269	+0.22%	0.000627	+10.78%	0.0802	✓	0.86
2026-05-03	oos	0.000567	0.000567187	+0.03%	0.000621	+9.52%	0.0523	✓	0.85
2026-05-02	oos	0.000569	0.000568766	-0.04%	0.000598	+5.10%	0.0291	✗	0.85
2026-05-01	oos	0.000563	0.00056299	-0.00%	0.000603	+7.10%	0.0478	✗	0.85
2026-04-30	oos	0.0005615	0.000560559	-0.17%	0.000597	+6.32%	0.0220	✗	0.86
2026-04-29	oos	0.000569	0.000567396	-0.28%	0.0006015	+5.71%	0.0043	✓	0.87
2026-04-28	oos	0.000576	0.00057462	-0.24%	0.0005865	+1.82%	0.0306	✓	0.87
2026-04-27	oos	0.0005795	0.000579221	-0.05%	0.000566	-2.33%	0.0508	✓	0.87
2026-04-26	oos	0.0005865	0.000587712	+0.21%	0.000567	-3.32%	0.0346	✗	0.87
2026-04-25	oos	0.0005835	0.000584346	+0.14%	0.000569	-2.49%	0.0382	✗	0.88
2026-04-24	oos	0.0005835	0.000584914	+0.24%	0.000563	-3.51%	0.0469	✗	0.88
2026-04-23	oos	0.0005775	0.000579906	+0.42%	0.0005615	-2.77%	0.0097	✗	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.0005745	0.000576631	+0.37%	0.000569	-0.96%	0.0149	✓	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.0005755	0.000577198	+0.30%	0.000576	+0.09%	0.0017	✓	0.89
2026-04-20	oos	0.0005795	0.000581019	+0.26%	0.0005795	+0.00%	0.0201	✗	0.89
2026-04-19	oos	0.000563	0.000563456	+0.08%	0.0005865	+4.17%	0.0172	✗	0.90
2026-04-18	oos	0.000583	0.000584159	+0.20%	0.0005835	+0.09%	0.0236	✗	0.90
2026-04-17	oos	0.000605	0.000605621	+0.10%	0.0005835	-3.55%	0.0415	✗	0.90
2026-04-16	oos	0.000593	0.000592772	-0.04%	0.0005775	-2.61%	0.0627	✓	0.90
2026-04-15	oos	0.0005735	0.000573491	-0.00%	0.0005745	+0.17%	0.0379	✓	0.90
2026-04-14	oos	0.000562	0.000561531	-0.08%	0.0005755	+2.40%	0.0013	✓	0.90
2026-04-13	oos	0.000572	0.000570973	-0.18%	0.0005795	+1.31%	0.0021	✓	0.90
2026-04-12	oos	0.0005525	0.000550173	-0.42%	0.000563	+1.90%	0.0156	✓	0.91
2026-04-11	oos	0.000564	0.000562395	-0.28%	0.000583	+3.37%	0.0035	✗	0.91
2026-04-10	oos	0.0005665	0.000564489	-0.36%	0.000605	+6.80%	0.0195	✗	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.000561	0.000558523	-0.44%	0.000593	+5.70%	0.0181	✗	0.91
2026-04-08	oos	0.0005535	0.000551084	-0.44%	0.0005735	+3.61%	0.0069	✓	0.91
2026-04-07	oos	0.0005615	0.000558614	-0.51%	0.000562	+0.09%	0.0222	✓	0.91
2026-04-06	oos	0.000542	0.00053932	-0.49%	0.000572	+5.54%	0.0128	✓	0.92
2026-04-05	oos	0.0005425	0.000539559	-0.54%	0.0005525	+1.84%	0.0007	✓	0.92
2026-04-04	oos	0.0005435	0.000540121	-0.62%	0.000564	+3.77%	0.0333	✓	0.93
2026-04-03	oos	0.000546	0.000541964	-0.74%	0.0005665	+3.75%	0.0363	✓	0.93
