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LIT

Lighter · Ethereum · gru_s9

token id
#67
symbol
LIT
variant
–
chain
Ethereum
address
0x232ce3bd40fcd6f80f3d55a522d03f25df784ee2
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-01-22
predictions
795
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
235
of 265 predictions shown
direction hit
47.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3389
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0610
actual +0.0936

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22oos3.81043.5507-6.82%–pending––1.27
2026-10-21oos3.76183.5122-6.64%–pending––1.29
2026-10-20oos3.38263.1539-6.76%–pending––1.29
2026-10-19oos3.09472.875-7.10%–pending––1.27
2026-10-18oos3.07522.8613-6.96%–pending––1.30
2026-10-17oos3.11462.8982-6.95%–pending––1.30
2026-10-16oos3.17522.9619-6.72%–pending––1.30
2026-10-15oos3.02532.8216-6.73%–pending––1.30
2026-10-14oos3.08422.88-6.62%–pending––1.31
2026-10-13oos3.34763.1349-6.36%–pending––1.29
2026-10-12oos3.37593.163-6.31%–pending––1.31
2026-10-11oos3.83473.6148-5.73%–pending––1.31
2026-10-10oos3.63723.4476-5.21%–pending––1.38
2026-10-09oos3.62623.4359-5.25%–pending––1.38
2026-10-08oos3.60613.4209-5.14%–pending––1.38
2026-10-07oos3.57273.3944-4.99%–pending––1.44
2026-10-06oos3.81543.634-4.75%–pending––1.42
2026-10-05oos4.01873.8606-3.93%–pending––1.43
2026-10-04oos3.66433.4772-5.11%–pending––1.47
2026-10-03oos3.56673.3541-5.96%–pending––1.48
2026-10-02oos3.55123.324-6.40%–pending––1.49
2026-10-01oos3.80483.5997-5.39%–pending––1.48
2026-09-30oos3.94993.7289-5.60%–pending––1.50
2026-09-29oos3.93283.6645-6.82%–pending––1.48
2026-09-28oos4.44134.1447-6.68%–pending––1.51
2026-09-27oos4.65474.3487-6.57%–pending––1.47
2026-09-26oos4.8444.5495-6.08%–pending––1.48
2026-09-25oos4.85224.588-5.45%–pending––1.48
2026-09-24oos5.07294.8151-5.08%–pending––1.48
2026-09-23oos5.31965.0193-5.65%–pending––1.47
2026-09-22oos5.06674.7994-5.28%3.8104-24.80%0.1949✓1.54
2026-09-21oos4.73864.486-5.33%3.7618-20.61%0.1329✓1.43
2026-09-20oos4.77454.4005-7.83%3.3826-29.15%0.2989✓1.66
2026-09-19oos4.80924.4558-7.35%3.0947-35.65%0.3767✓1.65
2026-09-18oos4.76874.4241-7.22%3.0752-35.51%0.3865✓1.64
2026-09-17oos4.81074.4177-8.17%3.1146-35.26%0.4661✓1.83
2026-09-16oos4.60354.2244-8.24%3.1752-31.03%0.4085✓1.81
2026-09-15oos4.01953.7086-7.73%3.0253-24.73%0.3541✓1.81
2026-09-14oos4.38854.0491-7.73%3.0842-29.72%0.3471✓1.77
2026-09-13oos4.11323.7885-7.89%3.3476-18.61%0.2609✓1.74
2026-09-12oos4.21583.8851-7.85%3.3759-19.92%0.2379✓1.73
