SIGN

Sign · Ethereum · gru_s9

token id: #520
symbol: SIGN
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x868fced65edbf0056c4163515dd840e9f287a4c3
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-21
predictions: 525

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

168

of 175 predictions shown

direction hit

70.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0604

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0058

actual -0.0125

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.010474	0.010421	-0.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-20	oos	0.010772	0.010732	-0.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-19	oos	0.011014	0.010964	-0.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-18	oos	0.011069	0.011022	-0.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-17	oos	0.011685	0.011615	-0.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-16	oos	0.011774	0.01169	-0.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-15	oos	0.012009	0.011894	-0.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-14	oos	0.011812	0.011705	-0.90%	0.010474	-11.33%	0.1244	✓	0.96
2026-10-13	oos	0.0128	0.012622	-1.39%	0.010772	-15.84%	0.1567	✓	0.93
2026-10-12	oos	0.012991	0.012788	-1.57%	0.011014	-15.22%	0.1504	✓	0.95
2026-10-11	oos	0.012905	0.01271	-1.51%	0.011069	-14.23%	0.1194	✓	0.94
2026-10-10	oos	0.012919	0.012707	-1.64%	0.011685	-9.55%	0.0666	✓	0.93
2026-10-09	oos	0.012907	0.012673	-1.81%	0.011774	-8.78%	0.0617	✓	0.93
2026-10-08	oos	0.012345	0.012149	-1.59%	0.012009	-2.73%	0.0165	✓	0.92
2026-10-07	oos	0.01225	0.01204	-1.71%	0.011812	-3.58%	0.0002	✓	0.93
2026-10-06	oos	0.012594	0.012383	-1.68%	0.0128	+1.63%	0.0599	✗	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.012734	0.012504	-1.81%	0.012991	+2.01%	0.0825	✗	0.92
2026-10-04	oos	0.012807	0.012562	-1.91%	0.012905	+0.77%	0.0575	✗	0.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.012649	0.012393	-2.02%	0.012919	+2.14%	0.0617	✗	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.012734	0.012451	-2.22%	0.012907	+1.36%	0.0576	✗	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.01223	0.011946	-2.32%	0.012345	+0.94%	0.0680	✗	0.93
2026-09-30	oos	0.012499	0.012182	-2.54%	0.01225	-1.99%	0.0087	✓	0.94
2026-09-29	oos	0.012441	0.012108	-2.68%	0.012594	+1.23%	0.0183	✓	0.94
2026-09-28	oos	0.012654	0.012283	-2.93%	0.012734	+0.64%	0.0105	✓	0.94
2026-09-27	oos	0.013821	0.013336	-3.51%	0.012807	-7.34%	0.0628	✓	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.013853	0.013334	-3.74%	0.012649	-8.69%	0.0564	✓	0.94
2026-09-25	oos	0.013473	0.012975	-3.70%	0.012734	-5.49%	0.0233	✓	0.94
2026-09-24	oos	0.012913	0.012474	-3.40%	0.01223	-5.29%	0.0249	✓	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.012528	0.012111	-3.33%	0.012499	-0.24%	0.0409	✗	0.96
2026-09-22	oos	0.012568	0.012147	-3.36%	0.012441	-1.01%	0.0529	✗	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.012193	0.011797	-3.25%	0.012654	+3.78%	0.1063	✗	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.011562	0.01126	-2.61%	0.013821	+19.54%	0.1641	✗	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.011772	0.011444	-2.79%	0.013853	+17.67%	0.1516	✗	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.011794	0.011467	-2.78%	0.013473	+14.23%	0.1206	✗	1.04
2026-09-17	oos	0.010752	0.010606	-1.36%	0.012913	+20.10%	0.0979	✗	0.99
2026-09-16	oos	0.010675	0.010545	-1.22%	0.012528	+17.36%	0.0710	✗	0.99
2026-09-15	oos	0.010572	0.010446	-1.19%	0.012568	+18.88%	0.0556	✗	0.98
2026-09-14	oos	0.010665	0.010559	-0.99%	0.012193	+14.33%	0.0462	✗	0.96
2026-09-13	oos	0.009751	0.009742	-0.09%	0.011562	+18.56%	0.1205	✗	0.92
2026-09-12	oos	0.010795	0.01071	-0.79%	0.011772	+9.06%	0.0500	✗	0.89
2026-09-11	oos	0.010615	0.010626	+0.10%	0.011794	+11.11%	0.0623	✓	0.91