2026-04-02	oos	0.000544	0.000538039	-1.10%	0.000561	+3.12%	0.0240	✓	0.93
2026-04-01	oos	0.0005415	0.000539556	-0.36%	0.0005535	+2.22%	0.0145	✓	0.94
2026-03-31	oos	0.000535	0.00053392	-0.20%	0.0005615	+4.95%	0.0006	✓	0.95
2026-03-30	oos	0.000527	0.00052648	-0.10%	0.000542	+2.85%	0.0006	✓	0.95
2026-03-29	oos	0.0005265	0.000526126	-0.07%	0.0005425	+3.04%	0.0122	✓	0.95
2026-03-28	oos	0.000537	0.000536895	-0.02%	0.0005435	+1.21%	0.0016	✓	0.95
2026-03-27	oos	0.0005385	0.000538823	+0.06%	0.000546	+1.39%	0.0046	✓	0.95
2026-03-26	oos	0.0005515	0.000553138	+0.30%	0.000544	-1.36%	0.0097	✓	0.95
2026-03-25	oos	0.0005845	0.000587123	+0.45%	0.0005415	-7.36%	0.0377	✗	0.94
2026-03-24	oos	0.000599	0.000601647	+0.44%	0.000535	-10.68%	0.0857	✗	0.95
2026-03-23	oos	0.000595	0.000598201	+0.54%	0.000527	-11.43%	0.0697	✗	0.95
2026-03-22	oos	0.0005815	0.000583102	+0.28%	0.0005265	-9.46%	0.0748	✗	0.97
2026-03-21	oos	0.0005925	0.00059466	+0.36%	0.000537	-9.37%	0.0650	✗	0.97
2026-03-20	oos	0.000604	0.000607289	+0.54%	0.0005385	-10.84%	0.0610	✗	0.98
2026-03-19	oos	0.0005865	0.000589916	+0.58%	0.0005515	-5.97%	0.0512	✗	0.97
2026-03-18	oos	0.000604	0.000607687	+0.61%	0.0005845	-3.23%	0.0397	✗	0.99
2026-03-17	oos	0.00063	0.000633987	+0.63%	0.000599	-4.92%	0.0102	✗	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.000622	0.000625982	+0.64%	0.000595	-4.34%	0.0042	✓	1.00
2026-03-15	oos	0.0005975	0.000601413	+0.65%	0.0005815	-2.68%	0.0361	✓	0.98
2026-03-14	oos	0.0005835	0.000587271	+0.65%	0.0005925	+1.54%	0.0417	✓	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.0005885	0.000591336	+0.48%	0.000604	+2.63%	0.0275	✓	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.000591	0.0005925	+0.25%	0.0005865	-0.76%	0.0015	✓	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.0005915	0.000589158	-0.40%	0.000604	+2.11%	0.0104	✗	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.0005835	0.000586643	+0.54%	0.00063	+7.97%	0.0170	✓	0.98
2026-03-09	oos	0.000575	0.000577788	+0.48%	0.000622	+8.17%	0.0152	✗	0.99
2026-03-08	oos	0.000563	0.000565088	+0.37%	0.0005975	+6.13%	0.0435	✗	1.00
2026-03-07	oos	0.000572	0.000574477	+0.43%	0.0005835	+2.01%	0.0421	✗	1.01
2026-03-06	oos	0.000579	0.000581706	+0.47%	0.0005885	+1.64%	0.0292	✗	1.00
2026-03-05	oos	0.000587	0.000589935	+0.50%	0.000591	+0.68%	0.0069	✓	1.02
2026-03-04	oos	0.000602	0.000604231	+0.37%	0.0005915	-1.74%	0.0138	✓	1.01
2026-03-03	oos	0.000588	0.000590326	+0.40%	0.0005835	-0.77%	0.0362	✗	1.05
