NES

Nesa · Ethereum · gru_s9

token id: #366
symbol: NES
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x863F08A3d3B14fbD3D42fFD061D0e290F7dBC538
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-24
predictions: 333

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

of 111 predictions shown

direction hit

92.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2527

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0407

actual -0.2719

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.11832	0.116549	-1.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.12
2026-10-20	oos	0.12079	0.118929	-1.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.12
2026-10-19	oos	0.114105	0.112227	-1.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.05
2026-10-18	oos	0.118045	0.116088	-1.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.06
2026-10-17	oos	0.11967	0.117459	-1.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-10-16	oos	0.122125	0.119818	-1.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.06
2026-10-15	oos	0.138695	0.134672	-2.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-14	oos	0.146385	0.141044	-3.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-13	oos	0.136455	0.133321	-2.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-10-12	oos	0.13391	0.130518	-2.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-11	oos	0.14095	0.137835	-2.21%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-10	oos	0.14031	0.137381	-2.09%	–	pending	–	–	-0.05
2026-10-09	oos	0.13735	0.134751	-1.89%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.13322	0.130881	-1.76%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-07	oos	0.137455	0.1357	-1.28%	–	pending	–	–	-0.05
2026-10-06	oos	0.137615	0.137154	-0.34%	–	pending	–	–	-0.07
2026-10-05	oos	0.14428	0.143039	-0.86%	–	pending	–	–	-0.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.14974	0.147845	-1.27%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-10-03	oos	0.14604	0.143614	-1.66%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-02	oos	0.14854	0.145298	-2.18%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-10-01	oos	0.1514	0.147577	-2.53%	–	pending	–	–	-0.16
2026-09-30	oos	0.15126	0.147334	-2.60%	–	pending	–	–	-0.15
2026-09-29	oos	0.16081	0.155171	-3.51%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-09-28	oos	0.1614	0.155871	-3.43%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.16563	0.15908	-3.95%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.163905	0.158763	-3.14%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.15964	0.155342	-2.69%	–	pending	–	–	-0.07
2026-09-24	oos	0.16505	0.159833	-3.16%	–	pending	–	–	-0.06
2026-09-23	oos	0.16465	0.159448	-3.16%	–	pending	–	–	-0.06
2026-09-22	oos	0.168615	0.163706	-2.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.14
2026-09-21	oos	0.16943	0.164988	-2.62%	0.11832	-30.17%	0.3260	✓	0.14
2026-09-20	oos	0.16252	0.156371	-3.78%	0.12079	-25.68%	0.2597	✓	0.07
2026-09-19	oos	0.162175	0.155973	-3.82%	0.114105	-29.64%	0.3131	✓	0.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.15727	0.152515	-3.02%	0.118045	-24.94%	0.2572	✓	0.07
2026-09-17	oos	0.15382	0.147891	-3.85%	0.11967	-22.20%	0.2133	✓	0.02
2026-09-16	oos	0.16251	0.154203	-5.11%	0.122125	-24.85%	0.2349	✓	0.02
2026-09-15	oos	0.1658	0.155426	-6.26%	0.138695	-16.35%	0.1161	✓	0.03
2026-09-14	oos	0.15123	0.146802	-2.93%	0.146385	-3.20%	0.0092	✓	0.15
2026-09-13	oos	0.14991	0.145181	-3.15%	0.136455	-8.98%	0.0733	✓	0.14
2026-09-12	oos	0.15991	0.152972	-4.34%	0.13391	-16.26%	0.1402	✓	0.13
2026-09-11	oos	0.149955	0.14471	-3.50%	0.14095	-6.01%	0.0369	✓	0.13
2026-09-10	oos	0.144685	0.139034	-3.91%	0.14031	-3.02%	0.0007	✓	0.12
2026-09-09	oos	0.11554	0.117248	+1.48%	0.13735	+18.88%	0.1403	✓	0.34
2026-09-08	oos	0.1225	0.123933	+1.17%	0.13322	+8.75%	0.0589	✓	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.13114	0.13254	+1.07%	0.137455	+4.82%	0.0206	✓	0.31
2026-09-06	oos	0.1288	0.131333	+1.97%	0.137615	+6.84%	0.0259	✓	0.33
2026-09-05	oos	0.12945	0.131206	+1.36%	0.14428	+11.46%	0.0713	✓	0.33
2026-09-04	oos	0.1378	0.139957	+1.57%	0.14974	+8.66%	0.0406	✓	0.33
2026-09-03	oos	0.13944	0.143535	+2.94%	0.14604	+4.73%	0.0034	✓	0.33
2026-09-02	oos	0.13736	0.136706	-0.48%	0.14854	+8.14%	0.0550	✗	0.31
2026-09-01	oos	0.14057	0.139978	-0.42%	0.1514	+7.70%	0.0497	✗	0.31
2026-08-31	oos	0.14442	0.145117	+0.48%	0.15126	+4.74%	0.0227	✓	0.30
2026-08-30	oos	0.156	0.156303	+0.19%	0.16081	+3.08%	0.0042	✓	0.33
2026-08-29	oos	0.15359	0.155279	+1.10%	0.1614	+5.08%	0.0168	✓	0.34
2026-08-28	oos	0.14335	0.143808	+0.32%	0.16563	+15.54%	0.1139	✓	0.33
