MON

Monad · native · gru_s9

token id: #168
symbol: MON
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-11-24
predictions: 969

Track record at +1d

assessed

322

of 323 predictions shown

direction hit

53.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0342

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0040

actual -0.0001

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.021918	0.021777	-0.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-20	oos	0.022084	0.021941	-0.65%	0.021918	-0.75%	0.0037	✓	1.60
2026-10-19	oos	0.0209	0.020794	-0.51%	0.022084	+5.67%	0.0389	✗	1.59
2026-10-18	oos	0.021073	0.020968	-0.49%	0.0209	-0.82%	0.0000	✓	1.58
2026-10-17	oos	0.021746	0.021638	-0.49%	0.021073	-3.09%	0.0387	✓	1.59
2026-10-16	oos	0.022843	0.02272	-0.54%	0.021746	-4.80%	0.0415	✓	1.59
2026-10-15	oos	0.022939	0.022819	-0.52%	0.022843	-0.42%	0.0131	✗	1.58
2026-10-14	oos	0.024094	0.023944	-0.62%	0.022939	-4.79%	0.0537	✓	1.59
2026-10-13	oos	0.024401	0.024255	-0.60%	0.024094	-1.26%	0.0232	✗	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.024261	0.024102	-0.66%	0.024401	+0.57%	0.0143	✓	1.61
2026-10-11	oos	0.027548	0.027255	-1.06%	0.024261	-11.93%	0.0814	✓	1.49
2026-10-10	oos	0.025129	0.024935	-0.77%	0.027548	+9.63%	0.0861	✗	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.024415	0.024225	-0.78%	0.025129	+2.92%	0.0301	✗	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.023977	0.023781	-0.82%	0.024415	+1.83%	0.0111	✗	1.47
2026-10-07	oos	0.025431	0.0252	-0.91%	0.023977	-5.72%	0.0220	✓	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.028428	0.028134	-1.03%	0.025431	-10.54%	0.0640	✓	1.38
2026-10-05	oos	0.031459	0.03107	-1.24%	0.028428	-9.64%	0.0855	✓	1.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.03334	0.032813	-1.58%	0.031459	-5.64%	0.0301	✓	1.37
2026-10-03	oos	0.033871	0.033328	-1.60%	0.03334	-1.57%	0.0285	✓	1.40
2026-10-02	oos	0.032313	0.031799	-1.59%	0.033871	+4.82%	0.0592	✗	1.40
2026-10-01	oos	0.033663	0.03287	-2.36%	0.032313	-4.01%	0.0114	✓	1.40
2026-09-30	oos	0.031757	0.031139	-1.94%	0.033663	+6.00%	0.0566	✗	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	0.026859	0.026568	-1.08%	0.031757	+18.24%	0.1797	✗	1.39
2026-09-28	oos	0.028539	0.028065	-1.66%	0.026859	-5.89%	0.0470	✓	1.42
2026-09-27	oos	0.02811	0.027688	-1.50%	0.028539	+1.53%	0.0473	✗	1.42
2026-09-26	oos	0.026738	0.026428	-1.16%	0.02811	+5.13%	0.0609	✗	1.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.026401	0.026054	-1.32%	0.026738	+1.27%	0.0204	✗	1.43
2026-09-24	oos	0.02498	0.024749	-0.92%	0.026401	+5.69%	0.0696	✗	1.44
2026-09-23	oos	0.023997	0.02381	-0.78%	0.02498	+4.10%	0.0478	✗	1.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.027307	0.026875	-1.58%	0.023997	-12.12%	0.0839	✓	1.38
2026-09-21	oos	0.025628	0.025329	-1.17%	0.027307	+6.55%	0.0815	✗	1.38
2026-09-20	oos	0.02499	0.024804	-0.74%	0.025628	+2.56%	0.0636	✓	1.48
2026-09-19	oos	0.024811	0.024633	-0.72%	0.02499	+0.72%	0.0157	✗	1.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.024673	0.024516	-0.64%	0.024811	+0.56%	0.0055	✓	1.46
2026-09-17	oos	0.023255	0.023214	-0.18%	0.024673	+6.10%	0.0253	✓	1.50
