TROLLSOL

? · · gru_s9

token id: #917
symbol: TROLLSOL
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-23
predictions: 1,587

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

55.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3806

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0418

actual -0.0114

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.036778	0.034915	-5.07%	–	pending	–	–	2.27
2026-10-20	oos	0.037984	0.036009	-5.20%	–	pending	–	–	2.27
2026-10-19	oos	0.033794	0.03223	-4.63%	–	pending	–	–	2.26
2026-10-18	oos	0.033843	0.032281	-4.62%	–	pending	–	–	2.26
2026-10-17	oos	0.035389	0.033735	-4.68%	–	pending	–	–	2.26
2026-10-16	oos	0.035893	0.034207	-4.70%	–	pending	–	–	2.27
2026-10-15	oos	0.036152	0.034508	-4.55%	–	pending	–	–	2.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.037653	0.035879	-4.71%	–	pending	–	–	2.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.037875	0.036405	-3.88%	–	pending	–	–	2.36
2026-10-12	oos	0.036243	0.034795	-4.00%	–	pending	–	–	2.36
2026-10-11	oos	0.03961	0.038298	-3.31%	–	pending	–	–	2.25
2026-10-10	oos	0.037829	0.036635	-3.15%	–	pending	–	–	2.27
2026-10-09	oos	0.038198	0.036967	-3.22%	–	pending	–	–	2.27
2026-10-08	oos	0.037308	0.036109	-3.21%	–	pending	–	–	2.25
2026-10-07	oos	0.039808	0.038604	-3.03%	–	pending	–	–	2.22
2026-10-06	oos	0.042549	0.041499	-2.47%	–	pending	–	–	2.22
2026-10-05	oos	0.042647	0.041675	-2.28%	–	pending	–	–	2.23
2026-10-04	oos	0.045871	0.044335	-3.35%	–	pending	–	–	2.23
2026-10-03	oos	0.044561	0.042776	-4.01%	–	pending	–	–	2.23
2026-10-02	oos	0.044541	0.042663	-4.22%	–	pending	–	–	2.22
2026-10-01	oos	0.046943	0.04447	-5.27%	–	pending	–	–	2.20
2026-09-30	oos	0.04658	0.043851	-5.86%	–	pending	–	–	2.21
2026-09-29	oos	0.045724	0.043158	-5.61%	–	pending	–	–	2.22
2026-09-28	oos	0.044871	0.04242	-5.46%	–	pending	–	–	2.29
2026-09-27	oos	0.047287	0.044374	-6.16%	–	pending	–	–	2.25
2026-09-26	oos	0.049391	0.045838	-7.19%	–	pending	–	–	2.26
2026-09-25	oos	0.051838	0.047523	-8.32%	–	pending	–	–	2.28
2026-09-24	oos	0.05056	0.046727	-7.58%	–	pending	–	–	2.28
2026-09-23	oos	0.04971	0.046168	-7.13%	–	pending	–	–	2.29
2026-09-22	oos	0.05964	0.053075	-11.01%	–	pending	–	–	2.19
2026-09-21	oos	0.05641	0.050882	-9.80%	0.036778	-34.80%	0.2214	✓	2.24
2026-09-20	oos	0.050383	0.046339	-8.03%	0.037984	-24.61%	0.2485	✓	2.29
2026-09-19	oos	0.047696	0.044559	-6.58%	0.033794	-29.15%	0.2934	✓	2.29
2026-09-18	oos	0.049463	0.045875	-7.25%	0.033843	-31.58%	0.3359	✓	2.28
2026-09-17	oos	0.043573	0.041377	-5.04%	0.035389	-18.78%	0.3020	✓	2.28
2026-09-16	oos	0.042624	0.040828	-4.21%	0.035893	-15.79%	0.2838	✓	2.28
2026-09-15	oos	0.042855	0.041243	-3.76%	0.036152	-15.64%	0.3188	✓	2.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.047112	0.045167	-4.13%	0.037653	-20.08%	0.2778	✓	2.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.046599	0.044864	-3.72%	0.037875	-18.72%	0.3486	✓	2.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.048266	0.046556	-3.54%	0.036243	-24.91%	0.3775	✓	2.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.048729	0.047242	-3.05%	0.03961	-18.71%	0.3586	✓	2.27
2026-09-10	oos	0.047248	0.046136	-2.35%	0.037829	-19.94%	0.3814	✓	2.29
2026-09-09	oos	0.049799	0.048675	-2.26%	0.038198	-23.29%	0.3636	✓	2.29
2026-09-08	oos	0.052052	0.050901	-2.21%	0.037308	-28.33%	0.4016	✓	2.24
2026-09-07	oos	0.048497	0.048052	-0.92%	0.039808	-17.92%	0.3062	✓	2.29
2026-09-06	oos	0.052082	0.051837	-0.47%	0.042549	-18.31%	0.3408	✓	2.28
2026-09-05	oos	0.061653	0.060358	-2.10%	0.042647	-30.83%	0.5112	✓	2.29
2026-09-04	oos	0.076665	0.071621	-6.58%	0.045871	-40.17%	0.6279	✓	2.22