2026-08-27	oos	0.14355	0.150114	+4.57%	0.163905	+14.18%	0.0695	✓	0.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.1493	0.155286	+4.01%	0.15964	+6.93%	0.0039	✓	0.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.1605	0.166736	+3.89%	0.16505	+2.83%	0.0381	✓	0.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.13701	0.134689	-1.69%	0.16465	+20.17%	0.1703	✗	0.46
2026-08-23	oos	0.195165	0.198578	+1.75%	0.168615	-13.60%	0.2301	✗	0.64
2026-08-22	oos	0.205345	0.207231	+0.92%	0.16943	-17.49%	0.2776	✗	0.65
2026-08-21	oos	0.220915	0.223457	+1.15%	0.16252	-26.43%	0.3398	✗	0.60
2026-08-20	oos	0.215955	0.212166	-1.75%	0.162175	-24.90%	0.3382	✓	0.65
2026-08-19	oos	0.21345	0.206118	-3.44%	0.15727	-26.32%	0.3790	✓	0.70
2026-08-18	oos	0.20579	0.19715	-4.20%	0.15382	-25.25%	0.3705	✓	0.74
2026-08-17	oos	0.21233	0.202787	-4.49%	0.16251	-23.46%	0.3449	✓	0.74
2026-08-16	oos	0.214555	0.204976	-4.46%	0.1658	-22.72%	0.3599	✓	0.80
2026-08-15	oos	0.20837	0.1996	-4.21%	0.15123	-27.42%	0.4526	✓	0.81
2026-08-14	oos	0.20957	0.200602	-4.28%	0.14991	-28.47%	0.4526	✓	0.81
2026-08-13	oos	0.20644	0.19782	-4.18%	0.15991	-22.54%	0.3771	✓	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.200645	0.192862	-3.88%	0.149955	-25.26%	0.4160	✓	0.83
2026-08-11	oos	0.203145	0.195154	-3.93%	0.144685	-28.78%	0.4545	✓	0.83
2026-08-10	oos	0.204145	0.196028	-3.98%	0.11554	-43.40%	0.6988	✓	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.20451	0.196404	-3.96%	0.1225	-40.10%	0.6370	✓	0.87
2026-08-08	oos	0.208985	0.200464	-4.08%	0.13114	-37.25%	0.5950	✓	0.86
2026-08-07	oos	0.20336	0.195497	-3.87%	0.1288	-36.66%	0.6025	✓	0.87
2026-08-06	oos	0.20365	0.196014	-3.75%	0.12945	-36.44%	0.6033	✓	0.87
2026-08-05	oos	0.19656	0.189702	-3.49%	0.1378	-29.89%	0.5085	✓	0.90
2026-08-04	oos	0.2043	0.196581	-3.78%	0.13944	-31.75%	0.5643	✓	0.93
2026-08-03	oos	0.20654	0.198466	-3.91%	0.13736	-33.49%	0.5529	✓	0.94
2026-08-02	oos	0.204585	0.196691	-3.86%	0.14057	-31.29%	0.5220	✓	0.94
2026-08-01	oos	0.211265	0.202655	-4.08%	0.14442	-31.64%	0.5584	✓	0.98
2026-07-31	oos	0.20703	0.198789	-3.98%	0.156	-24.65%	0.4510	✓	0.98
2026-07-30	oos	0.214655	0.2059	-4.08%	0.15359	-28.45%	0.4807	✓	0.99
2026-07-29	oos	0.219455	0.20988	-4.36%	0.14335	-34.68%	0.5834	✓	1.02
2026-07-28	oos	0.217385	0.207718	-4.45%	0.14355	-33.97%	0.6043	✓	1.03
2026-07-27	oos	0.22475	0.21396	-4.80%	0.1493	-33.57%	0.5817	✓	1.03
2026-07-26	oos	0.241925	0.228568	-5.52%	0.1605	-33.66%	0.5171	✓	0.89
2026-07-25	oos	0.2425	0.228575	-5.74%	0.13701	-43.50%	0.6990	✓	0.91
2026-07-24	oos	0.253825	0.237555	-6.41%	0.195165	-23.11%	0.3740	✓	0.92
2026-07-23	oos	0.2701	0.250348	-7.31%	0.205345	-23.97%	0.3675	✓	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.270695	0.250488	-7.46%	0.220915	-18.39%	0.2955	✓	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.23121	0.217944	-5.74%	0.215955	-6.60%	0.1023	✓	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.22897	0.215628	-5.83%	0.21345	-6.78%	0.0709	✓	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.223245	0.21043	-5.74%	0.20579	-7.82%	0.0223	✓	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.225605	0.211967	-6.05%	0.21233	-5.88%	0.0067	✓	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.238	0.221851	-6.79%	0.214555	-9.85%	0.0168	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.24992	0.230989	-7.57%	0.20837	-16.63%	0.0912	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.23956	0.222229	-7.23%	0.20957	-12.52%	0.0314	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.242325	0.224306	-7.44%	0.20644	-14.81%	0.0587	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.246155	0.226109	-8.14%	0.200645	-18.49%	0.1377	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.2359	0.217657	-7.73%	0.203145	-13.89%	0.0657	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.266755	0.23955	-10.20%	0.204145	-23.47%	0.1621	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.276415	0.245022	-11.36%	0.20451	-26.01%	0.1919	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.273545	0.242058	-11.51%	0.208985	-23.60%	0.1740	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.29756	0.255939	-13.99%	0.20336	-31.66%	0.2717	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.27962	0.244039	-12.72%	0.20365	-27.17%	0.1957	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.252165	0.227172	-9.91%	0.19656	-22.05%	0.1541	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.27204	0.236685	-13.00%	0.2043	-24.90%	0.1545	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.236725	0.217195	-8.25%	0.20654	-12.75%	0.0563	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.22291	0.207114	-7.09%	0.204585	-8.22%	0.0278	✓	1.00