RE
RE · Ethereum · gru_s9
- token id
- #279
- symbol
- RE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x526526528f35ac738177003b8773b402b8df8143
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-18
- predictions
- 351
Track record at +1d
assessed
116
of 117 predictions shown
direction hit
57.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0458
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0058
actual -0.0094
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.39085 | 0.389577 | -0.33% | – | pending | – | – | 1.02 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.3878 | 0.386666 | -0.29% | 0.39085 | +0.79% | 0.0135 | ✗ | 0.93 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.38025 | 0.379201 | -0.28% | 0.3878 | +1.99% | 0.0106 | ✗ | 0.88 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.3807 | 0.379595 | -0.29% | 0.38025 | -0.12% | 0.0036 | ✗ | 0.90 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.3939 | 0.392615 | -0.33% | 0.3807 | -3.35% | 0.0377 | ✓ | 0.90 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.4072 | 0.405897 | -0.32% | 0.3939 | -3.27% | 0.0287 | ✓ | 0.90 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.41905 | 0.417689 | -0.32% | 0.4072 | -2.83% | 0.0190 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.42225 | 0.420911 | -0.32% | 0.41905 | -0.76% | 0.0102 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.43205 | 0.430672 | -0.32% | 0.42225 | -2.27% | 0.0041 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.42635 | 0.424912 | -0.34% | 0.43205 | +1.34% | 0.0026 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.44755 | 0.445955 | -0.36% | 0.42635 | -4.74% | 0.0263 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.4449 | 0.44325 | -0.37% | 0.44755 | +0.60% | 0.0021 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.4408 | 0.439098 | -0.39% | 0.4449 | +0.93% | 0.0095 | ✗ | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.4381 | 0.436363 | -0.40% | 0.4408 | +0.62% | 0.0016 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.4626 | 0.460654 | -0.42% | 0.4381 | -5.30% | 0.0350 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.4822 | 0.479995 | -0.46% | 0.4626 | -4.06% | 0.0164 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.5048 | 0.502138 | -0.53% | 0.4822 | -4.48% | 0.0386 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.5176 | 0.51461 | -0.58% | 0.5048 | -2.47% | 0.0124 | ✓ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.50915 | 0.506059 | -0.61% | 0.5176 | +1.66% | 0.0065 | ✗ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.5062 | 0.502881 | -0.66% | 0.50915 | +0.58% | 0.0102 | ✗ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.5149 | 0.510735 | -0.81% | 0.5062 | -1.69% | 0.0057 | ✓ | 0.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.4815 | 0.478414 | -0.64% | 0.5149 | +6.94% | 0.0624 | ✗ | 0.72 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.47595 | 0.472328 | -0.76% | 0.4815 | +1.17% | 0.0200 | ✗ | 0.81 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.46175 | 0.458925 | -0.61% | 0.47595 | +3.08% | 0.0348 | ✗ | 0.75 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.4892 | 0.485258 | -0.81% | 0.46175 | -5.61% | 0.0393 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.49105 | 0.487159 | -0.79% | 0.4892 | -0.38% | 0.0037 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.47765 | 0.474259 | -0.71% | 0.49105 | +2.81% | 0.0311 | ✗ | 0.96 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.4691 | 0.465881 | -0.69% | 0.47765 | +1.82% | 0.0282 | ✗ | 0.93 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.4464 | 0.44374 | -0.60% | 0.4691 | +5.09% | 0.0555 | ✗ | 0.94 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.4724 | 0.469217 | -0.67% | 0.4464 | -5.50% | 0.0289 | ✓ | 0.98 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.46815 | 0.46529 | -0.61% | 0.4724 | +0.91% | 0.0203 | ✗ | 1.12 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.45915 | 0.456952 | -0.48% | 0.46815 | +1.96% | 0.0551 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.46645 | 0.46407 | -0.51% | 0.45915 | -1.57% | 0.0096 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.459 | 0.457069 | -0.42% | 0.46645 | +1.62% | 0.0148 | ✗ | 1.25 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.444 | 0.443073 | -0.21% | 0.459 | +3.38% | 0.0412 | ✓ | 1.33 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.44075 | 0.439905 | -0.19% | 0.444 | +0.74% | 0.0053 | ✗ | 1.49 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.41745 | 0.417285 | -0.04% | 0.44075 | +5.58% | 0.0438 | ✗ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.4368 | 0.436224 | -0.13% | 0.41745 | -4.43% | 0.0062 | ✗ | 1.49 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.4253 | 0.425151 | -0.04% | 0.4368 | +2.70% | 0.0006 | ✗ | 1.49 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.4416 | 0.441183 | -0.09% | 0.4253 | -3.69% | 0.0278 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.4528 | 0.452132 | -0.15% | 0.4416 | -2.47% | 0.0246 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.4323 | 0.432074 | -0.05% | 0.4528 | +4.74% | 0.0340 | ✗ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4244 | 0.424443 | +0.01% | 0.4323 | +1.86% | 0.0526 | ✓ | 1.52 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.45435 | 0.453801 | -0.12% | 0.4244 | -6.59% | 0.0638 | ✓ | 1.51 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.462 | 0.461303 | -0.15% | 0.45435 | -1.66% | 0.0029 | ✓ | 1.51 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4594 | 0.458737 | -0.14% | 0.462 | +0.57% | 0.0310 | ✗ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4504 | 0.449677 | -0.16% | 0.4594 | +2.00% | 0.0117 | ✗ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.4372 | 0.436345 | -0.20% | 0.4504 | +3.02% | 0.0287 | ✗ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4678 | 0.466484 | -0.28% | 0.4372 | -6.54% | 0.0352 | ✓ | 1.50 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4633 | 0.461588 | -0.37% | 0.4678 | +0.97% | 0.0670 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.4791 | 0.476931 | -0.45% | 0.4633 | -3.30% | 0.0271 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.489 | 0.486424 | -0.53% | 0.4791 | -2.02% | 0.0089 | ✗ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.4687 | 0.465213 | -0.74% | 0.489 | +4.33% | 0.0315 | ✗ | 1.60 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.4914 | 0.488017 | -0.69% | 0.4687 | -4.62% | 0.0288 | ✓ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.51565 | 0.512943 | -0.52% | 0.4914 | -4.70% | 0.0510 | ✓ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.5365 | 0.534122 | -0.44% | 0.51565 | -3.89% | 0.0144 | ✗ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.5266 | 0.524502 | -0.40% | 0.5365 | +1.88% | 0.0026 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.5521 | 0.550142 | -0.35% | 0.5266 | -4.62% | 0.0540 | ✓ | 1.62 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.53905 | 0.537493 | -0.29% | 0.5521 | +2.42% | 0.0362 | ✗ | 1.63 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.5417 | 0.539878 | -0.34% | 0.53905 | -0.49% | 0.0278 | ✓ | 1.64 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.5018 | 0.500437 | -0.27% | 0.5417 | +7.95% | 0.0650 | ✗ | 1.63 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.5242 | 0.522508 | -0.32% | 0.5018 | -4.27% | 0.0139 | ✓ | 1.62 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.51015 | 0.507017 | -0.61% | 0.5242 | +2.75% | 0.1004 | ✓ | 1.90 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.5374 | 0.529267 | -1.51% | 0.51015 | -5.07% | 0.1586 | ✓ | 2.33 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.3976 | 0.395446 | -0.54% | 0.5374 | +35.16% | 0.1972 | ✗ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.4054 | 0.403113 | -0.56% | 0.3976 | -1.92% | 0.0188 | ✓ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.4192 | 0.416973 | -0.53% | 0.4054 | -3.29% | 0.0731 | ✓ | 1.75 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.4616 | 0.458382 | -0.70% | 0.4192 | -9.19% | 0.0844 | ✓ | 1.72 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.4469 | 0.443865 | -0.68% | 0.4616 | +3.29% | 0.0380 | ✗ | 1.72 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.44 | 0.436749 | -0.74% | 0.4469 | +1.57% | 0.0354 | ✗ | 1.74 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.4319 | 0.428957 | -0.68% | 0.44 | +1.88% | 0.0250 | ✗ | 1.74 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.41915 | 0.416385 | -0.66% | 0.4319 | +3.04% | 0.0399 | ✗ | 1.74 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.4086 | 0.405859 | -0.67% | 0.41915 | +2.58% | 0.0427 | ✗ | 1.76 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.40445 | 0.401446 | -0.74% | 0.4086 | +1.03% | 0.0440 | ✗ | 1.81 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.4089 | 0.405472 | -0.84% | 0.40445 | -1.09% | 0.0008 | ✓ | 1.81 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.38965 | 0.386785 | -0.74% | 0.4089 | +4.94% | 0.0551 | ✗ | 1.81 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.39565 | 0.392824 | -0.71% | 0.38965 | -1.52% | 0.0259 | ✓ | 1.84 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.38465 | 0.381746 | -0.75% | 0.39565 | +2.86% | 0.0454 | ✗ | 1.86 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.385 | 0.382198 | -0.73% | 0.38465 | -0.09% | 0.0096 | ✓ | 1.86 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.40515 | 0.402285 | -0.71% | 0.385 | -4.97% | 0.0615 | ✓ | 1.91 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.4209 | 0.41769 | -0.76% | 0.40515 | -3.74% | 0.0295 | ✓ | 1.91 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.4414 | 0.43806 | -0.76% | 0.4209 | -4.64% | 0.0630 | ✓ | 1.98 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.4421 | 0.438649 | -0.78% | 0.4414 | -0.16% | 0.0082 | ✗ | 1.98 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.44585 | 0.441211 | -1.04% | 0.4421 | -0.84% | 0.0652 | ✗ | 2.12 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.496 | 0.489232 | -1.36% | 0.44585 | -10.11% | 0.1222 | ✓ | 2.28 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.4515 | 0.447419 | -0.90% | 0.496 | +9.86% | 0.1013 | ✗ | 2.28 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.44995 | 0.446269 | -0.82% | 0.4515 | +0.34% | 0.0062 | ✓ | 2.28 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.4815 | 0.475967 | -1.15% | 0.44995 | -6.55% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 2.25 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.5458 | 0.536847 | -1.64% | 0.4815 | -11.78% | 0.1494 | ✓ | 2.52 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.5818 | 0.568237 | -2.33% | 0.5458 | -6.19% | 0.0487 | ✓ | 2.54 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.5535 | 0.54105 | -2.25% | 0.5818 | +5.11% | 0.1128 | ✗ | 2.68 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.4747 | 0.466212 | -1.79% | 0.5535 | +16.60% | 0.2197 | ✗ | 3.05 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.3954 | 0.393818 | -0.40% | 0.4747 | +20.06% | 0.2078 | ✗ | 3.24 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.375 | 0.374678 | -0.09% | 0.3954 | +5.44% | 0.0103 | ✓ | 3.24 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.3923 | 0.391779 | -0.13% | 0.375 | -4.41% | 0.0707 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.3954 | 0.394681 | -0.18% | 0.3923 | -0.78% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 3.30 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.4476 | 0.446041 | -0.35% | 0.3954 | -11.66% | 0.1345 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.4905 | 0.488103 | -0.49% | 0.4476 | -8.75% | 0.0886 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.4868 | 0.484151 | -0.54% | 0.4905 | +0.76% | 0.0278 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.5268 | 0.523576 | -0.61% | 0.4868 | -7.59% | 0.0686 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.5264 | 0.523721 | -0.51% | 0.5268 | +0.08% | 0.0370 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.55705 | 0.553529 | -0.63% | 0.5264 | -5.50% | 0.0268 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.5811 | 0.577358 | -0.64% | 0.55705 | -4.14% | 0.0353 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.57485 | 0.570998 | -0.67% | 0.5811 | +1.09% | 0.0231 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.5845 | 0.580845 | -0.63% | 0.57485 | -1.65% | 0.0254 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.603 | 0.599408 | -0.60% | 0.5845 | -3.07% | 0.0401 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.6298 | 0.625687 | -0.65% | 0.603 | -4.26% | 0.0196 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.6573 | 0.652637 | -0.71% | 0.6298 | -4.18% | 0.0250 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.6457 | 0.641164 | -0.70% | 0.6573 | +1.80% | 0.0183 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.6332 | 0.628811 | -0.69% | 0.6457 | +1.97% | 0.0187 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.6217 | 0.617412 | -0.69% | 0.6332 | +1.85% | 0.0162 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-02 | oos | 0.6877 | 0.682353 | -0.78% | 0.6217 | -9.60% | 0.1098 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-01 | oos | 0.5835 | 0.579916 | -0.61% | 0.6877 | +17.86% | 0.1454 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-30 | oos | 0.6483 | 0.644844 | -0.53% | 0.5835 | -10.00% | 0.1242 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-29 | oos | 0.7829 | 0.773497 | -1.20% | 0.6483 | -17.19% | 0.1490 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-28 | oos | 0.6058 | 0.602202 | -0.59% | 0.7829 | +29.23% | 0.2509 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-27 | oos | 0.6924 | 0.687986 | -0.64% | 0.6058 | -12.51% | 0.1195 | ✓ | 1.00 |