2026-09-16	oos	0.022142	0.022153	+0.05%	0.023255	+5.03%	0.0446	✓	1.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.021684	0.02172	+0.16%	0.022142	+2.11%	0.0083	✓	1.48
2026-09-14	oos	0.022915	0.02294	+0.11%	0.021684	-5.37%	0.0059	✗	1.50
2026-09-13	oos	0.022645	0.02269	+0.20%	0.022915	+1.19%	0.0166	✗	1.49
2026-09-12	oos	0.023138	0.023189	+0.22%	0.022645	-2.13%	0.0148	✗	1.49
2026-09-11	oos	0.023311	0.023375	+0.27%	0.023138	-0.74%	0.0112	✗	1.49
2026-09-10	oos	0.022922	0.02299	+0.30%	0.023311	+1.69%	0.0008	✓	1.49
2026-09-09	oos	0.024977	0.02503	+0.21%	0.022922	-8.23%	0.0551	✗	1.45
2026-09-08	oos	0.025632	0.025675	+0.17%	0.024977	-2.55%	0.0246	✗	1.43
2026-09-07	oos	0.027005	0.027025	+0.07%	0.025632	-5.08%	0.0413	✗	1.42
2026-09-06	oos	0.027105	0.027139	+0.12%	0.027005	-0.37%	0.0168	✓	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.024932	0.024998	+0.26%	0.027105	+8.72%	0.0721	✓	1.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.025037	0.025097	+0.24%	0.024932	-0.42%	0.0093	✗	1.39
2026-09-03	oos	0.027102	0.027161	+0.22%	0.025037	-7.62%	0.0547	✗	1.36
2026-09-02	oos	0.025364	0.025379	+0.06%	0.027102	+6.85%	0.0007	✓	1.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.026479	0.026476	-0.01%	0.025364	-4.21%	0.0414	✓	1.29
2026-08-31	oos	0.026459	0.026457	-0.01%	0.026479	+0.08%	0.0193	✗	1.24
2026-08-30	oos	0.02655	0.02653	-0.07%	0.026459	-0.34%	0.0172	✓	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.026721	0.026706	-0.06%	0.02655	-0.64%	0.0035	✗	1.28
2026-08-28	oos	0.027336	0.02729	-0.17%	0.026721	-2.25%	0.0275	✓	1.28
2026-08-27	oos	0.028608	0.028531	-0.27%	0.027336	-4.45%	0.0036	✓	1.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.028582	0.028465	-0.41%	0.028608	+0.09%	0.0151	✓	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.027753	0.027632	-0.44%	0.028582	+2.99%	0.0258	✗	1.27
2026-08-24	oos	0.031585	0.031143	-1.40%	0.027753	-12.13%	0.1079	✓	1.27
2026-08-23	oos	0.03043	0.030003	-1.40%	0.031585	+3.80%	0.0309	✗	1.28
2026-08-22	oos	0.028133	0.027797	-1.19%	0.03043	+8.16%	0.0794	✗	1.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.028652	0.028191	-1.61%	0.028133	-1.81%	0.0187	✗	1.27
2026-08-20	oos	0.026718	0.026278	-1.65%	0.028652	+7.24%	0.0041	✓	1.29
2026-08-19	oos	0.022569	0.022468	-0.45%	0.026718	+18.38%	0.1120	✗	1.17
2026-08-18	oos	0.021228	0.021165	-0.30%	0.022569	+6.32%	0.0204	✓	1.23
2026-08-17	oos	0.021767	0.021669	-0.45%	0.021228	-2.48%	0.0245	✓	1.24
2026-08-16	oos	0.02028	0.020246	-0.17%	0.021767	+7.33%	0.0414	✗	1.20
2026-08-15	oos	0.020882	0.020841	-0.20%	0.02028	-2.88%	0.0238	✓	1.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.02112	0.021077	-0.20%	0.020882	-1.13%	0.0101	✓	1.20
2026-08-13	oos	0.021522	0.021473	-0.23%	0.02112	-1.87%	0.0080	✓	1.20
2026-08-12	oos	0.021804	0.021748	-0.26%	0.021522	-1.29%	0.0107	✓	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.021406	0.021353	-0.25%	0.021804	+1.86%	0.0231	✗	1.19
2026-08-10	oos	0.021747	0.021675	-0.33%	0.021406	-1.57%	0.0054	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.020972	0.020934	-0.18%	0.021747	+3.70%	0.0561	✗	1.24
