HAJIMI

? · · gru_s9

token id: #996
symbol: HAJIMI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-11-04
predictions: 516

Track record at +7d

assessed

144

of 172 predictions shown

direction hit

50.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1890

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0254

actual +0.0390

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.020435	0.020062	-1.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.020605	0.020239	-1.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-19	oos	0.01981	0.019555	-1.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-18	oos	0.01918	0.018964	-1.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-17	oos	0.02	0.019782	-1.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-16	oos	0.02154	0.021261	-1.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-15	oos	0.02146	0.021179	-1.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.02186	0.021594	-1.22%	0.020435	-6.52%	0.0688	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.025095	0.024615	-1.91%	0.020605	-17.89%	0.1761	✓	0.86
2026-10-12	oos	0.02587	0.025404	-1.80%	0.01981	-23.42%	0.2497	✓	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	0.02807	0.027374	-2.48%	0.01918	-31.67%	0.3393	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	0.028755	0.028023	-2.54%	0.02	-30.45%	0.3220	✓	0.82
2026-10-09	oos	0.02823	0.027585	-2.28%	0.02154	-23.70%	0.2370	✓	0.81
2026-10-08	oos	0.02805	0.02747	-2.07%	0.02146	-23.49%	0.2511	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	0.02808	0.02748	-2.14%	0.02186	-22.15%	0.2110	✓	0.86
2026-10-06	oos	0.0278	0.027252	-1.97%	0.025095	-9.73%	0.0533	✓	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.025615	0.025159	-1.78%	0.02587	+1.00%	0.0757	✗	1.00
2026-10-04	oos	0.02911	0.028562	-1.88%	0.02807	-3.57%	0.0159	✓	1.00
2026-10-03	oos	0.030485	0.029761	-2.38%	0.028755	-5.67%	0.0125	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.030735	0.029963	-2.51%	0.02823	-8.15%	0.0361	✓	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.03306	0.032151	-2.75%	0.02805	-15.15%	0.0985	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.030975	0.030108	-2.80%	0.02808	-9.35%	0.0664	✓	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.03383	0.032747	-3.20%	0.0278	-17.82%	0.1863	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.03435	0.033195	-3.36%	0.025615	-25.43%	0.2863	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.03413	0.033115	-2.97%	0.02911	-14.71%	0.1528	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.03457	0.033501	-3.09%	0.030485	-11.82%	0.0982	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.03425	0.033181	-3.12%	0.030735	-10.26%	0.0815	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.03382	0.032835	-2.91%	0.03306	-2.25%	0.0014	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.03548	0.034345	-3.20%	0.030975	-12.70%	0.0935	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.03985	0.038363	-3.73%	0.03383	-15.11%	0.0956	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.033935	0.033311	-1.84%	0.03435	+1.22%	0.0676	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.034595	0.033324	-3.67%	0.03413	-1.34%	0.0160	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.033255	0.032156	-3.31%	0.03457	+3.95%	0.0340	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0348	0.033605	-3.43%	0.03425	-1.58%	0.0200	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.03351	0.032725	-2.34%	0.03382	+0.93%	0.0672	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.03063	0.029908	-2.36%	0.03548	+15.83%	0.0682	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.03338	0.032727	-1.95%	0.03985	+19.38%	0.0655	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.013255	0.013132	-0.93%	–	pending	–	–	3.