CTR

Citrea · Base · gru_s9

token id: #590
symbol: CTR
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x11030f79109269d796fd0fb956d6244e502757f7
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-26
predictions: 420

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

133

of 140 predictions shown

direction hit

52.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0990

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0125

actual -0.0145

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.018489	0.017683	-4.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-10-20	oos	0.017857	0.016983	-4.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-19	oos	0.017291	0.016304	-5.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.013308	0.013124	-1.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-17	oos	0.013303	0.013102	-1.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-16	oos	0.013935	0.013675	-1.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-15	oos	0.013058	0.012836	-1.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.013763	0.013483	-2.03%	0.018489	+34.34%	0.3114	✗	0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.014573	0.014206	-2.52%	0.017857	+22.54%	0.2293	✗	0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.013765	0.013437	-2.38%	0.017291	+25.61%	0.2518	✗	0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.012887	0.012677	-1.63%	0.013308	+3.27%	0.0554	✗	0.34
2026-10-10	oos	0.012848	0.012629	-1.71%	0.013303	+3.55%	0.0583	✗	0.33
2026-10-09	oos	0.012519	0.012293	-1.81%	0.013935	+11.31%	0.1296	✗	0.34
2026-10-08	oos	0.012738	0.012504	-1.83%	0.013058	+2.52%	0.0415	✗	0.36
2026-10-07	oos	0.012589	0.012348	-1.91%	0.013763	+9.33%	0.1167	✗	0.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.012659	0.012397	-2.07%	0.014573	+15.12%	0.1729	✗	0.39
2026-10-05	oos	0.012707	0.01243	-2.18%	0.013765	+8.33%	0.1223	✗	0.42
2026-10-04	oos	0.012899	0.012603	-2.30%	0.012887	-0.09%	0.0378	✗	0.47
2026-10-03	oos	0.012956	0.012631	-2.51%	0.012848	-0.83%	0.0273	✗	0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.011884	0.011614	-2.28%	0.012519	+5.34%	0.0860	✗	0.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.012313	0.012012	-2.44%	0.012738	+3.45%	0.0762	✗	0.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.012909	0.012559	-2.71%	0.012589	-2.48%	0.0039	✓	0.47
2026-09-29	oos	0.012601	0.012263	-2.68%	0.012659	+0.46%	0.0224	✓	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.012023	0.011708	-2.62%	0.012707	+5.69%	0.0697	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.012241	0.011895	-2.83%	0.012899	+5.38%	0.0702	✗	0.45
2026-09-26	oos	0.012434	0.012074	-2.90%	0.012956	+4.19%	0.0687	✗	0.47
2026-09-25	oos	0.011831	0.011537	-2.48%	0.011884	+0.45%	0.0274	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.012256	0.011933	-2.63%	0.012313	+0.46%	0.0288	✗	0.45
2026-09-23	oos	0.01249	0.012099	-3.13%	0.012909	+3.35%	0.0692	✗	0.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.01223	0.011918	-2.55%	0.012601	+3.03%	0.0694	✗	0.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.011974	0.011686	-2.40%	0.012023	+0.41%	0.0477	✗	0.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.011331	0.011109	-1.96%	0.012241	+8.03%	0.0783	✗	0.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.011508	0.011266	-2.10%	0.012434	+8.05%	0.0802	✗	0.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.011775	0.011497	-2.36%	0.011831	+0.48%	0.0090	✓	0.50
2026-09-17	oos	0.011548	0.011284	-2.28%	0.012256	+6.13%	0.0293	✗	0.53
2026-09-16	oos	0.011539	0.011271	-2.33%	0.01249	+8.24%	0.0477	✗	0.54
2026-09-15	oos	0.012138	0.011678	-3.79%	0.01223	+0.75%	0.0367	✓	0.63
2026-09-14	oos	0.010906	0.010722	-1.69%	0.011974	+9.79%	0.0339	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.010455	0.010263	-1.83%	0.011331	+8.39%	0.0578	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	0.00994	0.009867	-0.73%	0.011508	+15.79%	0.1162	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.009771	0.00972	-0.52%	0.011775	+20.51%	0.1570	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.009272	0.00926	-0.12%	0.011548	+24.55%	0.2226	✗	0.73
2026-09-09	oos	0.01026	0.010192	-0.67%	0.011539	+12.47%	0.1427	✗	0.67
