TENDIES
TENDIES · Robinhood · gru_s9
- token id
- #799
- symbol
- TENDIES
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0x45242320dbb855eea8fd36804c6487e10e97fcf9
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-16
- predictions
- 270
Track record at +1d
assessed
89
of 90 predictions shown
direction hit
62.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1263
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0038
actual -0.0239
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.003815 | 0.003802 | -0.34% | – | pending | – | – | 2.62 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.003821 | 0.003815 | -0.15% | 0.003815 | -0.14% | 0.0061 | ✓ | 2.66 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004425 | 0.004402 | -0.54% | 0.003821 | -13.67% | 0.1737 | ✓ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.00342 | 0.003442 | +0.65% | 0.004425 | +29.40% | 0.2192 | ✓ | 2.40 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0035 | 0.003526 | +0.73% | 0.00342 | -2.29% | 0.0259 | ✗ | 2.20 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00385 | 0.003875 | +0.66% | 0.0035 | -9.09% | 0.1187 | ✗ | 2.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.003762 | 0.003797 | +0.93% | 0.00385 | +2.34% | 0.0171 | ✓ | 2.22 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.004347 | 0.004375 | +0.64% | 0.003762 | -13.46% | 0.1339 | ✗ | 2.23 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.004939 | 0.004958 | +0.38% | 0.004347 | -11.99% | 0.1466 | ✗ | 2.23 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.005042 | 0.005059 | +0.34% | 0.004939 | -2.04% | 0.0181 | ✓ | 2.26 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004456 | 0.004504 | +1.07% | 0.005042 | +13.15% | 0.0764 | ✓ | 2.22 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005425 | 0.005444 | +0.35% | 0.004456 | -17.86% | 0.1506 | ✗ | 2.12 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005468 | 0.005498 | +0.55% | 0.005425 | -0.79% | 0.0330 | ✗ | 2.12 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.004698 | 0.004759 | +1.29% | 0.005468 | +16.39% | 0.1296 | ✓ | 2.11 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005044 | 0.005109 | +1.28% | 0.004698 | -6.86% | 0.1059 | ✗ | 2.13 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.005198 | 0.005261 | +1.20% | 0.005044 | -2.96% | 0.0008 | ✓ | 2.15 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.006669 | 0.00667 | +0.02% | 0.005198 | -22.06% | 0.1960 | ✗ | 1.99 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.007464 | 0.007433 | -0.41% | 0.006669 | -10.65% | 0.1037 | ✓ | 1.98 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.006732 | 0.00673 | -0.03% | 0.007464 | +10.87% | 0.1214 | ✗ | 2.03 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006723 | 0.006745 | +0.33% | 0.006732 | +0.14% | 0.0440 | ✗ | 2.04 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006885 | 0.006907 | +0.32% | 0.006723 | -2.36% | 0.0328 | ✗ | 2.04 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.008486 | 0.00846 | -0.31% | 0.006885 | -18.87% | 0.1979 | ✓ | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.008463 | 0.008446 | -0.20% | 0.008486 | +0.27% | 0.0260 | ✓ | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.008951 | 0.008928 | -0.26% | 0.008463 | -5.45% | 0.0515 | ✓ | 1.99 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00977 | 0.009738 | -0.32% | 0.008951 | -8.38% | 0.0886 | ✓ | 1.99 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.010303 | 0.01027 | -0.32% | 0.00977 | -5.18% | 0.0262 | ✓ | 1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.011222 | 0.01118 | -0.37% | 0.010303 | -8.19% | 0.0828 | ✓ | 1.98 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.010876 | 0.010841 | -0.32% | 0.011222 | +3.18% | 0.0270 | ✗ | 1.98 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.010248 | 0.010225 | -0.23% | 0.010876 | +6.13% | 0.0687 | ✗ | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01068 | 0.010663 | -0.16% | 0.010248 | -4.04% | 0.0399 | ✓ | 1.99 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.011668 | 0.011663 | -0.05% | 0.01068 | -8.47% | 0.0461 | ✓ | 1.97 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.013417 | 0.013409 | -0.06% | 0.011668 | -13.04% | 0.1302 | ✓ | 1.93 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.012814 | 0.012783 | -0.24% | 0.013417 | +4.71% | 0.0865 | ✓ | 2.08 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.013697 | 0.013652 | -0.33% | 0.012814 | -6.45% | 0.0615 | ✓ | 2.07 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.014911 | 0.014819 | -0.61% | 0.013697 | -8.14% | 0.0879 | ✓ | 2.08 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.011718 | 0.011743 | +0.22% | 0.014911 | +27.24% | 0.1363 | ✓ | 1.78 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.01202 | 0.012042 | +0.18% | 0.011718 | -2.51% | 0.0320 | ✗ | 1.78 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.01274 | 0.012744 | +0.03% | 0.01202 | -5.65% | 0.0717 | ✗ | 1.79 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.014146 | 0.014096 | -0.35% | 0.01274 | -9.94% | 0.0428 | ✓ | 1.73 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.013051 | 0.013026 | -0.19% | 0.014146 | +8.39% | 0.0525 | ✗ | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.014048 | 0.01401 | -0.27% | 0.013051 | -7.10% | 0.0609 | ✓ | 1.67 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.016721 | 0.016653 | -0.41% | 0.014048 | -15.99% | 0.1712 | ✓ | 1.65 