2026-09-10	oos	0.01031	0.01038	+0.68%	0.010752	+4.29%	0.0374	✓	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.010932	0.010993	+0.55%	0.010675	-2.35%	0.0052	✓	0.87
2026-09-08	oos	0.011235	0.011279	+0.39%	0.010572	-5.90%	0.0325	✗	0.87
2026-09-07	oos	0.010951	0.01107	+1.09%	0.010665	-2.61%	0.0270	✗	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.010757	0.010964	+1.92%	0.009751	-9.35%	0.0752	✗	0.93
2026-09-05	oos	0.010377	0.010617	+2.31%	0.010795	+4.02%	0.0466	✓	0.92
2026-09-04	oos	0.009716	0.010086	+3.80%	0.010615	+9.26%	0.0793	✓	0.89
2026-09-03	oos	0.009525	0.009965	+4.62%	0.01031	+8.24%	0.0895	✓	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.008784	0.009018	+2.66%	0.010932	+24.46%	0.1808	✓	0.93
2026-09-01	oos	0.008936	0.009131	+2.18%	0.011235	+25.73%	0.1946	✓	0.95
2026-08-31	oos	0.008794	0.009022	+2.59%	0.010951	+24.53%	0.1878	✓	0.89
2026-08-30	oos	0.008705	0.008882	+2.03%	0.010757	+23.57%	0.1614	✓	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.008386	0.008573	+2.23%	0.010377	+23.74%	0.1721	✓	0.93
2026-08-28	oos	0.008235	0.008377	+1.72%	0.009716	+17.98%	0.1266	✓	0.93
2026-08-27	oos	0.008145	0.008316	+2.10%	0.009525	+16.94%	0.1239	✓	0.96
2026-08-26	oos	0.008134	0.008233	+1.22%	0.008784	+8.00%	0.0861	✓	0.97
2026-08-25	oos	0.007845	0.007931	+1.09%	0.008936	+13.91%	0.1334	✓	0.97
2026-08-24	oos	0.0078	0.007871	+0.91%	0.008794	+12.74%	0.1161	✓	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.007819	0.007859	+0.51%	0.008705	+11.33%	0.1030	✓	0.99
2026-08-22	oos	0.007708	0.007707	-0.02%	0.008386	+8.80%	0.0695	✗	0.98
2026-08-21	oos	0.007736	0.007748	+0.16%	0.008235	+6.45%	0.0671	✓	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.007216	0.007201	-0.22%	0.008145	+12.87%	0.0299	✗	0.98
2026-08-19	oos	0.007008	0.006902	-1.51%	0.008134	+16.06%	0.0291	✗	1.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00654	0.006435	-1.60%	0.007845	+19.96%	0.0002	✓	1.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.006674	0.006563	-1.67%	0.0078	+16.86%	0.0362	✓	1.03
2026-08-16	oos	0.006659	0.006552	-1.62%	0.007819	+17.41%	0.0461	✓	1.05
2026-08-15	oos	0.006515	0.006412	-1.59%	0.007708	+18.30%	0.0274	✓	1.05
2026-08-14	oos	0.006387	0.006293	-1.47%	0.007736	+21.11%	0.0232	✓	1.05
2026-08-13	oos	0.006477	0.006392	-1.31%	0.007216	+11.41%	0.0292	✓	1.07
2026-08-12	oos	0.006531	0.006444	-1.33%	0.007008	+7.30%	0.0142	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006685	0.006587	-1.46%	0.00654	-2.18%	0.0271	✓	1.11
2026-08-10	oos	0.00678	0.006696	-1.23%	0.006674	-1.56%	0.0132	✓	1.12
2026-08-09	oos	0.00686	0.006764	-1.40%	0.006659	-2.92%	0.0196	✗	1.12
2026-08-08	oos	0.00682	0.006741	-1.16%	0.006515	-4.46%	0.0011	✓	1.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006835	0.006771	-0.94%	0.006387	-6.55%	0.0249	✓	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.006515	0.006491	-0.37%	0.006477	-0.58%	0.0124	✗	1.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.006635	0.006612	-0.35%	0.006531	-1.57%	0.0082	✗	1.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.00663	0.006633	+0.05%	0.006685	+0.83%	0.0167	✓	1.10
2026-08-03	oos	0.00678	0.006792	+0.18%	0.00678	+0.00%	0.0096	✗	1.11
2026-08-02	oos	0.00679	0.006801	+0.16%	0.00686	+1.03%	0.0146	✗	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.00675	0.006756	+0.09%	0.00682	+1.04%	0.0282	✗	1.12
2026-07-31	oos	0.00686	0.00685	-0.14%	0.006835	-0.36%	0.0384	✓	1.12
2026-07-30	oos	0.007055	0.007031	-0.34%	0.006515	-7.65%	0.0682	✓	1.13
2026-07-29	oos	0.00702	0.006981	-0.56%	0.006635	-5.48%	0.0630	✓	1.11
2026-07-28	oos	0.007615	0.007552	-0.82%	0.00663	-12.93%	0.1338	✓	1.11
2026-07-27	oos	0.00772	0.007641	-1.02%	0.00678	-12.18%	0.1156	✓	1.11
2026-07-26	oos	0.00839	0.008295	-1.13%	0.00679	-19.07%	0.1696	✓	1.07