2026-09-11oos4.35184.0296-7.40%3.8347-11.88%0.1883✓1.72
2026-09-10oos4.29233.9895-7.05%3.6372-15.26%0.2313✓1.74
2026-09-09oos4.52624.2579-5.93%3.6262-19.88%0.2518✓1.72
2026-09-08oos4.82974.5336-6.13%3.6061-25.33%0.3000✓1.75
2026-09-07oos4.72484.5009-4.74%3.5727-24.38%0.3232✓1.79
2026-09-06oos4.51484.3537-3.57%3.8154-15.49%0.2417✓1.75
2026-09-05oos4.75474.5861-3.55%4.0187-15.48%0.2574✓1.75
2026-09-04oos4.82894.6791-3.10%3.6643-24.12%0.3820✓1.67
2026-09-03oos4.44214.3678-1.67%3.5667-19.71%0.2761✓1.75
2026-09-02oos3.79143.6881-2.72%3.5512-6.34%0.1727✓1.52
2026-09-01oos3.523.4334-2.46%3.8048+8.09%0.0403✓1.56
2026-08-31oos3.56643.4928-2.06%3.9499+10.75%0.0389✗1.37
2026-08-30oos3.52833.4613-1.90%3.9328+11.46%0.0594✗0.92
2026-08-29oos3.55373.5004-1.50%4.4413+24.97%0.1784✗0.92
2026-08-28oos3.49623.4419-1.55%4.6547+33.14%0.2265✗0.92
2026-08-27oos3.71083.6803-0.82%4.844+30.54%0.2295✗0.90
2026-08-26oos3.45183.3884-1.84%4.8522+40.57%0.3046✗0.88
2026-08-25oos3.28373.2164-2.05%5.0729+54.48%0.3936✗0.86
2026-08-24oos3.39993.3634-1.07%5.3196+56.46%0.4006✗0.88
2026-08-23oos3.57213.4895-2.31%5.0667+41.84%0.2723✗0.97
2026-08-22oos3.18943.1548-1.08%4.7386+48.58%0.2951✗0.96
2026-08-21oos3.12673.0947-1.02%4.7745+52.70%0.3991✗0.97
2026-08-20oos2.66822.5726-3.58%4.8092+80.24%0.5387✗0.81
2026-08-19oos2.60372.441-6.25%4.7687+83.15%0.5169✗0.99
2026-08-18oos2.35882.1908-7.12%4.8107+103.95%0.6302✗0.94
2026-08-17oos2.332.1583-7.37%4.6035+97.57%0.5946✗0.98
2026-08-16oos2.27712.1088-7.39%4.0195+76.51%0.4619✗0.99
2026-08-15oos2.2622.0977-7.26%4.3885+94.01%0.5271✗0.98
2026-08-14oos2.2352.0786-7.00%4.1132+84.03%0.4870✗0.99
2026-08-13oos2.27132.1166-6.81%4.2158+85.61%0.4970✗0.97
2026-08-12oos2.33562.1775-6.77%4.3518+86.32%0.4918✗1.02
2026-08-11oos2.41812.2507-6.92%4.2923+77.50%0.4581✗1.01
2026-08-10oos2.38242.2166-6.96%4.5262+89.98%0.5069✗1.02
2026-08-09oos2.30352.1399-7.10%4.8297+109.67%0.6109✗1.07
2026-08-08oos2.28222.1163-7.27%4.7248+107.03%0.5909✗1.07
2026-08-07oos2.29842.1328-7.20%4.5148+96.43%0.5248✗1.05
2026-08-06oos2.37442.1997-7.36%4.7547+100.25%0.5400✗1.06
2026-08-05oos2.18492.0295-7.11%4.8289+121.01%0.6396✗1.08
2026-08-04oos2.05841.919-6.77%4.4421+115.80%0.5904✗1.05
2026-08-03oos2.00551.8719-6.66%3.7914+89.05%0.5019✗1.03
2026-08-02oos2.03281.8838-7.33%3.52+73.16%0.4157✗1.06
2026-08-01oos2.01721.8735-7.12%3.5664+76.80%0.4114✗1.03
2026-07-31oos2.06691.9194-7.14%3.5283+70.70%0.3890✗1.04
2026-07-30oos2.282.0997-7.91%3.5537+55.87%0.3443✗0.96
2026-07-29oos2.17812.0194-7.29%3.4962+60.52%0.3641✗0.94
