DARK

Darkwoods · Robinhood · gru_s9

token id: #795
symbol: DARK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xdc45b71d7203c2e8baafc43a19bca0eb993bb54e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 456

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

149

of 152 predictions shown

direction hit

60.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1015

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0031

actual -0.0378

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.001307	0.001291	-1.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.000949	0.000867434	-8.59%	0.001307	+37.72%	0.4129	✗	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.001397	0.001359	-2.72%	0.000949	-32.07%	0.3724	✓	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.001845	0.001832	-0.70%	0.001397	-24.26%	0.2688	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.002037	0.002026	-0.53%	0.001845	-9.45%	0.1016	✓	1.00
2025-08-04	oos	0.002796	0.002788	-0.31%	–	pending	–	–	3.62
2025-08-03	oos	0.00239	0.002388	-0.08%	0.002796	+17.03%	0.1329	✗	3.45
2025-08-02	oos	0.002305	0.002304	-0.03%	0.00239	+3.67%	0.0143	✓	3.43
2025-08-01	oos	0.002374	0.002372	-0.07%	0.002305	-2.91%	0.0078	✓	3.37
2025-07-31	oos	0.002516	0.002514	-0.07%	0.002374	-5.64%	0.0205	✗	3.55
2025-07-30	oos	0.002592	0.002591	-0.04%	0.002516	-2.93%	0.0351	✗	3.63
2025-07-29	oos	0.00286	0.002859	-0.05%	0.002592	-9.37%	0.0949	✓	3.37
2025-07-28	oos	0.003153	0.003149	-0.12%	0.00286	-9.29%	0.0924	✓	3.38
2025-07-27	oos	0.003054	0.003053	-0.04%	0.003153	+3.24%	0.0726	✗	3.44
2025-07-26	oos	0.002947	0.002946	-0.05%	0.003054	+3.63%	0.0060	✓	3.34
2025-07-25	oos	0.003035	0.003033	-0.08%	0.002947	-2.90%	0.0382	✓	3.37
2025-07-24	oos	0.003066	0.003064	-0.07%	0.003035	-1.01%	0.0122	✗	3.35
2025-07-23	oos	0.003233	0.003228	-0.14%	0.003066	-5.17%	0.0401	✓	3.29
2025-07-22	oos	0.003309	0.003303	-0.19%	0.003233	-2.30%	0.0125	✗	3.32
2025-07-21	oos	0.003192	0.003182	-0.32%	0.003309	+3.67%	0.0334	✓	3.32
2025-07-20	oos	0.002797	0.002793	-0.15%	0.003192	+14.12%	0.1293	✗	4.40
2025-07-19	oos	0.002741	0.002738	-0.09%	0.002797	+2.04%	0.0417	✗	4.02
2025-07-18	oos	0.002851	0.002847	-0.15%	0.002741	-3.86%	0.0341	✓	4.05
2025-07-17	oos	0.002938	0.002932	-0.19%	0.002851	-2.96%	0.0148	✗	4.07
2025-07-16	oos	0.002999	0.002989	-0.34%	0.002938	-2.03%	0.0372	✓	4.02
2025-07-15	oos	0.002946	0.002936	-0.33%	0.002999	+1.80%	0.0095	✓	4.02
2025-07-14	oos	0.002694	0.002692	-0.07%	0.002946	+9.35%	0.1633	✗	4.17
2025-07-13	oos	0.002897	0.00289	-0.25%	0.002694	-7.01%	0.0958	✓	4.18
2025-07-12	oos	0.003098	0.003082	-0.52%	0.002897	-6.49%	0.1209	✓	4.21
2025-07-11	oos	0.003358	0.003325	-0.97%	0.003098	-7.74%	0.0669	✓	4.20
2025-07-10	oos	0.003002	0.002981	-0.69%	0.003358	+11.86%	0.0636	✗	4.17
2025-07-09	oos	0.002724	0.002714	-0.36%	0.003002	+10.21%	0.0755	✓	4.22
2025-07-08	oos	0.002578	0.002573	-0.18%	0.002724	+5.66%	0.0321	✓	4.21
