SAGA

Saga · Saga · gru_s9

token id: #196
symbol: SAGA
variant: –
chain: Saga
address: usaga
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-07-16
predictions: 2,460

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

64.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1225

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0113

actual -0.0309

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.0202	0.019547	-3.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-21	oos	0.02004	0.019403	-3.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-10-20	oos	0.019545	0.018943	-3.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-19	oos	0.018775	0.01827	-2.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-18	oos	0.01851	0.018061	-2.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.49
2026-10-17	oos	0.01908	0.018654	-2.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.02015	0.019681	-2.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-15	oos	0.01999	0.019584	-2.03%	0.0202	+1.05%	0.0183	✓	0.50
2026-10-14	oos	0.02013	0.019752	-1.88%	0.02004	-0.45%	0.0005	✓	0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.020745	0.020371	-1.80%	0.019545	-5.78%	0.0404	✓	0.50
2026-10-12	oos	0.020445	0.020121	-1.58%	0.018775	-8.17%	0.0698	✓	0.50
2026-10-11	oos	0.022525	0.02216	-1.62%	0.01851	-17.82%	0.1713	✓	0.43
2026-10-10	oos	0.02213	0.021792	-1.53%	0.01908	-13.78%	0.1245	✓	0.45
2026-10-09	oos	0.0218	0.02151	-1.33%	0.02015	-7.57%	0.0596	✓	0.45
2026-10-08	oos	0.022475	0.022169	-1.36%	0.01999	-11.06%	0.1059	✓	0.47
2026-10-07	oos	0.02334	0.023027	-1.34%	0.02013	-13.75%	0.1252	✓	0.45
2026-10-06	oos	0.02469	0.024374	-1.28%	0.020745	-15.98%	0.1496	✓	0.40
2026-10-05	oos	0.02444	0.024152	-1.18%	0.020445	-16.35%	0.1474	✓	0.40
2026-10-04	oos	0.022865	0.022704	-0.70%	0.022525	-1.49%	0.0071	✗	0.45
2026-10-03	oos	0.023355	0.02317	-0.79%	0.02213	-5.25%	0.0358	✓	0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.02255	0.022347	-0.90%	0.0218	-3.33%	0.0139	✓	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.0251	0.024792	-1.23%	0.022475	-10.46%	0.0813	✓	0.44
2026-09-30	oos	0.025095	0.024923	-0.69%	0.02334	-6.99%	0.0641	✓	0.43
2026-09-29	oos	0.025775	0.025578	-0.76%	0.02469	-4.21%	0.0459	✓	0.47
2026-09-28	oos	0.027605	0.027337	-0.97%	0.02444	-11.47%	0.1248	✓	0.47
2026-09-27	oos	0.02681	0.026362	-1.67%	0.022865	-14.71%	0.1544	✓	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.03197	0.031134	-2.61%	0.023355	-26.95%	0.2894	✓	0.48
2026-09-25	oos	0.035605	0.034612	-2.79%	0.02255	-36.67%	0.4308	✓	0.48
2026-09-24	oos	0.07402	0.068639	-7.27%	0.0251	-66.09%	1.0079	✓	0.34
2026-09-23	oos	0.04774	0.045157	-5.41%	0.025095	-47.43%	0.5837	✓	0.38
2026-09-22	oos	0.040475	0.038775	-4.20%	0.025775	-36.32%	0.3928	✓	0.52
2026-09-21	oos	0.039395	0.037566	-4.64%	0.027605	-29.93%	0.2872	✓	0.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.037745	0.03531	-6.45%	0.02681	-28.97%	0.2984	✓	0.58
2026-09-19	oos	0.025085	0.024262	-3.28%	0.03197	+27.45%	0.2528	✗	0.60
2026-09-18	oos	0.0249	0.023955	-3.79%	0.035605	+42.99%	0.3753	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.02211	0.021397	-3.23%	0.07402	+234.78%	1.2001	✗	0.41
2026-09-16	oos	0.01972	0.019265	-2.31%	0.04774	+142.09%	0.8665	✗	0.40
2026-09-15	oos	0.02417	0.02293	-5.13%	0.040475	+67.46%	0.5091	✗	0.45
2026-09-14	oos	0.01882	0.018441	-2.02%	0.039395	+109.33%	0.6824	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.01715	0.016763	-2.26%	0.037745	+120.09%	0.7742	✗	0.68
2026-09-12	oos	0.01723	0.016837	-2.28%	0.025085	+45.59%	0.3648	✗	0.68
2026-09-11	oos	0.01639	0.016007	-2.34%	0.0249	+51.92%	0.4114	✗	0.66