2026-09-03	oos	0.055088	0.054709	-0.69%	0.044561	-19.11%	0.3082	✓	2.46
2026-09-02	oos	0.041738	0.041654	-0.20%	0.044541	+6.72%	0.1174	✓	2.07
2026-09-01	oos	0.043203	0.043261	+0.14%	0.046943	+8.66%	0.1099	✗	2.08
2026-08-31	oos	0.044504	0.044786	+0.63%	0.04658	+4.66%	0.0757	✗	1.87
2026-08-30	oos	0.047096	0.047168	+0.15%	0.045724	-2.91%	0.1635	✗	1.79
2026-08-29	oos	0.050108	0.050424	+0.63%	0.044871	-10.45%	0.2297	✗	1.75
2026-08-28	oos	0.04966	0.050135	+0.96%	0.047287	-4.78%	0.2019	✗	1.76
2026-08-27	oos	0.053453	0.054787	+2.50%	0.049391	-7.60%	0.1914	✗	1.74
2026-08-26	oos	0.051848	0.05305	+2.32%	0.051838	-0.02%	0.1307	✗	1.73
2026-08-25	oos	0.049368	0.050859	+3.02%	0.05056	+2.41%	0.1259	✗	1.67
2026-08-24	oos	0.051194	0.052854	+3.24%	0.04971	-2.90%	0.1793	✗	1.79
2026-08-23	oos	0.052031	0.05337	+2.57%	0.05964	+14.62%	0.0832	✗	1.88
2026-08-22	oos	0.054691	0.055279	+1.07%	0.05641	+3.14%	0.2000	✗	1.89
2026-08-21	oos	0.059058	0.058712	-0.59%	0.050383	-14.69%	0.2193	✓	1.87
2026-08-20	oos	0.048109	0.048683	+1.19%	0.047696	-0.86%	0.2068	✗	1.75
2026-08-19	oos	0.047886	0.046794	-2.28%	0.049463	+3.29%	0.2428	✓	1.93
2026-08-18	oos	0.041719	0.040077	-3.94%	0.043573	+4.44%	0.2319	✓	1.90
2026-08-17	oos	0.039132	0.037794	-3.42%	0.042624	+8.92%	0.1975	✓	1.91
2026-08-16	oos	0.041845	0.04008	-4.22%	0.042855	+2.41%	0.3061	✓	2.02
2026-08-15	oos	0.039066	0.037686	-3.53%	0.047112	+20.60%	0.2111	✓	2.02
2026-08-14	oos	0.037082	0.03588	-3.24%	0.046599	+25.66%	0.1382	✓	2.01
2026-08-13	oos	0.037614	0.036412	-3.20%	0.048266	+28.32%	0.1149	✓	2.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.038149	0.036898	-3.28%	0.048729	+27.73%	0.1254	✓	2.05
2026-08-11	oos	0.037296	0.036171	-3.02%	0.047248	+26.68%	0.1081	✓	2.01
2026-08-10	oos	0.038765	0.037646	-2.89%	0.049799	+28.46%	0.1054	✓	1.90
2026-08-09	oos	0.040031	0.038974	-2.64%	0.052052	+30.03%	0.0799	✓	1.94
2026-08-08	oos	0.043324	0.041795	-3.53%	0.048497	+11.94%	0.2352	✓	1.94
2026-08-07	oos	0.038756	0.037833	-2.38%	0.052082	+34.39%	0.2059	✓	2.46
2026-08-06	oos	0.037333	0.036455	-2.35%	0.061653	+65.14%	0.0128	✓	2.48
2026-08-05	oos	0.038876	0.037964	-2.34%	0.076665	+97.21%	0.1807	✗	2.49
2026-08-04	oos	0.038449	0.037547	-2.34%	0.055088	+43.28%	0.2194	✓	2.53
2026-08-03	oos	0.037962	0.03702	-2.48%	0.041738	+9.95%	0.3908	✓	2.59
2026-08-02	oos	0.038423	0.037502	-2.40%	0.043203	+12.44%	0.3637	✓	2.55
2026-08-01	oos	0.038862	0.03788	-2.53%	0.044504	+14.52%	0.3906	✓	2.46
2026-07-31	oos	0.039347	0.038384	-2.45%	0.047096	+19.69%	0.3207	✓	2.48
2026-07-30	oos	0.043061	0.041952	-2.58%	0.050108	+16.37%	0.2998	✓	2.52
2026-07-29	oos	0.043863	0.042719	-2.61%	0.04966	+13.22%	0.3771	✓	2.67
2026-07-28	oos	0.04822	0.046509	-3.55%	0.053453	+10.85%	0.4722	✓	2.67
2026-07-27	oos	0.042755	0.041664	-2.55%	0.051848	+21.27%	0.3585	✓	2.68
2026-07-26	oos	0.05082	0.048499	-4.57%	0.049368	-2.86%	0.4489	✓	2.54
2026-07-25	oos	0.038615	0.037789	-2.14%	0.051194	+32.58%	0.2031	✓	2.46
2026-07-24	oos	0.038026	0.03724	-2.07%	0.052031	+36.83%	0.1331	✓	2.42
2026-07-23	oos	0.0385	0.037814	-1.78%	0.054691	+42.05%	0.0404	✓	2.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.040317	0.039724	-1.47%	0.059058	+46.48%	0.0110	✓	2.40
2026-07-21	oos	0.044366	0.043809	-1.26%	0.048109	+8.44%	0.1290	✓	2.39
2026-07-20	oos	0.043322	0.042652	-1.55%	0.047886	+10.54%	0.0283	✓	2.37
2026-07-19	oos	0.043592	0.042899	-1.59%	0.041719	-4.30%	0.0279	✓	2.36
2026-07-18	oos	0.046336	0.04562	-1.55%	0.039132	-15.55%	0.1422	✓	2.27
2026-07-17	oos	0.041387	0.040459	-2.24%	0.041845	+1.11%	0.0668	✗	1.98
2026-07-16	oos	0.043618	0.042753	-1.98%	0.039066	-10.44%	0.0673	✓	1.93
2026-07-15	oos	0.047648	0.046933	-1.50%	0.037082	-22.18%	0.1883	✓	1.73
