PIVX

PIVX · native · gru_s9

token id: #982
symbol: PIVX
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-07-03
predictions: 2,472

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

55.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0513

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0060

actual -0.0021

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.046063	0.045558	-1.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.24
2026-10-20	oos	0.044303	0.043839	-1.05%	0.046063	+3.97%	0.0502	✗	0.25
2026-10-19	oos	0.038908	0.038763	-0.38%	0.044303	+13.86%	0.1307	✗	0.21
2026-10-18	oos	0.040121	0.039923	-0.49%	0.038908	-3.02%	0.0253	✓	0.20
2026-10-17	oos	0.041976	0.041704	-0.65%	0.040121	-4.42%	0.0403	✓	0.21
2026-10-16	oos	0.04214	0.041856	-0.67%	0.041976	-0.39%	0.0032	✓	0.21
2026-10-15	oos	0.040984	0.04071	-0.67%	0.04214	+2.82%	0.0361	✗	0.21
2026-10-14	oos	0.042723	0.042382	-0.80%	0.040984	-4.07%	0.0350	✓	0.22
2026-10-13	oos	0.048539	0.047926	-1.26%	0.042723	-11.98%	0.1122	✓	0.15
2026-10-12	oos	0.048982	0.048344	-1.30%	0.048539	-0.90%	0.0016	✓	0.15
2026-10-11	oos	0.051192	0.050398	-1.55%	0.048982	-4.32%	0.0253	✓	0.14
2026-10-10	oos	0.055342	0.054172	-2.11%	0.051192	-7.50%	0.0584	✓	0.20
2026-10-09	oos	0.047817	0.047154	-1.39%	0.055342	+15.74%	0.1593	✗	0.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.048636	0.047927	-1.46%	0.047817	-1.68%	0.0044	✓	0.20
2026-10-07	oos	0.051425	0.05056	-1.68%	0.048636	-5.42%	0.0354	✓	0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.063034	0.061298	-2.75%	0.051425	-18.42%	0.1759	✓	-0.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.064795	0.062529	-3.50%	0.063034	-2.72%	0.0080	✓	-0.04
2026-10-04	oos	0.048757	0.047951	-1.65%	0.064795	+32.89%	0.3020	✗	0.10
2026-10-03	oos	0.063282	0.06135	-3.05%	0.048757	-22.95%	0.2346	✓	0.23
2026-10-02	oos	0.07724	0.073369	-5.01%	0.063282	-18.07%	0.1485	✓	0.23
2026-10-01	oos	0.065312	0.062512	-4.29%	0.07724	+18.26%	0.2127	✗	0.27
2026-09-30	oos	0.06345	0.060345	-4.89%	0.065312	+2.93%	0.0752	✗	0.25
2026-09-29	oos	0.057817	0.054783	-5.25%	0.06345	+9.74%	0.1471	✗	0.20
2026-09-28	oos	0.039594	0.037722	-4.73%	0.057817	+46.02%	0.4264	✗	0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.020089	0.019923	-0.82%	0.039594	+97.09%	0.6944	✗	0.64
2026-09-26	oos	0.019153	0.019019	-0.70%	0.020089	+4.89%	0.0544	✗	0.63
2026-09-25	oos	0.019801	0.019646	-0.78%	0.019153	-3.27%	0.0281	✓	0.70
2026-09-24	oos	0.017977	0.017861	-0.65%	0.019801	+10.15%	0.1054	✗	0.66
2026-09-23	oos	0.018474	0.018355	-0.64%	0.017977	-2.69%	0.0209	✓	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.018867	0.018741	-0.67%	0.018474	-2.08%	0.0015	✓	0.60
2026-09-21	oos	0.022112	0.021894	-0.99%	0.018867	-14.68%	0.1460	✓	0.60
2026-09-20	oos	0.023916	0.023632	-1.19%	0.022112	-7.54%	0.1190	✓	0.81
2026-09-19	oos	0.02122	0.021057	-0.77%	0.023916	+12.70%	0.1281	✗	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	0.0217	0.021515	-0.85%	0.02122	-2.21%	0.0177	✓	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.021004	0.020854	-0.71%	0.0217	+3.31%	0.0122	✓	0.90
2026-09-16	oos	0.019977	0.019857	-0.60%	0.021004	+5.14%	0.0538	✗	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.018341	0.01826	-0.44%	0.019977	+8.92%	0.0826	✗	0.98
2026-09-14	oos	0.021357	0.021187	-0.80%	0.018341	-14.12%	0.1158	✓	0.84
2026-09-13	oos	0.021441	0.021214	-1.06%	0.021357	-0.39%	0.0082	✓	0.84
2026-09-12	oos	0.019998	0.019795	-1.02%	0.021441	+7.22%	0.0851	✗	0.86
2026-09-11	oos	0.016089	0.016033	-0.35%	0.019998	+24.30%	0.2204	✗	0.87
2026-09-10	oos	0.015435	0.015376	-0.38%	0.016089	+4.24%	0.0377	✗	0.87
