NEX

Nexus · Ethereum · gru_s9

token id: #668
symbol: NEX
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xf57d49646621f563b0b905afc8336923ac569ec5
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-20
predictions: 438

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

139

of 146 predictions shown

direction hit

67.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1222

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0134

actual -0.0853

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	6.85e-7	6.78e-7	-1.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	6.85e-7	6.79e-7	-0.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-19	oos	6.75e-7	6.69e-7	-0.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	7.15e-7	7.05e-7	-1.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-17	oos	7.15e-7	7.07e-7	-1.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-16	oos	7.35e-7	7.27e-7	-1.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-15	oos	7.45e-7	7.38e-7	-0.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-14	oos	7.75e-7	7.66e-7	-1.13%	6.85e-7	-11.61%	0.1194	✓	0.54
2026-10-13	oos	7.75e-7	7.68e-7	-0.91%	6.85e-7	-11.61%	0.1133	✓	0.54
2026-10-12	oos	8.05e-7	7.95e-7	-1.20%	6.75e-7	-16.15%	0.1647	✓	0.55
2026-10-11	oos	8.15e-7	8.09e-7	-0.80%	7.15e-7	-12.27%	0.1115	✓	0.56
2026-10-10	oos	8.15e-7	8.07e-7	-0.96%	7.15e-7	-12.27%	0.1106	✓	0.57
2026-10-09	oos	7.95e-7	7.87e-7	-1.00%	7.35e-7	-7.55%	0.0609	✓	0.59
2026-10-08	oos	7.95e-7	7.86e-7	-1.16%	7.45e-7	-6.29%	0.0563	✓	0.58
2026-10-07	oos	8.05e-7	7.98e-7	-0.81%	7.75e-7	-3.73%	0.0181	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	8.15e-7	8.12e-7	-0.36%	7.75e-7	-4.91%	0.0308	✓	0.55
2026-10-05	oos	8.25e-7	8.24e-7	-0.11%	8.05e-7	-2.42%	0.0030	✗	0.55
2026-10-04	oos	8.25e-7	8.26e-7	+0.09%	8.15e-7	-1.21%	0.0056	✓	0.56
2026-10-03	oos	8.35e-7	8.34e-7	-0.13%	8.15e-7	-2.40%	0.0106	✓	0.56
2026-10-02	oos	8.40e-7	8.39e-7	-0.07%	7.95e-7	-5.36%	0.0412	✓	0.56
2026-10-01	oos	8.15e-7	8.15e-7	+0.05%	7.95e-7	-2.45%	0.0034	✗	0.58
2026-09-30	oos	8.25e-7	8.26e-7	+0.11%	8.05e-7	-2.42%	0.0232	✗	0.74
2026-09-29	oos	8.35e-7	8.38e-7	+0.31%	8.15e-7	-2.40%	0.0439	✗	0.74
2026-09-28	oos	8.25e-7	8.29e-7	+0.44%	8.25e-7	+0.00%	0.0244	✗	0.74
2026-09-27	oos	8.40e-7	8.45e-7	+0.54%	8.25e-7	-1.79%	0.0409	✗	0.73
2026-09-26	oos	8.35e-7	8.40e-7	+0.55%	8.35e-7	+0.00%	0.0083	✗	0.73
2026-09-25	oos	8.35e-7	8.41e-7	+0.66%	8.40e-7	+0.60%	0.0042	✓	0.73
2026-09-24	oos	8.30e-7	8.37e-7	+0.79%	8.15e-7	-1.81%	0.0301	✗	0.74
2026-09-23	oos	8.50e-7	8.56e-7	+0.76%	8.25e-7	-2.94%	0.0302	✗	0.74
2026-09-22	oos	0.000001065	0.000001064	-0.09%	8.35e-7	-21.60%	0.2231	✓	0.64
2026-09-21	oos	0.000001075	0.000001073	-0.22%	8.25e-7	-23.26%	0.2370	✓	0.69
2026-09-20	oos	0.000001055	0.00000105	-0.44%	8.40e-7	-20.38%	0.2526	✓	0.73
2026-09-19	oos	0.000001085	0.000001076	-0.87%	8.35e-7	-23.04%	0.2809	✓	0.72
2026-09-18	oos	0.000001065	0.000001063	-0.23%	8.35e-7	-21.60%	0.2690	✓	0.72
2026-09-17	oos	0.00000104	0.000001037	-0.29%	8.30e-7	-20.19%	0.2954	✓	0.73
2026-09-16	oos	0.000001015	0.000001014	-0.14%	8.50e-7	-16.26%	0.2485	✓	0.71
2026-09-15	oos	9.95e-7	9.98e-7	+0.30%	0.000001065	+7.04%	0.0398	✗	0.80
2026-09-14	oos	0.000001025	0.000001031	+0.58%	0.000001075	+4.88%	0.0337	✗	0.74
