BP

Backpack · Solana · gru_s9

token id: #474
symbol: BP
variant: –
chain: Solana
address: BPxxfRCXkUVhig4HS1Lh7kZqV6SPJhzfEk4x6fVBjPCy
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-23
predictions: 612

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

197

of 204 predictions shown

direction hit

54.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1634

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0289

actual +0.0676

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.0984	1.0654	-3.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-20	oos	1.0962	1.0648	-2.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-19	oos	1.1594	1.1223	-3.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-18	oos	1.1091	1.0778	-2.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-17	oos	0.97705	0.962514	-1.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-16	oos	1.0034	0.985392	-1.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-15	oos	1.0144	0.993796	-2.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-14	oos	1.0044	0.983899	-2.04%	1.0984	+9.37%	0.0921	✗	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	1.0445	1.0168	-2.65%	1.0962	+4.96%	0.0779	✗	1.33
2026-10-12	oos	1.0973	1.0654	-2.90%	1.1594	+5.66%	0.0829	✗	1.36
2026-10-11	oos	1.1975	1.1539	-3.64%	1.1091	-7.39%	0.0142	✓	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	1.1394	1.1002	-3.43%	0.97705	-14.24%	0.0950	✓	1.27
2026-10-09	oos	1.2027	1.1564	-3.85%	1.0034	-16.57%	0.1256	✓	1.28
2026-10-08	oos	1.126	1.0848	-3.65%	1.0144	-9.91%	0.0738	✓	1.26
2026-10-07	oos	1.0901	1.0493	-3.75%	1.0044	-7.87%	0.0168	✓	1.30
2026-10-06	oos	1.1856	1.1357	-4.21%	1.0445	-11.90%	0.0478	✓	1.24
2026-10-05	oos	1.2399	1.1836	-4.54%	1.0973	-11.50%	0.0153	✓	1.26
2026-10-04	oos	1.2509	1.1925	-4.66%	1.1975	-4.26%	0.0458	✓	1.25
2026-10-03	oos	1.2619	1.1977	-5.09%	1.1394	-9.72%	0.0220	✓	1.28
2026-10-02	oos	1.1594	1.102	-4.95%	1.2027	+3.74%	0.1173	✗	1.27
2026-10-01	oos	1.268	1.1928	-5.93%	1.126	-11.21%	0.0106	✓	1.24
2026-09-30	oos	1.2865	1.204	-6.41%	1.0901	-15.26%	0.0952	✓	1.22
2026-09-29	oos	1.1463	1.0817	-5.63%	1.1856	+3.42%	0.0642	✗	1.22
2026-09-28	oos	1.2709	1.1873	-6.57%	1.2399	-2.44%	0.0094	✓	1.25
2026-09-27	oos	1.3501	1.2492	-7.48%	1.2509	-7.35%	0.0259	✓	1.14
2026-09-26	oos	1.3079	1.2113	-7.39%	1.2619	-3.51%	0.0365	✓	1.15
2026-09-25	oos	1.3502	1.2206	-9.60%	1.1594	-14.14%	0.0573	✓	1.19
2026-09-24	oos	1.0486	0.975269	-6.99%	1.268	+20.93%	0.2557	✗	1.25
2026-09-23	oos	0.848	0.803482	-5.25%	1.2865	+51.70%	0.4831	✗	1.27
2026-09-22	oos	0.76025	0.728047	-4.24%	1.1463	+50.78%	0.4978	✗	1.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.89395	0.834938	-6.60%	1.2709	+42.16%	0.4707	✗	1.37
2026-09-20	oos	0.82965	0.768678	-7.35%	1.3501	+62.73%	0.5054	✗	1.45
2026-09-19	oos	0.64225	0.621653	-3.21%	1.3079	+103.64%	0.6875	✗	1.47
2026-09-18	oos	0.57225	0.559372	-2.25%	1.3502	+135.95%	0.8256	✗	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.5342	0.525039	-1.71%	1.0486	+96.29%	0.5442	✗	1.47
2026-09-16	oos	0.4646	0.461448	-0.68%	0.848	+82.52%	0.4581	✗	1.46