2026-09-09	oos	0.014016	0.013978	-0.28%	0.015435	+10.12%	0.1212	✗	0.98
2026-09-08	oos	0.014106	0.014058	-0.34%	0.014016	-0.63%	0.0008	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.014333	0.014276	-0.40%	0.014106	-1.58%	0.0038	✓	1.01
2026-09-06	oos	0.015073	0.015013	-0.40%	0.014333	-4.91%	0.0308	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.016226	0.016167	-0.36%	0.015073	-7.10%	0.0764	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.016043	0.015986	-0.36%	0.016226	+1.13%	0.0129	✗	1.01
2026-09-03	oos	0.016077	0.016043	-0.21%	0.016043	-0.21%	0.0204	✗	1.03
2026-09-02	oos	0.014557	0.014471	-0.59%	0.016077	+10.44%	0.0559	✗	0.99
2026-09-01	oos	0.013541	0.013438	-0.76%	0.014557	+7.50%	0.0812	✗	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.015959	0.015884	-0.47%	0.013541	-15.15%	0.1474	✓	0.82
2026-08-30	oos	0.015231	0.015128	-0.68%	0.015959	+4.78%	0.0438	✗	0.84
2026-08-29	oos	0.015462	0.015337	-0.81%	0.015231	-1.49%	0.0011	✓	0.80
2026-08-28	oos	0.014379	0.01424	-0.96%	0.015462	+7.53%	0.0783	✗	0.79
2026-08-27	oos	0.014522	0.014405	-0.81%	0.014379	-0.98%	0.0233	✗	0.81
2026-08-26	oos	0.013992	0.013841	-1.08%	0.014522	+3.79%	0.0356	✗	0.79
2026-08-25	oos	0.017995	0.017597	-2.21%	0.013992	-22.25%	0.2345	✓	0.84
2026-08-24	oos	0.0149	0.014611	-1.94%	0.017995	+20.77%	0.2133	✗	0.86
2026-08-23	oos	0.01409	0.013767	-2.29%	0.0149	+5.75%	0.0656	✗	0.85
2026-08-22	oos	0.01252	0.012239	-2.25%	0.01409	+12.54%	0.1337	✗	0.82
2026-08-21	oos	0.01168	0.011407	-2.34%	0.01252	+7.19%	0.1073	✗	0.86
2026-08-20	oos	0.01182	0.011582	-2.02%	0.01168	-1.18%	0.0609	✓	0.99
2026-08-19	oos	0.011425	0.011277	-1.30%	0.01182	+3.46%	0.0052	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.01161	0.011588	-0.19%	0.011425	-1.59%	0.0948	✓	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.0103	0.010089	-2.05%	0.01161	+12.72%	0.1367	✗	1.18
2026-08-16	oos	0.00951	0.008973	-5.65%	0.0103	+8.31%	0.1094	✗	1.11
2026-08-15	oos	0.01287	0.012794	-0.59%	0.00951	-26.11%	0.2934	✓	1.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.01516	0.015139	-0.14%	0.01287	-15.11%	0.1631	✓	1.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.01864	0.018628	-0.07%	0.01516	-18.67%	0.1984	✓	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	0.02256	0.022533	-0.12%	0.01864	-17.38%	0.1899	✓	1.15
2026-08-11	oos	0.02393	0.023889	-0.17%	0.02256	-5.73%	0.0550	✓	1.18
2026-08-10	oos	0.02418	0.024133	-0.20%	0.02393	-1.03%	0.0013	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.02524	0.025178	-0.25%	0.02418	-4.20%	0.0234	✓	1.17
2026-08-08	oos	0.02708	0.027001	-0.29%	0.02524	-6.79%	0.0663	✓	1.18
2026-08-07	oos	0.02744	0.027355	-0.31%	0.02708	-1.31%	0.0104	✓	1.17
2026-08-06	oos	0.02886	0.02876	-0.35%	0.02744	-4.92%	0.0585	✓	1.19
2026-08-05	oos	0.02835	0.028251	-0.35%	0.02886	+1.80%	0.0275	✗	1.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.02711	0.02703	-0.29%	0.02835	+4.57%	0.0379	✗	1.14
2026-08-03	oos	0.02921	0.029121	-0.30%	0.02711	-7.19%	0.0823	✓	1.17
2026-08-02	oos	0.03281	0.032671	-0.42%	0.02921	-10.97%	0.1114	✓	1.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.03275	0.032619	-0.40%	0.03281	+0.18%	0.0084	✓	1.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.0324	0.032276	-0.38%	0.03275	+1.08%	0.0158	✗	1.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.03269	0.032555	-0.41%	0.0324	-0.89%	0.0327	✗	1.26
2026-07-29	oos	0.03295	0.032818	-0.40%	0.03269	-0.79%	0.0201	✓	1.26
2026-07-28	oos	0.03401	0.033868	-0.42%	0.03295	-3.12%	0.0285	✓	1.26
2026-07-27	oos	0.03427	0.034132	-0.40%	0.03401	-0.76%	0.0066	✓	1.26
