DARK

Darkwoods · Robinhood · gru_s9

token id: #795
symbol: DARK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xdc45b71d7203c2e8baafc43a19bca0eb993bb54e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 459

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

150

of 153 predictions shown

direction hit

64.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0983

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0044

actual -0.0388

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.001118	0.001095	-2.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-21	oos	0.001118	0.001095	-2.03%	0.001118	+0.00%	0.0182	✓	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.000949	0.000925417	-2.49%	0.001118	+17.81%	0.1760	✗	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.001397	0.001381	-1.11%	0.000949	-32.07%	0.3889	✓	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.001845	0.001831	-0.75%	0.001397	-24.26%	0.2683	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.002037	0.002023	-0.67%	0.001845	-9.45%	0.1002	✓	1.00
2025-08-04	oos	0.002796	0.002782	-0.53%	–	pending	–	–	3.62
2025-08-03	oos	0.00239	0.002383	-0.28%	0.002796	+17.03%	0.1350	✗	3.45
2025-08-02	oos	0.002305	0.002299	-0.25%	0.00239	+3.67%	0.0122	✓	3.43
2025-08-01	oos	0.002374	0.002367	-0.29%	0.002305	-2.91%	0.0055	✓	3.37
2025-07-31	oos	0.002516	0.002509	-0.28%	0.002374	-5.64%	0.0225	✗	3.55
2025-07-30	oos	0.002592	0.002587	-0.20%	0.002516	-2.93%	0.0366	✗	3.63
2025-07-29	oos	0.00286	0.002855	-0.19%	0.002592	-9.37%	0.0935	✓	3.37
2025-07-28	oos	0.003153	0.003146	-0.22%	0.00286	-9.29%	0.0914	✓	3.38
2025-07-27	oos	0.003054	0.00305	-0.13%	0.003153	+3.24%	0.0736	✗	3.44
2025-07-26	oos	0.002947	0.002943	-0.15%	0.003054	+3.63%	0.0049	✓	3.34
2025-07-25	oos	0.003035	0.003029	-0.19%	0.002947	-2.90%	0.0372	✓	3.37
2025-07-24	oos	0.003066	0.003061	-0.17%	0.003035	-1.01%	0.0132	✗	3.35
2025-07-23	oos	0.003233	0.003226	-0.21%	0.003066	-5.17%	0.0395	✓	3.29
2025-07-22	oos	0.003309	0.003302	-0.23%	0.003233	-2.30%	0.0128	✗	3.32
2025-07-21	oos	0.003192	0.003181	-0.35%	0.003309	+3.67%	0.0331	✓	3.32
2025-07-20	oos	0.002797	0.002789	-0.29%	0.003192	+14.12%	0.1307	✗	4.40
2025-07-19	oos	0.002741	0.002735	-0.24%	0.002797	+2.04%	0.0432	✗	4.02
2025-07-18	oos	0.002851	0.002844	-0.23%	0.002741	-3.86%	0.0333	✓	4.05
2025-07-17	oos	0.002938	0.002932	-0.20%	0.002851	-2.96%	0.0149	✗	4.07
2025-07-16	oos	0.002999	0.002991	-0.27%	0.002938	-2.03%	0.0379	✓	4.02
2025-07-15	oos	0.002946	0.002939	-0.25%	0.002999	+1.80%	0.0103	✓	4.02
2025-07-14	oos	0.002694	0.002692	-0.06%	0.002946	+9.35%	0.1632	✗	4.17
2025-07-13	oos	0.002897	0.002893	-0.13%	0.002694	-7.01%	0.0970	✓	4.18
2025-07-12	oos	0.003098	0.003088	-0.31%	0.002897	-6.49%	0.1230	✓	4.21
2025-07-11	oos	0.003358	0.003337	-0.64%	0.003098	-7.74%	0.0703	✓	4.20
2025-07-10	oos	0.003002	0.002985	-0.56%	0.003358	+11.86%	0.0623	✗	4.17
