UMXM

Manadia · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s9

token id: #947
symbol: UMXM
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x44fc58faaaca03e5d52e493dae930ffa63e2a664
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-23
predictions: 519

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

172

of 173 predictions shown

direction hit

48.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0588

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0180

actual -0.0219

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.03595	0.035569	-1.06%	–	pending	–	–	-1.33
2026-10-20	oos	0.04015	0.039879	-0.68%	0.03595	-10.46%	0.1072	✓	-1.20
2026-10-19	oos	0.04395	0.043731	-0.50%	0.04015	-8.65%	0.0699	✓	-1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.04805	0.047852	-0.41%	0.04395	-8.53%	0.0876	✓	-1.24
2026-10-17	oos	0.05595	0.055757	-0.34%	0.04805	-14.12%	0.1387	✓	-1.32
2026-10-16	oos	0.0651	0.064783	-0.49%	0.05595	-14.06%	0.1485	✓	-1.33
2026-10-15	oos	0.0648	0.064585	-0.33%	0.0651	+0.46%	0.0020	✓	-1.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.25085	0.23415	-6.66%	0.0648	-74.17%	1.2768	✓	-1.16
2026-10-13	oos	0.0581	0.058034	-0.11%	0.25085	+331.76%	1.4590	✗	-0.26
2026-10-12	oos	0.0588	0.058714	-0.15%	0.0581	-1.19%	0.0058	✓	-0.29
2026-10-11	oos	0.05905	0.058996	-0.09%	0.0588	-0.42%	0.0085	✓	-0.22
2026-10-10	oos	0.0592	0.059143	-0.10%	0.05905	-0.25%	0.0008	✓	-0.25
2026-10-09	oos	0.0591	0.05901	-0.15%	0.0592	+0.17%	0.0044	✗	-0.26
2026-10-08	oos	0.0616	0.06147	-0.21%	0.0591	-4.06%	0.0365	✓	-0.27
2026-10-07	oos	0.0618	0.061679	-0.20%	0.0616	-0.32%	0.0058	✓	-0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.0634	0.063278	-0.19%	0.0618	-2.52%	0.0293	✓	-0.21
2026-10-05	oos	0.0619	0.061745	-0.25%	0.0634	+2.42%	0.0259	✗	-0.22
2026-10-04	oos	0.06095	0.060788	-0.27%	0.0619	+1.56%	0.0162	✗	-0.22
2026-10-03	oos	0.066	0.065752	-0.38%	0.06095	-7.65%	0.0717	✓	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.0647	0.064556	-0.22%	0.066	+2.01%	0.0227	✗	-0.19
2026-10-01	oos	0.06655	0.066407	-0.22%	0.0647	-2.78%	0.0268	✓	-0.19
2026-09-30	oos	0.06295	0.062735	-0.34%	0.06655	+5.72%	0.0621	✗	-0.20
2026-09-29	oos	0.0632	0.062927	-0.43%	0.06295	-0.40%	0.0002	✓	-0.16
2026-09-28	oos	0.06695	0.066725	-0.34%	0.0632	-5.60%	0.0540	✓	-0.14
2026-09-27	oos	0.0776	0.077463	-0.18%	0.06695	-13.72%	0.1484	✓	-0.21
2026-09-26	oos	0.0759	0.075753	-0.19%	0.0776	+2.24%	0.0242	✗	-0.20
2026-09-25	oos	0.07795	0.077775	-0.23%	0.0759	-2.63%	0.0236	✓	-0.21
2026-09-24	oos	0.0836	0.083435	-0.20%	0.07795	-6.76%	0.0688	✓	-0.23
2026-09-23	oos	0.089	0.088837	-0.18%	0.0836	-6.07%	0.0607	✓	-0.23
2026-09-22	oos	0.09335	0.093172	-0.19%	0.089	-4.66%	0.0515	✓	-0.27
