FLUX

Flux · native · gru_s9

token id: #546
symbol: FLUX
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-02-05
predictions: 1,845

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

57.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1865

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0208

actual -0.0184

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.07173	0.068237	-4.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.07158	0.068521	-4.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-19	oos	0.07103	0.068169	-4.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.07138	0.068662	-3.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-17	oos	0.074325	0.07131	-4.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-10-16	oos	0.077035	0.073399	-4.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-10-15	oos	0.077645	0.073495	-5.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-14	oos	0.07975	0.07497	-5.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-13	oos	0.082625	0.077377	-6.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.083585	0.078169	-6.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.090115	0.083109	-7.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-10	oos	0.083055	0.077558	-6.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-09	oos	0.08464	0.079092	-6.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-08	oos	0.074885	0.07005	-6.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-07	oos	0.08185	0.076572	-6.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-06	oos	0.085125	0.079308	-6.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-05	oos	0.08466	0.078711	-7.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-04	oos	0.07718	0.072038	-6.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-03	oos	0.07493	0.069569	-7.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.07229	0.066783	-7.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-01	oos	0.072095	0.066151	-8.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-30	oos	0.073905	0.067265	-8.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.071935	0.065316	-9.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-28	oos	0.068335	0.062121	-9.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-27	oos	0.07512	0.067601	-10.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-09-26	oos	0.07277	0.065454	-10.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-09-25	oos	0.070245	0.063497	-9.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-09-24	oos	0.06915	0.062721	-9.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-09-23	oos	0.06954	0.062737	-9.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-09-22	oos	0.06734	0.061047	-9.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-09-21	oos	0.061705	0.057525	-6.77%	0.07173	+16.25%	0.2669	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.0586	0.055356	-5.54%	0.07158	+22.15%	0.2345	✗	1.04
2026-09-19	oos	0.059505	0.056026	-5.85%	0.07103	+19.37%	0.2296	✗	1.04
2026-09-18	oos	0.05665	0.054348	-4.06%	0.07138	+26.00%	0.2582	✗	1.04
2026-09-17	oos	0.05343	0.051871	-2.92%	0.074325	+39.11%	0.2931	✗	1.04
2026-09-16	oos	0.05307	0.051766	-2.46%	0.077035	+45.16%	0.3269	✗	1.04
2026-09-15	oos	0.05379	0.052502	-2.40%	0.077645	+44.35%	0.3032	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.05786	0.055809	-3.54%	0.07975	+37.83%	0.3140	✗	1.01
2026-09-13	oos	0.055745	0.054031	-3.07%	0.082625	+48.22%	0.3459	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.05273	0.051785	-1.79%	0.083585	+58.52%	0.4216	✗	1.01
