GNS

Syli · · gru_s9

token id: #462
symbol: GNS
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-02-17
predictions: 3,999

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

52.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0239

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0022

actual -0.0023

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.499	0.491608	-1.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.12
2026-10-20	oos	0.454	0.446704	-1.61%	0.499	+9.91%	0.1140	✗	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.408	0.40576	-0.55%	0.454	+11.27%	0.0977	✗	1.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.4145	0.412279	-0.54%	0.408	-1.57%	0.0082	✓	1.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.453	0.448671	-0.96%	0.4145	-8.50%	0.0876	✓	1.09
2026-10-16	oos	0.467	0.462728	-0.91%	0.453	-3.00%	0.0197	✓	1.09
2026-10-15	oos	0.503	0.495886	-1.41%	0.467	-7.16%	0.0519	✓	1.06
2026-10-14	oos	0.535	0.52305	-2.23%	0.503	-5.98%	0.0464	✓	1.07
2026-10-13	oos	0.7175	0.679576	-5.29%	0.535	-25.44%	0.2222	✓	0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.369	0.368303	-0.19%	0.7175	+94.44%	0.6562	✗	0.65
2026-10-11	oos	0.3875	0.386928	-0.15%	0.369	-4.77%	0.0320	✓	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.3985	0.397613	-0.22%	0.3875	-2.76%	0.0319	✓	0.66
2026-10-09	oos	0.3935	0.392739	-0.19%	0.3985	+1.27%	0.0116	✗	0.66
2026-10-08	oos	0.3835	0.382851	-0.17%	0.3935	+2.61%	0.0206	✗	0.65
2026-10-07	oos	0.3815	0.38112	-0.10%	0.3835	+0.52%	0.0191	✗	0.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.403	0.402644	-0.09%	0.3815	-5.33%	0.0366	✓	0.65
2026-10-05	oos	0.4235	0.422759	-0.17%	0.403	-4.84%	0.0463	✓	0.64
2026-10-04	oos	0.426	0.425283	-0.17%	0.4235	-0.59%	0.0015	✓	0.64
2026-10-03	oos	0.421	0.420147	-0.20%	0.426	+1.19%	0.0006	✓	0.64
2026-10-02	oos	0.432	0.430831	-0.27%	0.421	-2.55%	0.0249	✓	0.64
2026-10-01	oos	0.461	0.458946	-0.45%	0.432	-6.29%	0.0579	✓	0.63
2026-09-30	oos	0.467	0.463694	-0.71%	0.461	-1.28%	0.0156	✓	0.64
2026-09-29	oos	0.483	0.480049	-0.61%	0.467	-3.31%	0.0269	✓	0.65
2026-09-28	oos	0.4795	0.476204	-0.69%	0.483	+0.73%	0.0127	✗	0.68
2026-09-27	oos	0.507	0.500222	-1.34%	0.4795	-5.42%	0.0354	✓	0.58
2026-09-26	oos	0.4785	0.474923	-0.75%	0.507	+5.96%	0.0650	✗	0.59
2026-09-25	oos	0.486	0.48061	-1.11%	0.4785	-1.54%	0.0067	✓	0.59
2026-09-24	oos	0.472	0.468451	-0.75%	0.486	+2.97%	0.0388	✗	0.60
2026-09-23	oos	0.464	0.460229	-0.81%	0.472	+1.72%	0.0252	✗	0.60
2026-09-22	oos	0.4795	0.473877	-1.17%	0.464	-3.23%	0.0085	✓	0.59
2026-09-21	oos	0.45	0.44568	-0.96%	0.4795	+6.56%	0.0760	✗	0.61
2026-09-20	oos	0.4425	0.438635	-0.87%	0.45	+1.69%	0.0173	✓	0.66
2026-09-19	oos	0.436	0.433207	-0.64%	0.4425	+1.49%	0.0218	✗	0.66
2026-09-18	oos	0.4365	0.434595	-0.44%	0.436	-0.11%	0.0003	✓	0.66
2026-09-17	oos	0.416	0.416749	+0.18%	0.4365	+4.93%	0.0092	✓	0.64
2026-09-16	oos	0.407	0.408453	+0.36%	0.416	+2.21%	0.0166	✓	0.64
2026-09-15	oos	0.4075	0.409401	+0.47%	0.407	-0.12%	0.0107	✗	0.65
2026-09-14	oos	0.4255	0.427056	+0.37%	0.4075	-4.23%	0.0259	✗	0.62
2026-09-13	oos	0.4295	0.431498	+0.47%	0.4255	-0.93%	0.0253	✗	0.64
2026-09-12	oos	0.4305	0.4328	+0.53%	0.4295	-0.23%	0.0038	✓	0.64
2026-09-11	oos	0.4425	0.444927	+0.55%	0.4305	-2.71%	0.0334	✗	0.64
2026-09-10	oos	0.44	0.442716	+0.62%	0.4425	+0.57%	0.0060	✓	0.63
