FOGO

Fogo · native · gru_s9

token id: #231
symbol: FOGO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-15
predictions: 813

Track record at +30d

assessed

241

of 271 predictions shown

direction hit

58.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2431

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0038

actual -0.2367

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004217	0.004305	+2.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-20	oos	0.004277	0.004361	+1.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-19	oos	0.003851	0.003923	+1.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-18	oos	0.003825	0.003899	+1.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-17	oos	0.004002	0.004066	+1.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-16	oos	0.004275	0.004338	+1.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-15	oos	0.004328	0.00444	+2.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-14	oos	0.004691	0.00478	+1.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-13	oos	0.004626	0.004772	+3.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-12	oos	0.004527	0.004643	+2.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-10-11	oos	0.004822	0.004996	+3.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.00483	0.004981	+3.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-09	oos	0.004737	0.004839	+2.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-08	oos	0.004643	0.004743	+2.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-07	oos	0.005002	0.005158	+3.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-06	oos	0.005411	0.005641	+4.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-10-05	oos	0.005498	0.005768	+4.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-04	oos	0.005194	0.005491	+5.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-03	oos	0.005281	0.005527	+4.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-02	oos	0.005264	0.005501	+4.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-01	oos	0.005278	0.005513	+4.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.005272	0.005471	+3.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-29	oos	0.005346	0.00556	+4.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-09-28	oos	0.005258	0.005469	+4.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.005724	0.005975	+4.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-09-26	oos	0.006028	0.006268	+3.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-09-25	oos	0.006524	0.006726	+3.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-24	oos	0.006392	0.006613	+3.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.006317	0.006543	+3.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.007283	0.007447	+2.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.11
2026-09-21	oos	0.006888	0.007142	+3.68%	0.004217	-38.78%	0.4760	✗	1.10
