KNOTS
KNOTS · Solana · gru_s9
- token id
- #767
- symbol
- KNOTS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- 8RVBk8vxLiUHueLUW1f4izFVqN3nWippLhkohKg6EGkS
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 99
Track record at +1d
assessed
32
of 33 predictions shown
direction hit
59.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2013
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0358
actual -0.0582
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.003417 | 0.003356 | -1.79% | – | pending | – | – | 4.25 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.00358 | 0.003499 | -2.26% | 0.003417 | -4.54% | 0.0111 | ✓ | 4.26 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.003164 | 0.003119 | -1.42% | 0.00358 | +13.15% | 0.0825 | ✗ | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.002509 | 0.002498 | -0.42% | 0.003164 | +26.11% | 0.2450 | ✗ | 4.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002929 | 0.002905 | -0.82% | 0.002509 | -14.34% | 0.1794 | ✓ | 4.29 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002911 | 0.002889 | -0.75% | 0.002929 | +0.62% | 0.0199 | ✗ | 4.31 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003261 | 0.003221 | -1.24% | 0.002911 | -10.73% | 0.0683 | ✓ | 4.30 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.003038 | 0.003013 | -0.82% | 0.003261 | +7.34% | 0.0501 | ✗ | 4.26 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.002995 | 0.002969 | -0.88% | 0.003038 | +1.42% | 0.1077 | ✗ | 4.55 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.003356 | 0.003319 | -1.11% | 0.002995 | -10.74% | 0.1795 | ✓ | 4.67 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0045 | 0.004382 | -2.61% | 0.003356 | -25.41% | 0.1630 | ✓ | 4.43 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.003239 | 0.003206 | -1.03% | 0.0045 | +38.92% | 0.3001 | ✗ | 4.23 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.002974 | 0.00295 | -0.80% | 0.003239 | +8.91% | 0.0890 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.003605 | 0.00356 | -1.24% | 0.002974 | -17.50% | 0.1903 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.003288 | 0.003238 | -1.52% | 0.003605 | +9.64% | 0.1265 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005163 | 0.005028 | -2.61% | 0.003288 | -36.31% | 0.3979 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.002456 | 0.002234 | -9.07% | 0.005163 | +110.16% | 0.8402 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.003661 | 0.003489 | -4.70% | 0.002456 | -32.90% | 0.3421 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.002535 | 0.002195 | -13.45% | 0.003661 | +44.39% | 0.4911 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.002868 | 0.002463 | -14.13% | 0.002535 | -11.59% | 0.0263 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.004975 | 0.004641 | -6.72% | 0.002868 | -42.35% | 0.4772 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.006722 | 0.006584 | -2.06% | 0.004975 | -25.99% | 0.2955 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.007297 | 0.007088 | -2.86% | 0.006722 | -7.87% | 0.0520 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006679 | 0.00615 | -7.93% | 0.007297 | +9.24% | 0.1688 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00815 | 0.007587 | -6.91% | 0.006679 | -18.04% | 0.1154 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.011331 | 0.010993 | -2.98% | 0.00815 | -28.07% | 0.2998 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.00964 | 0.00885 | -8.19% | 0.011331 | +17.54% | 0.2432 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01419 | 0.013817 | -2.63% | 0.00964 | -32.06% | 0.3565 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01521 | 0.014845 | -2.40% | 0.01419 | -6.71% | 0.0452 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.01505 | 0.014593 | -3.04% | 0.01521 | +1.06% | 0.0628 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.02248 | 0.022228 | -1.12% | 0.01505 | -33.05% | 0.3854 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.02179 | 0.021494 | -1.36% | 0.02248 | +3.17% | 0.0200 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.021875 | 0.021569 | -1.40% | 0.02179 | -0.39% | 0.0111 | ✓ | 1.00 |