2026-09-09	oos	0.4695	0.472158	+0.57%	0.44	-6.28%	0.0574	✗	0.58
2026-09-08	oos	0.486	0.488768	+0.57%	0.4695	-3.40%	0.0389	✗	0.64
2026-09-07	oos	0.487	0.490096	+0.64%	0.486	-0.21%	0.0032	✓	0.63
2026-09-06	oos	0.488	0.491437	+0.70%	0.487	-0.20%	0.0007	✓	0.62
2026-09-05	oos	0.4775	0.481134	+0.76%	0.488	+2.20%	0.0103	✓	0.61
2026-09-04	oos	0.4745	0.478177	+0.77%	0.4775	+0.63%	0.0027	✓	0.64
2026-09-03	oos	0.521	0.525027	+0.77%	0.4745	-8.93%	0.0897	✗	0.58
2026-09-02	oos	0.512	0.515438	+0.67%	0.521	+1.76%	0.0225	✗	0.67
2026-09-01	oos	0.519	0.522288	+0.63%	0.512	-1.35%	0.0191	✗	0.68
2026-08-31	oos	0.521	0.524287	+0.63%	0.519	-0.38%	0.0020	✓	0.55
2026-08-30	oos	0.507	0.509724	+0.54%	0.521	+2.76%	0.0158	✓	0.53
2026-08-29	oos	0.523	0.525728	+0.52%	0.507	-3.06%	0.0325	✗	0.51
2026-08-28	oos	0.523	0.525521	+0.48%	0.523	+0.00%	0.0074	✗	0.51
2026-08-27	oos	0.534	0.536561	+0.48%	0.523	-2.06%	0.0098	✗	0.51
2026-08-26	oos	0.531	0.532882	+0.35%	0.534	+0.56%	0.0059	✗	0.51
2026-08-25	oos	0.536	0.537272	+0.24%	0.531	-0.93%	0.0150	✗	0.51
2026-08-24	oos	0.541	0.54175	+0.14%	0.536	-0.92%	0.0077	✗	0.52
2026-08-23	oos	0.554	0.553662	-0.06%	0.541	-2.35%	0.0318	✓	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.546	0.545075	-0.17%	0.554	+1.47%	0.0115	✗	0.54
2026-08-21	oos	0.537	0.53659	-0.08%	0.546	+1.68%	0.0264	✗	0.55
2026-08-20	oos	0.529	0.528515	-0.09%	0.537	+1.51%	0.0280	✓	0.63
2026-08-19	oos	0.519	0.51816	-0.16%	0.529	+1.93%	0.0132	✓	0.65
2026-08-18	oos	0.502	0.501079	-0.18%	0.519	+3.39%	0.0122	✓	0.69
2026-08-17	oos	0.507	0.505967	-0.20%	0.502	-0.99%	0.0100	✓	0.67
2026-08-16	oos	0.506	0.504816	-0.23%	0.507	+0.20%	0.0133	✓	0.68
2026-08-15	oos	0.518	0.516765	-0.24%	0.506	-2.32%	0.0191	✓	0.68
2026-08-14	oos	0.524	0.52254	-0.28%	0.518	-1.15%	0.0092	✓	0.70
2026-08-13	oos	0.526	0.524438	-0.30%	0.524	-0.38%	0.0042	✗	0.71
2026-08-12	oos	0.524	0.522297	-0.33%	0.526	+0.38%	0.0069	✗	0.74
2026-08-11	oos	0.53	0.528113	-0.36%	0.524	-1.13%	0.0064	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.531	0.528689	-0.44%	0.53	-0.19%	0.0070	✗	0.76
2026-08-09	oos	0.529	0.526442	-0.48%	0.531	+0.38%	0.0197	✗	0.76
2026-08-08	oos	0.515	0.513069	-0.38%	0.529	+2.72%	0.0313	✗	0.77
2026-08-07	oos	0.504	0.501973	-0.40%	0.515	+2.18%	0.0254	✗	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.496	0.494433	-0.32%	0.504	+1.61%	0.0111	✗	0.83
2026-08-05	oos	0.495	0.493776	-0.25%	0.496	+0.20%	0.0088	✗	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.497	0.495819	-0.24%	0.495	-0.40%	0.0087	✓	0.82
2026-08-03	oos	0.498	0.496749	-0.25%	0.497	-0.20%	0.0071	✓	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.499	0.497815	-0.24%	0.498	-0.20%	0.0008	✓	0.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.489	0.488036	-0.20%	0.499	+2.04%	0.0128	✗	0.81
2026-07-31	oos	0.491	0.490008	-0.20%	0.489	-0.41%	0.0013	✓	0.81
2026-07-30	oos	0.493	0.492071	-0.19%	0.491	-0.41%	0.0227	✗	0.84
2026-07-29	oos	0.487	0.486208	-0.16%	0.493	+1.23%	0.0027	✗	0.87
2026-07-28	oos	0.496	0.495134	-0.17%	0.487	-1.81%	0.0172	✓	0.85
2026-07-27	oos	0.498	0.497118	-0.18%	0.496	-0.40%	0.0044	✓	0.88
2026-07-26	oos	0.533	0.53194	-0.20%	0.498	-6.57%	0.0438	✓	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.538	0.536893	-0.21%	0.533	-0.93%	0.0215	✓	0.88
2026-07-24	oos	0.533	0.531927	-0.20%	0.538	+0.94%	0.0084	✗	0.88
