KAT

Katana · Base · gru_s9

token id: #157
symbol: KAT
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0xd5390300c5db71f80d46f0fa9983fc72d4d1e3da
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-18
predictions: 627

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

179

of 209 predictions shown

direction hit

86.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1443

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0381

actual -0.1638

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004091	0.003997	-2.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-20	oos	0.00408	0.003999	-1.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.003988	0.003895	-2.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.003837	0.003772	-1.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.004005	0.003931	-1.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-16	oos	0.004156	0.004097	-1.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-15	oos	0.004154	0.004119	-0.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-14	oos	0.00421	0.004169	-0.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-13	oos	0.004313	0.004302	-0.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-12	oos	0.00438	0.004327	-1.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-11	oos	0.004635	0.004572	-1.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-10	oos	0.004614	0.004535	-1.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-09	oos	0.004588	0.004509	-1.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-08	oos	0.004441	0.004376	-1.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-07	oos	0.004618	0.004533	-1.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-06	oos	0.004724	0.004639	-1.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-05	oos	0.004836	0.004726	-2.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-04	oos	0.004805	0.004709	-1.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-03	oos	0.004783	0.004675	-2.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-02	oos	0.004798	0.004698	-2.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-01	oos	0.004947	0.00482	-2.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.005049	0.004886	-3.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-29	oos	0.00486	0.004759	-2.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-28	oos	0.004899	0.004792	-2.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-27	oos	0.005221	0.005029	-3.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-26	oos	0.005144	0.004984	-3.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-25	oos	0.005188	0.005009	-3.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-24	oos	0.005001	0.004895	-2.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-09-23	oos	0.004896	0.00483	-1.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	0.005103	0.005004	-1.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-21	oos	0.004902	0.004906	+0.07%	0.004091	-16.55%	0.1356	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004699	0.004658	-0.88%	0.00408	-13.16%	0.1543	✓	1.01
2026-09-19	oos	0.004719	0.004672	-0.99%	0.003988	-15.49%	0.1658	✓	1.01
2026-09-18	oos	0.004691	0.004642	-1.03%	0.003837	-18.21%	0.2051	✓	1.04
