O

o1.exchange · Base · gru_s9

token id: #266
symbol: O
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x182fa643e5f29d5eca75e7b9cf9336a3fe4620b2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-17
predictions: 357

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

112

of 119 predictions shown

direction hit

70.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0805

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0141

actual -0.0298

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.43434	0.426937	-1.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-21	oos	0.43252	0.425939	-1.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.49
2026-10-20	oos	0.439245	0.431946	-1.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.407545	0.401957	-1.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.42721	0.420546	-1.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.445015	0.437204	-1.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.4589	0.450151	-1.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.455525	0.446603	-1.96%	0.43434	-4.65%	0.0411	✓	0.53
2026-10-14	oos	0.46111	0.452107	-1.95%	0.43252	-6.20%	0.0600	✓	0.53
2026-10-13	oos	0.47322	0.465691	-1.59%	0.439245	-7.18%	0.0574	✓	0.55
2026-10-12	oos	0.48416	0.474929	-1.91%	0.407545	-15.82%	0.1537	✓	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.480645	0.473906	-1.40%	0.42721	-11.12%	0.0914	✓	0.61
2026-10-10	oos	0.47832	0.470209	-1.70%	0.445015	-6.96%	0.0435	✓	0.62
2026-10-09	oos	0.449425	0.443928	-1.22%	0.4589	+2.11%	0.0411	✗	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.454605	0.448867	-1.26%	0.455525	+0.20%	0.0115	✓	0.62
2026-10-07	oos	0.47178	0.467194	-0.97%	0.46111	-2.26%	0.0008	✓	0.60
2026-10-06	oos	0.503025	0.499393	-0.72%	0.47322	-5.93%	0.0375	✓	0.57
2026-10-05	oos	0.50726	0.504049	-0.63%	0.48416	-4.55%	0.0133	✓	0.56
2026-10-04	oos	0.513105	0.510648	-0.48%	0.480645	-6.33%	0.0426	✓	0.54
2026-10-03	oos	0.51275	0.509657	-0.60%	0.47832	-6.71%	0.0517	✓	0.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.5204	0.517861	-0.49%	0.449425	-13.64%	0.1294	✓	0.53
2026-10-01	oos	0.539035	0.536436	-0.48%	0.454605	-15.66%	0.1451	✓	0.54
2026-09-30	oos	0.55308	0.548636	-0.80%	0.47178	-14.70%	0.1491	✓	0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.566075	0.561562	-0.80%	0.503025	-11.14%	0.1219	✓	0.53
2026-09-28	oos	0.52923	0.526771	-0.46%	0.50726	-4.15%	0.0534	✓	0.58
2026-09-27	oos	0.53924	0.53766	-0.29%	0.513105	-4.85%	0.0613	✓	0.61
2026-09-26	oos	0.543685	0.542397	-0.24%	0.51275	-5.69%	0.0586	✓	0.63
2026-09-25	oos	0.548345	0.547089	-0.23%	0.5204	-5.10%	0.0529	✓	0.58
2026-09-24	oos	0.55141	0.550234	-0.21%	0.539035	-2.24%	0.0238	✓	0.59
2026-09-23	oos	0.54546	0.544963	-0.09%	0.55308	+1.40%	0.0205	✗	0.59
2026-09-22	oos	0.55875	0.558868	+0.02%	0.566075	+1.31%	0.0375	✓	0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.54479	0.546061	+0.23%	0.52923	-2.86%	0.0133	✗	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.550025	0.547985	-0.37%	0.53924	-1.96%	0.0408	✓	0.62
2026-09-19	oos	0.566845	0.564696	-0.38%	0.543685	-4.09%	0.0608	✓	0.60
2026-09-18	oos	0.572975	0.570609	-0.41%	0.548345	-4.30%	0.0647	✓	0.64
2026-09-17	oos	0.55887	0.553381	-0.98%	0.55141	-1.33%	0.0669	✓	0.63
2026-09-16	oos	0.536045	0.532372	-0.69%	0.54546	+1.76%	0.0476	✓	0.70
2026-09-15	oos	0.52681	0.523354	-0.66%	0.55875	+6.06%	0.0399	✓	0.80