2026-03-02	oos	0.000594	0.000596064	+0.35%	0.000575	-3.20%	0.0299	✗	1.04
2026-03-01	oos	0.000597	0.000597707	+0.12%	0.000563	-5.70%	0.0631	✗	1.07
2026-02-28	oos	0.000602	0.000602499	+0.08%	0.000572	-4.98%	0.0567	✗	1.08
2026-02-27	oos	0.000598	0.000598088	+0.01%	0.000579	-3.18%	0.0688	✗	1.08
2026-02-26	oos	0.000594	0.000594266	+0.04%	0.000587	-1.18%	0.0660	✗	1.09
2026-02-25	oos	0.000609	0.000607126	-0.31%	0.000602	-1.15%	0.0814	✓	1.09
2026-02-24	oos	0.0005795	0.000577406	-0.36%	0.000588	+1.47%	0.0533	✓	1.11
2026-02-23	oos	0.000611	0.000606202	-0.79%	0.000594	-2.78%	0.0886	✓	1.08
2026-02-22	oos	0.000615	0.000606841	-1.33%	0.000597	-2.93%	0.0144	✗	1.11
2026-02-21	oos	0.0005905	0.000589941	-0.09%	0.000602	+1.95%	0.0367	✗	1.12
2026-02-20	oos	0.000599	0.000597728	-0.21%	0.000598	-0.17%	0.0357	✗	1.11
2026-02-19	oos	0.0005915	0.000590296	-0.20%	0.000594	+0.42%	0.0023	✓	1.11
2026-02-18	oos	0.000598	0.000596213	-0.30%	0.000609	+1.84%	0.0049	✓	1.12
2026-02-17	oos	0.0006095	0.000606741	-0.45%	0.0005795	-4.92%	0.0105	✗	1.09
2026-02-16	oos	0.000623	0.00061911	-0.62%	0.000611	-1.93%	0.0561	✗	1.09
2026-02-15	oos	0.0006145	0.000610368	-0.67%	0.000615	+0.08%	0.0264	✗	1.09
2026-02-14	oos	0.000638	0.000631453	-1.03%	0.0005905	-7.45%	0.0379	✓	1.09
2026-02-13	oos	0.0006215	0.000614846	-1.07%	0.000599	-3.62%	0.0129	✓	1.09
2026-02-12	oos	0.000604	0.000594651	-1.55%	0.0005915	-2.07%	0.0179	✓	1.10
2026-02-11	oos	0.000556	0.000556317	+0.06%	0.000598	+7.55%	0.0822	✓	1.10
2026-02-10	oos	0.0005605	0.00056014	-0.06%	0.0006095	+8.74%	0.1062	✗	1.11
2026-02-09	oos	0.0005805	0.000579724	-0.13%	0.000623	+7.32%	0.0918	✗	1.10
2026-02-08	oos	0.0005805	0.000580627	+0.02%	0.0006145	+5.86%	0.0802	✓	1.10
2026-02-07	oos	0.000605	0.000605181	+0.03%	0.000638	+5.45%	0.0442	✓	1.11
2026-02-06	oos	0.000611	0.000610706	-0.05%	0.0006215	+1.72%	0.0448	✗	1.11
2026-02-05	oos	0.000542	0.000561372	+3.57%	0.000604	+11.44%	0.0139	✓	1.12
2026-02-04	oos	0.0006525	0.000652892	+0.06%	0.000556	-14.79%	0.0634	✗	1.14
2026-02-03	oos	0.000667	0.000666298	-0.11%	0.0005605	-15.97%	0.0655	✓	1.13
2026-02-02	oos	0.0006695	0.000669966	+0.07%	0.0005805	-13.29%	0.0064	✗	1.19
2026-02-01	oos	0.000647	0.000653614	+1.02%	0.0005805	-10.28%	0.0157	✗	1.14
2026-01-31	oos	0.000653	0.0006601	+1.09%	0.000605	-7.35%	0.0642	✓	1.19
2026-01-30	oos	0.0007045	0.000704357	-0.02%	0.000611	-13.27%	0.0680	✗	1.19
2026-01-29	oos	0.0007105	0.000710133	-0.05%	0.000542	-23.72%	0.0844	✗	1.19
2026-01-28	oos	0.0007555	0.000753328	-0.29%	0.0006525	-13.63%	0.0939	✗	1.19
