DOS
DAPPOS · Ethereum · gru_s9
- token id
- #141
- symbol
- DOS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x951f086a127e280724fd93ccc543f65065afeb5e
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-10
- predictions
- 192
Track record at +1d
assessed
63
of 64 predictions shown
direction hit
52.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0381
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0040
actual -0.0061
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.204 | 0.202641 | -0.67% | – | pending | – | – | 0.73 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.2083 | 0.205909 | -1.15% | 0.204 | -2.06% | 0.0072 | ✓ | 0.73 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.19055 | 0.189619 | -0.49% | 0.2083 | +9.32% | 0.0846 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.1862 | 0.185313 | -0.48% | 0.19055 | +2.34% | 0.0293 | ✗ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.18235 | 0.181673 | -0.37% | 0.1862 | +2.11% | 0.0192 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.1833 | 0.18257 | -0.40% | 0.18235 | -0.52% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.18835 | 0.187665 | -0.36% | 0.1833 | -2.68% | 0.0182 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.1899 | 0.189237 | -0.35% | 0.18835 | -0.82% | 0.0095 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.20685 | 0.205785 | -0.52% | 0.1899 | -8.19% | 0.0680 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2327 | 0.230491 | -0.95% | 0.20685 | -11.11% | 0.1199 | ✓ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.27105 | 0.266139 | -1.81% | 0.2327 | -14.15% | 0.1204 | ✓ | 0.59 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.252 | 0.249295 | -1.07% | 0.27105 | +7.56% | 0.0783 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.23355 | 0.231645 | -0.82% | 0.252 | +7.90% | 0.0817 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.2209 | 0.219025 | -0.85% | 0.23355 | +5.73% | 0.0583 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.2179 | 0.216342 | -0.71% | 0.2209 | +1.38% | 0.0323 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.21455 | 0.21386 | -0.32% | 0.2179 | +1.56% | 0.0361 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.2139 | 0.213204 | -0.33% | 0.21455 | +0.30% | 0.0079 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.2148 | 0.2141 | -0.33% | 0.2139 | -0.42% | 0.0049 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2139 | 0.213025 | -0.41% | 0.2148 | +0.42% | 0.0053 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2155 | 0.214505 | -0.46% | 0.2139 | -0.74% | 0.0047 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.2162 | 0.215265 | -0.43% | 0.2155 | -0.32% | 0.0038 | ✓ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.21385 | 0.21284 | -0.47% | 0.2162 | +1.10% | 0.0055 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.21445 | 0.213368 | -0.50% | 0.21385 | -0.28% | 0.0029 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.21085 | 0.20978 | -0.51% | 0.21445 | +1.71% | 0.0206 | ✗ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2256 | 0.224194 | -0.62% | 0.21085 | -6.54% | 0.0537 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.2314 | 0.229705 | -0.73% | 0.2256 | -2.51% | 0.0184 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.22475 | 0.223089 | -0.74% | 0.2314 | +2.96% | 0.0341 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2242 | 0.222481 | -0.77% | 0.22475 | +0.25% | 0.0124 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.2203 | 0.218604 | -0.77% | 0.2242 | +1.77% | 0.0252 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.22085 | 0.2192 | -0.75% | 0.2203 | -0.25% | 0.0197 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.2193 | 0.217597 | -0.78% | 0.22085 | +0.71% | 0.0181 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.212 | 0.210486 | -0.71% | 0.2193 | +3.44% | 0.0031 | ✓ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.2159 | 0.214023 | -0.87% | 0.212 | -1.81% | 0.0089 | ✓ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.21255 | 0.210631 | -0.90% | 0.2159 | +1.58% | 0.0217 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.2026 | 0.202287 | -0.15% | 0.21255 | +4.91% | 0.0148 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.197 | 0.197158 | +0.08% | 0.2026 | +2.84% | 0.0256 | ✓ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.2 | 0.200171 | +0.09% | 0.197 | -1.50% | 0.0205 | ✗ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.21345 | 0.213042 | -0.19% | 0.2 | -6.30% | 0.0442 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.2166 | 0.216166 | -0.20% | 0.21345 | -1.45% | 0.0227 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.2156 | 0.215324 | -0.13% | 0.2166 | +0.46% | 0.0094 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.21115 | 0.211063 | -0.04% | 0.2156 | +2.11% | 0.0208 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.1993 | 0.199779 | +0.24% | 0.21115 | +5.95% | 0.0502 | ✓ | 0.59 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.2055 | 0.205811 | +0.15% | 0.1993 | -3.02% | 0.0185 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.21975 | 0.219783 | +0.02% | 0.2055 | -6.48% | 0.0651 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.23365 | 0.233487 | -0.07% | 0.21975 | -5.95% | 0.0525 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.24265 | 0.242513 | -0.06% | 0.23365 | -3.71% | 0.0216 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.2467 | 0.246631 | -0.03% | 0.24265 | -1.64% | 0.0226 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.24235 | 0.242438 | +0.04% | 0.2467 | +1.79% | 0.0155 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.24145 | 0.241682 | +0.10% | 0.24235 | +0.37% | 0.0225 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.23655 | 0.236572 | +0.01% | 0.24145 | +2.07% | 0.0295 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.2577 | 0.257502 | -0.08% | 0.23655 | -8.21% | 0.0837 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.2727 | 0.272428 | -0.10% | 0.2577 | -5.50% | 0.0407 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.3061 | 0.304006 | -0.68% | 0.2727 | -10.91% | 0.1202 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.28175 | 0.280592 | -0.41% | 0.3061 | +8.64% | 0.0943 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.26065 | 0.26019 | -0.18% | 0.28175 | +8.10% | 0.0745 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.2385 | 0.23862 | +0.05% | 0.26065 | +9.29% | 0.1191 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.236 | 0.236159 | +0.07% | 0.2385 | +1.06% | 0.0058 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.2465 | 0.246469 | -0.01% | 0.236 | -4.26% | 0.0497 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.23155 | 0.231638 | +0.04% | 0.2465 | +6.46% | 0.0680 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.22495 | 0.224791 | -0.07% | 0.23155 | +2.93% | 0.0136 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.2328 | 0.232625 | -0.08% | 0.22495 | -3.37% | 0.0423 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.25325 | 0.253022 | -0.09% | 0.2328 | -8.08% | 0.0669 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.2353 | 0.234296 | -0.43% | 0.25325 | +7.63% | 0.0075 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.2551 | 0.252402 | -1.06% | 0.2353 | -7.76% | 0.1223 | ✓ | 1.00 |