2026-09-10	oos	0.017345	0.016722	-3.59%	0.02211	+27.47%	0.2810	✗	0.68
2026-09-09	oos	0.014	0.013857	-1.02%	0.01972	+40.86%	0.3765	✗	0.86
2026-09-08	oos	0.0147	0.014605	-0.64%	0.02417	+64.42%	0.5374	✗	0.91
2026-09-07	oos	0.015485	0.015385	-0.65%	0.01882	+21.54%	0.2120	✗	0.90
2026-09-06	oos	0.0155	0.01547	-0.19%	0.01715	+10.65%	0.1450	✗	0.93
2026-09-05	oos	0.01546	0.015432	-0.18%	0.01723	+11.45%	0.1407	✗	0.93
2026-09-04	oos	0.014815	0.014819	+0.03%	0.01639	+10.63%	0.1289	✓	0.89
2026-09-03	oos	0.01502	0.015079	+0.39%	0.017345	+15.48%	0.1941	✓	0.90
2026-09-02	oos	0.014595	0.014583	-0.08%	0.014	-4.08%	0.0536	✓	1.02
2026-09-01	oos	0.0147	0.014712	+0.08%	0.0147	+0.00%	0.0149	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.01503	0.015078	+0.32%	0.015485	+3.03%	0.0204	✓	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.014655	0.014708	+0.36%	0.0155	+5.77%	0.0204	✓	0.94
2026-08-29	oos	0.01525	0.015308	+0.38%	0.01546	+1.38%	0.0086	✗	0.92
2026-08-28	oos	0.01509	0.015162	+0.48%	0.014815	-1.82%	0.0445	✗	0.91
2026-08-27	oos	0.015295	0.01543	+0.88%	0.01502	-1.80%	0.0383	✗	0.93
2026-08-26	oos	0.0153	0.015413	+0.74%	0.014595	-4.61%	0.0340	✗	0.93
2026-08-25	oos	0.01452	0.01465	+0.89%	0.0147	+1.24%	0.0169	✓	0.93
2026-08-24	oos	0.01496	0.015083	+0.82%	0.01503	+0.47%	0.0016	✓	0.95
2026-08-23	oos	0.0152	0.015265	+0.43%	0.014655	-3.59%	0.0399	✗	1.02
2026-08-22	oos	0.01408	0.014197	+0.83%	0.01525	+8.31%	0.0560	✓	1.02
2026-08-21	oos	0.015745	0.015807	+0.39%	0.01509	-4.16%	0.0403	✗	0.98
2026-08-20	oos	0.01418	0.014165	-0.11%	0.015295	+7.86%	0.0094	✓	0.91
2026-08-19	oos	0.01363	0.013488	-1.04%	0.0153	+12.25%	0.0029	✓	0.94
2026-08-18	oos	0.013255	0.013022	-1.76%	0.01452	+9.54%	0.0892	✓	1.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.013465	0.013219	-1.83%	0.01496	+11.10%	0.0841	✓	1.02
2026-08-16	oos	0.012975	0.012755	-1.69%	0.0152	+17.15%	0.0396	✓	1.01
2026-08-15	oos	0.013015	0.012803	-1.63%	0.01408	+8.18%	0.1068	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.01321	0.012996	-1.62%	0.015745	+19.19%	0.0309	✓	1.02
2026-08-13	oos	0.01271	0.012517	-1.52%	0.01418	+11.57%	0.0228	✓	1.05
2026-08-12	oos	0.01427	0.013943	-2.29%	0.01363	-4.48%	0.1205	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.013665	0.01341	-1.87%	0.013255	-3.00%	0.0296	✓	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.01491	0.01448	-2.88%	0.013465	-9.69%	0.0830	✓	1.17
2026-08-09	oos	0.01487	0.014391	-3.22%	0.012975	-12.74%	0.0742	✓	0.93
2026-08-08	oos	0.01653	0.015937	-3.59%	0.013015	-21.26%	0.1757	✓	0.91
2026-08-07	oos	0.013725	0.013432	-2.13%	0.01321	-3.75%	0.0100	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.013965	0.013667	-2.14%	0.01271	-8.99%	0.0606	✓	0.91
2026-08-05	oos	0.013395	0.013153	-1.81%	0.01427	+6.53%	0.0986	✗	0.92
2026-08-04	oos	0.01308	0.012844	-1.81%	0.013665	+4.47%	0.0694	✗	0.91
2026-08-03	oos	0.013395	0.01311	-2.12%	0.01491	+11.31%	0.1221	✗	0.93
2026-08-02	oos	0.012855	0.012572	-2.20%	0.01487	+15.67%	0.1482	✗	0.94
2026-08-01	oos	0.01228	0.012061	-1.79%	0.01653	+34.61%	0.2849	✗	0.90
2026-07-31	oos	0.012285	0.012035	-2.04%	0.013725	+11.72%	0.1022	✗	0.90
2026-07-30	oos	0.012	0.011747	-2.11%	0.013965	+16.38%	0.1797	✗	0.96
2026-07-29	oos	0.012175	0.011906	-2.21%	0.013395	+10.02%	0.1073	✗	0.96
2026-07-28	oos	0.01255	0.012241	-2.46%	0.01308	+4.22%	0.0632	✗	0.95
2026-07-27	oos	0.01231	0.011977	-2.71%	0.013395	+8.81%	0.1153	✗	0.95
2026-07-26	oos	0.01324	0.012893	-2.62%	0.012855	-2.91%	0.0230	✓	0.91
2026-07-25	oos	0.01341	0.013051	-2.68%	0.01228	-8.43%	0.0386	✓	0.92
2026-07-24	oos	0.014255	0.013871	-2.70%	0.012285	-13.82%	0.1028	✓	0.94
