GRVT
GRVT Token · Ethereum · gru_s9
- token id
- #373
- symbol
- GRVT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xad29f2723fcdbcf665f210f25e06f97477e417cf
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-30
- predictions
- 225
Track record at +7d
assessed
68
of 75 predictions shown
direction hit
39.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1475
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0208
actual -0.0510
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.2669 | 0.259557 | -2.75% | – | pending | – | – | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.25965 | 0.250833 | -3.40% | – | pending | – | – | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.23295 | 0.227789 | -2.22% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.21595 | 0.21265 | -1.53% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.21555 | 0.212111 | -1.60% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.2179 | 0.214316 | -1.64% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.2297 | 0.22546 | -1.85% | – | pending | – | – | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.2142 | 0.210739 | -1.62% | 0.2669 | +24.60% | 0.2351 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.20665 | 0.203636 | -1.46% | 0.25965 | +25.65% | 0.2432 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2119 | 0.208623 | -1.55% | 0.23295 | +9.93% | 0.1102 | ✗ | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.2314 | 0.227483 | -1.69% | 0.21595 | -6.68% | 0.0510 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.234 | 0.229752 | -1.82% | 0.21555 | -7.88% | 0.0628 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.22515 | 0.221145 | -1.78% | 0.2179 | -3.22% | 0.0141 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.2283 | 0.223609 | -2.05% | 0.2297 | +0.61% | 0.0266 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.223 | 0.219296 | -1.66% | 0.2142 | -3.95% | 0.0219 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.2265 | 0.223004 | -1.54% | 0.20665 | -8.76% | 0.0743 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.22355 | 0.2203 | -1.45% | 0.2119 | -5.21% | 0.0357 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.22175 | 0.218595 | -1.42% | 0.2314 | +4.35% | 0.0593 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2159 | 0.21237 | -1.63% | 0.234 | +8.38% | 0.0982 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2158 | 0.211964 | -1.78% | 0.22515 | +4.33% | 0.0617 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.20775 | 0.204359 | -1.63% | 0.2283 | +9.89% | 0.1133 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.2074 | 0.203746 | -1.76% | 0.223 | +7.52% | 0.0905 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.2034 | 0.199898 | -1.72% | 0.2265 | +11.36% | 0.1234 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.2057 | 0.201617 | -1.99% | 0.22355 | +8.68% | 0.1014 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2017 | 0.198042 | -1.81% | 0.22175 | +9.94% | 0.1111 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.20385 | 0.199743 | -2.01% | 0.2159 | +5.91% | 0.0775 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.20935 | 0.204537 | -2.30% | 0.2158 | +3.08% | 0.0532 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2047 | 0.199947 | -2.32% | 0.20775 | +1.49% | 0.0378 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.1944 | 0.189863 | -2.33% | 0.2074 | +6.69% | 0.0893 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.19575 | 0.191647 | -2.10% | 0.2034 | +3.91% | 0.0624 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.19225 | 0.188229 | -2.09% | 0.2057 | +7.00% | 0.0926 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.1913 | 0.184346 | -3.64% | 0.2017 | +5.44% | 0.0861 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.1938 | 0.18615 | -3.95% | 0.20385 | +5.19% | 0.0872 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1894 | 0.18147 | -4.19% | 0.20935 | +10.53% | 0.1392 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.1787 | 0.172062 | -3.71% | 0.2047 | +14.55% | 0.1785 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.1675 | 0.162192 | -3.17% | 0.1944 | +16.06% | 0.1858 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.16815 | 0.162916 | -3.11% | 0.19575 | +16.41% | 0.1897 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.1705 | 0.164252 | -3.66% | 0.19225 | +12.76% | 0.1637 | ✗ | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.17025 | 0.164457 | -3.40% | 0.1913 | +12.36% | 0.1549 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.165601 | -3.55% | 0.1938 | +12.87% | 0.1607 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.17495 | 0.168308 | -3.80% | 0.1894 | +8.26% | 0.1213 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.16865 | 0.163114 | -3.28% | 0.1787 | +5.96% | 0.0911 | ✗ | -0.08 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.16025 | 0.155817 | -2.77% | 0.1675 | +4.52% | 0.0723 | ✗ | -0.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.1672 | 0.161832 | -3.21% | 0.16815 | +0.57% | 0.0379 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.1687 | 0.162948 | -3.41% | 0.1705 | +1.07% | 0.0452 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.1635 | 0.158884 | -2.82% | 0.17025 | +4.13% | 0.0706 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.1627 | 0.158877 | -2.35% | 0.1717 | +5.53% | 0.0787 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.1619 | 0.159108 | -1.72% | 0.17495 | +8.06% | 0.0961 | ✗ | 0.04 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.1622 | 0.15997 | -1.37% | 0.16865 | +3.98% | 0.0559 | ✗ | 0.05 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.1587 | 0.158267 | -0.27% | 0.16025 | +0.98% | 0.0129 | ✗ | -0.03 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.1504 | 0.151302 | +0.60% | 0.1672 | +11.17% | 0.1000 | ✓ | -0.01 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.1633 | 0.163648 | +0.21% | 0.1687 | +3.31% | 0.0311 | ✓ | -0.10 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.1744 | 0.174239 | -0.09% | 0.1635 | -6.25% | 0.0609 | ✓ | -0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.1704 | 0.170711 | +0.18% | 0.1627 | -4.52% | 0.0470 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.1649 | 0.16461 | -0.18% | 0.1619 | -1.82% | 0.0399 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.168912 | -1.62% | 0.1622 | -5.53% | 0.0528 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.1827 | 0.179638 | -1.68% | 0.1587 | -13.14% | 0.1019 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.1968 | 0.193502 | -1.68% | 0.1504 | -23.58% | 0.2375 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.2039 | 0.19917 | -2.32% | 0.1633 | -19.91% | 0.1933 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.2315 | 0.230876 | -0.27% | 0.1744 | -24.67% | 0.2797 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.2462 | 0.246267 | +0.03% | 0.1704 | -30.79% | 0.3835 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.2856 | 0.287894 | +0.80% | 0.1649 | -42.26% | 0.5510 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.2785 | 0.277013 | -0.53% | 0.1717 | -38.35% | 0.5732 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.3042 | 0.298402 | -1.91% | 0.1827 | -39.94% | 0.6219 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.2932 | 0.286699 | -2.22% | 0.1968 | -32.88% | 0.5702 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.2813 | 0.274982 | -2.25% | 0.2039 | -27.52% | 0.5020 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.2828 | 0.276494 | -2.23% | 0.2315 | -18.14% | 0.3903 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.2924 | 0.285531 | -2.35% | 0.2462 | -15.80% | 0.3493 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.3029 | 0.295295 | -2.51% | 0.2856 | -5.71% | 0.2515 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.3229 | 0.313219 | -3.00% | 0.2785 | -13.75% | 0.2582 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.3174 | 0.307951 | -2.98% | 0.3042 | -4.16% | 0.1011 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.3169 | 0.306726 | -3.21% | 0.2932 | -7.48% | 0.0630 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.3277 | 0.314623 | -3.99% | 0.2813 | -14.16% | 0.1208 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.3111 | 0.301919 | -2.95% | 0.2828 | -9.10% | 0.0339 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.2961 | 0.288177 | -2.68% | 0.2924 | -1.25% | 0.0441 | ✗ | 1.00 |