2025-07-09	oos	0.002724	0.002712	-0.43%	0.003002	+10.21%	0.0747	✓	4.22
2025-07-08	oos	0.002578	0.00257	-0.33%	0.002724	+5.66%	0.0305	✓	4.21
2025-07-07	oos	0.002644	0.002635	-0.33%	0.002578	-2.50%	0.0487	✓	4.21
2025-07-06	oos	0.002814	0.002801	-0.48%	0.002644	-6.04%	0.0207	✓	4.22
2025-07-05	oos	0.002657	0.002648	-0.33%	0.002814	+5.91%	0.0231	✗	4.21
2025-07-04	oos	0.002586	0.00258	-0.22%	0.002657	+2.75%	0.0208	✗	4.21
2025-07-03	oos	0.002754	0.002742	-0.42%	0.002586	-6.10%	0.0036	✓	4.24
2025-07-02	oos	0.002885	0.002872	-0.47%	0.002754	-4.54%	0.0706	✓	4.24
2025-07-01	oos	0.002573	0.002575	+0.09%	0.002885	+12.13%	0.0110	✗	4.21
2025-06-30	oos	0.003278	0.003259	-0.59%	0.002573	-21.51%	0.1799	✓	4.11
2025-06-29	oos	0.003167	0.003147	-0.62%	0.003278	+3.50%	0.0878	✗	4.19
2025-06-28	oos	0.002957	0.002947	-0.32%	0.003167	+7.10%	0.0319	✗	4.17
2025-06-27	oos	0.003523	0.0035	-0.64%	0.002957	-16.07%	0.1780	✓	4.16
2025-06-26	oos	0.004013	0.003979	-0.85%	0.003523	-12.21%	0.1249	✓	4.15
2025-06-25	oos	0.004036	0.004001	-0.87%	0.004013	-0.57%	0.0175	✗	4.17
2025-06-24	oos	0.004267	0.004228	-0.91%	0.004036	-5.41%	0.0959	✓	4.19
2025-06-23	oos	0.004368	0.004328	-0.91%	0.004267	-2.31%	0.0428	✓	4.19
2025-06-22	oos	0.004004	0.003987	-0.42%	0.004368	+9.09%	0.0921	✓	4.28
2025-06-21	oos	0.003983	0.003967	-0.41%	0.004004	+0.53%	0.0591	✗	4.34
2025-06-20	oos	0.004445	0.004418	-0.62%	0.003983	-10.39%	0.0547	✓	4.33
2025-06-19	oos	0.004911	0.00487	-0.83%	0.004445	-9.49%	0.0349	✓	4.33
2025-06-18	oos	0.005086	0.005043	-0.85%	0.004911	-3.44%	0.0165	✓	4.34
2025-06-17	oos	0.005041	0.005005	-0.71%	0.005086	+0.89%	0.0026	✓	4.34
2025-06-16	oos	0.005281	0.005234	-0.89%	0.005041	-4.54%	0.0577	✗	4.45
2025-06-15	oos	0.005917	0.005855	-1.04%	0.005281	-10.75%	0.1564	✓	4.50
2025-06-14	oos	0.006217	0.006145	-1.16%	0.005917	-4.83%	0.0435	✓	4.50
2025-06-13	oos	0.005012	0.004996	-0.31%	0.006217	+24.04%	0.2470	✗	4.64
2025-06-12	oos	0.005304	0.005289	-0.29%	0.005012	-5.51%	0.0710	✓	4.64
2025-06-11	oos	0.006633	0.006546	-1.32%	0.005304	-20.04%	0.0847	✓	4.57
2025-06-10	oos	0.005894	0.005842	-0.87%	0.006633	+12.54%	0.1986	✗	4.81
2025-06-09	oos	0.006098	0.006044	-0.89%	0.005894	-3.35%	0.0250	✓	4.82
2025-06-08	oos	0.005929	0.005923	-0.09%	0.006098	+2.85%	0.1828	✓	5.07
2025-06-07	oos	0.005997	0.005998	+0.01%	0.005929	-1.13%	0.0194	✗	5.07
2025-06-06	oos	0.005891	0.005909	+0.30%	0.005997	+1.80%	0.0441	✗	5.07
2025-06-05	oos	0.005238	0.005288	+0.95%	0.005891	+12.47%	0.0298	✗	5.02
2025-06-04	oos	0.00631	0.006331	+0.33%	0.005238	-16.99%	0.0329	✗	5.07
2025-06-03	oos	0.00767	0.007635	-0.46%	0.00631	-17.73%	0.1575	✓	5.00
2025-06-02	oos	0.007135	0.007127	-0.11%	0.00767	+7.50%	0.0954	✗	5.09
2025-06-01	oos	0.007398	0.007386	-0.17%	0.007135	-3.56%	0.0445	✓	5.09
2025-05-31	oos	0.006696	0.006724	+0.42%	0.007398	+10.48%	0.0449	✓	5.05
2025-05-30	oos	0.006587	0.006627	+0.61%	0.006696	+1.65%	0.0194	✗	5.05
2025-05-29	oos	0.007919	0.007908	-0.14%	0.006587	-16.82%	0.1096	✓	4.98