2026-09-11	oos	0.050745	0.050258	-0.96%	0.090115	+77.58%	0.5022	✗	1.02
2026-09-10	oos	0.0499	0.049644	-0.51%	0.083055	+66.44%	0.4332	✗	1.02
2026-09-09	oos	0.052765	0.052291	-0.90%	0.08464	+60.41%	0.4288	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.051975	0.051775	-0.38%	0.074885	+44.08%	0.3280	✗	1.01
2026-09-07	oos	0.05178	0.051814	+0.07%	0.08185	+58.07%	0.4046	✓	1.02
2026-09-06	oos	0.051665	0.051878	+0.41%	0.085125	+64.76%	0.4307	✓	1.03
2026-09-05	oos	0.0514	0.05172	+0.62%	0.08466	+64.71%	0.4193	✓	1.03
2026-09-04	oos	0.049055	0.049767	+1.45%	0.07718	+57.33%	0.3551	✓	1.02
2026-09-03	oos	0.049915	0.050963	+2.10%	0.07493	+50.12%	0.3426	✓	1.02
2026-09-02	oos	0.048865	0.049631	+1.57%	0.07229	+47.94%	0.2734	✓	1.15
2026-09-01	oos	0.04967	0.051039	+2.76%	0.072095	+45.15%	0.2383	✓	1.17
2026-08-31	oos	0.049145	0.050906	+3.58%	0.073905	+50.38%	0.3053	✓	1.10
2026-08-30	oos	0.05001	0.051697	+3.37%	0.071935	+43.84%	0.2473	✓	1.12
2026-08-29	oos	0.04775	0.05004	+4.80%	0.068335	+43.11%	0.2407	✓	1.10
2026-08-28	oos	0.048305	0.050486	+4.51%	0.07512	+55.51%	0.3076	✓	1.10
2026-08-27	oos	0.04948	0.052187	+5.47%	0.07277	+47.07%	0.2765	✓	1.11
2026-08-26	oos	0.04656	0.049391	+6.08%	0.070245	+50.87%	0.2843	✓	1.09
2026-08-25	oos	0.0436	0.046654	+7.01%	0.06915	+58.60%	0.3145	✓	1.10
2026-08-24	oos	0.0447	0.048042	+7.48%	0.06954	+55.57%	0.2968	✓	1.11
2026-08-23	oos	0.046105	0.049054	+6.40%	0.06734	+46.06%	0.1980	✓	1.15
2026-08-22	oos	0.044895	0.04791	+6.71%	0.061705	+37.44%	0.1185	✓	1.15
2026-08-21	oos	0.046545	0.04958	+6.52%	0.0586	+25.90%	0.1261	✓	1.15
2026-08-20	oos	0.04243	0.044309	+4.43%	0.059505	+40.24%	0.1744	✓	1.13
2026-08-19	oos	0.04081	0.041388	+1.42%	0.05665	+38.81%	0.1330	✓	1.17
2026-08-18	oos	0.038735	0.03805	-1.77%	0.05343	+37.94%	0.1356	✗	1.23
2026-08-17	oos	0.039415	0.038755	-1.67%	0.05307	+34.64%	0.1058	✗	1.25
2026-08-16	oos	0.039755	0.038741	-2.55%	0.05379	+35.30%	0.0897	✗	1.29
2026-08-15	oos	0.040075	0.038948	-2.81%	0.05786	+44.38%	0.1181	✗	1.29
2026-08-14	oos	0.039605	0.038657	-2.39%	0.055745	+40.75%	0.1094	✗	1.29
2026-08-13	oos	0.040095	0.03918	-2.28%	0.05273	+31.51%	0.0399	✗	1.30
2026-08-12	oos	0.038775	0.038091	-1.76%	0.050745	+30.87%	0.0273	✗	1.32
2026-08-11	oos	0.039395	0.038745	-1.65%	0.0499	+26.67%	0.0080	✓	1.32
2026-08-10	oos	0.041485	0.040647	-2.02%	0.052765	+27.19%	0.0074	✓	1.32
2026-08-09	oos	0.04295	0.042055	-2.08%	0.051975	+21.01%	0.0399	✓	1.32
2026-08-08	oos	0.039915	0.039477	-1.10%	0.05178	+29.73%	0.0109	✓	1.32
2026-08-07	oos	0.038765	0.038417	-0.90%	0.051665	+33.28%	0.0178	✗	1.30
2026-08-06	oos	0.039635	0.039038	-1.51%	0.0514	+29.68%	0.0155	✓	1.34
2026-08-05	oos	0.03936	0.038815	-1.39%	0.049055	+24.63%	0.0489	✓	1.35
2026-08-04	oos	0.038855	0.038299	-1.43%	0.049915	+28.46%	0.0539	✓	1.34
2026-08-03	oos	0.03955	0.038831	-1.82%	0.048865	+23.55%	0.0422	✓	1.38
2026-08-02	oos	0.04082	0.039906	-2.24%	0.04967	+21.68%	0.0551	✓	1.38
2026-08-01	oos	0.038585	0.037731	-2.21%	0.049145	+27.37%	0.0350	✓	1.33
2026-07-31	oos	0.03904	0.038119	-2.36%	0.05001	+28.10%	0.0114	✓	1.33
2026-07-30	oos	0.038175	0.037493	-1.79%	0.04775	+25.08%	0.0248	✓	1.41
2026-07-29	oos	0.037585	0.036902	-1.82%	0.048305	+28.52%	0.0037	✓	1.38
2026-07-28	oos	0.039235	0.03849	-1.90%	0.04948	+26.11%	0.0634	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03883	0.03814	-1.78%	0.04656	+19.91%	0.0975	✓	1.38
2026-07-26	oos	0.041615	0.040982	-1.52%	0.0436	+4.77%	0.1846	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.040675	0.040031	-1.58%	0.0447	+9.90%	0.1684	✓	1.35
2026-07-24	oos	0.04046	0.0398	-1.63%	0.046105	+13.95%	0.1164	✓	1.36
