HANDL

HandlPay · Base · gru_s9

token id: #867
symbol: HANDL
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x3bbcb624cb9a1f73163a886f460f47603e5e4425
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 609

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

196

of 203 predictions shown

direction hit

59.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2717

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0248

actual +0.0214

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.002755	0.002697	-2.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.73
2026-10-21	oos	0.002835	0.002776	-2.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-20	oos	0.002568	0.002518	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-19	oos	0.002577	0.002528	-1.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-18	oos	0.002627	0.002574	-2.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-17	oos	0.00268	0.002624	-2.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-16	oos	0.002766	0.002709	-2.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.002896	0.002841	-1.87%	0.002755	-4.86%	0.0542	✓	0.92
2026-10-14	oos	0.002931	0.002875	-1.92%	0.002835	-3.27%	0.0413	✓	0.92
2026-10-13	oos	0.003045	0.002995	-1.64%	0.002568	-15.68%	0.1522	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.00257	0.00253	-1.55%	0.002577	+0.26%	0.0173	✗	0.84
2026-10-11	oos	0.002744	0.002712	-1.15%	0.002627	-4.24%	0.0181	✓	0.68
2026-10-10	oos	0.002932	0.002892	-1.37%	0.00268	-8.60%	0.0612	✓	0.80
2026-10-09	oos	0.003323	0.003263	-1.81%	0.002766	-16.78%	0.1553	✓	0.80
2026-10-08	oos	0.003348	0.003284	-1.93%	0.002896	-13.52%	0.1299	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.003766	0.00368	-2.29%	0.002931	-22.18%	0.2115	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	0.004313	0.004182	-3.03%	0.003045	-29.39%	0.2969	✓	0.70
2026-10-05	oos	0.003204	0.00317	-1.06%	0.00257	-19.77%	0.1715	✓	0.80
2026-10-04	oos	0.002963	0.002946	-0.56%	0.002744	-7.40%	0.0407	✓	0.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.002505	0.002496	-0.37%	0.002932	+17.04%	0.1791	✗	0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.00233	0.002323	-0.27%	0.003323	+42.65%	0.3775	✗	0.83
2026-10-01	oos	0.002286	0.002281	-0.23%	0.003348	+46.45%	0.4141	✗	0.80
2026-09-30	oos	0.002259	0.002249	-0.44%	0.003766	+66.72%	0.5182	✗	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	0.002245	0.002235	-0.45%	0.004313	+92.12%	0.6421	✗	0.68
2026-09-28	oos	0.002244	0.002236	-0.38%	0.003204	+42.74%	0.3426	✗	0.63
2026-09-27	oos	0.002407	0.002402	-0.19%	0.002963	+23.11%	0.1950	✗	0.62
2026-09-26	oos	0.002653	0.002644	-0.34%	0.002505	-5.57%	0.0565	✓	0.67
2026-09-25	oos	0.002693	0.002682	-0.42%	0.00233	-13.49%	0.1434	✓	0.56