2026-01-27	oos	0.000766	0.000763483	-0.33%	0.000667	-12.92%	0.0613	✗	1.20
2026-01-26	oos	0.0007715	0.000768199	-0.43%	0.0006695	-13.22%	0.0001	✓	1.20
2026-01-25	oos	0.0007515	0.0007487	-0.37%	0.000647	-13.91%	0.0044	✓	1.20
2026-01-24	oos	0.000783	0.000779191	-0.49%	0.000653	-16.60%	0.0281	✓	1.19
2026-01-23	oos	0.000777	0.000773266	-0.48%	0.0007045	-9.33%	0.0182	✓	1.21
2026-01-22	oos	0.000761	0.000757435	-0.47%	0.0007105	-6.64%	0.0048	✗	1.21
2026-01-21	oos	0.0007765	0.000772237	-0.55%	0.0007555	-2.70%	0.0192	✓	1.21
2026-01-20	oos	0.00076	0.000755857	-0.55%	0.000766	+0.79%	0.0024	✓	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.0008115	0.000806533	-0.61%	0.0007715	-4.93%	0.0129	✗	1.20
2026-01-18	oos	0.000831	0.00082565	-0.64%	0.0007515	-9.57%	0.0003	✓	1.19
2026-01-17	oos	0.0008725	0.00086809	-0.51%	0.000783	-10.26%	0.0265	✓	1.17
2026-01-16	oos	0.000869	0.0008654	-0.41%	0.000777	-10.59%	0.0302	✓	1.19
2026-01-15	oos	0.000851	0.000847148	-0.45%	0.000761	-10.58%	0.0284	✓	1.19
2026-01-14	oos	0.0008665	0.000862243	-0.49%	0.0007765	-10.39%	0.0075	✓	1.19
2026-01-13	oos	0.0008615	0.000856301	-0.60%	0.00076	-11.78%	0.0269	✓	1.20
2026-01-12	oos	0.000816	0.000810241	-0.71%	0.0008115	-0.55%	0.0164	✓	1.20
2026-01-11	oos	0.0008315	0.000826236	-0.63%	0.000831	-0.06%	0.0306	✓	1.21
2026-01-10	oos	0.0008425	0.000838789	-0.44%	0.0008725	+3.56%	0.0231	✓	1.22
2026-01-09	oos	0.0008495	0.000847974	-0.18%	0.000869	+2.30%	0.0441	✓	1.28
2026-01-08	oos	0.000858	0.000857684	-0.04%	0.000851	-0.82%	0.0719	✓	1.31
2026-01-07	oos	0.000829	0.000831377	+0.29%	0.0008665	+4.52%	0.0477	✗	1.48
2026-01-06	oos	0.000867	0.000870248	+0.37%	0.0008615	-0.63%	0.0361	✗	1.48
2026-01-05	oos	0.000862	0.000866691	+0.54%	0.000816	-5.34%	0.0177	✗	1.47
2026-01-04	oos	0.000837	0.000841328	+0.52%	0.0008315	-0.66%	0.0017	✓	1.48
2026-01-03	oos	0.000803	0.000807339	+0.54%	0.0008425	+4.92%	0.0463	✓	1.47
2026-01-02	oos	0.000814	0.000816317	+0.28%	0.0008495	+4.36%	0.0307	✓	1.47
2026-01-01	oos	0.000795	0.000796981	+0.25%	0.000858	+7.92%	0.0364	✓	1.47
2025-12-31	oos	0.0007505	0.000753949	+0.46%	0.000829	+10.46%	0.0338	✓	1.44
2025-12-30	oos	0.000773	0.000775858	+0.37%	0.000867	+12.16%	0.0267	✓	1.44
2025-12-29	oos	0.000767	0.000768565	+0.20%	0.000862	+12.39%	0.0070	✓	1.44
2025-12-28	oos	0.000788	0.00078975	+0.22%	0.000837	+6.22%	0.0000	✓	1.44
2025-12-27	oos	0.000785	0.000786543	+0.20%	0.000803	+2.29%	0.0238	✗	1.42