2026-07-23	oos	0.012765	0.012493	-2.13%	0.012	-5.99%	0.0352	✓	0.99
2026-07-22	oos	0.01323	0.012972	-1.95%	0.012175	-7.97%	0.0305	✓	0.98
2026-07-21	oos	0.01354	0.013289	-1.85%	0.01255	-7.31%	0.0173	✓	0.97
2026-07-20	oos	0.01278	0.012548	-1.81%	0.01231	-3.68%	0.0017	✓	0.88
2026-07-19	oos	0.012045	0.011849	-1.63%	0.01324	+9.92%	0.1023	✗	0.86
2026-07-18	oos	0.012375	0.012195	-1.45%	0.01341	+8.36%	0.1015	✗	0.85
2026-07-17	oos	0.012295	0.012098	-1.60%	0.014255	+15.94%	0.1613	✗	0.94
2026-07-16	oos	0.01237	0.012178	-1.55%	0.012765	+3.19%	0.0262	✗	1.05
2026-07-15	oos	0.012765	0.01257	-1.53%	0.01323	+3.64%	0.0292	✗	1.05
2026-07-14	oos	0.01259	0.012376	-1.70%	0.01354	+7.55%	0.0655	✗	1.05
2026-07-13	oos	0.012285	0.012054	-1.88%	0.01278	+4.03%	0.0089	✓	1.07
2026-07-12	oos	0.012695	0.012448	-1.95%	0.012045	-5.12%	0.0486	✓	1.07
2026-07-11	oos	0.012735	0.012456	-2.19%	0.012375	-2.83%	0.0227	✓	1.02
2026-07-10	oos	0.01311	0.012794	-2.41%	0.012295	-6.22%	0.0361	✓	1.01
2026-07-09	oos	0.012865	0.012546	-2.48%	0.01237	-3.85%	0.0236	✓	1.01
2026-07-08	oos	0.012865	0.012537	-2.55%	0.012765	-0.78%	0.0212	✓	1.01
2026-07-07	oos	0.01287	0.012508	-2.81%	0.01259	-2.18%	0.0203	✓	1.03
2026-07-06	oos	0.01375	0.013361	-2.83%	0.012285	-10.65%	0.0554	✓	1.04
2026-07-05	oos	0.01395	0.013541	-2.93%	0.012695	-9.00%	0.0671	✓	1.03
2026-07-04	oos	0.014145	0.013707	-3.10%	0.012735	-9.97%	0.0848	✓	1.04
2026-07-03	oos	0.0137	0.013293	-2.97%	0.01311	-4.31%	0.0391	✓	0.99
2026-07-02	oos	0.01404	0.013604	-3.11%	0.012865	-8.37%	0.0835	✓	1.02
2026-07-01	oos	0.012965	0.01259	-2.90%	0.012865	-0.77%	0.0148	✓	0.98
2026-06-30	oos	0.012555	0.012188	-2.92%	0.01287	+2.51%	0.0228	✓	0.98
2026-06-29	oos	0.012925	0.012508	-3.23%	0.01375	+6.38%	0.0338	✗	0.98
2026-06-28	oos	0.012955	0.012523	-3.34%	0.01395	+7.68%	0.0443	✗	0.95
2026-06-27	oos	0.01281	0.01237	-3.44%	0.014145	+10.42%	0.0843	✗	0.97
2026-06-26	oos	0.01302	0.012546	-3.64%	0.0137	+5.22%	0.0478	✗	0.98
2026-06-25	oos	0.01316	0.012656	-3.83%	0.01404	+6.69%	0.0751	✗	0.98
2026-06-24	oos	0.0136	0.013033	-4.17%	0.012965	-4.67%	0.0108	✓	0.95
2026-06-23	oos	0.014455	0.0138	-4.53%	0.012555	-13.14%	0.0300	✓	0.95
2026-06-22	oos	0.01462	0.013924	-4.76%	0.012925	-11.59%	0.0157	✓	0.96
2026-06-21	oos	0.01546	0.014551	-5.88%	0.012955	-16.20%	0.0561	✓	0.98
2026-06-20	oos	0.01372	0.013108	-4.46%	0.01281	-6.63%	0.0486	✗	1.04
2026-06-19	oos	0.01305	0.012473	-4.42%	0.01302	-0.23%	0.1009	✗	1.03
2026-06-18	oos	0.01341	0.01282	-4.40%	0.01316	-1.86%	0.0795	✗	1.03
2026-06-17	oos	0.01376	0.013145	-4.47%	0.0136	-1.16%	0.0913	✗	1.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.014095	0.013495	-4.26%	0.014455	+2.55%	0.1175	✗	1.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.01301	0.0125	-3.92%	0.01462	+12.38%	0.1952	✗	1.08
2026-06-14	oos	0.01302	0.012531	-3.76%	0.01546	+18.74%	0.2514	✗	1.08
2026-06-13	oos	0.01338	0.012904	-3.56%	0.01372	+2.54%	0.0649	✗	1.10
2026-06-12	oos	0.01294	0.012571	-2.85%	0.01305	+0.85%	0.0385	✗	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.01311	0.012781	-2.51%	0.01341	+2.29%	0.0598	✗	1.08
2026-06-10	oos	0.012	0.011969	-0.26%	0.01376	+14.67%	0.0906	✗	1.02
2026-06-09	oos	0.012545	0.012518	-0.21%	0.014095	+12.36%	0.0556	✗	1.02
2026-06-08	oos	0.01321	0.013124	-0.65%	0.01301	-1.51%	0.0593	✓	1.02
2026-06-07	oos	0.01346	0.01341	-0.37%	0.01302	-3.27%	0.0683	✓	1.04
2026-06-06	oos	0.01349	0.013632	+1.06%	0.01338	-0.82%	0.0794	✗	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.0139	0.014045	+1.04%	0.01294	-6.91%	0.1234	✗	1.03
2026-06-04	oos	0.01561	0.015486	-0.79%	0.01311	-16.02%	0.1629	✓	0.97
2026-06-03	oos	0.01747	0.017203	-1.53%	0.012	-31.31%	0.3219	✓	0.93