2026-08-08	oos	0.020865	0.020829	-0.17%	0.020972	+0.51%	0.0080	✗	1.24
2026-08-07	oos	0.020895	0.020857	-0.18%	0.020865	-0.14%	0.0001	✓	1.24
2026-08-06	oos	0.020439	0.020405	-0.16%	0.020895	+2.23%	0.0117	✗	1.24
2026-08-05	oos	0.020988	0.020947	-0.20%	0.020439	-2.62%	0.0180	✓	1.25
2026-08-04	oos	0.020531	0.020496	-0.17%	0.020988	+2.23%	0.0132	✗	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.021527	0.021477	-0.23%	0.020531	-4.63%	0.0566	✓	1.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.02096	0.020915	-0.21%	0.021527	+2.71%	0.0295	✗	1.28
2026-08-01	oos	0.02046	0.020417	-0.21%	0.02096	+2.44%	0.0114	✗	1.27
2026-07-31	oos	0.02071	0.020663	-0.23%	0.02046	-1.21%	0.0086	✓	1.27
2026-07-30	oos	0.0217	0.021649	-0.23%	0.02071	-4.56%	0.0068	✓	1.26
2026-07-29	oos	0.02076	0.02072	-0.19%	0.0217	+4.53%	0.0294	✗	1.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.021235	0.021198	-0.17%	0.02076	-2.24%	0.0219	✓	1.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.02011	0.020083	-0.13%	0.021235	+5.59%	0.0526	✗	1.32
2026-07-26	oos	0.021355	0.02133	-0.12%	0.02011	-5.83%	0.0255	✓	1.31
2026-07-25	oos	0.0206	0.020581	-0.09%	0.021355	+3.67%	0.0158	✗	1.31
2026-07-24	oos	0.02186	0.021838	-0.10%	0.0206	-5.76%	0.0627	✓	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.022335	0.022317	-0.08%	0.02186	-2.13%	0.0008	✓	1.33
2026-07-22	oos	0.02292	0.022898	-0.10%	0.022335	-2.55%	0.0037	✓	1.34
2026-07-21	oos	0.022935	0.022915	-0.09%	0.02292	-0.07%	0.0089	✗	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.02287	0.022841	-0.13%	0.022935	+0.28%	0.0227	✓	1.35
2026-07-19	oos	0.02122	0.02121	-0.05%	0.02287	+7.78%	0.0644	✗	1.34
2026-07-18	oos	0.02157	0.02156	-0.05%	0.02122	-1.62%	0.0135	✓	1.36
2026-07-17	oos	0.02194	0.021921	-0.09%	0.02157	-1.69%	0.0359	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.02156	0.021546	-0.06%	0.02194	+1.76%	0.0154	✗	1.43
2026-07-15	oos	0.02229	0.022271	-0.09%	0.02156	-3.28%	0.0117	✓	1.41
2026-07-14	oos	0.02266	0.022635	-0.11%	0.02229	-1.63%	0.0095	✓	1.40
2026-07-13	oos	0.02229	0.022261	-0.13%	0.02266	+1.66%	0.0449	✓	1.46
2026-07-12	oos	0.022805	0.022771	-0.15%	0.02229	-2.26%	0.0132	✗	1.48
2026-07-11	oos	0.02227	0.022244	-0.11%	0.022805	+2.40%	0.0257	✗	1.51
2026-07-10	oos	0.02296	0.022918	-0.18%	0.02227	-3.01%	0.0201	✓	1.54
2026-07-09	oos	0.02308	0.023024	-0.24%	0.02296	-0.52%	0.0261	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.02309	0.023011	-0.34%	0.02308	-0.04%	0.0208	✓	1.59
2026-07-07	oos	0.02438	0.024226	-0.63%	0.02309	-5.29%	0.0205	✓	1.59
2026-07-06	oos	0.02497	0.024703	-1.07%	0.02438	-2.36%	0.0036	✓	1.58
2026-07-05	oos	0.02159	0.021549	-0.19%	0.02497	+15.66%	0.1368	✗	1.61
2026-07-04	oos	0.02112	0.021092	-0.13%	0.02159	+2.23%	0.0107	✗	1.61
2026-07-03	oos	0.0205	0.020477	-0.11%	0.02112	+3.02%	0.0165	✗	1.60
2026-07-02	oos	0.019985	0.019966	-0.10%	0.0205	+2.58%	0.0003	✓	1.60
2026-07-01	oos	0.02004	0.020008	-0.16%	0.019985	-0.27%	0.0422	✓	1.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.01833	0.018336	+0.04%	0.02004	+9.33%	0.0510	✓	1.56
2026-06-29	oos	0.01892	0.018926	+0.03%	0.01833	-3.12%	0.0113	✓	1.57
