GRVT
GRVT Token · Ethereum · gru_s9
- token id
- #373
- symbol
- GRVT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xad29f2723fcdbcf665f210f25e06f97477e417cf
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-30
- predictions
- 225
Track record at +1d
assessed
74
of 75 predictions shown
direction hit
50.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0362
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0045
actual -0.0039
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.2669 | 0.264458 | -0.92% | – | pending | – | – | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.25965 | 0.256228 | -1.32% | 0.2669 | +2.79% | 0.0412 | ✗ | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.23295 | 0.231401 | -0.67% | 0.25965 | +11.46% | 0.1138 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.21595 | 0.215276 | -0.31% | 0.23295 | +7.87% | 0.0791 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.21555 | 0.214885 | -0.31% | 0.21595 | +0.19% | 0.0041 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.2179 | 0.217189 | -0.33% | 0.21555 | -1.08% | 0.0074 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.2297 | 0.228701 | -0.43% | 0.2179 | -5.14% | 0.0477 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.2142 | 0.21351 | -0.32% | 0.2297 | +7.24% | 0.0725 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.20665 | 0.206113 | -0.26% | 0.2142 | +3.65% | 0.0406 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2119 | 0.211333 | -0.27% | 0.20665 | -2.48% | 0.0244 | ✓ | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.2314 | 0.23052 | -0.38% | 0.2119 | -8.43% | 0.0830 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.234 | 0.233005 | -0.43% | 0.2314 | -1.11% | 0.0074 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.22515 | 0.224226 | -0.41% | 0.234 | +3.93% | 0.0424 | ✗ | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.2283 | 0.227146 | -0.51% | 0.22515 | -1.38% | 0.0094 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.223 | 0.222207 | -0.36% | 0.2283 | +2.38% | 0.0285 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.2265 | 0.225711 | -0.35% | 0.223 | -1.55% | 0.0104 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.22355 | 0.222877 | -0.30% | 0.2265 | +1.32% | 0.0163 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.22175 | 0.221087 | -0.30% | 0.22355 | +0.81% | 0.0117 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2159 | 0.21515 | -0.35% | 0.22175 | +2.71% | 0.0291 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2158 | 0.214925 | -0.41% | 0.2159 | +0.05% | 0.0044 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.20775 | 0.207056 | -0.33% | 0.2158 | +3.87% | 0.0416 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.2074 | 0.206631 | -0.37% | 0.20775 | +0.17% | 0.0044 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.2034 | 0.202653 | -0.37% | 0.2074 | +1.97% | 0.0232 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.2057 | 0.204752 | -0.46% | 0.2034 | -1.12% | 0.0068 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2017 | 0.20095 | -0.37% | 0.2057 | +1.98% | 0.0244 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.20385 | 0.202978 | -0.43% | 0.2017 | -1.05% | 0.0064 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.20935 | 0.208256 | -0.52% | 0.20385 | -2.63% | 0.0217 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2047 | 0.203606 | -0.53% | 0.20935 | +2.27% | 0.0281 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.1944 | 0.193394 | -0.52% | 0.2047 | +5.30% | 0.0568 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.19575 | 0.194788 | -0.49% | 0.1944 | -0.69% | 0.0001 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.19225 | 0.191324 | -0.48% | 0.19575 | +1.82% | 0.0234 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.1913 | 0.189713 | -0.83% | 0.19225 | +0.50% | 0.0070 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.1938 | 0.191953 | -0.95% | 0.1913 | -1.29% | 0.0033 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1894 | 0.187461 | -1.02% | 0.1938 | +2.32% | 0.0328 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.1787 | 0.177406 | -0.72% | 0.1894 | +5.99% | 0.0682 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.1675 | 0.166664 | -0.50% | 