2026-09-24	oos	0.002335	0.002332	-0.15%	0.002286	-2.10%	0.0229	✓	0.58
2026-09-23	oos	0.002356	0.002353	-0.11%	0.002259	-4.09%	0.0351	✓	0.58
2026-09-22	oos	0.002528	0.002528	+0.00%	0.002245	-11.21%	0.1022	✗	0.55
2026-09-21	oos	0.002459	0.002461	+0.06%	0.002244	-8.73%	0.0768	✗	0.41
2026-09-20	oos	0.002342	0.002331	-0.46%	0.002407	+2.77%	0.0189	✗	0.33
2026-09-19	oos	0.002353	0.002343	-0.43%	0.002653	+12.74%	0.1111	✗	0.34
2026-09-18	oos	0.002306	0.002291	-0.64%	0.002693	+16.79%	0.1485	✗	0.34
2026-09-17	oos	0.002375	0.002344	-1.27%	0.002335	-1.66%	0.0506	✓	0.47
2026-09-16	oos	0.002358	0.002329	-1.25%	0.002356	-0.11%	0.0403	✓	0.50
2026-09-15	oos	0.002162	0.002138	-1.11%	0.002528	+16.92%	0.0713	✗	0.73
2026-09-14	oos	0.002293	0.002273	-0.86%	0.002459	+7.24%	0.0152	✗	0.62
2026-09-13	oos	0.002153	0.002134	-0.86%	0.002342	+8.78%	0.0725	✗	0.37
2026-09-12	oos	0.002319	0.0023	-0.84%	0.002353	+1.44%	0.0025	✓	0.41
2026-09-11	oos	0.002513	0.002487	-1.03%	0.002306	-8.24%	0.1039	✓	0.61
2026-09-10	oos	0.002318	0.002299	-0.82%	0.002375	+2.45%	0.0339	✗	0.61
2026-09-09	oos	0.002295	0.002283	-0.53%	0.002358	+2.75%	0.0494	✗	0.61
2026-09-08	oos	0.002464	0.002448	-0.67%	0.002162	-12.25%	0.0980	✓	0.70
2026-09-07	oos	0.00247	0.002453	-0.71%	0.002293	-7.17%	0.0600	✓	0.62
2026-09-06	oos	0.002376	0.002371	-0.22%	0.002153	-9.40%	0.0718	✓	0.55
2026-09-05	oos	0.002098	0.002095	-0.10%	0.002319	+10.58%	0.1192	✗	0.54
2026-09-04	oos	0.00193	0.001926	-0.16%	0.002513	+30.24%	0.2861	✗	0.65
2026-09-03	oos	0.001971	0.001978	+0.35%	0.002318	+17.58%	0.1973	✓	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.001953	0.001936	-0.86%	0.002295	+17.50%	0.1595	✗	0.82
2026-09-01	oos	0.002051	0.002034	-0.79%	0.002464	+20.17%	0.1806	✗	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.002147	0.002133	-0.63%	0.00247	+15.06%	0.1413	✗	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.002273	0.002259	-0.59%	0.002376	+4.55%	0.0025	✓	1.42
2026-08-29	oos	0.002369	0.002361	-0.34%	0.002098	-11.46%	0.1471	✓	1.42
2026-08-28	oos	0.002286	0.002268	-0.80%	0.00193	-15.60%	0.1947	✓	1.42
2026-08-27	oos	0.002201	0.002185	-0.73%	0.001971	-10.45%	0.1212	✓	1.48
2026-08-26	oos	0.002561	0.002555	-0.21%	0.001953	-23.72%	0.2339	✓	1.58
2026-08-25	oos	0.002741	0.002741	-0.02%	0.002051	-25.19%	0.2670	✓	1.59
2026-08-24	oos	0.002813	0.002817	+0.13%	0.002147	-23.68%	0.2630	✗	1.62
2026-08-23	oos	0.002679	0.002675	-0.14%	0.002273	-15.17%	0.1618	✓	1.59
2026-08-22	oos	0.002623	0.002605	-0.67%	0.002369	-9.68%	0.1192	✓	1.59
2026-08-21	oos	0.002321	0.002289	-1.40%	0.002286	-1.52%	0.0091	✓	1.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.00222	0.00214	-3.58%	0.002201	-0.83%	0.1391	✓	1.76
2026-08-19	oos	0.002071	0.001971	-4.81%	0.002561	+23.66%	0.0197	✓	1.84