2025-07-07	oos	0.002644	0.00264	-0.14%	0.002578	-2.50%	0.0506	✓	4.21
2025-07-06	oos	0.002814	0.002806	-0.29%	0.002644	-6.04%	0.0226	✓	4.22
2025-07-05	oos	0.002657	0.002655	-0.06%	0.002814	+5.91%	0.0205	✗	4.21
2025-07-04	oos	0.002586	0.002589	+0.10%	0.002657	+2.75%	0.0176	✓	4.21
2025-07-03	oos	0.002754	0.002753	-0.02%	0.002586	-6.10%	0.0004	✓	4.24
2025-07-02	oos	0.002885	0.002884	-0.05%	0.002754	-4.54%	0.0748	✓	4.24
2025-07-01	oos	0.002573	0.002583	+0.38%	0.002885	+12.13%	0.0139	✗	4.21
2025-06-30	oos	0.003278	0.003273	-0.15%	0.002573	-21.51%	0.1842	✓	4.11
2025-06-29	oos	0.003167	0.003166	-0.03%	0.003278	+3.50%	0.0819	✗	4.19
2025-06-28	oos	0.002957	0.002964	+0.25%	0.003167	+7.10%	0.0262	✓	4.17
2025-06-27	oos	0.003523	0.003522	-0.02%	0.002957	-16.07%	0.1842	✓	4.16
2025-06-26	oos	0.004013	0.004004	-0.23%	0.003523	-12.21%	0.1311	✓	4.15
2025-06-25	oos	0.004036	0.004028	-0.20%	0.004013	-0.57%	0.0107	✗	4.17
2025-06-24	oos	0.004267	0.004256	-0.25%	0.004036	-5.41%	0.1026	✓	4.19
2025-06-23	oos	0.004368	0.004359	-0.20%	0.004267	-2.31%	0.0500	✓	4.19
2025-06-22	oos	0.004004	0.004011	+0.17%	0.004368	+9.09%	0.0980	✗	4.28
2025-06-21	oos	0.003983	0.003991	+0.21%	0.004004	+0.53%	0.0529	✓	4.34
2025-06-20	oos	0.004445	0.004448	+0.07%	0.003983	-10.39%	0.0617	✗	4.33
2025-06-19	oos	0.004911	0.004907	-0.07%	0.004445	-9.49%	0.0425	✓	4.33
2025-06-18	oos	0.005086	0.005082	-0.08%	0.004911	-3.44%	0.0241	✓	4.34
2025-06-17	oos	0.005041	0.005042	+0.01%	0.005086	+0.89%	0.0047	✗	4.34
2025-06-16	oos	0.005281	0.005276	-0.10%	0.005041	-4.54%	0.0498	✗	4.45
2025-06-15	oos	0.005917	0.005898	-0.32%	0.005281	-10.75%	0.1637	✓	4.50
2025-06-14	oos	0.006217	0.006189	-0.45%	0.005917	-4.83%	0.0506	✓	4.50
2025-06-13	oos	0.005012	0.005026	+0.27%	0.006217	+24.04%	0.2412	✓	4.64
2025-06-12	oos	0.005304	0.005317	+0.25%	0.005012	-5.51%	0.0764	✗	4.64
2025-06-11	oos	0.006633	0.006603	-0.45%	0.005304	-20.04%	0.0935	✓	4.57
2025-06-10	oos	0.005894	0.005895	+0.01%	0.006633	+12.54%	0.1897	✓	4.81
2025-06-09	oos	0.006098	0.006099	+0.01%	0.005894	-3.35%	0.0341	✗	4.82
2025-06-08	oos	0.005929	0.005948	+0.32%	0.006098	+2.85%	0.1870	✗	5.07
2025-06-07	oos	0.005997	0.00602	+0.38%	0.005929	-1.13%	0.0231	✗	5.07
2025-06-06	oos	0.005891	0.005922	+0.52%	0.005997	+1.80%	0.0463	✗	5.07
2025-06-05	oos	0.005238	0.00528	+0.81%	0.005891	+12.47%	0.0284	✗	5.02
2025-06-04	oos	0.00631	0.006348	+0.61%	0.005238	-16.99%	0.0357	✗	5.07
2025-06-03	oos	0.00767	0.007689	+0.24%	0.00631	-17.73%	0.1646	✗	5.00
2025-06-02	oos	0.007135	0.007172	+0.51%	0.00767	+7.50%	0.0892	✓	5.09
2025-06-01	oos	0.007398	0.007438	+0.53%	0.007135	-3.56%	0.0515	✗	5.09
2025-05-31	oos	0.006696	0.006749	+0.79%	0.007398	+10.48%	0.0413	✓	5.05
2025-05-30	oos	0.006587	0.006644	+0.86%	0.006696	+1.65%	0.0218	✗	5.05
2025-05-29	oos	0.007919	0.007972	+0.66%	0.006587	-16.82%	0.1176	✗	4.98
2025-05-28	oos	0.00946	0.009482	+0.24%	0.007919	-16.29%	0.0757	✗	4.96