2026-09-21	oos	0.09665	0.096486	-0.17%	0.09335	-3.41%	0.0344	✓	-0.29
2026-09-20	oos	0.09805	0.097599	-0.46%	0.09665	-1.43%	0.0157	✗	-0.39
2026-09-19	oos	0.0989	0.09844	-0.46%	0.09805	-0.86%	0.0043	✓	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.0993	0.09863	-0.67%	0.0989	-0.40%	0.0045	✓	-0.39
2026-09-17	oos	0.09925	0.098648	-0.61%	0.0993	+0.05%	0.0337	✗	-0.47
2026-09-16	oos	0.0999	0.09922	-0.68%	0.09925	-0.65%	0.0015	✓	-0.46
2026-09-15	oos	0.09935	0.098567	-0.79%	0.0999	+0.55%	0.0170	✗	-0.48
2026-09-14	oos	0.09945	0.098592	-0.86%	0.09935	-0.10%	0.0086	✓	-0.48
2026-09-13	oos	0.0999	0.099311	-0.59%	0.09945	-0.45%	0.0104	✗	-0.51
2026-09-12	oos	0.0998	0.09917	-0.63%	0.0999	+0.10%	0.0044	✓	-0.49
2026-09-11	oos	0.0995	0.09882	-0.68%	0.0998	+0.30%	0.0102	✗	-0.47
2026-09-10	oos	0.0997	0.098822	-0.88%	0.0995	-0.20%	0.0108	✗	-0.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.09985	0.099257	-0.59%	0.0997	-0.15%	0.0056	✓	-0.45
2026-09-08	oos	0.10035	0.099854	-0.49%	0.09985	-0.50%	0.0009	✓	-0.40
2026-09-07	oos	0.1002	0.099631	-0.57%	0.10035	+0.15%	0.0039	✓	-0.40
2026-09-06	oos	0.09995	0.099398	-0.55%	0.1002	+0.25%	0.0019	✓	-0.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.1004	0.099728	-0.67%	0.09995	-0.45%	0.0048	✓	-0.41
2026-09-04	oos	0.09975	0.099043	-0.71%	0.1004	+0.65%	0.0143	✗	-0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.10045	0.099793	-0.65%	0.09975	-0.70%	0.0074	✓	-0.35
2026-09-02	oos	0.12235	0.120611	-1.42%	0.10045	-17.90%	0.1748	✓	-0.16
2026-09-01	oos	0.10025	0.099291	-0.96%	0.12235	+22.04%	0.2087	✗	-0.15
2026-08-31	oos	0.09965	0.098537	-1.12%	0.10025	+0.60%	0.0142	✗	-0.21
2026-08-30	oos	0.1011	0.099906	-1.18%	0.09965	-1.43%	0.0012	✓	-0.12
2026-08-29	oos	0.10075	0.099446	-1.29%	0.1011	+0.35%	0.0154	✗	-0.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.1007	0.099167	-1.52%	0.10075	+0.05%	0.0166	✗	-0.15
2026-08-27	oos	0.10085	0.09929	-1.55%	0.1007	-0.15%	0.0102	✓	-0.13
2026-08-26	oos	0.1005	0.098587	-1.90%	0.10085	+0.35%	0.0250	✗	-0.14
2026-08-25	oos	0.1009	0.098721	-2.16%	0.1005	-0.40%	0.0188	✓	-0.16
2026-08-24	oos	0.1008	0.09833	-2.45%	0.1009	+0.10%	0.0248	✗	-0.17
2026-08-23	oos	0.10075	0.097995	-2.73%	0.1008	+0.05%	0.0313	✗	-0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.09985	0.096852	-3.00%	0.10075	+0.90%	0.0412	✗	-0.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.0995	0.095406	-4.11%	0.09985	+0.35%	0.0426	✗	-0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.1003	0.09685	-3.44%	0.0995	-0.80%	0.0432	✗	-0.23
2026-08-19	oos	0.10025	0.097734	-2.51%	0.1003	+0.05%	0.0427	✗	-0.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.10475	0.103974	-0.74%	0.10025	-4.30%	0.0126	✓	-0.35