2026-07-28oos2.29842.1335-7.17%3.7108+61.45%0.3440✗0.91
2026-07-27oos2.12861.9843-6.78%3.4518+62.16%0.3604✗0.90
2026-07-26oos2.14311.9969-6.83%3.2837+53.22%0.3348✗0.88
2026-07-25oos2.06261.9234-6.75%3.3999+64.84%0.3835✗0.90
2026-07-24oos2.03191.8971-6.64%3.5721+75.80%0.4619✗0.89
2026-07-23oos2.1622.0294-6.13%3.1894+47.52%0.3073✗0.86
2026-07-22oos2.30052.1717-5.60%3.1267+35.92%0.2250✗0.82
2026-07-21oos2.34532.211-5.72%2.6682+13.77%0.1115✗0.82
2026-07-20oos2.1792.0405-6.36%2.6037+19.49%0.1987✗0.74
2026-07-19oos2.20982.0598-6.79%2.3588+6.74%0.1355✗0.75
2026-07-18oos2.25642.1045-6.73%2.33+3.26%0.1054✗0.73
2026-07-17oos2.28922.1334-6.81%2.2771-0.53%0.0788✗0.81
2026-07-16oos2.28592.1259-7.00%2.262-1.05%0.0721✓0.85
2026-07-15oos2.41662.2345-7.53%2.235-7.51%0.0220✓0.80
2026-07-14oos2.59282.3777-8.29%2.2713-12.40%0.0266✓0.79
2026-07-13oos2.30422.1017-8.79%2.3356+1.36%0.0931✗0.68
2026-07-12oos2.63192.4012-8.76%2.4181-8.12%0.0090✓0.59
2026-07-11oos2.57742.3478-8.91%2.3824-7.56%0.0133✓0.60
2026-07-10oos2.68962.4463-9.05%2.3035-14.36%0.0677✓0.68
2026-07-09oos2.39652.1752-9.24%2.2822-4.77%0.0309✓0.63
2026-07-08oos2.332.113-9.31%2.2984-1.35%0.0556✓0.68
2026-07-07oos2.45752.228-9.34%2.3744-3.38%0.0539✓0.66
2026-07-06oos2.57692.3289-9.63%2.1849-15.21%0.0700✓0.67
2026-07-05oos2.4582.2303-9.26%2.0584-16.26%0.0851✓0.67
2026-07-04oos2.2012.002-9.04%2.0055-8.88%0.0022✓0.65
2026-07-03oos2.11361.9211-9.11%2.0328-3.82%0.0466✓0.64
2026-07-02oos2.06891.8764-9.31%2.0172-2.50%0.0593✓0.63
2026-07-01oos2.07121.8727-9.58%2.0669-0.21%0.0681✓0.65
2026-06-30oos1.8491.6803-9.13%2.28+23.31%0.2494✗0.55
2026-06-29oos1.86031.6916-9.07%2.1781+17.08%0.2194✗0.55
2026-06-28oos1.72741.572-9.00%2.2984+33.05%0.3393✗0.57
2026-06-27oos1.71961.5654-8.97%2.1286+23.78%0.2735✗0.56
2026-06-26oos1.82281.6564-9.13%2.1431+17.57%0.2097✗0.56
2026-06-25oos1.60911.469-8.71%2.0626+28.18%0.2994✗0.54
2026-06-24oos1.69591.546-8.84%2.0319+19.82%0.2469✗0.53
2026-06-23oos1.50471.3775-8.45%2.162+43.68%0.4243✗0.70
2026-06-22oos1.60941.474-8.41%2.3005+42.95%0.4236✗0.66
2026-06-21oos1.56761.4341-8.52%2.3453+49.61%0.4593✗0.65
2026-06-20oos1.55671.425-8.46%2.179+39.98%0.4151✗0.63
2026-06-19oos1.54561.4131-8.57%2.2098+42.97%0.4344✗0.68
2026-06-18oos1.61181.4731-8.61%2.2564+39.99%0.4057✗0.69
2026-06-17oos1.72071.5698-8.77%2.2892+33.04%0.3826✗0.62
2026-06-16oos1.73351.5827-8.70%2.2859+31.87%0.3855✗0.63
2026-06-15oos1.68961.5427-8.69%2.4166+43.03%0.4650✗0.68
2026-06-14oos1.68671.5373-8.86%2.5928+53.72%0.5298✗0.65