2026-09-17	oos	0.004315	0.004254	-1.41%	0.004005	-7.20%	0.1238	✓	0.99
2026-09-16	oos	0.00421	0.004168	-1.00%	0.004156	-1.27%	0.0711	✓	1.01
2026-09-15	oos	0.004137	0.004092	-1.07%	0.004154	+0.41%	0.0702	✓	1.02
2026-09-14	oos	0.004399	0.004388	-0.25%	0.00421	-4.30%	0.0836	✓	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.004472	0.004418	-1.22%	0.004313	-3.58%	0.1035	✓	1.01
2026-09-12	oos	0.00477	0.004689	-1.69%	0.00438	-8.18%	0.1242	✓	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.004781	0.004697	-1.74%	0.004635	-3.03%	0.0915	✓	0.97
2026-09-10	oos	0.004846	0.004734	-2.31%	0.004614	-4.78%	0.1015	✓	0.95
2026-09-09	oos	0.006317	0.005755	-8.89%	0.004588	-27.37%	0.2675	✓	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.004799	0.004755	-0.93%	0.004441	-7.48%	0.0998	✓	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.004647	0.004647	-0.01%	0.004618	-0.65%	0.0461	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	0.004747	0.004787	+0.85%	0.004724	-0.48%	0.0540	✗	0.65
2026-09-05	oos	0.004658	0.004701	+0.92%	0.004836	+3.82%	0.0173	✗	0.64
2026-09-04	oos	0.004648	0.004689	+0.87%	0.004805	+3.38%	0.0284	✗	0.64
2026-09-03	oos	0.004535	0.004636	+2.23%	0.004783	+5.46%	0.0028	✓	0.68
2026-09-02	oos	0.004436	0.004441	+0.11%	0.004798	+8.16%	0.0065	✓	0.80
2026-09-01	oos	0.004487	0.004502	+0.34%	0.004947	+10.25%	0.0193	✓	0.82
2026-08-31	oos	0.004692	0.004715	+0.50%	0.005049	+7.62%	0.0226	✓	0.74
2026-08-30	oos	0.004442	0.004472	+0.68%	0.00486	+9.41%	0.0226	✓	0.82
2026-08-29	oos	0.004496	0.004541	+1.01%	0.004899	+8.96%	0.0249	✓	0.79
2026-08-28	oos	0.004483	0.004547	+1.44%	0.005221	+16.48%	0.0740	✓	0.79
2026-08-27	oos	0.004649	0.004769	+2.58%	0.005144	+10.66%	0.0366	✓	0.78
2026-08-26	oos	0.004582	0.004684	+2.22%	0.005188	+13.20%	0.0537	✓	0.78
2026-08-25	oos	0.004442	0.004566	+2.78%	0.005001	+12.58%	0.0345	✓	0.79
2026-08-24	oos	0.004572	0.004692	+2.63%	0.004896	+7.10%	0.0091	✓	0.78
2026-08-23	oos	0.004738	0.004788	+1.06%	0.005103	+7.70%	0.0204	✗	0.81
2026-08-22	oos	0.004697	0.004739	+0.89%	0.004902	+4.38%	0.0609	✗	0.81
2026-08-21	oos	0.004902	0.004938	+0.73%	0.004699	-4.14%	0.0780	✗	0.80
2026-08-20	oos	0.004634	0.004572	-1.34%	0.004719	+1.82%	0.0542	✓	0.80
2026-08-19	oos	0.004476	0.004346	-2.91%	0.004691	+4.79%	0.0519	✓	0.83
2026-08-18	oos	0.004288	0.004135	-3.57%	0.004315	+0.62%	0.0987	✓	0.85
2026-08-17	oos	0.004303	0.004139	-3.81%	0.00421	-2.16%	0.1256	✓	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.00443	0.004261	-3.81%	0.004137	-6.61%	0.1963	✓	0.90
2026-08-15	oos	0.004304	0.004147	-3.65%	0.004399	+2.21%	0.1355	✓	0.90
2026-08-14	oos	0.004249	0.004098	-3.56%	0.004472	+5.26%	0.0927	✓	0.91
2026-08-13	oos	0.00435	0.004189	-3.69%	0.00477	+9.66%	0.0481	✓	0.90
2026-08-12	oos	0.004339	0.004177	-3.74%	0.004781	+10.18%	0.0456	✓	0.92
2026-08-11	oos	0.00446	0.004285	-3.92%	0.004846	+8.65%	0.0464	✓	0.91
2026-08-10	oos	0.0046	0.004408	-4.16%	0.006317	+37.32%	0.1698	✗	0.94
2026-08-09	oos	0.00473	0.00452	-4.44%	0.004799	+1.47%	0.1204	✓	0.95
2026-08-08	oos	0.00462	0.00441	-4.53%	0.004647	+0.60%	0.1340	✓	0.94
2026-08-07	oos	0.0046	0.004386	-4.65%	0.004747	+3.20%	0.1219	✓	0.94
2026-08-06	oos	0.00454	0.004329	-4.64%	0.004658	+2.60%	0.1325	✓	0.95
2026-08-05	oos	0.004415	0.004229	-4.22%	0.004648	+5.28%	0.1064	✓	0.96