2026-07-23	oos	0.55	0.548834	-0.21%	0.533	-3.09%	0.0162	✓	0.87
2026-07-22	oos	0.559	0.557808	-0.21%	0.55	-1.61%	0.0005	✓	0.86
2026-07-21	oos	0.559	0.55782	-0.21%	0.559	+0.00%	0.0077	✗	0.86
2026-07-20	oos	0.561	0.559796	-0.21%	0.559	-0.36%	0.0182	✓	0.85
2026-07-19	oos	0.602	0.600705	-0.22%	0.561	-6.81%	0.0756	✓	0.88
2026-07-18	oos	0.607	0.60568	-0.22%	0.602	-0.82%	0.0045	✓	0.88
2026-07-17	oos	0.614	0.612546	-0.24%	0.607	-1.14%	0.0219	✓	0.91
2026-07-16	oos	0.618	0.616465	-0.25%	0.614	-0.65%	0.0058	✓	0.91
2026-07-15	oos	0.636	0.634268	-0.27%	0.618	-2.83%	0.0125	✓	0.91
2026-07-14	oos	0.628	0.626372	-0.26%	0.636	+1.27%	0.0191	✗	0.91
2026-07-13	oos	0.598	0.59658	-0.24%	0.628	+5.02%	0.0133	✗	0.89
2026-07-12	oos	0.61	0.608571	-0.23%	0.598	-1.97%	0.0033	✗	0.89
2026-07-11	oos	0.614	0.612517	-0.24%	0.61	-0.65%	0.0037	✓	0.83
2026-07-10	oos	0.615	0.61351	-0.24%	0.614	-0.16%	0.0055	✗	0.84
2026-07-09	oos	0.606	0.604502	-0.25%	0.615	+1.49%	0.0046	✗	0.84
2026-07-08	oos	0.606	0.60434	-0.27%	0.606	+0.00%	0.0098	✓	0.84
2026-07-07	oos	0.615	0.613207	-0.29%	0.606	-1.46%	0.0026	✓	0.83
2026-07-06	oos	0.629	0.626827	-0.35%	0.615	-2.23%	0.0101	✓	0.84
2026-07-05	oos	0.636	0.633438	-0.40%	0.629	-1.10%	0.0125	✓	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.641	0.637746	-0.51%	0.636	-0.78%	0.0093	✓	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.635	0.63185	-0.50%	0.641	+0.94%	0.0070	✗	0.82
2026-07-02	oos	0.632	0.628147	-0.61%	0.635	+0.47%	0.0029	✓	0.82
2026-07-01	oos	0.605	0.60078	-0.70%	0.632	+4.46%	0.0305	✗	0.80
2026-06-30	oos	0.568	0.565055	-0.52%	0.605	+6.51%	0.0496	✗	0.77
2026-06-29	oos	0.5255	0.524606	-0.17%	0.568	+8.09%	0.1030	✗	0.85
2026-06-28	oos	0.511	0.510243	-0.15%	0.5255	+2.84%	0.0197	✗	0.84
2026-06-27	oos	0.518	0.517163	-0.16%	0.511	-1.35%	0.0055	✓	0.85
2026-06-26	oos	0.518	0.517122	-0.17%	0.518	+0.00%	0.0027	✗	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	0.515	0.514127	-0.17%	0.518	+0.58%	0.0033	✗	0.85
2026-06-24	oos	0.524	0.523056	-0.18%	0.515	-1.72%	0.0024	✗	0.85
2026-06-23	oos	0.542	0.540949	-0.19%	0.524	-3.32%	0.0089	✓	0.85
2026-06-22	oos	0.562	0.560754	-0.22%	0.542	-3.56%	0.0167	✓	0.84
2026-06-21	oos	0.57	0.568572	-0.25%	0.562	-1.40%	0.0212	✓	0.85
2026-06-20	oos	0.583	0.581281	-0.29%	0.57	-2.23%	0.0063	✓	0.86
2026-06-19	oos	0.568	0.566528	-0.26%	0.583	+2.64%	0.0186	✗	0.86
2026-06-18	oos	0.569	0.567385	-0.28%	0.568	-0.18%	0.0070	✓	0.86
2026-06-17	oos	0.585	0.582912	-0.36%	0.569	-2.74%	0.0030	✓	0.86
2026-06-16	oos	0.588	0.585584	-0.41%	0.585	-0.51%	0.0148	✗	0.88
2026-06-15	oos	0.604	0.600637	-0.56%	0.588	-2.65%	0.0122	✓	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.6	0.5962	-0.63%	0.604	+0.67%	0.0052	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	0.596	0.59148	-0.76%	0.6	+0.67%	0.0035	✓	0.91
2026-06-12	oos	0.611	0.603589	-1.21%	0.596	-2.45%	0.0255	✓	0.92
2026-06-11	oos	0.563	0.559923	-0.55%	0.611	+8.53%	0.0877	✗	0.92
2026-06-10	oos	0.519	0.517358	-0.32%	0.563	+8.48%	0.0552	✗	0.87
2026-06-09	oos	0.498	0.496843	-0.23%	0.519	+4.22%	0.0470	✗	0.87
2026-06-08	oos	0.495	0.49383	-0.24%	0.498	+0.61%	0.0282	✗	0.89
2026-06-07	oos	0.481	0.480107	-0.19%	0.495	+2.91%	0.0339	✗	0.89
2026-06-06	oos	0.46	0.459784	-0.05%	0.481	+4.57%	0.0111	✗	0.86
2026-06-05	oos	0.458	0.457855	-0.03%	0.46	+0.44%	0.0072	✗	0.85
2026-06-04	oos	0.494	0.492776	-0.25%	0.458	-7.29%	0.0373	✓	0.81