2026-09-13	oos	0.000001005	0.000001012	+0.67%	0.000001055	+4.98%	0.0013	✓	0.73
2026-09-12	oos	0.000001015	0.000001022	+0.73%	0.000001085	+6.90%	0.0222	✓	0.74
2026-09-11	oos	0.000001025	0.000001032	+0.73%	0.000001065	+3.90%	0.0043	✓	0.76
2026-09-10	oos	0.000001045	0.000001049	+0.34%	0.00000104	-0.48%	0.0064	✗	0.76
2026-09-09	oos	0.00000107	0.000001075	+0.46%	0.000001015	-5.14%	0.0360	✗	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.000001425	0.000001419	-0.46%	9.95e-7	-30.18%	0.3270	✓	0.74
2026-09-07	oos	0.000001445	0.000001442	-0.22%	0.000001025	-29.07%	0.3328	✓	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00000145	0.000001457	+0.46%	0.000001005	-30.69%	0.3387	✗	0.72
2026-09-05	oos	0.00000147	0.000001474	+0.30%	0.000001015	-30.95%	0.3497	✗	0.73
2026-09-04	oos	0.00000145	0.000001455	+0.34%	0.000001025	-29.31%	0.3279	✗	0.71
2026-09-03	oos	0.00000145	0.000001463	+0.90%	0.000001045	-27.93%	0.2927	✗	0.73
2026-09-02	oos	0.00000143	0.000001422	-0.59%	0.00000107	-25.17%	0.2921	✓	0.64
2026-09-01	oos	0.00000144	0.000001435	-0.35%	0.000001425	-1.04%	0.0156	✓	0.64
2026-08-31	oos	0.000001435	0.000001436	+0.05%	0.000001445	+0.70%	0.0016	✓	0.73
2026-08-30	oos	0.000001435	0.000001432	-0.22%	0.00000145	+1.05%	0.0100	✓	0.67
2026-08-29	oos	0.000001445	0.000001447	+0.14%	0.00000147	+1.73%	0.0026	✓	0.65
2026-08-28	oos	0.000001455	0.000001459	+0.26%	0.00000145	-0.34%	0.0212	✗	0.65
2026-08-27	oos	0.00000148	0.000001491	+0.74%	0.00000145	-2.03%	0.0359	✗	0.66
2026-08-26	oos	0.000001465	0.000001472	+0.46%	0.00000143	-2.39%	0.0144	✗	0.65
2026-08-25	oos	0.000001475	0.000001479	+0.27%	0.00000144	-2.37%	0.0174	✗	0.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.000001465	0.00000147	+0.37%	0.000001435	-2.05%	0.0211	✗	0.62
2026-08-23	oos	0.00000149	0.000001491	+0.04%	0.000001435	-3.69%	0.0374	✗	0.66
2026-08-22	oos	0.0000015	0.000001497	-0.18%	0.000001445	-3.67%	0.0453	✓	0.64
2026-08-21	oos	0.00000154	0.000001537	-0.19%	0.000001455	-5.52%	0.0509	✓	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.000001505	0.000001491	-0.96%	0.00000148	-1.66%	0.0715	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.00000149	0.000001465	-1.65%	0.000001465	-1.68%	0.1180	✓	0.90
2026-08-18	oos	0.000001435	0.000001404	-2.14%	0.000001475	+2.79%	0.1310	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.000001515	0.00000148	-2.30%	0.000001465	-3.30%	0.2003	✓	0.94
2026-08-16	oos	0.000001485	0.000001451	-2.32%	0.00000149	+0.34%	0.1706	✓	0.93
2026-08-15	oos	0.000001495	0.000001458	-2.48%	0.0000015	+0.33%	0.1582	✓	0.93
2026-08-14	oos	0.000001545	0.000001505	-2.60%	0.00000154	-0.32%	0.1799	✓	0.93
2026-08-13	oos	0.000001545	0.000001506	-2.52%	0.000001505	-2.59%	0.1321	✓	0.93
2026-08-12	oos	0.000001555	0.000001513	-2.68%	0.00000149	-4.18%	0.0984	✓	0.93
2026-08-11	oos	0.000001635	0.000001578	-3.49%	0.000001435	-12.23%	0.1117	✓	0.93
2026-08-10	oos	0.000001645	0.000001575	-4.27%	0.000001515	-7.90%	0.0470	✓	0.94
2026-08-09	oos	0.000001435	0.000001407	-1.95%	0.000001485	+3.48%	0.0858	✗	1.01
2026-08-08	oos	0.000001445	0.000001416	-2.03%	0.000001495	+3.46%	0.0844	✗	1.01
2026-08-07	oos	0.000001475	0.000001445	-2.03%	0.000001545	+4.75%	0.0971	✗	1.01
2026-08-06	oos	0.000001475	0.000001445	-2.01%	0.000001545	+4.75%	0.0799	✗	1.01
