STONKEX
The Stonks Exchange · Base · gru_s9
- token id
- #762
- symbol
- STONKEX
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0x5ab000ff9b9ffe0349ce5ffa5fd86f217c3680f5
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-06
- predictions
- 111
Track record at +1d
assessed
36
of 37 predictions shown
direction hit
58.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1233
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0068
actual -0.0156
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004745 | 0.00472 | -0.54% | – | pending | – | – | 2.44 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004775 | 0.004746 | -0.60% | 0.004745 | -0.63% | 0.0069 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.00498 | 0.004944 | -0.72% | 0.004775 | -4.12% | 0.0680 | ✓ | 2.48 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0042 | 0.004201 | +0.01% | 0.00498 | +18.57% | 0.1754 | ✓ | 2.52 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00435 | 0.004352 | +0.05% | 0.0042 | -3.45% | 0.0549 | ✗ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.004542 | 0.004544 | +0.03% | 0.00435 | -4.24% | 0.0399 | ✗ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.005359 | 0.005332 | -0.50% | 0.004542 | -15.24% | 0.1415 | ✓ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.004943 | 0.00494 | -0.06% | 0.005359 | +8.42% | 0.0650 | ✗ | 2.42 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.005723 | 0.005676 | -0.82% | 0.004943 | -13.62% | 0.0947 | ✓ | 2.33 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004818 | 0.004826 | +0.16% | 0.005723 | +18.76% | 0.1353 | ✓ | 2.12 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005999 | 0.005936 | -1.05% | 0.004818 | -19.67% | 0.1644 | ✓ | 1.88 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.004738 | 0.004753 | +0.30% | 0.005999 | +26.59% | 0.2170 | ✓ | 1.71 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.004928 | 0.004943 | +0.29% | 0.004738 | -3.86% | 0.0498 | ✗ | 1.71 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.004987 | 0.005005 | +0.36% | 0.004928 | -1.17% | 0.0330 | ✗ | 1.70 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.005561 | 0.005562 | +0.03% | 0.004987 | -10.31% | 0.0775 | ✗ | 1.65 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005852 | 0.005837 | -0.26% | 0.005561 | -4.98% | 0.0011 | ✓ | 1.76 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.006299 | 0.006266 | -0.52% | 0.005852 | -7.10% | 0.0660 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.007033 | 0.006962 | -1.00% | 0.006299 | -10.44% | 0.0913 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006914 | 0.006858 | -0.81% | 0.007033 | +1.71% | 0.0046 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.007618 | 0.007521 | -1.28% | 0.006914 | -9.23% | 0.0868 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.00807 | 0.007937 | -1.64% | 0.007618 | -5.60% | 0.0370 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.005442 | 0.005432 | -0.18% | 0.00807 | +48.30% | 0.3805 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.005653 | 0.005621 | -0.56% | 0.005442 | -3.74% | 0.0315 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.007443 | 0.007397 | -0.63% | 0.005653 | -24.05% | 0.2710 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.008706 | 0.008618 | -1.01% | 0.007443 | -14.50% | 0.1346 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.007628 | 0.007563 | -0.85% | 0.008706 | +14.12% | 0.1401 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.009231 | 0.00913 | -1.10% | 0.007628 | -17.36% | 0.1835 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.008653 | 0.008572 | -0.93% | 0.009231 | +6.68% | 0.0775 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.008165 | 0.008086 | -0.96% | 0.008653 | +5.98% | 0.0676 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.011108 | 0.010914 | -1.75% | 0.008165 | -26.49% | 0.2688 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.009522 | 0.009418 | -1.08% | 0.011108 | +16.66% | 0.1696 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.011372 | 0.011117 | -2.24% | 0.009522 | -16.27% | 0.2197 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.010559 | 0.010321 | -2.25% | 0.011372 | +7.70% | 0.0978 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.007548 | 0.007471 | -1.01% | 0.010559 | +39.89% | 0.3415 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.009253 | 0.009204 | -0.53% | 0.007548 | -18.43% | 0.2560 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.007736 | 0.007701 | -0.46% | 0.009253 | +19.61% | 0.1810 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.007789 | 0.007739 | -0.64% | 0.007736 | -0.68% | 0.0078 | ✓ | 1.00 |