2026-09-20	oos	0.006554	0.006658	+1.58%	0.004277	-34.74%	0.4672	✗	1.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.006693	0.006817	+1.85%	0.003851	-42.47%	0.5797	✗	1.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.00689	0.00698	+1.30%	0.003825	-44.49%	0.6175	✗	1.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.006279	0.006291	+0.19%	0.004002	-36.26%	0.5217	✗	1.09
2026-09-16	oos	0.005947	0.005996	+0.82%	0.004275	-28.12%	0.4118	✗	1.08
2026-09-15	oos	0.006045	0.006096	+0.84%	0.004328	-28.40%	0.4292	✗	1.05
2026-09-14	oos	0.006344	0.006446	+1.61%	0.004691	-26.05%	0.3620	✗	1.04
2026-09-13	oos	0.006437	0.006481	+0.69%	0.004626	-28.13%	0.4197	✗	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.00652	0.006583	+0.98%	0.004527	-30.56%	0.4338	✗	1.05
2026-09-11	oos	0.00645	0.006518	+1.06%	0.004822	-25.24%	0.3861	✗	1.05
2026-09-10	oos	0.006153	0.006207	+0.88%	0.00483	-21.50%	0.3351	✗	1.05
2026-09-09	oos	0.006489	0.00654	+0.79%	0.004737	-27.00%	0.3777	✗	1.04
2026-09-08	oos	0.007147	0.007185	+0.53%	0.004643	-35.04%	0.4820	✗	1.12
2026-09-07	oos	0.007177	0.007273	+1.34%	0.005002	-30.31%	0.4325	✗	1.13
2026-09-06	oos	0.007193	0.007388	+2.72%	0.005411	-24.77%	0.3810	✗	1.11
2026-09-05	oos	0.007146	0.007379	+3.26%	0.005498	-23.05%	0.3738	✗	1.11
2026-09-04	oos	0.007173	0.007468	+4.11%	0.005194	-27.59%	0.4523	✗	1.08
2026-09-03	oos	0.007119	0.00754	+5.91%	0.005281	-25.81%	0.4021	✗	1.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.007049	0.007363	+4.45%	0.005264	-25.32%	0.4444	✗	1.22
2026-09-01	oos	0.007102	0.007431	+4.63%	0.005278	-25.69%	0.4561	✗	1.24
2026-08-31	oos	0.007286	0.007781	+6.80%	0.005272	-27.64%	0.4583	✗	1.12
2026-08-30	oos	0.007177	0.007728	+7.66%	0.005346	-25.52%	0.4508	✗	1.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.007514	0.008198	+9.12%	0.005258	-30.02%	0.5108	✗	1.03
2026-08-28	oos	0.007463	0.008175	+9.55%	0.005724	-23.30%	0.4405	✗	1.03
2026-08-27	oos	0.009358	0.010138	+8.34%	0.006028	-35.58%	0.5642	✗	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.009217	0.009913	+7.56%	0.006524	-29.21%	0.4730	✗	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.00897	0.009644	+7.52%	0.006392	-28.74%	0.4744	✗	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.00919	0.009882	+7.53%	0.006317	-31.26%	0.5061	✗	0.89
2026-08-23	oos	0.009352	0.009948	+6.37%	0.007283	-22.13%	0.4048	✗	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.009317	0.009872	+5.95%	0.006888	-26.07%	0.4647	✗	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.009706	0.010275	+5.85%	0.006554	-32.48%	0.4812	✗	0.89
2026-08-20	oos	0.008948	0.009208	+2.90%	0.006693	-25.21%	0.4067	✗	0.82
2026-08-19	oos	0.008426	0.008472	+0.54%	0.00689	-18.23%	0.3291	✗	0.79
2026-08-18	oos	0.008068	0.007934	-1.66%	0.006279	-22.17%	0.3680	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	0.008275	0.008117	-1.91%	0.005947	-28.13%	0.4254	✓	0.69
2026-08-16	oos	0.008578	0.008377	-2.35%	0.006045	-29.52%	0.4612	✓	0.73
2026-08-15	oos	0.008589	0.008375	-2.50%	0.006344	-26.15%	0.4351	✓	0.73
2026-08-14	oos	0.0085	0.008354	-1.71%	0.006437	-24.28%	0.4063	✓	0.73
2026-08-13	oos	0.008677	0.008536	-1.62%	0.00652	-24.86%	0.4156	✓	0.74
2026-08-12	oos	0.008703	0.008578	-1.43%	0.00645	-25.89%	0.4415	✓	0.79