2026-07-25	oos	0.0083	0.008198	-1.23%	0.00675	-18.67%	0.1678	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.00824	0.00814	-1.21%	0.00686	-16.75%	0.1494	✓	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.008445	0.00835	-1.12%	0.007055	-16.46%	0.1630	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.00858	0.008511	-0.81%	0.00702	-18.18%	0.1558	✓	1.09
2026-07-21	oos	0.00864	0.008591	-0.57%	0.007615	-11.86%	0.0759	✓	1.09
2026-07-20	oos	0.008565	0.00852	-0.52%	0.00772	-9.87%	0.0734	✓	1.07
2026-07-19	oos	0.008405	0.008363	-0.50%	0.00839	-0.18%	0.0076	✓	1.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.008395	0.008369	-0.31%	0.0083	-1.13%	0.0000	✓	1.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.00853	0.008513	-0.20%	0.00824	-3.40%	0.0358	✓	1.08
2026-07-16	oos	0.008395	0.008385	-0.12%	0.008445	+0.60%	0.0143	✓	1.08
2026-07-15	oos	0.00866	0.008651	-0.10%	0.00858	-0.92%	0.0307	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.00869	0.00868	-0.11%	0.00864	-0.58%	0.0296	✓	1.07
2026-07-13	oos	0.008555	0.008535	-0.24%	0.008565	+0.12%	0.0480	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.008585	0.008568	-0.20%	0.008405	-2.10%	0.0358	✓	1.14
2026-07-11	oos	0.008775	0.008746	-0.33%	0.008395	-4.33%	0.0591	✓	1.14
2026-07-10	oos	0.00876	0.008733	-0.31%	0.00853	-2.63%	0.0193	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.00867	0.008643	-0.31%	0.008395	-3.17%	0.0398	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008561	-0.39%	0.00866	+0.76%	0.0331	✓	1.14
2026-07-07	oos	0.00869	0.008638	-0.60%	0.00869	+0.00%	0.0238	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.00864	0.008626	-0.16%	0.008555	-0.98%	0.0236	✗	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.00864	0.00863	-0.11%	0.008585	-0.64%	0.0081	✓	1.16
2026-07-04	oos	0.0087	0.008689	-0.13%	0.008775	+0.86%	0.0027	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.00871	0.008697	-0.15%	0.00876	+0.57%	0.0223	✓	1.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.008665	0.008639	-0.30%	0.00867	+0.06%	0.0282	✓	1.17
2026-07-01	oos	0.00844	0.008425	-0.17%	0.008595	+1.84%	0.0235	✓	1.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.00814	0.008139	-0.02%	0.00869	+6.76%	0.0249	✓	1.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.00857	0.008551	-0.23%	0.00864	+0.82%	0.0598	✓	1.13
2026-06-28	oos	0.0083	0.008292	-0.09%	0.00864	+4.10%	0.0336	✓	1.12
2026-06-27	oos	0.008405	0.008406	+0.01%	0.0087	+3.51%	0.0229	✗	1.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.00864	0.008631	-0.10%	0.00871	+0.81%	0.0369	✓	1.12
2026-06-25	oos	0.00832	0.008322	+0.02%	0.008665	+4.15%	0.0079	✓	1.10
2026-06-24	oos	0.008405	0.008413	+0.10%	0.00844	+0.42%	0.0221	✓	1.12
2026-06-23	oos	0.008755	0.008755	-0.01%	0.00814	-7.02%	0.0033	✗	1.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.0093	0.009254	-0.49%	0.00857	-7.85%	0.0100	✓	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.009075	0.009066	-0.10%	0.0083	-8.54%	0.0220	✓	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.0095	0.009472	-0.29%	0.008405	-11.53%	0.0457	✓	1.07
2026-06-19	oos	0.00932	0.009303	-0.18%	0.00864	-7.30%	0.0144	✓	1.06
2026-06-18	oos	0.00928	0.009268	-0.13%	0.00832	-10.34%	0.0532	✓	1.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.00949	0.009475	-0.16%	0.008405	-11.43%	0.0608	✓	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.008815	0.008857	+0.47%	0.008755	-0.68%	0.0416	✓	1.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.008885	0.008928	+0.48%	0.0093	+4.67%	0.0820	✓	1.15
2026-06-14	oos	0.009	0.00904	+0.44%	0.009075	+0.83%	0.0483	✓	1.16
2026-06-13	oos	0.008615	0.008667	+0.60%	0.0095	+10.27%	0.0954	✓	1.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.00858	0.008637	+0.67%	0.00932	+8.62%	0.0772	✓	1.12
2026-06-11	oos	0.00857	0.008626	+0.66%	0.00928	+8.28%	0.0852	✓	1.12