2026-07-23	oos	0.04209	0.041434	-1.56%	0.044895	+6.66%	0.1476	✓	1.35
2026-07-22	oos	0.04331	0.042733	-1.33%	0.046545	+7.47%	0.1369	✓	1.31
2026-07-21	oos	0.043515	0.043044	-1.08%	0.04243	-2.49%	0.1365	✓	1.31
2026-07-20	oos	0.042335	0.041834	-1.18%	0.04081	-3.60%	0.1027	✓	1.28
2026-07-19	oos	0.04159	0.041086	-1.21%	0.038735	-6.86%	0.0589	✓	1.28
2026-07-18	oos	0.04222	0.041777	-1.05%	0.039415	-6.64%	0.0516	✓	1.33
2026-07-17	oos	0.04247	0.042043	-1.01%	0.039755	-6.39%	0.0334	✓	1.35
2026-07-16	oos	0.04278	0.042497	-0.66%	0.040075	-6.32%	0.0428	✓	1.34
2026-07-15	oos	0.04381	0.043688	-0.28%	0.039605	-9.60%	0.0622	✓	1.32
2026-07-14	oos	0.04417	0.044302	+0.30%	0.040095	-9.23%	0.0671	✗	1.34
2026-07-13	oos	0.042475	0.042551	+0.18%	0.038775	-8.71%	0.1180	✗	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.043805	0.044127	+0.73%	0.039395	-10.07%	0.1089	✗	1.38
2026-07-11	oos	0.04499	0.045317	+0.73%	0.041485	-7.79%	0.0911	✗	1.27
2026-07-10	oos	0.044875	0.045212	+0.75%	0.04295	-4.29%	0.0652	✗	1.24
2026-07-09	oos	0.04427	0.044497	+0.51%	0.039915	-9.84%	0.1422	✗	1.24
2026-07-08	oos	0.04321	0.043389	+0.42%	0.038765	-10.29%	0.1646	✗	1.24
2026-07-07	oos	0.04424	0.044448	+0.47%	0.039635	-10.41%	0.1329	✗	1.23
2026-07-06	oos	0.0462	0.046328	+0.28%	0.03936	-14.81%	0.1743	✗	1.21
2026-07-05	oos	0.0462	0.046243	+0.09%	0.038855	-15.90%	0.1829	✗	1.21
2026-07-04	oos	0.047135	0.047068	-0.14%	0.03955	-16.09%	0.1813	✓	1.22
2026-07-03	oos	0.046505	0.046381	-0.27%	0.04082	-12.22%	0.1460	✓	1.17
2026-07-02	oos	0.044895	0.044794	-0.23%	0.038585	-14.06%	0.1732	✓	1.16
2026-07-01	oos	0.04534	0.045071	-0.59%	0.03904	-13.90%	0.1993	✓	1.19
2026-06-30	oos	0.0431	0.04291	-0.44%	0.038175	-11.43%	0.2367	✓	1.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.04435	0.044118	-0.52%	0.037585	-15.25%	0.2321	✓	1.19
2026-06-28	oos	0.04424	0.044011	-0.52%	0.039235	-11.31%	0.2005	✓	1.21
2026-06-27	oos	0.043775	0.043595	-0.41%	0.03883	-11.30%	0.1899	✓	1.22
2026-06-26	oos	0.04479	0.044627	-0.36%	0.041615	-7.09%	0.1733	✓	1.21
2026-06-25	oos	0.04407	0.043947	-0.28%	0.040675	-7.70%	0.1671	✓	1.21
2026-06-24	oos	0.04587	0.04566	-0.46%	0.04046	-11.79%	0.1749	✓	1.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.04777	0.047465	-0.64%	0.04209	-11.89%	0.1602	✓	1.06
2026-06-22	oos	0.050025	0.049538	-0.97%	0.04331	-13.42%	0.1683	✓	1.03
2026-06-21	oos	0.05046	0.049888	-1.13%	0.043515	-13.76%	0.1893	✓	1.04
2026-06-20	oos	0.051595	0.050834	-1.47%	0.042335	-17.95%	0.1983	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.0497	0.049084	-1.24%	0.04159	-16.32%	0.1846	✓	1.01
2026-06-18	oos	0.05029	0.049605	-1.36%	0.04222	-16.05%	0.1922	✓	1.03
2026-06-17	oos	0.053005	0.051893	-2.10%	0.04247	-19.88%	0.1917	✓	1.01
2026-06-16	oos	0.05309	0.052091	-1.88%	0.04278	-19.42%	0.1673	✓	1.04
2026-06-15	oos	0.05351	0.052424	-2.03%	0.04381	-18.13%	0.1548	✓	1.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.05327	0.052151	-2.10%	0.04417	-17.08%	0.1547	✓	1.04
2026-06-13	oos	0.052355	0.051308	-2.00%	0.042475	-18.87%	0.1535	✓	1.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.051125	0.050196	-1.82%	0.043805	-14.32%	0.1395	✓	1.04
2026-06-11	oos	0.052275	0.051196	-2.06%	0.04499	-13.94%	0.1326	✓	1.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.049885	0.049156	-1.46%	0.044875	-10.04%	0.1347	✓	1.02
2026-06-09	oos	0.05106	0.050219	-1.65%	0.04427	-13.30%	0.1503	✓	1.01
2026-06-08	oos	0.05208	0.051017	-2.04%	0.04321	-17.03%	0.1527	✓	1.01
2026-06-07	oos	0.052	0.050902	-2.11%	0.04424	-14.92%	0.1406	✓	1.04
2026-06-06	oos	0.0506	0.04982	-1.54%	0.0462	-8.70%	0.1267	✓	1.02