2026-06-02	oos	0.01654	0.01637	-1.03%	0.012545	-24.15%	0.1871	✓	1.02
2026-06-01	oos	0.01794	0.017666	-1.53%	0.01321	-26.37%	0.1798	✓	0.90
2026-05-31	oos	0.01799	0.017735	-1.42%	0.01346	-25.18%	0.1392	✓	0.91
2026-05-30	oos	0.01787	0.017648	-1.24%	0.01349	-24.51%	0.0933	✓	0.91
2026-05-29	oos	0.01784	0.017643	-1.10%	0.0139	-22.09%	0.0687	✓	0.92
2026-05-28	oos	0.018475	0.018288	-1.01%	0.01561	-15.51%	0.0291	✓	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	0.01875	0.018578	-0.92%	0.01747	-6.83%	0.0714	✗	0.89
2026-05-26	oos	0.020105	0.019875	-1.14%	0.01654	-17.73%	0.0715	✓	0.87
2026-05-25	oos	0.023435	0.022741	-2.96%	0.01794	-23.45%	0.1688	✓	0.85
2026-05-24	oos	0.01931	0.019292	-0.09%	0.01799	-6.84%	0.0316	✓	0.85
2026-05-23	oos	0.01991	0.019856	-0.27%	0.01787	-10.25%	0.0726	✓	0.86
2026-05-22	oos	0.019475	0.019444	-0.16%	0.01784	-8.40%	0.0623	✓	0.85
2026-05-21	oos	0.0206	0.020551	-0.24%	0.018475	-10.32%	0.0619	✓	0.83
2026-05-20	oos	0.02052	0.020483	-0.18%	0.01875	-8.63%	0.0536	✓	0.84
2026-05-19	oos	0.020385	0.020365	-0.10%	0.020105	-1.37%	0.0026	✓	0.83
2026-05-18	oos	0.021895	0.021777	-0.54%	0.023435	+7.03%	0.0700	✗	0.84
2026-05-17	oos	0.02097	0.020954	-0.08%	0.01931	-7.92%	0.0770	✓	0.84
2026-05-16	oos	0.02273	0.022609	-0.53%	0.01991	-12.41%	0.1117	✓	0.82
2026-05-15	oos	0.024385	0.024129	-1.05%	0.019475	-20.14%	0.1779	✓	0.78
2026-05-14	oos	0.0265	0.02601	-1.85%	0.0206	-22.26%	0.2001	✓	0.74
2026-05-13	oos	0.02909	0.028212	-3.02%	0.02052	-29.46%	0.2999	✓	0.80
2026-05-12	oos	0.04488	0.041147	-8.32%	0.020385	-54.58%	0.6729	✓	0.62
2026-05-11	oos	0.02601	0.025317	-2.67%	0.021895	-15.82%	0.0975	✓	0.79
2026-05-10	oos	0.01997	0.020038	+0.34%	0.02097	+5.01%	0.0967	✓	0.85
2026-05-09	oos	0.0197	0.019647	-0.27%	0.02273	+15.38%	0.1731	✗	0.85
2026-05-08	oos	0.01911	0.019141	+0.16%	0.024385	+27.60%	0.2539	✓	0.83
2026-05-07	oos	0.01818	0.018282	+0.56%	0.0265	+45.76%	0.3602	✓	0.82
2026-05-06	oos	0.018485	0.018676	+1.03%	0.02909	+57.37%	0.4679	✓	0.93
2026-05-05	oos	0.01823	0.018435	+1.13%	0.04488	+146.19%	0.8949	✓	0.99
2026-05-04	oos	0.01757	0.017785	+1.22%	0.02601	+48.04%	0.3577	✓	0.97
2026-05-03	oos	0.01781	0.017989	+1.01%	0.01997	+12.13%	0.0610	✓	0.96
2026-05-02	oos	0.01776	0.017945	+1.04%	0.0197	+10.92%	0.0693	✓	0.97
2026-05-01	oos	0.01715	0.017298	+0.86%	0.01911	+11.43%	0.0756	✓	0.97
2026-04-30	oos	0.017015	0.017113	+0.58%	0.01818	+6.85%	0.0115	✓	1.03
2026-04-29	oos	0.01737	0.017457	+0.50%	0.018485	+6.42%	0.0178	✗	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.01748	0.01758	+0.57%	0.01823	+4.29%	0.0262	✗	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.017475	0.017615	+0.80%	0.01757	+0.54%	0.0366	✗	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.017725	0.017908	+1.03%	0.01781	+0.48%	0.0039	✓	1.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.0174	0.017493	+0.53%	0.01776	+2.07%	0.0008	✓	1.08
2026-04-24	oos	0.01781	0.017909	+0.55%	0.01715	-3.71%	0.0542	✗	1.10
2026-04-23	oos	0.01766	0.017751	+0.52%	0.017015	-3.65%	0.0142	✗	1.10
2026-04-22	oos	0.01731	0.017332	+0.13%	0.01737	+0.35%	0.0372	✓	1.10
2026-04-21	oos	0.018155	0.018146	-0.05%	0.01748	-3.72%	0.0369	✓	1.12
2026-04-20	oos	0.018535	0.018514	-0.11%	0.017475	-5.72%	0.0796	✓	1.12
2026-04-19	oos	0.01845	0.018282	-0.91%	0.017725	-3.93%	0.1034	✓	1.14
2026-04-18	oos	0.02128	0.021341	+0.29%	0.0174	-18.23%	0.2321	✗	1.12
2026-04-17	oos	0.027215	0.027133	-0.30%	0.01781	-34.56%	0.4260	✓	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.02657	0.026455	-0.43%	0.01766	-33.53%	0.4475	✓	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.026955	0.026754	-0.75%	0.01731	-35.78%	0.4825	✓	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.02686	0.026672	-0.70%	0.018155	-32.41%	0.4156	✓	1.07
