SPYB
SPY (bStocks Tokenized Stock) · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s9
- token id
- #357
- symbol
- SPYB
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x7138b48df7d98d7e3cc221bfe7192d0a178182d8
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-07
- predictions
- 294
Track record at +1d
assessed
97
of 98 predictions shown
direction hit
48.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0068
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0034
actual -0.0002
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 771.235 | 769.9881 | -0.16% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 771.485 | 770.1715 | -0.17% | 771.235 | -0.03% | 0.0017 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 768.255 | 766.5158 | -0.23% | 771.485 | +0.42% | 0.0050 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 767.73 | 766.5426 | -0.15% | 768.255 | +0.07% | 0.0025 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 760.825 | 759.6093 | -0.16% | 767.73 | +0.91% | 0.0098 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 762.325 | 760.9052 | -0.19% | 760.825 | -0.20% | 0.0000 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 771.365 | 770.0183 | -0.17% | 762.325 | -1.17% | 0.0093 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 768.04 | 766.4485 | -0.21% | 771.365 | +0.43% | 0.0057 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 778.575 | 777.3262 | -0.16% | 768.04 | -1.35% | 0.0102 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 778.155 | 776.4822 | -0.21% | 778.575 | +0.05% | 0.0011 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 780.995 | 779.6341 | -0.17% | 778.155 | -0.36% | 0.0004 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 779.025 | 777.5392 | -0.19% | 780.995 | +0.25% | 0.0035 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 779.035 | 777.4735 | -0.20% | 779.025 | -0.00% | 0.0015 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 774.915 | 773.0991 | -0.23% | 779.035 | +0.53% | 0.0066 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 777.815 | 775.9583 | -0.24% | 774.915 | -0.37% | 0.0006 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 779.94 | 778.9386 | -0.13% | 777.815 | -0.27% | 0.0014 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 775.085 | 773.9399 | -0.15% | 779.94 | +0.63% | 0.0080 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 770.915 | 770.3832 | -0.07% | 775.085 | +0.54% | 0.0070 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 770.925 | 769.8354 | -0.14% | 770.915 | -0.00% | 0.0009 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 769.8 | 768.6558 | -0.15% | 770.925 | +0.15% | 0.0026 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 765.105 | 764.2159 | -0.12% | 769.8 | +0.61% | 0.0077 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 765.845 | 764.5198 | -0.17% | 765.105 | -0.10% | 0.0010 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 766.09 | 764.6252 | -0.19% | 765.845 | -0.03% | 0.0017 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 766.2 | 764.4874 | -0.22% | 766.09 | -0.01% | 0.0019 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 769.91 | 768.2523 | -0.22% | 766.2 | -0.48% | 0.0014 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 770.34 | 768.4254 | -0.25% | 769.91 | -0.06% | 0.0019 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 771.89 | 769.5749 | -0.30% | 770.34 | -0.20% | 0.0006 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 766.21 | 763.8629 | -0.31% | 771.89 | +0.74% | 0.0108 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 767.7 | 765.3358 | -0.31% | 766.21 | -0.19% | 0.0011 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 773.525 | 770.5869 | -0.38% | 767.7 | -0.75% | 0.0015 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 773.705 | 769.9268 | -0.49% | 773.525 | -0.02% | 0.0052 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 763.305 | 760.5637 | -0.36% | 773.705 | +1.36% | 0.0110 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 762.725 | 756.9172 | -0.76% | 763.305 | +0.08% | 0.0085 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 763.025 | 757.8455 | -0.68% | 762.725 | -0.04% | 0.0060 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 762.5 | 763.3567 | +0.11% | 763.025 | +0.07% | 0.0064 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 757.98 | 759.0808 | +0.15% | 762.5 | +0.60% | 0.0042 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 758.605 | 759.9433 | +0.18% | 757.98 | -0.08% | 0.0034 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 761.035 | 762.5491 | +0.20% | 758.605 | -0.32% | 0.0016 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 760.005 | 761.9223 | +0.25% | 761.035 | +0.14% | 0.0030 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 765.035 | 767.2506 | +0.29% | 760.005 | -0.66% | 0.0089 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 764.985 | 767.626 | +0.35% | 765.035 | +0.01% | 0.0035 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 757.865 | 760.4935 | +0.35% | 764.985 | +0.94% | 0.0050 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 763.135 | 765.91 | +0.36% | 757.865 | -0.69% | 0.0084 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 765.76 | 768.3966 | +0.34% | 763.135 | -0.34% | 0.0067 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 769.03 | 772.0262 | +0.39% | 765.76 | -0.43% | 0.0074 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 769.955 | 773.1157 | +0.41% | 769.03 | -0.12% | 0.0038 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 771.335 | 774.6085 | +0.42% | 769.955 | -0.18% | 0.0066 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 769.845 | 773.1132 | +0.42% | 771.335 | +0.19% | 0.0025 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 772.18 | 775.5537 | +0.44% | 769.845 | -0.30% | 0.0055 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 765.52 | 768.0412 | +0.33% | 772.18 | +0.87% | 0.0011 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 762.065 | 764.3429 | +0.30% | 765.52 | +0.45% | 0.0016 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 767.635 | 769.8102 | +0.28% | 762.065 | -0.73% | 0.0089 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 766.5 | 768.2094 | +0.22% | 767.635 | +0.15% | 0.0017 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 770.89 | 772.7502 | +0.24% | 766.5 | -0.57% | 0.0075 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 769.17 | 770.8467 | +0.22% | 770.89 | +0.22% | 0.0003 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 769.72 | 771.3361 | +0.21% | 769.17 | -0.07% | 0.0003 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 770.475 | 771.1792 | +0.09% | 769.72 | -0.10% | 0.0032 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 765.15 | 765.0192 | -0.02% | 770.475 | +0.70% | 0.0066 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 763.8 | 762.5464 | -0.16% | 765.15 | +0.18% | 0.0039 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 766.01 | 762.9258 | -0.40% | 763.8 | -0.29% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 765.34 | 761.1209 | -0.55% | 766.01 | +0.09% | 0.0057 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 766.75 | 762.3065 | -0.58% | 765.34 | -0.18% | 0.0054 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 763.06 | 758.1396 | -0.64% | 766.75 | +0.48% | 0.0049 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 770.3 | 764.7166 | -0.72% | 763.06 | -0.94% | 0.0099 | ✓ | 0.15 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 767.375 | 760.8002 | -0.86% | 770.3 | +0.38% | 0.0018 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 773.335 | 766.4808 | -0.89% | 767.375 | -0.77% | 0.0005 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 777.65 | 770.5832 | -0.91% | 773.335 | -0.55% | 0.0029 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 777.08 | 769.6219 | -0.96% | 777.65 | +0.07% | 0.0111 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 776.58 | 768.4588 | -1.05% | 777.08 | +0.06% | 0.0110 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 778.54 | 768.2194 | -1.33% | 776.58 | -0.25% | 0.0126 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 772.95 | 763.4253 | -1.23% | 778.54 | +0.72% | 0.0196 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 771.53 | 761.693 | -1.28% | 772.95 | +0.18% | 0.0151 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 773.14 | 762.2679 | -1.41% | 771.53 | -0.21% | 0.0136 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 770.34 | 760.5491 | -1.27% | 773.14 | +0.36% | 0.0202 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 773.83 | 763.165 | -1.38% | 770.34 | -0.45% | 0.0096 | ✓ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 773.54 | 762.8756 | -1.38% | 773.83 | +0.04% | 0.0142 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 769.85 | 759.5355 | -1.34% | 773.54 | +0.48% | 0.0158 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 771.95 | 763.2507 | -1.13% | 769.85 | -0.27% | 0.0138 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 773.64 | 763.4772 | -1.31% | 771.95 | -0.22% | 0.0024 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 759.05 | 749.6431 | -1.24% | 773.64 | +1.92% | 0.0223 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 750.47 | 745.923 | -0.61% | 759.05 | +1.14% | 0.0180 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 745.165 | 739.3301 | -0.78% | 750.47 | +0.71% | 0.0033 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 745.49 | 739.9811 | -0.74% | 745.165 | -0.04% | 0.0080 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 744.68 | 739.8737 | -0.65% | 745.49 | +0.11% | 0.0373 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 733.825 | 729.0588 | -0.65% | 744.68 | +1.48% | 0.0084 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 743.59 | 739.3321 | -0.57% | 733.825 | -1.31% | 0.0082 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 739.94 | 736.8697 | -0.41% | 743.59 | +0.49% | 0.0067 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 745.955 | 742.983 | -0.40% | 739.94 | -0.81% | 0.0214 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 742.375 | 739.2778 | -0.42% | 745.955 | +0.48% | 0.0071 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 740.185 | 737.1344 | -0.41% | 742.375 | +0.30% | 0.0038 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 739.95 | 736.8024 | -0.43% | 740.185 | +0.03% | 0.0196 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 747.53 | 744.2902 | -0.43% | 739.95 | -1.01% | 0.0099 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 749.28 | 745.9795 | -0.44% | 747.53 | -0.23% | 0.0086 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 743.3 | 738.6211 | -0.63% | 749.28 | +0.80% | 0.0055 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 746.62 | 743.6817 | -0.39% | 743.3 | -0.44% | 0.0087 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 744.91 | 742.0815 | -0.38% | 746.62 | +0.23% | 0.0079 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 744.45 | 741.4997 | -0.40% | 744.91 | +0.06% | 0.0094 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 750.69 | 747.4868 | -0.43% | 744.45 | -0.83% | 0.0060 | ✓ | 1.00 |