2026-06-28	oos	0.01866	0.018667	+0.04%	0.01892	+1.39%	0.0052	✗	1.62
2026-06-27	oos	0.01883	0.018838	+0.04%	0.01866	-0.90%	0.0030	✓	1.62
2026-06-26	oos	0.01934	0.019344	+0.02%	0.01883	-2.64%	0.0251	✗	1.63
2026-06-25	oos	0.01915	0.019156	+0.03%	0.01934	+0.99%	0.0015	✓	1.63
2026-06-24	oos	0.019675	0.019679	+0.02%	0.01915	-2.67%	0.0078	✓	1.66
2026-06-23	oos	0.020095	0.020101	+0.03%	0.019675	-2.09%	0.0241	✓	1.70
2026-06-22	oos	0.02063	0.020632	+0.01%	0.020095	-2.59%	0.0094	✓	1.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.02075	0.02075	+0.00%	0.02063	-0.58%	0.0253	✗	1.74
2026-06-20	oos	0.020585	0.020588	+0.01%	0.02075	+0.80%	0.0344	✓	1.72
2026-06-19	oos	0.02066	0.020661	+0.00%	0.020585	-0.36%	0.0239	✗	1.73
2026-06-18	oos	0.02108	0.021075	-0.02%	0.02066	-1.99%	0.0364	✓	1.75
2026-06-17	oos	0.02177	0.021754	-0.07%	0.02108	-3.17%	0.0117	✗	1.75
2026-06-16	oos	0.02304	0.022989	-0.22%	0.02177	-5.51%	0.0230	✓	1.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.02261	0.022573	-0.16%	0.02304	+1.90%	0.0377	✗	1.72
2026-06-14	oos	0.02249	0.022455	-0.16%	0.02261	+0.53%	0.0081	✓	1.73
2026-06-13	oos	0.02182	0.021792	-0.13%	0.02249	+3.07%	0.0026	✓	1.74
2026-06-12	oos	0.02108	0.021063	-0.08%	0.02182	+3.51%	0.0110	✗	1.74
2026-06-11	oos	0.02161	0.021579	-0.14%	0.02108	-2.45%	0.0227	✓	1.75
2026-06-10	oos	0.02105	0.021035	-0.07%	0.02161	+2.66%	0.0334	✓	1.78
2026-06-09	oos	0.02127	0.021247	-0.11%	0.02105	-1.03%	0.0024	✓	1.78
2026-06-08	oos	0.02086	0.020847	-0.06%	0.02127	+1.97%	0.0600	✗	1.81
2026-06-07	oos	0.02217	0.022124	-0.21%	0.02086	-5.91%	0.0521	✓	1.79
2026-06-06	oos	0.02108	0.021083	+0.02%	0.02217	+5.17%	0.0202	✗	1.78
2026-06-05	oos	0.02106	0.021058	-0.01%	0.02108	+0.09%	0.0064	✗	1.80
2026-06-04	oos	0.02153	0.021496	-0.16%	0.02106	-2.18%	0.0622	✗	1.86
2026-06-03	oos	0.02044	0.020459	+0.09%	0.02153	+5.33%	0.0576	✓	1.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.02045	0.020467	+0.08%	0.02044	-0.05%	0.0732	✓	1.86
2026-06-01	oos	0.02251	0.022479	-0.14%	0.02045	-9.15%	0.0330	✗	1.89
2026-05-31	oos	0.02378	0.023747	-0.14%	0.02251	-5.34%	0.0058	✗	1.90
2026-05-30	oos	0.023235	0.02322	-0.06%	0.02378	+2.35%	0.0286	✗	1.82
2026-05-29	oos	0.02328	0.023273	-0.03%	0.023235	-0.19%	0.0116	✓	1.81
2026-05-28	oos	0.02368	0.023669	-0.05%	0.02328	-1.69%	0.0130	✓	1.81
2026-05-27	oos	0.02331	0.023321	+0.05%	0.02368	+1.59%	0.0348	✓	1.80
2026-05-26	oos	0.02503	0.025001	-0.11%	0.02331	-6.87%	0.0342	✓	1.78
2026-05-25	oos	0.02627	0.026197	-0.28%	0.02503	-4.72%	0.0134	✓	1.73
2026-05-24	oos	0.02527	0.025244	-0.10%	0.02627	+3.96%	0.0337	✗	1.73
2026-05-23	oos	0.02577	0.02574	-0.12%	0.02527	-1.94%	0.0252	✓	1.61
2026-05-22	oos	0.02615	0.026124	-0.10%	0.02577	-1.45%	0.0395	✓	1.63
2026-05-21	oos	0.02865	0.028499	-0.53%	0.02615	-8.73%	0.0422	✓	1.59
2026-05-20	oos	0.026905	0.026849	-0.21%	0.02865	+6.49%	0.0635	✗	1.60
2026-05-19	oos	0.02591	0.025892	-0.07%	0.026905	+3.84%	0.0237	✗	1.59
2026-05-18	oos	0.02698	0.026933	-0.18%	0.02591	-3.97%	0.0350	✓	1.62
2026-05-17	oos	0.0278	0.027738	-0.22%	0.02698	-2.95%	0.0179	✓	1.63
2026-05-16	oos	0.02775	0.027694	-0.20%	0.0278	+0.18%	0.0185	✗	1.63