2026-08-11	oos	0.008934	0.008783	-1.69%	0.006153	-31.13%	0.5016	✓	0.78
2026-08-10	oos	0.008901	0.008731	-1.92%	0.006489	-27.11%	0.4567	✓	0.79
2026-08-09	oos	0.00897	0.008823	-1.64%	0.007147	-20.33%	0.3625	✓	0.80
2026-08-08	oos	0.008852	0.008712	-1.58%	0.007177	-18.92%	0.3518	✓	0.80
2026-08-07	oos	0.008729	0.008575	-1.76%	0.007193	-17.60%	0.3466	✓	0.80
2026-08-06	oos	0.008348	0.008206	-1.71%	0.007146	-14.40%	0.3089	✓	0.79
2026-08-05	oos	0.008174	0.008075	-1.21%	0.007173	-12.25%	0.2869	✓	0.80
2026-08-04	oos	0.008171	0.008077	-1.16%	0.007119	-12.88%	0.3146	✓	0.79
2026-08-03	oos	0.008501	0.008368	-1.57%	0.007049	-17.08%	0.3315	✓	0.81
2026-08-02	oos	0.008375	0.008245	-1.55%	0.007102	-15.20%	0.3085	✓	0.80
2026-08-01	oos	0.008311	0.008175	-1.64%	0.007286	-12.34%	0.2997	✓	0.82
2026-07-31	oos	0.008329	0.008194	-1.62%	0.007177	-13.83%	0.3069	✓	0.82
2026-07-30	oos	0.008197	0.008126	-0.86%	0.007514	-8.34%	0.2452	✓	0.88
2026-07-29	oos	0.008067	0.00804	-0.33%	0.007463	-7.49%	0.2460	✓	0.87
2026-07-28	oos	0.008269	0.008262	-0.09%	0.009358	+13.17%	0.0743	✓	0.87
2026-07-27	oos	0.00824	0.008226	-0.17%	0.009217	+11.84%	0.0747	✓	0.87
2026-07-26	oos	0.008781	0.008821	+0.45%	0.00897	+2.14%	0.1388	✗	0.85
2026-07-25	oos	0.00862	0.008688	+0.79%	0.00919	+6.61%	0.1181	✗	0.85
2026-07-24	oos	0.008485	0.008615	+1.53%	0.009352	+10.22%	0.0861	✗	0.87
2026-07-23	oos	0.008905	0.009069	+1.84%	0.009317	+4.63%	0.1182	✗	0.86
2026-07-22	oos	0.009201	0.009363	+1.76%	0.009706	+5.50%	0.1076	✗	0.85
2026-07-21	oos	0.00921	0.009355	+1.58%	0.008948	-2.83%	0.1234	✗	0.85
2026-07-20	oos	0.008997	0.009093	+1.07%	0.008426	-6.34%	0.1235	✗	0.78
2026-07-19	oos	0.008913	0.008993	+0.91%	0.008068	-9.48%	0.1086	✗	0.78
2026-07-18	oos	0.008975	0.009067	+1.03%	0.008275	-7.80%	0.0878	✗	0.73
2026-07-17	oos	0.008969	0.009029	+0.68%	0.008578	-4.35%	0.0395	✗	0.70
2026-07-16	oos	0.009068	0.009101	+0.36%	0.008589	-5.28%	0.0495	✗	0.70
2026-07-15	oos	0.009512	0.00952	+0.08%	0.0085	-10.64%	0.0943	✗	0.70
2026-07-14	oos	0.009631	0.009654	+0.24%	0.008677	-9.91%	0.0896	✗	0.70
2026-07-13	oos	0.009423	0.009395	-0.31%	0.008703	-7.65%	0.0893	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.009672	0.009688	+0.17%	0.008934	-7.63%	0.0787	✗	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	0.009697	0.009718	+0.21%	0.008901	-8.21%	0.0894	✗	0.75
2026-07-10	oos	0.010006	0.010008	+0.02%	0.00897	-10.34%	0.1178	✗	0.75
2026-07-09	oos	0.009274	0.009316	+0.46%	0.008852	-4.55%	0.0704	✗	0.71
2026-07-08	oos	0.009354	0.009377	+0.25%	0.008729	-6.68%	0.1004	✗	0.69
2026-07-07	oos	0.009024	0.009077	+0.59%	0.008348	-7.49%	0.0943	✗	0.72
2026-07-06	oos	0.009936	0.009944	+0.08%	0.008174	-17.73%	0.2024	✗	0.68
2026-07-05	oos	0.009499	0.009542	+0.44%	0.008171	-13.98%	0.1598	✗	0.65
2026-07-04	oos	0.009528	0.009578	+0.52%	0.008501	-10.78%	0.1232	✗	0.65
2026-07-03	oos	0.00991	0.009938	+0.28%	0.008375	-15.49%	0.1823	✗	0.72
2026-07-02	oos	0.009272	0.009292	+0.21%	0.008311	-10.36%	0.1259	✗	0.70
2026-07-01	oos	0.008911	0.008923	+0.14%	0.008329	-6.53%	0.1003	✗	0.67
2026-06-30	oos	0.00913	0.009115	-0.17%	0.008197	-10.22%	0.1750	✓	0.68