2026-06-05	oos	0.0508	0.050017	-1.54%	0.0462	-9.06%	0.1207	✓	1.01
2026-06-04	oos	0.0572	0.055605	-2.79%	0.047135	-17.60%	0.1549	✓	0.92
2026-06-03	oos	0.0624	0.060058	-3.75%	0.046505	-25.47%	0.2335	✓	0.93
2026-06-02	oos	0.0611	0.058916	-3.57%	0.044895	-26.52%	0.1926	✓	0.98
2026-06-01	oos	0.0668	0.063753	-4.56%	0.04534	-32.13%	0.1943	✓	0.84
2026-05-31	oos	0.06645	0.063442	-4.53%	0.0431	-35.14%	0.1866	✓	0.87
2026-05-30	oos	0.0677	0.06458	-4.61%	0.04435	-34.49%	0.2067	✓	0.83
2026-05-29	oos	0.06725	0.064239	-4.48%	0.04424	-34.22%	0.1964	✓	0.84
2026-05-28	oos	0.0674	0.06447	-4.35%	0.043775	-35.05%	0.2159	✓	0.84
2026-05-27	oos	0.0718	0.0684	-4.74%	0.04479	-37.62%	0.2468	✓	0.83
2026-05-26	oos	0.07525	0.071332	-5.21%	0.04407	-41.44%	0.2871	✓	0.81
2026-05-25	oos	0.0821	0.076835	-6.41%	0.04587	-44.13%	0.3327	✓	0.77
2026-05-24	oos	0.0747	0.070964	-5.00%	0.04777	-36.05%	0.2374	✓	0.77
2026-05-23	oos	0.07	0.067106	-4.13%	0.050025	-28.54%	0.1628	✓	0.72
2026-05-22	oos	0.06805	0.065288	-4.06%	0.05046	-25.85%	0.1296	✓	0.73
2026-05-21	oos	0.07215	0.069025	-4.33%	0.051595	-28.49%	0.1590	✓	0.70
2026-05-20	oos	0.07275	0.069466	-4.51%	0.0497	-31.68%	0.1944	✓	0.70
2026-05-19	oos	0.0684	0.065522	-4.21%	0.05029	-26.48%	0.1262	✓	0.69
2026-05-18	oos	0.0694	0.066409	-4.31%	0.053005	-23.62%	0.1013	✓	0.70
2026-05-17	oos	0.0687	0.065786	-4.24%	0.05309	-22.72%	0.0967	✓	0.71
2026-05-16	oos	0.0716	0.068396	-4.47%	0.05351	-25.27%	0.1299	✓	0.70
2026-05-15	oos	0.07495	0.071533	-4.56%	0.05327	-28.93%	0.1645	✓	0.70
2026-05-14	oos	0.0797	0.075843	-4.84%	0.052355	-34.31%	0.2149	✓	0.68
2026-05-13	oos	0.078	0.074289	-4.76%	0.051125	-34.46%	0.2248	✓	0.67
2026-05-12	oos	0.0822	0.077936	-5.19%	0.052275	-36.41%	0.2455	✓	0.65
2026-05-11	oos	0.0849	0.080197	-5.54%	0.049885	-41.24%	0.2910	✓	0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.08615	0.081	-5.98%	0.05106	-40.73%	0.2719	✓	0.66
2026-05-09	oos	0.0857	0.080408	-6.18%	0.05208	-39.23%	0.2702	✓	0.67
2026-05-08	oos	0.0785	0.074973	-4.49%	0.052	-33.76%	0.2074	✓	0.67
2026-05-07	oos	0.0746	0.072019	-3.46%	0.0506	-32.17%	0.1716	✓	0.66
2026-05-06	oos	0.07545	0.072419	-4.02%	0.0508	-32.67%	0.1499	✓	0.71
2026-05-05	oos	0.0684	0.067108	-1.89%	0.0572	-16.37%	0.0283	✗	0.79
2026-05-04	oos	0.0669	0.065618	-1.92%	0.0624	-6.73%	0.1234	✗	0.79
2026-05-03	oos	0.0689	0.066905	-2.89%	0.0611	-11.32%	0.0384	✗	0.79
2026-05-02	oos	0.0669	0.06517	-2.59%	0.0668	-0.15%	0.1018	✗	0.78
2026-05-01	oos	0.0638	0.06239	-2.21%	0.06645	+4.15%	0.1110	✗	0.78
2026-04-30	oos	0.0634	0.061675	-2.72%	0.0677	+6.78%	0.1206	✗	0.81
2026-04-29	oos	0.0656	0.063763	-2.80%	0.06725	+2.52%	0.0793	✗	0.81
2026-04-28	oos	0.06815	0.066272	-2.75%	0.0674	-1.10%	0.0476	✗	0.82
2026-04-27	oos	0.0677	0.066301	-2.07%	0.0718	+6.06%	0.1128	✗	0.82
2026-04-26	oos	0.0718	0.070287	-2.11%	0.07525	+4.81%	0.0983	✗	0.81
2026-04-25	oos	0.0693	0.067987	-1.89%	0.0821	+18.47%	0.1929	✗	0.82
2026-04-24	oos	0.0753	0.072673	-3.49%	0.0747	-0.80%	0.0328	✓	0.83
2026-04-23	oos	0.06795	0.067002	-1.39%	0.07	+3.02%	0.0616	✗	0.84
2026-04-22	oos	0.0669	0.065996	-1.35%	0.06805	+1.72%	0.0610	✗	0.84
2026-04-21	oos	0.067	0.065783	-1.82%	0.07215	+7.69%	0.0792	✗	0.85
2026-04-20	oos	0.0673	0.065857	-2.14%	0.07275	+8.10%	0.0816	✗	0.85
2026-04-19	oos	0.06145	0.060215	-2.01%	0.0684	+11.31%	0.0940	✗	0.86
2026-04-18	oos	0.0642	0.063455	-1.16%	0.0694	+8.10%	0.0760	✗	0.85
2026-04-17	oos	0.0648	0.064324	-0.73%	0.0687	+6.02%	0.0624	✗	0.86
2026-04-16	oos	0.0644	0.063196	-1.87%	0.0716	+11.18%	0.0919	✗	0.86
2026-04-15	oos	0.05675	0.056472	-0.49%	0.07495	+32.07%	0.2365	✗	0.85