2026-08-18	oos	0.002001	0.001971	-1.50%	0.002741	+36.99%	0.0801	✓	2.11
2026-08-17	oos	0.002435	0.002376	-2.41%	0.002813	+15.54%	0.2698	✓	2.16
2026-08-16	oos	0.002721	0.002663	-2.13%	0.002679	-1.54%	0.4928	✓	2.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.002724	0.002671	-1.93%	0.002623	-3.70%	0.4903	✓	2.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.002768	0.002719	-1.77%	0.002321	-16.13%	0.6738	✓	2.36
2026-08-13	oos	0.002774	0.002725	-1.74%	0.00222	-19.98%	0.5489	✓	2.44
2026-08-12	oos	0.002908	0.002854	-1.84%	0.002071	-28.79%	0.5140	✓	2.17
2026-08-11	oos	0.002851	0.0028	-1.78%	0.002001	-29.81%	0.3728	✓	2.05
2026-08-10	oos	0.002879	0.002817	-2.13%	0.002435	-15.42%	0.1640	✓	2.05
2026-08-09	oos	0.002784	0.002707	-2.79%	0.002721	-2.27%	0.0708	✗	2.08
2026-08-08	oos	0.003008	0.002911	-3.22%	0.002724	-9.45%	0.0049	✓	2.08
2026-08-07	oos	0.002899	0.002798	-3.46%	0.002768	-4.52%	0.0467	✗	1.92
2026-08-06	oos	0.003063	0.00296	-3.38%	0.002774	-9.44%	0.0390	✓	1.96
2026-08-05	oos	0.00352	0.003385	-3.84%	0.002908	-17.38%	0.1153	✓	1.96
2026-08-04	oos	0.00322	0.0031	-3.75%	0.002851	-11.48%	0.0679	✓	1.95
2026-08-03	oos	0.003544	0.003416	-3.61%	0.002879	-18.77%	0.1850	✓	1.98
2026-08-02	oos	0.003796	0.003651	-3.82%	0.002784	-26.65%	0.3129	✓	1.99
2026-08-01	oos	0.003897	0.003753	-3.69%	0.003008	-22.82%	0.2887	✓	2.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.004087	0.003926	-3.94%	0.002899	-29.06%	0.3682	✓	2.01
2026-07-30	oos	0.004026	0.003837	-4.67%	0.003063	-23.91%	0.2113	✓	2.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.003978	0.003796	-4.58%	0.00352	-11.53%	0.0970	✓	1.95
2026-07-28	oos	0.00384	0.003658	-4.76%	0.00322	-16.14%	0.1335	✓	1.95
2026-07-27	oos	0.004067	0.003874	-4.75%	0.003544	-12.86%	0.0820	✓	1.96
2026-07-26	oos	0.004159	0.003943	-5.17%	0.003796	-8.72%	0.0216	✓	2.09
2026-07-25	oos	0.004036	0.003793	-6.03%	0.003897	-3.44%	0.0780	✗	2.11
2026-07-24	oos	0.003914	0.003671	-6.19%	0.004087	+4.42%	0.1510	✗	2.21
2026-07-23	oos	0.004071	0.003819	-6.19%	0.004026	-1.12%	0.0640	✗	2.23
2026-07-22	oos	0.004379	0.004118	-5.95%	0.003978	-9.15%	0.0397	✓	2.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.004947	0.00466	-5.80%	0.00384	-22.37%	0.1048	✓	2.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.004109	0.003864	-5.96%	0.004067	-1.02%	0.0976	✗	1.97
2026-07-19	oos	0.004335	0.004089	-5.67%	0.004159	-4.07%	0.0034	✓	1.99
2026-07-18	oos	0.004966	0.004674	-5.89%	0.004036	-18.72%	0.1317	✓	1.92
2026-07-17	oos	0.003998	0.003775	-5.59%	0.003914	-2.12%	0.0306	✓	1.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.003851	0.003633	-5.68%	0.004071	+5.70%	0.0778	✗	1.82
2026-07-15	oos	0.003984	0.003753	-5.79%	0.004379	+9.92%	0.1179	✗	1.73
2026-07-14	oos	0.003652	0.003435	-5.94%	0.004947	+35.47%	0.3244	✗	1.74