2026-06-29	oos	0.009267	0.009227	-0.43%	0.008067	-12.96%	0.1761	✓	0.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.008886	0.008817	-0.78%	0.008269	-6.94%	0.1113	✓	0.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.010396	0.010319	-0.74%	0.00824	-20.73%	0.2641	✓	0.64
2026-06-26	oos	0.011387	0.011309	-0.68%	0.008781	-22.88%	0.3079	✓	0.64
2026-06-25	oos	0.013294	0.013004	-2.18%	0.00862	-35.15%	0.4610	✓	0.67
2026-06-24	oos	0.011746	0.011655	-0.78%	0.008485	-27.77%	0.3571	✓	0.80
2026-06-23	oos	0.011966	0.011888	-0.65%	0.008905	-25.58%	0.3206	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.012642	0.012523	-0.94%	0.009201	-27.22%	0.3359	✓	0.84
2026-06-21	oos	0.012428	0.012337	-0.73%	0.00921	-25.90%	0.3348	✓	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.012832	0.012747	-0.66%	0.008997	-29.89%	0.3605	✓	0.79
2026-06-19	oos	0.012462	0.012411	-0.41%	0.008913	-28.48%	0.3457	✓	0.78
2026-06-18	oos	0.012835	0.012748	-0.68%	0.008975	-30.07%	0.3745	✓	0.78
2026-06-17	oos	0.012688	0.012621	-0.53%	0.008969	-29.32%	0.3348	✓	0.79
2026-06-16	oos	0.013016	0.012931	-0.65%	0.009068	-30.33%	0.3325	✓	0.78
2026-06-15	oos	0.013092	0.013032	-0.45%	0.009512	-27.34%	0.2953	✓	0.82
2026-06-14	oos	0.012842	0.01279	-0.41%	0.009631	-25.01%	0.2747	✓	0.82
2026-06-13	oos	0.012725	0.012677	-0.38%	0.009423	-25.94%	0.2687	✓	0.82
2026-06-12	oos	0.012232	0.012216	-0.13%	0.009672	-20.93%	0.2361	✓	0.79
2026-06-11	oos	0.012412	0.012353	-0.48%	0.009697	-21.87%	0.2446	✓	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.010985	0.011067	+0.74%	0.010006	-8.92%	0.1306	✗	0.70
2026-06-09	oos	0.011482	0.011504	+0.19%	0.009274	-19.23%	0.2321	✗	0.70
2026-06-08	oos	0.011378	0.011391	+0.12%	0.009354	-17.79%	0.1877	✗	0.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.011748	0.011717	-0.26%	0.009024	-23.19%	0.2614	✓	0.68
2026-06-06	oos	0.011652	0.011659	+0.06%	0.009936	-14.72%	0.1957	✗	0.71
2026-06-05	oos	0.011203	0.011247	+0.39%	0.009499	-15.21%	0.1979	✗	0.71
2026-06-04	oos	0.012499	0.012396	-0.82%	0.009528	-23.77%	0.2563	✓	0.61
2026-06-03	oos	0.013995	0.01372	-1.97%	0.00991	-29.19%	0.3122	✓	0.54
2026-06-02	oos	0.013404	0.013175	-1.71%	0.009272	-30.82%	0.3009	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.014529	0.014171	-2.47%	0.008911	-38.67%	0.3862	✓	0.45
2026-05-31	oos	0.01378	0.013562	-1.58%	0.00913	-33.74%	0.2764	✓	0.52
2026-05-30	oos	0.013753	0.013611	-1.03%	0.009267	-32.61%	0.2928	✓	0.45
2026-05-29	oos	0.013702	0.013633	-0.50%	0.008886	-35.15%	0.3303	✓	0.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.013771	0.013742	-0.21%	0.010396	-24.51%	0.1856	✓	0.46
2026-05-27	oos	0.014086	0.014108	+0.16%	0.011387	-19.16%	0.1044	✗	0.51
2026-05-26	oos	0.014748	0.014913	+1.12%	0.013294	-9.86%	0.0011	✓	0.48
2026-05-25	oos	0.015144	0.015508	+2.41%	0.011746	-22.43%	0.1791	✗	0.42
2026-05-24	oos	0.015189	0.01553	+2.24%	0.011966	-21.22%	0.1768	✗	0.41
2026-05-23	oos	0.0154	0.01565	+1.62%	0.012642	-17.91%	0.1582	✗	0.30
2026-05-22	oos	0.015911	0.015989	+0.50%	0.012428	-21.89%	0.1964	✗	0.31
2026-05-21	oos	0.016543	0.016757	+1.30%	0.012832	-22.43%	0.2104	✗	0.30