2026-09-15	oos	0.4664	0.463753	-0.57%	0.76025	+63.00%	0.3294	✗	1.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.5093	0.504846	-0.87%	0.89395	+75.53%	0.4572	✗	1.12
2026-09-13	oos	0.4988	0.495895	-0.58%	0.82965	+66.33%	0.4531	✗	1.11
2026-09-12	oos	0.5479	0.541833	-1.11%	0.64225	+17.22%	0.1169	✗	1.06
2026-09-11	oos	0.56005	0.553192	-1.22%	0.57225	+2.18%	0.0243	✓	1.25
2026-09-10	oos	0.5563	0.549852	-1.16%	0.5342	-3.97%	0.0257	✓	1.30
2026-09-09	oos	0.59295	0.581997	-1.85%	0.4646	-21.65%	0.1903	✓	1.26
2026-09-08	oos	0.573	0.564609	-1.46%	0.4664	-18.60%	0.1418	✓	1.32
2026-09-07	oos	0.51165	0.512547	+0.18%	0.5093	-0.46%	0.0096	✓	1.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.4892	0.496016	+1.39%	0.4988	+1.96%	0.0695	✓	1.42
2026-09-05	oos	0.43585	0.447895	+2.76%	0.5479	+25.71%	0.2475	✓	1.40
2026-09-04	oos	0.4332	0.446589	+3.09%	0.56005	+29.28%	0.2728	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.45165	0.467194	+3.44%	0.5563	+23.17%	0.2626	✓	1.47
2026-09-02	oos	0.42545	0.436618	+2.63%	0.59295	+39.37%	0.2882	✓	1.42
2026-09-01	oos	0.3946	0.406528	+3.02%	0.573	+45.21%	0.3235	✓	1.46
2026-08-31	oos	0.4092	0.422008	+3.13%	0.51165	+25.04%	0.1871	✓	0.83
2026-08-30	oos	0.4054	0.415312	+2.44%	0.4892	+20.67%	0.1485	✓	0.45
2026-08-29	oos	0.4135	0.42254	+2.19%	0.43585	+5.41%	0.0207	✓	0.51
2026-08-28	oos	0.4334	0.440817	+1.71%	0.4332	-0.05%	0.0295	✗	0.52
2026-08-27	oos	0.4455	0.455003	+2.13%	0.45165	+1.38%	0.0137	✓	0.51
2026-08-26	oos	0.4339	0.441723	+1.80%	0.42545	-1.95%	0.0264	✗	0.50
2026-08-25	oos	0.4389	0.445308	+1.46%	0.3946	-10.09%	0.1135	✗	0.51
2026-08-24	oos	0.4103	0.417543	+1.77%	0.4092	-0.27%	0.0175	✗	0.50
2026-08-23	oos	0.4431	0.447161	+0.92%	0.4054	-8.51%	0.0976	✗	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.4304	0.434002	+0.84%	0.4135	-3.93%	0.0565	✗	0.53
2026-08-21	oos	0.4728	0.471376	-0.30%	0.4334	-8.33%	0.0810	✓	0.49
2026-08-20	oos	0.4026	0.403789	+0.30%	0.4455	+10.66%	0.0747	✓	0.25
2026-08-19	oos	0.4004	0.396588	-0.95%	0.4339	+8.37%	0.0512	✗	0.29
2026-08-18	oos	0.3608	0.356704	-1.14%	0.4389	+21.65%	0.1845	✗	0.12
2026-08-17	oos	0.3692	0.364616	-1.24%	0.4103	+11.13%	0.0959	✗	0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.3661	0.361746	-1.19%	0.4431	+21.03%	0.1784	✗	0.12
2026-08-15	oos	0.3707	0.365896	-1.30%	0.4304	+16.10%	0.1385	✗	0.12
2026-08-14	oos	0.3817	0.376158	-1.45%	0.4728	+23.87%	0.2003	✗	0.13
2026-08-13	oos	0.3807	0.374779	-1.56%	0.4026	+5.75%	0.0527	✗	0.13
2026-08-12	oos	0.3817	0.375522	-1.62%	0.4004	+4.90%	0.0491	✗	0.17
2026-08-11	oos	0.3759	0.369733	-1.64%	0.3608	-4.02%	0.0271	✓	0.15
2026-08-10	oos	0.3539	0.348652	-1.48%	0.3692	+4.32%	0.0560	✗	0.15
2026-08-09	oos	0.4022	0.393349	-2.20%	0.3661	-8.98%	0.0679	✓	0.12
2026-08-08	oos	0.3854	0.377848	-1.96%	0.3707	-3.81%	0.0156	✓	0.12
2026-08-07	oos	0.4063	0.397252	-2.23%	0.3817	-6.05%	0.0364	✓	0.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.4411	0.42891	-2.76%	0.3807	-13.69%	0.1172	✓	0.15
2026-08-05	oos	0.4013	0.393276	-2.00%	0.3817	-4.88%	0.0268	✓	0.17
2026-08-04	oos	0.3902	0.383235	-1.79%	0.3759	-3.66%	0.0178	✓	0.18
2026-08-03	oos	0.3691	0.364497	-1.25%	0.3539	-4.12%	0.0307	✓	0.17
2026-08-02	oos	0.3812	0.376378	-1.26%	0.4022	+5.51%	0.0634	✗	0.14