2026-07-26	oos	0.03537	0.035245	-0.35%	0.03427	-3.11%	0.0049	✗	1.29
2026-07-25	oos	0.0352	0.035076	-0.35%	0.03537	+0.48%	0.0128	✓	1.31
2026-07-24	oos	0.03414	0.03404	-0.29%	0.0352	+3.10%	0.0292	✗	1.31
2026-07-23	oos	0.0343	0.034228	-0.21%	0.03414	-0.47%	0.0170	✗	1.31
2026-07-22	oos	0.03457	0.03453	-0.12%	0.0343	-0.78%	0.0140	✗	1.31
2026-07-21	oos	0.03553	0.035507	-0.07%	0.03457	-2.70%	0.0183	✓	1.31
2026-07-20	oos	0.03587	0.035836	-0.09%	0.03553	-0.95%	0.0346	✓	1.31
2026-07-19	oos	0.03523	0.035198	-0.09%	0.03587	+1.82%	0.0082	✗	1.31
2026-07-18	oos	0.03624	0.036218	-0.06%	0.03523	-2.79%	0.0254	✓	1.29
2026-07-17	oos	0.03704	0.037009	-0.08%	0.03624	-2.16%	0.0393	✓	1.31
2026-07-16	oos	0.03687	0.036846	-0.07%	0.03704	+0.46%	0.0028	✗	1.29
2026-07-15	oos	0.0371	0.037095	-0.01%	0.03687	-0.62%	0.0123	✗	1.25
2026-07-14	oos	0.03683	0.036835	+0.01%	0.0371	+0.73%	0.0124	✓	1.26
2026-07-13	oos	0.03589	0.035878	-0.03%	0.03683	+2.62%	0.0290	✓	1.29
2026-07-12	oos	0.03833	0.038332	+0.00%	0.03589	-6.37%	0.0359	✗	1.28
2026-07-11	oos	0.03828	0.038286	+0.02%	0.03833	+0.13%	0.0018	✓	1.25
2026-07-10	oos	0.03912	0.039129	+0.02%	0.03828	-2.15%	0.0149	✗	1.26
2026-07-09	oos	0.03771	0.037722	+0.03%	0.03912	+3.74%	0.0176	✓	1.25
2026-07-08	oos	0.03957	0.03957	+0.00%	0.03771	-4.70%	0.0673	✗	1.28
2026-07-07	oos	0.03778	0.037799	+0.05%	0.03957	+4.74%	0.0686	✓	1.32
2026-07-06	oos	0.04255	0.042537	-0.03%	0.03778	-11.21%	0.1048	✓	1.30
2026-07-05	oos	0.04148	0.041474	-0.02%	0.04255	+2.58%	0.0173	✗	1.27
2026-07-04	oos	0.04232	0.042294	-0.06%	0.04148	-1.98%	0.0294	✓	1.27
2026-07-03	oos	0.03966	0.039661	+0.00%	0.04232	+6.71%	0.0538	✓	1.23
2026-07-02	oos	0.04057	0.040557	-0.03%	0.03966	-2.24%	0.0433	✓	1.26
2026-07-01	oos	0.04463	0.044525	-0.24%	0.04057	-9.10%	0.1269	✓	1.35
2026-06-30	oos	0.03787	0.037876	+0.02%	0.04463	+17.85%	0.1340	✓	1.24
2026-06-29	oos	0.04009	0.040072	-0.04%	0.03787	-5.54%	0.0226	✓	1.23
2026-06-28	oos	0.04282	0.042745	-0.18%	0.04009	-6.38%	0.0786	✓	1.26
2026-06-27	oos	0.05542	0.054622	-1.44%	0.04282	-22.74%	0.2341	✓	1.21
2026-06-26	oos	0.0338	0.03382	+0.06%	0.05542	+63.96%	0.4953	✓	1.22
2026-06-25	oos	0.03696	0.036976	+0.04%	0.0338	-8.55%	0.0960	✗	1.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.03498	0.034978	-0.01%	0.03696	+5.66%	0.0820	✗	1.27
2026-06-23	oos	0.03711	0.037103	-0.02%	0.03498	-5.74%	0.0254	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.03903	0.039025	-0.01%	0.03711	-4.92%	0.0247	✓	1.24
2026-06-21	oos	0.0392	0.03919	-0.02%	0.03903	-0.43%	0.0181	✓	1.24
2026-06-20	oos	0.04471	0.044718	+0.02%	0.0392	-12.32%	0.1133	✗	1.19
2026-06-19	oos	0.04323	0.043235	+0.01%	0.04471	+3.42%	0.0199	✓	1.16
2026-06-18	oos	0.04402	0.044026	+0.01%	0.04323	-1.79%	0.0293	✗	1.17
2026-06-17	oos	0.05114	0.051095	-0.09%	0.04402	-13.92%	0.1222	✓	1.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.05156	0.051493	-0.13%	0.05114	-0.81%	0.0127	✗	1.09
2026-06-15	oos	0.05157	0.05148	-0.17%	0.05156	-0.02%	0.0124	✗	1.08
2026-06-14	oos	0.05117	0.051079	-0.18%	0.05157	+0.78%	0.0003	✓	1.07
2026-06-13	oos	0.05121	0.051119	-0.18%	0.05117	-0.08%	0.0199	✓	1.07
2026-06-12	oos	0.04976	0.049708	-0.10%	0.05121	+2.91%	0.0153	✗	1.04
2026-06-11	oos	0.05155	0.051472	-0.15%	0.04976	-3.47%	0.0334	✓	1.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.04929	0.049284	-0.01%	0.05155	+4.59%	0.0100	✗	1.03
2026-06-09	oos	0.05016	0.05016	+0.00%	0.04929	-1.73%	0.0135	✗	1.03