2026-06-03	oos	0.53	0.527464	-0.48%	0.494	-6.79%	0.0627	✓	0.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.487	0.48557	-0.29%	0.53	+8.83%	0.1240	✗	0.91
2026-06-01	oos	0.502	0.499999	-0.40%	0.487	-2.99%	0.0346	✗	0.90
2026-05-31	oos	0.503	0.500765	-0.44%	0.502	-0.20%	0.0316	✗	0.93
2026-05-30	oos	0.502	0.499554	-0.49%	0.503	+0.20%	0.0094	✗	0.93
2026-05-29	oos	0.483	0.481196	-0.37%	0.502	+3.93%	0.0372	✗	0.93
2026-05-28	oos	0.464	0.462917	-0.23%	0.483	+4.09%	0.0443	✗	0.93
2026-05-27	oos	0.465	0.46397	-0.22%	0.464	-0.22%	0.0102	✗	0.93
2026-05-26	oos	0.474	0.472623	-0.29%	0.465	-1.90%	0.0025	✓	0.93
2026-05-25	oos	0.492	0.489693	-0.47%	0.474	-3.66%	0.0142	✓	0.99
2026-05-24	oos	0.478	0.476001	-0.42%	0.492	+2.93%	0.0296	✗	0.98
2026-05-23	oos	0.493	0.49054	-0.50%	0.478	-3.04%	0.0298	✓	0.91
2026-05-22	oos	0.459	0.458644	-0.08%	0.493	+7.41%	0.0582	✗	0.89
2026-05-21	oos	0.466	0.465699	-0.06%	0.459	-1.50%	0.0102	✗	0.90
2026-05-20	oos	0.455	0.455099	+0.02%	0.466	+2.42%	0.0228	✓	0.91
2026-05-19	oos	0.476	0.475878	-0.03%	0.455	-4.41%	0.0533	✓	0.91
2026-05-18	oos	0.496	0.495602	-0.08%	0.476	-4.03%	0.0381	✓	0.97
2026-05-17	oos	0.483	0.482939	-0.01%	0.496	+2.69%	0.0325	✗	0.98
2026-05-16	oos	0.52	0.519775	-0.04%	0.483	-7.12%	0.0648	✓	0.96
2026-05-15	oos	0.541	0.540632	-0.07%	0.52	-3.88%	0.0273	✓	0.95
2026-05-14	oos	0.572	0.571024	-0.17%	0.541	-5.42%	0.0304	✓	0.94
2026-05-13	oos	0.564	0.562951	-0.19%	0.572	+1.42%	0.0051	✓	0.94
2026-05-12	oos	0.594	0.591736	-0.38%	0.564	-5.05%	0.0344	✓	0.91
2026-05-11	oos	0.599	0.595851	-0.53%	0.594	-0.83%	0.0109	✗	0.92
2026-05-10	oos	0.64	0.633261	-1.05%	0.599	-6.41%	0.0503	✓	0.92
2026-05-09	oos	0.573	0.57113	-0.33%	0.64	+11.69%	0.0972	✗	0.88
2026-05-08	oos	0.563	0.561573	-0.25%	0.573	+1.78%	0.0151	✗	0.87
2026-05-07	oos	0.561	0.559747	-0.22%	0.563	+0.36%	0.0039	✗	0.85
2026-05-06	oos	0.553	0.552374	-0.11%	0.561	+1.45%	0.0306	✗	0.85
2026-05-05	oos	0.544	0.543668	-0.06%	0.553	+1.65%	0.0122	✗	0.73
2026-05-04	oos	0.554	0.55347	-0.10%	0.544	-1.81%	0.0269	✓	0.73
2026-05-03	oos	0.546	0.545427	-0.10%	0.554	+1.47%	0.0037	✗	0.73
2026-05-02	oos	0.545	0.544443	-0.10%	0.546	+0.18%	0.0040	✗	0.73
2026-05-01	oos	0.53	0.528983	-0.19%	0.545	+2.83%	0.0257	✗	0.73
2026-04-30	oos	0.5	0.49709	-0.58%	0.53	+6.00%	0.0468	✗	0.69
2026-04-29	oos	0.534	0.532003	-0.37%	0.5	-6.37%	0.0671	✓	0.70
2026-04-28	oos	0.649	0.648202	-0.12%	0.534	-17.72%	0.1887	✓	0.69
2026-04-27	oos	0.691	0.690278	-0.10%	0.649	-6.08%	0.0524	✓	0.68
2026-04-26	oos	0.705	0.70456	-0.06%	0.691	-1.99%	0.0080	✓	0.68
2026-04-25	oos	0.698	0.697201	-0.11%	0.705	+1.00%	0.0021	✗	0.69
2026-04-24	oos	0.701	0.699997	-0.14%	0.698	-0.43%	0.0045	✓	0.69
2026-04-23	oos	0.687	0.68658	-0.06%	0.701	+2.04%	0.0281	✗	0.69
2026-04-22	oos	0.696	0.695277	-0.10%	0.687	-1.29%	0.0126	✓	0.69
2026-04-21	oos	0.705	0.703403	-0.23%	0.696	-1.28%	0.0275	✓	0.70
2026-04-20	oos	0.691	0.689489	-0.22%	0.705	+2.03%	0.0178	✗	0.69
2026-04-19	oos	0.673	0.671005	-0.30%	0.691	+2.67%	0.0105	✗	0.69
2026-04-18	oos	0.707	0.704565	-0.34%	0.673	-4.81%	0.0283	✓	0.69
2026-04-17	oos	0.715	0.713081	-0.27%	0.707	-1.12%	0.0037	✗	0.69
2026-04-16	oos	0.692	0.690401	-0.23%	0.715	+3.32%	0.0177	✗	0.68
2026-04-15	oos	0.7	0.698719	-0.18%	0.692	-1.14%	0.0126	✓	0.68
2026-04-14	oos	0.712	0.710298	-0.24%	0.7	-1.69%	0.0207	✓	0.69
