TREAD
Tread.fi · Ethereum · gru_s9
- token id
- #929
- symbol
- TREAD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 84
Track record at +7d
assessed
21
of 28 predictions shown
direction hit
61.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1237
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0548
actual -0.0223
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.85085 | 0.811034 | -4.68% | – | pending | – | – | -0.34 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.8493 | 0.810768 | -4.54% | – | pending | – | – | -0.34 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.89125 | 0.850316 | -4.59% | – | pending | – | – | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.8999 | 0.859354 | -4.51% | – | pending | – | – | -0.24 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.83765 | 0.800449 | -4.44% | – | pending | – | – | -0.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.8799 | 0.840294 | -4.50% | – | pending | – | – | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.8869 | 0.845179 | -4.70% | – | pending | – | – | -0.20 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.0433 | 0.987715 | -5.33% | 0.85085 | -18.45% | 0.1743 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.03 | 0.973878 | -5.45% | 0.8493 | -17.54% | 0.1666 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.0138 | 0.957313 | -5.57% | 0.89125 | -12.09% | 0.0695 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.98725 | 0.930197 | -5.78% | 0.8999 | -8.85% | 0.0343 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.0868 | 1.0242 | -5.76% | 0.83765 | -22.92% | 0.1809 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.1368 | 1.0647 | -6.34% | 0.8799 | -22.60% | 0.1721 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.0573 | 0.990967 | -6.27% | 0.8869 | -16.11% | 0.0982 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.0358 | 0.968896 | -6.46% | 1.0433 | +0.72% | 0.0687 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.0859 | 1.0213 | -5.96% | 1.03 | -5.15% | 0.0293 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.1432 | 1.0851 | -5.07% | 1.0138 | -11.32% | 0.0391 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.1146 | 1.0601 | -4.89% | 0.98725 | -11.43% | 0.0233 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.1689 | 1.1119 | -4.88% | 1.0868 | -7.03% | 0.0103 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.2022 | 1.1243 | -6.48% | 1.1368 | -5.44% | 0.0329 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.84095 | 0.806399 | -4.11% | 1.0573 | +25.72% | 0.2943 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.8528 | 0.820397 | -3.80% | 1.0358 | +21.46% | 0.2710 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.87815 | 0.840275 | -4.31% | 1.0859 | +23.66% | 0.2599 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.0047 | 0.95446 | -5.00% | 1.1432 | +13.78% | 0.1579 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1383 | 1.0677 | -6.20% | 1.1146 | -2.09% | 0.0159 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.0855 | 1.0187 | -6.15% | 1.1689 | +7.69% | 0.1136 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.9022 | 0.865788 | -4.04% | 1.2022 | +33.25% | 0.3244 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.8192 | 0.786611 | -3.98% | 0.84095 | +2.66% | 0.0619 | ✗ | 1.00 |