2026-08-05	oos	0.000001455	0.000001427	-1.93%	0.000001555	+6.87%	0.1047	✗	1.01
2026-08-04	oos	0.000001445	0.000001417	-1.92%	0.000001635	+13.15%	0.1511	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.000001465	0.000001435	-2.04%	0.000001645	+12.29%	0.1294	✗	1.01
2026-08-02	oos	0.00000149	0.000001459	-2.06%	0.000001435	-3.69%	0.0380	✓	1.01
2026-08-01	oos	0.00000145	0.000001422	-1.95%	0.000001445	-0.34%	0.0171	✓	0.99
2026-07-31	oos	0.000001455	0.000001427	-1.95%	0.000001475	+1.37%	0.0013	✓	0.99
2026-07-30	oos	0.000001495	0.000001464	-2.05%	0.000001475	-1.34%	0.0144	✓	1.01
2026-07-29	oos	0.000001505	0.000001474	-2.07%	0.000001455	-3.32%	0.0240	✓	1.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.000001505	0.000001475	-1.96%	0.000001445	-3.99%	0.0241	✓	1.01
2026-07-27	oos	0.000001505	0.000001476	-1.94%	0.000001465	-2.66%	0.0037	✓	1.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.000001575	0.000001543	-2.04%	0.00000149	-5.40%	0.0062	✓	1.00
2026-07-25	oos	0.000001565	0.000001533	-2.04%	0.00000145	-7.35%	0.0316	✓	1.00
2026-07-24	oos	0.000001575	0.000001543	-2.03%	0.000001455	-7.62%	0.0389	✓	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.000001595	0.000001563	-2.03%	0.000001495	-6.27%	0.0391	✓	1.01
2026-07-22	oos	0.000001635	0.000001602	-2.04%	0.000001505	-7.95%	0.0282	✓	1.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.000001635	0.000001601	-2.06%	0.000001505	-7.95%	0.0204	✓	1.01
2026-07-20	oos	0.000001695	0.000001657	-2.24%	0.000001505	-11.21%	0.0714	✓	1.05
2026-07-19	oos	0.000001715	0.000001673	-2.43%	0.000001575	-8.16%	0.0713	✓	1.05
2026-07-18	oos	0.000001705	0.000001661	-2.56%	0.000001565	-8.21%	0.0515	✓	1.05
2026-07-17	oos	0.000001705	0.000001662	-2.53%	0.000001575	-7.62%	0.0568	✓	1.05
2026-07-16	oos	0.000001775	0.000001729	-2.58%	0.000001595	-10.14%	0.1017	✓	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.000001775	0.000001727	-2.69%	0.000001635	-7.89%	0.0774	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.000001785	0.000001738	-2.64%	0.000001635	-8.40%	0.0859	✓	1.07
2026-07-13	oos	0.000001755	0.000001717	-2.16%	0.000001695	-3.42%	0.0638	✓	1.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.000001825	0.000001782	-2.38%	0.000001715	-6.03%	0.0543	✓	1.10
2026-07-11	oos	0.000002225	0.000002151	-3.35%	0.000001705	-23.37%	0.2502	✓	1.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.0000022	0.000002129	-3.23%	0.000001705	-22.50%	0.2179	✓	1.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.000002355	0.000002256	-4.21%	0.000001775	-24.63%	0.2509	✓	1.20
2026-07-08	oos	0.000002615	0.000002507	-4.14%	0.000001775	-32.12%	0.3962	✓	1.30
2026-07-07	oos	0.00000269	0.000002548	-5.27%	0.000001785	-33.64%	0.3899	✓	1.31
2026-07-06	oos	0.00000276	0.000002592	-6.07%	0.000001755	-36.41%	0.3542	✓	1.31
2026-07-05	oos	0.00000285	0.000002667	-6.43%	0.000001825	-35.96%	0.3825	✓	1.32
2026-07-04	oos	0.000002975	0.000002756	-7.35%	0.000002225	-25.21%	0.2287	✓	1.35
2026-07-03	oos	0.00000283	0.000002617	-7.53%	0.0000022	-22.26%	0.2070	✓	1.32
2026-07-02	oos	0.00000185	0.000001829	-1.14%	0.000002355	+27.30%	0.2299	✗	0.84
2026-07-01	oos	0.00000185	0.000001834	-0.86%	0.000002615	+41.35%	0.3232	✗	0.85
2026-06-30	oos	0.00000184	0.00000183	-0.56%	0.00000269	+46.20%	0.3196	✗	0.84