2026-05-20	oos	0.015889	0.016199	+1.95%	0.012462	-21.57%	0.1932	✗	0.35
2026-05-19	oos	0.021894	0.020831	-4.86%	0.012835	-41.38%	0.4056	✓	0.39
2026-05-18	oos	0.016803	0.016769	-0.20%	0.012688	-24.49%	0.2072	✓	0.40
2026-05-17	oos	0.016754	0.016719	-0.21%	0.013016	-22.31%	0.1862	✓	0.39
2026-05-16	oos	0.017336	0.017339	+0.02%	0.013092	-24.48%	0.2184	✗	0.38
2026-05-15	oos	0.018036	0.018189	+0.85%	0.012842	-28.80%	0.2776	✗	0.38
2026-05-14	oos	0.019797	0.019931	+0.67%	0.012725	-35.72%	0.3708	✗	0.34
2026-05-13	oos	0.019858	0.019775	-0.42%	0.012232	-38.40%	0.3966	✓	0.38
2026-05-12	oos	0.020427	0.020363	-0.31%	0.012412	-39.24%	0.4106	✓	0.36
2026-05-11	oos	0.021038	0.021026	-0.06%	0.010985	-47.78%	0.5470	✓	0.36
2026-05-10	oos	0.02208	0.021933	-0.67%	0.011482	-48.00%	0.5375	✓	0.38
2026-05-09	oos	0.021847	0.021591	-1.17%	0.011378	-47.92%	0.5462	✓	0.38
2026-05-08	oos	0.021547	0.021317	-1.07%	0.011748	-45.48%	0.5072	✓	0.37
2026-05-07	oos	0.019933	0.019996	+0.31%	0.011652	-41.55%	0.4254	✗	0.42
2026-05-06	oos	0.019935	0.020303	+1.85%	0.011203	-43.80%	0.4304	✗	0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.019731	0.02009	+1.82%	0.012499	-36.65%	0.3219	✗	0.64
2026-05-04	oos	0.019845	0.020027	+0.91%	0.013995	-29.48%	0.2133	✗	0.66
2026-05-03	oos	0.019117	0.019152	+0.18%	0.013404	-29.88%	0.2412	✗	0.70
2026-05-02	oos	0.018419	0.018605	+1.01%	0.014529	-21.12%	0.1784	✗	0.70
2026-05-01	oos	0.017603	0.01783	+1.29%	0.01378	-21.72%	0.2150	✗	0.69
2026-04-30	oos	0.017437	0.017446	+0.05%	0.013753	-21.13%	0.2132	✗	0.73
2026-04-29	oos	0.017567	0.017502	-0.37%	0.013702	-22.00%	0.2214	✓	0.73
2026-04-28	oos	0.018426	0.018405	-0.11%	0.013771	-25.26%	0.2603	✓	0.79
2026-04-27	oos	0.018753	0.018867	+0.60%	0.014086	-24.89%	0.2603	✗	0.80
2026-04-26	oos	0.019489	0.019599	+0.57%	0.014748	-24.33%	0.2549	✗	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.018378	0.018209	-0.92%	0.015144	-17.59%	0.1802	✓	0.80
2026-04-24	oos	0.018617	0.018391	-1.22%	0.015189	-18.41%	0.1861	✓	0.82
2026-04-23	oos	0.018527	0.018516	-0.06%	0.0154	-16.88%	0.1670	✓	0.82
2026-04-22	oos	0.018726	0.018847	+0.65%	0.015911	-15.04%	0.1400	✗	0.82
2026-04-21	oos	0.019744	0.019514	-1.16%	0.016543	-16.22%	0.1783	✓	0.84
2026-04-20	oos	0.019238	0.018902	-1.75%	0.015889	-17.41%	0.1915	✓	0.85
2026-04-19	oos	0.020035	0.019413	-3.11%	0.021894	+9.28%	0.0848	✗	0.91
2026-04-18	oos	0.019848	0.019569	-1.40%	0.016803	-15.34%	0.1670	✓	0.92
2026-04-17	oos	0.019895	0.020061	+0.83%	0.016754	-15.79%	0.1839	✗	0.92
2026-04-16	oos	0.0194	0.019183	-1.12%	0.017336	-10.64%	0.1368	✓	0.92
2026-04-15	oos	0.018617	0.01849	-0.68%	0.018036	-3.12%	0.0752	✓	0.92
2026-04-14	oos	0.018823	0.018589	-1.24%	0.019797	+5.18%	0.0187	✓	0.92
2026-04-13	oos	0.01784	0.017759	-0.45%	0.019858	+11.31%	0.0538	✗	0.92
2026-04-12	oos	0.016785	0.016344	-2.63%	0.020427	+21.69%	0.1064	✗	0.90
2026-04-11	oos	0.01739	0.017162	-1.31%	0.021038	+20.98%	0.1024	✗	0.91
2026-04-10	oos	0.018027	0.017817	-1.17%	0.02208	+22.48%	0.1068	✗	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.018975	0.018556	-2.21%	0.021847	+15.14%	0.0562	✗	0.92