2026-04-13	oos	0.703	0.701924	-0.15%	0.712	+1.28%	0.0168	✗	0.70
2026-04-12	oos	0.696	0.694663	-0.19%	0.703	+1.01%	0.0222	✓	0.67
2026-04-11	oos	0.723	0.721519	-0.20%	0.696	-3.73%	0.0144	✓	0.67
2026-04-10	oos	0.727	0.72523	-0.24%	0.723	-0.55%	0.0039	✓	0.66
2026-04-09	oos	0.729	0.72733	-0.23%	0.727	-0.27%	0.0114	✓	0.66
2026-04-08	oos	0.729	0.727282	-0.24%	0.729	+0.00%	0.0042	✓	0.66
2026-04-07	oos	0.749	0.746798	-0.29%	0.729	-2.67%	0.0165	✓	0.66
2026-04-06	oos	0.724	0.722081	-0.27%	0.749	+3.45%	0.0079	✗	0.66
2026-04-05	oos	0.719	0.717806	-0.17%	0.724	+0.70%	0.0100	✗	0.66
2026-04-04	oos	0.726	0.724681	-0.18%	0.719	-0.96%	0.0245	✓	0.66
2026-04-03	oos	0.722	0.720622	-0.19%	0.726	+0.55%	0.0042	✗	0.66
2026-04-02	oos	0.723	0.721431	-0.22%	0.722	-0.14%	0.0001	✓	0.66
2026-04-01	oos	0.738	0.736405	-0.22%	0.723	-2.03%	0.0064	✓	0.66
2026-03-31	oos	0.733	0.731436	-0.21%	0.738	+0.68%	0.0100	✗	0.66
2026-03-30	oos	0.721	0.719627	-0.19%	0.733	+1.66%	0.0039	✗	0.66
2026-03-29	oos	0.711	0.709878	-0.16%	0.721	+1.41%	0.0078	✗	0.66
2026-03-28	oos	0.721	0.719903	-0.15%	0.711	-1.39%	0.0088	✓	0.66
2026-03-27	oos	0.726	0.724968	-0.14%	0.721	-0.69%	0.0052	✓	0.66
2026-03-26	oos	0.75	0.748933	-0.14%	0.726	-3.20%	0.0079	✓	0.65
2026-03-25	oos	0.786	0.784939	-0.14%	0.75	-4.58%	0.0224	✓	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.793	0.792092	-0.11%	0.786	-0.88%	0.0147	✓	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.795	0.794201	-0.10%	0.793	-0.25%	0.0016	✗	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.758	0.757338	-0.09%	0.795	+4.88%	0.0212	✗	0.63
2026-03-21	oos	0.776	0.775305	-0.09%	0.758	-2.32%	0.0128	✓	0.62
2026-03-20	oos	0.796	0.795385	-0.08%	0.776	-2.51%	0.0105	✓	0.62
2026-03-19	oos	0.79	0.789414	-0.07%	0.796	+0.76%	0.0032	✗	0.62
2026-03-18	oos	0.824	0.823346	-0.08%	0.79	-4.13%	0.0295	✓	0.63
2026-03-17	oos	0.885	0.884037	-0.11%	0.824	-6.89%	0.0477	✓	0.61
2026-03-16	oos	0.873	0.872224	-0.09%	0.885	+1.37%	0.0224	✗	0.62
2026-03-15	oos	0.852	0.851182	-0.10%	0.873	+2.46%	0.0082	✗	0.62
2026-03-14	oos	0.838	0.837082	-0.11%	0.852	+1.67%	0.0039	✗	0.62
2026-03-13	oos	0.835	0.833975	-0.12%	0.838	+0.36%	0.0023	✗	0.62
2026-03-12	oos	0.831	0.829838	-0.14%	0.835	+0.48%	0.0026	✗	0.62
2026-03-11	oos	0.815	0.81393	-0.13%	0.831	+1.96%	0.0179	✗	0.62
2026-03-10	oos	0.787	0.786374	-0.08%	0.815	+3.56%	0.0336	✗	0.62
2026-03-09	oos	0.787	0.786243	-0.10%	0.787	+0.00%	0.0128	✓	0.62
2026-03-08	oos	0.774	0.773172	-0.11%	0.787	+1.68%	0.0053	✓	0.63
2026-03-07	oos	0.776	0.775367	-0.08%	0.774	-0.26%	0.0105	✗	0.63
2026-03-06	oos	0.779	0.778459	-0.07%	0.776	-0.39%	0.0047	✗	0.63
2026-03-05	oos	0.796	0.795487	-0.06%	0.779	-2.14%	0.0044	✗	0.63
2026-03-04	oos	0.804	0.803467	-0.07%	0.796	-1.00%	0.0068	✗	0.64
2026-03-03	oos	0.797	0.79629	-0.09%	0.804	+0.88%	0.0316	✓	0.67
2026-03-02	oos	0.8065	0.805641	-0.11%	0.797	-1.18%	0.0059	✓	0.68
2026-03-01	oos	0.777	0.776361	-0.08%	0.8065	+3.80%	0.0079	✗	0.66
2026-02-28	oos	0.796	0.795081	-0.12%	0.777	-2.39%	0.0108	✓	0.67
2026-02-27	oos	0.807	0.805692	-0.16%	0.796	-1.36%	0.0234	✓	0.68
2026-02-26	oos	0.834	0.831957	-0.24%	0.807	-3.24%	0.0140	✓	0.67
2026-02-25	oos	0.832	0.829538	-0.30%	0.834	+0.24%	0.0104	✗	0.68
2026-02-24	oos	0.76	0.75894	-0.14%	0.832	+9.47%	0.0545	✗	0.63
2026-02-23	oos	0.769	0.767354	-0.21%	0.76	-1.17%	0.0042	✓	0.62
2026-02-22	oos	0.756	0.755247	-0.10%	0.769	+1.72%	0.0476	✗	0.65