2026-04-14	oos	0.055	0.054609	-0.71%	0.0797	+44.91%	0.3027	✗	0.85
2026-04-13	oos	0.0562	0.055973	-0.40%	0.078	+38.79%	0.2788	✗	0.84
2026-04-12	oos	0.0561	0.054954	-2.04%	0.0822	+46.52%	0.2882	✗	0.89
2026-04-11	oos	0.05685	0.056383	-0.82%	0.0849	+49.34%	0.3093	✗	0.89
2026-04-10	oos	0.05915	0.058388	-1.29%	0.08615	+45.65%	0.2828	✗	0.89
2026-04-09	oos	0.05745	0.056582	-1.51%	0.0857	+49.17%	0.3116	✗	0.89
2026-04-08	oos	0.0581	0.056827	-2.19%	0.0785	+35.11%	0.2156	✗	0.89
2026-04-07	oos	0.0559	0.055143	-1.35%	0.0746	+33.45%	0.2065	✗	0.90
2026-04-06	oos	0.0532	0.052061	-2.14%	0.07545	+41.82%	0.2209	✗	0.89
2026-04-05	oos	0.05455	0.053204	-2.47%	0.0684	+25.39%	0.1087	✗	0.90
2026-04-04	oos	0.05595	0.054235	-3.07%	0.0669	+19.57%	0.0527	✗	0.92
2026-04-03	oos	0.0561	0.054228	-3.34%	0.0689	+22.82%	0.0925	✗	0.92
2026-04-02	oos	0.0556	0.053801	-3.24%	0.0669	+20.32%	0.0684	✗	0.92
2026-04-01	oos	0.0585	0.05627	-3.81%	0.0638	+9.06%	0.0014	✓	0.92
2026-03-31	oos	0.0544	0.052809	-2.92%	0.0634	+16.54%	0.0790	✗	0.93
2026-03-30	oos	0.0523	0.050853	-2.77%	0.0656	+25.43%	0.1381	✗	0.92
2026-03-29	oos	0.0505	0.049301	-2.37%	0.06815	+34.95%	0.1907	✗	0.91
2026-03-28	oos	0.0484	0.047539	-1.78%	0.0677	+39.88%	0.2127	✗	0.91
2026-03-27	oos	0.0494	0.048556	-1.71%	0.0718	+45.34%	0.2355	✗	0.91
2026-03-26	oos	0.0461	0.04572	-0.82%	0.0693	+50.33%	0.2990	✗	0.96
2026-03-25	oos	0.047	0.046913	-0.19%	0.0753	+60.21%	0.3927	✗	0.97
2026-03-24	oos	0.0483	0.048232	-0.14%	0.06795	+40.68%	0.2409	✗	0.98
2026-03-23	oos	0.04845	0.048555	+0.22%	0.0669	+38.08%	0.2243	✓	0.98
2026-03-22	oos	0.0475	0.047306	-0.41%	0.067	+41.05%	0.2317	✗	0.99
2026-03-21	oos	0.0493	0.049258	-0.08%	0.0673	+36.51%	0.2176	✗	0.98
2026-03-20	oos	0.05205	0.05225	+0.38%	0.06145	+18.06%	0.1174	✓	0.97
2026-03-19	oos	0.0524	0.052583	+0.35%	0.0642	+22.52%	0.1217	✓	0.97
2026-03-18	oos	0.0559	0.056155	+0.46%	0.0648	+15.92%	0.0662	✓	0.97
2026-03-17	oos	0.058	0.058549	+0.95%	0.0644	+11.03%	0.0791	✓	0.98
2026-03-16	oos	0.0583	0.058931	+1.08%	0.05675	-2.66%	0.0371	✗	1.00
2026-03-15	oos	0.0567	0.057197	+0.88%	0.055	-3.00%	0.0575	✗	1.00
2026-03-14	oos	0.055	0.055349	+0.63%	0.0562	+2.18%	0.0282	✗	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.0567	0.057039	+0.60%	0.0561	-1.06%	0.0139	✗	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.0573	0.057564	+0.46%	0.05685	-0.79%	0.0479	✗	1.00
2026-03-11	oos	0.0589	0.059279	+0.64%	0.05915	+0.42%	0.0412	✗	1.00
2026-03-10	oos	0.0594	0.059638	+0.40%	0.05745	-3.28%	0.0634	✗	1.00
2026-03-09	oos	0.0557	0.055901	+0.36%	0.0581	+4.31%	0.0010	✓	0.99
2026-03-08	oos	0.0557	0.055707	+0.01%	0.0559	+0.36%	0.0841	✗	1.02
2026-03-07	oos	0.0558	0.056079	+0.50%	0.0532	-4.66%	0.0767	✗	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.0567	0.057184	+0.85%	0.05455	-3.79%	0.0603	✗	1.01
2026-03-05	oos	0.0596	0.06038	+1.31%	0.05595	-6.12%	0.0239	✗	1.00
2026-03-04	oos	0.0602	0.061284	+1.80%	0.0561	-6.81%	0.0104	✓	0.95
2026-03-03	oos	0.0596	0.060404	+1.35%	0.0556	-6.71%	0.0618	✗	0.99
2026-03-02	oos	0.06	0.06094	+1.57%	0.0585	-2.50%	0.0304	✗	0.99
2026-03-01	oos	0.0597	0.060263	+0.94%	0.0544	-8.88%	0.1392	✗	1.01
2026-02-28	oos	0.06205	0.062575	+0.85%	0.0523	-15.71%	0.1759	✗	1.00
2026-02-27	oos	0.0616	0.062049	+0.73%	0.0505	-18.02%	0.2074	✗	1.00
2026-02-26	oos	0.06325	0.063771	+0.82%	0.0484	-23.48%	0.2582	✗	1.00
2026-02-25	oos	0.0653	0.06578	+0.74%	0.0494	-24.35%	0.2619	✗	1.00
2026-02-24	oos	0.06225	0.062589	+0.54%	0.0461	-25.94%	0.3771	✗	1.01
2026-02-23	oos	0.06205	0.062437	+0.62%	0.047	-24.25%	0.3821	✗	1.00
2026-02-22	oos	0.0618	0.062386	+0.95%	0.0483	-21.84%	0.2993	✗	1.03