2026-06-08	oos	0.05223	0.052183	-0.09%	0.05016	-3.96%	0.0167	✓	1.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.05182	0.051798	-0.04%	0.05223	+0.79%	0.0122	✗	1.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.0503	0.050371	+0.14%	0.05182	+3.02%	0.0133	✗	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.05147	0.051553	+0.16%	0.0503	-2.27%	0.0214	✗	1.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.05671	0.056703	-0.01%	0.05147	-9.24%	0.0521	✓	1.01
2026-06-03	oos	0.05891	0.058867	-0.07%	0.05671	-3.73%	0.0337	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.0563	0.056271	-0.05%	0.05891	+4.64%	0.0902	✗	1.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.06186	0.06168	-0.29%	0.0563	-8.99%	0.0232	✓	1.01
2026-05-31	oos	0.06074	0.060553	-0.31%	0.06186	+1.84%	0.0543	✗	1.06
2026-05-30	oos	0.0611	0.060902	-0.32%	0.06074	-0.59%	0.0001	✓	1.05
2026-05-29	oos	0.06045	0.060274	-0.29%	0.0611	+1.08%	0.0077	✗	1.07
2026-05-28	oos	0.05848	0.058336	-0.25%	0.06045	+3.37%	0.0377	✗	1.08
2026-05-27	oos	0.06173	0.061544	-0.30%	0.05848	-5.26%	0.0395	✓	1.06
2026-05-26	oos	0.06274	0.062526	-0.34%	0.06173	-1.61%	0.0087	✗	1.07
2026-05-25	oos	0.06585	0.065581	-0.41%	0.06274	-4.72%	0.0241	✓	1.09
2026-05-24	oos	0.06597	0.065707	-0.40%	0.06585	-0.18%	0.0017	✓	1.09
2026-05-23	oos	0.065	0.064774	-0.35%	0.06597	+1.49%	0.0137	✗	1.07
2026-05-22	oos	0.06289	0.062717	-0.28%	0.065	+3.36%	0.0188	✗	1.07
2026-05-21	oos	0.06719	0.06696	-0.34%	0.06289	-6.40%	0.0339	✓	1.05
2026-05-20	oos	0.06825	0.068007	-0.36%	0.06719	-1.55%	0.0131	✓	1.05
2026-05-19	oos	0.0635	0.063337	-0.26%	0.06825	+7.48%	0.0652	✗	1.03
2026-05-18	oos	0.06566	0.065492	-0.26%	0.0635	-3.29%	0.0285	✓	1.04
2026-05-17	oos	0.06633	0.06617	-0.24%	0.06566	-1.01%	0.0015	✓	1.03
2026-05-16	oos	0.06748	0.067332	-0.22%	0.06633	-1.70%	0.0057	✓	1.03
2026-05-15	oos	0.06585	0.065734	-0.18%	0.06748	+2.48%	0.0390	✗	1.06
2026-05-14	oos	0.07439	0.074185	-0.28%	0.06585	-11.48%	0.0939	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.07085	0.070724	-0.18%	0.07439	+5.00%	0.0287	✗	0.98
2026-05-12	oos	0.07454	0.07436	-0.24%	0.07085	-4.95%	0.0341	✓	0.95
2026-05-11	oos	0.07391	0.073752	-0.21%	0.07454	+0.85%	0.0250	✗	0.94
2026-05-10	oos	0.07985	0.079508	-0.43%	0.07391	-7.44%	0.0676	✓	0.93
2026-05-09	oos	0.08007	0.079675	-0.49%	0.07985	-0.27%	0.0156	✓	0.94
2026-05-08	oos	0.07902	0.078532	-0.62%	0.08007	+1.33%	0.0140	✗	0.93
2026-05-07	oos	0.08028	0.079885	-0.49%	0.07902	-1.57%	0.0130	✓	0.91
2026-05-06	oos	0.07661	0.076298	-0.41%	0.08028	+4.79%	0.0644	✗	0.76
2026-05-05	oos	0.07632	0.076102	-0.29%	0.07661	+0.38%	0.0014	✓	0.80
2026-05-04	oos	0.07301	0.072908	-0.14%	0.07632	+4.53%	0.0354	✗	0.79
2026-05-03	oos	0.06969	0.069693	+0.00%	0.07301	+4.76%	0.0337	✓	0.78
2026-05-02	oos	0.06908	0.069128	+0.07%	0.06969	+0.88%	0.0093	✓	0.77
2026-05-01	oos	0.06633	0.066437	+0.16%	0.06908	+4.15%	0.0346	✓	0.77
2026-04-30	oos	0.06506	0.065149	+0.14%	0.06633	+1.95%	0.0018	✗	0.79
2026-04-29	oos	0.0651	0.065183	+0.13%	0.06506	-0.06%	0.0076	✗	0.79
2026-04-28	oos	0.06576	0.06585	+0.14%	0.0651	-1.00%	0.0057	✗	0.78
2026-04-27	oos	0.07142	0.071523	+0.14%	0.06576	-7.92%	0.0736	✗	0.77
2026-04-26	oos	0.0752	0.075325	+0.17%	0.07142	-5.03%	0.0406	✗	0.76
2026-04-25	oos	0.07447	0.074565	+0.13%	0.0752	+0.98%	0.0015	✗	0.76
2026-04-24	oos	0.07791	0.07799	+0.10%	0.07447	-4.42%	0.0481	✗	0.79
2026-04-23	oos	0.07757	0.077673	+0.13%	0.07791	+0.44%	0.0114	✓	0.79
2026-04-22	oos	0.07755	0.077645	+0.12%	0.07757	+0.03%	0.0017	✗	0.79
2026-04-21	oos	0.07699	0.077032	+0.05%	0.07755	+0.73%	0.0124	✗	0.79
2026-04-20	oos	0.07787	0.077887	+0.02%	0.07699	-1.13%	0.0167	✗	0.80
2026-04-19	oos	0.07709	0.077035	-0.07%	0.07787	+1.01%	0.0113	✓	0.81
2026-04-18	oos	0.08054	0.080543	+0.00%	0.07709	-4.28%	0.0236	✗	0.79