2026-06-13oos1.63191.4869-8.88%2.3042+41.20%0.4611✗0.67
2026-06-12oos1.53731.4026-8.76%2.6319+71.19%0.6273✗0.63
2026-06-11oos1.55811.4187-8.95%2.5774+65.42%0.5949✗0.63
2026-06-10oos1.39161.2723-8.57%2.6896+93.27%0.7256✗0.54
2026-06-09oos1.58311.4419-8.92%2.3965+51.38%0.4951✗0.54
2026-06-08oos1.47451.3447-8.80%2.33+58.02%0.5574✗0.59
2026-06-07oos1.43341.3089-8.69%2.4575+71.44%0.6298✗0.60
2026-06-06oos1.43071.3152-8.08%2.5769+80.11%0.6423✗0.60
2026-06-05oos1.50841.3847-8.20%2.458+62.95%0.5475✗0.64
2026-06-04oos1.45311.3302-8.46%2.201+51.47%0.5118✗0.72
2026-06-03oos1.78541.6134-9.63%2.1136+18.38%0.2879✗0.74
2026-06-02oos1.60391.4511-9.53%2.0689+28.99%0.4324✗0.96
2026-06-01oos1.34381.2175-9.40%2.0712+54.13%0.7754✗1.41
2026-05-31oos1.37651.2402-9.90%1.849+34.33%0.7278✗1.43
2026-05-30oos1.3691.2309-10.09%1.8603+35.89%0.6900✗1.36
2026-05-29oos1.25911.137-9.70%1.7274+37.19%0.7007✗1.35
2026-05-28oos1.17221.0649-9.15%1.7196+46.70%0.7554✗1.35
2026-05-27oos1.13381.0331-8.88%1.8228+60.77%0.8628✗1.38
2026-05-26oos1.18321.0893-7.94%1.6091+35.99%0.7186✗1.37
2026-05-25oos1.37961.2672-8.15%1.6959+22.92%0.5808✗1.22
2026-05-24oos1.29131.1945-7.50%1.5047+16.53%0.4802✗1.21
2026-05-23oos1.22751.1436-6.84%1.6094+31.11%0.5568✗1.19
2026-05-22oos1.19061.1089-6.86%1.5676+31.67%0.5560✗1.19
2026-05-21oos1.4261.3063-8.40%1.5567+9.16%0.3805✗1.09
2026-05-20oos1.27641.1837-7.27%1.5456+21.09%0.4856✗1.10
2026-05-19oos1.14151.0701-6.26%1.6118+41.20%0.6253✗1.08
2026-05-18oos0.95090.911826-4.11%1.7207+80.95%0.8349✗1.13
2026-05-17oos0.863450.83247-3.59%1.7335+100.76%0.9256✗1.16
2026-05-16oos0.87980.842231-4.27%1.6896+92.04%0.8870✗1.16
2026-05-15oos0.8580.818572-4.60%1.6867+96.59%0.9379✗1.16
2026-05-14oos0.91520.877144-4.16%1.6319+78.31%0.8855✗1.15
2026-05-13oos0.8970.853214-4.88%1.5373+71.39%0.8578✗1.21
2026-05-12oos0.926550.897555-3.13%1.5581+68.16%0.8351✗1.20
2026-05-11oos0.999750.970246-2.95%1.3916+39.19%0.6974✗1.18
2026-05-10oos1.05681.0286-2.67%1.5831+49.80%0.7712✗1.18
2026-05-09oos1.05421.0198-3.27%1.4745+39.87%0.6623✗1.19
2026-05-08oos1.0811.0418-3.62%1.4334+32.60%0.6007✗1.19
2026-05-07oos0.990650.96552-2.54%1.4307+44.42%0.7180✗1.19
2026-05-06oos0.953850.94442-0.99%1.5084+58.14%0.8256✗1.24
2026-05-05oos0.966850.954937-1.23%1.4531+50.29%0.6669✗1.04
2026-05-04oos0.90290.89116-1.30%1.7854+97.74%0.9118✗0.98
2026-05-03oos0.92210.904626-1.89%1.6039+73.94%0.7376✗1.00
2026-05-02oos0.9080.889451-2.04%1.3438+48.00%0.5124✗1.01
2026-05-01oos0.90350.886906-1.84%1.3765+52.35%0.5019✗1.02
2026-04-30oos0.883750.866162-1.99%1.369+54.91%0.4926✗1.03