2026-04-08	oos	0.018769	0.018479	-1.54%	0.021547	+14.80%	0.0428	✗	0.92
2026-04-07	oos	0.018412	0.018325	-0.47%	0.019933	+8.27%	0.0143	✓	0.92
2026-04-06	oos	0.01834	0.017991	-1.91%	0.019935	+8.69%	0.0550	✓	0.94
2026-04-05	oos	0.019069	0.018614	-2.38%	0.019731	+3.47%	0.0913	✓	0.94
2026-04-04	oos	0.017457	0.017144	-1.79%	0.019845	+13.68%	0.0100	✓	0.91
2026-04-03	oos	0.016753	0.016544	-1.25%	0.019117	+14.11%	0.0005	✓	0.91
2026-04-02	oos	0.016893	0.016671	-1.31%	0.018419	+9.03%	0.0476	✓	0.91
2026-04-01	oos	0.016632	0.016465	-1.00%	0.017603	+5.84%	0.0599	✓	0.91
2026-03-31	oos	0.016769	0.016583	-1.11%	0.017437	+3.98%	0.0523	✓	0.91
2026-03-30	oos	0.016882	0.016662	-1.31%	0.017567	+4.06%	0.0637	✓	0.92
2026-03-29	oos	0.016501	0.016299	-1.22%	0.018426	+11.67%	0.0109	✓	0.92
2026-03-28	oos	0.016659	0.01644	-1.32%	0.018753	+12.57%	0.0094	✓	0.92
2026-03-27	oos	0.017021	0.016789	-1.36%	0.019489	+14.50%	0.0070	✓	0.92
2026-03-26	oos	0.018289	0.017964	-1.78%	0.018378	+0.48%	0.0871	✓	0.90
2026-03-25	oos	0.019583	0.019209	-1.91%	0.018617	-4.93%	0.1054	✓	0.89
2026-03-24	oos	0.018451	0.018123	-1.78%	0.018527	+0.41%	0.0699	✓	0.88
2026-03-23	oos	0.019065	0.01876	-1.60%	0.018726	-1.78%	0.0887	✓	0.88
2026-03-22	oos	0.019144	0.018758	-2.01%	0.019744	+3.14%	0.0555	✓	0.90
2026-03-21	oos	0.019381	0.018981	-2.07%	0.019238	-0.74%	0.0736	✓	0.91
2026-03-20	oos	0.019715	0.019367	-1.76%	0.020035	+1.62%	0.0080	✓	0.91
2026-03-19	oos	0.020893	0.020505	-1.86%	0.019848	-5.01%	0.1060	✓	0.92
2026-03-18	oos	0.021166	0.020853	-1.48%	0.019895	-6.00%	0.1197	✓	0.92
2026-03-17	oos	0.022669	0.022465	-0.90%	0.0194	-14.42%	0.1617	✓	0.91
2026-03-16	oos	0.023768	0.02366	-0.45%	0.018617	-21.67%	0.2391	✓	0.91
2026-03-15	oos	0.023668	0.023541	-0.54%	0.018823	-20.47%	0.2404	✓	0.91
2026-03-14	oos	0.023757	0.023615	-0.60%	0.01784	-24.91%	0.3209	✓	0.92
2026-03-13	oos	0.023046	0.022957	-0.39%	0.016785	-27.17%	0.3107	✓	0.91
2026-03-12	oos	0.023444	0.023341	-0.44%	0.01739	-25.82%	0.3269	✓	0.92
2026-03-11	oos	0.023227	0.023132	-0.41%	0.018027	-22.38%	0.2849	✓	0.91
2026-03-10	oos	0.022927	0.02282	-0.47%	0.018975	-17.24%	0.2081	✓	0.91
2026-03-09	oos	0.023918	0.023676	-1.01%	0.018769	-21.53%	0.2678	✓	0.93
2026-03-08	oos	0.023185	0.022854	-1.43%	0.018412	-20.59%	0.2963	✓	0.93
2026-03-07	oos	0.023544	0.023205	-1.44%	0.01834	-22.10%	0.2571	✓	0.93
2026-03-06	oos	0.022694	0.022392	-1.33%	0.019069	-15.98%	0.1729	✓	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.022218	0.021936	-1.27%	0.017457	-21.43%	0.1778	✓	0.97
2026-03-04	oos	0.022741	0.022482	-1.14%	0.016753	-26.33%	0.2143	✓	0.97
2026-03-03	oos	0.02346	0.023102	-1.53%	0.016893	-27.99%	0.2904	✓	1.06
2026-03-02	oos	0.024244	0.023848	-1.63%	0.016632	-31.40%	0.3492	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.025315	0.024831	-1.91%	0.016769	-33.76%	0.4342	✓	1.14
2026-02-28	oos	0.026588	0.026014	-2.16%	0.016882	-36.50%	0.4285	✓	1.13
2026-02-27	oos	0.027117	0.026444	-2.48%	0.016501	-39.15%	0.4733	✓	1.15
2026-02-26	oos	0.030155	0.028915	-4.11%	0.016659	-44.76%	0.5317	✓	1.13
2026-02-25	oos	0.027762	0.026937	-2.97%	0.017021	-38.69%	0.4316	✓	1.13