2026-04-17	oos	0.07991	0.07995	+0.05%	0.08054	+0.79%	0.0215	✓	0.80
2026-04-16	oos	0.08209	0.082062	-0.03%	0.07991	-2.66%	0.0471	✓	0.81
2026-04-15	oos	0.08009	0.080058	-0.04%	0.08209	+2.50%	0.0215	✗	0.81
2026-04-14	oos	0.07965	0.079605	-0.06%	0.08009	+0.55%	0.0011	✓	0.81
2026-04-13	oos	0.092	0.091798	-0.22%	0.07965	-13.42%	0.1390	✓	0.82
2026-04-12	oos	0.08838	0.088159	-0.25%	0.092	+4.10%	0.0003	✓	0.84
2026-04-11	oos	0.09402	0.093619	-0.43%	0.08838	-6.00%	0.0305	✓	0.83
2026-04-10	oos	0.08717	0.086964	-0.24%	0.09402	+7.86%	0.0770	✗	0.83
2026-04-09	oos	0.08639	0.086193	-0.23%	0.08717	+0.90%	0.0025	✓	0.83
2026-04-08	oos	0.08576	0.085566	-0.23%	0.08639	+0.73%	0.0013	✓	0.83
2026-04-07	oos	0.08944	0.089149	-0.33%	0.08576	-4.11%	0.0292	✓	0.83
2026-04-06	oos	0.08678	0.086504	-0.32%	0.08944	+3.07%	0.0028	✓	0.83
2026-04-05	oos	0.08602	0.085769	-0.29%	0.08678	+0.88%	0.0136	✗	0.83
2026-04-04	oos	0.08618	0.085901	-0.32%	0.08602	-0.19%	0.0196	✓	0.84
2026-04-03	oos	0.08498	0.084701	-0.33%	0.08618	+1.41%	0.0132	✗	0.83
2026-04-02	oos	0.08134	0.081107	-0.29%	0.08498	+4.48%	0.0458	✗	0.83
2026-04-01	oos	0.08276	0.082533	-0.27%	0.08134	-1.72%	0.0003	✓	0.82
2026-03-31	oos	0.07898	0.078779	-0.25%	0.08276	+4.79%	0.0506	✗	0.83
2026-03-30	oos	0.07689	0.076712	-0.23%	0.07898	+2.72%	0.0110	✗	0.83
2026-03-29	oos	0.07703	0.076867	-0.21%	0.07689	-0.18%	0.0094	✓	0.82
2026-03-28	oos	0.08307	0.082903	-0.20%	0.07703	-7.27%	0.0690	✓	0.82
2026-03-27	oos	0.08411	0.083951	-0.19%	0.08307	-1.24%	0.0101	✓	0.82
2026-03-26	oos	0.08724	0.087065	-0.20%	0.08411	-3.59%	0.0050	✓	0.83
2026-03-25	oos	0.09149	0.091284	-0.23%	0.08724	-4.65%	0.0157	✓	0.82
2026-03-24	oos	0.09081	0.090629	-0.20%	0.09149	+0.75%	0.0006	✓	0.82
2026-03-23	oos	0.09086	0.090674	-0.20%	0.09081	-0.06%	0.0054	✗	0.82
2026-03-22	oos	0.08763	0.087463	-0.19%	0.09086	+3.69%	0.0027	✗	0.81
2026-03-21	oos	0.08704	0.086886	-0.18%	0.08763	+0.68%	0.0212	✗	0.81
2026-03-20	oos	0.08914	0.088958	-0.20%	0.08704	-2.36%	0.0034	✓	0.81
2026-03-19	oos	0.08938	0.08917	-0.23%	0.08914	-0.27%	0.0070	✓	0.81
2026-03-18	oos	0.09038	0.090128	-0.28%	0.08938	-1.11%	0.0071	✗	0.82
2026-03-17	oos	0.09325	0.092912	-0.36%	0.09038	-3.08%	0.0029	✓	0.82
2026-03-16	oos	0.09123	0.0909	-0.36%	0.09325	+2.21%	0.0362	✗	0.83
2026-03-15	oos	0.09	0.089657	-0.38%	0.09123	+1.37%	0.0058	✓	0.83
2026-03-14	oos	0.09154	0.091047	-0.54%	0.09	-1.68%	0.0306	✓	0.86
2026-03-13	oos	0.08527	0.084956	-0.37%	0.09154	+7.35%	0.0712	✗	0.86
2026-03-12	oos	0.08602	0.085523	-0.58%	0.08527	-0.87%	0.0080	✓	0.86
2026-03-11	oos	0.08521	0.084932	-0.33%	0.08602	+0.95%	0.0088	✗	0.86
2026-03-10	oos	0.08005	0.079928	-0.15%	0.08521	+6.45%	0.0610	✗	0.85
2026-03-09	oos	0.07869	0.078598	-0.12%	0.08005	+1.73%	0.0006	✓	0.85
2026-03-08	oos	0.07509	0.075039	-0.07%	0.07869	+4.79%	0.0164	✗	0.85
2026-03-07	oos	0.07947	0.079424	-0.06%	0.07509	-5.51%	0.0398	✓	0.84
2026-03-06	oos	0.07877	0.078737	-0.04%	0.07947	+0.89%	0.0198	✗	0.84
2026-03-05	oos	0.08192	0.081859	-0.07%	0.07877	-3.85%	0.0048	✓	0.84
2026-03-04	oos	0.08571	0.085588	-0.14%	0.08192	-4.42%	0.0223	✓	0.86
2026-03-03	oos	0.08358	0.083559	-0.02%	0.08571	+2.55%	0.0287	✓	0.88
2026-03-02	oos	0.08372	0.083697	-0.03%	0.08358	-0.17%	0.0049	✗	0.88
2026-03-01	oos	0.08067	0.080709	+0.05%	0.08372	+3.78%	0.0025	✗	0.86
2026-02-28	oos	0.08629	0.086268	-0.03%	0.08067	-6.51%	0.0515	✓	0.86
2026-02-27	oos	0.08363	0.083664	+0.04%	0.08629	+3.18%	0.0166	✓	0.86
2026-02-26	oos	0.0854	0.085407	+0.01%	0.08363	-2.07%	0.0001	✓	0.86
2026-02-25	oos	0.08816	0.088133	-0.03%	0.0854	-3.13%	0.0252	✓	0.86