2026-07-14	oos	0.050717	0.049999	-1.41%	0.037614	-25.84%	0.2424	✓	1.73
2026-07-13	oos	0.050208	0.049324	-1.76%	0.038149	-24.02%	0.2907	✓	1.85
2026-07-12	oos	0.054903	0.053898	-1.83%	0.037296	-32.07%	0.3623	✓	1.81
2026-07-11	oos	0.054401	0.053364	-1.91%	0.038765	-28.74%	0.3235	✓	1.78
2026-07-10	oos	0.051832	0.050835	-1.92%	0.040031	-22.77%	0.2594	✓	1.83
2026-07-09	oos	0.054605	0.05348	-2.06%	0.043324	-20.66%	0.2613	✓	1.87
2026-07-08	oos	0.052663	0.051554	-2.11%	0.038756	-26.41%	0.3708	✓	2.05
2026-07-07	oos	0.055374	0.054131	-2.24%	0.037333	-32.58%	0.4013	✓	2.01
2026-07-06	oos	0.059639	0.058186	-2.44%	0.038876	-34.81%	0.4220	✓	2.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.059466	0.05808	-2.33%	0.038449	-35.34%	0.4271	✓	2.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.064273	0.06243	-2.87%	0.037962	-40.94%	0.5096	✓	2.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.06707	0.064805	-3.38%	0.038423	-42.71%	0.5536	✓	1.98
2026-07-02	oos	0.064804	0.0626	-3.40%	0.038862	-40.03%	0.5178	✓	1.99
2026-07-01	oos	0.061492	0.059577	-3.11%	0.039347	-36.01%	0.5084	✓	2.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.052371	0.051197	-2.24%	0.043061	-17.78%	0.3696	✓	1.95
2026-06-29	oos	0.054438	0.052758	-3.09%	0.043863	-19.43%	0.3020	✓	1.95
2026-06-28	oos	0.050641	0.048669	-3.89%	0.04822	-4.78%	0.1451	✓	1.91
2026-06-27	oos	0.054499	0.051735	-5.07%	0.042755	-21.55%	0.3055	✓	1.89
2026-06-26	oos	0.055757	0.052675	-5.53%	0.05082	-8.85%	0.1972	✓	1.89
2026-06-25	oos	0.053004	0.049931	-5.80%	0.038615	-27.15%	0.3971	✓	1.89
2026-06-24	oos	0.05462	0.051155	-6.34%	0.038026	-30.38%	0.3874	✓	1.83
2026-06-23	oos	0.061169	0.057197	-6.49%	0.0385	-37.06%	0.4641	✓	1.81
2026-06-22	oos	0.065839	0.061355	-6.81%	0.040317	-38.76%	0.4777	✓	1.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.068421	0.0636	-7.05%	0.044366	-35.16%	0.4507	✓	1.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.070529	0.065192	-7.57%	0.043322	-38.58%	0.4350	✓	1.72
2026-06-19	oos	0.067218	0.062178	-7.50%	0.043592	-35.15%	0.3880	✓	1.75
2026-06-18	oos	0.066817	0.06182	-7.48%	0.046336	-30.65%	0.3414	✓	1.77
2026-06-17	oos	0.068936	0.063589	-7.76%	0.041387	-39.96%	0.4144	✓	1.75
2026-06-16	oos	0.074075	0.06772	-8.58%	0.043618	-41.12%	0.3905	✓	1.73
2026-06-15	oos	0.07769	0.070008	-9.89%	0.047648	-38.67%	0.3430	✓	1.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.082312	0.073084	-11.21%	0.050717	-38.38%	0.3459	✓	1.77
2026-06-13	oos	0.07797	0.070067	-10.14%	0.050208	-35.61%	0.2745	✓	1.72
2026-06-12	oos	0.071386	0.064799	-9.23%	0.054903	-23.09%	0.1711	✓	1.70
2026-06-11	oos	0.067829	0.061785	-8.91%	0.054401	-19.80%	0.1329	✓	1.70
2026-06-10	oos	0.066021	0.060442	-8.45%	0.051832	-21.49%	0.2278	✓	1.74
2026-06-09	oos	0.071643	0.065132	-9.09%	0.054605	-23.78%	0.2175	✓	1.73
2026-06-08	oos	0.077125	0.069402	-10.01%	0.052663	-31.72%	0.2538	✓	1.69
2026-06-07	oos	0.073677	0.066624	-9.57%	0.055374	-24.84%	0.1855	✓	1.66
2026-06-06	oos	0.072464	0.065738	-9.28%	0.059639	-17.70%	0.1828	✓	1.69
2026-06-05	oos	0.067914	0.062006	-8.70%	0.059466	-12.44%	0.1120	✓	1.71
2026-06-04	oos	0.06834	0.062348	-8.77%	0.064273	-5.95%	0.0506	✓	1.78
2026-06-03	oos	0.076015	0.068339	-10.10%	0.06707	-11.77%	0.0241	✓	1.78
2026-06-02	oos	0.069034	0.062892	-8.90%	0.064804	-6.13%	0.1855	✗	1.93
2026-06-01	oos	0.074536	0.067101	-9.98%	0.061492	-17.50%	0.2194	✗	1.77
2026-05-31	oos	0.07637	0.068347	-10.51%	0.052371	-31.42%	0.1409	✗	1.78
2026-05-30	oos	0.08534	0.075143	-11.95%	0.054438	-36.21%	0.0210	✓	1.68
2026-05-29	oos	0.086672	0.075853	-12.48%	0.050641	-41.57%	0.0468	✓	1.70
2026-05-28	oos	0.075982	0.067376	-11.33%	0.054499	-28.27%	0.1336	✗	1.69
