SODA
SODAX · Ethereum · gru_s9
- token id
- #607
- symbol
- SODA
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x4a1c82744cddee675a255fb289cb0917a482e7c7
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-14
- predictions
- 183
Track record at +1d
assessed
60
of 61 predictions shown
direction hit
55.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0734
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0048
actual -0.0098
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.0093 | 0.009254 | -0.49% | – | pending | – | – | 0.46 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.0093 | 0.009259 | -0.44% | 0.0093 | +0.00% | 0.0034 | ✓ | 0.46 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.00922 | 0.009171 | -0.53% | 0.0093 | +0.87% | 0.0081 | ✗ | 0.45 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.009435 | 0.009352 | -0.88% | 0.00922 | -2.28% | 0.0203 | ✓ | 0.46 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.00924 | 0.009185 | -0.60% | 0.009435 | +2.11% | 0.0279 | ✗ | 0.46 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.009955 | 0.009844 | -1.12% | 0.00924 | -7.18% | 0.0669 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.00921 | 0.009155 | -0.60% | 0.009955 | +8.09% | 0.0845 | ✗ | 0.49 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.00979 | 0.009718 | -0.73% | 0.00921 | -5.92% | 0.0501 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.009835 | 0.009762 | -0.74% | 0.00979 | -0.46% | 0.0004 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.009835 | 0.009766 | -0.70% | 0.009835 | +0.00% | 0.0161 | ✗ | 0.49 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.01042 | 0.010307 | -1.08% | 0.009835 | -5.61% | 0.0553 | ✓ | 0.51 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.009465 | 0.009404 | -0.65% | 0.01042 | +10.09% | 0.1172 | ✗ | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.009 | 0.008947 | -0.58% | 0.009465 | +5.17% | 0.0506 | ✗ | 0.61 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.009095 | 0.009043 | -0.57% | 0.009 | -1.04% | 0.0074 | ✓ | 0.61 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.009145 | 0.009086 | -0.65% | 0.009095 | -0.55% | 0.0054 | ✓ | 0.61 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.009585 | 0.009524 | -0.63% | 0.009145 | -4.59% | 0.0292 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00934 | 0.009311 | -0.31% | 0.009585 | +2.62% | 0.0468 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.00901 | 0.008988 | -0.25% | 0.00934 | +3.66% | 0.0401 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.009785 | 0.009763 | -0.22% | 0.00901 | -7.92% | 0.0746 | ✓ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.00857 | 0.008538 | -0.38% | 0.009785 | +14.18% | 0.1245 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00839 | 0.008355 | -0.42% | 0.00857 | +2.15% | 0.0238 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.0089 | 0.00888 | -0.22% | 0.00839 | -5.73% | 0.0545 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.0103 | 0.010283 | -0.16% | 0.0089 | -13.59% | 0.1538 | ✓ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.01182 | 0.011794 | -0.22% | 0.0103 | -12.86% | 0.1348 | ✓ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.013025 | 0.012967 | -0.45% | 0.01182 | -9.25% | 0.0938 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01418 | 0.014082 | -0.69% | 0.013025 | -8.15% | 0.0718 | ✓ | 0.52 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.013 | 0.012969 | -0.24% | 0.01418 | +9.08% | 0.0890 | ✗ | 0.54 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01406 | 0.013997 | -0.45% | 0.013 | -7.54% | 0.0760 | ✓ | 0.53 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01284 | 0.012805 | -0.27% | 0.01406 | +9.50% | 0.0955 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.0138 | 0.013712 | -0.64% | 0.01284 | -6.96% | 0.0657 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.014495 | 0.014293 | -1.40% | 0.0138 | -4.79% | 0.0238 | ✓ | 0.53 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.012945 | 0.01281 | -1.04% | 0.014495 | +11.97% | 0.1263 | ✗ | 0.59 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.010485 | 0.010458 | -0.26% | 0.012945 | +23.46% | 0.2063 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.010525 | 0.010496 | -0.28% | 0.010485 | -0.38% | 0.0009 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.009745 | 0.009726 | -0.19% | 0.010525 | +8.00% | 0.0784 | ✗ | 0.12 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.009605 | 0.009574 | -0.33% | 0.009745 | +1.46% | 0.0145 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00964 | 0.009609 | -0.32% | 0.009605 | -0.36% | 0.0006 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.011075 | 0.011014 | -0.55% | 0.00964 | -12.96% | 0.1337 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.011995 | 0.011906 | -0.74% | 0.011075 | -7.67% | 0.0748 | ✓ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.01129 | 0.011245 | -0.40% | 0.011995 | +6.24% | 0.0667 | ✗ | -0.12 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.012015 | 0.011959 | -0.46% | 0.01129 | -6.03% | 0.0516 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.012345 | 0.012287 | -0.47% | 0.012015 | -2.67% | 0.0231 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.011905 | 0.011854 | -0.43% | 0.012345 | +3.70% | 0.0319 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.012875 | 0.012811 | -0.49% | 0.011905 | -7.53% | 0.0508 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.015315 | 0.015125 | -1.24% | 0.012875 | -15.93% | 0.1590 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.012585 | 0.012517 | -0.54% | 0.015315 | +21.69% | 0.2099 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.012795 | 0.012711 | -0.65% | 0.012585 | -1.64% | 0.0057 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.01463 | 0.014364 | -1.82% | 0.012795 | -12.54% | 0.1220 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.01162 | 0.011572 | -0.41% | 0.01463 | +25.90% | 0.2325 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.00913 | 0.0091 | -0.33% | 0.01162 | +27.27% | 0.2642 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00859 | 0.008537 | -0.61% | 0.00913 | +6.29% | 0.0172 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.01134 | 0.011314 | -0.23% | 0.00859 | -24.25% | 0.2743 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.01109 | 0.011073 | -0.15% | 0.01134 | +2.25% | 0.0387 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01266 | 0.012645 | -0.12% | 0.01109 | -12.40% | 0.1427 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.014003 | -0.05% | 0.01266 | -9.64% | 0.0935 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.0142 | 0.014195 | -0.04% | 0.01401 | -1.34% | 0.0182 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.01418 | 0.014197 | +0.12% | 0.0142 | +0.14% | 0.0310 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.014915 | 0.014927 | +0.08% | 0.01418 | -4.93% | 0.0670 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.01639 | 0.016396 | +0.04% | 0.014915 | -9.00% | 0.1010 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.01672 | 0.016732 | +0.07% | 0.01639 | -1.97% | 0.0149 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.017095 | 0.017103 | +0.05% | 0.01672 | -2.19% | 0.0386 | ✗ | 1.00 |