MARSCOIN
MarsCoin · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s9
- token id
- #52
- symbol
- MARSCOIN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0xfe189e97832da1573e4e4ff034f4ffc3a15c7777
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-04
- predictions
- 117
Track record at +1d
assessed
38
of 39 predictions shown
direction hit
57.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0726
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0115
actual -0.0078
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.07975 | 0.079353 | -0.50% | – | pending | – | – | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.07935 | 0.078962 | -0.49% | 0.07975 | +0.50% | 0.0124 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.07795 | 0.077661 | -0.37% | 0.07935 | +1.80% | 0.0108 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.07555 | 0.075365 | -0.25% | 0.07795 | +3.18% | 0.0354 | ✗ | 0.81 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.07685 | 0.076685 | -0.21% | 0.07555 | -1.69% | 0.0211 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.07985 | 0.079616 | -0.29% | 0.07685 | -3.76% | 0.0342 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07715 | 0.077013 | -0.18% | 0.07985 | +3.50% | 0.0426 | ✗ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.08255 | 0.082295 | -0.31% | 0.07715 | -6.54% | 0.0705 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.07945 | 0.079264 | -0.23% | 0.08255 | +3.90% | 0.0589 | ✗ | 0.98 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.08085 | 0.080675 | -0.22% | 0.07945 | -1.73% | 0.0317 | ✓ | 0.99 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.09555 | 0.094857 | -0.72% | 0.08085 | -15.38% | 0.1420 | ✓ | 0.76 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.09625 | 0.095555 | -0.72% | 0.09555 | -0.73% | 0.0070 | ✓ | 0.76 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.09325 | 0.092641 | -0.65% | 0.09625 | +3.22% | 0.0349 | ✗ | 0.74 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.09105 | 0.090503 | -0.60% | 0.09325 | +2.42% | 0.0225 | ✗ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.09505 | 0.09423 | -0.86% | 0.09105 | -4.21% | 0.0208 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.10535 | 0.104058 | -1.23% | 0.09505 | -9.78% | 0.0759 | ✓ | 0.55 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.10525 | 0.103842 | -1.34% | 0.10535 | +0.10% | 0.0158 | ✗ | 0.55 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.10865 | 0.107032 | -1.49% | 0.10525 | -3.13% | 0.0120 | ✓ | 0.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.11095 | 0.109219 | -1.56% | 0.10865 | -2.07% | 0.0258 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.1074 | 0.105601 | -1.68% | 0.11095 | +3.31% | 0.0466 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.12765 | 0.125263 | -1.87% | 0.1074 | -15.86% | 0.1498 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.1371 | 0.134247 | -2.08% | 0.12765 | -6.89% | 0.0657 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.14065 | 0.137466 | -2.26% | 0.1371 | -2.52% | 0.0017 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.15785 | 0.152387 | -3.46% | 0.14065 | -10.90% | 0.0823 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.1233 | 0.121022 | -1.85% | 0.15785 | +28.02% | 0.2776 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.13445 | 0.131303 | -2.34% | 0.1233 | -8.29% | 0.0634 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.11835 | 0.116216 | -1.80% | 0.13445 | +13.60% | 0.1419 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.1152 | 0.113188 | -1.75% | 0.11835 | +2.73% | 0.0481 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.1364 | 0.132842 | -2.61% | 0.1152 | -15.54% | 0.1426 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.14165 | 0.136818 | -3.41% | 0.1364 | -3.71% | 0.0183 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.10195 | 0.100577 | -1.35% | 0.14165 | +38.94% | 0.3470 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.09225 | 0.091575 | -0.73% | 0.10195 | +10.51% | 0.0425 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.09905 | 0.098164 | -0.89% | 0.09225 | -6.87% | 0.0612 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.11315 | 0.11171 | -1.27% | 0.09905 | -12.46% | 0.1247 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.1172 | 0.116068 | -0.97% | 0.11315 | -3.46% | 0.0831 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.092 | 0.091913 | -0.09% | 0.1172 | +27.39% | 0.2404 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.08655 | 0.086508 | -0.05% | 0.092 | +6.30% | 0.0542 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.09165 | 0.091105 | -0.59% | 0.08655 | -5.56% | 0.0176 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.09765 | 0.097188 | -0.47% | 0.09165 | -6.14% | 0.0764 | ✓ | 1.00 |