2026-05-15	oos	0.02828	0.028213	-0.24%	0.02775	-1.87%	0.0030	✗	1.61
2026-05-14	oos	0.02977	0.029673	-0.33%	0.02828	-5.01%	0.0075	✓	1.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.0302	0.030105	-0.31%	0.02977	-1.42%	0.0488	✓	1.68
2026-05-12	oos	0.03085	0.030748	-0.33%	0.0302	-2.11%	0.0069	✗	1.66
2026-05-11	oos	0.03362	0.033431	-0.56%	0.03085	-8.24%	0.0554	✓	1.63
2026-05-10	oos	0.03549	0.035202	-0.81%	0.03362	-5.27%	0.0370	✓	1.56
2026-05-09	oos	0.03467	0.034428	-0.70%	0.03549	+2.37%	0.0006	✓	1.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.03425	0.034007	-0.71%	0.03467	+1.23%	0.0103	✗	1.55
2026-05-07	oos	0.03238	0.032199	-0.56%	0.03425	+5.78%	0.0582	✗	1.54
2026-05-06	oos	0.03229	0.032093	-0.61%	0.03238	+0.28%	0.0325	✗	1.33
2026-05-05	oos	0.03131	0.03115	-0.51%	0.03229	+3.13%	0.0280	✗	1.21
2026-05-04	oos	0.02945	0.029345	-0.35%	0.03131	+6.32%	0.0499	✗	1.13
2026-05-03	oos	0.02913	0.029038	-0.32%	0.02945	+1.10%	0.0045	✓	1.14
2026-05-02	oos	0.03011	0.029999	-0.37%	0.02913	-3.25%	0.0276	✓	1.14
2026-05-01	oos	0.03008	0.029964	-0.39%	0.03011	+0.10%	0.0016	✓	1.14
2026-04-30	oos	0.02716	0.027097	-0.23%	0.03008	+10.75%	0.0757	✗	1.15
2026-04-29	oos	0.027	0.026933	-0.25%	0.02716	+0.59%	0.0000	✓	1.15
2026-04-28	oos	0.02915	0.029052	-0.34%	0.027	-7.38%	0.0647	✓	1.15
2026-04-27	oos	0.03062	0.0305	-0.39%	0.02915	-4.80%	0.0297	✓	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.03209	0.031949	-0.44%	0.03062	-4.58%	0.0231	✓	1.16
2026-04-25	oos	0.0313	0.031165	-0.43%	0.03209	+2.52%	0.0141	✗	1.16
2026-04-24	oos	0.03069	0.03056	-0.42%	0.0313	+1.99%	0.0211	✗	1.17
2026-04-23	oos	0.03248	0.032339	-0.43%	0.03069	-5.51%	0.0401	✓	1.17
2026-04-22	oos	0.033715	0.033548	-0.49%	0.03248	-3.66%	0.0334	✓	1.17
2026-04-21	oos	0.03274	0.032576	-0.50%	0.033715	+2.98%	0.0062	✗	1.17
2026-04-20	oos	0.031895	0.031744	-0.47%	0.03274	+2.65%	0.0234	✗	1.17
2026-04-19	oos	0.03008	0.029946	-0.45%	0.031895	+6.03%	0.0303	✗	1.20
2026-04-18	oos	0.03245	0.032294	-0.48%	0.03008	-7.30%	0.0404	✓	1.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.03479	0.034561	-0.66%	0.03245	-6.73%	0.0419	✓	1.19
2026-04-16	oos	0.0343	0.034072	-0.67%	0.03479	+1.43%	0.0095	✓	1.19
2026-04-15	oos	0.03514	0.034867	-0.78%	0.0343	-2.39%	0.0216	✓	1.20
2026-04-14	oos	0.0345	0.034232	-0.78%	0.03514	+1.86%	0.0156	✗	1.20
2026-04-13	oos	0.03603	0.035622	-1.13%	0.0345	-4.25%	0.0278	✓	1.18
2026-04-12	oos	0.03271	0.032467	-0.74%	0.03603	+10.15%	0.0447	✗	1.17
2026-04-11	oos	0.03556	0.035182	-1.06%	0.03271	-8.01%	0.0356	✓	1.15
2026-04-10	oos	0.03511	0.034618	-1.40%	0.03556	+1.28%	0.0255	✗	1.15
2026-04-09	oos	0.03296	0.032587	-1.13%	0.03511	+6.52%	0.0557	✗	1.14
2026-04-08	oos	0.03114	0.030808	-1.07%	0.03296	+5.84%	0.0562	✗	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.0304	0.030117	-0.93%	0.03114	+2.43%	0.0465	✗	1.14
2026-04-06	oos	0.0271	0.026965	-0.50%	0.0304	+12.18%	0.0711	✗	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.02828	0.028092	-0.67%	0.0271	-4.17%	0.0335	✓	1.13
2026-04-04	oos	0.02726	0.027088	-0.63%	0.02828	+3.74%	0.0152	✗	1.11