2026-07-13	oos	0.003994	0.003781	-5.34%	0.004109	+2.88%	0.0088	✓	1.99
2026-07-12	oos	0.004789	0.004504	-5.95%	0.004335	-9.47%	0.0655	✓	1.87
2026-07-11	oos	0.004183	0.003938	-5.85%	0.004966	+18.73%	0.2057	✗	1.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.003775	0.003547	-6.04%	0.003998	+5.90%	0.1255	✗	1.61
2026-07-09	oos	0.003099	0.002901	-6.39%	0.003851	+24.29%	0.2692	✗	1.52
2026-07-08	oos	0.002817	0.002621	-6.98%	0.003984	+41.40%	0.3588	✗	1.54
2026-07-07	oos	0.003076	0.002869	-6.73%	0.003652	+18.71%	0.2024	✗	1.49
2026-07-06	oos	0.003946	0.003728	-5.54%	0.003994	+1.21%	0.1081	✗	1.42
2026-07-05	oos	0.004679	0.004423	-5.48%	0.004789	+2.34%	0.0761	✗	1.38
2026-07-04	oos	0.004555	0.004302	-5.56%	0.004183	-8.17%	0.0429	✓	1.38
2026-07-03	oos	0.005829	0.005472	-6.12%	0.003775	-35.23%	0.4081	✓	1.45
2026-07-02	oos	0.006024	0.005659	-6.05%	0.003099	-48.56%	0.6424	✓	1.48
2026-07-01	oos	0.00711	0.006626	-6.80%	0.002817	-60.37%	0.9172	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.007826	0.007237	-7.52%	0.003076	-60.69%	0.9971	✓	1.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.008166	0.00746	-8.64%	0.003946	-51.67%	0.7470	✓	1.78
2026-06-28	oos	0.006209	0.005722	-7.84%	0.004679	-24.64%	0.3107	✓	1.64
2026-06-27	oos	0.004459	0.00419	-6.03%	0.004555	+2.16%	0.0012	✓	1.61
2026-06-26	oos	0.003925	0.00371	-5.49%	0.005829	+48.49%	0.3856	✗	1.61
2026-06-25	oos	0.00388	0.003661	-5.63%	0.006024	+55.28%	0.4505	✗	1.62
2026-06-24	oos	0.004037	0.00377	-6.61%	0.00711	+76.11%	0.6764	✗	2.49
2026-06-23	oos	0.003414	0.003216	-5.81%	0.007826	+129.22%	1.0390	✗	2.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.00327	0.003071	-6.10%	0.008166	+149.67%	1.1150	✗	2.24
2026-06-21	oos	0.003061	0.002888	-5.65%	0.006209	+102.83%	0.9023	✗	2.23
2026-06-20	oos	0.003072	0.00287	-6.59%	0.004459	+45.13%	0.5955	✗	2.24
2026-06-19	oos	0.002581	0.002432	-5.78%	0.003925	+52.11%	0.6020	✗	2.19
2026-06-18	oos	0.002174	0.002067	-4.93%	0.00388	+78.45%	0.7407	✗	2.14
2026-06-17	oos	0.002988	0.002768	-7.35%	0.004037	+35.12%	0.4851	✗	1.95
2026-06-16	oos	0.002667	0.002454	-7.98%	0.003414	+28.02%	0.4239	✗	2.02
2026-06-15	oos	0.001445	0.001368	-5.38%	0.00327	+126.27%	0.9504	✗	2.20
2026-06-14	oos	0.001098	0.001049	-4.50%	0.003061	+178.77%	1.1526	✗	2.12
2026-06-13	oos	0.0007385	0.000725476	-1.76%	0.003072	+316.02%	1.4494	✗	1.89
2026-06-12	oos	0.0006968	0.00068692	-1.42%	0.002581	+270.35%	1.3254	✗	1.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.0006502	0.000642653	-1.16%	0.002174	+234.36%	1.2389	✗	1.87
2026-06-10	oos	0.0005672	0.000566094	-0.20%	0.002988	+426.75%	1.5790	✗	1.77
2026-06-09	oos	0.000395	0.000403838	+2.24%	0.002667	+575.14%	1.7766	✓	1.80
2026-06-08	oos	0.0003471	0.000357644	+3.04%	0.001445	+316.42%	1.3012	✓	1.92