2026-08-01	oos	0.3678	0.364968	-0.77%	0.3854	+4.79%	0.0513	✗	0.09
2026-07-31	oos	0.3676	0.365468	-0.58%	0.4063	+10.53%	0.1028	✗	0.10
2026-07-30	oos	0.4028	0.397283	-1.37%	0.4411	+9.51%	0.1047	✗	0.02
2026-07-29	oos	0.4315	0.424701	-1.58%	0.4013	-7.00%	0.0574	✓	0.07
2026-07-28	oos	0.4521	0.444257	-1.73%	0.3902	-13.69%	0.1300	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.4452	0.438563	-1.49%	0.3691	-17.09%	0.1722	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.4715	0.46172	-2.07%	0.3812	-19.15%	0.1908	✓	0.03
2026-07-25	oos	0.4618	0.453873	-1.72%	0.3678	-20.36%	0.2097	✓	0.02
2026-07-24	oos	0.4467	0.441133	-1.25%	0.3676	-17.71%	0.1820	✓	0.02
2026-07-23	oos	0.4334	0.428997	-1.02%	0.4028	-7.06%	0.0629	✓	0.03
2026-07-22	oos	0.4646	0.455998	-1.85%	0.4315	-7.12%	0.0555	✓	-0.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.4645	0.457099	-1.59%	0.4521	-2.67%	0.0114	✓	-0.01
2026-07-20	oos	0.4481	0.443425	-1.04%	0.4452	-0.65%	0.0031	✓	-0.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.4327	0.429862	-0.66%	0.4715	+8.97%	0.0930	✗	-0.05
2026-07-18	oos	0.4838	0.476342	-1.54%	0.4618	-4.55%	0.0313	✓	-0.03
2026-07-17	oos	0.472	0.465592	-1.36%	0.4467	-5.36%	0.0414	✓	-0.01
2026-07-16	oos	0.5022	0.492615	-1.91%	0.4334	-13.70%	0.1281	✓	-0.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.5499	0.535911	-2.54%	0.4646	-15.51%	0.1402	✓	-0.13
2026-07-14	oos	0.5377	0.523395	-2.66%	0.4645	-13.61%	0.1167	✓	-0.11
2026-07-13	oos	0.5299	0.515811	-2.66%	0.4481	-15.44%	0.1344	✓	-0.14
2026-07-12	oos	0.556	0.538611	-3.13%	0.4327	-22.18%	0.2163	✓	-0.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.5853	0.564486	-3.56%	0.4838	-17.34%	0.1522	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.5659	0.545235	-3.65%	0.472	-16.59%	0.1446	✓	-0.09
2026-07-09	oos	0.544	0.523798	-3.71%	0.5022	-7.68%	0.0412	✓	-0.10
2026-07-08	oos	0.5505	0.528621	-3.97%	0.5499	-0.11%	0.0433	✗	-0.10
2026-07-07	oos	0.5861	0.559213	-4.59%	0.5377	-8.26%	0.0354	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.5768	0.549277	-4.77%	0.5299	-8.13%	0.0396	✓	-0.13
2026-07-05	oos	0.5198	0.495384	-4.70%	0.556	+6.96%	0.1157	✗	-0.12
2026-07-04	oos	0.5456	0.517248	-5.20%	0.5853	+7.28%	0.1247	✗	-0.10
2026-07-03	oos	0.5821	0.548005	-5.86%	0.5659	-2.78%	0.0351	✓	-0.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.616	0.575282	-6.61%	0.544	-11.69%	0.0537	✓	-0.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.6116	0.568403	-7.06%	0.5505	-9.99%	0.0292	✓	-0.07
2026-06-30	oos	0.5575	0.521672	-6.43%	0.5861	+5.13%	0.1248	✗	-0.11
2026-06-29	oos	0.5169	0.484815	-6.21%	0.5768	+11.59%	0.1774	✗	-0.06
2026-06-28	oos	0.4789	0.450132	-6.01%	0.5198	+8.54%	0.1511	✗	-0.11
2026-06-27	oos	0.5447	0.505564	-7.18%	0.5456	+0.17%	0.0824	✗	-0.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.5608	0.51726	-7.76%	0.5821	+3.80%	0.1228	✗	-0.11
2026-06-25	oos	0.5105	0.473527	-7.24%	0.616	+20.67%	0.2668	✗	-0.13
2026-06-24	oos	0.6027	0.550598	-8.64%	0.6116	+1.48%	0.1003	✗	-0.28
2026-06-23	oos	0.59	0.537841	-8.84%	0.5575	-5.51%	0.0345	✓	-0.02
2026-06-22	oos	0.6595	0.593693	-9.98%	0.5169	-21.62%	0.1460	✓	-0.12