2026-06-29	oos	0.000001885	0.00000187	-0.78%	0.00000276	+46.42%	0.3360	✗	0.86
2026-06-28	oos	0.000001885	0.000001873	-0.63%	0.00000285	+51.19%	0.3631	✗	0.85
2026-06-27	oos	0.000001905	0.000001892	-0.68%	0.000002975	+56.17%	0.4091	✗	0.85
2026-06-26	oos	0.00000201	0.000001994	-0.81%	0.00000283	+40.80%	0.3150	✗	0.86
2026-06-25	oos	0.00000199	0.000001978	-0.62%	0.00000185	-7.04%	0.0914	✓	0.84
2026-06-24	oos	0.000002145	0.000002124	-0.97%	0.00000185	-13.75%	0.1245	✓	0.81
2026-06-23	oos	0.000002345	0.000002313	-1.36%	0.00000184	-21.54%	0.1780	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.000002455	0.000002418	-1.51%	0.000001885	-23.22%	0.2039	✓	0.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.000002535	0.000002497	-1.48%	0.000001885	-25.64%	0.2346	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.000002575	0.000002536	-1.53%	0.000001905	-26.02%	0.2327	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.00000258	0.000002544	-1.41%	0.00000201	-22.09%	0.1927	✓	0.76
2026-06-18	oos	0.000002835	0.000002789	-1.61%	0.00000199	-29.81%	0.2858	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.0000033	0.000003222	-2.37%	0.000002145	-35.00%	0.3516	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.00000302	0.000002961	-1.96%	0.000002345	-22.35%	0.1868	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.00000314	0.000003073	-2.14%	0.000002455	-21.82%	0.1887	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.00000308	0.00000302	-1.96%	0.000002535	-17.69%	0.1366	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.000002975	0.000002927	-1.62%	0.000002575	-13.45%	0.1248	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.000002985	0.000002941	-1.46%	0.00000258	-13.57%	0.1301	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.00000318	0.000003125	-1.73%	0.000002835	-10.85%	0.0866	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.000003115	0.000003074	-1.31%	0.0000033	+5.94%	0.0233	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.00000282	0.000002802	-0.65%	0.00000302	+7.09%	0.0133	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.00000286	0.000002839	-0.72%	0.00000314	+9.79%	0.0509	✗	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.00000296	0.000002938	-0.76%	0.00000308	+4.05%	0.0101	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.00000295	0.000002944	-0.22%	0.000002975	+0.85%	0.0466	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.00000305	0.000003042	-0.27%	0.000002985	-2.13%	0.0590	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.00000294	0.00000293	-0.34%	0.00000318	+8.16%	0.0857	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.00000306	0.000003044	-0.51%	0.000003115	+1.80%	0.0642	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.00000337	0.000003323	-1.39%	0.00000282	-16.32%	0.0867	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.00000346	0.000003382	-2.26%	0.00000286	-17.34%	0.0447	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.000003485	0.000003396	-2.56%	0.00000296	-15.06%	0.0130	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.000003395	0.000003309	-2.54%	0.00000295	-13.11%	0.0777	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.0000035	0.000003415	-2.41%	0.00000305	-12.86%	0.0709	✗	1.00