2025-05-27	oos	0.010931	0.010896	-0.32%	0.00946	-13.46%	0.0887	✓	4.92
2025-05-26	oos	0.01142	0.011362	-0.51%	0.010931	-4.28%	0.0166	✓	4.95
2025-05-25	oos	0.011277	0.011232	-0.40%	0.01142	+1.27%	0.0022	✓	4.96
2025-05-24	oos	0.012084	0.012012	-0.60%	0.011277	-6.68%	0.1208	✓	4.99
2025-05-23	oos	0.012392	0.012303	-0.72%	0.012084	-2.49%	0.0395	✓	4.99
2025-05-22	oos	0.015393	0.015036	-2.32%	0.012392	-19.50%	0.0138	✓	5.16
2025-05-21	oos	0.012423	0.012312	-0.89%	0.015393	+23.91%	0.1321	✗	4.99
2025-05-20	oos	0.011758	0.01171	-0.41%	0.012423	+5.66%	0.0712	✓	5.01
2025-05-19	oos	0.012125	0.012076	-0.41%	0.011758	-3.03%	0.0865	✓	5.02
2025-05-18	oos	0.011663	0.011636	-0.23%	0.012125	+3.96%	0.0834	✗	5.22
2025-05-17	oos	0.011383	0.011392	+0.08%	0.011663	+2.46%	0.1467	✗	5.39
2025-05-16	oos	0.011643	0.011646	+0.02%	0.011383	-2.23%	0.0195	✗	1.00
2025-05-15	oos	0.012234	0.012221	-0.10%	0.011643	-4.83%	0.0457	✓	1.00
2025-05-14	oos	0.013635	0.013586	-0.36%	0.012234	-10.28%	0.1071	✓	1.00
2025-05-13	oos	0.016633	0.016434	-1.20%	0.013635	-18.02%	0.1811	✓	1.00
2025-05-12	oos	0.018853	0.018506	-1.84%	0.016633	-11.78%	0.1196	✓	1.00
2025-05-11	oos	0.017499	0.017233	-1.52%	0.018853	+7.74%	0.1028	✗	1.00
2025-05-10	oos	0.016775	0.016531	-1.46%	0.017499	+4.32%	0.0634	✗	1.00
2025-05-09	oos	0.01342	0.013371	-0.37%	0.016775	+25.00%	0.2092	✗	1.00
2025-05-08	in	0.015819	0.015702	-0.74%	0.01342	-15.17%	0.1545	✓	1.00
2025-05-07	in	0.011052	0.010797	-2.30%	0.015819	+43.13%	0.3200	✗	1.00
2025-05-06	in	0.01415	0.014101	-0.34%	0.011052	-21.89%	0.2459	✓	1.00
2025-05-05	in	0.015996	0.015961	-0.22%	0.01415	-11.54%	0.1424	✓	1.00
2025-05-04	in	0.017052	0.016996	-0.33%	0.015996	-6.19%	0.0655	✓	1.00
2025-05-03	in	0.01703	0.016869	-0.95%	0.017052	+0.13%	0.0275	✗	1.00
2025-05-02	in	0.023187	0.023075	-0.48%	0.01703	-26.55%	0.2927	✓	1.00
2025-05-01	in	0.0163	0.015574	-4.46%	0.023187	+42.25%	0.3938	✗	1.00
2025-04-30	in	0.02036	0.020007	-1.73%	0.0163	-19.94%	0.2295	✓	1.00
2025-04-29	in	0.024322	0.024193	-0.53%	0.02036	-16.29%	0.1715	✓	1.00
2025-04-28	in	0.025719	0.025627	-0.36%	0.024322	-5.43%	0.0441	✓	1.00
2025-04-27	in	0.030589	0.030409	-0.59%	0.025719	-15.92%	0.1809	✓	1.00
2025-04-26	in	0.03442	0.0339	-1.51%	0.030589	-11.13%	0.0934	✓	1.00
2024-01-16	in	0.000009	0.000008782	-2.42%	–	pending	–	–	-1.27
2024-01-15	in	0.0000157	0.000015824	+0.79%	0.000009	-42.68%	0.5480	✗	-1.09
2024-01-14	in	0.0000149	0.000015033	+0.89%	0.0000157	+5.37%	0.0648	✓	-1.13
2024-01-13	in	0.00001622	0.000016355	+0.83%	0.0000149	-8.14%	0.1260	✗	-1.21
2024-01-12	in	0.0000257	0.000025753	+0.21%	0.00001622	-36.89%	0.4604	✗	-1.23
2024-01-11	in	0.00002504	0.00002503	-0.04%	0.0000257	+2.64%	0.0866	✓	-1.41
2024-01-10	in	0.00002673	0.000026661	-0.26%	0.00002504	-6.32%	0.0727	✓	-1.44
2024-01-09	in	0.00003347	0.000033107	-1.08%	0.00002673	-20.14%	0.1978	✓	-1.38