2026-04-13	oos	0.02782	0.027582	-0.85%	0.018535	-33.38%	0.4175	✓	1.06
2026-04-12	oos	0.02737	0.02699	-1.39%	0.01845	-32.59%	0.4284	✓	1.13
2026-04-11	oos	0.02832	0.02793	-1.38%	0.02128	-24.86%	0.3122	✓	1.13
2026-04-10	oos	0.02819	0.027811	-1.34%	0.027215	-3.46%	0.0833	✓	1.13
2026-04-09	oos	0.02831	0.027912	-1.40%	0.02657	-6.15%	0.1012	✓	1.13
2026-04-08	oos	0.02702	0.026688	-1.23%	0.026955	-0.24%	0.0480	✓	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.02935	0.028963	-1.32%	0.02686	-8.48%	0.1102	✓	1.12
2026-04-06	oos	0.02841	0.027997	-1.45%	0.02782	-2.08%	0.0947	✓	1.13
2026-04-05	oos	0.02898	0.028443	-1.85%	0.02737	-5.56%	0.0668	✓	1.13
2026-04-04	oos	0.029835	0.029299	-1.80%	0.02832	-5.08%	0.1283	✓	1.14
2026-04-03	oos	0.028205	0.027799	-1.44%	0.02819	-0.05%	0.0847	✓	1.14
2026-04-02	oos	0.027015	0.026757	-0.96%	0.02831	+4.79%	0.0240	✓	1.14
2026-04-01	oos	0.028485	0.028178	-1.08%	0.02702	-5.14%	0.0905	✓	1.14
2026-03-31	oos	0.02728	0.027059	-0.81%	0.02935	+7.59%	0.0207	✗	1.15
2026-03-30	oos	0.02824	0.028001	-0.85%	0.02841	+0.60%	0.0218	✓	1.16
2026-03-29	oos	0.02713	0.026955	-0.64%	0.02898	+6.82%	0.0203	✗	1.15
2026-03-28	oos	0.02862	0.028415	-0.72%	0.029835	+4.25%	0.0320	✗	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.02884	0.028659	-0.63%	0.028205	-2.20%	0.0265	✓	1.15
2026-03-26	oos	0.02934	0.029305	-0.12%	0.027015	-7.92%	0.0491	✓	1.17
2026-03-25	oos	0.03119	0.031235	+0.14%	0.028485	-8.67%	0.0389	✗	1.16
2026-03-24	oos	0.0307	0.030741	+0.13%	0.02728	-11.14%	0.0807	✗	1.16
2026-03-23	oos	0.03012	0.030253	+0.44%	0.02824	-6.24%	0.0012	✓	1.16
2026-03-22	oos	0.02907	0.029111	+0.14%	0.02713	-6.67%	0.0376	✗	1.16
2026-03-21	oos	0.03052	0.030602	+0.27%	0.02862	-6.23%	0.0224	✗	1.16
2026-03-20	oos	0.03102	0.031192	+0.56%	0.02884	-7.03%	0.0081	✗	1.16
2026-03-19	oos	0.03068	0.030856	+0.57%	0.02934	-4.37%	0.0311	✗	1.16
2026-03-18	oos	0.03241	0.032604	+0.60%	0.03119	-3.76%	0.0452	✗	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.03409	0.034338	+0.73%	0.0307	-9.94%	0.0572	✗	1.16
2026-03-16	oos	0.0348	0.035039	+0.69%	0.03012	-13.45%	0.0865	✗	1.18
2026-03-15	oos	0.03385	0.034061	+0.62%	0.02907	-14.12%	0.0754	✗	1.17
2026-03-14	oos	0.03399	0.034139	+0.44%	0.03052	-10.21%	0.0728	✗	1.19
2026-03-13	oos	0.03436	0.034448	+0.26%	0.03102	-9.72%	0.0972	✗	1.20
2026-03-12	oos	0.03411	0.034131	+0.06%	0.03068	-10.06%	0.0961	✗	1.20
2026-03-11	oos	0.03478	0.034571	-0.60%	0.03241	-6.81%	0.0820	✓	1.19
2026-03-10	oos	0.03266	0.032799	+0.43%	0.03409	+4.38%	0.0270	✗	1.19
2026-03-09	oos	0.03109	0.031239	+0.48%	0.0348	+11.93%	0.0017	✓	1.18
2026-03-08	oos	0.03067	0.03073	+0.20%	0.03385	+10.37%	0.0219	✗	1.20
2026-03-07	oos	0.02969	0.029837	+0.50%	0.03399	+14.48%	0.0608	✓	1.21
2026-03-06	oos	0.03167	0.031776	+0.34%	0.03436	+8.49%	0.0293	✓	1.20
2026-03-05	oos	0.03208	0.032237	+0.49%	0.03411	+6.33%	0.0626	✓	1.22
2026-03-04	oos	0.03242	0.032563	+0.44%	0.03478	+7.28%	0.1083	✓	1.22
2026-03-03	oos	0.0326	0.032616	+0.05%	0.03266	+0.18%	0.0290	✗	1.29
2026-03-02	oos	0.02987	0.030065	+0.65%	0.03109	+4.08%	0.0410	✓	1.29
2026-03-01	oos	0.02882	0.028957	+0.48%	0.03067	+6.42%	0.0535	✓	1.29
2026-02-28	oos	0.03017	0.030282	+0.37%	0.02969	-1.59%	0.0254	✗	1.31
2026-02-27	oos	0.030455	0.030514	+0.19%	0.03167	+3.99%	0.0068	✗	1.31
2026-02-26	oos	0.03044	0.030533	+0.30%	0.03208	+5.39%	0.0155	✗	1.32
2026-02-25	oos	0.03135	0.031383	+0.10%	0.03242	+3.41%	0.0556	✗	1.32
2026-02-24	oos	0.02889	0.028936	+0.16%	0.0326	+12.84%	0.0351	✓	1.30
2026-02-23	oos	0.029195	0.029242	+0.16%	0.02987	+2.31%	0.0592	✗	1.28