2026-08-04	oos	0.00448	0.004284	-4.38%	0.004535	+1.23%	0.1720	✓	0.96
2026-08-03	oos	0.00438	0.004195	-4.22%	0.004436	+1.28%	0.1334	✓	0.96
2026-08-02	oos	0.0043	0.004123	-4.12%	0.004487	+4.35%	0.0978	✓	0.92
2026-08-01	oos	0.0043	0.004129	-3.98%	0.004692	+9.10%	0.0869	✓	0.96
2026-07-31	oos	0.00439	0.004221	-3.86%	0.004442	+1.18%	0.1516	✓	0.96
2026-07-30	oos	0.004425	0.004279	-3.29%	0.004496	+1.60%	0.1369	✓	0.98
2026-07-29	oos	0.00425	0.004117	-3.13%	0.004483	+5.47%	0.0879	✓	0.88
2026-07-28	oos	0.00455	0.004402	-3.26%	0.004649	+2.18%	0.1459	✓	0.88
2026-07-27	oos	0.004485	0.004349	-3.03%	0.004582	+2.17%	0.1375	✓	0.88
2026-07-26	oos	0.004775	0.004641	-2.81%	0.004442	-6.97%	0.1986	✓	0.84
2026-07-25	oos	0.004795	0.00466	-2.81%	0.004572	-4.66%	0.1988	✓	0.87
2026-07-24	oos	0.0048	0.004685	-2.40%	0.004738	-1.29%	0.1332	✓	0.75
2026-07-23	oos	0.004675	0.004601	-1.58%	0.004697	+0.47%	0.0984	✓	0.70
2026-07-22	oos	0.0048	0.00476	-0.84%	0.004902	+2.13%	0.0611	✓	0.53
2026-07-21	oos	0.004875	0.004857	-0.36%	0.004634	-4.93%	0.1002	✓	0.57
2026-07-20	oos	0.004805	0.004785	-0.41%	0.004476	-6.85%	0.0997	✓	0.54
2026-07-19	oos	0.004695	0.004689	-0.12%	0.004288	-8.66%	0.0893	✓	0.53
2026-07-18	oos	0.004765	0.004775	+0.22%	0.004303	-9.70%	0.1013	✗	0.58
2026-07-17	oos	0.004805	0.004811	+0.12%	0.00443	-7.81%	0.0722	✗	0.62
2026-07-16	oos	0.005075	0.005059	-0.31%	0.004304	-15.19%	0.1543	✓	0.62
2026-07-15	oos	0.0048	0.004833	+0.69%	0.004249	-11.48%	0.1084	✗	0.75
2026-07-14	oos	0.00488	0.00492	+0.83%	0.00435	-10.86%	0.1048	✗	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.004965	0.004959	-0.12%	0.004339	-12.61%	0.1488	✓	0.83
2026-07-12	oos	0.005055	0.00507	+0.30%	0.00446	-11.77%	0.1255	✗	0.84
2026-07-11	oos	0.00542	0.005385	-0.65%	0.0046	-15.13%	0.1594	✓	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.00554	0.005471	-1.25%	0.00473	-14.62%	0.1555	✓	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	0.004945	0.004957	+0.24%	0.00462	-6.57%	0.0932	✗	0.84
2026-07-08	oos	0.00459	0.004608	+0.39%	0.0046	+0.22%	0.0355	✗	0.81
2026-07-07	oos	0.00479	0.004813	+0.47%	0.00454	-5.22%	0.0700	✗	0.79
2026-07-06	oos	0.00505	0.005064	+0.28%	0.004415	-12.57%	0.1445	✗	0.78
2026-07-05	oos	0.005025	0.005036	+0.23%	0.00448	-10.85%	0.1229	✗	0.80
2026-07-04	oos	0.005155	0.005151	-0.07%	0.00438	-15.03%	0.1671	✓	0.81
2026-07-03	oos	0.0051	0.005095	-0.10%	0.0043	-15.69%	0.1813	✓	0.75
2026-07-02	oos	0.005045	0.005035	-0.21%	0.0043	-14.77%	0.1733	✓	0.76
2026-07-01	oos	0.00497	0.004951	-0.38%	0.00439	-11.67%	0.1554	✓	0.75
2026-06-30	oos	0.00485	0.004828	-0.46%	0.004425	-8.76%	0.1665	✓	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.004885	0.004869	-0.32%	0.00425	-13.00%	0.1845	✓	0.81
2026-06-28	oos	0.004875	0.004854	-0.44%	0.00455	-6.67%	0.1187	✓	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.005075	0.005035	-0.79%	0.004485	-11.63%	0.1610	✓	0.75
2026-06-26	oos	0.00494	0.004912	-0.57%	0.004775	-3.34%	0.0923	✓	0.75
2026-06-25	oos	0.00484	0.004819	-0.42%	0.004795	-0.93%	0.0604	✓	0.75
2026-06-24	oos	0.005135	0.005098	-0.72%	0.0048	-6.52%	0.0994	✓	0.79
2026-06-23	oos	0.005345	0.005292	-1.00%	0.004675	-12.54%	0.1465	✓	0.60
2026-06-22	oos	0.005355	0.005302	-0.99%	0.0048	-10.36%	0.1201	✓	0.63