2026-09-14	oos	0.54605	0.543673	-0.44%	0.54479	-0.23%	0.0794	✓	0.80
2026-09-13	oos	0.506	0.505248	-0.15%	0.550025	+8.70%	0.0428	✗	0.76
2026-09-12	oos	0.541645	0.539418	-0.41%	0.566845	+4.65%	0.0121	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.54789	0.545552	-0.43%	0.572975	+4.58%	0.0143	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.53246	0.530648	-0.34%	0.55887	+4.96%	0.0536	✗	0.74
2026-09-09	oos	0.525035	0.525182	+0.03%	0.536045	+2.10%	0.0418	✓	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.53373	0.533186	-0.10%	0.52681	-1.30%	0.0166	✗	0.77
2026-09-07	oos	0.54462	0.544771	+0.03%	0.54605	+0.26%	0.0113	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	0.53535	0.537692	+0.44%	0.506	-5.48%	0.0253	✗	0.79
2026-09-05	oos	0.53493	0.537283	+0.44%	0.541645	+1.26%	0.0338	✓	0.79
2026-09-04	oos	0.55411	0.555326	+0.22%	0.54789	-1.12%	0.0112	✓	0.79
2026-09-03	oos	0.56077	0.562902	+0.38%	0.53246	-5.05%	0.0082	✗	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	0.549935	0.548576	-0.25%	0.525035	-4.53%	0.0541	✓	0.82
2026-09-01	oos	0.55791	0.555563	-0.42%	0.53373	-4.33%	0.0511	✓	0.82
2026-08-31	oos	0.55311	0.552238	-0.16%	0.54462	-1.53%	0.0195	✓	0.83
2026-08-30	oos	0.53392	0.532243	-0.31%	0.53535	+0.27%	0.0220	✓	0.82
2026-08-29	oos	0.5311	0.529614	-0.28%	0.53493	+0.72%	0.0068	✓	0.83
2026-08-28	oos	0.452265	0.456676	+0.98%	0.55411	+22.52%	0.1744	✓	0.81
2026-08-27	oos	0.4366	0.443935	+1.68%	0.56077	+28.44%	0.2226	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.44712	0.453553	+1.44%	0.549935	+22.99%	0.2128	✓	0.92
2026-08-25	oos	0.446145	0.452298	+1.38%	0.55791	+25.05%	0.2231	✓	0.92
2026-08-24	oos	0.43008	0.437098	+1.63%	0.55311	+28.61%	0.2404	✓	0.93
2026-08-23	oos	0.44159	0.447813	+1.41%	0.53392	+20.91%	0.1767	✓	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.4364	0.441133	+1.08%	0.5311	+21.70%	0.1712	✓	0.95
2026-08-21	oos	0.51216	0.516229	+0.79%	0.452265	-11.69%	0.1270	✗	0.84
2026-08-20	oos	0.48057	0.480886	+0.07%	0.4366	-9.15%	0.1731	✗	0.81
2026-08-19	oos	0.48616	0.481519	-0.95%	0.44712	-8.03%	0.1973	✓	0.94
2026-08-18	oos	0.484325	0.474302	-2.07%	0.446145	-7.88%	0.2975	✓	1.22
2026-08-17	oos	0.45821	0.44881	-2.05%	0.43008	-6.14%	0.2871	✓	1.20
2026-08-16	oos	0.449445	0.440907	-1.90%	0.44159	-1.75%	0.2572	✓	1.22
2026-08-15	oos	0.455485	0.447337	-1.79%	0.4364	-4.19%	0.2692	✓	1.22
2026-08-14	oos	0.4421	0.434833	-1.64%	0.51216	+15.85%	0.1008	✓	1.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.44526	0.437881	-1.66%	0.48057	+7.93%	0.0783	✓	1.22
2026-08-12	oos	0.439325	0.432412	-1.57%	0.48616	+10.66%	0.0092	✓	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.445895	0.438738	-1.61%	0.484325	+8.62%	0.0771	✗	1.22
2026-08-10	oos	0.45317	0.445436	-1.71%	0.45821	+1.11%	0.0176	✗	1.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.47207	0.462668	-1.99%	0.449445	-4.79%	0.0087	✓	1.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.467935	0.458283	-2.06%	0.455485	-2.66%	0.0292	✗	1.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.47738	0.466892	-2.20%	0.4421	-7.39%	0.0187	✓	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.4807	0.470101	-2.21%	0.44526	-7.37%	0.0384	✓	1.21
2026-08-05	oos	0.489915	0.478063	-2.42%	0.439325	-10.33%	0.0621	✓	1.20
2026-08-04	oos	0.50446	0.491542	-2.56%	0.445895	-11.61%	0.0875	✓	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.49863	0.485641	-2.60%	0.45317	-9.12%	0.0778	✓	1.22