2025-05-28	oos	0.00946	0.009388	-0.77%	0.007919	-16.29%	0.0657	✓	4.96
2025-05-27	oos	0.010931	0.010849	-0.75%	0.00946	-13.46%	0.0844	✓	4.92
2025-05-26	oos	0.01142	0.011341	-0.69%	0.010931	-4.28%	0.0148	✓	4.95
2025-05-25	oos	0.011277	0.011201	-0.67%	0.01142	+1.27%	0.0005	✓	4.96
2025-05-24	oos	0.012084	0.012003	-0.67%	0.011277	-6.68%	0.1201	✓	4.99
2025-05-23	oos	0.012392	0.012308	-0.68%	0.012084	-2.49%	0.0399	✓	4.99
2025-05-22	oos	0.015393	0.015288	-0.68%	0.012392	-19.50%	0.0029	✓	5.16
2025-05-21	oos	0.012423	0.01235	-0.59%	0.015393	+23.91%	0.1290	✗	4.99
2025-05-20	oos	0.011758	0.011666	-0.78%	0.012423	+5.66%	0.0674	✓	5.01
2025-05-19	oos	0.012125	0.012023	-0.84%	0.011758	-3.03%	0.0822	✓	5.02
2025-05-18	oos	0.011663	0.011564	-0.85%	0.012125	+3.96%	0.0896	✗	5.22
2025-05-17	oos	0.011383	0.011268	-1.01%	0.011663	+2.46%	0.1358	✓	5.39
2025-05-16	oos	0.011643	0.011532	-0.95%	0.011383	-2.23%	0.0098	✓	1.00
2025-05-15	oos	0.012234	0.012136	-0.80%	0.011643	-4.83%	0.0387	✓	1.00
2025-05-14	oos	0.013635	0.013561	-0.54%	0.012234	-10.28%	0.1053	✓	1.00
2025-05-13	oos	0.016633	0.016573	-0.36%	0.013635	-18.02%	0.1895	✓	1.00
2025-05-12	oos	0.018853	0.018736	-0.62%	0.016633	-11.78%	0.1319	✓	1.00
2025-05-11	oos	0.017499	0.017413	-0.49%	0.018853	+7.74%	0.0924	✗	1.00
2025-05-10	oos	0.016775	0.016687	-0.52%	0.017499	+4.32%	0.0540	✗	1.00
2025-05-09	in	0.01342	0.013304	-0.87%	0.016775	+25.00%	0.2142	✗	1.00
2025-05-08	in	0.015819	0.015717	-0.65%	0.01342	-15.17%	0.1554	✓	1.00
2025-05-07	in	0.011052	0.010798	-2.30%	0.015819	+43.13%	0.3200	✗	1.00
2025-05-06	in	0.01415	0.013973	-1.25%	0.011052	-21.89%	0.2368	✓	1.00
2025-05-05	in	0.015996	0.015826	-1.06%	0.01415	-11.54%	0.1339	✓	1.00
2025-05-04	in	0.017052	0.016888	-0.96%	0.015996	-6.19%	0.0592	✓	1.00
2025-05-03	in	0.01703	0.016882	-0.87%	0.017052	+0.13%	0.0267	✗	1.00
2025-05-02	in	0.023187	0.023026	-0.69%	0.01703	-26.55%	0.2906	✓	1.00
2025-05-01	in	0.0163	0.016143	-0.97%	0.023187	+42.25%	0.3579	✗	1.00
2025-04-30	in	0.02036	0.020231	-0.64%	0.0163	-19.94%	0.2406	✓	1.00
2025-04-29	in	0.024322	0.024213	-0.45%	0.02036	-16.29%	0.1724	✓	1.00
2025-04-28	in	0.025719	0.025624	-0.37%	0.024322	-5.43%	0.0440	✓	1.00
2025-04-27	in	0.030589	0.03042	-0.55%	0.025719	-15.92%	0.1812	✓	1.00
2025-04-26	in	0.03442	0.034108	-0.91%	0.030589	-11.13%	0.0995	✓	1.00
2024-01-16	in	0.000009	0.000009126	+1.40%	–	pending	–	–	-1.27
2024-01-15	in	0.0000157	0.000015837	+0.87%	0.000009	-42.68%	0.5488	✗	-1.09
2024-01-14	in	0.0000149	0.000015062	+1.09%	0.0000157	+5.37%	0.0629	✓	-1.13
2024-01-13	in	0.00001622	0.00001635	+0.80%	0.0000149	-8.14%	0.1257	✗	-1.21
2024-01-12	in	0.0000257	0.000025609	-0.35%	0.00001622	-36.89%	0.4548	✓	-1.23
2024-01-11	in	0.00002504	0.000024896	-0.58%	0.0000257	+2.64%	0.0812	✓	-1.41
2024-01-10	in	0.00002673	0.000026601	-0.48%	0.00002504	-6.32%	0.0705	✓	-1.44
2024-01-09	in	0.00003347	0.000033334	-0.41%	0.00002673	-20.14%	0.2046	✓	-1.38