2026-05-27	oos	0.063912	0.055439	-13.26%	0.055757	-12.76%	0.3807	✗	1.75
2026-05-26	oos	0.084221	0.072356	-14.09%	0.053004	-37.07%	0.0759	✓	1.62
2026-05-25	oos	0.103826	0.086425	-16.76%	0.05462	-47.39%	0.1184	✓	1.44
2026-05-24	oos	0.10912	0.089478	-18.00%	0.061169	-43.94%	0.0834	✓	1.44
2026-05-23	oos	0.114713	0.092555	-19.32%	0.065839	-42.61%	0.0809	✓	1.43
2026-05-22	oos	0.102325	0.083707	-18.19%	0.068421	-33.13%	0.0487	✓	1.42
2026-05-21	oos	0.116733	0.092975	-20.35%	0.070529	-39.58%	0.0224	✓	1.35
2026-05-20	oos	0.115211	0.091219	-20.82%	0.067218	-41.66%	0.0322	✓	1.37
2026-05-19	oos	0.108436	0.08634	-20.38%	0.066817	-38.38%	0.0169	✓	1.37
2026-05-18	oos	0.113559	0.089141	-21.50%	0.068936	-39.29%	0.0193	✓	1.34
2026-05-17	oos	0.11052	0.086926	-21.35%	0.074075	-32.98%	0.0627	✓	1.35
2026-05-16	oos	0.115287	0.08983	-22.08%	0.07769	-32.61%	0.0740	✓	1.33
2026-05-15	oos	0.117633	0.09149	-22.22%	0.082312	-30.03%	0.1489	✓	1.38
2026-05-14	oos	0.13098	0.100565	-23.22%	0.07797	-40.47%	0.0529	✓	1.34
2026-05-13	oos	0.1313	0.100017	-23.83%	0.071386	-45.63%	0.0423	✓	1.33
2026-05-12	oos	0.10436	0.08136	-22.04%	0.067829	-35.00%	0.1573	✓	1.44
2026-05-11	oos	0.118506	0.091393	-22.88%	0.066021	-44.29%	0.0735	✓	1.40
2026-05-10	oos	0.119429	0.090967	-23.83%	0.071643	-40.01%	0.1671	✓	1.41
2026-05-09	oos	0.055455	0.044907	-19.02%	0.077125	+39.08%	0.8176	✗	1.12
2026-05-08	oos	0.049767	0.041222	-17.17%	0.073677	+48.04%	0.8410	✗	1.10
2026-05-07	oos	0.04613	0.039019	-15.42%	0.072464	+57.09%	0.9252	✗	1.12
2026-05-06	oos	0.051663	0.041934	-18.83%	0.067914	+31.46%	0.8097	✗	1.14
2026-05-05	oos	0.042961	0.036748	-14.46%	0.06834	+59.07%	0.8780	✗	1.08
2026-05-04	oos	0.044384	0.037284	-16.00%	0.076015	+71.27%	0.9529	✗	1.09
2026-05-03	oos	0.051022	0.040555	-20.51%	0.069034	+35.30%	0.7242	✗	1.17
2026-05-02	oos	0.027771	0.025387	-8.59%	0.074536	+168.40%	1.1961	✗	1.21
2026-05-01	oos	0.021138	0.020154	-4.66%	0.07637	+261.29%	1.4053	✗	1.19
2026-04-30	oos	0.017079	0.016379	-4.10%	0.08534	+399.68%	1.6888	✗	1.13
2026-04-29	oos	0.017214	0.016432	-4.54%	0.086672	+403.50%	1.6991	✗	1.13
2026-04-28	oos	0.019348	0.01852	-4.28%	0.075982	+292.71%	1.4544	✗	1.14
2026-04-27	oos	0.017751	0.016794	-5.39%	0.063912	+260.05%	1.3829	✗	1.15
2026-04-26	oos	0.020579	0.019668	-4.43%	0.084221	+309.26%	1.4965	✗	1.14
2026-04-25	oos	0.021359	0.020356	-4.70%	0.103826	+386.10%	1.6353	✗	1.15
2026-04-24	oos	0.022413	0.021227	-5.29%	0.10912	+386.86%	1.6446	✗	1.17
2026-04-23	oos	0.021945	0.020833	-5.07%	0.114713	+422.73%	1.7307	✗	1.18
2026-04-22	oos	0.020439	0.01955	-4.35%	0.102325	+400.64%	1.6974	✗	1.17
2026-04-21	oos	0.020099	0.019161	-4.67%	0.116733	+480.79%	1.7885	✗	1.19
2026-04-20	oos	0.021041	0.019804	-5.88%	0.115211	+447.55%	1.7351	✗	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.021534	0.019802	-8.04%	0.108436	+403.56%	1.6479	✗	1.34
2026-04-18	oos	0.016351	0.015966	-2.36%	0.113559	+594.51%	1.9393	✗	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.014813	0.014781	-0.21%	0.11052	+646.10%	2.0060	✗	1.45
2026-04-16	oos	0.016833	0.016323	-3.03%	0.115287	+584.89%	1.8972	✗	1.50
2026-04-15	oos	0.015971	0.015599	-2.33%	0.117633	+636.54%	1.9382	✗	1.50
2026-04-14	oos	0.01568	0.015307	-2.38%	0.13098	+735.33%	2.0134	✗	1.50
2026-04-13	oos	0.0162	0.01572	-2.96%	0.1313	+710.49%	2.0289	✗	1.49
2026-04-12	oos	0.014801	0.01431	-3.32%	0.10436	+605.09%	1.7934	✗	1.50
2026-04-11	oos	0.016225	0.015569	-4.04%	0.118506	+630.39%	1.8637	✗	1.49
2026-04-10	oos	0.016809	0.015846	-5.73%	0.119429	+610.51%	1.8431	✗	1.49
2026-04-09	oos	0.011796	0.011811	+0.12%	0.055455	+370.12%	1.3819	✓	1.42
2026-04-08	oos	0.011923	0.011886	-0.31%	0.049767	+317.40%	1.2610	✗	1.42