2026-06-21	oos	0.6834	0.609259	-10.85%	0.4789	-29.92%	0.2461	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.6577	0.58653	-10.82%	0.5447	-17.18%	0.0793	✓	-0.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.5807	0.522075	-10.10%	0.5608	-3.43%	0.0648	✓	-0.12
2026-06-18	oos	0.592	0.524332	-11.43%	0.5105	-13.77%	0.0324	✓	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.4729	0.42321	-10.51%	0.6027	+27.45%	0.3557	✗	0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.4182	0.379175	-9.33%	0.59	+41.08%	0.4466	✗	0.10
2026-06-15	oos	0.4219	0.381825	-9.50%	0.6595	+56.32%	0.5498	✗	0.09
2026-06-14	oos	0.4896	0.431795	-11.81%	0.6834	+39.58%	0.4644	✗	0.14
2026-06-13	oos	0.335	0.305067	-8.94%	0.6577	+96.33%	0.7679	✗	-0.10
2026-06-12	oos	0.291	0.268802	-7.63%	0.5807	+99.55%	0.7701	✗	-0.16
2026-06-11	oos	0.2692	0.251745	-6.48%	0.592	+119.91%	0.8533	✗	-0.16
2026-06-10	oos	0.2411	0.229505	-4.81%	0.4729	+96.14%	0.7370	✗	-0.29
2026-06-09	oos	0.2476	0.233955	-5.51%	0.4182	+68.90%	0.5991	✗	-0.30
2026-06-08	oos	0.2589	0.243042	-6.13%	0.4219	+62.96%	0.5680	✗	-0.33
2026-06-07	oos	0.2575	0.240564	-6.58%	0.4896	+90.14%	0.7229	✗	-0.33
2026-06-06	oos	0.2271	0.216448	-4.69%	0.335	+47.51%	0.4669	✗	-0.53
2026-06-05	oos	0.2316	0.219139	-5.38%	0.291	+25.65%	0.3049	✗	-0.53
2026-06-04	oos	0.2341	0.220335	-5.88%	0.2692	+14.99%	0.1981	✗	-0.58
2026-06-03	oos	0.2857	0.256861	-10.09%	0.2411	-15.61%	0.0880	✓	-0.60
2026-06-02	oos	0.1773	0.170653	-3.75%	0.2476	+39.65%	0.3794	✗	0.09
2026-06-01	oos	0.149	0.146414	-1.74%	0.2589	+73.76%	0.6537	✗	0.68
2026-05-31	oos	0.163	0.158744	-2.61%	0.2575	+57.98%	0.5713	✗	0.58
2026-05-30	oos	0.1626	0.157348	-3.23%	0.2271	+39.67%	0.4793	✗	0.58
2026-05-29	oos	0.1421	0.139673	-1.71%	0.2316	+62.98%	0.6069	✗	0.55
2026-05-28	oos	0.1254	0.124151	-1.00%	0.2341	+86.68%	0.7145	✗	0.57
2026-05-27	oos	0.1253	0.124111	-0.95%	0.2857	+128.01%	0.9195	✗	0.58
2026-05-26	oos	0.12	0.119164	-0.70%	0.1773	+47.75%	0.4806	✗	0.65
2026-05-25	oos	0.1201	0.119387	-0.59%	0.149	+24.06%	0.2751	✗	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.124	0.123213	-0.63%	0.163	+31.45%	0.3102	✗	0.67
2026-05-23	oos	0.1315	0.130408	-0.83%	0.1626	+23.65%	0.2467	✗	0.68
2026-05-22	oos	0.1326	0.131291	-0.99%	0.1421	+7.16%	0.0983	✗	0.69
2026-05-21	oos	0.1343	0.133002	-0.97%	0.1254	-6.63%	0.0208	✓	0.71
2026-05-20	oos	0.132	0.130754	-0.94%	0.1253	-5.08%	0.0129	✓	0.71
2026-05-19	oos	0.1354	0.133898	-1.11%	0.12	-11.37%	0.1007	✓	0.72
2026-05-18	oos	0.1376	0.135988	-1.17%	0.1201	-12.72%	0.1271	✓	0.72
2026-05-17	oos	0.1406	0.138898	-1.21%	0.124	-11.81%	0.1094	✓	0.72
2026-05-16	oos	0.1434	0.141672	-1.21%	0.1315	-8.30%	0.0610	✓	0.72
2026-05-15	oos	0.1443	0.142703	-1.11%	0.1326	-8.11%	0.0394	✓	0.73
2026-05-14	oos	0.1495	0.148127	-0.92%	0.1343	-10.17%	0.0661	✓	0.72
2026-05-13	oos	0.151	0.149061	-1.28%	0.132	-12.58%	0.1046	✓	0.74
2026-05-12	oos	0.1476	0.146164	-0.97%	0.1354	-8.27%	0.0395	✓	0.78
2026-05-11	oos	0.1573	0.155584	-1.09%	0.1376	-12.52%	0.0785	✓	0.74
2026-05-10	oos	0.151	0.149915	-0.72%	0.1406	-6.89%	0.0181	✓	0.77
2026-05-09	oos	0.1504	0.14886	-1.02%	0.1434	-4.65%	0.0128	✓	0.77
2026-05-08	oos	0.1498	0.148136	-1.11%	0.1443	-3.67%	0.0154	✓	0.76
2026-05-07	oos	0.1431	0.141759	-0.94%	0.1495	+4.47%	0.0430	✗	0.77