2025-12-26	oos	0.00078	0.000780736	+0.09%	0.000814	+4.36%	0.0008	✓	1.41
2025-12-25	oos	0.0008	0.000799662	-0.04%	0.000795	-0.63%	0.0311	✓	1.42
2025-12-24	oos	0.000826	0.000822908	-0.37%	0.0007505	-9.14%	0.0903	✓	1.42
2025-12-23	oos	0.000861	0.000855532	-0.64%	0.000773	-10.22%	0.1172	✓	1.43
2025-12-22	oos	0.000933	0.000920433	-1.35%	0.000767	-17.79%	0.1591	✓	1.41
2025-12-21	oos	0.00094	0.00091884	-2.25%	0.000788	-16.17%	0.1414	✓	1.41
2025-12-20	oos	0.0008195	0.000816654	-0.35%	0.000785	-4.21%	0.0313	✓	1.41
2025-12-19	oos	0.000822	0.000818522	-0.42%	0.00078	-5.11%	0.0354	✓	1.41
2025-12-18	oos	0.000768	0.00076628	-0.22%	0.0008	+4.17%	0.0156	✗	1.38
2025-12-17	oos	0.000802	0.00079894	-0.38%	0.000826	+2.99%	0.0110	✗	1.38
2025-12-16	oos	0.000842	0.000837166	-0.57%	0.000861	+2.26%	0.0347	✗	1.38
2025-12-15	oos	0.000864	0.00085862	-0.62%	0.000933	+7.99%	0.0489	✗	1.40
2025-12-14	oos	0.000922	0.000914723	-0.79%	0.00094	+1.95%	0.0199	✗	1.38
2025-12-13	oos	0.000947	0.000939304	-0.81%	0.0008195	-13.46%	0.1064	✓	1.39
2025-12-12	oos	0.000941	0.00093384	-0.76%	0.000822	-12.65%	0.0936	✓	1.39
2025-12-11	oos	0.00094	0.000934238	-0.61%	0.000768	-18.30%	0.0838	✓	1.41
2025-12-10	oos	0.000957	0.000950996	-0.63%	0.000802	-16.20%	0.0780	✓	1.41
2025-12-09	oos	0.000999	0.000992238	-0.68%	0.000842	-15.72%	0.0887	✓	1.41
2025-12-08	oos	0.000949	0.000942635	-0.67%	0.000864	-8.96%	0.0208	✓	1.39
2025-12-07	oos	0.0009315	0.000925727	-0.62%	0.000922	-1.02%	0.0305	✗	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.000945	0.000938769	-0.66%	0.000947	+0.21%	0.0066	✓	1.39
2025-12-05	oos	0.0009455	0.000939581	-0.63%	0.000941	-0.48%	0.0130	✓	1.39
2025-12-04	oos	0.0009705	0.000965646	-0.50%	0.00094	-3.14%	0.0338	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.000997	0.000992193	-0.48%	0.000957	-4.01%	0.0146	✓	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.000997	0.000991486	-0.55%	0.000999	+0.20%	0.0139	✓	1.43
2025-12-01	oos	0.000938	0.000931607	-0.68%	0.000949	+1.17%	0.0532	✓	1.45
2025-11-30	oos	0.0009965	0.000990959	-0.56%	0.0009315	-6.52%	0.0624	✓	1.46
2025-11-29	oos	0.001011	0.001005	-0.57%	0.000945	-6.53%	0.0367	✓	1.45
2025-11-28	oos	0.001032	0.001025	-0.63%	0.0009455	-8.34%	0.0556	✓	1.45
2025-11-27	oos	0.00104	0.001034	-0.64%	0.0009705	-6.73%	0.0755	✓	1.45
2025-11-26	oos	0.001007	0.001002	-0.58%	0.000997	-1.04%	0.0511	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.001012	0.001005	-0.74%	0.000997	-1.53%	0.0742	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.001017	0.001009	-0.74%	0.000938	-7.77%	0.0396	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.000955	0.000949862	-0.54%	0.0009965	+4.35%	0.0114	✓	1.47