2026-02-21	oos	0.761	0.760582	-0.05%	0.756	-0.66%	0.0027	✓	0.66
2026-02-20	oos	0.734	0.733927	-0.01%	0.761	+3.68%	0.0365	✗	0.66
2026-02-19	oos	0.711	0.711212	+0.03%	0.734	+3.23%	0.0217	✓	0.66
2026-02-18	oos	0.714	0.714378	+0.05%	0.711	-0.42%	0.0102	✗	0.66
2026-02-17	oos	0.841	0.840501	-0.06%	0.714	-15.10%	0.1533	✓	0.63
2026-02-16	oos	0.864	0.863182	-0.09%	0.841	-2.66%	0.0133	✓	0.62
2026-02-15	oos	0.861	0.860245	-0.09%	0.864	+0.35%	0.0038	✗	0.62
2026-02-14	oos	0.878	0.876915	-0.12%	0.861	-1.94%	0.0094	✓	0.62
2026-02-13	oos	0.881	0.880012	-0.11%	0.878	-0.34%	0.0110	✓	0.62
2026-02-12	oos	0.85	0.849776	-0.03%	0.881	+3.65%	0.0122	✗	0.62
2026-02-11	oos	0.816	0.81618	+0.02%	0.85	+4.17%	0.0481	✓	0.61
2026-02-10	oos	0.846	0.845753	-0.03%	0.816	-3.55%	0.0198	✓	0.61
2026-02-09	oos	0.886	0.885042	-0.11%	0.846	-4.51%	0.0339	✓	0.60
2026-02-08	oos	0.892	0.890902	-0.12%	0.886	-0.67%	0.0040	✓	0.61
2026-02-07	oos	0.903	0.901753	-0.14%	0.892	-1.22%	0.0199	✓	0.61
2026-02-06	oos	0.879	0.878012	-0.11%	0.903	+2.73%	0.0395	✗	0.62
2026-02-05	oos	0.806	0.808499	+0.31%	0.879	+9.06%	0.0152	✓	0.59
2026-02-04	oos	0.867	0.86631	-0.08%	0.806	-7.04%	0.0342	✗	0.71
2026-02-03	oos	0.896	0.894395	-0.18%	0.867	-3.24%	0.0061	✓	0.70
2026-02-02	oos	0.915	0.912569	-0.27%	0.896	-2.08%	0.0098	✗	0.72
2026-02-01	oos	0.899	0.897289	-0.19%	0.915	+1.78%	0.0033	✗	0.72
2026-01-31	oos	0.924	0.921552	-0.26%	0.899	-2.71%	0.0076	✓	0.76
2026-01-30	oos	0.948	0.945019	-0.31%	0.924	-2.53%	0.0317	✗	0.81
2026-01-29	oos	0.935	0.932496	-0.27%	0.948	+1.39%	0.0204	✗	0.81
2026-01-28	oos	0.978	0.974795	-0.33%	0.935	-4.40%	0.0023	✓	0.82
2026-01-27	oos	0.974	0.970821	-0.33%	0.978	+0.41%	0.0070	✗	0.81
2026-01-26	oos	0.949	0.94618	-0.30%	0.974	+2.63%	0.0212	✗	0.79
2026-01-25	oos	0.912	0.909823	-0.24%	0.949	+4.06%	0.0271	✗	0.78
2026-01-24	oos	0.94	0.937825	-0.23%	0.912	-2.98%	0.0057	✓	0.77
2026-01-23	oos	0.93	0.927982	-0.22%	0.94	+1.08%	0.0164	✗	0.80
2026-01-22	oos	0.912	0.9102	-0.20%	0.93	+1.97%	0.0214	✗	0.79
2026-01-21	oos	0.911	0.908908	-0.23%	0.912	+0.11%	0.0025	✗	0.80
2026-01-20	oos	0.945	0.943054	-0.21%	0.911	-3.60%	0.0442	✓	0.81
2026-01-19	oos	0.983	0.980796	-0.22%	0.945	-3.87%	0.0008	✓	0.81
2026-01-18	oos	0.991	0.989075	-0.19%	0.983	-0.81%	0.0032	✗	0.81
2026-01-17	oos	1.006	1.0041	-0.19%	0.991	-1.49%	0.0005	✓	0.81
2026-01-16	oos	1.014	1.0117	-0.23%	1.006	-0.79%	0.0023	✓	0.81
2026-01-15	oos	0.987	0.984661	-0.24%	1.014	+2.74%	0.0301	✗	0.81
2026-01-14	oos	1.026	1.0236	-0.23%	0.987	-3.80%	0.0252	✓	0.79
2026-01-13	oos	0.951	0.949774	-0.13%	1.026	+7.89%	0.0648	✗	0.76
2026-01-12	oos	1.007	1.0054	-0.16%	0.951	-5.56%	0.0953	✓	0.88
2026-01-11	oos	1.007	1.0054	-0.16%	1.007	+0.00%	0.0015	✓	0.89
2026-01-10	oos	1.078	1.0763	-0.16%	1.007	-6.59%	0.0716	✓	0.91
2026-01-09	oos	1.078	1.0764	-0.15%	1.078	+0.00%	0.0029	✗	0.92
2026-01-08	oos	1.087	1.0855	-0.14%	1.078	-0.83%	0.0017	✓	0.93
2026-01-07	oos	1.116	1.1143	-0.15%	1.087	-2.60%	0.0215	✓	1.20
2026-01-06	oos	1.157	1.155	-0.17%	1.116	-3.54%	0.0026	✓	1.20
2026-01-05	oos	1.155	1.1531	-0.17%	1.157	+0.17%	0.0053	✗	1.20
2026-01-04	oos	1.159	1.1569	-0.18%	1.155	-0.35%	0.0335	✓	1.24
2026-01-03	oos	1.167	1.1647	-0.20%	1.159	-0.69%	0.0172	✓	1.25
2026-01-02	oos	1.162	1.1597	-0.20%	1.167	+0.43%	0.0025	✓	1.25
2026-01-01	oos	1.149	1.1468	-0.19%	1.162	+1.13%	0.0038	✓	1.24