2026-09-08	oos	0.010186	0.010134	-0.51%	0.012138	+19.17%	0.2060	✗	0.69
2026-09-07	oos	0.010375	0.01033	-0.43%	0.010906	+5.12%	0.0627	✗	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00945	0.009521	+0.75%	0.010455	+10.63%	0.1257	✓	0.71
2026-09-05	oos	0.009865	0.009907	+0.43%	0.00994	+0.76%	0.0268	✓	0.72
2026-09-04	oos	0.009869	0.009914	+0.46%	0.009771	-0.99%	0.0065	✓	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.010077	0.010148	+0.70%	0.009272	-7.99%	0.0514	✗	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.010039	0.010009	-0.30%	0.01026	+2.20%	0.0132	✗	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.00967	0.009658	-0.13%	0.010186	+5.33%	0.0407	✗	0.93
2026-08-31	oos	0.009508	0.009523	+0.15%	0.010375	+9.11%	0.0796	✓	0.90
2026-08-30	oos	0.009343	0.009349	+0.07%	0.00945	+1.15%	0.0196	✗	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.009572	0.009587	+0.15%	0.009865	+3.06%	0.0110	✓	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.009431	0.009444	+0.14%	0.009869	+4.64%	0.0240	✓	0.86
2026-08-27	oos	0.009239	0.009318	+0.85%	0.010077	+9.07%	0.0673	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.009325	0.009375	+0.54%	0.010039	+7.66%	0.0883	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.008563	0.008646	+0.98%	0.00967	+12.93%	0.1243	✓	0.86
2026-08-24	oos	0.008554	0.008646	+1.07%	0.009508	+11.15%	0.1002	✓	0.96
2026-08-23	oos	0.007924	0.008012	+1.12%	0.009343	+17.91%	0.1544	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.008046	0.008132	+1.07%	0.009572	+18.97%	0.1489	✓	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.00872	0.008804	+0.96%	0.009431	+8.15%	0.0745	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	0.008193	0.008204	+0.14%	0.009239	+12.77%	0.0335	✓	0.90
2026-08-19	oos	0.008446	0.008378	-0.81%	0.009325	+10.41%	0.0257	✓	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	0.008435	0.008315	-1.42%	0.008563	+1.51%	0.1971	✓	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.008381	0.008267	-1.36%	0.008554	+2.07%	0.2022	✓	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.008785	0.008643	-1.62%	0.007924	-9.80%	0.3503	✓	1.24
2026-08-15	oos	0.008704	0.00857	-1.53%	0.008046	-7.56%	0.3123	✓	1.24
2026-08-14	oos	0.008496	0.008373	-1.45%	0.00872	+2.64%	0.2289	✓	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	0.008806	0.008658	-1.68%	0.008193	-6.96%	0.2286	✓	1.23
2026-08-12	oos	0.00827	0.008159	-1.34%	0.008446	+2.13%	0.0743	✓	1.23
2026-08-11	oos	0.00837	0.008238	-1.58%	0.008435	+0.78%	0.0017	✓	1.23
2026-08-10	oos	0.00778	0.007712	-0.88%	0.008381	+7.72%	0.0723	✗	1.24
2026-08-09	oos	0.0081	0.008024	-0.94%	0.008785	+8.46%	0.1295	✗	1.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.00833	0.008236	-1.12%	0.008704	+4.49%	0.0916	✗	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.00791	0.007823	-1.10%	0.008496	+7.41%	0.1193	✗	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.00782	0.007729	-1.16%	0.008806	+12.60%	0.1465	✗	1.22
2026-08-05	oos	0.0077	0.007616	-1.09%	0.00827	+7.40%	0.1053	✗	1.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.007285	0.007213	-0.99%	0.00837	+14.89%	0.1585	✗	1.20
2026-08-03	oos	0.007235	0.007163	-0.99%	0.00778	+7.53%	0.0742	✗	1.20
2026-08-02	oos	0.00739	0.007312	-1.06%	0.0081	+9.61%	0.0772	✗	1.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.00733	0.007254	-1.03%	0.00833	+13.64%	0.0980	✗	1.20
2026-07-31	oos	0.00747	0.007393	-1.04%	0.00791	+5.89%	0.0289	✗	1.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.00749	0.00741	-1.07%	0.00782	+4.41%	0.0626	✗	1.25
2026-07-29	oos	0.00744	0.007361	-1.06%	0.0077	+3.49%	0.0313	✗	1.24
2026-07-28	oos	0.007265	0.007196	-0.95%	0.007285	+0.28%	0.0084	✓	1.24
2026-07-27	oos	0.007205	0.007135	-0.97%	0.007235	+0.42%	0.0183	✗	1.24
2026-07-26	oos	0.007935	0.007845	-1.13%	0.00739	-6.87%	0.0258	✓	1.19
2026-07-25	oos	0.00816	0.008064	-1.18%	0.00733	-10.17%	0.0662	✓	1.21
2026-07-24	oos	0.00766	0.007583	-1.00%	0.00747	-2.48%	0.0086	✓	1.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.007535	0.007461	-0.99%	0.00749	-0.60%	0.0101	✗	1.22
2026-07-22	oos	0.008285	0.008198	-1.05%	0.00744	-10.20%	0.0571	✓	1.18
2026-07-21	oos	0.008235	0.008152	-1.01%	0.007265	-11.78%	0.0664	✓	1.19