2025-11-22	oos	0.000959	0.000953221	-0.60%	0.001011	+5.42%	0.0475	✓	1.52
2025-11-21	oos	0.000963	0.000957252	-0.60%	0.001032	+7.11%	0.0257	✓	1.51
2025-11-20	oos	0.001002	0.000995023	-0.75%	0.00104	+3.79%	0.0362	✓	1.50
2025-11-19	oos	0.001028	0.001023	-0.56%	0.001007	-2.04%	0.0025	✓	1.60
2025-11-18	oos	0.001043	0.001038	-0.54%	0.001012	-2.97%	0.0751	✗	1.61
2025-11-17	oos	0.001015	0.001011	-0.45%	0.001017	+0.15%	0.0748	✗	1.62
2025-11-16	oos	0.001058	0.001053	-0.56%	0.000955	-9.78%	0.0342	✗	1.61
2025-11-15	oos	0.001091	0.001085	-0.56%	0.000959	-12.10%	0.0712	✗	1.61
2025-11-14	oos	0.00108	0.001074	-0.58%	0.000963	-10.83%	0.0607	✗	1.61
2025-11-13	oos	0.001128	0.001119	-0.82%	0.001002	-11.13%	0.1268	✗	1.68
2025-11-12	oos	0.00116	0.001152	-0.70%	0.001028	-11.34%	0.0643	✗	1.68
2025-11-11	oos	0.001171	0.001162	-0.77%	0.001043	-10.89%	0.0662	✗	1.68
2025-11-10	oos	0.001192	0.001187	-0.44%	0.001015	-14.81%	0.0800	✗	1.68
2025-11-09	oos	0.001195	0.001189	-0.52%	0.001058	-11.42%	0.0641	✗	1.70
2025-11-08	oos	0.001185	0.001178	-0.62%	0.001091	-7.93%	0.0414	✗	1.73
2025-11-07	oos	0.001216	0.001205	-0.91%	0.00108	-11.18%	0.0411	✗	1.69
2025-11-06	oos	0.00105	0.001047	-0.31%	0.001128	+7.43%	0.1018	✗	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.001031	0.001031	-0.04%	0.00116	+12.51%	0.1543	✗	1.66
2025-11-04	oos	0.0009715	0.000972777	+0.13%	0.001171	+20.54%	0.1605	✓	1.66
2025-11-03	oos	0.000993	0.000994656	+0.17%	0.001192	+20.04%	0.1905	✓	1.75
2025-11-02	oos	0.001089	0.00109	+0.09%	0.001195	+9.68%	0.1856	✓	1.73
2025-11-01	oos	0.001109	0.00111	+0.09%	0.001185	+6.85%	0.1926	✓	1.74
2025-10-31	oos	0.001103	0.001105	+0.14%	0.001216	+10.24%	0.1990	✓	1.74
2025-10-30	oos	0.001123	0.001124	+0.06%	0.00105	-6.54%	0.0496	✓	1.76
2025-10-29	oos	0.001184	0.001184	-0.03%	0.001031	-12.92%	0.0381	✓	1.74
2025-10-28	oos	0.001206	0.001205	-0.05%	0.0009715	-19.44%	0.0274	✓	1.76
2025-10-27	oos	0.001233	0.001232	-0.05%	0.000993	-19.46%	0.0956	✓	1.76
2025-10-26	oos	0.001275	0.001274	-0.14%	0.001089	-14.58%	0.0935	✓	1.76
2025-10-25	oos	0.001209	0.001209	+0.01%	0.001109	-8.27%	0.0607	✗	1.77
2025-10-24	oos	0.001216	0.001216	-0.00%	0.001103	-9.33%	0.0741	✓	1.77
2025-10-23	oos	0.001211	0.001211	+0.02%	0.001123	-7.23%	0.0459	✗	1.77
2025-10-22	oos	0.001181	0.001182	+0.11%	0.001184	+0.25%	0.0384	✗	1.77