2026-08-02	oos	0.47985	0.467048	-2.67%	0.47207	-1.62%	0.0150	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.51585	0.50088	-2.90%	0.467935	-9.29%	0.1118	✓	1.30
2026-07-31	oos	0.496455	0.481939	-2.92%	0.47738	-3.84%	0.0517	✓	1.31
2026-07-30	oos	0.5026	0.486555	-3.19%	0.4807	-4.36%	0.0023	✓	1.39
2026-07-29	oos	0.47888	0.46447	-3.01%	0.489915	+2.30%	0.0385	✗	1.35
2026-07-28	oos	0.487225	0.47183	-3.16%	0.50446	+3.54%	0.0626	✗	1.35
2026-07-27	oos	0.48183	0.46791	-2.89%	0.49863	+3.49%	0.0684	✗	1.34
2026-07-26	oos	0.4778	0.465376	-2.60%	0.47985	+0.43%	0.0727	✗	1.47
2026-07-25	oos	0.51004	0.495891	-2.77%	0.51585	+1.14%	0.0780	✗	1.60
2026-07-24	oos	0.48595	0.473536	-2.55%	0.496455	+2.16%	0.0786	✗	1.58
2026-07-23	oos	0.54517	0.529158	-2.94%	0.5026	-7.81%	0.0441	✓	1.45
2026-07-22	oos	0.59166	0.578498	-2.22%	0.47888	-19.06%	0.1431	✓	1.36
2026-07-21	oos	0.6201	0.606117	-2.25%	0.487225	-21.43%	0.1636	✓	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.6262	0.609751	-2.63%	0.48183	-23.05%	0.2023	✓	1.41
2026-07-19	oos	0.5895	0.57483	-2.49%	0.4778	-18.95%	0.1987	✓	1.36
2026-07-18	oos	0.57496	0.560928	-2.44%	0.51004	-11.29%	0.0845	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.56643	0.551357	-2.66%	0.48595	-14.21%	0.1303	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.521855	0.509154	-2.43%	0.54517	+4.47%	0.0485	✗	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.556	0.542784	-2.38%	0.59166	+6.41%	0.0653	✗	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.55588	0.542673	-2.38%	0.6201	+11.55%	0.1101	✗	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.525275	0.510995	-2.72%	0.6262	+19.21%	0.1570	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.542635	0.528847	-2.54%	0.5895	+8.64%	0.0939	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.56335	0.548595	-2.62%	0.57496	+2.06%	0.0310	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.55385	0.539681	-2.56%	0.56643	+2.27%	0.0520	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.57192	0.555922	-2.80%	0.521855	-8.75%	0.0726	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.55441	0.538362	-2.89%	0.556	+0.29%	0.0068	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.558795	0.54309	-2.81%	0.55588	-0.52%	0.0027	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.53254	0.518294	-2.68%	0.525275	-1.36%	0.0409	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.55362	0.538259	-2.77%	0.542635	-1.98%	0.0056	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.609515	0.589835	-3.23%	0.56335	-7.57%	0.0568	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.54012	0.523811	-3.02%	0.55385	+2.54%	0.0304	✓	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.557835	0.539612	-3.27%	0.57192	+2.52%	0.0310	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.558	0.538466	-3.50%	0.55441	-0.64%	0.0081	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.505	0.487942	-3.38%	0.558795	+10.65%	0.0568	✗	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.535035	0.517017	-3.37%	0.53254	-0.47%	0.0323	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.488	0.471394	-3.40%	0.55362	+13.45%	0.0940	✗	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.427605	0.411603	-3.74%	0.609515	+42.54%	0.3414	✗	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.457	0.441768	-3.33%	0.54012	+18.19%	0.1599	✗	1.00