2026-02-24	oos	0.0815	0.081617	+0.14%	0.08816	+8.17%	0.0282	✓	0.82
2026-02-23	oos	0.0827	0.082819	+0.14%	0.0815	-1.45%	0.0091	✗	0.80
2026-02-22	oos	0.08618	0.086255	+0.09%	0.0827	-4.04%	0.0055	✗	0.81
2026-02-21	oos	0.08833	0.088401	+0.08%	0.08618	-2.43%	0.0215	✗	0.80
2026-02-20	oos	0.09057	0.090642	+0.08%	0.08833	-2.47%	0.0255	✗	0.79
2026-02-19	oos	0.08893	0.089056	+0.14%	0.09057	+1.84%	0.0051	✓	0.79
2026-02-18	oos	0.09045	0.090606	+0.17%	0.08893	-1.68%	0.0254	✗	0.81
2026-02-17	oos	0.0944	0.094538	+0.15%	0.09045	-4.18%	0.0317	✗	0.80
2026-02-16	oos	0.09606	0.096183	+0.13%	0.0944	-1.73%	0.0025	✗	0.79
2026-02-15	oos	0.09482	0.094996	+0.19%	0.09606	+1.31%	0.0104	✓	0.80
2026-02-14	oos	0.09884	0.098979	+0.14%	0.09482	-4.07%	0.0312	✗	0.82
2026-02-13	oos	0.09679	0.097028	+0.25%	0.09884	+2.12%	0.0076	✓	0.78
2026-02-12	oos	0.09446	0.094815	+0.38%	0.09679	+2.47%	0.0098	✗	0.79
2026-02-11	oos	0.09184	0.092244	+0.44%	0.09446	+2.85%	0.0328	✓	0.74
2026-02-10	oos	0.09156	0.091985	+0.46%	0.09184	+0.31%	0.0188	✓	0.78
2026-02-09	oos	0.09423	0.094656	+0.45%	0.09156	-2.83%	0.0188	✗	0.77
2026-02-08	oos	0.09528	0.095738	+0.48%	0.09423	-1.10%	0.0139	✗	0.77
2026-02-07	oos	0.0984	0.098888	+0.50%	0.09528	-3.17%	0.0484	✗	0.76
2026-02-06	oos	0.0977	0.09821	+0.52%	0.0984	+0.72%	0.0157	✓	0.75
2026-02-05	oos	0.0963	0.097008	+0.74%	0.0977	+1.45%	0.0948	✗	0.88
2026-02-04	oos	0.1106	0.110939	+0.31%	0.0963	-12.93%	0.0121	✗	0.86
2026-02-03	oos	0.1139	0.114093	+0.17%	0.1106	-2.90%	0.0016	✓	0.91
2026-02-02	oos	0.1186	0.118561	-0.03%	0.1139	-3.96%	0.0038	✓	0.93
2026-02-01	oos	0.1225	0.12247	-0.02%	0.1186	-3.18%	0.0496	✓	0.77
2026-01-31	oos	0.1258	0.1256	-0.16%	0.1225	-2.62%	0.0101	✓	0.66
2026-01-30	oos	0.1377	0.137123	-0.42%	0.1258	-8.64%	0.0475	✓	0.58
2026-01-29	oos	0.143	0.142372	-0.44%	0.1377	-3.71%	0.0305	✓	0.61
2026-01-28	oos	0.1464	0.145584	-0.56%	0.143	-2.32%	0.0180	✗	0.67
2026-01-27	oos	0.1603	0.159411	-0.55%	0.1464	-8.67%	0.0855	✓	0.75
2026-01-26	oos	0.1669	0.16589	-0.61%	0.1603	-3.95%	0.0415	✓	0.73
2026-01-25	oos	0.1611	0.160209	-0.55%	0.1669	+3.60%	0.0274	✗	0.70
2026-01-24	oos	0.1798	0.178358	-0.80%	0.1611	-10.40%	0.0835	✓	0.64
2026-01-23	oos	0.1858	0.18395	-1.00%	0.1798	-3.23%	0.0189	✓	0.89
2026-01-22	oos	0.1948	0.191999	-1.44%	0.1858	-4.62%	0.0329	✓	0.90
2026-01-21	oos	0.1784	0.176389	-1.13%	0.1948	+9.19%	0.0983	✗	0.89
2026-01-20	oos	0.1709	0.169156	-1.02%	0.1784	+4.39%	0.0428	✗	0.88
2026-01-19	oos	0.182	0.178323	-2.02%	0.1709	-6.10%	0.0026	✓	0.85
2026-01-18	oos	0.1597	0.158457	-0.78%	0.182	+13.96%	0.1492	✗	0.92
2026-01-17	oos	0.1624	0.160886	-0.93%	0.1597	-1.66%	0.0068	✓	0.91
2026-01-16	oos	0.1802	0.176012	-2.32%	0.1624	-9.88%	0.0767	✓	0.91
2026-01-15	oos	0.1475	0.146113	-0.94%	0.1802	+22.17%	0.2105	✗	0.91
2026-01-14	oos	0.1489	0.147025	-1.26%	0.1475	-0.94%	0.0161	✗	0.91
2026-01-13	oos	0.1391	0.13736	-1.25%	0.1489	+7.05%	0.0664	✗	0.88
2026-01-12	oos	0.1286	0.127787	-0.63%	0.1391	+8.16%	0.0463	✗	0.86
2026-01-11	oos	0.1265	0.125729	-0.61%	0.1286	+1.66%	0.0195	✗	0.90
2026-01-10	oos	0.1302	0.129345	-0.66%	0.1265	-2.84%	0.0272	✓	0.90
2026-01-09	oos	0.1299	0.129057	-0.65%	0.1302	+0.23%	0.0104	✗	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.1312	0.130289	-0.69%	0.1299	-0.99%	0.0030	✓	1.07
2026-01-07	oos	0.1363	0.135219	-0.79%	0.1312	-3.74%	0.0288	✓	0.49
2026-01-06	oos	0.1419	0.140402	-1.06%	0.1363	-3.95%	0.0189	✓	0.41
2026-01-05	oos	0.1341	0.132922	-0.88%	0.1419	+5.82%	0.0660	✗	0.43
2026-01-04	oos	0.1333	0.132312	-0.74%	0.1341	+0.60%	0.0014	✓	0.47
2026-01-03	oos	0.134	0.133004	-0.74%	0.1333	-0.52%	0.0025	✓	0.48
2026-01-02	oos	0.1299	0.12902	-0.68%	0.134	+3.16%	0.0348	✗	0.43