2026-04-03	oos	0.02727	0.027039	-0.85%	0.02726	-0.04%	0.0027	✓	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.02499	0.024885	-0.42%	0.02727	+9.12%	0.0904	✗	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.02383	0.023758	-0.30%	0.02499	+4.87%	0.0712	✗	1.14
2026-03-31	oos	0.02487	0.024773	-0.39%	0.02383	-4.18%	0.0370	✓	1.15
2026-03-30	oos	0.02231	0.022261	-0.22%	0.02487	+11.47%	0.0861	✗	1.12
2026-03-29	oos	0.02204	0.021997	-0.20%	0.02231	+1.23%	0.0008	✓	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.02328	0.023219	-0.26%	0.02204	-5.33%	0.0459	✓	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.02239	0.022347	-0.19%	0.02328	+3.97%	0.0415	✗	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.02432	0.024248	-0.30%	0.02239	-7.94%	0.0400	✓	1.11
2026-03-25	oos	0.02642	0.026265	-0.59%	0.02432	-7.95%	0.0374	✓	1.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.023335	0.023293	-0.18%	0.02642	+13.22%	0.1143	✗	1.07
2026-03-23	oos	0.02156	0.021545	-0.07%	0.023335	+8.23%	0.0850	✗	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.02053	0.020515	-0.07%	0.02156	+5.02%	0.0027	✗	1.08
2026-03-21	oos	0.02141	0.021394	-0.07%	0.02053	-4.11%	0.0245	✓	1.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.02244	0.022422	-0.08%	0.02141	-4.59%	0.0218	✓	1.07
2026-03-19	oos	0.02198	0.021965	-0.07%	0.02244	+2.09%	0.0126	✗	1.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.02305	0.023031	-0.08%	0.02198	-4.64%	0.0262	✓	1.09
2026-03-17	oos	0.0236	0.023585	-0.06%	0.02305	-2.33%	0.0181	✗	1.11
2026-03-16	oos	0.02476	0.024726	-0.14%	0.0236	-4.68%	0.0321	✓	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.02346	0.023442	-0.08%	0.02476	+5.54%	0.0231	✗	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.02218	0.022172	-0.04%	0.02346	+5.77%	0.0314	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.021915	0.021908	-0.03%	0.02218	+1.21%	0.0076	✗	1.16
2026-03-12	oos	0.0212	0.021199	-0.01%	0.021915	+3.37%	0.0265	✗	1.15
2026-03-11	oos	0.02141	0.021406	-0.02%	0.0212	-0.98%	0.0151	✓	1.17
2026-03-10	oos	0.02157	0.021563	-0.03%	0.02141	-0.74%	0.0112	✓	1.17
2026-03-09	oos	0.02123	0.021219	-0.05%	0.02157	+1.60%	0.0095	✓	1.17
2026-03-08	oos	0.02042	0.020413	-0.04%	0.02123	+3.97%	0.0032	✓	1.16
2026-03-07	oos	0.02168	0.021662	-0.08%	0.02042	-5.81%	0.0366	✓	1.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.02174	0.02172	-0.09%	0.02168	-0.28%	0.0125	✗	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.02174	0.021723	-0.08%	0.02174	+0.00%	0.0474	✗	1.17
2026-03-04	oos	0.02256	0.022526	-0.15%	0.02174	-3.63%	0.0066	✓	1.16
2026-03-03	oos	0.02038	0.020372	-0.04%	0.02256	+10.70%	0.0315	✗	1.14
2026-03-02	oos	0.02121	0.02119	-0.09%	0.02038	-3.91%	0.0309	✓	1.12
2026-03-01	oos	0.02085	0.020828	-0.11%	0.02121	+1.73%	0.0323	✓	1.11
2026-02-28	oos	0.02113	0.021104	-0.12%	0.02085	-1.33%	0.0065	✗	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.02067	0.020648	-0.10%	0.02113	+2.23%	0.0059	✗	1.03
2026-02-26	oos	0.02104	0.021013	-0.13%	0.02067	-1.76%	0.0087	✗	1.03
2026-02-25	oos	0.02156	0.021518	-0.19%	0.02104	-2.41%	0.0148	✓	1.03
2026-02-24	oos	0.02003	0.020012	-0.09%	0.02156	+7.64%	0.0155	✗	0.99
2026-02-23	oos	0.02053	0.020502	-0.14%	0.02003	-2.44%	0.0147	✓	0.99