2026-02-21	oos	0.06575	0.066361	+0.93%	0.04845	-26.31%	0.3579	✗	1.03
2026-02-20	oos	0.06785	0.068312	+0.68%	0.0475	-29.99%	0.3612	✗	1.03
2026-02-19	oos	0.0662	0.066715	+0.78%	0.0493	-25.53%	0.3318	✗	1.03
2026-02-18	oos	0.06635	0.066862	+0.77%	0.05205	-21.55%	0.3120	✗	1.03
2026-02-17	oos	0.06845	0.068911	+0.67%	0.0524	-23.45%	0.3114	✗	1.05
2026-02-16	oos	0.07075	0.071059	+0.44%	0.0559	-20.99%	0.2758	✗	1.05
2026-02-15	oos	0.0695	0.069845	+0.50%	0.058	-16.55%	0.2616	✗	1.05
2026-02-14	oos	0.07265	0.072635	-0.02%	0.0583	-19.75%	0.2941	✓	1.05
2026-02-13	oos	0.0717	0.071647	-0.07%	0.0567	-20.92%	0.2940	✓	1.06
2026-02-12	oos	0.07005	0.07019	+0.20%	0.055	-21.48%	0.3215	✗	1.06
2026-02-11	oos	0.0699	0.069961	+0.09%	0.0567	-18.88%	0.2717	✗	1.08
2026-02-10	oos	0.07125	0.071077	-0.24%	0.0573	-19.58%	0.2426	✓	1.09
2026-02-09	oos	0.07485	0.074189	-0.88%	0.0589	-21.31%	0.2324	✓	1.09
2026-02-08	oos	0.0779	0.076769	-1.45%	0.0594	-23.75%	0.2517	✓	1.06
2026-02-07	oos	0.0743	0.073776	-0.71%	0.0557	-25.03%	0.2690	✓	1.02
2026-02-06	oos	0.0742	0.073619	-0.78%	0.0557	-24.93%	0.2159	✓	0.94
2026-02-05	oos	0.0672	0.067992	+1.18%	0.0558	-16.96%	0.2620	✗	0.94
2026-02-04	oos	0.0784	0.077228	-1.50%	0.0567	-27.68%	0.2182	✓	1.31
2026-02-03	oos	0.0804	0.078778	-2.02%	0.0596	-25.87%	0.1939	✓	1.31
2026-02-02	oos	0.0816	0.07963	-2.41%	0.0602	-26.23%	0.1734	✓	1.34
2026-02-01	oos	0.081	0.079272	-2.13%	0.0596	-26.42%	0.1296	✓	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.0825	0.080752	-2.12%	0.06	-27.27%	0.1088	✓	1.41
2026-01-30	oos	0.0903	0.087826	-2.74%	0.0597	-33.89%	0.0381	✓	1.41
2026-01-29	oos	0.0917	0.089112	-2.82%	0.06205	-32.33%	0.0316	✓	1.42
2026-01-28	oos	0.0973	0.094919	-2.45%	0.0616	-36.69%	0.0034	✓	1.44
2026-01-27	oos	0.1	0.097454	-2.55%	0.06325	-36.75%	0.0271	✓	1.46
2026-01-26	oos	0.1002	0.09776	-2.43%	0.0653	-34.83%	0.0243	✓	1.45
2026-01-25	oos	0.0946	0.092522	-2.20%	0.06225	-34.20%	0.0387	✗	1.45
2026-01-24	oos	0.1001	0.097762	-2.34%	0.06205	-38.01%	0.0059	✓	1.43
2026-01-23	oos	0.1008	0.09837	-2.41%	0.0618	-38.69%	0.0649	✓	1.43
2026-01-22	oos	0.1021	0.099538	-2.51%	0.06575	-35.60%	0.0227	✓	1.43
2026-01-21	oos	0.1043	0.101426	-2.76%	0.06785	-34.95%	0.0118	✓	1.43
2026-01-20	oos	0.1007	0.098096	-2.59%	0.0662	-34.26%	0.0015	✓	1.42
2026-01-19	oos	0.1108	0.108003	-2.52%	0.06635	-40.12%	0.0291	✓	1.38
2026-01-18	oos	0.1163	0.11267	-3.12%	0.06845	-41.14%	0.0446	✓	1.38
2026-01-17	oos	0.1181	0.113939	-3.52%	0.07075	-40.09%	0.0316	✓	1.38
2026-01-16	oos	0.1102	0.107363	-2.57%	0.0695	-36.93%	0.0211	✓	1.39
2026-01-15	oos	0.108	0.105241	-2.55%	0.07265	-32.73%	0.0662	✗	1.39
2026-01-14	oos	0.1115	0.108498	-2.69%	0.0717	-35.70%	0.0611	✗	1.39
2026-01-13	oos	0.1132	0.10924	-3.50%	0.07005	-38.12%	0.0722	✗	1.41
2026-01-12	oos	0.1046	0.100598	-3.83%	0.0699	-33.17%	0.0696	✗	1.41
2026-01-11	oos	0.1058	0.101511	-4.05%	0.07125	-32.66%	0.0414	✗	1.42
2026-01-10	oos	0.1077	0.103298	-4.09%	0.07485	-30.50%	0.0418	✗	1.43
2026-01-09	oos	0.1094	0.104834	-4.17%	0.0779	-28.79%	0.0843	✗	1.51
2026-01-08	oos	0.1096	0.104975	-4.22%	0.0743	-32.21%	0.0832	✗	1.57
2026-01-07	oos	0.1112	0.106388	-4.33%	0.0742	-33.27%	0.0997	✗	1.78
2026-01-06	oos	0.117	0.111472	-4.73%	0.0672	-42.56%	0.2069	✗	1.78
2026-01-05	oos	0.115	0.109454	-4.82%	0.0784	-31.83%	0.1138	✗	1.78
2026-01-04	oos	0.1101	0.105083	-4.56%	0.0804	-26.98%	0.0738	✗	1.80
2026-01-03	oos	0.1087	0.103684	-4.61%	0.0816	-24.93%	0.0155	✓	1.81
2026-01-02	oos	0.1068	0.101826	-4.66%	0.081	-24.16%	0.0529	✗	1.80
2026-01-01	oos	0.1056	0.1006	-4.74%	0.0825	-21.88%	0.0187	✓	1.80