2026-04-07	oos	0.012256	0.012251	-0.04%	0.04613	+276.39%	1.1745	✗	1.42
2026-04-06	oos	0.011104	0.010987	-1.06%	0.051663	+365.26%	1.3105	✗	1.41
2026-04-05	oos	0.011418	0.011271	-1.29%	0.042961	+276.26%	1.1130	✗	1.41
2026-04-04	oos	0.011593	0.011393	-1.73%	0.044384	+282.85%	1.1199	✗	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.01142	0.011235	-1.62%	0.051022	+346.78%	1.2854	✗	1.43
2026-04-02	oos	0.011454	0.011263	-1.67%	0.027771	+142.46%	0.6706	✗	1.43
2026-04-01	oos	0.012049	0.011821	-1.89%	0.021138	+75.43%	0.3814	✗	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.012335	0.012081	-2.06%	0.017079	+38.46%	0.1816	✗	1.47
2026-03-30	oos	0.01199	0.011765	-1.88%	0.017214	+43.57%	0.1936	✗	1.48
2026-03-29	oos	0.01185	0.011647	-1.71%	0.019348	+63.27%	0.2921	✗	1.48
2026-03-28	oos	0.012297	0.012082	-1.75%	0.017751	+44.35%	0.1569	✗	1.48
2026-03-27	oos	0.011262	0.01113	-1.17%	0.020579	+82.73%	0.3632	✗	1.48
2026-03-26	oos	0.011196	0.011119	-0.69%	0.021359	+90.77%	0.4704	✗	1.50
2026-03-25	oos	0.012216	0.01221	-0.05%	0.022413	+83.47%	0.4838	✗	1.49
2026-03-24	oos	0.01236	0.012337	-0.18%	0.021945	+77.55%	0.4201	✗	1.50
2026-03-23	oos	0.01244	0.012439	-0.01%	0.020439	+64.30%	0.3495	✗	1.49
2026-03-22	oos	0.011844	0.01176	-0.71%	0.020099	+69.70%	0.3581	✗	1.51
2026-03-21	oos	0.012769	0.0127	-0.54%	0.021041	+64.78%	0.3606	✗	1.50
2026-03-20	oos	0.013328	0.0133	-0.21%	0.021534	+61.57%	0.4128	✗	1.50
2026-03-19	oos	0.01359	0.013568	-0.16%	0.016351	+20.32%	0.0667	✗	1.50
2026-03-18	oos	0.014035	0.01408	+0.32%	0.014813	+5.54%	0.0652	✗	1.47
2026-03-17	oos	0.015245	0.015346	+0.66%	0.016833	+10.42%	0.0684	✓	1.46
2026-03-16	oos	0.014646	0.014851	+1.40%	0.015971	+9.05%	0.0737	✓	1.47
2026-03-15	oos	0.014532	0.014734	+1.39%	0.01568	+7.90%	0.0345	✓	1.51
2026-03-14	oos	0.013737	0.013922	+1.35%	0.0162	+17.93%	0.0849	✓	1.51
2026-03-13	oos	0.013603	0.013809	+1.51%	0.014801	+8.81%	0.0734	✓	1.52
2026-03-12	oos	0.013909	0.014138	+1.65%	0.016225	+16.65%	0.0834	✓	1.53
2026-03-11	oos	0.013887	0.014133	+1.77%	0.016809	+21.04%	0.1155	✓	1.49
2026-03-10	oos	0.014101	0.01437	+1.91%	0.011796	-16.35%	0.2362	✗	1.50
2026-03-09	oos	0.013936	0.01418	+1.75%	0.011923	-14.44%	0.2307	✗	1.51
2026-03-08	oos	0.013428	0.0136	+1.28%	0.012256	-8.73%	0.2353	✗	1.52
2026-03-07	oos	0.0141	0.014353	+1.80%	0.011104	-21.25%	0.2926	✗	1.53
2026-03-06	oos	0.014489	0.014801	+2.15%	0.011418	-21.20%	0.2797	✗	1.54
2026-03-05	oos	0.015377	0.015777	+2.60%	0.011593	-24.61%	0.2280	✗	1.54
2026-03-04	oos	0.015364	0.01581	+2.90%	0.01142	-25.67%	0.1994	✗	1.53
2026-03-03	oos	0.015245	0.015605	+2.36%	0.011454	-24.87%	0.2745	✗	1.63
2026-03-02	oos	0.015028	0.015412	+2.55%	0.012049	-19.82%	0.2291	✗	1.63
2026-03-01	oos	0.014585	0.014908	+2.21%	0.012335	-15.43%	0.2505	✗	1.67
2026-02-28	oos	0.015156	0.015512	+2.35%	0.01199	-20.89%	0.2516	✗	1.71
2026-02-27	oos	0.015152	0.015481	+2.17%	0.01185	-21.79%	0.2698	✗	1.71
2026-02-26	oos	0.015637	0.015987	+2.24%	0.012297	-21.36%	0.2324	✗	1.72
2026-02-25	oos	0.016497	0.0168	+1.84%	0.011262	-31.73%	0.3581	✗	1.71
2026-02-24	oos	0.015577	0.015858	+1.80%	0.011196	-28.12%	0.4711	✗	1.74
2026-02-23	oos	0.015402	0.015705	+1.96%	0.012216	-20.69%	0.4183	✗	1.70
2026-02-22	oos	0.015946	0.016272	+2.04%	0.01236	-22.49%	0.3478	✗	1.73
2026-02-21	oos	0.016789	0.017066	+1.65%	0.01244	-25.90%	0.3894	✗	1.74
2026-02-20	oos	0.018878	0.018893	+0.08%	0.011844	-37.26%	0.4634	✗	1.74
2026-02-19	oos	0.016883	0.017112	+1.36%	0.012769	-24.37%	0.3417	✗	1.71
2026-02-18	oos	0.015944	0.016229	+1.79%	0.013328	-16.41%	0.2991	✗	1.71
2026-02-17	oos	0.015125	0.015449	+2.14%	0.01359	-10.15%	0.1871	✗	1.65
2026-02-16	oos	0.015343	0.015653	+2.02%	0.014035	-8.53%	0.1656	✗	1.66