2026-02-24	oos	0.028227	0.027027	-4.25%	0.018289	-35.21%	0.4775	✓	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.027473	0.026627	-3.08%	0.019583	-28.72%	0.4280	✓	1.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.025669	0.025068	-2.34%	0.018451	-28.12%	0.3619	✓	1.31
2026-02-21	oos	0.025697	0.025072	-2.43%	0.019065	-25.81%	0.3291	✓	1.31
2026-02-20	oos	0.027143	0.026257	-3.26%	0.019144	-29.47%	0.3133	✓	1.32
2026-02-19	oos	0.023558	0.023142	-1.77%	0.019381	-17.73%	0.2133	✓	1.26
2026-02-18	oos	0.025147	0.024524	-2.48%	0.019715	-21.60%	0.2949	✓	1.29
2026-02-17	oos	0.024497	0.023933	-2.30%	0.020893	-14.71%	0.1819	✓	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	0.02397	0.023401	-2.37%	0.021166	-11.70%	0.1447	✓	1.30
2026-02-15	oos	0.022138	0.021738	-1.80%	0.022669	+2.40%	0.0505	✓	1.28
2026-02-14	oos	0.022964	0.022445	-2.26%	0.023768	+3.50%	0.0331	✓	1.28
2026-02-13	oos	0.022176	0.021757	-1.89%	0.023668	+6.73%	0.0274	✗	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.021047	0.020824	-1.06%	0.023757	+12.88%	0.0587	✗	1.00
2026-02-11	oos	0.020438	0.020232	-1.00%	0.023046	+12.76%	0.0734	✗	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.020966	0.020637	-1.57%	0.023444	+11.82%	0.1027	✗	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	0.022579	0.022089	-2.17%	0.023227	+2.87%	0.0487	✗	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	0.023423	0.02288	-2.32%	0.022927	-2.12%	0.0066	✓	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	0.023904	0.023505	-1.67%	0.023918	+0.06%	0.0292	✗	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	0.026671	0.026067	-2.27%	0.023185	-13.07%	0.0504	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.023714	0.023608	-0.45%	0.023544	-0.72%	0.0715	✓	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	0.02696	0.026079	-3.27%	0.022694	-15.82%	0.0697	✓	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	0.0285	0.027361	-4.00%	0.022218	-22.04%	0.1430	✓	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	0.032828	0.031461	-4.16%	0.022741	-30.73%	0.2455	✓	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	0.033105	0.031809	-3.91%	0.02346	-29.13%	0.1865	✓	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	0.03362	0.032283	-3.98%	0.024244	-27.89%	0.1531	✓	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	0.037213	0.035289	-5.17%	0.025315	-31.97%	0.0862	✓	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	0.035199	0.033469	-4.91%	0.026588	-24.46%	0.0025	✓	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	0.041349	0.038228	-7.55%	0.027117	-34.42%	0.0405	✓	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	0.038897	0.036444	-6.31%	0.030155	-22.47%	0.0886	✗	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	0.036117	0.034149	-5.45%	0.027762	-23.13%	0.0537	✓	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.035127	0.033343	-5.08%	0.028227	-19.65%	0.1343	✗	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	0.038441	0.0361	-6.09%	0.027473	-28.53%	0.0479	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.