2026-08-17	oos	0.1043	0.103075	-1.17%	0.10475	+0.43%	0.0172	✗	-0.33
2026-08-16	oos	0.13135	0.131006	-0.26%	0.1043	-20.59%	0.2244	✓	-0.14
2026-08-15	oos	0.13905	0.138284	-0.55%	0.13135	-5.54%	0.0519	✓	-0.15
2026-08-14	oos	0.1395	0.137537	-1.41%	0.13905	-0.32%	0.0111	✓	-0.16
2026-08-13	oos	0.1552	0.152013	-2.05%	0.1395	-10.12%	0.0872	✓	-0.19
2026-08-12	oos	0.16135	0.15678	-2.83%	0.1552	-3.81%	0.0101	✓	-0.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.1805	0.175947	-2.52%	0.16135	-10.61%	0.0870	✓	-0.19
2026-08-10	oos	0.20565	0.19969	-2.90%	0.1805	-12.23%	0.1023	✓	-0.22
2026-08-09	oos	0.2128	0.204142	-4.07%	0.20565	-3.36%	0.0040	✓	-0.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.2366	0.228165	-3.57%	0.2128	-10.06%	0.0699	✓	-0.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.2354	0.225049	-4.40%	0.2366	+0.51%	0.0501	✗	-0.24
2026-08-06	oos	0.244	0.232669	-4.64%	0.2354	-3.52%	0.0139	✓	-0.23
2026-08-05	oos	0.2479	0.234243	-5.51%	0.244	-1.57%	0.0397	✓	-0.22
2026-08-04	oos	0.24485	0.22811	-6.84%	0.2479	+1.25%	0.0850	✗	-0.21
2026-08-03	oos	0.2522	0.233604	-7.37%	0.24485	-2.91%	0.0490	✓	-0.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.2667	0.245908	-7.80%	0.2522	-5.44%	0.0252	✓	-0.19
2026-08-01	oos	0.2733	0.250445	-8.36%	0.2667	-2.41%	0.0654	✓	-0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.2786	0.252607	-9.33%	0.2733	-1.90%	0.0785	✓	-0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.25295	0.221492	-12.44%	0.2786	+10.14%	0.2262	✗	-0.11
2026-07-29	oos	0.25285	0.218804	-13.46%	0.25295	+0.04%	0.1470	✗	-0.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.26005	0.22355	-14.04%	0.25285	-2.77%	0.1232	✓	-0.09
2026-07-27	oos	0.2189	0.184706	-15.62%	0.26005	+18.80%	0.3423	✗	-0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.288	0.244236	-15.20%	0.2189	-23.99%	0.1164	✓	-0.27
2026-07-25	oos	0.43055	0.373988	-13.14%	0.288	-33.11%	0.2594	✓	-0.11
2026-07-24	oos	0.5458	0.482038	-11.68%	0.43055	-21.12%	0.1130	✓	-0.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.67405	0.604253	-10.35%	0.5458	-19.03%	0.1027	✓	-0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.8973	0.829009	-7.61%	0.67405	-24.88%	0.2105	✓	-0.23
2026-07-21	oos	1.0072	0.933961	-7.28%	0.8973	-10.92%	0.0416	✓	-0.25
2026-07-20	oos	1.2409	1.19	-4.10%	1.0072	-18.83%	0.1649	✓	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	2.3075	2.2985	-0.39%	1.2409	-46.22%	0.6175	✓	0.13
2026-07-18	oos	2.3811	2.3697	-0.48%	2.3075	-3.09%	0.0264	✓	0.13
2026-07-17	oos	2.3614	2.3479	-0.57%	2.3811	+0.83%	0.0122	✗	0.13
2026-07-16	oos	2.2402	2.2306	-0.43%	2.3614	+5.41%	0.0567	✗	0.12
2026-07-15	oos	2.2807	2.2699	-0.48%	2.2402	-1.78%	0.0115	✓	0.11