2026-02-22	oos	0.03072	0.030777	+0.19%	0.02882	-6.18%	0.0301	✗	1.28
2026-02-21	oos	0.03137	0.031391	+0.07%	0.03017	-3.83%	0.0208	✗	1.29
2026-02-20	oos	0.032015	0.031985	-0.10%	0.030455	-4.87%	0.0084	✓	1.28
2026-02-19	oos	0.03174	0.03169	-0.16%	0.03044	-4.10%	0.0501	✓	1.28
2026-02-18	oos	0.03252	0.03241	-0.34%	0.03135	-3.60%	0.0641	✓	1.32
2026-02-17	oos	0.03461	0.034324	-0.83%	0.02889	-16.53%	0.1177	✓	1.06
2026-02-16	oos	0.03456	0.034207	-1.02%	0.029195	-15.52%	0.0915	✓	1.05
2026-02-15	oos	0.03583	0.035197	-1.77%	0.03072	-14.26%	0.1178	✓	1.06
2026-02-14	oos	0.03387	0.033617	-0.75%	0.03137	-7.38%	0.0406	✓	1.07
2026-02-13	oos	0.03316	0.032934	-0.68%	0.032015	-3.45%	0.0153	✓	1.07
2026-02-12	oos	0.03225	0.032152	-0.30%	0.03174	-1.58%	0.0253	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.03194	0.031953	+0.04%	0.03252	+1.82%	0.0272	✓	1.06
2026-02-10	oos	0.02987	0.030213	+1.15%	0.03461	+15.87%	0.1573	✓	1.09
2026-02-09	oos	0.03141	0.031681	+0.86%	0.03456	+10.03%	0.1064	✓	1.09
2026-02-08	oos	0.03117	0.031572	+1.29%	0.03583	+14.95%	0.1502	✓	1.11
2026-02-07	oos	0.03288	0.033318	+1.33%	0.03387	+3.01%	0.0076	✓	1.13
2026-02-06	oos	0.03335	0.033802	+1.35%	0.03316	-0.57%	0.0088	✓	1.13
2026-02-05	oos	0.02907	0.030583	+5.21%	0.03225	+10.94%	0.0057	✓	1.11
2026-02-04	oos	0.034805	0.035251	+1.28%	0.03194	-8.23%	0.0015	✓	1.17
2026-02-03	oos	0.034995	0.035324	+0.94%	0.02987	-14.64%	0.0543	✗	1.19
2026-02-02	oos	0.03587	0.03608	+0.58%	0.03141	-12.43%	0.0034	✓	1.23
2026-02-01	oos	0.03433	0.035046	+2.08%	0.03117	-9.20%	0.0089	✓	1.20
2026-01-31	oos	0.0361	0.036598	+1.38%	0.03288	-8.92%	0.0572	✓	1.29
2026-01-30	oos	0.04212	0.041706	-0.98%	0.03335	-20.82%	0.0130	✓	1.20
2026-01-29	oos	0.04236	0.042	-0.85%	0.02907	-31.37%	0.0095	✓	1.21
2026-01-28	oos	0.04791	0.047153	-1.58%	0.034805	-27.35%	0.0773	✓	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.04801	0.047285	-1.51%	0.034995	-27.11%	0.1112	✓	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.0478	0.047126	-1.41%	0.03587	-24.96%	0.1427	✓	1.13
2026-01-25	oos	0.04549	0.045093	-0.87%	0.03433	-24.53%	0.1399	✓	1.12
2026-01-24	oos	0.04984	0.049098	-1.49%	0.0361	-27.57%	0.1723	✓	1.09
2026-01-23	oos	0.04781	0.047042	-1.61%	0.04212	-11.90%	0.0430	✓	1.09
2026-01-22	oos	0.05072	0.049808	-1.80%	0.04236	-16.48%	0.0994	✓	1.10
2026-01-21	oos	0.05398	0.05291	-1.98%	0.04791	-11.24%	0.0968	✓	1.10
2026-01-20	oos	0.05441	0.053342	-1.96%	0.04801	-11.76%	0.1155	✓	1.12
2026-01-19	oos	0.05993	0.058515	-2.36%	0.0478	-20.24%	0.1511	✓	1.07
2026-01-18	oos	0.0669	0.064826	-3.10%	0.04549	-32.00%	0.2704	✓	1.07
2026-01-17	oos	0.06146	0.059932	-2.49%	0.04984	-18.91%	0.1124	✓	1.10
2026-01-16	oos	0.06281	0.061236	-2.51%	0.04781	-23.88%	0.1758	✓	1.10
2026-01-15	oos	0.05834	0.056962	-2.36%	0.05072	-13.06%	0.0431	✓	1.10
2026-01-14	oos	0.0615	0.060169	-2.16%	0.05398	-12.23%	0.0191	✓	1.10
2026-01-13	oos	0.0646	0.063058	-2.39%	0.05441	-15.77%	0.0605	✓	1.13
2026-01-12	oos	0.0562	0.055063	-2.02%	0.05993	+6.64%	0.0696	✗	1.01
2026-01-11	oos	0.0575	0.056382	-1.94%	0.0669	+16.35%	0.1401	✗	1.03
2026-01-10	oos	0.0589	0.057806	-1.86%	0.06146	+4.35%	0.0076	✓	1.05
2026-01-09	oos	0.059	0.058037	-1.63%	0.06281	+6.46%	0.0192	✗	1.12
2026-01-08	oos	0.0596	0.058831	-1.29%	0.05834	-2.11%	0.0634	✓	1.12
2026-01-07	oos	0.0612	0.060496	-1.15%	0.0615	+0.49%	0.0883	✓	1.74
2026-01-06	oos	0.0647	0.064026	-1.04%	0.0646	-0.15%	0.0216	✓	1.74
2026-01-05	oos	0.0646	0.063973	-0.97%	0.0562	-13.00%	0.0789	✓	1.75
2026-01-04	oos	0.0645	0.063737	-1.18%	0.0575	-10.85%	0.0907	✓	1.80
2026-01-03	oos	0.0618	0.061007	-1.28%	0.0589	-4.69%	0.0307	✓	1.80
2026-01-02	oos	0.063	0.062197	-1.27%	0.059	-6.35%	0.0639	✓	1.80