2025-12-31	oos	0.0989	0.094605	-4.34%	0.0903	-8.70%	0.0235	✓	1.77
2025-12-30	oos	0.1007	0.096164	-4.50%	0.0917	-8.94%	0.0318	✓	1.77
2025-12-29	oos	0.1013	0.096728	-4.51%	0.0973	-3.95%	0.0350	✓	1.76
2025-12-28	oos	0.1043	0.099378	-4.72%	0.1	-4.12%	0.0183	✓	1.75
2025-12-27	oos	0.1068	0.101591	-4.88%	0.1002	-6.18%	0.0225	✓	1.74
2025-12-26	oos	0.1004	0.096092	-4.29%	0.0946	-5.78%	0.0012	✓	1.72
2025-12-25	oos	0.0984	0.094346	-4.12%	0.1001	+1.73%	0.0220	✓	1.71
2025-12-24	oos	0.0998	0.095717	-4.09%	0.1008	+1.00%	0.0155	✓	1.72
2025-12-23	oos	0.1	0.095993	-4.01%	0.1021	+2.10%	0.0223	✓	1.71
2025-12-22	oos	0.1003	0.096189	-4.10%	0.1043	+3.99%	0.0654	✗	1.71
2025-12-21	oos	0.1012	0.097052	-4.10%	0.1007	-0.49%	0.0433	✗	1.71
2025-12-20	oos	0.1079	0.103411	-4.16%	0.1108	+2.69%	0.0123	✓	1.74
2025-12-19	oos	0.1045	0.100266	-4.05%	0.1163	+11.29%	0.0427	✗	1.73
2025-12-18	oos	0.0998	0.096184	-3.62%	0.1181	+18.34%	0.0195	✓	1.74
2025-12-17	oos	0.1018	0.098011	-3.72%	0.1102	+8.25%	0.0612	✓	1.74
2025-12-16	oos	0.1138	0.10885	-4.35%	0.108	-5.10%	0.1525	✓	1.71
2025-12-15	oos	0.1114	0.106566	-4.34%	0.1115	+0.09%	0.1523	✓	1.72
2025-12-14	oos	0.1104	0.10578	-4.18%	0.1132	+2.54%	0.0683	✓	1.73
2025-12-13	oos	0.1163	0.110869	-4.67%	0.1046	-10.06%	0.0759	✓	1.72
2025-12-12	oos	0.1123	0.107147	-4.59%	0.1058	-5.79%	0.0240	✓	1.72
2025-12-11	oos	0.1167	0.111041	-4.85%	0.1077	-7.71%	0.0104	✓	1.73
2025-12-10	oos	0.1163	0.110509	-4.98%	0.1094	-5.93%	0.0188	✓	1.73
2025-12-09	oos	0.1182	0.112209	-5.07%	0.1096	-7.28%	0.0078	✓	1.73
2025-12-08	oos	0.1121	0.106583	-4.92%	0.1112	-0.80%	0.0309	✓	1.67
2025-12-07	oos	0.1072	0.102014	-4.84%	0.117	+9.14%	0.0773	✗	1.66
2025-12-06	oos	0.1145	0.108668	-5.09%	0.115	+0.44%	0.0285	✓	1.69
2025-12-05	oos	0.128	0.119719	-6.47%	0.1101	-13.98%	0.1240	✓	1.69
2025-12-04	oos	0.1123	0.106964	-4.75%	0.1087	-3.21%	0.0458	✓	1.81
2025-12-03	oos	0.1142	0.108955	-4.59%	0.1068	-6.48%	0.0493	✗	1.82
2025-12-02	oos	0.1113	0.106294	-4.50%	0.1056	-5.12%	0.0457	✓	1.83
2025-12-01	oos	0.1068	0.102569	-3.96%	0.0989	-7.40%	0.0633	✓	1.92
2025-11-30	oos	0.11205	0.107416	-4.14%	0.1007	-10.13%	0.0213	✓	1.96
2025-11-29	oos	0.1143	0.109687	-4.04%	0.1013	-11.37%	0.0021	✓	1.95
2025-11-28	oos	0.11715	0.112382	-4.07%	0.1043	-10.97%	0.0084	✓	1.96
2025-11-27	oos	0.11915	0.114405	-3.98%	0.1068	-10.37%	0.0079	✓	1.96
2025-11-26	oos	0.1207	0.115916	-3.96%	0.1004	-16.82%	0.0741	✓	1.95
2025-11-25	oos	0.11905	0.114533	-3.79%	0.0984	-17.35%	0.1483	✓	2.01
2025-11-24	oos	0.11905	0.114416	-3.89%	0.0998	-16.17%	0.1217	✓	2.01
2025-11-23	oos	0.11545	0.111349	-3.55%	0.1	-13.38%	0.1219	✓	2.02
2025-11-22	oos	0.11335	0.109776	-3.15%	0.1003	-11.51%	0.1823	✓	2.06
2025-11-21	oos	0.11505	0.111516	-3.07%	0.1012	-12.04%	0.1818	✓	2.06
2025-11-20	oos	0.1204	0.116241	-3.45%	0.1079	-10.38%	0.1164	✓	2.05
2025-11-19	oos	0.1315	0.125695	-4.41%	0.1045	-20.53%	0.1049	✓	2.13
2025-11-18	oos	0.13865	0.131822	-4.92%	0.0998	-28.02%	0.1012	✓	2.12
2025-11-17	oos	0.1388	0.132101	-4.83%	0.1018	-26.66%	0.1196	✓	2.13
2025-11-16	oos	0.1458	0.138012	-5.34%	0.1138	-21.95%	0.0458	✓	2.11
2025-11-15	oos	0.15355	0.144024	-6.20%	0.1114	-27.45%	0.0448	✓	2.11
2025-11-14	oos	0.15435	0.144865	-6.14%	0.1104	-28.47%	0.1245	✓	2.12
2025-11-13	oos	0.1688	0.156019	-7.57%	0.1163	-31.10%	0.0810	✓	2.16
2025-11-12	oos	0.1803	0.16414	-8.96%	0.1123	-37.71%	0.1245	✓	2.15
2025-11-11	oos	0.1816	0.16334	-10.05%	0.1167	-35.74%	0.1030	✓	2.18
2025-11-10	oos	0.1691	0.156709	-7.33%	0.1163	-31.22%	0.0216	✓	2.27
2025-11-09	oos	0.1922	0.172712	-10.14%	0.1182	-38.50%	0.0943	✓	2.34
2025-11-08	oos	0.2354	0.201751	-14.29%	0.1121	-52.38%	0.2816	✓	2.53