2026-07-14	oos	2.2208	2.2099	-0.49%	2.2807	+2.69%	0.0320	✗	0.12
2026-07-13	oos	2.2458	2.2346	-0.50%	2.2208	-1.11%	0.0129	✓	0.16
2026-07-12	oos	2.2386	2.2267	-0.53%	2.2458	+0.32%	0.0122	✗	0.16
2026-07-11	oos	2.2285	2.2165	-0.54%	2.2386	+0.45%	0.0100	✗	0.16
2026-07-10	oos	2.2295	2.2166	-0.58%	2.2285	-0.05%	0.0062	✗	0.16
2026-07-09	oos	2.2182	2.2014	-0.76%	2.2295	+0.51%	0.0103	✗	0.16
2026-07-08	oos	2.2142	2.1968	-0.79%	2.2182	+0.18%	0.0072	✓	0.17
2026-07-07	oos	2.214	2.1972	-0.76%	2.2142	+0.01%	0.0105	✗	0.16
2026-07-06	oos	2.1901	2.1777	-0.57%	2.214	+1.09%	0.0183	✗	0.16
2026-07-05	oos	2.1837	2.1671	-0.76%	2.1901	+0.29%	0.0095	✗	0.17
2026-07-04	oos	2.1444	2.1318	-0.59%	2.1837	+1.83%	0.0228	✗	0.16
2026-07-03	oos	2.1366	2.1234	-0.62%	2.1444	+0.37%	0.0084	✗	0.17
2026-07-02	oos	2.1222	2.107	-0.72%	2.1366	+0.68%	0.0111	✗	0.17
2026-07-01	oos	2.0958	2.0769	-0.90%	2.1222	+1.26%	0.0173	✗	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	2.0838	2.0703	-0.64%	2.0958	+0.58%	0.0079	✗	0.18
2026-06-29	oos	2.0821	2.0651	-0.82%	2.0838	+0.08%	0.0139	✗	0.18
2026-06-28	oos	2.0604	2.0405	-0.97%	2.0821	+1.05%	0.0181	✗	0.18
2026-06-27	oos	2.0261	2.0109	-0.75%	2.0604	+1.69%	0.0257	✗	0.18
2026-06-26	oos	2.0122	1.9978	-0.72%	2.0261	+0.69%	0.0143	✗	0.18
2026-06-25	oos	1.9861	1.9664	-0.99%	2.0122	+1.32%	0.0222	✗	0.18
2026-06-24	oos	1.964	1.9478	-0.82%	1.9861	+1.12%	0.0233	✗	0.18
2026-06-23	oos	1.9527	1.9369	-0.81%	1.964	+0.58%	0.0189	✗	0.18
2026-06-22	oos	1.8978	1.881	-0.88%	1.9527	+2.90%	0.0416	✗	0.20
2026-06-21	oos	1.819	1.8127	-0.35%	1.8978	+4.33%	0.0438	✗	0.18
2026-06-20	oos	1.8041	1.7974	-0.37%	1.819	+0.82%	0.0148	✗	0.18
2026-06-19	oos	1.7939	1.7864	-0.42%	1.8041	+0.57%	0.0077	✗	0.19
2026-06-18	oos	1.775	1.7656	-0.53%	1.7939	+1.06%	0.0142	✗	0.19
2026-06-17	oos	1.7866	1.7795	-0.39%	1.775	-0.65%	0.0018	✓	0.18
2026-06-16	oos	1.7721	1.7666	-0.31%	1.7866	+0.82%	0.0144	✗	0.18
2026-06-15	oos	1.7686	1.7632	-0.30%	1.7721	+0.20%	0.0068	✗	0.18
2026-06-14	oos	1.7635	1.7576	-0.34%	1.7686	+0.29%	0.0047	✗	0.18
2026-06-13	oos	1.7518	1.7445	-0.42%	1.7635	+0.67%	0.0072	✗	0.19
2026-06-12	oos	1.732	1.7285	-0.20%	1.7518	+1.15%	0.0108	✗	0.19
2026-06-11	oos	1.7178	1.7143	-0.20%	1.732	+0.83%	0.0103	✗	0.19
2026-06-10	oos	1.7223	1.7194	-0.17%	1.7178	-0.26%	0.0087	✓	0.23
2026-06-09	oos	1.7114	1.7085	-0.17%	1.7223	+0.63%	0.0089	✗	0.23
2026-06-08	oos	1.7274	1.7236	-0.22%	1.7114	-0.92%	0.0023	✓	0.21
2026-06-07	oos	1.6827	1.6793	-0.20%	1.7274	+2.66%	0.0290	✗	0.21
2026-06-06	oos	1.6853	1.6831	-0.13%	1.6827	-0.15%	0.0110	✓	0.27
2026-06-05	oos	1.6878	1.6847	-0.19%	1.6853	-0.15%	0.0012	✓	0.27
2026-06-04	oos	1.6892	1.6861	-0.18%	1.6878	-0.08%	0.0134	✗	0.28
2026-06-03	oos	1.6755	1.6723	-0.19%	1.6892	+0.82%	0.0111	✗	0.28