2024-01-08	in	0.00002866	0.000028574	-0.30%	0.00003347	+16.78%	0.1345	✗	-1.26
2024-01-07	in	0.00002885	0.000028687	-0.57%	0.00002866	-0.66%	0.1003	✗	-1.51
2024-01-06	in	0.00003261	0.000032415	-0.60%	0.00002885	-11.53%	0.1180	✓	-1.54
2024-01-05	in	0.0000316	0.000031375	-0.71%	0.00003261	+3.20%	0.0319	✗	-1.52
2024-01-04	in	0.000032	0.000031836	-0.51%	0.0000316	-1.25%	0.0077	✓	-1.52
2024-01-03	in	0.00003349	0.000033301	-0.56%	0.000032	-4.45%	0.0071	✗	-1.54
2024-01-02	in	0.0000337	0.000033569	-0.39%	0.00003349	-0.62%	0.0856	✓	-1.73
2024-01-01	in	0.00003166	0.000031525	-0.43%	0.0000337	+6.44%	0.0971	✗	-1.80
2023-12-31	in	0.00003167	0.000031558	-0.35%	0.00003166	-0.03%	0.0933	✗	-2.01
2023-12-30	in	0.00003168	0.000031583	-0.31%	0.00003167	-0.03%	0.0098	✗	-2.02
2023-12-29	in	0.00003798	0.000037826	-0.41%	0.00003168	-16.59%	0.1736	✓	-2.03
2023-12-28	in	0.0000381	0.000037969	-0.34%	0.00003798	-0.31%	0.0248	✓	-2.05
2023-12-27	in	0.00002929	0.000029153	-0.47%	0.0000381	+30.08%	0.2324	✗	-1.70
2023-12-26	in	0.00003903	0.00003895	-0.21%	0.00002929	-24.96%	0.2532	✓	-1.43
2023-12-25	in	0.00004557	0.000045509	-0.13%	0.00003903	-14.35%	0.1982	✓	-1.79
2023-12-24	in	0.00005145	0.000051265	-0.36%	0.00004557	-11.43%	0.0952	✓	-1.73
2023-12-23	in	0.00004727	0.000047163	-0.23%	0.00005145	+8.84%	0.0603	✗	-1.65
2023-12-22	in	0.00003765	0.000037575	-0.20%	0.00004727	+25.55%	0.2361	✗	1.00
2023-12-21	in	0.00004179	0.000041762	-0.07%	0.00003765	-9.91%	0.1068	✓	1.00
2023-12-20	in	0.00004502	0.000045016	-0.01%	0.00004179	-7.17%	0.0789	✓	1.00
2023-12-19	in	0.00005	0.000049934	-0.13%	0.00004502	-9.96%	0.1364	✓	1.00
2023-12-18	in	0.000056	0.000055885	-0.21%	0.00005	-10.71%	0.1022	✓	1.00
2023-12-17	in	0.00005097	0.000050845	-0.24%	0.000056	+9.87%	0.0656	✗	1.00
2023-12-16	in	0.000045	0.000044919	-0.18%	0.00005097	+13.27%	0.1476	✗	1.00
2023-12-15	in	0.00004838	0.000048097	-0.59%	0.000045	-6.99%	0.0738	✓	1.00
2023-12-14	in	0.00004328	0.000043206	-0.17%	0.00004838	+11.78%	0.1389	✗	1.00
2023-12-13	in	0.00004588	0.000045824	-0.12%	0.00004328	-5.67%	0.0604	✓	1.00
2023-12-12	in	0.00006089	0.000060773	-0.19%	0.00004588	-24.65%	0.3145	✓	1.00
2023-12-11	in	0.00006109	0.000060933	-0.26%	0.00006089	-0.33%	0.0067	✓	1.00
2023-12-10	in	0.00006163	0.000061612	-0.03%	0.00006109	-0.88%	0.0518	✗	1.00
2023-12-09	in	0.00005702	0.000057034	+0.02%	0.00006163	+8.08%	0.0759	✓	1.00
2023-12-08	in	0.00005751	0.000057567	+0.10%	0.00005702	-0.85%	0.0011	✓	1.00
2023-12-07	in	0.00006009	0.000060066	-0.04%	0.00005751	-4.29%	0.0643	✓	1.00
2023-12-06	in	0.0000579	0.000057927	+0.05%	0.00006009	+3.78%	0.0478	✓	1.00
2023-12-05	in	0.00005568	0.000055738	+0.11%	0.0000579	+3.99%	0.0453	✓	1.00
2023-12-04	in	0.00006001	0.000060021	+0.02%	0.00005568	-7.22%	0.1238	✗	1.00
2023-12-03	in	0.00006997	0.000069792	-0.25%	0.00006001	-14.23%	0.1999	✓	1.00
2023-12-02	in	0.00006388	0.000063752	-0.20%	0.00006997	+9.53%	0.0803	✗	1.00