EMBER
embercurve · Solana · gru_s9
- token id
- #783
- symbol
- EMBER
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- 5dvXTZ5qwgafnHtwu3Ls3QrWx1U4LQsFeCuJgkk4QEC6
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-11
- predictions
- 96
Track record at +1d
assessed
31
of 32 predictions shown
direction hit
54.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1327
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0085
actual -0.0513
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.002465 | 0.002472 | +0.29% | – | pending | – | – | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.002424 | 0.002434 | +0.40% | 0.002465 | +1.69% | 0.0173 | ✓ | 1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.002855 | 0.002864 | +0.28% | 0.002424 | -15.11% | 0.1892 | ✗ | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.003005 | 0.003013 | +0.26% | 0.002855 | -4.98% | 0.0502 | ✗ | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003031 | 0.003043 | +0.37% | 0.003005 | -0.87% | 0.0253 | ✗ | 1.68 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002896 | 0.00291 | +0.52% | 0.003031 | +4.70% | 0.0432 | ✓ | 1.70 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003313 | 0.003325 | +0.37% | 0.002896 | -12.60% | 0.1258 | ✗ | 1.64 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.002646 | 0.002659 | +0.47% | 0.003313 | +25.18% | 0.2094 | ✓ | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.003509 | 0.003523 | +0.39% | 0.002646 | -24.58% | 0.2636 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00415 | 0.00416 | +0.24% | 0.003509 | -15.45% | 0.1927 | ✗ | 1.37 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005229 | 0.005213 | -0.32% | 0.00415 | -20.64% | 0.2043 | ✓ | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005076 | 0.005069 | -0.14% | 0.005229 | +3.02% | 0.0220 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005148 | 0.005142 | -0.12% | 0.005076 | -1.40% | 0.0173 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005587 | 0.005573 | -0.24% | 0.005148 | -7.86% | 0.0898 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.006234 | 0.0062 | -0.55% | 0.005587 | -10.38% | 0.0849 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005932 | 0.005891 | -0.69% | 0.006234 | +5.09% | 0.0834 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.004325 | 0.004272 | -1.22% | 0.005932 | +37.16% | 0.3307 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.004877 | 0.004805 | -1.48% | 0.004325 | -11.32% | 0.0964 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.005381 | 0.005319 | -1.16% | 0.004877 | -9.37% | 0.1073 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006784 | 0.00674 | -0.66% | 0.005381 | -20.68% | 0.2279 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007134 | 0.007056 | -1.09% | 0.006784 | -4.89% | 0.0351 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.006565 | 0.006386 | -2.73% | 0.007134 | +8.66% | 0.0954 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00693 | 0.006654 | -3.98% | 0.006565 | -5.27% | 0.0125 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00905 | 0.008899 | -1.67% | 0.00693 | -23.43% | 0.2522 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01286 | 0.012717 | -1.12% | 0.00905 | -29.63% | 0.3282 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.013545 | 0.013378 | -1.24% | 0.01286 | -5.06% | 0.0400 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.01382 | -1.36% | 0.013545 | -3.32% | 0.0239 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0134 | 0.013225 | -1.30% | 0.01401 | +4.55% | 0.0611 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01968 | 0.019082 | -3.04% | 0.0134 | -31.91% | 0.3536 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.01742 | 0.016962 | -2.63% | 0.01968 | +12.97% | 0.1699 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.01335 | 0.01318 | -1.27% | 0.01742 | +30.49% | 0.2835 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.011735 | 0.01157 | -1.40% | 0.01335 | +13.76% | 0.0782 | ✗ | 1.00 |