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.013	0.01288	-0.92%	–	pending	–	–	3.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.01248	0.012375	-0.84%	–	pending	–	–	3.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.013	0.012874	-0.97%	–	pending	–	–	3.14
2026-06-14	oos	0.01264	0.012526	-0.90%	–	pending	–	–	3.15
2026-06-13	oos	0.01348	0.013329	-1.12%	–	pending	–	–	3.29
2026-06-12	oos	0.01236	0.012257	-0.83%	–	pending	–	–	3.27
2026-06-11	oos	0.01294	0.012813	-0.98%	0.013255	+2.43%	0.0693	✗	3.27
2026-06-10	oos	0.01202	0.011946	-0.62%	0.013	+8.15%	0.0758	✓	3.37
2026-06-09	oos	0.01261	0.012517	-0.74%	0.01248	-1.03%	0.2109	✓	3.37
2026-06-08	oos	0.01487	0.014629	-1.62%	0.013	-12.58%	0.2803	✓	3.26
2026-06-07	oos	0.01372	0.013554	-1.21%	0.01264	-7.87%	0.1916	✓	3.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.01441	0.014236	-1.21%	0.01348	-6.45%	0.2697	✓	3.76
2026-06-05	oos	0.01224	0.012201	-0.32%	0.01236	+0.98%	0.1380	✓	3.75
2026-06-04	oos	0.0133	0.013151	-1.12%	0.01294	-2.71%	0.0012	✓	3.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.0137	0.013525	-1.28%	0.01202	-12.26%	0.0446	✗	3.93
2026-06-02	oos	0.01373	0.013495	-1.71%	0.01261	-8.16%	0.2664	✗	4.31
2026-06-01	oos	0.01548	0.015082	-2.57%	0.01487	-3.94%	0.6509	✗	5.41
2026-05-31	oos	0.01792	0.017242	-3.78%	0.01372	-23.44%	0.5911	✗	5.45
2026-05-30	oos	0.01655	0.015996	-3.35%	0.01441	-12.93%	0.9487	✗	5.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.01367	0.013269	-2.93%	0.01224	-10.46%	0.9057	✗	5.36
2026-05-28	oos	0.01434	0.013909	-3.01%	0.0133	-7.25%	0.7132	✗	5.35
2026-05-27	oos	0.01417	0.013696	-3.35%	0.0137	-3.32%	0.8086	✗	5.43
2026-05-26	oos	0.01463	0.014098	-3.64%	0.01373	-6.15%	0.6969	✗	5.61
2026-05-25	oos	0.01469	0.014114	-3.92%	0.01548	+5.38%	0.5605	✗	5.86
2026-05-24	oos	0.0155	0.014889	-3.94%	0.01792	+15.61%	0.4513	✗	5.89
2026-05-23	oos	0.01662	0.015918	-4.22%	0.01655	-0.42%	0.2662	✗	5.93
2026-05-22	oos	0.0159	0.015252	-4.08%	0.01367	-14.03%	0.0594	✗	6.05
2026-05-21	oos	0.01805	0.017135	-5.07%	0.01434	-20.55%	0.1528	✗	6.19
2026-05-20	oos	0.01789	0.016982	-5.08%	0.01417	-20.79%	0.0768	✗	6.19
2026-05-19	oos	0.01798	0.017031	-5.28%	0.01463	-18.63%	0.0745	✓	6.28
2026-05-18	oos	0.0198	0.018459	-6.77%	0.01469	-25.81%	0.2531	✓	6.24
2026-05-17	oos	0.01949	0.018106	-7.10%	0.0155	-20.47%	0.1498	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.01506	0.014528	-3.53%	0.01662	+10.36%	0.1533	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.01473	0.014266	-3.15%	0.0159	+7.94%	0.1552	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.0176	0.016582	-5.78%	0.01805	+2.56%	0.1294	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.01145	0.011245	-1.79%	0.01789	+56.24%	0.4875	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.01212	0.011912	-1.72%	0.01798	+48.35%	0.4590	✗	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.01232	0.012146	-1.41%	0.0198	+60.71%	0.5490	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.01407	0.013875	-1.38%	0.01949	+38.52%	0.3999	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.01243	0.012207	-1.79%	0.01506	+21.16%	0.2422	✗	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.0131	0.012864	-1.80%	0.01473	+12.44%	0.1497	✗	