2026-06-07	oos	0.0003432	0.000355029	+3.45%	0.001098	+219.96%	1.0575	✓	1.92
2026-06-06	oos	0.0002984	0.000314963	+5.55%	0.0007385	+147.49%	0.7491	✓	1.80
2026-06-05	oos	0.00033	0.000348345	+5.56%	0.0006968	+111.15%	0.6208	✓	1.80
2026-06-04	oos	0.0003641	0.000381166	+4.69%	0.0006502	+78.58%	0.5409	✓	1.80
2026-06-03	oos	0.0003851	0.000403586	+4.80%	0.0005672	+47.29%	0.4147	✓	1.80
2026-06-02	oos	0.0003871	0.000404268	+4.43%	0.000395	+2.04%	0.1266	✓	1.93
2026-06-01	oos	0.0005712	0.000574272	+0.54%	0.0003471	-39.23%	0.3605	✗	1.16
2026-05-31	oos	0.0006019	0.000600583	-0.22%	0.0003432	-42.98%	0.3846	✓	1.16
2026-05-30	oos	0.0006	0.000599698	-0.05%	0.0002984	-50.27%	0.4732	✓	1.17
2026-05-29	oos	0.0005629	0.000567896	+0.89%	0.00033	-41.38%	0.3314	✗	1.15
2026-05-28	oos	0.000873	0.000854968	-2.07%	0.0003641	-58.29%	0.6983	✓	1.10
2026-05-27	oos	0.000875	0.000865925	-1.04%	0.0003851	-55.99%	0.6452	✓	1.11
2026-05-26	oos	0.0009405	0.000929721	-1.15%	0.0003871	-58.84%	0.7386	✓	1.07
2026-05-25	oos	0.000918	0.000911236	-0.74%	0.0005712	-37.78%	0.3771	✓	1.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.000931	0.000921756	-0.99%	0.0006019	-35.35%	0.3753	✓	1.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.0009455	0.000934029	-1.21%	0.0006	-36.54%	0.3994	✓	1.13
2026-05-22	oos	0.000992	0.000975357	-1.68%	0.0005629	-43.26%	0.5170	✓	1.17
2026-05-21	oos	0.001069	0.001048	-1.96%	0.000873	-18.33%	0.1229	✓	1.12
2026-05-20	oos	0.000905	0.000895138	-1.09%	0.000875	-3.31%	0.0241	✗	1.12
2026-05-19	oos	0.000854	0.000845949	-0.94%	0.0009405	+10.13%	0.1195	✗	1.10
2026-05-18	oos	0.000854	0.000846107	-0.92%	0.000918	+7.49%	0.0772	✗	1.10
2026-05-17	oos	0.000867	0.000859634	-0.85%	0.000931	+7.38%	0.0859	✗	1.10
2026-05-16	oos	0.000918	0.000909095	-0.97%	0.0009455	+3.00%	0.0597	✗	1.08
2026-05-15	oos	0.00116	0.001135	-2.18%	0.000992	-14.48%	0.0915	✓	0.92
2026-05-14	oos	0.0008585	0.000853463	-0.59%	0.001069	+24.52%	0.2907	✗	1.47
2026-05-13	oos	0.000924	0.000915739	-0.89%	0.000905	-2.06%	0.0248	✗	1.58
2026-05-12	oos	0.000926	0.000919551	-0.70%	0.000854	-7.78%	0.0028	✓	1.62
2026-05-11	oos	0.000965	0.000959674	-0.55%	0.000854	-11.50%	0.0187	✓	1.62
2026-05-10	oos	0.000975	0.000970151	-0.50%	0.000867	-11.08%	0.0143	✓	1.63
2026-05-09	oos	0.001147	0.001132	-1.31%	0.000918	-19.97%	0.1511	✓	1.82
2026-05-08	oos	0.001138	0.001121	-1.50%	0.00116	+1.93%	0.0601	✗	1.82
2026-05-07	oos	0.0009895	0.000977851	-1.18%	0.0008585	-13.24%	0.1544	✓	1.82
2026-05-06	oos	0.00103	0.001022	-0.79%	0.000924	-10.33%	0.0521	✓	1.83
2026-05-05	oos	0.001073	0.00106	-1.15%	0.000926	-13.66%	0.1256	✓	1.84
2026-05-04	oos	0.001025	0.00101	-1.48%	0.000965	-5.85%	0.0875	✓	1.81
2026-05-03	oos	0.001002	0.000982856	-1.91%	0.000975	-2.69%	0.0897	✓	1.80