2026-06-21	oos	0.00541	0.005349	-1.14%	0.004875	-9.89%	0.1252	✓	0.64
2026-06-20	oos	0.00582	0.005661	-2.73%	0.004805	-17.44%	0.1743	✓	0.68
2026-06-19	oos	0.00569	0.005583	-1.88%	0.004695	-17.49%	0.1845	✓	0.60
2026-06-18	oos	0.00533	0.005262	-1.28%	0.004765	-10.60%	0.1173	✓	0.60
2026-06-17	oos	0.00564	0.005521	-2.11%	0.004805	-14.80%	0.1337	✓	0.60
2026-06-16	oos	0.005695	0.005555	-2.45%	0.005075	-10.89%	0.0717	✓	0.66
2026-06-15	oos	0.005765	0.0056	-2.87%	0.0048	-16.74%	0.1385	✓	0.66
2026-06-14	oos	0.00577	0.005602	-2.91%	0.00488	-15.42%	0.1308	✓	0.66
2026-06-13	oos	0.00589	0.005717	-2.94%	0.004965	-15.70%	0.1180	✓	0.67
2026-06-12	oos	0.00628	0.006029	-4.00%	0.005055	-19.51%	0.1783	✓	0.70
2026-06-11	oos	0.00671	0.006344	-5.46%	0.00542	-19.23%	0.1597	✓	0.70
2026-06-10	oos	0.00679	0.006398	-5.77%	0.00554	-18.41%	0.1753	✓	0.73
2026-06-09	oos	0.00619	0.005956	-3.78%	0.004945	-20.11%	0.2037	✓	0.74
2026-06-08	oos	0.00539	0.005314	-1.41%	0.00459	-14.84%	0.1355	✓	0.84
2026-06-07	oos	0.0052	0.005138	-1.18%	0.00479	-7.88%	0.0705	✓	0.84
2026-06-06	oos	0.00506	0.005027	-0.65%	0.00505	-0.20%	0.0377	✓	0.84
2026-06-05	oos	0.00521	0.005157	-1.01%	0.005025	-3.55%	0.0603	✓	0.84
2026-06-04	oos	0.00584	0.005684	-2.66%	0.005155	-11.73%	0.0894	✓	0.74
2026-06-03	oos	0.00661	0.006358	-3.82%	0.0051	-22.84%	0.2029	✓	0.73
2026-06-02	oos	0.00654	0.006257	-4.32%	0.005045	-22.86%	0.1512	✓	0.79
2026-06-01	oos	0.00727	0.006822	-6.16%	0.00497	-31.64%	0.2012	✓	0.67
2026-05-31	oos	0.007225	0.006751	-6.56%	0.00485	-32.87%	0.1678	✓	0.71
2026-05-30	oos	0.007175	0.006708	-6.51%	0.004885	-31.92%	0.1716	✓	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.007195	0.006733	-6.42%	0.004875	-32.24%	0.1731	✓	0.71
2026-05-28	oos	0.00722	0.006753	-6.47%	0.005075	-29.71%	0.1397	✓	0.71
2026-05-27	oos	0.00769	0.007168	-6.79%	0.00494	-35.76%	0.2246	✓	0.69
2026-05-26	oos	0.00782	0.007296	-6.70%	0.00484	-38.11%	0.2448	✓	0.69
2026-05-25	oos	0.008245	0.007707	-6.52%	0.005135	-37.72%	0.2494	✓	0.66
2026-05-24	oos	0.00813	0.007607	-6.44%	0.005345	-34.26%	0.2167	✓	0.66
2026-05-23	oos	0.008385	0.007844	-6.45%	0.005355	-36.14%	0.2613	✓	0.66
2026-05-22	oos	0.00805	0.007544	-6.29%	0.00541	-32.80%	0.2194	✓	0.64
2026-05-21	oos	0.00854	0.008002	-6.29%	0.00582	-31.85%	0.2068	✓	0.59
2026-05-20	oos	0.00854	0.007994	-6.39%	0.00569	-33.37%	0.2220	✓	0.59
2026-05-19	oos	0.00841	0.007881	-6.29%	0.00533	-36.62%	0.2741	✓	0.59
2026-05-18	oos	0.00821	0.007709	-6.10%	0.00564	-31.30%	0.2076	✓	0.59
2026-05-17	oos	0.00824	0.007761	-5.82%	0.005695	-30.89%	0.2113	✓	0.59
2026-05-16	oos	0.00863	0.008164	-5.40%	0.005765	-33.20%	0.2533	✓	0.58
2026-05-15	oos	0.00865	0.008213	-5.05%	0.00577	-33.29%	0.2452	✓	0.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.00909	0.00873	-3.96%	0.00589	-35.20%	0.2688	✓	0.54
2026-05-13	oos	0.00904	0.00859	-4.97%	0.00628	-30.53%	0.1927	✓	0.54
2026-05-12	oos	0.00985	0.009393	-4.64%	0.00671	-31.88%	0.2231	✓	0.48
2026-05-11	oos	0.01041	0.009921	-4.70%	0.00679	-34.77%	0.2542	✓	0.44
2026-05-10	oos	0.01024	0.009804	-4.26%	0.00619	-39.55%	0.3313	✓	0.45
2026-05-09	oos	0.01013	0.009592	-5.31%	0.00539	-46.79%	0.4674	✓	0.44
2026-05-08	oos	0.00975	0.009242	-5.22%	0.0052	-46.67%	0.4720	✓	0.44
2026-05-07	oos	0.00939	0.008883	-5.40%	0.00506	-46.11%	0.4435	✓	0.44