2026-01-01	oos	0.1352	0.134202	-0.74%	0.1299	-3.92%	0.0390	✓	0.47
2025-12-31	oos	0.1293	0.128585	-0.55%	0.1352	+4.56%	0.0436	✗	0.47
2025-12-30	oos	0.1282	0.127452	-0.58%	0.1293	+0.86%	0.0192	✗	0.47
2025-12-29	oos	0.1299	0.129196	-0.54%	0.1282	-1.31%	0.0159	✓	0.56
2025-12-28	oos	0.1288	0.128053	-0.58%	0.1299	+0.85%	0.0192	✗	0.56
2025-12-27	oos	0.1333	0.1321	-0.90%	0.1288	-3.38%	0.0257	✓	0.55
2025-12-26	oos	0.1217	0.12134	-0.30%	0.1333	+9.53%	0.0909	✗	0.54
2025-12-25	oos	0.1217	0.121454	-0.20%	0.1217	+0.00%	0.0013	✓	0.54
2025-12-24	oos	0.122	0.121776	-0.18%	0.1217	-0.25%	0.0021	✗	0.54
2025-12-23	oos	0.1237	0.123452	-0.20%	0.122	-1.37%	0.0130	✓	0.58
2025-12-22	oos	0.1191	0.118932	-0.14%	0.1237	+3.86%	0.0468	✗	0.59
2025-12-21	oos	0.121	0.120832	-0.14%	0.1191	-1.57%	0.0139	✓	0.59
2025-12-20	oos	0.1284	0.128183	-0.17%	0.121	-5.76%	0.0599	✓	0.62
2025-12-19	oos	0.1234	0.123289	-0.09%	0.1284	+4.05%	0.0390	✗	0.62
2025-12-18	oos	0.1187	0.118776	+0.06%	0.1234	+3.96%	0.0198	✓	0.61
2025-12-17	oos	0.1248	0.124808	+0.01%	0.1187	-4.89%	0.0448	✗	0.61
2025-12-16	oos	0.1305	0.130423	-0.06%	0.1248	-4.37%	0.0328	✓	0.60
2025-12-15	oos	0.13	0.129987	-0.01%	0.1305	+0.38%	0.0060	✓	0.60
2025-12-14	oos	0.1399	0.139787	-0.08%	0.13	-7.08%	0.0608	✓	0.59
2025-12-13	oos	0.1477	0.147501	-0.13%	0.1399	-5.28%	0.0398	✓	0.56
2025-12-12	oos	0.1524	0.152174	-0.15%	0.1477	-3.08%	0.0297	✓	0.57
2025-12-11	oos	0.1575	0.157199	-0.19%	0.1524	-3.24%	0.0172	✓	0.56
2025-12-10	oos	0.1591	0.158817	-0.18%	0.1575	-1.01%	0.0114	✓	0.56
2025-12-09	oos	0.1656	0.165254	-0.21%	0.1591	-3.93%	0.0340	✓	0.56
2025-12-08	oos	0.1606	0.160368	-0.14%	0.1656	+3.11%	0.0198	✗	0.55
2025-12-07	oos	0.16	0.159796	-0.13%	0.1606	+0.38%	0.0035	✗	0.55
2025-12-06	oos	0.1638	0.163601	-0.12%	0.16	-2.32%	0.0295	✓	0.57
2025-12-05	oos	0.1537	0.153567	-0.09%	0.1638	+6.57%	0.0650	✗	0.57
2025-12-04	oos	0.1695	0.16919	-0.18%	0.1537	-9.32%	0.0805	✓	0.51
2025-12-03	oos	0.1707	0.170335	-0.21%	0.1695	-0.70%	0.0026	✗	0.51
2025-12-02	oos	0.1695	0.169198	-0.18%	0.1707	+0.71%	0.0034	✓	0.53
2025-12-01	oos	0.165	0.164884	-0.07%	0.1695	+2.73%	0.0028	✓	0.54
2025-11-30	oos	0.1765	0.176178	-0.18%	0.165	-6.52%	0.0429	✓	0.49
2025-11-29	oos	0.1739	0.173551	-0.20%	0.1765	+1.50%	0.0193	✗	0.48
2025-11-28	oos	0.1872	0.186775	-0.23%	0.1739	-7.10%	0.0710	✓	0.49
2025-11-27	oos	0.196	0.195451	-0.28%	0.1872	-4.49%	0.0409	✓	0.48
2025-11-26	oos	0.2004	0.199797	-0.30%	0.196	-2.20%	0.0242	✓	0.54
2025-11-25	oos	0.2034	0.202889	-0.25%	0.2004	-1.47%	0.0332	✓	0.59
2025-11-24	oos	0.2118	0.211052	-0.35%	0.2034	-3.97%	0.0307	✓	0.58
2025-11-23	oos	0.2164	0.215622	-0.36%	0.2118	-2.13%	0.0281	✓	0.62
2025-11-22	oos	0.22	0.219285	-0.32%	0.2164	-1.64%	0.0309	✓	0.71
2025-11-21	oos	0.2207	0.21995	-0.34%	0.22	-0.32%	0.0035	✗	0.71
2025-11-20	oos	0.2542	0.252161	-0.80%	0.2207	-13.18%	0.1219	✓	0.67
2025-11-19	oos	0.264	0.260928	-1.16%	0.2542	-3.71%	0.0128	✗	0.70
2025-11-18	oos	0.2603	0.2568	-1.34%	0.264	+1.42%	0.0390	✗	0.72
2025-11-17	oos	0.251	0.247891	-1.24%	0.2603	+3.71%	0.0424	✗	0.73
2025-11-16	oos	0.2828	0.275029	-2.75%	0.251	-11.24%	0.0757	✓	0.70
2025-11-15	oos	0.2202	0.218409	-0.81%	0.2828	+28.43%	0.2697	✗	0.79
2025-11-14	oos	0.2065	0.205338	-0.56%	0.2202	+6.63%	0.0614	✗	0.77
2025-11-13	oos	0.1977	0.196155	-0.78%	0.2065	+4.45%	0.0983	✗	0.89
2025-11-12	oos	0.2388	0.236297	-1.05%	0.1977	-17.21%	0.1623	✓	0.80
2025-11-11	oos	0.2335	0.231149	-1.01%	0.2388	+2.27%	0.0433	✗	0.80
2025-11-10	oos	0.241	0.238348	-1.10%	0.2335	-3.11%	0.0020	✓	0.79
2025-11-09	oos	0.2682	0.264535	-1.37%	0.241	-10.14%	0.1035	✓	0.84