2026-01-01	oos	0.0611	0.060175	-1.51%	0.0596	-2.45%	0.0552	✓	1.79
2025-12-31	oos	0.0563	0.055636	-1.18%	0.0612	+8.70%	0.0215	✗	1.74
2025-12-30	oos	0.0557	0.055161	-0.97%	0.0647	+16.16%	0.0564	✗	1.76
2025-12-29	oos	0.0564	0.055756	-1.14%	0.0646	+14.54%	0.0169	✗	1.74
2025-12-28	oos	0.0593	0.058634	-1.12%	0.0645	+8.77%	0.0252	✗	1.74
2025-12-27	oos	0.0607	0.059977	-1.19%	0.0618	+1.81%	0.0234	✓	1.71
2025-12-26	oos	0.059	0.058354	-1.10%	0.063	+6.78%	0.0256	✗	1.70
2025-12-25	oos	0.057	0.056455	-0.96%	0.0611	+7.19%	0.0489	✗	1.70
2025-12-24	oos	0.0594	0.058744	-1.11%	0.0563	-5.22%	0.0403	✓	1.70
2025-12-23	oos	0.0593	0.058678	-1.05%	0.0557	-6.07%	0.0710	✓	1.71
2025-12-22	oos	0.058	0.057464	-0.92%	0.0564	-2.76%	0.0098	✗	1.73
2025-12-21	oos	0.0582	0.057677	-0.90%	0.0593	+1.89%	0.0427	✗	1.73
2025-12-20	oos	0.0608	0.060083	-1.18%	0.0607	-0.16%	0.0206	✗	1.77
2025-12-19	oos	0.0596	0.059016	-0.98%	0.059	-1.01%	0.0158	✗	1.77
2025-12-18	oos	0.0566	0.056155	-0.79%	0.057	+0.71%	0.0201	✓	1.77
2025-12-17	oos	0.0578	0.05732	-0.83%	0.0594	+2.77%	0.0070	✓	1.78
2025-12-16	oos	0.063	0.062303	-1.11%	0.0593	-5.87%	0.0409	✓	1.76
2025-12-15	oos	0.0632	0.062492	-1.12%	0.058	-8.23%	0.1179	✓	1.77
2025-12-14	oos	0.0669	0.066038	-1.29%	0.0582	-13.00%	0.1357	✓	1.77
2025-12-13	oos	0.0717	0.070677	-1.43%	0.0608	-15.20%	0.1125	✓	1.76
2025-12-12	oos	0.0699	0.068934	-1.38%	0.0596	-14.74%	0.1024	✓	1.76
2025-12-11	oos	0.0709	0.070116	-1.11%	0.0566	-20.17%	0.0724	✓	1.78
2025-12-10	oos	0.071	0.070214	-1.11%	0.0578	-18.59%	0.0780	✓	1.78
2025-12-09	oos	0.073	0.072133	-1.19%	0.063	-13.70%	0.0382	✓	1.81
2025-12-08	oos	0.0699	0.069147	-1.08%	0.0632	-9.59%	0.0047	✓	1.78
2025-12-07	oos	0.0691	0.068393	-1.02%	0.0669	-3.18%	0.0223	✗	1.78
2025-12-06	oos	0.0719	0.071074	-1.15%	0.0717	-0.28%	0.0111	✓	1.80
2025-12-05	oos	0.069	0.068324	-0.98%	0.0699	+1.30%	0.0041	✓	1.80
2025-12-04	oos	0.0718	0.071209	-0.82%	0.0709	-1.25%	0.0132	✓	1.82
2025-12-03	oos	0.0749	0.074306	-0.79%	0.071	-5.21%	0.0177	✓	1.82
2025-12-02	oos	0.0751	0.074404	-0.93%	0.073	-2.80%	0.0468	✓	1.84
2025-12-01	oos	0.071	0.07022	-1.10%	0.0699	-1.55%	0.0987	✓	1.90
2025-11-30	oos	0.07825	0.077467	-1.00%	0.0691	-11.69%	0.1150	✓	1.92
2025-11-29	oos	0.07905	0.078284	-0.97%	0.0719	-9.04%	0.0522	✓	1.90
2025-11-28	oos	0.0808	0.079951	-1.05%	0.069	-14.60%	0.1145	✓	1.90
2025-11-27	oos	0.08385	0.082898	-1.14%	0.0718	-14.37%	0.1598	✓	1.90
2025-11-26	oos	0.08755	0.086299	-1.43%	0.0749	-14.45%	0.2034	✓	1.90
2025-11-25	oos	0.08885	0.087145	-1.92%	0.0751	-15.48%	0.2375	✓	1.99
2025-11-24	oos	0.08875	0.087176	-1.77%	0.071	-20.00%	0.1599	✓	1.99
2025-11-23	oos	0.08635	0.084646	-1.97%	0.07825	-9.38%	0.1595	✓	2.01
2025-11-22	oos	0.08625	0.0846	-1.91%	0.07905	-8.35%	0.2147	✓	2.10
2025-11-21	oos	0.09335	0.090355	-3.21%	0.0808	-13.44%	0.2509	✓	2.10
2025-11-20	oos	0.1142	0.107583	-5.79%	0.08385	-26.58%	0.3581	✓	2.02
2025-11-19	oos	0.08525	0.084182	-1.25%	0.08755	+2.70%	0.0684	✗	2.67
2025-11-18	oos	0.08265	0.081863	-0.95%	0.08885	+7.50%	0.2491	✗	2.69
2025-11-17	oos	0.07945	0.078858	-0.75%	0.08875	+11.71%	0.2332	✗	2.70
2025-11-16	oos	0.082	0.081368	-0.77%	0.08635	+5.30%	0.2797	✗	2.70
2025-11-15	oos	0.08505	0.084321	-0.86%	0.08625	+1.41%	0.3493	✗	2.71
2025-11-14	oos	0.0849	0.084082	-0.96%	0.09335	+9.95%	0.3902	✗	2.72
2025-11-13	oos	0.08795	0.087344	-0.69%	0.1142	+29.85%	0.6746	✗	2.89
2025-11-12	oos	0.09065	0.090035	-0.68%	0.08525	-5.96%	0.2517	✗	2.90
2025-11-11	oos	0.092	0.091372	-0.68%	0.08265	-10.16%	0.1999	✗	2.91
2025-11-10	oos	0.10315	0.10171	-1.40%	0.07945	-22.98%	0.1566	✗	2.88
2025-11-09	oos	0.1014	0.100194	-1.19%	0.082	-19.13%	0.1060	✗	2.90