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.018437 | 0.018305 | -0.72% | 0.016721 | -9.31% | 0.1052 | ✓ | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.01575 | 0.0157 | -0.32% | 0.018437 | +17.06% | 0.2040 | ✗ | 1.92 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.016751 | 0.016695 | -0.33% | 0.01575 | -5.98% | 0.0543 | ✓ | 1.91 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.016325 | 0.016282 | -0.26% | 0.016751 | +2.61% | 0.0442 | ✗ | 1.93 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.017816 | 0.017786 | -0.17% | 0.016325 | -8.37% | 0.0562 | ✓ | 1.89 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.021024 | 0.020961 | -0.30% | 0.017816 | -15.26% | 0.1746 | ✓ | 1.90 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.01957 | 0.019535 | -0.18% | 0.021024 | +7.43% | 0.0697 | ✗ | 1.91 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.029397 | 0.029046 | -1.19% | 0.01957 | -33.43% | 0.3658 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.033181 | 0.032185 | -3.00% | 0.029397 | -11.40% | 0.1889 | ✓ | 1.97 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.017887 | 0.017825 | -0.35% | 0.033181 | +85.50% | 0.6239 | ✗ | 2.14 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.01556 | 0.015553 | -0.05% | 0.017887 | +14.96% | 0.1747 | ✗ | 2.34 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01848 | 0.018419 | -0.33% | 0.01556 | -15.80% | 0.1964 | ✓ | 2.41 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.017954 | 0.017902 | -0.29% | 0.01848 | +2.93% | 0.0496 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.01445 | 0.014452 | +0.02% | 0.017954 | +24.25% | 0.2046 | ✓ | 2.44 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.016556 | 0.016567 | +0.06% | 0.01445 | -12.72% | 0.0646 | ✗ | 2.34 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.017784 | 0.017751 | -0.19% | 0.016556 | -6.91% | 0.1074 | ✓ | 2.40 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.015549 | 0.01556 | +0.07% | 0.017784 | +14.37% | 0.1184 | ✓ | 2.39 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.020972 | 0.020823 | -0.71% | 0.015549 | -25.86% | 0.2793 | ✓ | 2.21 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.018399 | 0.018296 | -0.56% | 0.020972 | +13.98% | 0.1023 | ✗ | 2.14 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.01375 | 0.013753 | +0.02% | 0.018399 | +33.81% | 0.2730 | ✓ | 2.08 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.01328 | 0.013295 | +0.11% | 0.01375 | +3.54% | 0.0695 | ✓ | 2.19 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.01453 | 0.01446 | -0.48% | 0.01328 | -8.60% | 0.3306 | ✓ | 3.49 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.01378 | 0.013632 | -1.08% | 0.01453 | +5.44% | 0.1504 | ✓ | 4.10 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.009565 | 0.009435 | -1.36% | 0.01378 | +44.07% | 0.1971 | ✗ | 2.64 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.01009 | 0.009948 | -1.40% | 0.009565 | -5.20% | 0.0477 | ✓ | 2.66 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.01105 | 0.01092 | -1.17% | 0.01009 | -8.69% | 0.1726 | ✓ | 3.63 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.01269 | 0.012564 | -0.99% | 0.01105 | -12.92% | 0.1181 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.01476 | 0.014635 | -0.85% | 0.01269 | -14.02% | 0.1433 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.01771 | 0.017554 | -0.88% | 0.01476 | -16.66% | 0.1662 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.01887 | 0.018691 | -0.95% | 0.01771 | -6.15% | 0.0541 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.02139 | 0.021124 | -1.24% | 0.01887 | -11.78% | 0.1110 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.02278 | 0.022423 | -1.57% | 0.02139 | -6.10% | 0.0412 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.01943 | 0.019229 | -1.03% | 0.02278 | +17.24% | 0.1840 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.02054 | 0.020276 | -1.29% | 0.01943 | -5.40% | 0.0417 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.0169 | 0.016762 | -0.81% | 0.02054 | +21.54% | 0.2030 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.01809 | 0.017908 | -1.01% | 0.0169 | -6.58% | 0.0676 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02558 | 0.024948 | -2.47% | 0.01809 | -29.28% | 0.3162 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.02012 | 0.019746 | -1.86% | 0.02558 | +27.14% | 0.2503 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.01793 | 0.017632 | -1.66% | 0.02012 | +12.21% | 0.1229 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.01447 | 0.014324 | -1.01% | 0.01793 | +23.91% | 0.2251 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.01273 | 0.012634 | -0.76% | 0.01447 | +13.67% | 0.1241 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.01294 | 0.012839 | -0.78% | 0.01273 | -1.62% | 0.0075 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.01824 | 0.017912 | -1.80% | 0.01294 | -29.06% | 0.2954 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.01305 | 0.012934 | -0.89% | 0.01824 | +39.77% | 0.3309 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.00984 | 0.00977 | -0.72% | 0.01305 | +32.62% | 0.2887 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.01129 | 0.011222 | -0.60% | 0.00984 | -12.84% | 0.1338 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.01333 | 0.013262 | -0.51% | 0.01129 | -15.30% | 0.1354 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.01339 | 0.013323 | -0.50% | 0.01333 | -0.45% | 0.0156 | ✓ | 1.00 |