2026-05-02	oos	0.0009	0.000877841	-2.46%	0.001147	+27.44%	0.2219	✗	1.84
2026-05-01	oos	0.0011	0.001077	-2.07%	0.001138	+3.45%	0.0085	✓	1.88
2026-04-30	oos	0.001102	0.001073	-2.64%	0.0009895	-10.21%	0.1724	✓	1.93
2026-04-29	oos	0.001077	0.001046	-2.88%	0.00103	-4.32%	0.1542	✓	1.92
2026-04-28	oos	0.00107	0.00104	-2.82%	0.001073	+0.23%	0.0829	✓	1.95
2026-04-27	oos	0.001478	0.001427	-3.43%	0.001025	-30.65%	0.3825	✓	1.62
2026-04-26	oos	0.001527	0.001471	-3.65%	0.001002	-34.38%	0.3818	✓	1.63
2026-04-25	oos	0.001183	0.001148	-2.96%	0.0009	-23.92%	0.2624	✓	1.44
2026-04-24	oos	0.000974	0.000951478	-2.31%	0.0011	+12.94%	0.1307	✗	1.44
2026-04-23	oos	0.000981	0.000962305	-1.91%	0.001102	+12.33%	0.1611	✗	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.00115	0.00113	-1.77%	0.001077	-6.35%	0.0158	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.001214	0.001185	-2.38%	0.00107	-11.86%	0.1017	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.001189	0.001159	-2.50%	0.001478	+24.31%	0.2234	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.00119	0.001153	-3.15%	0.001527	+28.32%	0.2177	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.001277	0.001244	-2.59%	0.001183	-7.36%	0.0752	✓	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.001192	0.001169	-1.97%	0.000974	-18.29%	0.1868	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.001225	0.001192	-2.73%	0.000981	-19.92%	0.2351	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.001178	0.001145	-2.78%	0.00115	-2.38%	0.0400	✓	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.001206	0.001168	-3.13%	0.001214	+0.66%	0.0096	✓	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.001043	0.001014	-2.81%	0.001189	+14.00%	0.1406	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.001063	0.001025	-3.66%	0.00119	+11.89%	0.1072	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.001047	0.001013	-3.20%	0.001277	+21.97%	0.1955	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.001208	0.001164	-3.68%	0.001192	-1.32%	0.0305	✓	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.001066	0.001027	-3.62%	0.001225	+14.92%	0.1300	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.001055	0.001016	-3.72%	0.001178	+11.66%	0.0968	✗	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.001057	0.00102	-3.53%	0.001206	+14.10%	0.1367	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.001048	0.001009	-3.72%	0.001043	-0.48%	0.0449	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.001042	0.001004	-3.68%	0.001063	+2.06%	0.0329	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.00099	0.000956028	-3.43%	0.001047	+5.76%	0.0083	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.001044	0.00101	-3.25%	0.001208	+15.71%	0.0927	✗	1.00