CARDS

Collector Crypt · Solana · gru_s9

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 21 predictions shown

direction hit

40.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0993

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0165

actual +0.0161

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.37764	0.37005	-2.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-21	oos	0.376255	0.367238	-2.40%	0.37764	+0.37%	0.0256	✗	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.341225	0.333518	-2.26%	0.376255	+10.27%	0.1076	✗	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.332115	0.325312	-2.05%	0.341225	+2.74%	0.0344	✗	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.25713	0.254761	-0.92%	0.332115	+29.16%	0.2672	✗	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.271445	0.268897	-0.94%	0.25713	-5.27%	0.0524	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.29283	0.288732	-1.40%	0.271445	-7.30%	0.0603	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.349415	0.342449	-1.99%	0.29283	-16.19%	0.1489	✓	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.31083	0.304819	-1.93%	0.349415	+12.41%	0.1297	✗	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.279395	0.274362	-1.80%	0.31083	+11.25%	0.1435	✗	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.2734	0.270742	-0.97%	0.279395	+2.19%	0.0150	✗	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.32592	0.320993	-1.51%	0.2734	-16.11%	0.1371	✓	1.00
2026-10-10	oos	0.31055	0.305049	-1.77%	0.32592	+4.95%	0.0570	✗	1.00
2026-10-09	oos	0.29286	0.287765	-1.74%	0.31055	+6.04%	0.0718	✗	1.00
2026-10-08	oos	0.25146	0.248556	-1.15%	0.29286	+16.46%	0.1537	✗	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.272395	0.268893	-1.29%	0.25146	-7.69%	0.0478	✓	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.310145	0.304683	-1.76%	0.272395	-12.17%	0.0852	✓	1.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.285115	0.27928	-2.05%	0.310145	+8.78%	0.1073	✗	1.00
2026-10-04	oos	0.23562	0.234079	-0.65%	0.285115	+21.01%	0.2060	✗	1.00
2026-10-03	oos	0.26884	0.264043	-1.78%	0.23562	-12.36%	0.1345	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.2746	0.267981	-2.41%	0.26884	-2.10%	0.0004	✓	1.00