2026-06-10	oos	0.0083	0.008368	+0.82%	0.00949	+14.34%	0.0728	✓	1.11
2026-06-09	oos	0.008605	0.00867	+0.76%	0.008815	+2.44%	0.0522	✗	1.11
2026-06-08	oos	0.00913	0.009176	+0.50%	0.008885	-2.68%	0.0862	✗	1.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.00876	0.008812	+0.60%	0.009	+2.74%	0.0194	✗	1.09
2026-06-06	oos	0.00866	0.008736	+0.88%	0.008615	-0.52%	0.0794	✗	1.15
2026-06-05	oos	0.00885	0.008926	+0.86%	0.00858	-3.05%	0.0857	✗	1.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.00966	0.009695	+0.37%	0.00857	-11.28%	0.1193	✗	1.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.01054	0.010547	+0.07%	0.0083	-21.25%	0.1954	✗	1.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.01031	0.010312	+0.02%	0.008605	-16.54%	0.0811	✗	1.29
2026-06-01	oos	0.01101	0.010957	-0.48%	0.00913	-17.08%	0.0066	✗	1.54
2026-05-31	oos	0.0119	0.011735	-1.38%	0.00876	-26.39%	0.0742	✓	1.45
2026-05-30	oos	0.011635	0.011575	-0.51%	0.00866	-25.57%	0.0091	✓	1.46
2026-05-29	oos	0.011735	0.011674	-0.52%	0.00885	-24.58%	0.0071	✓	1.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.01153	0.011479	-0.44%	0.00966	-16.22%	0.0356	✗	1.47
2026-05-27	oos	0.01209	0.012014	-0.63%	0.01054	-12.82%	0.0834	✗	1.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.01232	0.012225	-0.77%	0.01031	-16.31%	0.0230	✗	1.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.01291	0.012767	-1.11%	0.01101	-14.72%	0.0301	✓	1.48
2026-05-24	oos	0.01273	0.012608	-0.96%	0.0119	-6.52%	0.0084	✓	1.47
2026-05-23	oos	0.013085	0.012948	-1.04%	0.011635	-11.08%	0.0503	✓	1.48
2026-05-22	oos	0.01276	0.012657	-0.81%	0.011735	-8.03%	0.0352	✓	1.45
2026-05-21	oos	0.01351	0.013331	-1.32%	0.01153	-14.66%	0.0697	✓	1.41
2026-05-20	oos	0.012955	0.012828	-0.98%	0.01209	-6.68%	0.0176	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.01279	0.012687	-0.81%	0.01232	-3.67%	0.0170	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.012985	0.012892	-0.72%	0.01291	-0.58%	0.0025	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.013405	0.01329	-0.86%	0.01273	-5.04%	0.0374	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0138	0.013665	-0.98%	0.013085	-5.18%	0.0246	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.01476	0.014582	-1.20%	0.01276	-13.55%	0.0867	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.01595	0.015732	-1.37%	0.01351	-15.30%	0.1077	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.01559	0.015366	-1.44%	0.012955	-16.90%	0.1475	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.01654	0.016267	-1.65%	0.01279	-22.67%	0.1932	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.016455	0.016243	-1.29%	0.012985	-21.09%	0.1636	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.016415	0.016248	-1.02%	0.013405	-18.34%	0.1323	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.01612	0.015924	-1.22%	0.0138	-14.39%	0.1110	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.01606	0.015861	-1.24%	0.01476	-8.09%	0.0577	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.01576	0.015589	-1.09%	0.01595	+1.21%	0.0096	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.01607	0.015943	-0.79%	0.01559	-2.99%	0.0044	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.01597	0.015839	-0.82%	0.01654	+3.57%	0.0485	✗	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.01593	0.015769	-1.01%	0.016455	+3.30%	0.0194	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.01549	0.015308	-1.18%	0.016415	+5.97%	0.0245	✗	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.01572	0.015532	-1.20%	0.01612	+2.54%	0.0124	✗	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.01564	0.015439	-1.29%	0.01606	+2.69%	0.0148	✗	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.01568	0.015446	-1.49%	0.01576	+0.51%	0.0272	✓	1.00