2026-02-15	oos	0.014757	0.015086	+2.23%	0.015245	+3.31%	0.1110	✗	1.69
2026-02-14	oos	0.016816	0.017003	+1.11%	0.014646	-12.90%	0.2681	✗	1.69
2026-02-13	oos	0.015044	0.015339	+1.96%	0.014532	-3.40%	0.1486	✗	1.67
2026-02-12	oos	0.014501	0.014841	+2.34%	0.013737	-5.27%	0.2003	✗	1.68
2026-02-11	oos	0.015041	0.015343	+2.01%	0.013603	-9.56%	0.2205	✗	1.76
2026-02-10	oos	0.015571	0.015807	+1.52%	0.013909	-10.67%	0.1718	✗	1.77
2026-02-09	oos	0.01632	0.016479	+0.98%	0.013887	-14.91%	0.1738	✗	1.76
2026-02-08	oos	0.016504	0.016642	+0.83%	0.014101	-14.56%	0.1575	✗	1.81
2026-02-07	oos	0.016871	0.017008	+0.81%	0.013936	-17.40%	0.1777	✗	1.82
2026-02-06	oos	0.01778	0.017776	-0.02%	0.013428	-24.48%	0.1560	✓	1.86
2026-02-05	oos	0.015059	0.015464	+2.69%	0.0141	-6.37%	0.2270	✗	1.96
2026-02-04	oos	0.017318	0.017276	-0.24%	0.014489	-16.34%	0.0035	✗	2.59
2026-02-03	oos	0.017718	0.017596	-0.69%	0.015377	-13.21%	0.0408	✗	2.69
2026-02-02	oos	0.020235	0.019865	-1.83%	0.015364	-24.07%	0.0491	✓	2.63
2026-02-01	oos	0.017641	0.017487	-0.87%	0.015245	-13.58%	0.1696	✗	2.60
2026-01-31	oos	0.017935	0.017742	-1.07%	0.015028	-16.21%	0.2001	✗	2.75
2026-01-30	oos	0.01915	0.018822	-1.71%	0.014585	-23.84%	0.4694	✗	2.94
2026-01-29	oos	0.02071	0.020313	-1.92%	0.015156	-26.82%	0.3900	✗	2.93
2026-01-28	oos	0.022679	0.022135	-2.40%	0.015152	-33.19%	0.5368	✗	3.02
2026-01-27	oos	0.024479	0.023769	-2.90%	0.015637	-36.12%	0.4277	✗	3.05
2026-01-26	oos	0.022605	0.022073	-2.35%	0.016497	-27.02%	0.4908	✗	3.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.022063	0.021556	-2.30%	0.015577	-29.40%	0.5830	✗	3.02
2026-01-24	oos	0.024473	0.023738	-3.00%	0.015402	-37.07%	0.5334	✗	3.01
2026-01-23	oos	0.026456	0.025492	-3.64%	0.015946	-39.73%	0.3952	✗	3.09
2026-01-22	oos	0.032191	0.029993	-6.83%	0.016789	-47.85%	0.2700	✗	3.09
2026-01-21	oos	0.023171	0.022414	-3.27%	0.018878	-18.53%	0.6653	✗	3.06
2026-01-20	oos	0.018313	0.017564	-4.09%	0.016883	-7.81%	0.7812	✗	2.97
2026-01-19	oos	0.023505	0.022641	-3.67%	0.015944	-32.17%	0.5947	✗	2.85
2026-01-18	oos	0.02579	0.024897	-3.46%	0.015125	-41.35%	0.4358	✗	2.85
2026-01-17	oos	0.02673	0.025882	-3.17%	0.015343	-42.60%	0.3964	✗	2.85
2026-01-16	oos	0.027192	0.026302	-3.27%	0.014757	-45.73%	0.3467	✗	2.82
2026-01-15	oos	0.029237	0.028411	-2.82%	0.016816	-42.48%	0.3728	✗	2.85
2026-01-14	oos	0.030749	0.030103	-2.10%	0.015044	-51.07%	0.2864	✗	2.86
2026-01-13	oos	0.031931	0.031069	-2.70%	0.014501	-54.59%	0.2935	✗	2.89
2026-01-12	oos	0.028533	0.02757	-3.38%	0.015041	-47.29%	0.2992	✗	2.94
2026-01-11	oos	0.029619	0.02871	-3.07%	0.015571	-47.43%	0.2160	✗	2.98
2026-01-10	oos	0.029067	0.028208	-2.96%	0.01632	-43.85%	0.2118	✗	2.99
2026-01-09	oos	0.030445	0.029626	-2.69%	0.016504	-45.79%	0.2119	✗	3.15
2026-01-08	oos	0.032313	0.031427	-2.74%	0.016871	-47.79%	0.2465	✗	3.18
2026-01-07	oos	0.032088	0.031236	-2.65%	0.01778	-44.59%	0.2591	✗	3.19
2026-01-06	oos	0.036131	0.034923	-3.34%	0.015059	-58.32%	0.4295	✗	3.17
2026-01-05	oos	0.03737	0.035876	-4.00%	0.017318	-53.66%	0.0719	✗	3.18
2026-01-04	oos	0.039302	0.037042	-5.75%	0.017718	-54.92%	0.1132	✓	3.29
2026-01-03	oos	0.033125	0.032076	-3.17%	0.020235	-38.91%	0.0042	✓	3.23
2026-01-02	oos	0.032199	0.031186	-3.14%	0.017641	-45.21%	0.0652	✓	3.22
2026-01-01	oos	0.029207	0.028509	-2.39%	0.017935	-38.59%	0.0795	✓	3.18
2025-12-31	oos	0.024929	0.024409	-2.08%	0.01915	-23.18%	0.1202	✓	3.10
2025-12-30	oos	0.027256	0.026742	-1.89%	0.02071	-24.02%	0.1158	✓	3.11
2025-12-29	oos	0.026787	0.026252	-2.00%	0.022679	-15.34%	0.2177	✓	3.07
2025-12-28	oos	0.028949	0.02836	-2.04%	0.024479	-15.44%	0.1900	✓	3.06
2025-12-27	oos	0.029139	0.028548	-2.03%	0.022605	-22.42%	0.2486	✓	3.03