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.01278	0.012525	-1.99%	0.0176	+37.72%	0.3268	✗	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.01372	0.013547	-1.26%	0.01145	-16.55%	0.1414	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.01414	0.013932	-1.47%	0.01212	-14.29%	0.1341	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.0147	0.014397	-2.06%	0.01232	-16.19%	0.1790	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.01436	0.014023	-2.34%	0.01407	-2.02%	0.0420	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.01562	0.015141	-3.07%	0.01243	-20.42%	0.2221	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.01347	0.013169	-2.23%	0.0131	-2.75%	0.0300	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.01318	0.012805	-2.85%	0.01278	-3.03%	0.0493	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.01246	0.011961	-4.01%	0.01372	+10.11%	0.0648	✗	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.01247	0.011888	-4.67%	0.01414	+13.39%	0.1151	✗	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.01326	0.012815	-3.35%	0.0147	+10.86%	0.1056	✗	1.00
2026-02-13	oos	0.02087	0.020543	-1.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-02-12	oos	0.01921	0.019037	-0.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-02-11	oos	0.01657	0.016357	-1.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-02-10	oos	0.01683	0.016529	-1.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-02-09	oos	0.01782	0.017512	-1.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-02-08	oos	0.01952	0.019287	-1.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-02-07	oos	0.0161	0.015771	-2.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-02-06	oos	0.01679	0.016428	-2.16%	0.02087	+24.30%	0.2737	✗	1.39
2026-02-05	oos	0.01441	0.014408	-0.01%	0.01921	+33.31%	0.2114	✗	1.44
2026-02-04	oos	0.01967	0.019466	-1.04%	0.01657	-15.76%	0.0709	✓	1.06
2026-02-03	oos	0.02106	0.020854	-0.98%	0.01683	-20.09%	0.1020	✓	1.18
2026-02-02	oos	0.02438	0.024201	-0.73%	0.01782	-26.91%	0.1495	✓	1.36
2026-02-01	oos	0.02551	0.02549	-0.08%	0.01952	-23.48%	0.1389	✓	1.42
2026-01-31	oos	0.02839	0.028324	-0.23%	0.0161	-43.29%	0.3906	✓	1.37
2026-01-30	oos	0.02879	0.028574	-0.75%	0.01679	-41.68%	0.2657	✓	1.51
2026-01-18	oos	0.04019	0.03923	-2.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-01-17	oos	0.0415	0.040503	-2.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-01-16	oos	0.04227	0.041202	-2.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-01-15	oos	0.04026	0.039279	-2.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-01-14	oos	0.04247	0.041354	-2.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-01-13	oos	0.04033	0.039309	-2.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-01-12	oos	0.03617	0.035288	-2.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-01-11	oos	0.03813	0.037229	-2.36%	0.04019	+5.40%	0.0337	✗	1.43
2026-01-10	oos	0.03571	0.034903	-2.26%	0.0415	+16.21%	0.1006	✗	1.42
2026-01-09	oos	0.03562	0.034755	-2.43%	0.04227	+18.67%	0.1196	✗	1.42
2026-01-08	oos	0.03617	0.035239	-2.58%	0.04026	+11.31%	0.0639	✗	1.42
2026-01-07	oos	0.03658	0.035619	-2.63%	0.04247	+16.10%	0.0905	✗	1.42
2026-01-06	oos	0.04091	0.039629	-3.13%	0.04033	-1.42%	0.0058	✓	1.33
2026-01-05	oos	0.04253	0.040992	-3.62%	0.03617	-14.95%	0.0866	✓	1.33
2026-01-04	oos	0.04192	0.040224	-4.05%	0.03813	-9.04%	0.0441	✓	1.37
2026-01-03	oos	0.03634	0.035274	-2.93%	0.03571	-1.73%	0.0155	✓	1.32
2026-01-02	oos	0.03165	0.030952	-2.21%	0.03562	+12.54%	0.1326	✗	1.28