2025-12-31	oos	1.136	1.1341	-0.17%	1.149	+1.14%	0.0042	✓	1.22
2025-12-30	oos	1.135	1.1333	-0.15%	1.136	+0.09%	0.0150	✗	1.23
2025-12-29	oos	1.119	1.1177	-0.12%	1.135	+1.43%	0.0029	✓	1.25
2025-12-28	oos	1.106	1.105	-0.09%	1.119	+1.18%	0.0235	✗	1.25
2025-12-27	oos	1.141	1.1399	-0.09%	1.106	-3.07%	0.0312	✓	1.25
2025-12-26	oos	1.203	1.2018	-0.10%	1.141	-5.15%	0.0592	✓	1.26
2025-12-25	oos	1.233	1.2315	-0.12%	1.203	-2.43%	0.0252	✓	1.26
2025-12-24	oos	1.266	1.2641	-0.15%	1.233	-2.61%	0.0186	✓	1.27
2025-12-23	oos	1.3	1.2974	-0.20%	1.266	-2.62%	0.0272	✓	1.29
2025-12-22	oos	1.286	1.2836	-0.18%	1.3	+1.09%	0.0293	✗	1.30
2025-12-21	oos	1.274	1.272	-0.15%	1.286	+0.94%	0.0121	✗	1.30
2025-12-20	oos	1.267	1.2651	-0.15%	1.274	+0.55%	0.0023	✗	1.34
2025-12-19	oos	1.281	1.2786	-0.19%	1.267	-1.09%	0.0126	✓	1.34
2025-12-18	oos	1.218	1.2164	-0.13%	1.281	+5.17%	0.0112	✗	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	1.229	1.2273	-0.14%	1.218	-0.90%	0.0041	✗	1.35
2025-12-16	oos	1.266	1.2641	-0.15%	1.229	-2.92%	0.0028	✓	1.34
2025-12-15	oos	1.24	1.2384	-0.13%	1.266	+2.10%	0.0001	✓	1.34
2025-12-14	oos	1.285	1.2831	-0.14%	1.24	-3.50%	0.0073	✓	1.34
2025-12-13	oos	1.321	1.319	-0.15%	1.285	-2.73%	0.0052	✗	1.34
2025-12-12	oos	1.308	1.3061	-0.15%	1.321	+0.99%	0.0117	✗	1.34
2025-12-11	oos	1.352	1.3498	-0.16%	1.308	-3.25%	0.0018	✗	1.34
2025-12-10	oos	1.392	1.3891	-0.21%	1.352	-2.87%	0.0345	✓	1.35
2025-12-09	oos	1.44	1.4364	-0.25%	1.392	-3.33%	0.0218	✓	1.35
2025-12-08	oos	1.394	1.3912	-0.20%	1.44	+3.30%	0.0044	✗	1.35
2025-12-07	oos	1.391	1.3882	-0.20%	1.394	+0.22%	0.0004	✓	1.35
2025-12-06	oos	1.416	1.4131	-0.20%	1.391	-1.77%	0.0330	✓	1.37
2025-12-05	oos	1.389	1.3866	-0.17%	1.416	+1.94%	0.0222	✗	1.37
2025-12-04	oos	1.454	1.4509	-0.21%	1.389	-4.47%	0.0022	✓	1.37
2025-12-03	oos	1.482	1.4787	-0.23%	1.454	-1.89%	0.0033	✗	1.37
2025-12-02	oos	1.429	1.4265	-0.17%	1.482	+3.71%	0.0064	✗	1.37
2025-12-01	oos	1.393	1.391	-0.14%	1.429	+2.58%	0.0550	✓	1.45
2025-11-30	oos	1.472	1.4693	-0.19%	1.393	-5.37%	0.0141	✗	1.46
2025-11-29	oos	1.4735	1.4707	-0.19%	1.472	-0.10%	0.0083	✗	1.45
2025-11-28	oos	1.492	1.4885	-0.23%	1.4735	-1.24%	0.0090	✓	1.45
2025-11-27	oos	1.496	1.4921	-0.26%	1.492	-0.27%	0.0066	✗	1.46
2025-11-26	oos	1.484	1.48	-0.27%	1.496	+0.81%	0.0028	✓	1.45
2025-11-25	oos	1.471	1.4674	-0.24%	1.484	+0.88%	0.0418	✓	1.50
2025-11-24	oos	1.466	1.4622	-0.26%	1.471	+0.34%	0.0221	✗	1.50
2025-11-23	oos	1.396	1.3937	-0.16%	1.466	+5.01%	0.0256	✗	1.50
2025-11-22	oos	1.377	1.3752	-0.13%	1.396	+1.38%	0.0231	✓	1.54
2025-11-21	oos	1.369	1.3672	-0.13%	1.377	+0.58%	0.0141	✗	1.53
2025-11-20	oos	1.415	1.4125	-0.18%	1.369	-3.25%	0.0051	✓	1.53
2025-11-19	oos	1.452	1.4484	-0.25%	1.415	-2.55%	0.0696	✗	1.68
2025-11-18	oos	1.463	1.4589	-0.28%	1.452	-0.75%	0.0219	✗	1.69
2025-11-17	oos	1.43	1.4263	-0.26%	1.463	+2.31%	0.0104	✗	1.71
2025-11-16	oos	1.429	1.4251	-0.28%	1.43	+0.07%	0.0418	✗	1.71
2025-11-15	oos	1.451	1.4468	-0.29%	1.429	-1.52%	0.0123	✗	1.72
2025-11-14	oos	1.403	1.3996	-0.24%	1.451	+3.42%	0.0173	✗	1.71
2025-11-13	oos	1.424	1.4204	-0.25%	1.403	-1.47%	0.0839	✗	1.83
2025-11-12	oos	1.468	1.4636	-0.30%	1.424	-3.00%	0.0093	✗	1.83
2025-11-11	oos	1.468	1.4637	-0.29%	1.468	+0.00%	0.0277	✗	1.85
2025-11-10	oos	1.519	1.5134	-0.37%	1.468	-3.36%	0.0219	✗	1.84
2025-11-09	oos	1.509	1.5036	-0.36%	1.519	+0.66%	0.0125	✓	1.87