0.1787 | +6.69% | 0.0699 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.16815 | 0.167347 | -0.48% | 0.1675 | -0.39% | 0.0013 | ✓ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.1705 | 0.169357 | -0.67% | 0.16815 | -1.38% | 0.0092 | ✓ | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.17025 | 0.16926 | -0.58% | 0.1705 | +0.15% | 0.0085 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.170595 | -0.64% | 0.17025 | -0.84% | 0.0024 | ✓ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.17495 | 0.173568 | -0.79% | 0.1717 | -1.86% | 0.0108 | ✓ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.16865 | 0.167553 | -0.65% | 0.17495 | +3.74% | 0.0439 | ✗ | -0.08 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.16025 | 0.159535 | -0.45% | 0.16865 | +5.24% | 0.0556 | ✗ | -0.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.1672 | 0.166192 | -0.60% | 0.16025 | -4.16% | 0.0364 | ✓ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.1687 | 0.167432 | -0.75% | 0.1672 | -0.89% | 0.0015 | ✓ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.1635 | 0.162663 | -0.51% | 0.1687 | +3.18% | 0.0370 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.1627 | 0.162082 | -0.38% | 0.1635 | +0.49% | 0.0085 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.1619 | 0.161442 | -0.28% | 0.1627 | +0.49% | 0.0077 | ✗ | 0.04 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.1622 | 0.161718 | -0.30% | 0.1619 | -0.18% | 0.0021 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.1587 | 0.158744 | +0.03% | 0.1622 | +2.21% | 0.0233 | ✓ | -0.03 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.1504 | 0.150741 | +0.23% | 0.1587 | +5.52% | 0.0514 | ✓ | -0.01 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.1633 | 0.16337 | +0.04% | 0.1504 | -7.90% | 0.0842 | ✗ | -0.10 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.1744 | 0.174268 | -0.08% | 0.1633 | -6.36% | 0.0641 | ✓ | -0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.1704 | 0.170382 | -0.01% | 0.1744 | +2.35% | 0.0229 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.1649 | 0.164871 | -0.02% | 0.1704 | +3.34% | 0.0279 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.171081 | -0.36% | 0.1649 | -3.96% | 0.0060 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.1827 | 0.181979 | -0.39% | 0.1717 | -6.02% | 0.0738 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.1968 | 0.195968 | -0.42% | 0.1827 | -7.16% | 0.0764 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.2039 | 0.202693 | -0.59% | 0.1968 | -3.48% | 0.0237 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.2315 | 0.231128 | -0.16% | 0.2039 | -11.92% | 0.1413 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.2462 | 0.246006 | -0.08% | 0.2315 | -5.97% | 0.0695 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.2856 | 0.285867 | +0.09% | 0.2462 | -13.80% | 0.1330 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.2785 | 0.278202 | -0.11% | 0.2856 | +2.55% | 0.0440 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.3042 | 0.302899 | -0.43% | 0.2785 | -8.45% | 0.1362 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.2932 | 0.291896 | -0.44% | 0.3042 | +3.75% | 0.0277 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.2813 | 0.280147 | -0.41% | 0.2932 | +4.23% | 0.0424 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.2828 | 0.281691 | -0.39% | 0.2813 | -0.53% | 0.0272 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.2924 | 0.291145 | -0.43% | 0.2828 | -3.28% | 0.0262 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.3029 | 0.301409 | -0.49% | 0.2924 | -3.47% | 0.0310 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.3229 | 0.320717 | -0.68% | 0.3029 | -6.19% | 0.0500 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.3174 | 0.31523 | -0.68% | 0.3229 | +1.73% | 0.0238 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.3169 | 0.314261 | -0.83% | 0.3174 | +0.16% | 0.0118 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.3277 | 0.323601 | -1.25% | 0.3169 | -3.30% | 0.0150 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.3111 | 0.308875 | -0.72% | 0.3277 | +5.34% | 0.0737 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.2961 | 0.294286 | -0.61% | 0.3111 | +5.07% | 0.0565 | ✗ | 1.00 |