2026-04-29oos0.948450.923891-2.59%1.2591+32.75%0.3426✗1.03
2026-04-28oos0.896050.880126-1.78%1.1722+30.81%0.3287✗1.13
2026-04-27oos0.86350.85436-1.06%1.1338+31.30%0.3286✗1.14
2026-04-26oos0.91640.909466-0.76%1.1832+29.12%0.3054✗1.14
2026-04-25oos0.92960.915743-1.49%1.3796+48.41%0.4158✗1.16
2026-04-24oos0.945550.933029-1.32%1.2913+36.57%0.3325✗1.19
2026-04-23oos0.92440.91768-0.73%1.2275+32.79%0.3161✗1.20
2026-04-22oos0.87920.876248-0.34%1.1906+35.42%0.3495✗1.19
2026-04-21oos0.8980.868716-3.26%1.426+58.80%0.4768✗1.21
2026-04-20oos0.89910.85309-5.12%1.2764+41.96%0.3776✗1.21
2026-04-19oos0.890750.831231-6.68%1.1415+28.15%0.2697✗1.21
2026-04-18oos0.978850.921051-5.90%0.9509-2.86%0.0130✓1.20
2026-04-17oos1.04881.0116-3.55%0.86345-17.67%0.1631✓1.19
2026-04-16oos1.04590.975747-6.71%0.8798-15.88%0.1495✓1.20
2026-04-15oos1.04190.965541-7.33%0.858-17.65%0.1838✓1.20
2026-04-14oos1.02570.948939-7.49%0.9152-10.78%0.1426✓1.20
2026-04-13oos1.14331.0577-7.48%0.897-21.54%0.2401✓1.19
2026-04-12oos1.09261.0088-7.67%0.92655-15.20%0.2400✓1.20
2026-04-11oos1.20611.1101-7.96%0.99975-17.11%0.2367✓1.18
2026-04-10oos1.13681.0474-7.86%1.0568-7.04%0.1311✓1.18
2026-04-09oos1.01450.939923-7.35%1.0542+3.91%0.0198✓1.16
2026-04-08oos0.999250.926527-7.28%1.081+8.18%0.0150✓1.16
2026-04-07oos1.07630.994363-7.62%0.99065-7.96%0.1263✓1.15
2026-04-06oos1.02480.94951-7.34%0.95385-6.92%0.1881✓1.15
2026-04-05oos1.0080.933827-7.36%0.96685-4.09%0.1478✓1.15
2026-04-04oos0.98710.916035-7.20%0.9029-8.53%0.2111✓1.15
2026-04-03oos0.989350.919777-7.03%0.9221-6.80%0.1811✓1.15
2026-04-02oos0.94860.884529-6.75%0.908-4.28%0.1599✓1.15
2026-04-01oos0.89060.833672-6.39%0.9035+1.45%0.0806✓1.16
2026-03-31oos0.87250.816897-6.37%0.88375+1.29%0.0514✓1.16
2026-03-30oos0.80730.760979-5.74%0.94845+17.48%0.0755✗1.14
2026-03-29oos0.826750.776766-6.05%0.89605+8.38%0.0247✓1.15
2026-03-28oos0.858250.803451-6.38%0.8635+0.61%0.1048✓1.15
2026-03-27oos0.88250.825213-6.49%0.9164+3.84%0.0909✓1.15
2026-03-26oos0.911650.843499-7.48%0.9296+1.97%0.0431✓1.15
2026-03-25oos0.99570.950951-4.49%0.94555-5.04%0.1000✓1.14
2026-03-24oos1.0170.984454-3.20%0.9244-9.10%0.1821✓1.14
2026-03-23oos0.9550.911332-4.57%0.8792-7.94%0.1485✓1.14
2026-03-22oos0.93910.890326-5.19%0.898-4.38%0.1286✓1.16
2026-03-21oos1.05271.0113-3.92%0.8991-14.59%0.2280✓1.15
2026-03-20oos1.06341.0304-3.11%0.89075-16.24%0.1988✓1.15
2026-03-19oos1.19281.1517-3.44%0.97885-17.94%0.2565✓1.17
2026-03-18oos1.21161.1734-3.15%1.0488-13.44%0.2051✓1.18
2026-03-17oos1.29611.2565-3.06%1.0459-19.30%0.2027✓1.17