2025-11-08	oos	1.483	1.4781	-0.33%	1.509	+1.75%	0.0232	✓	1.89
2025-11-07	oos	1.522	1.5152	-0.45%	1.483	-2.56%	0.0036	✓	1.83
2025-11-06	oos	1.378	1.3755	-0.18%	1.522	+10.45%	0.0662	✗	1.79
2025-11-05	oos	1.397	1.3943	-0.19%	1.378	-1.36%	0.0337	✗	1.81
2025-11-04	oos	1.345	1.343	-0.15%	1.397	+3.87%	0.0035	✓	1.83
2025-11-03	oos	1.391	1.3889	-0.15%	1.345	-3.31%	0.0619	✗	1.92
2025-11-02	oos	1.527	1.523	-0.26%	1.391	-8.91%	0.0212	✓	1.89
2025-11-01	oos	1.5255	1.5213	-0.28%	1.527	+0.10%	0.0046	✓	1.91
2025-10-31	oos	1.496	1.4919	-0.28%	1.5255	+1.97%	0.0136	✗	1.91
2025-10-30	oos	1.455	1.4516	-0.23%	1.496	+2.82%	0.0083	✗	1.91
2025-10-29	oos	1.455	1.4516	-0.23%	1.455	+0.00%	0.0330	✗	1.94
2025-10-28	oos	1.457	1.4534	-0.25%	1.455	-0.14%	0.0524	✗	1.99
2025-10-27	oos	1.471	1.4664	-0.31%	1.457	-0.95%	0.0143	✗	1.99
2025-10-26	oos	1.496	1.4911	-0.33%	1.471	-1.67%	0.0055	✓	1.99
2025-10-25	oos	1.432	1.4283	-0.26%	1.496	+4.47%	0.0048	✓	2.00
2025-10-24	oos	1.428	1.4241	-0.27%	1.432	+0.28%	0.0058	✓	2.02
2025-10-23	oos	1.4	1.3964	-0.25%	1.428	+2.00%	0.0054	✗	2.02
2025-10-22	oos	1.389	1.3856	-0.24%	1.4	+0.79%	0.0372	✓	2.04
2025-10-21	oos	1.386	1.383	-0.21%	1.389	+0.22%	0.0190	✗	2.05
2025-10-20	oos	1.408	1.4044	-0.25%	1.386	-1.56%	0.0287	✗	2.08
2025-10-19	oos	1.399	1.3956	-0.25%	1.408	+0.64%	0.0265	✓	2.05
2025-10-18	oos	1.375	1.3726	-0.17%	1.399	+1.75%	0.0089	✓	2.06
2025-10-17	oos	1.356	1.354	-0.15%	1.375	+1.40%	0.0011	✓	2.05
2025-10-16	oos	1.341	1.3395	-0.11%	1.356	+1.12%	0.0458	✗	2.08
2025-10-15	oos	1.37	1.3678	-0.16%	1.341	-2.12%	0.0304	✗	2.11
2025-10-14	oos	1.399	1.3962	-0.20%	1.37	-2.07%	0.0241	✗	2.13
2025-10-13	oos	1.44	1.4366	-0.23%	1.399	-2.85%	0.0147	✗	2.14
2025-10-12	oos	1.342	1.3405	-0.12%	1.44	+7.30%	0.0679	✗	2.08
2025-10-11	oos	1.288	1.2877	-0.02%	1.342	+4.19%	0.0396	✓	2.12
2025-10-10	oos	1.341	1.3397	-0.10%	1.288	-3.95%	0.0025	✗	2.11
2025-10-09	oos	1.685	1.6832	-0.11%	1.341	-20.42%	0.0886	✓	1.86
2025-10-08	oos	1.772	1.7698	-0.12%	1.685	-4.91%	0.0243	✓	1.87
2025-10-07	oos	1.751	1.7484	-0.15%	1.772	+1.20%	0.0158	✓	1.84
2025-10-06	oos	1.868	1.8643	-0.20%	1.751	-6.26%	0.0142	✓	1.79
2025-10-05	oos	1.818	1.8148	-0.18%	1.868	+2.75%	0.0116	✗	1.79
2025-10-04	oos	1.855	1.8508	-0.23%	1.818	-1.99%	0.0335	✓	1.81
2025-10-03	oos	1.903	1.8972	-0.31%	1.855	-2.52%	0.0246	✓	1.81
2025-10-02	oos	1.983	1.9745	-0.43%	1.903	-4.03%	0.0627	✓	1.85
2025-10-01	oos	1.92	1.9132	-0.35%	1.983	+3.28%	0.0055	✗	1.85
2025-09-30	oos	1.804	1.7989	-0.28%	1.92	+6.43%	0.0085	✓	1.87
2025-09-29	oos	1.881	1.8748	-0.33%	1.804	-4.09%	0.0339	✓	1.74
2025-09-28	oos	1.84	1.8351	-0.26%	1.881	+2.23%	0.0094	✓	1.78
2025-09-27	oos	1.806	1.8017	-0.24%	1.84	+1.88%	0.0210	✓	1.85
2025-09-26	oos	1.787	1.7828	-0.23%	1.806	+1.06%	0.0132	✗	1.87
2025-09-25	oos	1.729	1.7252	-0.22%	1.787	+3.35%	0.0239	✗	1.87
2025-09-24	oos	1.87	1.8648	-0.28%	1.729	-7.54%	0.0035	✓	1.86
2025-09-23	oos	1.83	1.8251	-0.27%	1.87	+2.19%	0.0022	✓	1.87
2025-09-22	oos	1.925	1.92	-0.26%	1.83	-4.94%	0.0354	✓	1.97
2025-09-21	oos	2.176	2.1692	-0.31%	1.925	-11.53%	0.0784	✓	1.84
2025-09-20	oos	2.156	2.1498	-0.29%	2.176	+0.93%	0.0182	✗	1.48
2025-09-19	oos	2.134	2.128	-0.28%	2.156	+1.03%	0.0124	✗	1.26
2025-09-18	oos	2.295	2.2876	-0.32%	2.134	-7.02%	0.0548	✓	1.20
2025-09-17	oos	2.329	2.321	-0.34%	2.295	-1.46%	0.0176	✓	1.17

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.