2026-05-06	oos	0.1475	0.146586	-0.62%	0.151	+2.37%	0.0500	✗	0.76
2026-05-05	oos	0.1451	0.144175	-0.64%	0.1476	+1.72%	0.0274	✗	0.75
2026-05-04	oos	0.1507	0.149121	-1.05%	0.1573	+4.38%	0.0354	✗	0.78
2026-05-03	oos	0.1578	0.155163	-1.67%	0.151	-4.31%	0.0644	✓	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.1554	0.152958	-1.57%	0.1504	-3.22%	0.0374	✓	0.83
2026-05-01	oos	0.1461	0.144102	-1.37%	0.1498	+2.53%	0.0187	✗	0.81
2026-04-30	oos	0.1427	0.14033	-1.66%	0.1431	+0.28%	0.0177	✓	0.79
2026-04-29	oos	0.1429	0.140407	-1.74%	0.1475	+3.22%	0.0075	✓	0.78
2026-04-28	oos	0.1479	0.14518	-1.84%	0.1451	-1.89%	0.0458	✓	0.77
2026-04-27	oos	0.1495	0.146983	-1.68%	0.1507	+0.80%	0.0000	✓	0.79
2026-04-26	oos	0.1465	0.144754	-1.19%	0.1578	+7.71%	0.0876	✗	0.86
2026-04-25	oos	0.1442	0.142121	-1.44%	0.1554	+7.77%	0.0782	✗	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.1421	0.14008	-1.42%	0.1461	+2.81%	0.0337	✗	0.85
2026-04-23	oos	0.1417	0.140126	-1.11%	0.1427	+0.71%	0.0406	✗	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.1404	0.138877	-1.08%	0.1429	+1.78%	0.0567	✗	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.1404	0.138064	-1.66%	0.1479	+5.34%	0.0692	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.1408	0.13829	-1.78%	0.1495	+6.18%	0.0584	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.1367	0.134046	-1.94%	0.1465	+7.17%	0.0252	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.1404	0.137916	-1.77%	0.1442	+2.71%	0.0196	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.1379	0.136087	-1.31%	0.1421	+3.05%	0.0385	✗	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.1495	0.146354	-2.10%	0.1417	-5.22%	0.0730	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.1394	0.136733	-1.91%	0.1404	+0.72%	0.0176	✓	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.1439	0.140882	-2.10%	0.1404	-2.43%	0.0323	✓	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.1496	0.14629	-2.21%	0.1408	-5.88%	0.0571	✓	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.1443	0.141021	-2.27%	0.1367	-5.27%	0.0736	✓	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.1479	0.144425	-2.35%	0.1404	-5.07%	0.0639	✓	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.1474	0.143909	-2.37%	0.1379	-6.45%	0.0973	✓	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.1478	0.144187	-2.44%	0.1495	+1.15%	0.0096	✓	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.1503	0.146513	-2.52%	0.1394	-7.25%	0.1012	✓	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.1543	0.150171	-2.68%	0.1439	-6.74%	0.0737	✓	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.1488	0.14523	-2.40%	0.1496	+0.54%	0.0484	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.1473	0.143742	-2.42%	0.1443	-2.04%	0.0212	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.1534	0.149811	-2.34%	0.1479	-3.59%	0.0954	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.1494	0.146059	-2.24%	0.1474	-1.34%	0.0772	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.1444	0.141128	-2.27%	0.1478	+2.35%	0.0245	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.1506	0.147009	-2.38%	0.1503	-0.20%	0.0206	✓	1.00