DOS
DAPPOS · Ethereum · gru_s9
- token id
- #141
- symbol
- DOS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x951f086a127e280724fd93ccc543f65065afeb5e
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-10
- predictions
- 195
Track record at +1d
assessed
64
of 65 predictions shown
direction hit
50.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0374
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0041
actual -0.0058
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.2092 | 0.20757 | -0.78% | – | pending | – | – | 0.73 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.2088 | 0.207293 | -0.72% | 0.2092 | +0.19% | 0.0075 | ✗ | 0.73 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.2083 | 0.205902 | -1.15% | 0.2088 | +0.24% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 0.73 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.19055 | 0.189657 | -0.47% | 0.2083 | +9.32% | 0.0844 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.1862 | 0.185308 | -0.48% | 0.19055 | +2.34% | 0.0294 | ✗ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.18235 | 0.181736 | -0.34% | 0.1862 | +2.11% | 0.0189 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.1833 | 0.182539 | -0.41% | 0.18235 | -0.52% | 0.0000 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.18835 | 0.187746 | -0.32% | 0.1833 | -2.68% | 0.0186 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.1899 | 0.189295 | -0.32% | 0.18835 | -0.82% | 0.0098 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.20685 | 0.2056 | -0.60% | 0.1899 | -8.19% | 0.0671 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2327 | 0.229862 | -1.22% | 0.20685 | -11.11% | 0.1171 | ✓ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.27105 | 0.266588 | -1.65% | 0.2327 | -14.15% | 0.1221 | ✓ | 0.59 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.252 | 0.24944 | -1.02% | 0.27105 | +7.56% | 0.0777 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.23355 | 0.231457 | -0.90% | 0.252 | +7.90% | 0.0825 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.2209 | 0.218293 | -1.18% | 0.23355 | +5.73% | 0.0617 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.2179 | 0.215808 | -0.96% | 0.2209 | +1.38% | 0.0348 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.21455 | 0.213831 | -0.34% | 0.2179 | +1.56% | 0.0363 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.2139 | 0.213261 | -0.30% | 0.21455 | +0.30% | 0.0076 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.2148 | 0.214266 | -0.25% | 0.2139 | -0.42% | 0.0041 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2139 | 0.213177 | -0.34% | 0.2148 | +0.42% | 0.0060 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2155 | 0.214702 | -0.37% | 0.2139 | -0.74% | 0.0056 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.2162 | 0.215583 | -0.29% | 0.2155 | -0.32% | 0.0023 | ✓ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.21385 | 0.213116 | -0.34% | 0.2162 | +1.10% | 0.0042 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.21445 | 0.213711 | -0.34% | 0.21385 | -0.28% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.21085 | 0.210144 | -0.33% | 0.21445 | +1.71% | 0.0188 | ✗ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2256 | 0.224823 | -0.34% | 0.21085 | -6.54% | 0.0565 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.2314 | 0.2305 | -0.39% | 0.2256 | -2.51% | 0.0218 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.22475 | 0.22394 | -0.36% | 0.2314 | +2.96% | 0.0303 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2242 | 0.223511 | -0.31% | 0.22475 | +0.25% | 0.0078 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.2203 | 0.219683 | -0.28% | 0.2242 | +1.77% | 0.0203 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.22085 | 0.220464 | -0.17% | 0.2203 | -0.25% | 0.0140 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.2193 | 0.219031 | -0.12% | 0.22085 | +0.71% | 0.0115 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.212 | 0.211208 | -0.37% | 0.2193 | +3.44% | 0.0065 | ✓ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.2159 | 0.214912 | -0.46% | 0.212 | -1.81% | 0.0130 | ✓ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.21255 | 0.211262 | -0.61% | 0.2159 | +1.58% | 0.0187 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.2026 | 0.201327 | -0.63% | 0.21255 | +4.91% | 0.0195 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.197 | 0.196138 | -0.44% | 0.2026 | +2.84% | 0.0308 | ✗ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.2 | 0.19908 | -0.46% | 0.197 | -1.50% | 0.0150 | ✓ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.21345 | 0.212482 | -0.45% | 0.2 | -6.30% | 0.0415 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.2166 | 0.215386 | -0.56% | 0.21345 | -1.45% | 0.0190 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.2156 | 0.214575 | -0.48% | 0.2166 | +0.46% | 0.0129 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.21115 | 0.210182 | -0.46% | 0.2156 | +2.11% | 0.0250 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.1993 | 0.198591 | -0.36% | 0.21115 | +5.95% | 0.0562 | ✗ | 0.59 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.2055 | 0.204927 | -0.28% | 0.1993 | -3.02% | 0.0142 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.21975 | 0.219128 | -0.28% | 0.2055 | -6.48% | 0.0621 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.23365 | 0.233008 | -0.27% | 0.21975 | -5.95% | 0.0504 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.24265 | 0.24218 | -0.19% | 0.23365 | -3.71% | 0.0202 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.2467 | 0.246265 | -0.18% | 0.24265 | -1.64% | 0.0211 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.24235 | 0.242019 | -0.14% | 0.2467 | +1.79% | 0.0172 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.24145 | 0.24138 | -0.03% | 0.24235 | +0.37% | 0.0238 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.23655 | 0.236137 | -0.17% | 0.24145 | +2.07% | 0.0277 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.2577 | 0.25716 | -0.21% | 0.23655 | -8.21% | 0.0824 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.2727 | 0.272038 | -0.24% | 0.2577 | -5.50% | 0.0392 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.3061 | 0.303716 | -0.78% | 0.2727 | -10.91% | 0.1192 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.28175 | 0.280013 | -0.62% | 0.3061 | +8.64% | 0.0964 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.26065 | 0.259849 | -0.31% | 0.28175 | +8.10% | 0.0759 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.2385 | 0.238425 | -0.03% | 0.26065 | +9.29% | 0.1199 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.236 | 0.23597 | -0.01% | 0.2385 | +1.06% | 0.0050 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.2465 | 0.246302 | -0.08% | 0.236 | -4.26% | 0.0491 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.23155 | 0.231597 | +0.02% | 0.2465 | +6.46% | 0.0681 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.22495 | 0.225001 | +0.02% | 0.23155 | +2.93% | 0.0127 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.2328 | 0.232847 | +0.02% | 0.22495 | -3.37% | 0.0432 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.25325 | 0.253344 | +0.04% | 0.2328 | -8.08% | 0.0682 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.2353 | 0.234894 | -0.17% | 0.25325 | +7.63% | 0.0050 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.2551 | 0.253502 | -0.63% | 0.2353 | -7.76% | 0.1267 | ✓ | 1.00 |