2025-12-26	oos	0.029035	0.028453	-2.00%	0.022063	-24.01%	0.2283	✓	3.09
2025-12-25	oos	0.029036	0.028454	-2.00%	0.024473	-15.71%	0.2175	✓	3.08
2025-12-24	oos	0.029699	0.029117	-1.96%	0.026456	-10.92%	0.1611	✓	3.10
2025-12-23	oos	0.030548	0.030001	-1.79%	0.032191	+5.38%	0.0036	✓	2.91
2025-12-22	oos	0.033229	0.032691	-1.62%	0.023171	-30.27%	0.3703	✓	2.87
2025-12-21	oos	0.03253	0.032061	-1.44%	0.018313	-43.70%	0.5494	✓	2.87
2025-12-20	oos	0.032407	0.031982	-1.31%	0.023505	-27.47%	0.4359	✓	2.73
2025-12-19	oos	0.034559	0.03412	-1.27%	0.02579	-25.38%	0.4470	✓	2.74
2025-12-18	oos	0.035919	0.035384	-1.49%	0.02673	-25.58%	0.5821	✓	2.82
2025-12-17	oos	0.037548	0.036905	-1.71%	0.027192	-27.58%	0.5934	✓	2.81
2025-12-16	oos	0.038119	0.037412	-1.85%	0.029237	-23.30%	0.4828	✓	2.80
2025-12-15	oos	0.032456	0.032212	-0.75%	0.030749	-5.26%	0.3624	✓	2.75
2025-12-14	oos	0.035177	0.03487	-0.87%	0.031931	-9.23%	0.3037	✓	2.74
2025-12-13	oos	0.038643	0.038098	-1.41%	0.028533	-26.16%	0.3171	✓	2.73
2025-12-12	oos	0.03879	0.03814	-1.67%	0.029619	-23.64%	0.2708	✓	2.73
2025-12-11	oos	0.035229	0.035007	-0.63%	0.029067	-17.49%	0.1190	✓	2.82
2025-12-10	oos	0.031928	0.031858	-0.22%	0.030445	-4.64%	0.0013	✓	2.80
2025-12-09	oos	0.034859	0.034638	-0.63%	0.032313	-7.30%	0.0186	✓	2.81
2025-12-08	oos	0.033084	0.032899	-0.56%	0.032088	-3.01%	0.0439	✓	2.76
2025-12-07	oos	0.027594	0.027398	-0.71%	0.036131	+30.94%	0.1778	✗	2.74
2025-12-06	oos	0.025938	0.025552	-1.49%	0.03737	+44.07%	0.2422	✗	2.74
2025-12-05	oos	0.028883	0.028864	-0.07%	0.039302	+36.07%	0.2434	✗	2.75
2025-12-04	oos	0.028854	0.028817	-0.13%	0.033125	+14.80%	0.1854	✗	2.82
2025-12-03	oos	0.033821	0.034017	+0.58%	0.032199	-4.80%	0.0512	✓	2.78
2025-12-02	oos	0.032976	0.033184	+0.63%	0.029207	-11.43%	0.0484	✗	2.78
2025-12-01	oos	0.029651	0.029762	+0.38%	0.024929	-15.93%	0.2172	✗	2.86
2025-11-30	oos	0.034603	0.034849	+0.71%	0.027256	-21.23%	0.1803	✗	2.97
2025-11-29	oos	0.035765	0.036019	+0.71%	0.026787	-25.10%	0.1734	✗	2.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.038231	0.038451	+0.58%	0.028949	-24.28%	0.1845	✗	2.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.039315	0.039475	+0.41%	0.029139	-25.88%	0.1893	✗	2.92
2025-11-26	oos	0.041459	0.041483	+0.06%	0.029035	-29.97%	0.2508	✗	2.97
2025-11-25	oos	0.042225	0.04224	+0.04%	0.029036	-31.24%	0.3694	✗	3.10
2025-11-24	oos	0.042309	0.042219	-0.21%	0.029699	-29.80%	0.3285	✓	3.11
2025-11-23	oos	0.03884	0.039019	+0.46%	0.030548	-21.35%	0.2668	✗	3.09
2025-11-22	oos	0.038014	0.038317	+0.80%	0.033229	-12.59%	0.2843	✗	3.17
2025-11-21	oos	0.035996	0.036367	+1.03%	0.03253	-9.63%	0.2413	✗	3.16
2025-11-20	oos	0.038646	0.038787	+0.37%	0.032407	-16.14%	0.2445	✗	3.17
2025-11-19	oos	0.038101	0.037894	-0.54%	0.034559	-9.30%	0.0413	✗	3.56
2025-11-18	oos	0.039606	0.03921	-1.00%	0.035919	-9.31%	0.2087	✗	3.54
2025-11-17	oos	0.032313	0.03213	-0.57%	0.037548	+16.20%	0.3928	✗	3.59
2025-11-16	oos	0.035815	0.03556	-0.71%	0.038119	+6.43%	0.3093	✗	3.45
2025-11-15	oos	0.036976	0.036674	-0.82%	0.032456	-12.22%	0.2266	✗	3.47
2025-11-14	oos	0.03601	0.035922	-0.25%	0.035177	-2.31%	0.2200	✗	3.47
2025-11-13	oos	0.044999	0.044228	-1.71%	0.038643	-14.12%	0.2034	✗	3.43
2025-11-12	oos	0.04727	0.046107	-2.46%	0.03879	-17.94%	0.2356	✗	3.45
2025-11-11	oos	0.047855	0.046477	-2.88%	0.035229	-26.38%	0.0938	✗	3.46
2025-11-10	oos	0.057997	0.054733	-5.63%	0.031928	-44.95%	0.0605	✓	3.39
2025-11-09	oos	0.056993	0.054146	-5.00%	0.034859	-38.84%	0.0265	✓	3.40
2025-11-08	oos	0.047953	0.046678	-2.66%	0.033084	-31.01%	0.0563	✗	3.32
2025-11-07	oos	0.052006	0.05029	-3.30%	0.027594	-46.94%	0.1595	✓	3.31
2025-11-06	oos	0.043195	0.042308	-2.05%	0.025938	-39.95%	0.0826	✓	3.22