2026-06-02	oos	1.6107	1.6074	-0.20%	1.6755	+4.02%	0.0578	✗	0.41
2026-06-01	oos	1.7272	1.7214	-0.33%	1.6107	-6.75%	0.0699	✓	-0.05
2026-05-31	oos	1.6968	1.6906	-0.37%	1.7272	+1.79%	0.0207	✗	-0.02
2026-05-30	oos	1.6992	1.6925	-0.40%	1.6968	-0.14%	0.0025	✓	-0.02
2026-05-29	oos	1.6483	1.6426	-0.35%	1.6992	+3.09%	0.0342	✗	-0.05
2026-05-28	oos	1.6386	1.6329	-0.35%	1.6483	+0.60%	0.0093	✗	-0.05
2026-05-27	oos	1.641	1.6347	-0.39%	1.6386	-0.15%	0.0017	✓	-0.06
2026-05-26	oos	1.6222	1.6156	-0.41%	1.641	+1.16%	0.0144	✗	-0.06
2026-05-25	oos	1.6498	1.6416	-0.49%	1.6222	-1.67%	0.0147	✓	-0.15
2026-05-24	oos	1.6164	1.609	-0.46%	1.6498	+2.06%	0.0256	✗	-0.16
2026-05-23	oos	1.6125	1.6051	-0.46%	1.6164	+0.24%	0.0077	✗	-0.15
2026-05-22	oos	1.6076	1.6005	-0.44%	1.6125	+0.31%	0.0084	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	1.6017	1.5933	-0.53%	1.6076	+0.37%	0.0364	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	1.6625	1.6519	-0.64%	1.6017	-3.66%	0.0318	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	1.617	1.6072	-0.61%	1.6625	+2.82%	0.0247	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	1.6751	1.6623	-0.77%	1.617	-3.47%	0.0254	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	1.5775	1.5663	-0.71%	1.6751	+6.19%	0.0732	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	1.5375	1.5297	-0.51%	1.5775	+2.60%	0.0397	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	1.5322	1.5248	-0.49%	1.5375	+0.35%	0.0205	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	1.5186	1.5116	-0.45%	1.5322	+0.90%	0.0387	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	1.5346	1.5265	-0.53%	1.5186	-1.05%	0.0276	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	1.5227	1.5149	-0.51%	1.5346	+0.78%	0.0279	✗	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	1.5116	1.5054	-0.42%	1.5227	+0.73%	0.0267	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	1.5148	1.5077	-0.47%	1.5116	-0.21%	0.0084	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.5776	1.5701	-0.47%	1.5148	-3.98%	0.0548	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	1.5512	1.5434	-0.51%	1.5776	+1.70%	0.0161	✗	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	1.5268	1.5177	-0.59%	1.5512	+1.60%	0.0195	✗	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	1.6231	1.6154	-0.47%	1.5268	-5.93%	0.0387	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	1.6713	1.6631	-0.49%	1.6231	-2.89%	0.0309	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	1.6419	1.6321	-0.59%	1.6713	+1.79%	0.0106	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	1.7622	1.7507	-0.65%	1.6419	-6.83%	0.0805	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	1.7539	1.7434	-0.60%	1.7622	+0.47%	0.0123	✗	1.00