2025-11-08	oos	0.2763	0.272288	-1.45%	0.2682	-2.93%	0.0358	✓	0.89
2025-11-07	oos	0.2973	0.291885	-1.82%	0.2763	-7.06%	0.0464	✓	0.87
2025-11-06	oos	0.3066	0.300574	-1.97%	0.2973	-3.03%	0.0287	✓	0.91
2025-11-05	oos	0.344	0.334216	-2.84%	0.3066	-10.87%	0.0653	✓	0.83
2025-11-04	oos	0.331	0.319022	-3.62%	0.344	+3.93%	0.0557	✗	0.84
2025-11-03	oos	0.2923	0.285319	-2.39%	0.331	+13.24%	0.2028	✗	1.11
2025-11-02	oos	0.2623	0.257752	-1.73%	0.2923	+11.44%	0.1735	✗	1.30
2025-11-01	oos	0.2884	0.279624	-3.04%	0.2623	-9.05%	0.0698	✓	1.33
2025-10-31	oos	0.2412	0.237455	-1.55%	0.2884	+19.57%	0.1885	✗	1.31
2025-10-30	oos	0.2135	0.21134	-1.01%	0.2412	+12.97%	0.1176	✗	1.27
2025-10-29	oos	0.2633	0.257455	-2.22%	0.2135	-18.91%	0.1683	✓	1.19
2025-10-28	oos	0.2569	0.249797	-2.76%	0.2633	+2.49%	0.0851	✗	1.26
2025-10-27	oos	0.233	0.227598	-2.32%	0.2569	+10.26%	0.1346	✗	1.30
2025-10-26	oos	0.2427	0.233443	-3.81%	0.233	-4.00%	0.0033	✓	1.29
2025-10-25	oos	0.1694	0.168407	-0.59%	0.2427	+43.27%	0.3402	✗	0.99
2025-10-24	oos	0.1667	0.165747	-0.57%	0.1694	+1.62%	0.0162	✗	1.00
2025-10-23	oos	0.1684	0.167376	-0.61%	0.1667	-1.01%	0.0125	✓	1.01
2025-10-22	oos	0.164	0.163073	-0.57%	0.1684	+2.68%	0.0085	✗	1.02
2025-10-21	oos	0.1681	0.16707	-0.61%	0.164	-2.44%	0.0113	✓	1.01
2025-10-20	oos	0.1826	0.180973	-0.89%	0.1681	-7.94%	0.0540	✓	0.98
2025-10-19	oos	0.1846	0.182836	-0.96%	0.1826	-1.08%	0.0177	✓	0.95
2025-10-18	oos	0.1778	0.176335	-0.82%	0.1846	+3.82%	0.0330	✗	0.94
2025-10-17	oos	0.1755	0.173989	-0.86%	0.1778	+1.31%	0.0151	✗	0.94
2025-10-16	oos	0.1772	0.175434	-1.00%	0.1755	-0.96%	0.0155	✗	0.94
2025-10-15	oos	0.1795	0.177848	-0.92%	0.1772	-1.28%	0.0190	✗	0.95
2025-10-14	oos	0.1959	0.193173	-1.39%	0.1795	-8.37%	0.0553	✓	0.89
2025-10-13	oos	0.2198	0.214553	-2.39%	0.1959	-10.87%	0.0752	✓	0.81
2025-10-12	oos	0.2327	0.224525	-3.51%	0.2198	-5.54%	0.0227	✓	0.80
2025-10-11	oos	0.2065	0.201062	-2.63%	0.2327	+12.69%	0.1210	✗	0.66
2025-10-10	oos	0.2455	0.234171	-4.61%	0.2065	-15.89%	0.1154	✓	0.52
2025-10-09	oos	0.1897	0.182915	-3.58%	0.2455	+29.41%	0.4238	✗	1.74
2025-10-08	oos	0.1442	0.143442	-0.53%	0.1897	+31.55%	0.3054	✗	1.95
2025-10-07	oos	0.1348	0.134217	-0.43%	0.1442	+6.97%	0.0422	✗	1.85
2025-10-06	oos	0.1445	0.143579	-0.64%	0.1348	-6.71%	0.0162	✓	1.73
2025-10-05	oos	0.1413	0.140281	-0.72%	0.1445	+2.26%	0.0126	✗	1.76
2025-10-04	oos	0.1597	0.156779	-1.83%	0.1413	-11.52%	0.1195	✓	1.80
2025-10-03	oos	0.1405	0.139166	-0.95%	0.1597	+13.67%	0.1356	✗	1.81
2025-10-02	oos	0.1343	0.133431	-0.65%	0.1405	+4.62%	0.0266	✗	1.79
2025-10-01	oos	0.1329	0.132078	-0.62%	0.1343	+1.05%	0.0133	✓	1.83
2025-09-30	oos	0.1204	0.120087	-0.26%	0.1329	+10.38%	0.0316	✗	1.77
2025-09-29	oos	0.1214	0.121059	-0.28%	0.1204	-0.82%	0.0008	✓	1.79
2025-09-28	oos	0.1237	0.123369	-0.27%	0.1214	-1.86%	0.0517	✓	1.86
2025-09-27	oos	0.1203	0.119995	-0.25%	0.1237	+2.83%	0.0121	✓	1.87
2025-09-26	oos	0.1198	0.119477	-0.27%	0.1203	+0.42%	0.0071	✗	1.88
2025-09-25	oos	0.1167	0.116365	-0.29%	0.1198	+2.66%	0.0177	✗	1.88
2025-09-24	oos	0.1243	0.123915	-0.31%	0.1167	-6.11%	0.0138	✗	1.90
2025-09-23	oos	0.1231	0.122711	-0.32%	0.1243	+0.97%	0.0098	✓	1.92
2025-09-22	oos	0.1243	0.123918	-0.31%	0.1231	-0.97%	0.0054	✗	1.88
2025-09-21	oos	0.1337	0.133333	-0.27%	0.1243	-7.03%	0.0290	✓	1.84
2025-09-20	oos	0.1364	0.136021	-0.28%	0.1337	-1.98%	0.0092	✓	1.98
2025-09-19	oos	0.1333	0.132913	-0.29%	0.1364	+2.33%	0.0248	✗	1.99
2025-09-18	oos	0.1416	0.141181	-0.30%	0.1333	-5.86%	0.0333	✓	1.97
2025-09-17	oos	0.1427	0.142228	-0.33%	0.1416	-0.77%	0.0152	✓	1.98

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.