2025-11-05	oos	0.050941	0.049303	-3.22%	0.028883	-43.30%	0.0581	✓	3.16
2025-11-04	oos	0.051417	0.049845	-3.06%	0.028854	-43.88%	0.2497	✓	3.06
2025-11-03	oos	0.059831	0.056873	-4.94%	0.033821	-43.47%	0.1046	✓	3.16
2025-11-02	oos	0.078164	0.074646	-4.50%	0.032976	-57.81%	0.2700	✓	2.86
2025-11-01	oos	0.079799	0.076339	-4.34%	0.029651	-62.84%	0.2361	✓	2.92
2025-10-31	oos	0.082447	0.079009	-4.17%	0.034603	-58.03%	0.2565	✓	2.96
2025-10-30	oos	0.083171	0.079905	-3.93%	0.035765	-57.00%	0.2863	✓	2.94
2025-10-29	oos	0.092022	0.087974	-4.40%	0.038231	-58.45%	0.3142	✓	2.72
2025-10-28	oos	0.095911	0.09105	-5.07%	0.039315	-59.01%	0.2755	✓	2.66
2025-10-27	oos	0.101254	0.09544	-5.74%	0.041459	-59.05%	0.2202	✓	2.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.101013	0.095096	-5.86%	0.042225	-58.20%	0.0973	✓	2.63
2025-10-25	oos	0.084765	0.081045	-4.39%	0.042309	-50.09%	0.0354	✓	2.61
2025-10-24	oos	0.086585	0.083183	-3.93%	0.03884	-55.14%	0.0566	✓	2.86
2025-10-23	oos	0.084859	0.081843	-3.55%	0.038014	-55.20%	0.0052	✓	2.90
2025-10-22	oos	0.081677	0.079389	-2.80%	0.035996	-55.93%	0.1017	✓	2.94
2025-10-21	oos	0.08843	0.085877	-2.89%	0.038646	-56.30%	0.1418	✓	2.92
2025-10-20	oos	0.097409	0.093991	-3.51%	0.038101	-60.89%	0.3483	✓	2.92
2025-10-19	oos	0.095651	0.092495	-3.30%	0.039606	-58.59%	0.4070	✓	2.82
2025-10-18	oos	0.099645	0.096239	-3.42%	0.032313	-67.57%	0.6539	✓	2.88
2025-10-17	oos	0.085138	0.083071	-2.43%	0.035815	-57.93%	0.4952	✓	2.82
2025-10-16	oos	0.091482	0.088767	-2.97%	0.036976	-59.58%	0.5280	✓	2.80
2025-10-15	oos	0.098	0.094269	-3.81%	0.03601	-63.26%	0.5147	✓	2.81
2025-10-14	oos	0.112299	0.107139	-4.59%	0.044999	-59.93%	0.5207	✓	2.74
2025-10-13	oos	0.127404	0.120253	-5.61%	0.04727	-62.90%	0.5986	✓	2.66
2025-10-12	oos	0.113702	0.107664	-5.31%	0.047855	-57.91%	0.5120	✓	2.70
2025-10-11	oos	0.088263	0.08289	-6.09%	0.057997	-34.29%	0.2483	✓	2.46
2025-10-10	oos	0.100527	0.093991	-6.50%	0.056993	-43.31%	0.3261	✓	2.29
2025-10-09	oos	0.128993	0.12118	-6.06%	0.047953	-62.83%	0.6017	✓	1.87
2025-10-08	oos	0.135084	0.127189	-5.84%	0.052006	-61.50%	0.5863	✓	1.74
2025-10-07	oos	0.126468	0.117796	-6.86%	0.043195	-65.85%	0.6747	✓	1.81
2025-10-06	oos	0.142165	0.133844	-5.85%	0.050941	-64.17%	0.6544	✓	1.70
2025-10-05	oos	0.141855	0.13273	-6.43%	0.051417	-63.75%	0.6076	✓	1.73
2025-10-04	oos	0.145562	0.135242	-7.09%	0.059831	-58.90%	0.5666	✓	1.79
2025-10-03	oos	0.160385	0.147545	-8.01%	0.078164	-51.26%	0.4529	✓	1.80
2025-10-02	oos	0.164899	0.149915	-9.09%	0.079799	-51.61%	0.4610	✓	1.85
2025-10-01	oos	0.152239	0.138658	-8.92%	0.082447	-45.84%	0.3648	✓	1.94
2025-09-30	oos	0.143427	0.132232	-7.81%	0.083171	-42.01%	0.3624	✓	1.96
2025-09-29	oos	0.1601	0.145254	-9.27%	0.092022	-42.52%	0.3611	✓	2.47
2025-09-28	oos	0.163044	0.148045	-9.20%	0.095911	-41.17%	0.4505	✓	2.61
2025-09-27	oos	0.138059	0.128492	-6.93%	0.101254	-26.66%	0.3302	✓	2.34
2025-09-26	oos	0.169959	0.152481	-10.28%	0.101013	-40.57%	0.5115	✓	2.30
2025-09-25	oos	0.153142	0.139143	-9.14%	0.084765	-44.65%	0.5501	✓	2.29
2025-09-24	oos	0.136167	0.124912	-8.27%	0.086585	-36.41%	0.3105	✓	2.72
2025-09-23	oos	0.142865	0.129076	-9.65%	0.084859	-40.60%	0.3709	✓	2.83
2025-09-22	oos	0.137713	0.125318	-9.00%	0.081677	-40.69%	0.2931	✓	2.89
2025-09-21	oos	0.107217	0.100247	-6.50%	0.08843	-17.52%	0.0810	✗	3.33
2025-09-20	oos	0.109754	0.102726	-6.40%	0.097409	-11.25%	0.1036	✗	3.42
2025-09-19	oos	0.121625	0.112704	-7.34%	0.095651	-21.36%	0.0574	✓	3.54
2025-09-18	oos	0.123611	0.113532	-8.15%	0.099645	-19.39%	0.1765	✗	3.47
2025-09-17	oos	0.141042	0.127592	-9.54%	0.085138	-39.64%	0.0866	✓	3.54

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.