2026-02-22	oos	0.019855	0.019844	-0.06%	0.02053	+3.40%	0.0788	✗	0.99
2026-02-21	oos	0.02062	0.020596	-0.12%	0.019855	-3.71%	0.0317	✓	0.99
2026-02-20	oos	0.02104	0.021006	-0.16%	0.02062	-2.00%	0.0181	✓	0.99
2026-02-19	oos	0.02044	0.020418	-0.11%	0.02104	+2.94%	0.0152	✗	0.99
2026-02-18	oos	0.02016	0.020142	-0.09%	0.02044	+1.39%	0.0065	✗	0.98
2026-02-17	oos	0.02213	0.022067	-0.28%	0.02016	-8.90%	0.0752	✓	0.97
2026-02-16	oos	0.02351	0.023384	-0.53%	0.02213	-5.87%	0.0355	✓	0.96
2026-02-15	oos	0.02402	0.023839	-0.75%	0.02351	-2.12%	0.0148	✓	0.96
2026-02-14	oos	0.02339	0.023223	-0.71%	0.02402	+2.69%	0.0477	✗	0.97
2026-02-13	oos	0.02278	0.022612	-0.74%	0.02339	+2.68%	0.0202	✗	0.97
2026-02-12	oos	0.02015	0.020097	-0.27%	0.02278	+13.05%	0.0901	✗	0.91
2026-02-11	oos	0.01905	0.019014	-0.19%	0.02015	+5.77%	0.0693	✗	0.92
2026-02-10	oos	0.01969	0.019602	-0.45%	0.01905	-3.25%	0.0044	✓	0.92
2026-02-09	oos	0.01796	0.017948	-0.07%	0.01969	+9.63%	0.1103	✗	0.95
2026-02-08	oos	0.01812	0.018108	-0.06%	0.01796	-0.88%	0.0058	✓	0.95
2026-02-07	oos	0.01861	0.018592	-0.10%	0.01812	-2.63%	0.0399	✓	0.96
2026-02-06	oos	0.01856	0.018533	-0.14%	0.01861	+0.27%	0.0218	✗	0.96
2026-02-05	oos	0.01724	0.01727	+0.18%	0.01856	+7.66%	0.0486	✗	1.04
2026-02-04	oos	0.01973	0.019669	-0.31%	0.01724	-12.62%	0.0413	✗	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	0.01754	0.017534	-0.03%	0.01973	+12.49%	0.1654	✗	1.32
2026-02-02	oos	0.01847	0.018443	-0.14%	0.01754	-5.04%	0.0016	✗	1.33
2026-02-01	oos	0.01783	0.017825	-0.03%	0.01847	+3.59%	0.0055	✗	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.01804	0.018028	-0.07%	0.01783	-1.16%	0.0191	✗	1.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.02019	0.020114	-0.38%	0.01804	-10.65%	0.0221	✓	1.29
2026-01-29	oos	0.02001	0.019942	-0.34%	0.02019	+0.90%	0.0186	✗	1.29
2026-01-28	oos	0.02128	0.021152	-0.60%	0.02001	-5.97%	0.0156	✗	1.33
2026-01-27	oos	0.02218	0.021974	-0.93%	0.02128	-4.06%	0.0328	✓	1.33
2026-01-26	oos	0.01881	0.018751	-0.31%	0.02218	+17.92%	0.1556	✗	1.26
2026-01-25	oos	0.01779	0.017755	-0.20%	0.01881	+5.73%	0.0342	✗	1.22
2026-01-24	oos	0.01909	0.019019	-0.37%	0.01779	-6.81%	0.0329	✓	1.18
2026-01-23	oos	0.018315	0.018255	-0.33%	0.01909	+4.23%	0.0500	✗	1.19
2026-01-22	oos	0.0181	0.018042	-0.32%	0.018315	+1.19%	0.0149	✗	1.20
2026-01-21	oos	0.01876	0.018687	-0.39%	0.0181	-3.52%	0.0333	✓	1.20
2026-01-20	oos	0.01789	0.01783	-0.33%	0.01876	+4.86%	0.0369	✗	1.17
2026-01-19	oos	0.02012	0.020005	-0.57%	0.01789	-11.08%	0.0633	✓	1.03
2026-01-18	oos	0.02176	0.021609	-0.70%	0.02012	-7.54%	0.0600	✓	0.99
2026-01-17	oos	0.02211	0.021933	-0.80%	0.02176	-1.58%	0.0076	✓	1.00
2026-01-16	oos	0.02229	0.022098	-0.86%	0.02211	-0.81%	0.0046	✓	1.00
2026-01-15	oos	0.02213	0.021929	-0.91%	0.02229	+0.72%	0.0172	✗	1.00
2026-01-14	oos	0.023185	0.022948	-1.02%	0.02213	-4.55%	0.0225	✓	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.02475	0.024474	-1.12%	0.023185	-6.32%	0.0711	✓	1.04
2026-01-12	oos	0.02307	0.022876	-0.84%	0.02475	+7.28%	0.0358	✗	0.95
2026-01-11	oos	0.02384	0.023633	-0.87%	0.02307	-3.23%	0.0275	✓	0.96
2026-01-10	oos	0.02425	0.024038	-0.87%	0.02384	-1.69%	0.0136	✓	0.96