2025-11-08	oos	0.09815	0.096652	-1.53%	0.08505	-13.35%	0.0713	✗	2.92
2025-11-07	oos	0.0988	0.097358	-1.46%	0.0849	-14.07%	0.1185	✗	2.88
2025-11-06	oos	0.08365	0.083435	-0.26%	0.08795	+5.14%	0.0995	✗	2.80
2025-11-05	oos	0.0847	0.084599	-0.12%	0.09065	+7.02%	0.1308	✗	2.84
2025-11-04	oos	0.08105	0.081018	-0.04%	0.092	+13.51%	0.0838	✗	2.87
2025-11-03	oos	0.08535	0.085284	-0.08%	0.10315	+20.86%	0.2066	✗	3.02
2025-11-02	oos	0.10165	0.100992	-0.65%	0.1014	-0.25%	0.1649	✗	2.96
2025-11-01	oos	0.09955	0.099302	-0.25%	0.09815	-1.41%	0.2057	✗	2.97
2025-10-31	oos	0.09405	0.094055	+0.01%	0.0988	+5.05%	0.2241	✓	2.97
2025-10-30	oos	0.09355	0.093678	+0.14%	0.08365	-10.58%	0.0860	✓	2.97
2025-10-29	oos	0.10345	0.103335	-0.11%	0.0847	-18.12%	0.0300	✓	2.93
2025-10-28	oos	0.10255	0.102539	-0.01%	0.08105	-20.97%	0.0870	✗	3.02
2025-10-27	oos	0.10895	0.108846	-0.10%	0.08535	-21.66%	0.0377	✓	3.01
2025-10-26	oos	0.11645	0.116044	-0.35%	0.10165	-12.71%	0.0253	✓	3.00
2025-10-25	oos	0.1135	0.11322	-0.25%	0.09955	-12.29%	0.0840	✓	3.07
2025-10-24	oos	0.11195	0.1119	-0.04%	0.09405	-15.99%	0.1321	✓	3.09
2025-10-23	oos	0.11395	0.113978	+0.02%	0.09355	-17.90%	0.1462	✗	3.10
2025-10-22	oos	0.1096	0.110198	+0.55%	0.10345	-5.61%	0.1330	✗	3.11
2025-10-21	oos	0.11465	0.115082	+0.38%	0.10255	-10.55%	0.2429	✗	3.11
2025-10-20	oos	0.12245	0.122376	-0.06%	0.10895	-11.02%	0.2145	✓	3.14
2025-10-19	oos	0.12285	0.12304	+0.15%	0.11645	-5.21%	0.2190	✗	3.12
2025-10-18	oos	0.12155	0.122175	+0.51%	0.1135	-6.62%	0.2011	✗	3.13
2025-10-17	oos	0.11985	0.121098	+1.04%	0.11195	-6.59%	0.2098	✗	3.12
2025-10-16	oos	0.1246	0.125239	+0.51%	0.11395	-8.55%	0.1494	✗	3.13
2025-10-15	oos	0.12925	0.129434	+0.14%	0.1096	-15.20%	0.0732	✗	3.16
2025-10-14	oos	0.13585	0.135621	-0.17%	0.11465	-15.61%	0.0330	✓	3.17
2025-10-13	oos	0.14545	0.14483	-0.43%	0.12245	-15.81%	0.0359	✓	3.17
2025-10-12	oos	0.1329	0.132249	-0.49%	0.12285	-7.56%	0.1016	✗	3.07
2025-10-11	oos	0.12115	0.121807	+0.54%	0.12155	+0.33%	0.0987	✓	3.09
2025-10-10	oos	0.12685	0.12657	-0.22%	0.11985	-5.52%	0.1291	✗	3.09
2025-10-09	oos	0.19935	0.198268	-0.54%	0.1246	-37.50%	0.1907	✓	2.33
2025-10-08	oos	0.20705	0.205816	-0.60%	0.12925	-37.58%	0.2152	✓	2.33
2025-10-07	oos	0.199	0.197981	-0.51%	0.13585	-31.73%	0.2003	✓	2.48
2025-10-06	oos	0.21995	0.219125	-0.38%	0.14545	-33.87%	0.2179	✓	2.44
2025-10-05	oos	0.20715	0.206626	-0.25%	0.1329	-35.84%	0.2686	✓	2.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.2123	0.21153	-0.36%	0.12115	-42.93%	0.3115	✓	2.45
2025-10-03	oos	0.21945	0.218422	-0.47%	0.12685	-42.20%	0.3483	✓	2.46
2025-10-02	oos	0.22475	0.222827	-0.86%	0.19935	-11.30%	0.1338	✓	2.49
2025-10-01	oos	0.2153	0.213423	-0.87%	0.20705	-3.83%	0.1277	✓	2.52
2025-09-30	oos	0.20915	0.206889	-1.08%	0.199	-4.85%	0.2030	✓	2.64
2025-09-29	oos	0.20345	0.201784	-0.82%	0.21995	+8.11%	0.1484	✓	2.71
2025-09-28	oos	0.2131	0.210648	-1.15%	0.20715	-2.79%	0.2896	✓	2.84
2025-09-27	oos	0.2075	0.205171	-1.12%	0.2123	+2.31%	0.2837	✓	2.88
2025-09-26	oos	0.20955	0.206889	-1.27%	0.21945	+4.72%	0.2561	✓	2.89
2025-09-25	oos	0.1997	0.197343	-1.18%	0.22475	+12.54%	0.1617	✓	2.89
2025-09-24	oos	0.21865	0.215354	-1.51%	0.2153	-1.53%	0.1347	✓	2.94
2025-09-23	oos	0.21325	0.21016	-1.45%	0.20915	-1.92%	0.0583	✓	2.95
2025-09-22	oos	0.21845	0.215022	-1.57%	0.20345	-6.87%	0.0969	✓	2.90
2025-09-21	oos	0.2513	0.246416	-1.94%	0.2131	-15.20%	0.0692	✓	2.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.255	0.249938	-1.99%	0.2075	-18.63%	0.0338	✓	2.83
2025-09-19	oos	0.24655	0.2418	-1.93%	0.20955	-15.01%	0.0076	✓	2.83
2025-09-18	oos	0.2656	0.259922	-2.14%	0.1997	-24.81%	0.0628	✓	2.81

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.