2026-07-20	oos	0.00835	0.008266	-1.01%	0.007205	-13.71%	0.1088	✓	1.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.008165	0.008088	-0.95%	0.007935	-2.82%	0.0313	✓	1.20
2026-07-18	oos	0.00831	0.008228	-0.99%	0.00816	-1.81%	0.0010	✓	1.20
2026-07-17	oos	0.007805	0.007734	-0.91%	0.00766	-1.86%	0.0130	✓	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.00805	0.007974	-0.95%	0.007535	-6.40%	0.0797	✓	1.16
2026-07-15	oos	0.00832	0.008237	-1.00%	0.008285	-0.42%	0.0185	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.008335	0.008246	-1.07%	0.008235	-1.20%	0.0283	✓	1.16
2026-07-13	oos	0.00812	0.008039	-1.00%	0.00835	+2.83%	0.0168	✓	1.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.00811	0.008014	-1.19%	0.008165	+0.68%	0.0007	✓	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.00844	0.008345	-1.13%	0.00831	-1.54%	0.0238	✓	1.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.00916	0.009063	-1.06%	0.007805	-14.79%	0.1449	✓	1.22
2026-07-09	oos	0.008405	0.008297	-1.29%	0.00805	-4.22%	0.0410	✓	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008492	-1.20%	0.00832	-3.20%	0.0662	✓	1.17
2026-07-07	oos	0.00918	0.009082	-1.07%	0.008335	-9.20%	0.1156	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.01039	0.010284	-1.02%	0.00812	-21.85%	0.2056	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.01091	0.010792	-1.08%	0.00811	-25.66%	0.2886	✓	1.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.01107	0.010945	-1.13%	0.00844	-23.76%	0.2723	✓	1.15
2026-07-03	oos	0.01067	0.010555	-1.08%	0.00916	-14.15%	0.1703	✓	1.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.01102	0.010896	-1.13%	0.008405	-23.73%	0.2914	✓	1.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.01197	0.011785	-1.55%	0.008595	-28.20%	0.3667	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.01117	0.011043	-1.14%	0.00918	-17.82%	0.2864	✓	1.29
2026-06-29	oos	0.01143	0.011281	-1.30%	0.01039	-9.10%	0.1636	✓	1.31
2026-06-28	oos	0.010725	0.010606	-1.11%	0.01091	+1.72%	0.0550	✓	1.25
2026-06-27	oos	0.01078	0.010655	-1.16%	0.01107	+2.69%	0.0256	✓	1.25
2026-06-26	oos	0.01009	0.009989	-1.00%	0.01067	+5.75%	0.0161	✗	1.21
2026-06-25	oos	0.01044	0.010328	-1.07%	0.01102	+5.56%	0.0285	✗	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.0103	0.010185	-1.12%	0.01197	+16.21%	0.1784	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.011325	0.011149	-1.55%	0.01117	-1.37%	0.0699	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.01124	0.011045	-1.74%	0.01143	+1.69%	0.0954	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.01069	0.010529	-1.50%	0.010725	+0.33%	0.0797	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.01125	0.011051	-1.77%	0.01078	-4.18%	0.0442	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.01065	0.010483	-1.57%	0.01009	-5.26%	0.0180	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.010465	0.010314	-1.44%	0.01044	-0.24%	0.0640	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.01182	0.011603	-1.84%	0.0103	-12.86%	0.0639	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.01149	0.011236	-2.21%	0.011325	-1.44%	0.0542	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.0121	0.011816	-2.34%	0.01124	-7.11%	0.0143	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.01255	0.012271	-2.22%	0.01069	-14.82%	0.0996	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.012475	0.012213	-2.10%	0.01125	-9.82%	0.0789	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.012795	0.012556	-1.87%	0.01065	-16.76%	0.1636	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.01296	0.012715	-1.89%	0.010465	-19.25%	0.1839	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0125	0.012331	-1.36%	0.01182	-5.44%	0.0899	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.01515	0.014945	-1.35%	0.01149	-24.16%	0.3247	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01411	0.013913	-1.39%	0.0121	-14.25%	0.1893	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.01453	0.01434	-1.31%	0.01255	-13.63%	0.1706	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.01496	0.014871	-0.60%	0.012475	-16.61%	0.2328	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.01366	0.013551	-0.80%	0.012795	-6.33%	0.0976	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.01688	0.016726	-0.91%	0.01296	-23.22%	0.2513	✓	1.00