2025-11-07	oos	0.2042	0.176776	-13.43%	0.1072	-47.50%	0.1643	✓	2.52
2025-11-06	oos	0.0983	0.096118	-2.22%	0.1145	+16.48%	0.4414	✗	2.11
2025-11-05	oos	0.0977	0.095342	-2.41%	0.128	+31.01%	0.6179	✗	2.15
2025-11-04	oos	0.09315	0.091251	-2.04%	0.1123	+20.56%	0.4152	✗	2.14
2025-11-03	oos	0.0955	0.092996	-2.62%	0.1142	+19.58%	0.5035	✗	2.27
2025-11-02	oos	0.1125	0.108969	-3.14%	0.1113	-1.07%	0.4402	✗	2.19
2025-11-01	oos	0.11275	0.109286	-3.07%	0.1068	-5.28%	0.5127	✗	2.20
2025-10-31	oos	0.1085	0.105417	-2.84%	0.11205	+3.27%	0.4860	✗	2.21
2025-10-30	oos	0.1069	0.10403	-2.68%	0.1143	+6.92%	0.4831	✗	2.21
2025-10-29	oos	0.11435	0.11107	-2.87%	0.11715	+2.45%	0.4679	✗	2.17
2025-10-28	oos	0.11665	0.113131	-3.02%	0.11915	+2.14%	0.5257	✗	2.23
2025-10-27	oos	0.1229	0.118996	-3.18%	0.1207	-1.79%	0.5305	✗	2.23
2025-10-26	oos	0.12715	0.123151	-3.15%	0.11905	-6.37%	0.5695	✗	2.22
2025-10-25	oos	0.12355	0.120026	-2.85%	0.11905	-3.64%	0.5235	✗	2.26
2025-10-24	oos	0.12425	0.120882	-2.71%	0.11545	-7.08%	0.5134	✗	2.27
2025-10-23	oos	0.12295	0.119838	-2.53%	0.11335	-7.81%	0.5408	✗	2.27
2025-10-22	oos	0.11955	0.117102	-2.05%	0.11505	-3.76%	0.5169	✗	2.28
2025-10-21	oos	0.1223	0.119805	-2.04%	0.1204	-1.55%	0.5171	✗	2.28
2025-10-20	oos	0.1289	0.125759	-2.44%	0.1315	+2.02%	0.4800	✗	2.29
2025-10-19	oos	0.12785	0.12498	-2.24%	0.13865	+8.45%	0.4588	✗	2.27
2025-10-18	oos	0.1233	0.121083	-1.80%	0.1388	+12.57%	0.4797	✗	2.26
2025-10-17	oos	0.1228	0.120863	-1.58%	0.1458	+18.73%	0.4638	✗	2.25
2025-10-16	oos	0.1263	0.123958	-1.85%	0.15355	+21.58%	0.4954	✗	2.26
2025-10-15	oos	0.13265	0.130119	-1.91%	0.15435	+16.36%	0.5301	✗	2.26
2025-10-14	oos	0.14015	0.138085	-1.47%	0.1688	+20.44%	0.4861	✗	2.25
2025-10-13	oos	0.147	0.145259	-1.18%	0.1803	+22.65%	0.5003	✗	2.26
2025-10-12	oos	0.1403	0.138189	-1.50%	0.1816	+29.44%	0.5147	✗	2.18
2025-10-11	oos	0.1241	0.120563	-2.85%	0.1691	+36.26%	0.4319	✗	2.12
2025-10-10	oos	0.1452	0.142443	-1.90%	0.1922	+32.37%	0.4541	✗	2.03
2025-10-09	oos	0.1853	0.184788	-0.28%	0.2354	+27.04%	0.5397	✗	1.71
2025-10-08	oos	0.18885	0.189106	+0.14%	0.2042	+8.13%	0.3791	✓	1.70
2025-10-07	oos	0.18365	0.18329	-0.20%	0.0983	-46.47%	0.3072	✓	1.74
2025-10-06	oos	0.19855	0.198813	+0.13%	0.0977	-50.79%	0.3974	✗	1.71
2025-10-05	oos	0.19095	0.191182	+0.12%	0.09315	-51.22%	0.3840	✗	1.70
2025-10-04	oos	0.1939	0.193759	-0.07%	0.0955	-50.75%	0.4707	✓	1.70
2025-10-03	oos	0.19925	0.199093	-0.08%	0.1125	-43.54%	0.3985	✓	1.70
2025-10-02	oos	0.19705	0.1959	-0.58%	0.11275	-42.78%	0.3958	✓	1.71
2025-10-01	oos	0.19565	0.193614	-1.04%	0.1085	-44.54%	0.4397	✓	1.75
2025-09-30	oos	0.18695	0.184022	-1.57%	0.1069	-42.82%	0.4500	✓	1.80
2025-09-29	oos	0.18825	0.185092	-1.68%	0.11435	-39.26%	0.4111	✓	1.82
2025-09-28	oos	0.18935	0.185535	-2.01%	0.11665	-38.39%	0.4758	✓	1.87
2025-09-27	oos	0.186	0.181738	-2.29%	0.1229	-33.92%	0.4659	✓	1.90
2025-09-26	oos	0.1841	0.179776	-2.35%	0.12715	-30.93%	0.4287	✓	1.90
2025-09-25	oos	0.1761	0.171943	-2.36%	0.12355	-29.84%	0.3757	✓	1.90
2025-09-24	oos	0.1864	0.181842	-2.45%	0.12425	-33.34%	0.3411	✓	1.93
2025-09-23	oos	0.18475	0.180068	-2.53%	0.12295	-33.45%	0.3485	✓	1.93
2025-09-22	oos	0.1838	0.17861	-2.82%	0.11955	-34.96%	0.3127	✓	1.90
2025-09-21	oos	0.19775	0.191785	-3.02%	0.1223	-38.15%	0.3346	✓	1.86
2025-09-20	oos	0.20095	0.194695	-3.11%	0.1289	-35.85%	0.3239	✓	1.93
2025-09-19	oos	0.1998	0.193287	-3.26%	0.12785	-36.01%	0.2916	✓	1.95
2025-09-18	oos	0.21125	0.204086	-3.39%	0.1233	-41.63%	0.3337	✓	1.93
2025-09-17	oos	0.21085	0.203234	-3.61%	0.1228	-41.76%	0.3293	✓	1.94

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.