2025-10-21	oos	0.00123	0.00123	+0.03%	0.001206	-1.95%	0.0928	✗	1.77
2025-10-20	oos	0.001249	0.001249	-0.01%	0.001233	-1.28%	0.0692	✓	1.80
2025-10-19	oos	0.001254	0.001253	-0.05%	0.001275	+1.71%	0.0760	✓	1.78
2025-10-18	oos	0.001188	0.001192	+0.37%	0.001209	+1.77%	0.0580	✗	1.76
2025-10-17	oos	0.001172	0.001179	+0.56%	0.001216	+3.80%	0.0422	✗	1.75
2025-10-16	oos	0.001205	0.00121	+0.44%	0.001211	+0.50%	0.0303	✗	1.76
2025-10-15	oos	0.001244	0.001247	+0.22%	0.001181	-5.06%	0.0022	✗	1.76
2025-10-14	oos	0.001297	0.001297	-0.01%	0.00123	-5.17%	0.0219	✗	1.76
2025-10-13	oos	0.001346	0.001343	-0.23%	0.001249	-7.21%	0.0009	✓	1.76
2025-10-12	oos	0.001277	0.001276	-0.06%	0.001254	-1.76%	0.0815	✗	1.73
2025-10-11	oos	0.001161	0.001166	+0.43%	0.001188	+2.33%	0.0733	✓	1.67
2025-10-10	oos	0.001273	0.001274	+0.09%	0.001172	-7.93%	0.0135	✓	1.63
2025-10-09	oos	0.001552	0.001546	-0.36%	0.001205	-22.36%	0.0873	✓	1.38
2025-10-08	oos	0.0016	0.001595	-0.37%	0.001244	-22.27%	0.1027	✓	1.36
2025-10-07	oos	0.001596	0.00159	-0.41%	0.001297	-18.73%	0.1065	✓	1.36
2025-10-06	oos	0.001682	0.001674	-0.45%	0.001346	-19.95%	0.1105	✓	1.37
2025-10-05	oos	0.001629	0.001622	-0.42%	0.001277	-21.64%	0.1433	✓	1.36
2025-10-04	oos	0.001643	0.001635	-0.45%	0.001161	-29.32%	0.2056	✓	1.36
2025-10-03	oos	0.001683	0.001675	-0.47%	0.001273	-24.36%	0.1661	✓	1.37
2025-10-02	oos	0.001687	0.001676	-0.69%	0.001552	-8.03%	0.0892	✓	1.38
2025-10-01	oos	0.001652	0.001643	-0.56%	0.0016	-3.12%	0.0798	✓	1.39
2025-09-30	oos	0.001575	0.001568	-0.46%	0.001596	+1.33%	0.0691	✓	1.40
2025-09-29	oos	0.00161	0.001601	-0.57%	0.001682	+4.44%	0.0744	✓	1.43
2025-09-28	oos	0.00163	0.00162	-0.64%	0.001629	-0.06%	0.1359	✓	1.47
2025-09-27	oos	0.001605	0.001595	-0.60%	0.001643	+2.37%	0.1358	✓	1.50
2025-09-26	oos	0.001628	0.001617	-0.67%	0.001683	+3.38%	0.1242	✓	1.51
2025-09-25	oos	0.001575	0.001565	-0.64%	0.001687	+7.14%	0.0765	✓	1.50
2025-09-24	oos	0.001677	0.001662	-0.91%	0.001652	-1.52%	0.0749	✓	1.50
2025-09-23	oos	0.001676	0.001661	-0.88%	0.001575	-6.03%	0.0807	✓	1.51
2025-09-22	oos	0.00168	0.001664	-0.96%	0.00161	-4.20%	0.0545	✓	1.49
2025-09-21	oos	0.001798	0.001779	-1.10%	0.00163	-9.37%	0.0479	✓	1.45
2025-09-20	oos	0.001816	0.001796	-1.12%	0.001605	-11.65%	0.0315	✓	1.50
2025-09-19	oos	0.001817	0.001797	-1.10%	0.001628	-10.40%	0.0178	✓	1.52
2025-09-18	oos	0.001881	0.00186	-1.13%	0.001575	-16.29%	0.0578	✓	1.52

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.