2026-01-09	oos	0.02612	0.025857	-1.01%	0.02425	-7.16%	0.0627	✓	0.96
2026-01-08	oos	0.0278	0.027468	-1.19%	0.02612	-6.04%	0.0451	✓	0.93
2026-01-07	oos	0.02681	0.026503	-1.15%	0.0278	+3.69%	0.0504	✗	0.94
2026-01-06	oos	0.02984	0.029338	-1.68%	0.02681	-10.15%	0.0693	✓	0.79
2026-01-05	oos	0.0283	0.027902	-1.41%	0.02984	+5.44%	0.0684	✗	0.80
2026-01-04	oos	0.02875	0.028324	-1.48%	0.0283	-1.57%	0.0230	✓	0.86
2026-01-03	oos	0.02932	0.028792	-1.80%	0.02875	-1.94%	0.0101	✓	0.88
2026-01-02	oos	0.02795	0.027387	-2.02%	0.02932	+4.90%	0.0621	✗	0.86
2026-01-01	oos	0.0237	0.023477	-0.94%	0.02795	+17.93%	0.1648	✗	0.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.0227	0.022529	-0.75%	0.0237	+4.41%	0.0415	✗	0.66
2025-12-30	oos	0.0226	0.022426	-0.77%	0.0227	+0.44%	0.0190	✗	0.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.02147	0.021347	-0.57%	0.0226	+5.26%	0.0481	✗	0.61
2025-12-28	oos	0.02244	0.022279	-0.72%	0.02147	-4.32%	0.0318	✓	0.59
2025-12-27	oos	0.0231	0.022913	-0.81%	0.02244	-2.86%	0.0213	✓	0.59
2025-12-26	oos	0.02333	0.023114	-0.93%	0.0231	-0.99%	0.0041	✓	0.60
2025-12-25	oos	0.02315	0.022925	-0.97%	0.02333	+0.78%	0.0167	✗	0.59
2025-12-24	oos	0.02169	0.021535	-0.72%	0.02315	+6.73%	0.0754	✗	0.62
2025-12-23	oos	0.01976	0.019694	-0.33%	0.02169	+9.77%	0.0945	✗	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.01921	0.019151	-0.31%	0.01976	+2.86%	0.0441	✗	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.0205	0.020409	-0.44%	0.01921	-6.29%	0.0596	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.01877	0.01874	-0.16%	0.0205	+9.22%	0.0862	✗	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.01905	0.019024	-0.14%	0.01877	-1.47%	0.0160	✓	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.01691	0.016946	+0.22%	0.01905	+12.66%	0.0867	✓	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.01873	0.018741	+0.06%	0.01691	-9.72%	0.0941	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.02155	0.021496	-0.25%	0.01873	-13.09%	0.1188	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.01987	0.019862	-0.04%	0.02155	+8.45%	0.0651	✗	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.02064	0.020605	-0.17%	0.01987	-3.73%	0.0162	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.02351	0.023422	-0.38%	0.02064	-12.21%	0.1031	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.02407	0.023979	-0.38%	0.02351	-2.33%	0.0195	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.02624	0.026121	-0.46%	0.02407	-8.27%	0.0570	✓	1.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.02691	0.026783	-0.47%	0.02624	-2.49%	0.0260	✓	1.00
2025-12-09	oos	0.02737	0.027236	-0.49%	0.02691	-1.68%	0.0050	✓	1.00
2025-12-08	oos	0.02811	0.027965	-0.51%	0.02737	-2.63%	0.0437	✓	1.00
2025-12-07	oos	0.02558	0.025447	-0.52%	0.02811	+9.89%	0.0968	✗	1.00
2025-12-06	oos	0.02719	0.027061	-0.48%	0.02558	-5.92%	0.0689	✓	1.00
2025-12-05	oos	0.02723	0.027098	-0.49%	0.02719	-0.15%	0.0043	✓	1.00
2025-12-04	oos	0.02769	0.02754	-0.54%	0.02723	-1.66%	0.0190	✗	1.00
2025-12-03	oos	0.03054	0.0304	-0.46%	0.02769	-9.33%	0.0787	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.