2026-03-16oos1.16271.1314-2.69%1.0419-10.39%0.0817✓1.18
2026-03-15oos1.08521.0509-3.15%1.0257-5.47%0.0456✓1.16
2026-03-14oos1.10781.0685-3.55%1.1433+3.20%0.0156✓1.18
2026-03-13oos1.09861.059-3.60%1.0926-0.55%0.0344✓1.18
2026-03-12oos1.15231.1085-3.80%1.2061+4.66%0.0421✗1.19
2026-03-11oos1.07171.0285-4.04%1.1368+6.07%0.0542✗1.18
2026-03-10oos1.05591.0128-4.08%1.0145-3.92%0.0288✓1.18
2026-03-09oos1.02040.978681-4.08%0.99925-2.07%0.0237✓1.17
2026-03-08oos1.01980.973229-4.57%1.0763+5.55%0.0022✓1.19
2026-03-07oos1.12951.0805-4.33%1.0248-9.27%0.0806✓1.18
2026-03-06oos1.13861.0895-4.31%1.008-11.47%0.0932✓1.18
2026-03-05oos1.20911.156-4.39%0.9871-18.36%0.0968✓1.18
2026-03-04oos1.37151.3137-4.21%0.98935-27.86%0.1895✓1.15
2026-03-03oos1.29821.2397-4.51%0.9486-26.93%0.2429✓1.16
2026-03-02oos1.35921.295-4.72%0.8906-34.48%0.3622✓1.16
2026-03-01oos1.35871.2949-4.70%0.8725-35.78%0.4393✓1.21
2026-02-28oos1.38571.3204-4.71%0.8073-41.74%0.4878✓1.21
2026-02-27oos1.35681.2927-4.73%0.82675-39.07%0.4488✓1.21
2026-02-26oos1.42831.3589-4.85%0.85825-39.91%0.4385✓1.21
2026-02-25oos1.45511.3832-4.95%0.8825-39.35%0.4199✓1.21
2026-02-24oos1.42981.361-4.81%0.91165-36.24%0.4918✓1.29
2026-02-23oos1.3891.3222-4.81%0.9957-28.32%0.4099✓1.28
2026-02-22oos1.44631.3719-5.15%1.017-29.69%0.3539✓1.29
2026-02-21oos1.52441.4454-5.18%0.955-37.35%0.4690✓1.30
2026-02-20oos1.53191.4518-5.23%0.9391-38.70%0.4336✓1.00
2026-02-19oos1.47661.401-5.12%1.0527-28.71%0.3144✓1.00
2026-02-18oos1.4461.3732-5.03%1.0634-26.46%0.3153✓1.00
2026-02-17oos1.58881.506-5.21%1.1928-24.92%0.2689✓1.00
2026-02-16oos1.68791.5943-5.54%1.2116-28.22%0.3086✓1.00
2026-02-15oos1.6771.5855-5.46%1.2961-22.71%0.2736✓1.00
2026-02-14oos1.64781.5557-5.59%1.1627-29.44%0.3617✓1.00
2026-02-13oos1.59721.5106-5.42%1.0852-32.06%0.3875✓1.00
2026-02-12oos1.42871.3643-4.51%1.1078-22.46%0.2814✓1.00
2026-02-11oos1.4161.3513-4.57%1.0986-22.42%0.2638✓1.00
2026-02-10oos1.47021.4003-4.76%1.1523-21.62%0.2197✓1.00
2026-02-09oos1.54881.4731-4.89%1.0717-30.80%0.3196✓1.00
2026-02-08oos1.61981.5391-4.98%1.0559-34.81%0.3723✓1.00
2026-02-07oos1.62611.5499-4.69%1.0204-37.25%0.4062✓1.00
2026-02-06oos1.66281.5818-4.87%1.0198-38.67%0.3722✓1.00
2026-02-05oos1.43931.3971-2.94%1.1295-21.53%0.2814✓1.00
2026-02-04oos1.57541.4998-4.80%1.1386-27.72%0.2061✓1.00
2026-02-03oos1.4811.4072-4.98%1.2091-18.36%0.0865✓1.00
2026-02-02oos1.59661.5107-5.38%1.3715-14.10%0.0176✓1.00
2026-02-01oos1.51441.4377-5.06%1.2982-14.27%0.0160✓1.00
2026-01-31oos1.56621.4837-5.27%1.3592-13.22%0.0457✓1.00