2026-05-06	oos	0.00956	0.009151	-4.28%	0.00521	-45.50%	0.4393	✓	0.43
2026-05-05	oos	0.0094	0.008945	-4.84%	0.00584	-37.87%	0.3253	✓	0.43
2026-05-04	oos	0.01	0.009423	-5.77%	0.00661	-33.90%	0.2524	✓	0.46
2026-05-03	oos	0.00941	0.008722	-7.31%	0.00654	-30.50%	0.2194	✓	0.42
2026-05-02	oos	0.00988	0.009195	-6.93%	0.00727	-26.42%	0.1947	✓	0.41
2026-05-01	oos	0.00985	0.009113	-7.49%	0.007225	-26.65%	0.2071	✓	0.41
2026-04-30	oos	0.01068	0.009817	-8.08%	0.007175	-32.82%	0.2958	✓	0.52
2026-04-29	oos	0.01092	0.009997	-8.45%	0.007195	-34.11%	0.3119	✓	0.53
2026-04-28	oos	0.01151	0.010543	-8.40%	0.00722	-37.27%	0.3596	✓	0.51
2026-04-27	oos	0.01139	0.010492	-7.88%	0.00769	-32.48%	0.2896	✓	0.52
2026-04-26	oos	0.01224	0.011401	-6.85%	0.00782	-36.11%	0.3604	✓	0.45
2026-04-25	oos	0.01554	0.013789	-11.27%	0.008245	-46.94%	0.5111	✓	0.61
2026-04-24	oos	0.02469	0.019261	-21.99%	0.00813	-67.07%	0.8586	✓	0.62
2026-04-23	oos	0.01414	0.012262	-13.28%	0.008385	-40.70%	0.3578	✓	1.06
2026-04-22	oos	0.00937	0.008784	-6.26%	0.00805	-14.09%	0.0477	✓	1.10
2026-04-21	oos	0.009565	0.008793	-8.07%	0.00854	-10.72%	0.0471	✓	1.15
2026-04-20	oos	0.00957	0.008748	-8.59%	0.00854	-10.76%	0.0483	✓	1.15
2026-04-19	oos	0.00903	0.008148	-9.77%	0.00841	-6.87%	0.0111	✓	1.09
2026-04-18	oos	0.00968	0.008776	-9.34%	0.00821	-15.19%	0.0830	✓	1.03
2026-04-17	oos	0.00971	0.008814	-9.23%	0.00824	-15.14%	0.0716	✓	1.06
2026-04-16	oos	0.00858	0.007737	-9.82%	0.00863	+0.58%	0.0708	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.00816	0.007432	-8.92%	0.00865	+6.00%	0.0969	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.00801	0.007291	-8.98%	0.00909	+13.48%	0.1316	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.00829	0.00755	-8.93%	0.00904	+9.05%	0.1171	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.00788	0.00719	-8.75%	0.00985	+25.00%	0.1859	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.00849	0.00775	-8.72%	0.01041	+22.61%	0.1833	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.0086	0.007866	-8.53%	0.01024	+19.07%	0.1450	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.00856	0.007839	-8.43%	0.01013	+18.34%	0.1401	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.00875	0.008037	-8.15%	0.00975	+11.43%	0.0727	✓	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.00898	0.008267	-7.94%	0.00939	+4.57%	0.0207	✓	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.008595	0.007928	-7.76%	0.00956	+11.23%	0.0193	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.00868	0.008026	-7.53%	0.0094	+8.29%	0.0012	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.009165	0.008539	-6.83%	0.01	+9.11%	0.0132	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.0089	0.008257	-7.23%	0.00941	+5.73%	0.0290	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.00903	0.008355	-7.48%	0.00988	+9.41%	0.0054	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.01009	0.00941	-6.74%	0.00985	-2.38%	0.0929	✓	1.00
2026-03-31	oos	0.01048	0.009779	-6.69%	0.01068	+1.91%	0.0238	✓	1.00
2026-03-30	oos	0.01104	0.010313	-6.59%	0.01092	-1.09%	0.0695	✓	1.00
2026-03-29	oos	0.01139	0.010634	-6.64%	0.01151	+1.05%	0.0667	✓	1.00
2026-03-28	oos	0.01209	0.011217	-7.22%	0.01139	-5.79%	0.1387	✓	1.00
2026-03-27	oos	0.0119	0.011034	-7.27%	0.01224	+2.86%	0.0666	✓	1.00