2024-01-08	in	0.00002866	0.000028542	-0.41%	0.00003347	+16.78%	0.1356	✗	-1.26
2024-01-07	in	0.00002885	0.000028815	-0.12%	0.00002866	-0.66%	0.0959	✗	-1.51
2024-01-06	in	0.00003261	0.000032447	-0.50%	0.00002885	-11.53%	0.1190	✓	-1.54
2024-01-05	in	0.0000316	0.000031436	-0.52%	0.00003261	+3.20%	0.0300	✗	-1.52
2024-01-04	in	0.000032	0.000031915	-0.27%	0.0000316	-1.25%	0.0101	✓	-1.52
2024-01-03	in	0.00003349	0.000033405	-0.25%	0.000032	-4.45%	0.0040	✗	-1.54
2024-01-02	in	0.0000337	0.000033577	-0.36%	0.00003349	-0.62%	0.0859	✓	-1.73
2024-01-01	in	0.00003166	0.000031648	-0.04%	0.0000337	+6.44%	0.0931	✗	-1.80
2023-12-31	in	0.00003167	0.000031736	+0.21%	0.00003166	-0.03%	0.0877	✓	-2.01
2023-12-30	in	0.00003168	0.000031761	+0.25%	0.00003167	-0.03%	0.0042	✓	-2.02
2023-12-29	in	0.00003798	0.000037932	-0.13%	0.00003168	-16.59%	0.1764	✓	-2.03
2023-12-28	in	0.0000381	0.000038071	-0.08%	0.00003798	-0.31%	0.0275	✓	-2.05
2023-12-27	in	0.00002929	0.000029296	+0.02%	0.0000381	+30.08%	0.2276	✓	-1.70
2023-12-26	in	0.00003903	0.000039036	+0.01%	0.00002929	-24.96%	0.2554	✗	-1.43
2023-12-25	in	0.00004557	0.000045487	-0.18%	0.00003903	-14.35%	0.1977	✓	-1.79
2023-12-24	in	0.00005145	0.000051158	-0.57%	0.00004557	-11.43%	0.0931	✓	-1.73
2023-12-23	in	0.00004727	0.00004712	-0.32%	0.00005145	+8.84%	0.0612	✗	-1.65
2023-12-22	in	0.00003765	0.000037614	-0.10%	0.00004727	+25.55%	0.2350	✗	1.00
2023-12-21	in	0.00004179	0.000041796	+0.01%	0.00003765	-9.91%	0.1076	✗	1.00
2023-12-20	in	0.00004502	0.000045042	+0.05%	0.00004179	-7.17%	0.0795	✗	1.00
2023-12-19	in	0.00005	0.000049957	-0.09%	0.00004502	-9.96%	0.1368	✓	1.00
2023-12-18	in	0.000056	0.000055785	-0.38%	0.00005	-10.71%	0.1004	✓	1.00
2023-12-17	in	0.00005097	0.000050884	-0.17%	0.000056	+9.87%	0.0648	✗	1.00
2023-12-16	in	0.000045	0.000045033	+0.07%	0.00005097	+13.27%	0.1451	✓	1.00
2023-12-15	in	0.00004838	0.000048306	-0.15%	0.000045	-6.99%	0.0781	✓	1.00
2023-12-14	in	0.00004328	0.0000432	-0.18%	0.00004838	+11.78%	0.1390	✗	1.00
2023-12-13	in	0.00004588	0.000045786	-0.20%	0.00004328	-5.67%	0.0596	✓	1.00
2023-12-12	in	0.00006089	0.000060814	-0.12%	0.00004588	-24.65%	0.3152	✓	1.00
2023-12-11	in	0.00006109	0.000060967	-0.20%	0.00006089	-0.33%	0.0073	✓	1.00
2023-12-10	in	0.00006163	0.000061644	+0.02%	0.00006109	-0.88%	0.0513	✓	1.00
2023-12-09	in	0.00005702	0.000057056	+0.06%	0.00006163	+8.08%	0.0755	✓	1.00
2023-12-08	in	0.00005751	0.000057576	+0.12%	0.00005702	-0.85%	0.0010	✓	1.00
2023-12-07	in	0.00006009	0.000060073	-0.03%	0.00005751	-4.29%	0.0644	✓	1.00
2023-12-06	in	0.0000579	0.000057951	+0.09%	0.00006009	+3.78%	0.0473	✓	1.00
2023-12-05	in	0.00005568	0.000055678	-0.00%	0.0000579	+3.99%	0.0464	✗	1.00
2023-12-04	in	0.00006001	0.000060006	-0.01%	0.00005568	-7.22%	0.1236	✓	1.00
2023-12-03	in	0.00006997	0.000069672	-0.43%	0.00006001	-14.23%	0.1982	✓	1.00
2023-12-02	in	0.00006388	0.000063742	-0.22%	0.00006997	+9.53%	0.0805	✗	1.00