2026-01-01	oos	0.02802	0.02737	-2.32%	0.03617	+29.09%	0.2478	✗	1.22
2025-12-31	oos	0.02892	0.028258	-2.29%	0.03658	+26.49%	0.2048	✗	1.26
2025-12-30	oos	0.02701	0.026244	-2.84%	0.04091	+51.46%	0.3690	✗	1.28
2025-12-29	oos	0.02795	0.027228	-2.58%	0.04253	+52.16%	0.3468	✗	1.33
2025-12-28	oos	0.02852	0.027794	-2.55%	0.04192	+46.98%	0.3576	✗	1.32
2025-12-27	oos	0.03008	0.029398	-2.27%	0.03634	+20.81%	0.1703	✗	1.33
2025-12-26	oos	0.03048	0.029823	-2.15%	0.03165	+3.84%	0.0191	✓	1.34
2025-12-25	oos	0.03247	0.031782	-2.12%	0.02802	-13.70%	0.1502	✓	1.36
2025-12-24	oos	0.03236	0.031701	-2.04%	0.02892	-10.63%	0.0901	✓	1.36
2025-12-23	oos	0.03228	0.031639	-1.99%	0.02701	-16.33%	0.1732	✓	1.36
2025-12-22	oos	0.03319	0.032512	-2.04%	0.02795	-15.79%	0.1290	✓	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.03697	0.035863	-2.99%	0.02852	-22.86%	0.2173	✓	1.36
2025-12-20	oos	0.03573	0.034701	-2.88%	0.03008	-15.81%	0.1350	✓	1.36
2025-12-19	oos	0.03309	0.032317	-2.34%	0.03048	-7.89%	0.0463	✓	1.35
2025-12-18	oos	0.03151	0.030814	-2.21%	0.03247	+3.05%	0.0253	✗	1.36
2025-12-17	oos	0.03225	0.031407	-2.61%	0.03236	+0.34%	0.0080	✓	1.36
2025-12-16	oos	0.02812	0.027663	-1.62%	0.03228	+14.79%	0.1614	✗	1.45
2025-12-15	oos	0.02815	0.027659	-1.75%	0.03319	+17.90%	0.1458	✗	1.49
2025-12-14	oos	0.02679	0.026374	-1.55%	0.03697	+38.00%	0.3296	✗	1.54
2025-12-13	oos	0.02917	0.028599	-1.96%	0.03573	+22.49%	0.2546	✗	1.48
2025-12-12	oos	0.02983	0.029129	-2.35%	0.03309	+10.93%	0.1638	✗	1.48
2025-12-11	oos	0.02945	0.028711	-2.51%	0.03151	+6.99%	0.2135	✗	1.51
2025-12-10	oos	0.02442	0.024038	-1.56%	0.03225	+32.06%	0.3887	✗	1.45
2025-12-09	oos	0.02448	0.02408	-1.63%	0.02812	+14.87%	0.2327	✗	1.45
2025-12-08	oos	0.02409	0.023682	-1.69%	0.02815	+16.85%	0.2441	✗	1.49
2025-12-07	oos	0.02244	0.022022	-1.86%	0.02679	+19.39%	0.2328	✗	1.47
2025-12-06	oos	0.02155	0.021083	-2.17%	0.02917	+35.36%	0.3085	✗	1.47
2025-12-05	oos	0.0227	0.02227	-1.89%	0.02983	+31.41%	0.2769	✗	1.48
2025-12-04	oos	0.02301	0.022555	-1.98%	0.02945	+27.99%	0.2594	✗	1.50
2025-12-03	oos	0.02497	0.024482	-1.95%	0.02442	-2.20%	0.0127	✓	1.00
2025-12-02	oos	0.02613	0.025575	-2.12%	0.02448	-6.31%	0.0588	✓	1.00
2025-12-01	oos	0.02323	0.022816	-1.78%	0.02409	+3.70%	0.0049	✓	1.00
2025-11-30	oos	0.02678	0.026158	-2.32%	0.02244	-16.21%	0.1537	✓	1.00
2025-11-29	oos	0.0263	0.025678	-2.37%	0.02155	-18.06%	0.1579	✓	1.00
2025-11-28	oos	0.02881	0.027829	-3.40%	0.0227	-21.21%	0.1864	✓	1.00
2025-11-27	oos	0.02423	0.023694	-2.21%	0.02301	-5.04%	0.0378	✓	1.00
2025-11-26	oos	0.02497	0.024371	-2.40%	0.02497	+0.00%	0.0082	✓	1.00
2025-11-25	oos	0.02264	0.0222	-1.94%	0.02613	+15.42%	0.1184	✗	1.00
2025-11-24	oos	0.02171	0.021251	-2.11%	0.02323	+7.00%	0.1118	✗	1.00
2025-11-23	oos	0.0226	0.022174	-1.88%	0.02678	+18.50%	0.1485	✗	1.00
2025-11-22	oos	0.02268	0.022322	-1.58%	0.0263	+15.96%	0.0940	✗	1.00
2025-11-21	oos	0.02678	0.026157	-2.33%	0.02881	+7.58%	0.0303	✗	1.00
2025-11-20	oos	0.02092	0.020537	-1.83%	0.02423	+15.82%	0.1116	✗	1.00
2025-11-19	oos	0.01944	0.018722	-3.69%	0.02497	+28.45%	0.2989	✗	1.00
2025-11-18	oos	0.0214	0.020811	-2.75%	0.02264	+5.79%	0.1463	✗	1.00
2025-11-17	oos	0.02315	0.02264	-2.20%	0.02171	-6.22%	0.0006	✓	1.00
2025-11-16	oos	0.03151	0.030241	-4.03%	0.0226	-28.28%	0.2097	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.03674	0.034414	-6.33%	0.02268	-38.27%	0.2963	✓	1.00
2025-11-14	oos	0.02743	0.026447	-3.58%	0.02678	-2.37%	0.1177	✗	1.00
2025-11-13	oos	0.02199	0.021375	-2.80%	0.02092	-4.87%	0.1192	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.